SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

What might
today bring

Sporting Kansas City Playoff Chances 2020 50/50

Plays at Atlanta, Beat Houston 4-0, playoff odds up 8 to 68.7%

6 points 2-0-0

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 3/8	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
Kansas City 4 Houston 0	+8.3		+2.3		-1.0		+0.8
Colorado 2 Orlando 1	-0.6						-0.1
Salt Lake 1 New York RB 1	+0.2						*+0.0
Seattle 1 Columbus 1	+0.2		+0.1				+0.0
Los Angeles FC 3 Philadelphia 3	+0.2		+0.1				+0.0
Dallas 2 Montreal 2	*+0.1		+0.1				+0.0
Portland 1 Nashville 0	*-0.1
LA Galaxy 0 Vancouver 1	*-0.1
San Jose 2 Minnesota 5	*-0.1		-0.1
Atlanta 2 Cincinnati 1			-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Atlanta vs Kansas City	-6.0-1.8+7.4		-2.6-1.0+3.3		+0.5+0.1-0.6		-0.6-0.2+0.7
Miami vs LA Galaxy	+0.6*+0.2-0.7						+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Philadelphia vs San Jose	+0.6*+0.1-0.6						+0.0*+0.0-0.1
New York City vs Dallas	+0.5*+0.2-0.6						+0.1+0.0-0.1
Minnesota vs New York RB	-0.6*+0.2+0.4						-0.1+0.0+0.0
Columbus vs Salt Lake	+0.5*+0.1-0.6						+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Toronto vs Nashville	+0.4*+0.2-0.6						+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Vancouver vs Colorado	-0.2+0.3*+0.0

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/15	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
San Jose vs Kansas City	-6.6-1.6+7.8		-2.3-1.1+3.1		+0.6*+0.0-0.6		-0.6-0.2+0.7
Salt Lake vs New England	-0.7*+0.2+0.6						-0.1*+0.0+0.0
New England vs Portland	+0.5+0.3-0.7						+0.0*+0.0-0.1
New York City vs Vancouver	+0.5*+0.1-0.6						+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Nashville vs Columbus	-0.6*+0.2+0.5						-0.1*+0.0+0.0
Minnesota vs Montreal	-0.6*+0.2+0.5						-0.1+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Kansas City finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Supporters		Chance will finish regular season at seed													Wooden
TP		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		Shield		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	Spoon		Count

73	-102						In		99.8	%	100													No		1,404	*
72		20	-	6	-	6	In		99.7		100	0												No		735	*
71		19	-	8	-	5	In		98.4		99	1												No		1,107	*
70		19	-	7	-	6	In		98.5		100	0												No		1,565	*
69		19	-	6	-	7	In		97.6		99	1												No		2,339	*
68		18	-	8	-	6	In		95.8		98	2	0											No		3,157	*
67		18	-	7	-	7	In		93.8		97	3	0											No		4,467	*
66		18	-	6	-	8	In		90.8		96	4	0											No		5,945	*
65		17	-	8	-	7	In		85.9		93	7	0											No		7,797	*
64		17	-	7	-	8	In		80.1		90	10	0											No		10,419	*
63		16	-	9	-	7	In		74.1		87	13	1											No		13,272	*
62		16	-	8	-	8	In		64.8		81	18	1	0										No		16,629	*
61		16	-	7	-	9	In		54.8		74	23	2	0	0									No		20,725	*
60		15	-	9	-	8	In		42.3		65	30	4	0	0									No		25,440	*
59		15	-	8	-	9	In		30.6		56	36	8	1	0									No		30,326	*
58		15	-	7	-	10	In		19.7		45	41	12	2	0									No		35,756	*
57		14	-	9	-	9	In		11.1		34	43	19	4	0	0	0							No		41,427	*
56		14	-	8	-	10	In		5.4		24	42	25	7	1	0								No		46,902	*
55		14	-	7	-	11	In		2.0		16	37	32	12	2	0	0							No		51,546	*
54		13	-	9	-	10	In		0.6		9	30	35	19	6	1	0							No		56,842	*
53		13	-	8	-	11	100.0	%	0.1		4	21	34	27	11	2	0	0						No		61,425	*
52		12	-	10	-	10	99.9		0.0		2	12	29	32	18	6	1	0	0					No		64,900	*
51		12	-	9	-	11	99.5		0.0		1	6	20	32	26	12	3	0	0					No		67,620	*
50		12	-	8	-	12	98.3		No		0	3	12	26	31	20	7	2	0	0				No		68,517	*
49		11	-	10	-	11	94.9		No		0	1	5	17	29	27	15	4	1	0	0			No		69,004	*
48		11	-	9	-	12	86.8		No		0	0	2	9	22	30	23	10	3	0	0			No		68,163	*
47		11	-	8	-	13	72.9		No		0	0	1	4	13	26	29	19	7	1	0			No		65,174	*
46		10	-	10	-	12	53.4		No			0	0	1	6	17	29	27	14	4	1	0	0	No		61,748	*
45		10	-	9	-	13	33.8		No				0	0	2	9	22	30	23	10	2	0	0	No		57,343	*
44		10	-	8	-	14	17.5		No				0	0	1	4	13	27	30	19	6	1	0	No		52,486	*
43		9	-	10	-	13	7.7		No					0	0	1	6	19	30	27	13	3	0	No		47,622	*
42		9	-	9	-	14	2.8		No						0	0	3	11	25	32	22	7	1	No		41,409	*
41		9	-	8	-	15	0.7		No							0	1	5	16	31	31	14	2	No		35,665	*
40		8	-	10	-	14	0.2		No							0	0	2	9	25	35	23	5	0.0	%	30,216	*
39		8	-	9	-	15	0.0		No								0	1	4	17	35	33	11	0.3		25,306	*
38		8	-	8	-	16	0.0		No								0	0	2	10	30	40	18	1.3		20,516	*
37		7	-	10	-	15	Out		No									0	1	5	23	43	28	3.4		16,189	*
36		7	-	9	-	16	Out		No									0	0	2	16	43	39	8.2		12,660	*
35		7	-	8	-	17	Out		No										0	1	10	39	50	16.2		9,542	*
34		6	-	10	-	16	Out		No											0	6	33	61	27.0		7,113	*
33		6	-	9	-	17	Out		No											0	3	26	71	39.4		5,019	*
32		6	-	8	-	18	Out		No											0	2	20	78	51.6		3,646	*
31		5	-	10	-	17	Out		No												1	14	85	63.6		2,560	*
30		5	-	9	-	18	Out		No											0	0	11	89	73.1		1,744	*
29		5	-	8	-	19	Out		No													5	95	84.1		1,097	*
28		4	-	10	-	18	Out		No													6	94	85.6		699	*
27		4	-	9	-	19	Out		No													3	97	92.9		437	*
26		4	-	8	-	20	Out		No													1	99	94.1		273	*
25		3	-	10	-	19	Out		No													1	99	95.2		147	*
24		3	-	9	-	20	Out		No													1	99	96.4		84	*
6	-23						Out		No														100	Yes		220	*

Total:							68.7	%	8.0	%	13	11	10	9	9	8	7	7	6	6	5	4	3	1.2	%	1,276,344

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/8	100.0*	Lottery seed
Kansas City 4 Houston 0	-1.5
Colorado 2 Orlando 1	+0.1
Los Angeles FC 3 Philadelphia 3	-0.0
Seattle 1 Columbus 1	-0.0
Salt Lake 1 New York RB 1	*-0.0
Dallas 2 Montreal 2	-0.0
LA Galaxy 0 Vancouver 1	+0.0
Portland 1 Nashville 0	+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Atlanta vs Kansas City	+1.2+0.4-1.5
New York City vs Dallas	-0.1-0.0+0.1
Miami vs LA Galaxy	-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Minnesota vs New York RB	+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Philadelphia vs San Jose	-0.1-0.0+0.1
Columbus vs Salt Lake	-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Toronto vs Nashville	-0.0-0.0+0.1
Vancouver vs Colorado	+0.0-0.1+0.0

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/15	100.0*	Lottery seed
San Jose vs Kansas City	+1.2+0.3-1.5
Minnesota vs Montreal	+0.1*-0.0-0.1
New England vs Portland	-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Salt Lake vs New England	+0.1*-0.0-0.0
New York City vs Vancouver	-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Nashville vs Columbus	+0.1*-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26

78	-102						100
77		22	-	5	-	5	99	1
74	-76						100
73		20	-	7	-	5	100	0
72		20	-	6	-	6	100		0
71		19	-	8	-	5	98	1	1
70		19	-	7	-	6	98	1	0
69		19	-	6	-	7	98	1	1
68		18	-	8	-	6	96	2	2		0
67		18	-	7	-	7	94	3	3		0
66		18	-	6	-	8	91	5	4		0
65		17	-	8	-	7	86	7	7		0
64		17	-	7	-	8	80	10	10	0	0
63		16	-	9	-	7	74	13	13	0	1
62		16	-	8	-	8	65	16	18	0	1		0
61		16	-	7	-	9	55	19	23	1	2		0		0
60		15	-	9	-	8	42	23	29	1	4	0	0		0
59		15	-	8	-	9	31	25	33	3	8	0	1		0
58		15	-	7	-	10	20	26	36	5	12	0	2	0	0
57		14	-	9	-	9	11	23	34	9	18	1	3	0	0		0		0
56		14	-	8	-	10	5	19	29	14	24	1	7	0	1		0
55		14	-	7	-	11	2	14	20	18	28	4	12	0	2	0	0		0
54		13	-	9	-	10	1	9	11	19	27	8	18	1	6	0	1		0
53		13	-	8	-	11	0	4	5	16	21	14	24	3	11	0	2	0	0		0
52		12	-	10	-	10	0	2	1	11	12	17	25	7	18	1	6	0	1		0	0
51		12	-	9	-	11	0	1	0	6	4	16	19	13	23	3	11	0	3	0	0	0
50		12	-	8	-	12		0	0	2	1	11	10	16	23	8	19	1	7	0	2	0	0
49		11	-	10	-	11		0	0	1	0	5	3	14	15	14	23	4	14	0	4	1	0	0
48		11	-	9	-	12		0		0	0	2	1	8	6	16	19	11	21	2	10	3	0	0	0
47		11	-	8	-	13		0		0		1	0	4	1	12	10	16	22	7	18	7	2	0	0	0	0
46		10	-	10	-	12				0		0	0	1	0	6	3	15	15	14	23	16	6	1	0	0	0
45		10	-	9	-	13						0		0	0	2	0	9	6	17	19	23	16	6	1	0	0	0
44		10	-	8	-	14						0		0		1	0	4	1	12	10	22	25	17	7	2	0	0	0
43		9	-	10	-	13								0		0	0	1	0	6	3	11	22	25	18	9	3	1	0	0
42		9	-	9	-	14										0		0	0	2	1	4	11	21	25	20	10	4	1	0	0
41		9	-	8	-	15												0		1	0	1	4	11	21	25	21	12	4	1	0
40		8	-	10	-	14												0		0	0	0	1	3	10	21	26	22	12	4	1	0
39		8	-	9	-	15														0		0	0	1	4	11	22	28	22	11	3	0
38		8	-	8	-	16														0			0	0	1	4	13	24	29	21	7	1
37		7	-	10	-	15																		0	0	1	5	15	28	30	16	3
36		7	-	9	-	16																			0	0	2	8	21	34	26	8
35		7	-	8	-	17																			0	0	1	3	13	30	37	16
34		6	-	10	-	16																					0	1	7	24	41	27
33		6	-	9	-	17																					0	0	3	17	40	39
32		6	-	8	-	18																						0	1	11	36	52
31		5	-	10	-	17																							0	5	31	64
30		5	-	9	-	18																						0	0	2	24	73
29		5	-	8	-	19																							0	1	15	84
28		4	-	10	-	18																								0	14	86
27		4	-	9	-	19																									7	93
26		4	-	8	-	20																									6	94
25		3	-	10	-	19																									5	95
24		3	-	9	-	20																									4	96
6	-23																															100

Total:							8	5	7	4	6	4	6	4	5	3	5	3	5	3	4	4	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	2	1