SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Orlando City SC Playoff Chances 2020 50/50

Lost to Colorado 1-2, Plays Chicago, playoff odds down 5.7 to 47.4%

1 points 0-1-1

Add your own league!

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 3/8	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
Colorado 2 Orlando 1	-6.6		-1.2		+1.6		-0.6
Dallas 2 Montreal 2	+0.3		+0.1				+0.0
Los Angeles FC 3 Philadelphia 3	+0.3						*+0.0
New England 1 Chicago 1	+0.3
DC United 2 Miami 1	-0.2
Toronto 1 New York City 0	*-0.1
Atlanta 2 Cincinnati 1	*-0.1		-0.1
Seattle 1 Columbus 1	*+0.1						+0.0
Salt Lake 1 New York RB 1							*+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Orlando vs Chicago	+8.8-2.0-7.3		+1.1-0.4-0.8		-2.3+0.3+2.0		+0.8-0.2-0.6
Philadelphia vs San Jose	-0.8*+0.2+0.6						-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Miami vs LA Galaxy	-0.7*+0.2+0.5						-0.1+0.0+0.0
Columbus vs Salt Lake	-0.6*+0.1+0.6						-0.1*+0.0+0.0
New York City vs Dallas	-0.6*+0.2+0.5						-0.1+0.0+0.0
Toronto vs Nashville	-0.6*+0.1+0.5						-0.1*+0.0+0.0
Minnesota vs New York RB	+0.5*+0.2-0.6		-0.1+0.1*+0.0				+0.0+0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Kansas City	-0.6*+0.2+0.5		*+0.0+0.1-0.1				-0.1+0.0+0.0
Cincinnati vs DC United	-0.2+0.6-0.2

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/15	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
New York City vs Vancouver	-0.8+0.2+0.6						-0.1*+0.0+0.0
New England vs Portland	-0.7+0.3+0.5						-0.1*+0.0+0.0
Salt Lake vs New England	+0.5+0.3-0.7						+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Nashville vs Columbus	+0.4*+0.2-0.6				+0.1*-0.0-0.1		+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Minnesota vs Montreal	+0.4*+0.2-0.6						+0.0+0.0-0.1
Miami vs New York RB	*-0.1+0.5-0.3
Chicago vs Atlanta	-0.2+0.3*+0.0
San Jose vs Kansas City					+0.1*+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Orlando finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Supporters		Chance will finish regular season at seed													Wooden
TP		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		Shield		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	Spoon		Count

72	-97						In		Yes		100													No		283	*
71		21	-	7	-	4	In		99.3	%	99	1												No		142	*
70		21	-	6	-	5	In		96.5		99	1												No		171	*
69		21	-	5	-	6	In		97.9		99	1												No		292	*
68		20	-	7	-	5	In		95.3		98	2												No		472	*
67		20	-	6	-	6	In		93.8		99	1												No		720	*
66		20	-	5	-	7	In		91.3		97	3												No		1,055	*
65		19	-	7	-	6	In		86.3		95	5	0											No		1,563	*
64		19	-	6	-	7	In		79.0		93	7	0											No		2,253	*
63		18	-	8	-	6	In		71.8		90	10	0											No		3,239	*
62		18	-	7	-	7	In		62.0		85	15	1	0										No		4,378	*
61		18	-	6	-	8	In		51.8		79	19	1											No		5,824	*
60		17	-	8	-	7	In		40.7		72	25	3	0										No		7,955	*
59		17	-	7	-	8	In		29.2		63	31	5	0	0									No		10,431	*
58		16	-	9	-	7	In		19.0		54	37	9	1	0									No		13,396	*
57		16	-	8	-	8	In		10.7		44	41	13	2	0									No		16,760	*
56		16	-	7	-	9	In		5.0		33	43	20	4	0	0								No		20,797	*
55		15	-	9	-	8	In		2.0		23	41	27	8	1	0	0							No		25,162	*
54		15	-	8	-	9	In		0.5		15	36	33	14	3	0	0							No		30,248	*
53		15	-	7	-	10	100.0	%	0.1		8	28	35	21	6	1	0	0						No		35,675	*
52		14	-	9	-	9	100.0		0.0		4	19	34	28	12	3	0	0						No		41,192	*
51		14	-	8	-	10	99.9		No		2	11	27	32	20	7	1	0	0					No		46,535	*
50		14	-	7	-	11	99.4		No		1	5	19	31	28	13	4	1	0	0				No		52,001	*
49		13	-	9	-	10	97.8		No		0	2	10	25	31	21	9	2	0	0				No		57,231	*
48		13	-	8	-	11	93.6		No		0	1	4	16	28	29	16	5	1	0	0			No		61,620	*
47		12	-	10	-	10	84.3		No			0	1	8	20	30	25	12	3	1	0			No		64,698	*
46		12	-	9	-	11	68.9		No			0	0	3	11	24	30	21	8	2	0	0		No		67,214	*
45		12	-	8	-	12	49.0		No			0	0	1	5	16	28	28	17	5	1	0	0	No		68,646	*
44		11	-	10	-	11	29.6		No			0	0	0	2	8	20	30	25	12	3	0	0	No		68,864	*
43		11	-	9	-	12	14.7		No					0	0	3	11	25	30	21	7	1	0	No		67,491	*
42		11	-	8	-	13	6.1		No					0	0	1	5	16	29	29	15	4	0	No		65,826	*
41		10	-	10	-	12	2.0		No						0	0	2	9	23	32	24	8	1	0.0	%	62,108	*
40		10	-	9	-	13	0.6		No						0	0	1	4	14	30	32	16	3	0.0		57,818	*
39		10	-	8	-	14	0.1		No							0	0	1	8	23	35	26	7	0.3		52,582	*
38		9	-	10	-	13	0.0		No								0	0	3	15	34	35	12	1.2		47,726	*
37		9	-	9	-	14	0.0		No								0	0	1	9	28	41	21	3.6		41,418	*
36		9	-	8	-	15	0.0		No								0	0	0	4	21	43	31	8.6		35,676	*
35		8	-	10	-	14	Out		No										0	2	14	42	42	17.1		30,120	*
34		8	-	9	-	15	Out		No										0	1	9	37	54	27.7		25,134	*
33		8	-	8	-	16	Out		No									0	0	0	5	31	64	40.1		20,510	*
32		7	-	10	-	15	Out		No											0	3	24	74	53.9		15,929	*
31		7	-	9	-	16	Out		No											0	1	18	81	64.5		12,645	*
30		7	-	8	-	17	Out		No											0	0	13	87	74.8		9,438	*
29		6	-	10	-	16	Out		No												0	9	91	81.3		7,184	*
28		6	-	9	-	17	Out		No												0	6	94	88.3		5,128	*
27		6	-	8	-	18	Out		No												0	4	96	91.9		3,541	*
26		5	-	10	-	17	Out		No													3	97	94.8		2,565	*
25		5	-	9	-	18	Out		No												0	2	98	96.2		1,707	*
24		5	-	8	-	19	Out		No													1	99	98.5		1,113	*
23		4	-	10	-	18	Out		No													0	100	99.0		703	*
22		4	-	9	-	19	Out		No													0	100	99.3		434	*
1	-21						Out		No														100	Yes		731	*

Total:							47.4	%	2.1	%	5	6	7	7	7	8	8	8	8	9	9	9	10	5.5	%	1,276,344

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/8	100.0*	Lottery seed
Colorado 2 Orlando 1	+1.3
Dallas 2 Montreal 2	-0.0
Los Angeles FC 3 Philadelphia 3	*-0.0
Atlanta 2 Cincinnati 1	+0.0
Toronto 1 New York City 0	+0.0
Seattle 1 Columbus 1	*-0.0
Salt Lake 1 New York RB 1	*-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Orlando vs Chicago	-1.6+0.4+1.3
Philadelphia vs San Jose	+0.1-0.0-0.0
Atlanta vs Kansas City	+0.1-0.0-0.0
Cincinnati vs DC United	*+0.0-0.1+0.0
Minnesota vs New York RB	-0.0-0.0+0.1
Miami vs LA Galaxy	+0.1-0.0-0.0
Toronto vs Nashville	+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Columbus vs Salt Lake	+0.1*-0.0-0.0
New York City vs Dallas	+0.1*-0.0-0.0

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/15	100.0*	Lottery seed
New York City vs Vancouver	+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Miami vs New York RB	-0.0-0.1+0.0
New England vs Portland	+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Minnesota vs Montreal	-0.0-0.0+0.1
Salt Lake vs New England	-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Nashville vs Columbus	-0.0*-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26

72	-97						100
71		21	-	7	-	4	99		1
70		21	-	6	-	5	96	2	1
69		21	-	5	-	6	98	1	1
68		20	-	7	-	5	95	3	2
67		20	-	6	-	6	94	5	1
66		20	-	5	-	7	91	6	3
65		19	-	7	-	6	86	9	5		0
64		19	-	6	-	7	79	14	7		0
63		18	-	8	-	6	72	18	10	0	0
62		18	-	7	-	7	62	22	15	0	1		0
61		18	-	6	-	8	52	28	19	1	1	0
60		17	-	8	-	7	41	32	24	1	3	0	0
59		17	-	7	-	8	29	34	28	4	5		0		0
58		16	-	9	-	7	19	35	30	7	8	0	1		0
57		16	-	8	-	8	11	33	29	12	13	1	2		0
56		16	-	7	-	9	5	28	24	19	18	2	4	0	0		0
55		15	-	9	-	8	2	21	17	24	22	5	7	0	1		0		0
54		15	-	8	-	9	1	14	9	27	22	11	13	1	3	0	0		0
53		15	-	7	-	10	0	8	4	24	17	19	17	4	6	0	1		0		0
52		14	-	9	-	9	0	4	1	18	10	24	19	9	12	1	3	0	0		0
51		14	-	8	-	10		2	0	11	4	23	15	17	16	4	6	0	1	0	0	0
50		14	-	7	-	11		1	0	5	1	18	8	23	17	11	12	1	3	0	1	0	0
49		13	-	9	-	10		0		2	0	10	2	22	12	19	16	5	8	0	2	0	0
48		13	-	8	-	11		0		1	0	4	0	15	5	23	15	14	14	2	5	1	0	0
47		12	-	10	-	10				0		1	0	8	1	19	8	22	16	9	11	4	1	0	0
46		12	-	9	-	11				0		0	0	3	0	11	2	22	11	18	16	10	4	1	0	0	0
45		12	-	8	-	12				0		0		1	0	5	0	15	4	23	14	18	12	5	1	0	0	0
44		11	-	10	-	11				0		0		0		2	0	8	1	19	8	17	20	15	7	2	0	0	0
43		11	-	9	-	12								0		0	0	3	0	11	2	9	19	23	18	9	3	1	0	0
42		11	-	8	-	13								0		0		1	0	5	0	3	10	20	24	21	11	4	1	0	0
41		10	-	10	-	12										0		0		2	0	1	3	10	20	26	22	12	4	1	0	0
40		10	-	9	-	13										0		0		1	0	0	1	3	10	20	26	22	12	4	1	0
39		10	-	8	-	14												0		0		0	0	1	3	10	21	28	22	11	3	0
38		9	-	10	-	13														0		0	0	0	1	4	12	24	29	21	8	1
37		9	-	9	-	14														0				0	0	1	5	15	28	30	17	4
36		9	-	8	-	15														0				0	0	0	2	8	21	33	27	9
35		8	-	10	-	14																			0	0	0	3	13	30	36	17
34		8	-	9	-	15																				0	0	1	6	23	42	28
33		8	-	8	-	16																					0	0	3	16	41	40
32		7	-	10	-	15																					0	0	1	9	36	54
31		7	-	9	-	16																						0	0	5	30	65
30		7	-	8	-	17																						0	0	3	22	75
29		6	-	10	-	16																							0	1	17	81
28		6	-	9	-	17																								1	11	88
27		6	-	8	-	18																								0	8	92
26		5	-	10	-	17																								0	5	95
25		5	-	9	-	18																								0	4	96
24		5	-	8	-	19																									2	98
23		4	-	10	-	18																									1	99
22		4	-	9	-	19																									1	99
1	-21																															100

Total:							2	3	2	4	3	4	3	4	3	5	3	5	3	5	3	3	4	4	4	4	5	5	5	5	5	5