Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleUEFA CLChance will finish season at seed2. Bundesliga
SundayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718Avg.Change%ChangeRPI11/24
Bayern MünchenWAugsburg 3-0299-2-12242.7%+8.181.8%+7.54319128643211100000002.8+0.580.0%-0.11at MönchengladbachBayern München
Leipzigat Bayer Leverkusen2217-1-3512.7-1.550.0-0.713141211987654332111005.4-0.060.5-0.02Werder BremenRB Leipzig
Borussia Dortmundat Stuttgart2016-2-3148.1-1.139.1-0.78111010988765543221006.4-0.051.2-0.14Schalke 04Borussia Dortmund
Schalke 04Hamburger SV2016-2-347.9-1.038.1-0.78101010988765543221106.5-0.051.2-0.13at Borussia DortmundSchalke 04
MönchengladbachWHertha BSC 4-2216-3-306.8+1.735.3+7.8791010998776543321106.7+0.981.3-1.47Bayern MünchenBorussia Mönchengladbach
HoffenheimTEintracht Frank 1-1205-5-265.3-1.730.4-3.05899988876654322107.2-0.251.7-0.16at Hamburger SV1899 Hoffenheim
Hannover 96at Werder Bremen1815-3-344.7-0.627.4-0.65788888877655432107.6-0.042.5-0.15StuttgartHannover 96
Eintracht FrankTHoffenheim 1-1195-4-324.0-1.425.1-2.94678888877665432107.9-0.262.5-0.011Bayer LeverkusenEintracht Frankfurt
Bayer LeverkusenLeipzig1614-4-372.6-0.418.9-0.53566777888776653218.8-0.034.5-0.38at Eintracht FrankBayer Leverkusen
AugsburgLBayern München 0-3164-4-421.5-1.513.2-6.01345667788888765319.8-0.916.6+1.710WolfsburgFC Augsburg
Mainz 05WKöln 1-0154-3-5-41.0+0.310.1+3.012345567788888764210.4+0.998.9-5.812at Freiburg1. FSV Mainz 05
StuttgartBorussia Dortmund1314-1-6-41.0-0.29.1-0.312334566778899875210.8-0.0110.8-0.514at Hannover 96Stuttgart
WolfsburgWFreiburg 3-1142-8-2-10.7+0.27.9+2.412234556778999975211.0+0.9811.3-6.89at AugsburgVfL Wolfsburg
Hertha BSCLMönchengladbach 2-4143-5-4-30.7-0.87.9-4.312234556778999975211.0-0.8811.3+2.613at KölnHertha BSC
Hamburger SVat Schalke 041013-1-7-80.3-0.13.9-0.1011223345678910111210612.6+0.0221.5-0.916HoffenheimHamburger SV
FreiburgLWolfsburg 1-381-5-6-170.1-0.11.1-1.00001112234567101216181414.4-0.6739.7+6.515Mainz 05SC Freiburg
Werder BremenHannover 96510-5-6-100.0-0.00.7-0.0000011112335681116222015.1+0.0549.3-1.217at LeipzigWerder Bremen
KölnLMainz 05 0-120-2-10-190.0-0.00.1-0.100000000111234712214816.6-0.3875.1+6.518Hertha BSC1. FC Köln

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/19
Bayern München 3 Augsburg 0
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Bayern München+8.6
+8.0
+0.6
Leipzig-1.5
-0.2
Borussia Dortmund-1.0
-0.2
Schalke 04-1.0
-0.2
Mönchengladbach-0.6
-0.2
Hoffenheim-0.8
-0.2
Hannover 96-0.6
-0.2
Eintracht Frank-0.6
-0.2
Bayer Leverkusen-0.4
-0.2
Augsburg-1.6
-5.9
+2.1
-0.9
Mainz 05-0.2
Wolfsburg-0.2
Hertha BSC-0.2
Hamburger SV-0.2
Freiburg-0.3
Werder Bremen-0.3
Köln-0.3
Hertha BSC 2 Mönchengladbach 4
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Bayern München-0.5
-0.4
Leipzig-0.3
-0.5
Borussia Dortmund-0.2
-0.4
Schalke 04-0.2
-0.4
Mönchengladbach+2.5
+8.4
-1.4
+1.0
Hoffenheim-0.4
Hannover 96-0.4
Eintracht Frank-0.4
Bayer Leverkusen-0.3
Augsburg-0.3
Mainz 05-0.2
Stuttgart-0.2
Wolfsburg-0.2
Hertha BSC-0.7
-4.3
+3.3
-0.9
Hamburger SV-0.2
Freiburg-0.3
Werder Bremen-0.3
Köln-0.3
Hoffenheim 1 Eintracht Frank 1
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Bayern München+0.5
+0.4
Leipzig+0.3
+0.5
Borussia Dortmund+0.2
+0.4
Schalke 04+0.2
+0.4
Mönchengladbach+0.4
Hoffenheim-0.9
-1.9
-0.2
Hannover 96+0.4
Eintracht Frank-0.7
-1.9
+0.1
-0.2
Bayer Leverkusen+0.3
Augsburg+0.3
Stuttgart+0.2
Hertha BSC+0.2
Mainz 05 1 Köln 0
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Bayern München-0.3
Leipzig-0.3
Borussia Dortmund-0.3
Schalke 04-0.3
Mönchengladbach-0.3
Hoffenheim-0.3
Hannover 96-0.3
Eintracht Frank-0.3
Bayer Leverkusen-0.2
Augsburg-0.2
Mainz 05+0.5
+3.4
-5.6
+1.0
Stuttgart-0.2
Wolfsburg-0.2
Hertha BSC-0.2
Hamburger SV-0.3
Freiburg-0.3
Werder Bremen-0.3
Köln+7.5
-0.4
Wolfsburg 3 Freiburg 1
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Leipzig-0.2
Borussia Dortmund-0.2
Schalke 04-0.2
Hoffenheim-0.2
Hannover 96-0.2
Eintracht Frank-0.2
Wolfsburg+0.4
+2.8
-6.5
+1.0
Hamburger SV-0.2
Freiburg-1.0
+7.9
-0.7
Werder Bremen-0.3
Köln-0.2
Bayer Leverkusen vs LeipzigIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Leipzig8.711.417.5
41.248.260.2
0.9*0.50.2
6.15.54.5
Bayer Leverkusen4.22.21.4
26.217.313.0
2.54.76.5
7.89.09.7
Stuttgart vs Borussia DortmundHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Borussia Dortmund5.47.211.6
31.037.048.6
1.8*1.20.5
7.26.55.4
Stuttgart1.60.70.5
13.57.95.6
6.711.414.6
9.811.011.7
Schalke 04 vs Hamburger SVHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Schalke 0411.26.95.2
47.336.130.3
0.5*1.21.9
5.56.67.3
Hamburger SV0.10.20.5
2.13.26.2
27.322.615.0
13.412.811.7
Werder Bremen vs Hannover 96HomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Hannover 963.04.06.9
20.825.535.5
3.9*2.41.1
8.57.86.7
Werder Bremen1.20.50.3
40.151.257.1
14.415.215.6
Week of 11/24
Mönchengladbach vs Bayern MünchenIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Bayern München34.340.952.4
75.581.088.6
3.32.82.2
Mönchengladbach10.85.93.5
45.133.227.1
0.5*1.31.9
5.76.97.5
Leipzig vs Werder BremenHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Leipzig17.411.48.9
59.548.141.9
0.20.50.9
4.55.56.1
Werder Bremen0.30.51.2
56.951.240.2
15.615.214.4
Borussia Dortmund vs Schalke 04HomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Borussia Dortmund11.87.25.2
49.137.230.4
0.5*1.21.8
5.46.57.2
Schalke 045.06.911.5
29.636.248.0
1.9*1.20.5
7.36.65.5
Hamburger SV vs HoffenheimHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Hoffenheim3.34.57.8
23.228.439.2
2.8*1.70.7
8.17.46.2
Hamburger SV0.50.20.1
6.23.22.1
15.022.527.3
11.612.813.4
Hannover 96 vs StuttgartHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Hannover 967.04.02.9
35.725.520.5
1.1*2.53.7
6.67.88.5
Stuttgart0.50.71.6
5.77.913.4
14.611.46.6
11.711.09.8
Eintracht Frank vs Bayer LeverkusenHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Eintracht Frank6.03.32.4
33.423.118.1
1.22.63.8
6.88.18.8
Bayer Leverkusen1.52.24.1
13.117.326.0
6.64.72.4
9.89.07.8
Augsburg vs WolfsburgHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Augsburg2.41.20.8
18.711.78.8
3.66.89.4
8.710.010.7
Wolfsburg0.30.51.2
4.86.811.8
15.411.86.9
11.911.210.0
Freiburg vs Mainz 05HomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Mainz 050.50.81.7
6.68.814.6
12.89.14.9
11.310.69.4
Freiburg1.80.80.5
30.441.347.8
13.614.615.1
Köln vs Hertha BSCHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Hertha BSC0.40.61.2
5.06.811.6
15.911.66.5
11.911.210.0
Köln67.077.081.7
16.216.717.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you MarkusPaminger for adding this league.