Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleChance will finish season at seed
SaturdayPGW-D-LGD%Change1234567891011Avg.ChangeRPI5/2
CosmosTAtlanta 0-082-2-0323.1%-2.02317131198654213.9-0.051OttawaNew York Cosmos
Tampa BayWJacksonville 3-272-1-1115.6+8.216141211109876424.6+1.375at CarolinaTampa Bay Rowdies
Ft. LauderdaleWOttawa 3-162-0-2110.3+5.81011111110101098645.4+1.404AtlantaFort Lauderdale Strikers
IndyTCarolina 1-161-3-0110.2-1.11011111110101098745.4-0.123Indy Eleven
AtlantaTCosmos 0-061-3-0110.1-1.51011111110101098645.4-0.142at Ft. LauderdaleAtlanta Silverbacks
Edmonton411-1-1-18.9+1.59999910999986.0+0.108FC Edmonton
CarolinaTIndy 1-151-2-116.7-1.0789101010101010976.1-0.167Tampa BayCarolina RailHawks
JacksonvilleLTampa Bay 2-3311-0-205.8-4.867889910101111126.6-0.946San AntonioJacksonville Armada
OttawaLFt. Lauderdale 1-341-1-2-33.6-3.845678910111313137.1-1.039at CosmosOttawa Fury FC
MinnesotaTSan Antonio 2-2210-2-1-13.7-0.74567789111215177.4-0.2011Minnesota United FC
San AntonioTMinnesota 2-2110-1-2-32.0-0.62345678101216278.1-0.2310at JacksonvilleSan Antonio Scorpions

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 4/25
Tampa Bay 3 Jacksonville 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
Cosmos-0.3
-0.0
Tampa Bay+6.4
+1.3
Ft. Lauderdale+0.1
Indy-0.0
Atlanta-0.0
Edmonton+0.1
Jacksonville-6.0
-1.1
Minnesota-0.1
San Antonio-0.1
Atlanta 0 Cosmos 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
Cosmos-3.2
-0.1
Tampa Bay+0.7
Ft. Lauderdale+0.5
Indy+1.1
Atlanta-2.7
-0.2
Edmonton+0.6
Carolina+0.7
Jacksonville+0.8
Ottawa+0.7
Minnesota+0.4
San Antonio+0.3
Ottawa 1 Ft. Lauderdale 3
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
Cosmos-0.1
-0.0
Ft. Lauderdale+4.3
+1.3
Indy+0.1
-0.0
Atlanta+0.2
-0.0
Edmonton-0.1
-0.0
Carolina+0.2
-0.0
Jacksonville-0.1
-0.0
Ottawa-4.7
-1.2
Minnesota+0.1
Indy 1 Carolina 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
Cosmos+1.2
+0.1
Tampa Bay+0.4
Ft. Lauderdale+0.3
Indy-2.5
-0.2
Atlanta+0.7
+0.1
Edmonton+0.5
Carolina-2.0
-0.2
Jacksonville+0.5
Ottawa+0.5
Minnesota+0.3
San Antonio+0.2
Minnesota 2 San Antonio 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
Cosmos+0.5
Tampa Bay+0.2
+0.1
Ft. Lauderdale+0.1
Indy+0.3
+0.1
Atlanta+0.3
+0.1
Edmonton+0.2
+0.1
Carolina+0.2
+0.1
Jacksonville+0.2
+0.1
Ottawa+0.2
+0.1
Minnesota-1.3
-0.2
San Antonio-0.9
-0.2
Week of 5/2
Cosmos vs OttawaIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
Cosmos37.319.411.6
2.74.05.0
Tampa Bay13.116.717.4
4.74.64.6
Ft. Lauderdale8.611.111.4
5.45.35.4
Indy8.410.911.4
Atlanta8.510.911.2
5.45.35.4
Edmonton7.89.59.7
Carolina5.97.27.2
Jacksonville5.06.26.3
Ottawa0.62.17.7
8.27.45.7
Minnesota3.24.04.0
7.37.37.4
San Antonio1.72.12.2
8.18.18.2
Carolina vs Tampa BayHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
Cosmos24.224.421.0
3.93.83.9
Tampa Bay6.612.527.0
5.84.83.3
Ft. Lauderdale10.610.99.5
5.45.35.4
Indy10.310.99.6
5.45.35.4
Atlanta10.210.89.5
5.45.35.4
Edmonton9.09.68.4
Carolina13.44.61.7
4.76.47.4
Jacksonville6.26.25.1
Ottawa3.63.93.3
Minnesota3.94.03.2
Ft. Lauderdale vs AtlantaHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
Cosmos22.524.622.6
3.93.83.9
Tampa Bay15.316.515.4
4.74.64.7
Ft. Lauderdale19.17.63.4
4.05.66.6
Indy10.210.99.7
5.45.35.4
Atlanta3.37.518.9
6.65.64.0
Edmonton8.59.5*8.9
Carolina*6.77.26.4
Jacksonville5.56.2*5.8
Ottawa3.43.93.5
Edmonton vs MinnesotaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
Cosmos22.223.823.4
3.93.83.9
Tampa Bay15.116.315.8
4.74.64.7
Ft. Lauderdale9.610.710.6
5.45.35.4
Indy9.710.610.4
5.45.35.4
Atlanta9.610.510.3
5.45.35.4
Edmonton15.96.83.5
4.66.27.2
Carolina6.27.17.0
6.26.16.1
Jacksonville5.46.16.0
Minnesota1.02.47.4
8.57.66.1
Jacksonville vs San AntonioHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
Cosmos22.423.623.4
Tampa Bay15.016.115.9
4.74.64.6
Ft. Lauderdale9.710.610.6
5.45.35.4
Indy9.910.510.3
5.45.35.4
Atlanta9.810.410.3
5.45.35.4
Edmonton8.59.29.2
6.05.96.0
Carolina6.56.96.9
6.26.16.1
Jacksonville10.84.12.0
5.36.97.8
Ottawa7.17.07.1
Minnesota7.47.37.4
San Antonio0.41.24.2
9.28.46.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

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