Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWorld Cup QualifyingChance will finish regular season at seed
TuesdayPGW-OTLTGD%Change%Change12345678Avg.ChangeRPIWednesday
New ZealandWVanuatu 5-062-000799.2%+25.0Yes+6.6452323912.0+1.182New Zealand
Tahiti311-000475.2-2.392.5%-1.92024181398713.2-0.274at Papua New GuineaTahiti
Solomon IslandsFiji311-000173.4+1.494.1+1.9221621141010513.3+0.013Solomon Islands
New Caledonia110-001048.2+0.175.7+2.1611102217111774.7+0.026SamoaNew Caledonia
Papua New Guinea110-001048.2+0.275.7+2.1611102217111774.7+0.026TahitiPapua New Guinea
Fijiat Solomon Islands010-010-227.6+0.364.1+5.3271010172014225.6+0.081Fiji
Samoa010-010-426.2+2.359.0+6.61799141921205.7+0.266at New CaledoniaSamoa
VanuatuLNew Zealand 0-500-020-61.9-27.038.9-22.602152218436.8-1.304Vanuatu

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 5/28
Vanuatu 0 New Zealand 5
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*World Cup Qualifying100.0*Average seed
New Zealand+25.2
Yes
+1.2
Tahiti+1.1
-0.1
Solomon Islands+1.8
+2.5
New Caledonia+0.3
+2.5
Papua New Guinea+0.2
+2.4
Fiji-0.9
+4.2
Samoa+0.4
+3.3
+0.1
Vanuatu-27.0
-22.7
-1.3
New Zealand 3 Fiji 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*World Cup Qualifying100.0*Average seed
New Zealand+25.6
+19.4
+1.4
Tahiti-0.1
-0.2
-0.0
Solomon Islands+0.1
New Caledonia-0.1
-0.2
-0.0
Papua New Guinea-0.1
-0.2
-0.0
Fiji-25.0
-19.0
-1.3
Samoa-0.1
-0.2
-0.0
Vanuatu+0.1
Tahiti 4 Samoa 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*World Cup Qualifying100.0*Average seed
New Zealand-0.2
-0.1
-0.0
Tahiti+25.5
+19.7
+1.4
Solomon Islands-0.2
-0.2
-0.0
New Caledonia-0.1
+0.1
Papua New Guinea-0.1
Fiji-0.1
Samoa-25.0
-19.3
-1.3
Vanuatu-0.1
Vanuatu 0 Solomon Islands 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*World Cup Qualifying100.0*Average seed
New Zealand-0.2
+0.2
-0.0
Tahiti-0.1
-0.2
-0.0
Solomon Islands+25.5
+19.6
+1.4
New Caledonia-0.1
-0.2
-0.0
Papua New Guinea-0.1
-0.2
-0.0
Samoa-0.1
-0.0
Vanuatu-24.9
-19.2
-1.3
Papua New Guinea 1 New Caledonia 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*World Cup Qualifying100.0*Average seed
New Zealand+0.7
+0.6
+0.1
Tahiti+0.5
-0.5
Solomon Islands+0.9
+0.9
+0.1
New Caledonia-1.4
-0.9
-0.2
Papua New Guinea-1.4
-0.9
-0.2
Fiji+0.2
+0.7
Samoa+0.4
-0.5
Vanuatu+0.2
+0.4
New Caledonia vs SamoaIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*World Cup Qualifying100.0*Average seed
New Zealand99.199.899.1
2.11.82.0
Tahiti73.876.276.1
95.494.189.0
3.33.13.3
Solomon Islands73.075.173.0
93.995.993.5
3.43.13.3
New Caledonia78.940.520.9
Yes82.548.5
3.25.06.0
Papua New Guinea46.449.949.2
75.373.677.0
4.84.74.6
Fiji26.829.4*27.6
64.465.663.2
5.65.55.6
Samoa0.425.652.4
31.849.090.5
7.06.04.3
Vanuatu1.63.41.6
39.339.438.3
6.86.86.9
Solomon Islands vs FijiHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*World Cup Qualifying100.0*Average seed
New ZealandInIn98.1
2.12.01.9
Tahiti75.575.374.8
93.792.991.2
3.33.13.2
Solomon IslandsIn76.945.2
YesYes85.7
2.13.24.6
New Caledonia48.849.147.3
78.276.273.0
4.74.64.7
Papua New Guinea48.849.047.3
78.276.273.0
4.74.64.7
Fiji0.323.356.7
43.455.588.5
6.85.94.2
Samoa26.326.1*26.2
61.759.556.1
5.65.75.7
Vanuatu0.30.34.2
44.839.732.6
6.86.96.9
Papua New Guinea vs TahitiHomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*World Cup Qualifying100.0*Average seed
New Zealand99.299.899.1
1.91.82.1
Tahiti49.677.699.8
81.8YesYes
4.63.21.9
Solomon Islands72.774.473.6
92.294.695.7
3.33.23.4
New Caledonia47.049.549.0
71.974.780.0
4.84.64.6
Papua New Guinea78.939.621.2
Yes68.154.6
3.25.36.0
Fiji26.928.028.1
61.563.866.8
5.65.65.5
Samoa24.429.126.9
55.660.561.7
5.75.65.7
Vanuatu1.42.02.4
36.938.241.2
6.96.96.8
Week of 6/4
Papua New Guinea vs SamoaIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*World Cup Qualifying100.0*Average seed
New Zealand99.199.899.1
2.11.82.0
Tahiti73.876.376.1
95.494.189.0
3.33.13.3
Solomon Islands72.975.073.1
93.995.993.5
3.43.13.3
New Caledonia46.550.049.3
75.373.677.0
4.84.74.6
Papua New Guinea78.940.420.8
Yes82.548.5
3.25.06.0
Fiji26.829.4*27.6
64.465.663.2
5.65.55.6
Samoa0.325.652.4
31.848.990.5
7.06.04.3
Vanuatu1.63.41.6
39.239.438.4
6.86.86.9
Tahiti vs New CaledoniaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*World Cup Qualifying100.0*Average seed
New Zealand99.199.899.2
2.11.81.9
Tahiti99.877.649.6
YesYes81.8
1.93.24.6
Solomon Islands73.674.472.6
95.794.792.2
3.43.13.3
New Caledonia21.239.678.9
54.668.2Yes
6.05.33.2
Papua New Guinea48.949.547.0
79.974.771.9
4.64.64.8
Fiji28.128.026.9
66.863.861.5
5.55.65.6
Samoa26.929.124.4
61.760.555.6
5.75.65.7
Vanuatu2.42.11.4
41.238.236.9
6.86.96.9
New Zealand vs Solomon IslandsHomeTieAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*World Cup Qualifying100.0*Average seed
New ZealandInIn98.1
1.11.73.0
Tahiti77.475.772.8
93.891.691.6
Solomon Islands49.272.897.8
85.7YesYes
4.63.41.9
New Caledonia53.349.642.7
75.875.675.6
4.64.64.8
Papua New Guinea53.249.542.6
75.875.675.6
4.64.64.8
Fiji34.225.621.9
66.362.662.6
5.55.75.6
Samoa28.426.523.9
61.157.557.5
5.65.85.7
Vanuatu4.30.30.3
41.537.037.1
6.86.96.9
Fiji vs VanuatuHomeTieAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*World Cup Qualifying100.0*Average seed
New Zealand98.1InIn
2.11.91.9
Tahiti72.975.177.6
92.697.290.5
3.33.13.2
Solomon Islands67.674.778.5
97.597.589.2
3.43.23.3
New Caledonia43.048.553.4
76.580.073.1
4.74.64.6
Papua New Guinea42.948.553.4
76.580.073.0
4.74.64.6
Fiji51.427.24.0
97.566.029.9
4.15.77.0
Samoa24.126.028.5
59.465.555.8
5.75.65.7
VanuatuOutOut4.7
No13.888.5
7.97.25.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Johkey3 for adding this league.