Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleLibertadoresChance will finish season at seedSerie B
SundayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIMonday
Corinthians47114-5-12276.7%+2.999.7%+0.077165210000000000000001.4+0.050.0%1Sport Club Corinthians Paulista
GremioTAtletico-PR 0-04012-4-51613.5-1.191.3-0.11436201174321110000000003.3-0.010.0+0.02Gremio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense
SantosTCoritiba 0-03710-7-495.2-0.777.6-0.55192015118643321110000004.7-0.050.3+0.03Santos Futebol Clube
PalmeirasLChapecoense 0-23310-3-861.6-1.055.3-7.52812131110876544322111006.8-0.691.8+0.77Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
Flamengo328-8-580.9+0.144.1+1.615910109987655433221107.9+0.093.6+0.25Clube de Regatas do Flamengo
CruzeiroWSport Recife 2-0308-6-760.4+0.232.2+10.1036788887776554432109.2+1.336.9-4.94Cruzeiro Esporte Clube
Atletico-PRTGremio 0-0308-6-720.4-0.132.1-1.9036788887776554432109.3-0.277.0+0.98Clube Atletico Paranaense
Sport RecifeLCruzeiro 0-2298-5-820.3-0.226.9-7.2024677777776665443219.9-0.949.3+3.29Sport Club do Recife
Fluminense2716-9-520.2+0.021.6+1.20235667777777665543110.8+0.0313.4+0.66Atletico-MGFluminense Football Club
BotafogoLPonte Preta 1-2287-7-720.2-0.120.3-6.40134566777777666543110.9-0.9913.5+4.310Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas
Atletico-MG2617-5-8-20.2+0.019.0+1.10134566677777766654211.2+0.0315.9+0.711at FluminenseClube Atletico Mineiro
Ponte PretaWBotafogo 2-1277-6-8-30.1+0.116.2+6.00123456667777777654211.6+1.2517.2-8.212Associacao Atletica Ponte Preta
ChapecoenseWPalmeiras 2-02517-4-9-80.1+0.115.2+5.50123455666777777765211.9+1.2219.9-8.513Associacao Chapecoense de Futebol
BahiaWVasco da Gama 3-0267-5-900.1+0.013.0+5.00123445566777777765312.2+1.2221.2-9.115Esporte Clube Bahia
CoritibaTSantos 0-0267-5-9-50.1-0.013.0-1.50123445566777777775212.3-0.3721.5+2.614Coritiba Football Club
Vasco da GamaLBahia 0-3257-4-10-120.0-0.09.9-4.30012334556677888887413.0-1.0426.5+7.318Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Sao PauloTAvai 1-1236-5-10-30.0-0.05.2-0.90011123344566789101111714.5-0.3839.7+3.919Sao Paulo Futebol Clube
Vitoria226-4-11-90.0+0.03.8+0.300011223344567891112141015.1-0.0546.1+1.217Esporte Clube Vitoria
AvaiTSao Paulo 1-1225-7-9-140.0-0.03.3-0.700011122334567891113151115.4-0.3949.1+4.316Avai Futebol Clube
Atletico-GO154-3-14-190.00.2+0.00000000000111234610185318.6-0.0586.9+0.720Atletico Clube Goianiense

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 8/19
Corinthians 0 Vitoria 1
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians-5.3
Gremio+2.8
Santos+1.2
Palmeiras+0.6
Cruzeiro+0.6
Fluminense+0.6
Atletico-MG+0.7
Ponte Preta+0.9
Chapecoense+0.9
Bahia+1.0
Coritiba+0.8
Vasco da Gama+0.8
Sao Paulo+1.1
Vitoria+1.5
-10.7
+1.0
Avai+1.1
Atletico-GO+0.7
Gremio 0 Atletico-PR 0
11:00 AM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians+1.3
Gremio-1.6
-0.5
-0.1
Santos+0.2
+0.3
Palmeiras+0.4
Flamengo+0.3
Atletico-PR-0.2
-3.1
+0.5
-0.3
Sport Recife+0.4
Botafogo+0.3
Palmeiras 0 Chapecoense 2
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians+0.7
Palmeiras-1.2
-8.8
+0.8
-0.8
Flamengo+0.4
Cruzeiro+0.3
+0.3
Atletico-PR+0.3
+0.3
Sport Recife+0.3
+0.3
Atletico-MG+0.3
+0.5
Ponte Preta+0.2
+0.6
Chapecoense+5.1
-8.8
+1.2
Bahia+0.6
Coritiba+0.6
Vasco da Gama+0.7
Sao Paulo+0.9
Vitoria+0.9
Avai+0.9
Coritiba 0 Santos 0
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians+0.8
Gremio+0.2
Santos-1.1
-1.4
-0.1
Chapecoense-0.2
Bahia-0.2
Coritiba-2.3
+1.6
-0.4
Vasco da Gama-0.2
Sao Paulo*-0.1
Vitoria-0.2
Avai-0.2
Cruzeiro 2 Sport Recife 0
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Cruzeiro+0.2
+8.8
-5.2
+1.3
Sport Recife-0.3
-8.8
+2.9
-1.0
Flamengo 2 Atletico-GO 0
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos-0.7
Palmeiras-0.9
Flamengo+0.3
+9.8
-3.4
+1.2
Cruzeiro-0.7
Atletico-PR-0.9
Sport Recife-0.9
Fluminense-0.7
Botafogo-0.8
Atletico-MG-0.6
Coritiba-0.5
-0.2
Vasco da Gama-0.5
-0.2
Atletico-GONo
-0.3
+6.4
-0.5
Ponte Preta 2 Botafogo 1
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras+0.3
Flamengo+0.2
Atletico-PR+0.2
Botafogo-0.2
-7.5
+4.2
-1.1
Ponte Preta+5.3
-8.6
+1.2
Vitoria+0.5
Bahia 3 Vasco da Gama 0
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bahia+4.3
-9.7
+1.2
Vasco da Gama-5.1
+6.8
-1.1
Avai 1 Sao Paulo 1
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo-1.2
+2.1
-0.3
Avai-1.0
+2.5
-0.3
Chapecoense vs CorinthiansIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians70.875.283.5
99.599.799.9
0.00.0No
1.51.41.2
Gremio16.614.39.9
91.191.491.5
Chapecoense0.20.10.0
21.712.910.1
12.621.626.2
10.712.312.9
Fluminense vs Atletico-MGHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fluminense0.40.10.1
30.119.214.7
7.614.218.7
9.511.111.9
Atletico-MG0.10.10.3
12.616.526.9
21.717.19.3
12.311.69.9
Week of 8/26
Corinthians vs Atletico-GOIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians83.575.170.8
99.999.799.5
NoNo0.0
1.21.41.5
Gremio9.914.316.6
Santos3.65.66.5
Atletico-GONo0.00.0
0.00.10.3
91.688.980.9
19.018.818.1
Gremio vs Sport RecifeHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians72.978.079.6
Gremio18.611.99.5
95.890.887.3
2.73.43.7
Sport Recife0.10.20.6
19.223.936.5
13.110.14.9
11.010.38.7
Cruzeiro vs SantosHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos3.24.27.8
69.976.386.3
0.60.30.1
5.44.93.9
Cruzeiro0.80.30.2
42.929.223.5
3.47.510.0
8.09.510.3
Palmeiras vs Sao PauloHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras2.61.20.8
66.452.546.0
0.61.93.0
5.87.07.7
Sao Paulo2.74.18.5
48.542.529.0
15.414.813.3
Flamengo vs Atletico-PRHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo1.50.60.4
55.841.434.1
1.53.85.5
6.78.28.9
Atletico-PR0.20.30.7
23.129.142.9
10.37.63.4
10.39.68.0
Ponte Preta vs Atletico-MGHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG0.10.10.3
12.716.526.8
21.817.09.2
12.311.69.9
Ponte Preta0.20.10.0
23.513.910.4
10.118.523.6
10.311.912.7
Fluminense vs Vasco da GamaHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fluminense0.40.10.1
29.919.214.9
7.514.118.9
9.511.111.9
Vasco da Gama5.88.115.2
34.528.517.2
14.013.311.7
Bahia vs BotafogoHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo0.10.10.3
13.717.728.6
19.014.47.4
12.011.29.6
Bahia0.20.00.0
19.410.98.0
13.122.928.4
10.912.613.3
Avai vs ChapecoenseHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Chapecoense0.00.10.2
10.013.021.7
27.021.212.0
13.012.210.6
Avai5.52.51.6
37.452.059.0
14.315.716.3
Coritiba vs VitoriaHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Coritiba19.010.98.2
13.022.929.2
11.012.613.4
Vitoria1.92.96.3
56.048.834.5
16.015.414.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.