Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleLibertadoresChance will finish season at seedSerie B
4/15PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPISunday
Atletico-PRWChapecoense 5-131-0-046.9%+1.936.8%+6.8766666555555554444439.4+1.0814.7%-5.31at GremioClube Atletico Paranaense
America-MGWSport Recife 3-031-0-036.9+1.936.8+6.8766666555555554444439.4+1.0714.7-5.21at FlamengoAmerica Futebol Clube-MG
Santos31-0-026.9-0.136.8-0.3766666555555554444439.4-0.0514.7+0.21at BahiaSantos Futebol Clube
InternacionalWBahia 2-031-0-026.9+1.936.7+6.7766666555555554444439.4+1.0814.7-5.31at PalmeirasSport Club Internacional
CorinthiansWFluminense 2-131-0-016.9+1.936.7+6.6766666555555554444439.4+1.0714.7-5.31at ParanaSport Club Corinthians Paulista
Vasco da GamaWAtletico-MG 2-131-0-016.9+1.936.7+6.6766666555555554444439.4+1.0614.7-5.31at ChapecoenseClub de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Gremio31-0-016.9-0.136.7-0.3766666555555554444439.4-0.0414.7+0.11Atletico-PRGremio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense
Sao PauloWParana 1-031-0-016.9+1.936.7+6.6766666555555554444439.4+1.0614.7-5.21at CearaSao Paulo Futebol Clube
Flamengo10-1-004.3-0.127.8-0.24555555555555555555510.8-0.0321.3+0.19America-MGClube de Regatas do Flamengo
Vitoria10-1-004.3-0.127.8-0.24555555555555555555510.8-0.0321.3+0.19at Atletico-MGEsporte Clube Vitoria
BotafogoTPalmeiras 1-110-1-004.3-0.727.8-2.34555555555555555555510.8-0.3421.3+1.49at Sport RecifeBotafogo de Futebol e Regatas
PalmeirasTBotafogo 1-110-1-004.3-0.727.8-2.44555555555555555555510.8-0.3421.3+1.49InternacionalSociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
ParanaLSao Paulo 0-100-0-1-13.5-1.624.4-5.73444445555555556666711.4-0.9224.6+4.69CorinthiansParana Clube
Atletico-MGLVasco da Gama 1-200-0-1-13.5-1.624.4-5.73444445555555556666711.4-0.9224.6+4.69VitoriaClube Atletico Mineiro
FluminenseLCorinthians 1-200-0-1-13.5-1.624.4-5.73444445555555556666711.4-0.9324.6+4.79CruzeiroFluminense Football Club
Cruzeiro00-0-1-13.5-0.024.4-0.13444445555555556666711.4-0.0324.6+0.19at FluminenseCruzeiro Esporte Clube
BahiaLInternacional 0-200-0-1-23.5-1.624.4-5.73444445555555556666711.4-0.9324.6+4.79SantosEsporte Clube Bahia
Ceara00-0-1-23.5-0.024.4-0.13444445555555556666711.4-0.0224.6+0.19Sao PauloCeara Sporting Club
Sport RecifeLAmerica-MG 0-300-0-1-33.5-1.624.3-5.83444445555555556666711.4-0.9324.6+4.79BotafogoSport Club do Recife
ChapecoenseLAtletico-PR 1-500-0-1-43.4-1.624.3-5.73444445555555556666711.4-0.9324.7+4.79Vasco da GamaAssociacao Chapecoense de Futebol

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 4/14
Cruzeiro 0 Gremio 1
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-PR-0.1
America-MG-0.1
Santos-0.1
Vasco da Gama-0.1
Gremio+2.0
+6.9
-5.4
+1.1
Sao Paulo-0.1
Flamengo-0.1
Vitoria-0.1
Botafogo-0.1
Parana-0.1
Atletico-MG-0.1
Fluminense-0.1
Cruzeiro-1.6
-5.7
+4.7
-0.9
Bahia-0.1
Atletico-PR 5 Chapecoense 1
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-PR+2.0
+7.0
-5.4
+1.1
Chapecoense-1.6
-5.7
+4.6
-0.9
Internacional 2 Bahia 0
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional+2.0
+6.9
-5.3
+1.1
Bahia-1.6
-5.7
+4.7
-0.9
Santos 2 Ceara 0
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos+2.0
+6.8
-5.4
+1.1
Internacional-0.2
Ceara-1.6
-5.7
+4.6
-0.9
Sao Paulo 1 Parana 0
8:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo+2.0
+6.9
-5.4
+1.1
Parana-1.6
-5.7
+4.7
-0.9
America-MG 3 Sport Recife 0
11:00 AM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
America-MG+2.0
+6.8
-5.3
+1.1
Sport Recife-1.6
-5.7
+4.7
-0.9
Vasco da Gama 2 Atletico-MG 1
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-PR*-0.2
Vasco da Gama+2.0
+7.0
-5.4
+1.1
Atletico-MG-1.6
-5.8
+4.7
-0.9
Corinthians 2 Fluminense 1
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians+2.0
+6.9
-5.4
+1.1
Fluminense-1.6
-5.6
+4.6
-0.9
Vitoria 2 Flamengo 2
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-PR+0.2
America-MG+0.2
Santos+0.2
Internacional+0.2
Corinthians+0.2
Vasco da Gama+0.2
Gremio+0.2
Sao Paulo+0.2
Flamengo-0.6
-1.9
+1.1
-0.3
Vitoria-0.6
-1.9
+1.1
-0.3
Botafogo+0.2
-0.2
Palmeiras+0.2
Parana+0.2
-0.2
Atletico-MG+0.2
Fluminense+0.2
Cruzeiro+0.2
Bahia+0.2
Ceara+0.2
-0.2
Sport Recife+0.2
Chapecoense+0.2
Botafogo 1 Palmeiras 1
8:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-PR+0.3
-0.2
Internacional-0.2
Corinthians+0.2
Vasco da Gama+0.3
Gremio+0.2
Sao Paulo+0.3
Vitoria+0.3
Botafogo-0.6
-1.9
+1.0
-0.3
Palmeiras-0.7
-1.9
+1.1
-0.3
Parana+0.2
Atletico-MG+0.2
-0.2
Fluminense+0.3
Cruzeiro+0.2
-0.2
Sport Recife+0.3
Chapecoense+0.2
Week of 4/22
Gremio vs Atletico-PRIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-PR4.86.19.5
30.534.844.4
18.515.610.3
10.39.78.3
Gremio9.56.14.8
44.334.730.4
10.315.618.6
8.39.710.3
Palmeiras vs InternacionalHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional4.96.19.4
30.534.744.3
18.615.610.2
10.39.78.3
Palmeiras6.13.72.9
34.525.922.2
15.722.626.2
9.711.111.8
Flamengo vs America-MGHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
America-MG4.96.19.5
30.534.744.3
18.615.610.2
10.39.78.3
Flamengo6.13.72.9
34.525.922.2
15.722.626.2
9.711.111.8
Bahia vs SantosHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-PR7.07.06.8
36.837.036.6
14.814.614.7
Santos4.96.19.4
30.534.744.3
18.615.610.2
10.39.78.3
Internacional6.97.06.8
36.737.036.6
14.814.614.7
Corinthians6.97.06.8
*36.737.036.6
14.814.614.7
Bahia5.03.02.3
30.722.619.2
18.526.029.9
10.311.712.3
Ceara vs Sao PauloHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-PR7.07.06.8
*36.837.036.6
14.814.614.7
America-MG6.97.06.8
36.837.036.6
14.814.614.7
Santos6.97.06.8
36.737.036.6
14.814.614.7
Internacional6.97.06.8
36.737.036.6
14.814.614.7
Vasco da Gama6.97.06.8
36.737.036.6
14.814.614.7
Sao Paulo4.96.19.4
30.534.744.2
18.715.610.2
10.39.78.3
Ceara5.03.02.3
30.722.619.2
18.526.029.9
10.311.712.3
Parana vs CorinthiansHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-PR7.07.06.8
36.837.036.6
14.814.614.7
Internacional6.97.06.8
*36.737.036.6
14.814.614.7
Corinthians4.96.19.4
30.534.744.2
18.715.610.2
10.39.78.3
Gremio6.97.06.8
36.737.036.6
14.814.614.7
Parana5.03.02.3
30.722.619.2
18.526.029.8
10.311.712.3
Chapecoense vs Vasco da GamaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos6.97.06.8
*36.737.036.6
14.814.614.7
Internacional6.97.06.8
36.737.036.6
14.814.614.7
Corinthians6.97.06.8
36.737.036.6
14.814.614.7
Vasco da Gama4.96.19.4
30.534.744.2
18.715.610.2
10.39.78.3
Gremio6.97.06.8
36.737.036.6
14.814.614.7
Sao Paulo6.97.06.8
36.737.036.6
14.814.614.7
Chapecoense5.03.02.3
30.722.519.1
18.526.029.9
10.311.712.3
Atletico-MG vs VitoriaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vitoria2.93.76.0
22.325.934.5
26.322.515.6
11.811.19.7
Atletico-MG4.93.02.3
30.722.619.2
18.425.929.9
10.311.712.3
Sport Recife vs BotafogoHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo2.93.76.0
22.325.934.5
26.322.515.6
11.811.19.7
Sport Recife4.93.02.3
30.722.519.2
18.526.029.9
10.311.712.3
Fluminense vs CruzeiroHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fluminense4.93.02.3
30.722.619.3
18.425.929.9
10.311.712.3
Cruzeiro2.33.04.9
19.322.630.7
29.925.918.4
12.311.710.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.