Andy Dalton's Ginger Army Playoff Chances 2014Beat MACHO 279.87-265.73, playoff odds up 9.9 to 23.5% 1-2-0 .333 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 9/18 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | MACHO 265.73 Ginger Army 279.87 | +7.8 | | +1.3 | | Pollos 266.45 Glaurung 205 | +0.2 | | -0.0 | | Wacky 286.1 Thompsons 269.4 | -0.2 | | +0.0 | | Plax 274.68 Geese 237 | | | +0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | London vs Ginger Army | -10.2-3.5+9.2 | | -1.4-0.3+1.2 | | Thompsons vs Rabbits | +0.5*+1.1-0.4 | | +0.0*+0.2-0.0 | | Panuckers vs Gators | -0.2*-1.6+0.3 | | +0.0*-0.2-0.0 | | Dez vs MACHO | +0.3*+0.0-0.2 | | | | Geese vs Spectral | +0.2*+0.1-0.2 | | | | Plax vs Pollos | +0.2*+1.1-0.2 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Ginger Army finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 89 | 11 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8,193 | | 9 | .5 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 71 | 29 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 69 | | 9 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 54 | 36 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 74,075 | | 8 | .5 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 32 | 44 | 20 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 459 | | | 6 | - | 0 | - | 3 | In | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | | 8 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 99.9 | % | 12 | 31 | 32 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 310,969 | | 7 | .5 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 99.3 | | 1 | 9 | 30 | 36 | 18 | 5 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | 1,761 | | 7 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 82.8 | | 0 | 2 | 10 | 21 | 27 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 755,686 | | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 50.0 | | | | 17 | 17 | 17 | | 50 | | | | | | | | | | 6 | | 6 | .5 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 39.1 | | | | 0 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 34 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 3,597 | | 6 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 11.4 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 24 | 23 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 1,181,599 | | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 50.0 | | | | | | 17 | 33 | 17 | 17 | | 17 | | | | | | | 6 | | 5 | .5 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | 1 | 5 | 19 | 31 | 28 | 12 | 3 | 0 | | | 4,929 | | 5 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 26 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1,231,800 | | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | 13 | 63 | | | 13 | | 13 | | 8 | | 4 | .5 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 19 | 35 | 29 | 10 | 1 | 4,032 | | 4 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 34 | 29 | 9 | 853,684 | | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 67 | 33 | | | 3 | | 3 | .5 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 20 | 46 | 30 | 2,100 | | 3 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 39 | 50 | 380,828 | | 2 | .5 | 1 | - | 7 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 26 | 73 | 670 | | 2 | | 1 | - | 8 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 14 | 85 | 98,042 | | | 0 | - | 7 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 1 | | 1 | .5 | 0 | - | 8 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | 92 | 88 | | 1 | | 0 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | 11,842 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 23.5 | % | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 4,924,448 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesWeek of 9/18 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | MACHO 265.73 Ginger Army 279.87 | -2.6 | | Pollos 266.45 Glaurung 205 | +0.0 | | Tampa Terror 183 Cap Challenged 232.25 | -0.0 | | Sanchize 215 Bearphins 269.52 | +0.0 | | Plax 274.68 Geese 237 | -0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | London vs Ginger Army | +2.6+0.7-2.4 | | Panuckers vs Gators | -0.0+0.3+0.0 | | Plax vs Pollos | -0.0*-0.1+0.1 | | Cap Challenged vs Abby's | -0.0*-0.2+0.0 | | Cheyenne vs End Stags | +0.0*+0.2-0.0 | | Thompsons vs Rabbits | -0.0*-0.3+0.0 | | Jadeveon vs MegaTrob | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | | Dez vs MACHO | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 64 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | .5 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 33 | 49 | 13 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 17 | 33 | 28 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | .5 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 3 | 14 | 29 | 28 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | - | 0 | - | 3 | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 21 | 19 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | .5 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 1 | | | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 26 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | 17 | 17 | 17 | | 33 | 17 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | .5 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 24 | 23 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | 17 | 17 | | 17 | | 17 | | 17 | 17 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | .5 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 21 | 26 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 5 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 25 | 13 | 25 | | 13 | 13 | 13 | | | | | | | | 4 | .5 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 25 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 4 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 21 | 20 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 33 | | 67 | | | | | | | | 3 | .5 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 25 | 11 | 3 | 3 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 30 | 27 | 11 | 2 | .5 | 1 | - | 7 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 22 | 41 | 32 | 2 | | 1 | - | 8 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 53 | | 0 | - | 7 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 1 | .5 | 0 | - | 8 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 17 | 81 | 1 | | 0 | - | 9 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 88 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
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