The Professor Playoff Chances 2014
Lost to Jadeveon 236-301.43, playoff odds down 9.3 to 4.2%
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/18 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Professor 236 Jadeveon 301.43 | -6.6 | -1.1 | ||
| Staff 265.68 Cheyenne 208.19 | -0.2 | |||
| 12th Man 274.3 KC_Love 220.3 | -0.1 | |||
| Ra's al Ghul 232.45 End Stags 298 | -0.1 | +0.0 | ||
| Abby's 289.85 TDs 234.4 | -0.0 | |||
| Tampa Terror 183 Cap Challenged 232.25 | +0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| KC_Love vs Professor | -2.5*-0.9+2.8 | -0.9-0.1+1.0 | ||
| TDs vs Ra's al Ghul | -0.2*-0.8+0.2 | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | ||
| Jadeveon vs MegaTrob | -0.1*-0.1+0.1 | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | ||
| Tampa Terror vs Sanchize | +0.1*+0.2-0.1 | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | ||
| Cap Challenged vs Abby's | +0.1*-0.4-0.1 | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | ||
| Cheyenne vs End Stags | +0.1*-0.3-0.1 | -0.1*-0.1+0.1 | ||
| Choke A Romo vs Staff | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Professor finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 9 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 37 | 42 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 3,432 | ||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 19 | 48 | 30 | 4 | 27 | ||||||||||||||
| 8 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 99.5 | % | 4 | 20 | 33 | 27 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 34,389 | ||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 95.8 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 37 | 28 | 13 | 4 | 263 | |||||||||||
| 7 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 72.2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176,378 | |||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 31.4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 26 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1,115 | |||||||||
| 6 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 7.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 25 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 524,360 | ||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 2 | Out | 67 | 33 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0.1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 28 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2,794 | |||||||||
| 5 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 27 | 27 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1,005,078 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 2 | Out | 22 | 11 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 9 | |||||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | Out | 2 | 10 | 28 | 36 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 4,625 | |||||||||||
| 4 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 29 | 33 | 19 | 4 | 1,279,788 | ||||||||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 2 | Out | 75 | 25 | 4 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 1 | 12 | 34 | 39 | 13 | 4,679 | ||||||||||||
| 3 | 3 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 42 | 33 | 1,081,890 | |||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 2 | Out | 36 | 36 | 27 | 11 | |||||||||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 0 | 6 | 36 | 58 | 2,883 | |||||||||||||
| 2 | 2 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 75 | 588,600 | ||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 6 | - | 2 | Out | 50 | 50 | 4 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | .5 | 1 | - | 7 | - | 1 | Out | 9 | 91 | 1,077 | ||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 1 | - | 8 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 4 | 96 | 186,279 | ||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 7 | - | 2 | Out | 100 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | .5 | 0 | - | 8 | - | 1 | Out | 1 | 99 | 165 | ||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 100 | 26,592 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 4.2 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 17 | 22 | 4,924,448 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 9/18 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Professor 236 Jadeveon 301.43 | +2.3 | |
| Pollos 266.45 Glaurung 205 | +0.1 | |
| MACHO 265.73 Ginger Army 279.87 | +0.0 | |
| Ra's al Ghul 232.45 End Stags 298 | -0.0 | |
| Abby's 289.85 TDs 234.4 | +0.0 | |
| Tampa Terror 183 Cap Challenged 232.25 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| KC_Love vs Professor | +1.8+0.3-2.0 | |
| Cheyenne vs End Stags | +0.1*+0.2-0.1 | |
| TDs vs Ra's al Ghul | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | |
| Jadeveon vs MegaTrob | -0.0*+0.2+0.0 | |
| Tampa Terror vs Sanchize | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | |
| Cap Challenged vs Abby's | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | |
| Geese vs Spectral | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 9 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 23 | 33 | 26 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 4 | 19 | 33 | 30 | 11 | 4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 21 | 19 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 24 | 22 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 21 | 21 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 33 | 33 | 33 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 25 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 44 | 22 | 22 | 11 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 26 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 20 | 21 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 28 | 29 | 14 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 3 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 31 | 16 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 9 | 9 | 45 | 18 | 18 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 42 | 40 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 2 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 62 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 50 | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | .5 | 1 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 0 | 13 | 86 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 1 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 93 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 7 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | .5 | 0 | - | 8 | - | 1 | 1 | 99 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 0 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 15 | ||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:22 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
