I'm Jadeveon A Good Time Playoff Chances 2014
Beat Professor 301.43-236, playoff odds up 20.9 to 53.1%
2-1-0 .667
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/18 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Professor 236 Jadeveon 301.43 | +10.7 | +1.2 | ||
| Staff 265.68 Cheyenne 208.19 | -0.4 | -0.0 | ||
| 12th Man 274.3 KC_Love 220.3 | -0.2 | -0.0 | ||
| Ra's al Ghul 232.45 End Stags 298 | -0.2 | |||
| Tampa Terror 183 Cap Challenged 232.25 | +0.0 | |||
| Sanchize 215 Bearphins 269.52 | -0.0 | |||
| Abby's 289.85 TDs 234.4 | -0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Jadeveon vs MegaTrob | +11.6-3.2-14.4 | +1.0-0.2-1.3 | ||
| TDs vs Ra's al Ghul | -0.8*+1.0+1.0 | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | ||
| Tampa Terror vs Sanchize | +0.6*+1.1-0.5 | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | ||
| Cheyenne vs End Stags | +0.7*+1.7-0.4 | +0.1*+0.2-0.0 | ||
| Cap Challenged vs Abby's | +0.4*+0.3-0.4 | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | ||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Jadeveon finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 11 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 96 | 4 | 0 | 17,156 | ||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 92 | 8 | 113 | ||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 76 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 132,520 | ||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 60 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 817 | ||||||||||||||
| 9 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 34 | 43 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 470,663 | |||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 50 | 50 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 12 | 38 | 36 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2,420 | ||||||||||||
| 8 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 99.5 | % | 4 | 19 | 32 | 27 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 967,316 | |||||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 40 | 20 | 40 | 5 | |||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 96.5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 32 | 32 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 4,319 | ||||||||||
| 7 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 73.0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 27 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1,271,134 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 2 | In | 20 | 20 | 60 | 5 | |||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 30.3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4,820 | |||||||||
| 6 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 8.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 25 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1,108,879 | |||||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 2 | Out | 14 | 14 | 29 | 43 | 7 | ||||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3,370 | ||||||||
| 5 | 3 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 28 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 643,686 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 2 | Out | 33 | 33 | 33 | 3 | |||||||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | 2 | 14 | 31 | 35 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1,480 | |||||||||||
| 4 | 2 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 32 | 18 | 4 | 238,441 | ||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 1 | - | 7 | - | 1 | Out | 3 | 11 | 33 | 39 | 14 | 349 | |||||||||||||
| 3 | 1 | - | 8 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 42 | 37 | 51,711 | |||||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 0 | - | 8 | - | 1 | Out | 2 | 39 | 59 | 41 | |||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 1 | 15 | 84 | 5,191 | |||||||||||||||
| Total: | 53.1 | % | 6 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4,924,448 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 9/18 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Professor 236 Jadeveon 301.43 | -2.5 | |
| Staff 265.68 Cheyenne 208.19 | +0.0 | |
| Tampa Terror 183 Cap Challenged 232.25 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Jadeveon vs MegaTrob | -2.2+0.4+2.7 | |
| Geese vs Spectral | -0.0-0.2+0.0 | |
| Dez vs MACHO | -0.0+0.2+0.0 | |
| Choke A Romo vs Staff | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
| Cheyenne vs End Stags | -0.1*-0.3+0.0 | |
| TDs vs Ra's al Ghul | +0.0*-0.2-0.0 | |
| Thompsons vs Rabbits | -0.0*+0.2+0.0 | |
| Tampa Terror vs Sanchize | -0.0*-0.2+0.0 | |
| Panuckers vs Gators | +0.0*-0.2-0.0 | |
| Cap Challenged vs Abby's | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 11 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 93 | 7 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 85 | 14 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 64 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 44 | 39 | 15 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 17 | 32 | 28 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 50 | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 2 | 14 | 28 | 29 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 21 | 20 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 40 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 26 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 23 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 14 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 24 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 3 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 33 | 33 | 33 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 25 | 26 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 2 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 20 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 1 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 29 | 12 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 1 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 28 | 32 | 17 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 0 | - | 8 | - | 1 | 2 | 15 | 44 | 39 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 71 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | ||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:22 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
