The Dirty Sanchize Playoff Chances 2014
Lost to Bearphins 215-269.52, playoff odds down 23.2 to 42.8%
2-1-0 .667
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/18 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Sanchize 215 Bearphins 269.52 | -11.8 | -1.1 | ||
| Staff 265.68 Cheyenne 208.19 | -0.4 | -0.0 | ||
| Professor 236 Jadeveon 301.43 | -0.3 | -0.0 | ||
| 12th Man 274.3 KC_Love 220.3 | -0.2 | |||
| Ra's al Ghul 232.45 End Stags 298 | -0.2 | -0.0 | ||
| Abby's 289.85 TDs 234.4 | +0.0 | |||
| Tampa Terror 183 Cap Challenged 232.25 | -0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Tampa Terror vs Sanchize | -13.8*-3.0+11.1 | -1.3-0.0+1.1 | ||
| TDs vs Ra's al Ghul | -0.8*-0.3+1.0 | |||
| Cheyenne vs End Stags | +0.6*-1.5-0.3 | |||
| Jadeveon vs MegaTrob | -0.4*+1.5+0.5 | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | ||
| Cap Challenged vs Abby's | +0.3*+0.4-0.4 | |||
| KC_Love vs Professor | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Sanchize finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 11 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 96 | 4 | 0 | 8,879 | ||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 86 | 14 | 80 | ||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 75 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 79,957 | |||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 59 | 36 | 5 | 530 | |||||||||||||||
| 9 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 32 | 43 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 328,876 | |||||||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 12 | 41 | 35 | 11 | 2 | 1,823 | |||||||||||||
| 8 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 99.3 | 3 | 17 | 31 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 788,261 | ||||||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 50 | 25 | 25 | 4 | |||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 96.4 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 32 | 31 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3,814 | |||||||||
| 7 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 68.0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 24 | 27 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1,204,696 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 72.7 | 9 | 45 | 18 | 27 | 11 | ||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 26.9 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 34 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4,953 | ||||||||
| 6 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 27 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1,222,631 | ||||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 10.0 | 10 | 30 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 10 | |||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0.1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 35 | 24 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3,858 | |||||||||
| 5 | 3 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 28 | 27 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 822,909 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 2 | Out | 50 | 25 | 25 | 4 | |||||||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 33 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 2,023 | ||||||||||
| 4 | 2 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 29 | 32 | 18 | 4 | 352,835 | |||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 1 | - | 7 | - | 1 | Out | 1 | 13 | 39 | 36 | 10 | 563 | |||||||||||||
| 3 | 1 | - | 8 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 42 | 34 | 87,613 | |||||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 0 | - | 8 | - | 1 | Out | 3 | 29 | 68 | 59 | |||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 2 | 20 | 78 | 10,057 | |||||||||||||||
| Total: | 42.8 | % | 4 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4,924,448 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 9/18 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Sanchize 215 Bearphins 269.52 | +2.3 | |
| Pollos 266.45 Glaurung 205 | -0.1 | |
| MACHO 265.73 Ginger Army 279.87 | -0.0 | |
| Ra's al Ghul 232.45 End Stags 298 | +0.0 | |
| Wacky 286.1 Thompsons 269.4 | +0.0 | |
| Staff 265.68 Cheyenne 208.19 | +0.0 | |
| Professor 236 Jadeveon 301.43 | +0.0 | |
| Abby's 289.85 TDs 234.4 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Tampa Terror vs Sanchize | +2.8-0.0-2.3 | |
| Dez vs MACHO | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | |
| TDs vs Ra's al Ghul | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | |
| Thompsons vs Rabbits | -0.0*+0.3+0.0 | |
| Jadeveon vs MegaTrob | +0.0*-0.2-0.0 | |
| Panuckers vs Gators | +0.0*-0.4-0.0 | |
| Plax vs Pollos | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | |
| Geese vs Spectral | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 11 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 93 | 7 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 81 | 18 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 63 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 42 | 46 | 10 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 16 | 31 | 29 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 30 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 20 | 20 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 25 | 50 | 25 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 27 | 9 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 24 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 50 | 10 | 10 | 20 | 10 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 24 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 3 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 24 | 23 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 2 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 20 | 21 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 1 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 29 | 27 | 14 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 1 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 28 | 32 | 17 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 0 | - | 8 | - | 1 | 3 | 10 | 37 | 49 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 66 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | ||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:22 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
