Wacky Waving Inflatable Flailing Arm Tube Men Playoff Chances 2014
Beat Thompsons 286.1-269.4, playoff odds up 13.6 to 48.6%
2-1-0 .667
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/18 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Wacky 286.1 Thompsons 269.4 | +10.0 | +1.2 | ||
| MACHO 265.73 Ginger Army 279.87 | +0.3 | -0.0 | ||
| Pollos 266.45 Glaurung 205 | +0.3 | -0.0 | ||
| Spectral 267.08 Dez 256.1 | -0.1 | |||
| Plax 274.68 Geese 237 | +0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Glaurung vs Wacky | -13.1*+1.3+13.4 | -1.3+0.3+1.3 | ||
| Thompsons vs Rabbits | +0.6*+0.6-0.5 | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | ||
| Panuckers vs Gators | -0.3*-1.1+0.4 | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | ||
| Dez vs MACHO | +0.3*+0.9-0.3 | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | ||
| Geese vs Spectral | +0.2*-0.3-0.2 | |||
| Plax vs Pollos | +0.1*+0.2-0.2 | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | ||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Wacky finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 11 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 99 | 1 | 11,197 | |||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 98 | 2 | 100 | ||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 89 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 95,167 | |||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 83 | 17 | 1 | 580 | |||||||||||||||
| 9 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 53 | 36 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 370,287 | |||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 33 | 33 | 33 | 3 | |||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 32 | 43 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 2,105 | |||||||||||||
| 8 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 99.9 | % | 10 | 29 | 33 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 840,732 | |||||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 75 | 25 | 4 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 99.1 | 1 | 11 | 29 | 35 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3,987 | ||||||||||
| 7 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 78.7 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1,226,977 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 90.0 | 10 | 40 | 40 | 10 | 10 | ||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 41.8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 32 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4,772 | ||||||||
| 6 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 8.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 24 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1,190,075 | |||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 11.1 | 11 | 22 | 11 | 22 | 22 | 11 | 9 | ||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0.1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 26 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3,806 | ||||||||
| 5 | 3 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 27 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 768,453 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 2 | Out | 29 | 14 | 14 | 43 | 7 | ||||||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 6 | 19 | 34 | 29 | 10 | 1 | 1,743 | |||||||||||
| 4 | 2 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 32 | 32 | 13 | 318,573 | |||||||||||
| 1 | - | 6 | - | 2 | Out | 100 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 1 | - | 7 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 2 | 21 | 45 | 31 | 493 | |||||||||||||
| 3 | 1 | - | 8 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 1 | 8 | 34 | 58 | 76,683 | ||||||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 0 | - | 8 | - | 1 | Out | 1 | 24 | 75 | 75 | |||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 8 | 92 | 8,608 | ||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 48.6 | % | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 4,924,448 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 9/18 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Wacky 286.1 Thompsons 269.4 | -2.4 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Glaurung vs Wacky | +2.5-0.5-2.6 | |
| Cheyenne vs End Stags | -0.0+0.3+0.0 | |
| Cap Challenged vs Abby's | -0.0-0.3+0.0 | |
| TDs vs Ra's al Ghul | +0.0-0.1-0.1 | |
| Thompsons vs Rabbits | -0.0*-0.2+0.0 | |
| Geese vs Spectral | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | |
| Tampa Terror vs Sanchize | -0.0*-0.3+0.0 | |
| Panuckers vs Gators | +0.0*+0.2-0.0 | |
| Jadeveon vs MegaTrob | +0.0*+0.2-0.0 | |
| Plax vs Pollos | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | |
| Dez vs MACHO | -0.0*-0.2+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 11 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 93 | 7 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 86 | 14 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 62 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 41 | 42 | 14 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 15 | 31 | 29 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 33 | 33 | 33 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 29 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 20 | 20 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 25 | 25 | 50 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 24 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 10 | 20 | 10 | 20 | 20 | 20 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 23 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 22 | 11 | 11 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 27 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 3 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 14 | 43 | 14 | 14 | 14 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 24 | 26 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 2 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 20 | 22 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 50 | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 1 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 30 | 27 | 11 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 1 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 31 | 15 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 0 | - | 8 | - | 1 | 5 | 16 | 47 | 32 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 31 | 61 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | ||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:22 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
