Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleLibertadoresChance will finish season at seedSerie B
MondayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPI10/28
CorinthiansLBotafogo 1-25917-8-52073.9%-7.4100.0%741862000001.4-0.12No1at Ponte PretaSport Club Corinthians Paulista
Palmeiras5316-5-91513.1+3.599.1-0.1133026159421000003.0No4CruzeiroSociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
Santos5314-11-5128.5+2.398.4-0.29292617105310000003.3-0.02No2at Sao PauloSantos Futebol Clube
Gremio5015-5-10173.1+1.094.6-0.6314202317116311000004.3-0.06No5at AvaiGremio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense
Cruzeiro4713-8-980.5+0.274.4-1.71481318171511742110000006.1-0.100.0%3at PalmeirasCruzeiro Esporte Clube
BotafogoWCorinthians 2-14713-8-970.5+0.374.8+13.6037131818151074211000006.1+0.920.0-0.16at Atletico-MGBotafogo de Futebol e Regatas
Flamengo4612-10-8110.4+0.163.7-2.2025913161714964210000006.8-0.110.0+0.07Vasco da GamaClube de Regatas do Flamengo
Vasco da Gama4312-7-11-80.0+0.036.0-2.300137101415141196431100008.7-0.100.4+0.08at FlamengoClub de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Atletico-MG4111-8-1100.0+0.019.1-1.7000136912131312108642110010.1-0.082.0-0.010BotafogoClube Atletico Mineiro
Atletico-PR4111-8-1100.0+0.019.3-1.7000136912131312108642110010.1-0.082.1-0.09ChapecoenseClube Atletico Paranaense
Chapecoense3811-5-14-70.05.7-0.8000012369111212111087531012.2-0.059.5+0.011at Atletico-PRAssociacao Chapecoense de Futebol
Bahia3810-8-12-10.05.3-0.7000011358101111111097642012.5-0.0511.5+0.015at FluminenseEsporte Clube Bahia
Fluminense389-11-10-10.04.2-0.6000001247911121211108642012.8-0.0412.6+0.012BahiaFluminense Football Club
Sao Paulo3710-7-13-30.03.6-0.5000001246810111212119753113.1-0.0415.2-0.014SantosSao Paulo Futebol Clube
Sport Recife359-8-13-7No1.0-0.200000113468911121312107214.8-0.0232.3+0.013CoritibaSport Club do Recife
Avai348-10-12-15No0.4-0.10000011245791113151512415.7-0.0145.5+0.016GremioAvai Futebol Clube
Vitoria339-6-15-9No0.3-0.10000011235691113151513616.0-0.0149.4-0.017Atletico-GOEsporte Clube Vitoria
Coritiba328-8-14-10No0.1-0.0000001123569111417211016.8-0.0161.8+0.018at Sport RecifeCoritiba Football Club
Ponte Preta328-8-14-10No0.1-0.0000001123569111418211016.8-0.0162.1+0.019CorinthiansAssociacao Atletica Ponte Preta
Atletico-GO267-5-18-19No0.0000000011248176719.395.7+0.020at VitoriaAtletico Clube Goianiense

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 10/21
Botafogo 2 Corinthians 1
4:00 PM Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians-7.5
Palmeiras+3.5
Santos+2.4
Gremio+1.0
-0.6
Cruzeiro-1.8
Botafogo+0.3
+14.0
+0.9
Flamengo-2.3
Vasco da Gama-2.4
Atletico-MG-1.8
Atletico-PR-1.8
Chapecoense-0.8
Gremio 1 Palmeiras 3
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians-0.8
Palmeiras+4.0
+2.4
+0.7
Gremio-2.9
-2.1
-0.6
Santos 1 Atletico-GO 0
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians-2.0
Santos+2.7
+3.1
+0.6
Vitoria-0.7
Coritiba-0.7
Ponte Preta-0.6
Atletico-GO+5.3
-0.4
Cruzeiro 1 Atletico-MG 3
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Cruzeiro-0.7
-8.4
-0.7
Vasco da Gama+0.2
Atletico-MG+8.2
-3.9
+1.2
Sao Paulo 2 Flamengo 0
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Cruzeiro+1.1
Botafogo+1.3
Flamengo-0.5
-10.1
-0.7
Vasco da Gama+1.6
Atletico-MG+1.1
Atletico-PR+1.0
Chapecoense+1.1
Bahia+1.1
Sao Paulo+2.0
-12.0
+1.2
Sport Recife+1.6
Avai+1.7
Vitoria+1.6
Coritiba+1.7
Ponte Preta+1.6
Vasco da Gama 1 Coritiba 1
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Cruzeiro+0.6
Botafogo+0.9
Flamengo+0.6
Vasco da Gama-4.4
-0.3
Atletico-MG+0.5
Atletico-PR+0.5
Chapecoense-0.5
Bahia-0.4
Fluminense+0.3
Sao Paulo-0.5
Sport Recife-0.5
Avai-0.5
Vitoria-0.6
Coritiba+4.3
-0.3
Ponte Preta-0.6
Atletico-PR 2 Sport Recife 1
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-1.2
Vasco da Gama-1.0
Atletico-PR+7.9
-4.4
+1.3
Sport Recife-2.1
+9.3
-1.1
Avai-0.7
Vitoria-0.7
Coritiba-0.8
Ponte Preta-0.7
Chapecoense 2 Fluminense 0
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Chapecoense+3.1
-9.9
+1.3
FluminenseNo
-5.3
+5.1
-1.1
Vitoria+0.9
Bahia 2 Vitoria 1
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bahia+2.8
-11.5
+1.3
Sport Recife-0.3
Vitoria-0.9
+13.1
-1.0
Ponte Preta-0.2
Ponte Preta 1 Avai 2
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sport Recife+0.4
Avai-16.5
+1.0
Vitoria+0.4
Coritiba+0.3
Ponte Preta-0.5
+14.3
-0.9
Week of 10/28
Ponte Preta vs CorinthiansIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians64.671.784.6
100.0100.0Yes
1.51.41.2
Palmeiras17.314.08.3
3.03.03.1
Santos11.69.54.9
3.23.33.3
Avai47.944.843.5
15.915.715.6
Vitoria51.848.647.5
16.116.015.9
Ponte Preta47.166.974.1
15.817.117.5
Palmeiras vs CruzeiroHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians68.975.877.7
1.41.31.3
Palmeiras20.310.87.4
99.999.398.2
2.53.13.5
Cruzeiro0.10.21.1
64.171.786.3
0.00.0No
6.96.45.2
Sao Paulo vs SantosHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians76.775.470.1
1.31.41.4
Santos4.36.414.1
97.098.699.7
3.73.42.7
Sao Paulo6.82.21.2
6.316.823.0
11.913.514.1
Avai vs GremioHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Gremio1.22.15.6
90.994.298.5
4.84.43.6
Sport Recife34.631.730.3
14.914.714.7
Avai0.90.10.1
29.849.458.7
14.716.016.6
Vitoria52.048.947.2
16.116.015.9
Ponte Preta64.461.660.2
16.916.816.7
Atletico-MG vs BotafogoHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo0.10.31.0
62.673.188.0
0.00.0No
6.96.35.2
Atletico-MG31.515.09.3
0.3*1.93.6
8.910.411.1
Flamengo vs Vasco da GamaHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo0.70.20.1
80.561.548.4
No0.00.0
5.87.07.7
Vasco da Gama21.831.553.0
0.90.40.0
9.68.97.5
Atletico-PR vs ChapecoenseHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-PR30.715.410.4
0.32.04.0
8.910.411.2
Chapecoense1.83.810.9
15.110.43.3
13.312.510.9
Fluminense vs BahiaHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bahia1.93.49.8
18.312.34.1
13.612.811.2
Fluminense8.02.61.4
4.613.320.2
11.513.113.9
Sport Recife vs CoritibaHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sport Recife2.00.50.2
16.734.546.4
13.515.115.8
Coritiba75.766.245.2
17.617.015.7
Vitoria vs Atletico-GOHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vitoria0.70.10.0
33.053.563.1
14.916.316.9
Atletico-GO98.897.391.5
19.719.518.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.