Ra's al Ghul Playoff Chances 2014
Lost to End Stags 232.45-298, playoff odds down 10.5 to 4.7%
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/18 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Ra's al Ghul 232.45 End Stags 298 | -6.5 | -1.0 | ||
| Staff 265.68 Cheyenne 208.19 | -0.2 | |||
| Professor 236 Jadeveon 301.43 | -0.2 | +0.0 | ||
| 12th Man 274.3 KC_Love 220.3 | -0.1 | |||
| Tampa Terror 183 Cap Challenged 232.25 | +0.0 | |||
| Sanchize 215 Bearphins 269.52 | -0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| TDs vs Ra's al Ghul | -2.8*-0.4+3.6 | -0.8-0.2+1.0 | ||
| Tampa Terror vs Sanchize | +0.2*-0.5-0.1 | -0.0*-0.2+0.0 | ||
| Jadeveon vs MegaTrob | -0.1*+0.1+0.1 | |||
| Cheyenne vs End Stags | +0.2*-0.3-0.1 | -0.1*-0.1+0.1 | ||
| Cap Challenged vs Abby's | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | ||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Ra's al Ghul finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 9 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 48 | 40 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3,517 | ||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 21 | 41 | 24 | 10 | 3 | 29 | |||||||||||||
| 8 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 99.8 | % | 7 | 25 | 34 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 35,892 | ||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 96.9 | 4 | 20 | 36 | 27 | 11 | 3 | 256 | ||||||||||||
| 7 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 76.9 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 27 | 25 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 181,550 | ||||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 30.2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 27 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1,130 | |||||||||
| 6 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 9.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 24 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 538,027 | ||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 2 | Out | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0.1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 33 | 26 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2,884 | |||||||||
| 5 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 28 | 26 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1,018,807 | ||||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 2 | Out | 25 | 50 | 25 | 8 | |||||||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 2 | 10 | 30 | 35 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 4,566 | ||||||||||
| 4 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 30 | 32 | 17 | 3 | 1,281,485 | |||||||||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 2 | Out | 33 | 33 | 33 | 6 | |||||||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 2 | 12 | 35 | 38 | 13 | 4,667 | ||||||||||||
| 3 | 3 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 44 | 28 | 1,071,531 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 2 | Out | 50 | 50 | 4 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 7 | 39 | 53 | 2,975 | ||||||||||||||
| 2 | 2 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 69 | 572,090 | ||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 6 | - | 2 | Out | 100 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | .5 | 1 | - | 7 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 13 | 87 | 1,041 | |||||||||||||||
| 1 | 1 | - | 8 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 7 | 93 | 178,889 | ||||||||||||||||
| 0 | .5 | 0 | - | 8 | - | 1 | Out | 2 | 98 | 170 | ||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | 1 | 99 | 24,920 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 4.7 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 18 | 19 | 4,924,448 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 9/18 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Ra's al Ghul 232.45 End Stags 298 | +2.0 | |
| MACHO 265.73 Ginger Army 279.87 | +0.0 | |
| Abby's 289.85 TDs 234.4 | +0.0 | |
| Tampa Terror 183 Cap Challenged 232.25 | -0.0 | |
| Sanchize 215 Bearphins 269.52 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| TDs vs Ra's al Ghul | +1.7+0.3-2.1 | |
| Cap Challenged vs Abby's | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | |
| Cheyenne vs End Stags | +0.1*+0.1-0.0 | |
| Plax vs Pollos | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | |
| Dez vs MACHO | +0.0*+0.2-0.0 | |
| Jadeveon vs MegaTrob | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | |
| Tampa Terror vs Sanchize | +0.0*+0.4-0.0 | |
| Geese vs Spectral | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | |
| Thompsons vs Rabbits | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 9 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 26 | 36 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 31 | 24 | 14 | 28 | 3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 22 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 25 | 25 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 24 | 21 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 24 | 21 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 25 | 13 | 13 | 25 | 25 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 25 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 21 | 20 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 33 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 29 | 29 | 13 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 3 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 29 | 13 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 50 | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 42 | 36 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 2 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 34 | 56 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | .5 | 1 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 1 | 18 | 81 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 1 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 90 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | .5 | 0 | - | 8 | - | 1 | 2 | 98 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 1 | 99 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 13 | ||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:22 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
