Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleLibertadoresChance will finish season at seedSerie B
SundayPGW-L-EGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIMonday
CorinthiansWGremio 1-0268-0-21337.4%+8.185.4%+5.8371811864332211110000003.4+0.690.4%-0.41Sport Club Corinthians Paulista
GremioLCorinthians 0-1227-2-11218.0-6.969.9-6.21816121087554332221111005.2-0.711.7+0.52Gremio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense
FlamengoWBahia 1-0174-1-585.4+1.540.8+7.7577777766655544332218.5+1.108.4-4.54Clube de Regatas do Flamengo
Botafogo1514-2-354.9-0.238.6-0.5567777666655544433218.9-0.059.9-0.03AvaiBotafogo de Futebol e Regatas
PalmeirasWPonte Preta 2-1165-4-154.6+1.437.8+7.5567777666655554433218.9+1.119.8-4.98Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
Santos165-4-124.5-0.237.7-0.5467777666655554433219.0-0.069.9+0.06Santos Futebol Clube
Vasco da GamaWAtletico-GO 1-0155-5-0-73.5+1.033.0+6.9356666666665555444329.6+1.1112.3-5.612Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
FluminenseTSao Paulo 1-1154-3-313.3-0.831.5-3.0355666666666555544329.8-0.3713.1+0.97Fluminense Football Club
CoritibaLCruzeiro 0-2154-3-313.2-1.831.5-7.5356666666666555544329.8-0.9813.2+3.25Coritiba Football Club
CruzeiroWCoritiba 2-0144-4-212.5+0.827.4+6.23455566666666655544310.4+1.1115.9-6.59Cruzeiro Esporte Clube
Ponte PretaLPalmeiras 1-2144-4-2-12.6-1.527.3-7.23455566666666655544310.4-0.9915.9+3.714Associacao Atletica Ponte Preta
Atletico-PRWVitoria 4-1144-4-2-32.6+0.827.3+6.23455566666666655544310.5+1.1215.9-6.511Clube Atletico Paranaense
ChapecoenseLAtletico-MG 0-1134-5-1-61.9-1.223.4-6.72344555666666666655411.1-1.0019.2+4.310Associacao Chapecoense de Futebol
Atletico-MGWChapecoense 1-0133-3-4-11.8+0.622.1+5.32344555566666666665411.3+1.0920.3-7.416Clube Atletico Mineiro
Sport Recife123-4-3-41.4-0.118.7-0.31234445555666666766511.9-0.0524.1+0.115Sport Club do Recife
Sao PauloTFluminense 1-1113-5-211.0-0.315.8-2.31233344555666677777612.5-0.3727.9+1.918Sao Paulo Futebol Clube
BahiaLFlamengo 0-1103-6-1-10.7-0.613.1-4.91123334455566677888813.1-0.9732.3+6.213Esporte Clube Bahia
VitoriaLAtletico-PR 1-482-6-2-60.4-0.38.1-3.60112223334455678910121314.5-0.9243.5+7.217Esporte Clube Vitoria
Avai511-6-2-100.2-0.05.6-0.10111122233445567911141915.4-0.0252.7+0.120at BotafogoAvai Futebol Clube
Atletico-GOLVasco da Gama 0-162-8-0-100.2-0.25.0-2.70011122233445567911142015.6-0.8553.6+7.619Atletico Clube Goianiense

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 6/24
Gremio 0 Corinthians 1
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians+8.3
+6.2
-0.5
+0.7
Gremio-6.9
-5.9
+0.6
-0.7
Santos 0 Sport Recife 1
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians+0.5
*+0.1
Gremio+0.2
Flamengo+0.2
+0.3
Botafogo*+0.1
+0.2
Santos-2.1
-7.4
+2.7
-0.9
Vasco da Gama+0.2
+0.3
Fluminense+0.2
+0.2
Coritiba*+0.1
+0.2
Cruzeiro+0.2
+0.4
Atletico-PR+0.3
Chapecoense+0.2
+0.2
Atletico-MG+0.4
Sport Recife+0.6
+5.1
-7.6
+1.1
Sao Paulo+0.4
Bahia+0.3
Vitoria+0.5
Avai+0.4
Atletico-GO+0.4
Cruzeiro 2 Coritiba 0
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians*+0.1
Gremio+0.2
Botafogo*+0.1
Palmeiras*+0.1
Coritiba-1.7
-7.1
+3.4
-0.9
Cruzeiro+0.9
+6.6
-6.4
+1.1
Sport Recife+0.3
Atletico-GO+0.3
Bahia 0 Flamengo 1
6:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians-0.4
-0.2
Gremio-0.2
-0.3
Flamengo+1.7
+8.1
-4.6
+1.1
Palmeiras-0.3
Santos-0.2
Vasco da Gama-0.3
Fluminense-0.2
Coritiba-0.2
Cruzeiro-0.3
Atletico-PR-0.2
Bahia-0.5
-4.9
+6.1
-1.0
Atletico-GO-0.2
Ponte Preta 1 Palmeiras 2
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras+1.6
+8.0
-4.9
+1.2
Ponte Preta-1.4
-6.9
+3.9
-1.0
Vasco da Gama 1 Atletico-GO 0
11:00 AM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians-0.3
-0.3
Flamengo-0.3
Botafogo-0.3
Santos-0.4
Vasco da Gama+1.2
+7.2
-5.8
+1.2
Fluminense-0.3
Coritiba-0.3
Ponte Preta-0.3
Atletico-PR-0.2
-0.1
Atletico-MG-0.2
-0.2
Vitoria-0.1
Avai-0.2
Atletico-GO-0.2
-2.6
+7.5
-0.8
Chapecoense 0 Atletico-MG 1
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos*+0.1
Chapecoense-1.1
-6.3
+4.5
-1.0
Atletico-MG+0.7
+5.7
-7.3
+1.1
Sao Paulo 1 Fluminense 1
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians+0.2
+0.2
Flamengo+0.3
Botafogo+0.3
Santos+0.2
Vasco da Gama+0.3
Fluminense-0.7
-2.3
+0.8
-0.3
Coritiba+0.3
Ponte Preta+0.3
Chapecoense+0.3
Sao Paulo-0.3
-1.8
+1.5
-0.3
Vitoria-0.3
Avai-0.2
Atletico-GO-0.2
Atletico-PR 4 Vitoria 1
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-0.2
Palmeiras-0.2
Fluminense-0.3
Atletico-PR+0.9
+6.4
-6.6
+1.2
Vitoria-0.3
-3.5
+7.1
-0.9
Botafogo vs AvaiIf winner is:HomeEmpateAway
8:00 PM Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians36.837.637.8
85.285.685.6
Botafogo7.04.23.3
46.936.231.7
6.110.513.4
7.89.29.8
Avai0.10.20.4
3.54.78.2
60.055.143.9
16.215.714.5
Week of 7/1
Corinthians vs BotafogoIf winner is:HomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians45.535.430.6
90.684.680.9
0.10.40.6
2.83.53.9
Gremio16.418.719.2
70.070.169.6
Botafogo2.84.27.5
31.536.247.1
13.110.66.3
9.89.27.8
Palmeiras vs GremioHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians38.338.335.9
85.485.685.4
Gremio13.516.423.6
63.068.277.8
2.61.80.8
5.95.44.3
Palmeiras6.94.02.8
46.635.430.5
6.110.513.0
7.89.29.9
Flamengo vs Sao PauloHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo7.64.63.6
49.638.633.5
5.08.811.5
7.48.89.5
Sao Paulo0.60.81.6
11.314.121.5
34.229.620.5
13.512.811.4
Coritiba vs Vasco da GamaHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama2.22.95.1
26.130.841.4
16.113.17.8
10.69.98.4
Coritiba4.72.62.0
39.729.224.7
8.514.017.3
8.710.110.8
Atletico-GO vs SantosHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos3.03.86.5
30.835.346.2
13.410.56.0
9.99.27.8
Atletico-GO0.30.10.1
7.54.23.1
44.755.961.0
14.615.816.3
Fluminense vs ChapecoenseHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fluminense4.82.72.1
39.629.224.7
8.414.017.3
8.710.110.8
Chapecoense1.11.52.9
17.621.330.6
24.420.513.2
12.111.49.9
Atletico-MG vs CruzeiroHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Cruzeiro1.52.13.8
21.125.235.1
20.616.910.5
11.410.79.3
Atletico-MG2.81.51.1
29.020.116.5
14.021.525.7
10.111.612.3
Sport Recife vs Atletico-PRHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-PR1.62.13.8
21.125.134.9
20.716.910.5
11.410.79.3
Sport Recife2.11.10.8
24.916.813.6
17.125.530.1
10.812.212.9
Avai vs Ponte PretaHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta1.62.13.9
21.325.134.8
20.816.810.4
11.410.79.3
Avai0.40.20.1
8.24.73.5
43.855.160.2
14.515.716.2
Vitoria vs BahiaHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bahia0.40.61.2
9.211.517.9
39.534.024.1
14.113.412.0
Vitoria0.60.30.2
11.56.95.4
34.545.651.3
13.514.815.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.