The Ted Thompsons Playoff Chances 2014Lost to Wacky 269.4-286.1, playoff odds down 5.1 to 5.2% 0-3-0 .000 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 9/18 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Wacky 286.1 Thompsons 269.4 | -5.1 | | -1.0 | | MACHO 265.73 Ginger Army 279.87 | +0.1 | | -0.1 | | Pollos 266.45 Glaurung 205 | +0.1 | | -0.1 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Thompsons vs Rabbits | +3.7*-0.7-3.1 | | +1.0*-0.2-0.9 | | Panuckers vs Gators | -0.1*+0.2+0.1 | | | | Dez vs MACHO | +0.1*-0.3-0.1 | | | | Geese vs Spectral | +0.1*+0.9-0.1 | | | | London vs Ginger Army | +0.1*-0.1-0.0 | | | | Plax vs Pollos | | | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Thompsons finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 67 | 29 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3,334 | | 8 | .5 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 50 | 31 | 15 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 26 | | 8 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 17 | 35 | 30 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 33,890 | | 7 | .5 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 99.6 | | 1 | 12 | 33 | 31 | 19 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 236 | | 7 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 86.3 | | 0 | 4 | 13 | 24 | 26 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 173,715 | | 6 | .5 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 46.2 | | | 0 | | 3 | 14 | 30 | 31 | 18 | 5 | 1 | | | | | | | 1,073 | | 6 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 13.5 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 24 | 21 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 521,231 | | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | 25 | 50 | 25 | | | | | | | | 4 | | 5 | .5 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 28 | 14 | 3 | 0 | | | 2,847 | | 5 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 25 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 998,808 | | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 43 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | | | 7 | | 4 | .5 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 16 | 33 | 32 | 14 | 2 | 4,584 | | 4 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 32 | 31 | 12 | 1,277,023 | | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 4 | | 3 | .5 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 16 | 44 | 38 | 4,671 | | 3 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 34 | 58 | 1,088,185 | | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 25 | 25 | | 50 | 4 | | 2 | .5 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 15 | 84 | 2,955 | | 2 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 9 | 91 | 594,251 | | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 5 | | 1 | .5 | 1 | - | 7 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 99 | 1,073 | | 1 | | 1 | - | 8 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 99 | 189,003 | | | 0 | - | 7 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 1 | | 0 | -0.5 | | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 27,518 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 5.2 | % | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 32 | 4,924,448 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesWeek of 9/18 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Wacky 286.1 Thompsons 269.4 | +2.0 | | Pollos 266.45 Glaurung 205 | +0.1 | | MACHO 265.73 Ginger Army 279.87 | +0.0 | | Ra's al Ghul 232.45 End Stags 298 | -0.0 | | Tampa Terror 183 Cap Challenged 232.25 | -0.0 | | Sanchize 215 Bearphins 269.52 | +0.0 | | Professor 236 Jadeveon 301.43 | -0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Thompsons vs Rabbits | -2.0+0.5+1.7 | | Cheyenne vs End Stags | +0.1-0.2-0.1 | | Geese vs Spectral | +0.0-0.1-0.0 | | Plax vs Pollos | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | | Panuckers vs Gators | -0.0*-0.2+0.0 | | Jadeveon vs MegaTrob | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 24 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | .5 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 4 | 8 | 31 | 31 | 19 | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 22 | 18 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | .5 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 1 | | | 0 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 19 | 28 | 20 | 4 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | .5 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | 1 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 23 | 22 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 25 | 50 | | 25 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | .5 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 24 | 20 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 5 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | 29 | | 14 | | | 14 | 29 | | | | | | | | 4 | .5 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 25 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 4 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 21 | 20 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 0 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 25 | 25 | | | 50 | | | | 3 | .5 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 31 | 29 | 13 | 2 | 3 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 30 | 29 | 12 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | | 25 | | 25 | 2 | .5 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 42 | 38 | 2 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 34 | 55 | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 20 | 80 | 1 | .5 | 1 | - | 7 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 17 | 82 | 1 | | 1 | - | 8 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 10 | 89 | | 0 | - | 7 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 0 | .5 | 0 | - | 8 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 96 | 0 | | 0 | - | 9 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 99 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 14 |
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