Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
8/8PGW-D-LGD%Change1234567891011Avg.ChangeRPIWednesday
Greenville1013-1-0446.4%+0.52818141187543213.5+0.023Greenville Triumph SC
OmahaWTucson 2-1722-1-0233.5+10.418151311108765424.4+0.941at ChattanoogaUnion Omaha
ChattanoogaTNorth Texas 2-2521-2-0120.0-3.2101011101010998765.6-0.252OmahaChattanooga Red Wolves SC
Orlando II331-0-1019.3+0.39101010109999875.7+0.019Orlando City B
RichmondWMadison 1-0421-1-1016.0+5.779910101010109986.0+0.936Richmond Kickers
North TexasTChattanooga 2-2421-1-1015.8-3.079910101010109986.0-0.284North Texas SC
TucsonLOmaha 1-2321-0-2-112.4-6.5578991010101011116.5-0.758FC Tucson
Fort LauderdaleWSouth Georgia 2-1321-0-2-212.5+4.7578991010101111106.5+0.906Fort Lauderdale CF
New England II130-1-1-210.3+0.246788910101112157.010New England Revolution II
South GeorgiaLFort Lauderdale 1-251-2-207.7-5.0356791011121213127.1-0.775South Georgia Tormenta FC
MadisonLRichmond 0-1120-1-2-26.2-4.12456789111215217.7-0.7411Forward Madison FC

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 8/8
Tucson 1 Omaha 2
10:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Greenville-0.6
-0.0
Omaha+9.9
+0.9
Chattanooga-0.4
-0.0
Orlando II-0.4
-0.0
Richmond-0.3
North Texas-0.4
-0.0
Tucson-7.1
-0.8
Fort Lauderdale-0.1
New England II-0.2
South Georgia-0.2
-0.0
Madison-0.2
Richmond 1 Madison 0
6:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Greenville-0.3
Omaha-0.2
-0.0
Chattanooga-0.2
-0.0
Orlando II-0.1
-0.0
Richmond+5.7
+0.9
North Texas-0.1
-0.0
Tucson-0.1
-0.0
Fort Lauderdale-0.1
-0.0
New England II-0.1
-0.0
South Georgia-0.1
-0.0
Madison-4.4
-0.8
North Texas 2 Chattanooga 2
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Greenville+1.1
+0.1
Omaha+0.8
+0.1
Chattanooga-2.9
-0.2
Orlando II+0.7
+0.1
Richmond+0.4
North Texas-2.7
-0.2
Tucson+0.7
+0.1
Fort Lauderdale+0.3
New England II+0.4
South Georgia+0.6
+0.1
Madison+0.4
South Georgia 1 Fort Lauderdale 2
8:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Greenville+0.1
Omaha+0.1
-0.0
Chattanooga+0.1
-0.0
Orlando II+0.1
-0.0
Richmond-0.0
North Texas+0.1
-0.0
Tucson+0.1
-0.0
Fort Lauderdale+4.7
+0.9
New England II-0.0
South Georgia-5.4
-0.8
Madison-0.0
Chattanooga vs OmahaIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
5:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Greenville46.547.745.5
3.53.43.5
Omaha23.330.345.8
5.14.63.5
Chattanooga29.817.312.1
4.65.86.4
Orlando II19.320.018.7
Richmond16.116.715.4
North Texas15.916.615.3
Tucson12.413.012.0
Fort Lauderdale12.513.112.1
Orlando II vs Fort LauderdaleHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Greenville45.847.446.4
Omaha32.934.333.5
4.44.34.4
Chattanooga19.620.620.0
5.65.55.6
Orlando II27.916.612.4
4.86.06.6
Fort Lauderdale7.110.319.4
7.36.85.5
Madison vs South GeorgiaHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Greenville46.447.146.1
South Georgia3.95.812.7
7.97.36.1
Madison10.24.73.1
6.87.98.5
Week of 8/15
Greenville vs ChattanoogaIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Greenville60.143.334.9
2.73.64.2
Omaha32.534.733.8
4.44.34.4
Chattanooga11.917.330.0
6.45.84.6
Orlando II18.520.019.5
Richmond15.216.716.2
North Texas15.116.616.0
Tucson11.913.012.5
Fort Lauderdale11.913.112.7
New England II9.810.810.5
Omaha vs MadisonHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Greenville44.847.447.4
3.53.43.5
Omaha45.130.124.2
3.54.65.1
Chattanooga18.920.720.7
5.65.55.6
Orlando II18.219.819.9
5.85.75.8
Richmond15.116.516.5
6.06.06.1
North Texas14.916.416.4
6.16.06.1
Tucson11.612.812.9
Fort Lauderdale11.812.912.9
New England II9.610.610.7
Madison2.94.710.4
8.48.06.8
Orlando II vs TucsonHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Greenville45.847.4*46.4
Omaha32.934.4*33.5
4.44.34.4
Chattanooga19.720.720.0
5.65.55.6
Orlando II27.916.612.4
4.86.06.6
Tucson6.910.219.3
7.36.85.5
Richmond vs TucsonHomeDrawAway
6:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Greenville45.947.446.3
3.53.43.5
Omaha33.034.333.4
4.44.34.4
Richmond24.013.49.7
5.16.36.8
Tucson7.010.219.2
7.36.85.5
Fort Lauderdale vs North TexasHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Greenville46.347.445.9
3.53.43.5
Omaha33.534.333.0
4.44.34.4
North Texas9.613.223.8
6.96.35.1
Fort Lauderdale19.310.37.1
5.56.87.3
New England II vs RichmondHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Greenville46.547.345.8
3.53.43.5
Omaha33.634.332.9
4.44.34.4
Richmond9.813.423.9
6.86.35.1
New England II16.18.35.8
6.07.27.8
North Texas vs New England IIHomeDrawAway
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Greenville45.847.346.5
Omaha32.934.333.6
4.44.34.4
Chattanooga19.620.620.1
5.65.55.6
North Texas23.713.29.7
5.16.36.9
New England II5.88.316.1
7.87.26.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Rob Hoffmann for adding this league.