"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)
Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleLibertadoresChance will finish season at seedSerie B
MondayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIWednesday
Palmeiras6719-10-42982.3%-0.0Yes82143001.2No1FluminenseSociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
Internacional6217-11-52011.2+0.0Yes11412815402.6No2Sport Club Internacional
Flamengo6017-9-7254.6+0.0100.0%+0.05253125140003.2No5Clube de Regatas do Flamengo
Gremio5816-10-7201.3-0.0100.0+0.011120293610003.9+0.01No4Gremio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense
Sao Paulo5815-13-5140.7-0.099.9+0.01817304310004.1+0.01No3Sao Paulo Futebol Clube
Atletico-MG4713-8-1210No34.7+4.1000134241712632100007.5+0.100.0%6at ParanaClube Atletico Mineiro
Atletico-PR4613-7-1314No23.8+3.80002324201585211000007.9+0.120.0+0.013at Vasco da GamaClube Atletico Paranaense
SantosLChapecoense 0-14612-10-118No20.4-11.500020202017106321000008.3-0.580.0+0.07Santos Futebol Clube
Cruzeiro4612-10-11-1No17.2+2.600117212017117421000008.4+0.090.0+0.08CorinthiansCruzeiro Esporte Clube
Fluminense4111-8-14-8No1.1+0.3136101515131197531011.8-0.014.8+0.714at PalmeirasFluminense Football Club
Bahia4110-11-12-3No1.2+0.3135812131312108642112.1-0.036.6+0.99CearaEsporte Clube Bahia
Botafogo4110-11-12-10No1.1+0.2135811141413118642112.2-0.046.4+0.910Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas
Corinthians4010-10-131No0.6+0.21246101213131110863112.8-0.0510.4+1.312at CruzeiroSport Club Corinthians Paulista
Ceara389-11-13-6No0.1+0.00012479101213131310614.6-0.1129.0+2.611at BahiaCeara Sporting Club
Vasco da Gama389-11-13-7No0.0+0.00012479101213131310614.7-0.1129.1+2.617Atletico-PRClub de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Sport Recife3710-7-16-21No0.0+0.00001357101213141313915.2-0.1135.2+2.915VitoriaSport Club do Recife
ChapecoenseWSantos 1-0379-10-14-15No0.0+0.00001356810121415151115.5+0.9841.0-17.016Associacao Chapecoense de Futebol
Vitoria359-8-16-22No0.0000012347912162125016.7-0.1461.9+2.919at Sport RecifeEsporte Clube Vitoria
America-MG348-10-15-12No0.000000123469132141017.4-0.1375.6+2.218America Futebol Clube-MG
Parana214-9-20-36NoNo0010020.0Yes20Atletico-MGParana Clube

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/10
Botafogo 2 Flamengo 1
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras+3.8
Flamengo-5.0
-0.3
Botafogo+0.4
-11.9
+1.3
Chapecoense+1.9
Vitoria+1.7
America-MG+1.8
Ceara 1 Internacional 1
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras+3.2
Internacional-3.6
Ceara+2.7
-0.3
Sport Recife-0.4
Chapecoense-0.5
Vitoria-0.4
America-MG-0.4
Atletico-MG 1 Palmeiras 1
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras-1.9
Internacional+1.6
Flamengo+0.2
Atletico-MG-4.7
-0.1
Atletico-PR+1.3
Santos+1.6
Cruzeiro+1.0
Gremio 2 Vasco da Gama 1
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Gremio+0.6
+1.0
+0.4
Vasco da Gama+10.3
-1.0
Chapecoense-1.8
Vitoria-1.9
America-MG-1.5
Corinthians 1 Sao Paulo 1
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians-0.5
+0.9
-0.4
Atletico-PR 2 Cruzeiro 0
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG+1.7
Atletico-PR+9.0
+1.1
Santos+1.4
Cruzeiro-12.8
-0.8
Santos 0 Chapecoense 1
8:00 PM Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG+4.2
Atletico-PR+3.9
Santos-11.9
-0.6
Cruzeiro+2.8
Ceara+2.8
Vasco da Gama+2.8
Sport Recife+2.9
Chapecoense-17.9
+1.0
Vitoria+3.0
America-MG+2.4
Fluminense 0 Sport Recife 0
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fluminense-0.8
-0.2
-0.3
Ceara-0.4
Sport Recife+3.1
-0.3
Chapecoense-0.4
Vitoria-0.7
Vitoria 2 Bahia 2
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bahia-0.7
-0.5
-0.3
Ceara-0.8
Sport Recife-1.0
Chapecoense-0.8
Vitoria+5.8
-0.3
America-MG 0 Parana 1
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-1.7
Ceara-2.0
Vasco da Gama-1.7
Sport Recife-2.2
Chapecoense-2.1
Vitoria-2.2
America-MGNo
+14.5
-0.8
Palmeiras vs FluminenseIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
9:45 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras92.880.373.0
1.11.21.3
Internacional5.012.616.5
2.72.62.5
Fluminense0.10.42.5
8.85.20.4
12.812.110.5
Internacional vs America-MGHomeDrawAway
9:00 PM Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras74.985.687.5
1.31.21.2
Internacional19.87.45.0
2.22.73.0
America-MG88.381.659.1
18.117.816.6
Flamengo vs SantosHomeDrawAway
5:00 PM Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras79.183.684.7
1.31.21.2
Flamengo8.82.81.4
Yes100.0100.0
2.73.33.6
Atletico-MG37.836.530.4
7.47.57.6
Atletico-PR27.025.019.8
7.87.98.1
Santos10.515.833.2
0.00.0No
9.08.47.4
Cruzeiro19.718.413.9
8.28.38.5
Parana vs Atletico-MGHomeDrawAway
9:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG21.728.951.4
0.0*NoNo
8.17.76.8
Atletico-PR28.425.718.0
7.87.98.1
Santos23.822.215.8
8.18.28.4
Cruzeiro20.918.612.6
8.28.38.5
Vasco da Gama vs Atletico-PRHomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG39.636.728.5
7.47.57.7
Atletico-PR12.119.038.5
0.00.0No
8.68.17.1
Santos23.521.816.4
8.28.28.4
Vasco da Gama12.632.743.3
13.415.115.7
Cruzeiro vs CorinthiansHomeDrawAway
9:45 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG30.236.738.0
7.67.47.4
Atletico-PR20.325.026.5
8.07.97.9
Cruzeiro29.512.97.7
No0.00.0
7.58.59.2
Corinthians0.00.11.4
18.011.22.4
13.913.211.4
Bahia vs CearaHomeDrawAway
9:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bahia2.60.50.2
0.66.112.9
10.712.413.4
Ceara44.032.411.9
15.815.013.2
Chapecoense vs BotafogoHomeDrawAway
5:00 PM Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo0.10.42.4
12.95.60.5
13.412.510.8
Chapecoense0.00.0No
21.345.857.6
14.115.816.5
Sport Recife vs VitoriaHomeDrawAway
9:45 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sport Recife14.937.753.8
13.815.416.3
VitoriaNoNo0.0
80.568.139.3
17.617.015.5
Week of 11/18
Parana vs PalmeirasIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras73.080.392.8
1.31.21.1
Internacional16.512.65.0
2.52.62.7
Palmeiras vs America-MGHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras92.880.373.0
1.11.21.3
Internacional5.012.616.5
2.72.62.5
America-MG88.381.659.1
18.117.816.6
Internacional vs Atletico-MGHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras74.985.687.5
1.31.21.2
Internacional19.87.45.0
2.22.73.0
Atletico-MG21.728.951.4
0.0*NoNo
8.17.76.8
Atletico-PR28.425.718.0
7.87.98.1
Santos23.822.215.8
8.18.28.4
Cruzeiro20.918.612.6
8.28.38.5
Botafogo vs InternacionalHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras87.585.674.9
1.21.21.3
Internacional5.07.419.8
3.02.72.2
Botafogo2.40.40.1
0.96.512.0
10.912.513.3
Flamengo vs GremioHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo8.92.81.3
Yes100.0100.0
2.63.23.7
Sport Recife vs FlamengoHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras84.783.679.1
1.21.21.3
Flamengo1.42.88.8
100.0100.0Yes
3.63.32.7
Sport Recife17.639.350.1
13.915.516.2
Gremio vs ChapecoenseHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Chapecoense56.645.722.3
16.415.814.2
Vitoria59.361.164.9
16.616.716.8
Sao Paulo vs CruzeiroHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG38.236.530.1
7.47.57.7
Atletico-PR26.624.920.3
7.87.98.1
Cruzeiro7.812.829.4
0.00.0No
9.18.57.5
Vasco da Gama vs Sao PauloHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama12.632.743.3
13.415.115.7
Atletico-MG vs BahiaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG51.629.121.4
No*No0.0
6.87.68.1
Atletico-PR18.226.028.1
8.07.97.9
Santos16.022.523.5
8.38.28.2
Cruzeiro12.718.820.7
8.48.38.3
Bahia0.00.42.8
12.16.81.0
13.212.510.8
Atletico-PR vs CorinthiansHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG28.636.939.4
7.67.47.4
Atletico-PR38.619.112.0
No0.00.0
7.18.08.7
Santos16.521.923.4
8.48.28.2
Corinthians0.00.11.4
18.011.22.4
13.913.211.4
Vitoria vs Atletico-PRHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG39.636.728.5
7.47.57.7
Atletico-PR12.119.038.5
0.00.0No
8.68.17.2
Santos23.521.716.4
8.18.28.4
Cruzeiro19.718.314.1
8.28.38.5
Sport Recife38.533.932.7
15.315.115.1
Chapecoense44.239.938.4
15.615.415.3
Vitoria0.0NoNo
42.368.677.1
15.617.117.5
Santos vs BotafogoHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG30.636.737.6
7.67.47.5
Atletico-PR20.025.226.7
8.07.97.9
Santos33.515.910.2
No0.00.0
7.48.49.1
Botafogo0.10.42.5
12.06.50.9
13.412.510.8
America-MG vs SantosHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG37.836.530.4
7.47.57.6
Atletico-PR27.025.019.8
7.87.98.1
Santos10.515.833.2
0.00.0No
9.08.47.4
Cruzeiro19.718.413.9
8.28.38.5
America-MG59.181.688.3
16.617.818.1
Cruzeiro vs VitoriaHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG30.036.538.2
7.77.57.4
Atletico-PR20.324.926.6
8.17.97.8
Cruzeiro29.412.87.8
No0.00.0
7.58.59.1
Sport Recife32.733.938.5
15.115.115.3
Chapecoense38.439.944.2
15.415.415.6
VitoriaNoNo0.0
77.168.642.3
17.517.115.6
Bahia vs FluminenseHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fluminense0.10.42.5
9.05.00.3
13.012.110.3
Bahia2.60.50.1
0.86.712.3
10.712.413.4
Fluminense vs CearaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fluminense2.50.40.1
0.24.49.5
10.412.112.9
Ceara43.732.612.1
15.815.013.2
Corinthians vs Vasco da GamaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians1.30.20.0
1.610.219.4
11.313.114.0
Vasco da Gama44.632.411.6
15.915.013.2
Ceara vs ParanaHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Ceara12.732.543.2
13.315.015.7
Chapecoense vs Sport RecifeHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sport Recife53.838.014.7
16.315.513.8
Chapecoense19.345.160.0
14.115.816.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.