SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Inter Miami Playoff Chances 2020 50/50

Lost to DC United 1-2, Plays LA Galaxy, playoff odds down 5.8 to 42.7%

0 points 0-0-2

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 3/8	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
DC United 2 Miami 1	-7.2		-0.9		+1.9		-0.6
Colorado 2 Orlando 1	+0.6						+0.1
New England 1 Chicago 1	+0.4
Seattle 1 Columbus 1	+0.2						+0.0
Dallas 2 Montreal 2	+0.2						+0.0
Atlanta 2 Cincinnati 1	*-0.1
Los Angeles FC 3 Philadelphia 3	*+0.1						*+0.0
Salt Lake 1 New York RB 1	*+0.1						+0.0
Toronto 1 New York City 0	*-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Miami vs LA Galaxy	+8.2-2.4-6.4		+0.9-0.3-0.6		-2.7+0.4+2.4		+0.7-0.2-0.6
Philadelphia vs San Jose	-0.7*+0.1+0.6						-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Toronto vs Nashville	-0.7*+0.2+0.6				-0.1*-0.1+0.2		-0.1*+0.0+0.0
Columbus vs Salt Lake	-0.7*+0.2+0.6						-0.1*+0.0+0.0
New York City vs Dallas	-0.7*+0.2+0.5						-0.1*+0.0+0.0
Minnesota vs New York RB	+0.5*+0.2-0.6		-0.1+0.1*+0.0				+0.0+0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Kansas City	-0.5*+0.2+0.4

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/15	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
Miami vs New York RB	+8.8-2.2-7.2		+0.8-0.3-0.6		-2.6+0.5+2.3		+0.8-0.2-0.6
Salt Lake vs New England	+0.7*+0.2-0.8						+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Minnesota vs Montreal	+0.6+0.3-0.8						+0.1*+0.0-0.1
New England vs Portland	-0.7*+0.2+0.6						-0.1*+0.0+0.1
New York City vs Vancouver	-0.7*+0.2+0.6						-0.1*+0.0+0.0
Nashville vs Columbus	+0.6*+0.1-0.6						+0.1*+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Miami finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Supporters		Chance will finish regular season at seed													Wooden
TP		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		Shield		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	Spoon		Count

69	-96						In		98.9	%	100													No		566	*
68		21	-	5	-	6	In		96.8		99	1												No		308	*
67		20	-	7	-	5	In		92.5		98	2												No		438	*
66		20	-	6	-	6	In		91.3		97	3												No		690	*
65		20	-	5	-	7	In		85.5		96	4												No		1,036	*
64		19	-	7	-	6	In		80.9		93	7	0											No		1,617	*
63		19	-	6	-	7	In		72.9		90	10	0											No		2,118	*
62		18	-	8	-	6	In		62.3		86	14	1											No		3,212	*
61		18	-	7	-	7	In		52.7		79	19	1	0										No		4,383	*
60		18	-	6	-	8	In		42.7		74	24	2	0										No		5,923	*
59		17	-	8	-	7	In		31.0		64	31	5	0										No		7,914	*
58		17	-	7	-	8	In		20.0		55	37	7	1	0	0								No		10,340	*
57		16	-	9	-	7	In		11.4		45	41	13	2	0									No		13,402	*
56		16	-	8	-	8	In		5.6		34	43	19	4	0	0								No		16,804	*
55		16	-	7	-	9	In		2.2		24	42	26	7	1	0								No		20,867	*
54		15	-	9	-	8	In		0.7		15	37	32	13	3	0	0							No		24,876	*
53		15	-	8	-	9	100.0	%	0.2		9	30	36	19	6	1	0	0						No		30,358	*
52		15	-	7	-	10	100.0		0.0		5	20	34	27	11	2	0	0						No		35,666	*
51		14	-	9	-	9	99.9		0.0		2	12	28	32	19	6	1	0	0					No		40,988	*
50		14	-	8	-	10	99.5		No		1	6	19	32	26	13	3	0	0					No		46,691	*
49		14	-	7	-	11	98.2		No		0	2	11	25	31	21	8	2	0	0	0			No		51,918	*
48		13	-	9	-	10	94.2		No		0	1	5	16	29	28	16	5	1	0	0			No		56,486	*
47		13	-	8	-	11	85.6		No		0	0	2	8	21	30	24	11	3	0	0			No		61,219	*
46		12	-	10	-	10	70.8		No			0	0	3	12	25	30	20	8	2	0	0		No		64,939	*
45		12	-	9	-	11	51.4		No			0	0	1	6	17	28	28	15	5	1	0		No		31,584
		13	-	6	-	13	51.1		No				0	1	5	16	28	28	16	5	1	0		No		35,784	*
44		12	-	8	-	12	33.2		No				0	0	2	9	22	30	24	10	3	0	0	No		31,299
		11	-	11	-	10	30.4		No				0	0	2	8	21	30	25	12	3	0	0	No		37,258	*
43		11	-	10	-	11	16.3		No					0	0	3	13	26	30	20	7	1	0	No		69,311	*
42		11	-	9	-	12	6.7		No					0	0	1	6	17	30	28	14	3	0	No		68,040	*
41		11	-	8	-	13	2.2		No						0	0	2	9	24	32	23	8	1	No		65,585	*
40		10	-	10	-	12	0.6		No							0	1	4	15	31	32	15	3	0.0	%	62,193	*
39		10	-	9	-	13	0.1		No							0	0	1	8	24	36	24	6	0.3		57,927	*
38		10	-	8	-	14	0.0		No								0	0	4	16	35	33	12	1.0		52,784	*
37		9	-	10	-	13	0.0		No								0	0	1	9	29	40	20	3.4		47,376	*
36		9	-	9	-	14	0.0		No								0	0	0	5	22	43	30	8.1		41,415	*
35		9	-	8	-	15	Out		No									0	0	2	14	43	41	15.7		35,796	*
34		8	-	10	-	14	Out		No										0	1	9	38	52	26.6		30,311	*
33		8	-	9	-	15	Out		No										0	0	5	32	63	39.2		25,348	*
32		8	-	8	-	16	Out		No											0	3	26	72	51.4		20,308	*
31		7	-	10	-	15	Out		No											0	1	19	80	63.4		16,118	*
30		7	-	9	-	16	Out		No												1	13	86	73.1		12,678	*
29		7	-	8	-	17	Out		No												0	9	90	82.0		9,686	*
28		6	-	10	-	16	Out		No												0	6	94	87.3		7,030	*
27		6	-	9	-	17	Out		No												0	4	96	92.4		5,122	*
26		6	-	8	-	18	Out		No												0	2	98	95.0		3,652	*
25		5	-	10	-	17	Out		No													2	98	96.7		2,378	*
24		5	-	9	-	18	Out		No													1	99	97.0		1,741	*
23		5	-	8	-	19	Out		No													0	100	99.0		1,064	*
0	-22						Out		No														100	99.9		1,797	*

Total:							42.7	%	1.6	%	4	5	6	6	7	7	8	8	8	9	10	10	12	6.9	%	1,276,344

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/8	100.0*	Lottery seed
DC United 2 Miami 1	+1.3
New England 1 Chicago 1	-0.1
Colorado 2 Orlando 1	-0.1
Seattle 1 Columbus 1	-0.0
Dallas 2 Montreal 2	*-0.0
Los Angeles FC 3 Philadelphia 3	*-0.0
Salt Lake 1 New York RB 1	*-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Miami vs LA Galaxy	-1.5+0.4+1.2
Philadelphia vs San Jose	+0.1-0.0-0.0
Columbus vs Salt Lake	+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Minnesota vs New York RB	-0.0-0.0+0.1
New York City vs Dallas	+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Atlanta vs Kansas City	+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Toronto vs Nashville	+0.1*-0.0-0.0

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/15	100.0*	Lottery seed
Miami vs New York RB	-1.6+0.4+1.3
Minnesota vs Montreal	-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Salt Lake vs New England	-0.0*-0.0+0.1
New England vs Portland	+0.1-0.0-0.0
New York City vs Vancouver	+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Nashville vs Columbus	-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Chicago vs Atlanta	+0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26

72	-96						100
71		22	-	5	-	5	99	1
70		21	-	7	-	4	100
69		21	-	6	-	5	97	3
68		21	-	5	-	6	97	3	1
67		20	-	7	-	5	92	5	2
66		20	-	6	-	6	91	6	3
65		20	-	5	-	7	86	10	4
64		19	-	7	-	6	81	12	7	0	0
63		19	-	6	-	7	73	17	10		0
62		18	-	8	-	6	62	23	13	0	1
61		18	-	7	-	7	53	27	19	1	1	0	0
60		18	-	6	-	8	43	31	22	1	2		0
59		17	-	8	-	7	31	33	27	3	5		0
58		17	-	7	-	8	20	35	31	6	7	0	1		0		0
57		16	-	9	-	7	11	33	30	11	13	0	2		0
56		16	-	8	-	8	6	28	26	17	18	2	3	0	0		0
55		16	-	7	-	9	2	21	19	24	21	5	7	0	1	0	0
54		15	-	9	-	8	1	15	11	26	22	10	12	1	3	0	0		0
53		15	-	8	-	9	0	9	4	25	18	17	16	3	6	0	1		0		0
52		15	-	7	-	10	0	5	1	18	11	23	19	8	11	1	2	0	0		0
51		14	-	9	-	9	0	2	0	12	5	23	16	16	16	3	6	0	1		0	0
50		14	-	8	-	10		1	0	6	1	18	9	23	17	9	11	1	3	0	0	0
49		14	-	7	-	11		0		2	0	11	3	22	13	18	16	5	8	0	2	0	0	0
48		13	-	9	-	10		0		1	0	5	1	16	6	23	15	12	14	2	5	1	0	0
47		13	-	8	-	11		0		0		2	0	8	1	20	9	21	16	8	10	3	1	0	0	0
46		12	-	10	-	10				0		0		3	0	12	3	23	12	17	15	10	3	1	0	0
45		12	-	9	-	11				0		0		1	0	5	0	16	5	23	15	17	11	4	1	0	0	0
44		12	-	8	-	12						0		0		2	0	8	1	20	9	18	20	14	6	2	0	0	0	0
43		11	-	10	-	11								0		0		3	0	12	3	10	20	23	17	8	2	1	0	0
42		11	-	9	-	12								0		0		1	0	6	1	4	11	21	25	19	10	3	1	0	0
41		11	-	8	-	13										0		0		2	0	1	4	11	21	26	21	11	3	1	0
40		10	-	10	-	12												0		1	0	0	1	4	11	21	26	21	11	3	1	0
39		10	-	9	-	13												0		0		0	0	1	4	11	23	28	21	10	2	0
38		10	-	8	-	14														0			0	0	1	4	13	25	29	19	7	1
37		9	-	10	-	13														0			0	0	0	1	6	16	29	29	15	3
36		9	-	9	-	14														0					0	0	2	8	22	34	26	8
35		9	-	8	-	15																				0	1	3	14	31	36	16
34		8	-	10	-	14																				0	0	1	7	24	40	27
33		8	-	9	-	15																					0	0	3	16	41	39
32		8	-	8	-	16																					0	0	1	10	37	51
31		7	-	10	-	15																						0	0	5	31	63
30		7	-	9	-	16																							0	3	24	73
29		7	-	8	-	17																							0	1	17	82
28		6	-	10	-	16																							0	0	12	87
27		6	-	9	-	17																							0	0	7	92
26		6	-	8	-	18																								0	5	95
25		5	-	10	-	17																								0	3	97
24		5	-	9	-	18																									3	97
23		5	-	8	-	19																									1	99
22		4	-	10	-	18																									0	100
19	-21																															100
18		3	-	9	-	20																									1	99
0	-17																															100

Total:							2	3	2	3	2	4	2	4	3	4	3	4	3	5	3	3	4	4	4	5	5	5	5	6	6	7