Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleUEFA CLChance will finish season at seedLigue 2
3/17PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPI4/1
MonacoWCaen 3-07122-5-36170.3%+5.9100.0%+0.07025401.3+0.10No1Saint-ÉtienneMonaco
PSGWLyon 2-16821-5-43924.7+0.5100.0+0.4255322002.0+0.11No3at MetzParis Saint-Germain
NiceTNantes 1-16418-10-2245.0-6.499.4+0.85217310002.7-0.20No2BordeauxNice
LyonLPSG 1-25016-2-12250.0-0.00.6-1.20016024104110000004.6-0.25No7at RennesLyon
MarseilleTLille 0-04613-7-106No0.0-0.00015262417953110000006.1-0.160.0%5DijonMarseille
BordeauxWMontpellier 5-14612-10-85No0.0+0.0001526241695311000006.2+0.75No-0.04at NiceBordeaux
Saint-ÉtienneWDijon 1-04411-11-810No0.0+0.00081721201396321000007.0+0.840.0-0.06at MonacoSaint-Étienne
RennesTToulouse 0-0399-12-9-5NoNo-0.0125913141412108642100010.2-0.210.2-0.39LyonRennes
AngersWGuingamp 3-03911-6-13-7NoNo025913141412119642100010.2+1.250.2-1.712at NantesAngers
GuingampLAngers 0-33810-8-12-2NoNo-0.00137111213121210863100010.8-0.920.5-0.011NancyGuingamp
NantesTNice 1-13810-8-12-16NoNo-0.0013691112131211963100011.0-0.190.5-0.510AngersNantes
MetzWBastia 1-03810-8-12-23NoNo013691112131311964200011.2+1.280.6-3.48PSGMetz
ToulouseTRennes 0-0379-10-11-1NoNo0125810121213121085210011.5-0.181.0-0.814at MontpellierToulouse
LilleTMarseille 0-0349-7-14-8NoNo000134681012151512842013.6-0.066.0-2.615at BastiaLille
MontpellierLBordeaux 1-5338-9-13-11NoNo000123468111416151163114.4-0.7810.2+1.613ToulouseMontpellier
CaenLMonaco 0-3329-5-16-20NoNo000012346812161815105215.1-0.6916.2+2.416at LorientCaen
DijonLSaint-Étienne 0-1286-10-14-9NoNo00000011248131921181117.2-0.4750.2+5.119at MarseilleDijon
NancyLLorient 2-3287-7-16-19NoNo00000011247121822201217.3-0.4553.1+5.720at GuingampNancy
BastiaLMetz 0-1255-10-15-20NoNo000000001351018263618.6-0.3679.9+4.917LilleBastia
LorientWNancy 3-2257-4-19-29NoNo00000000125917263918.7+0.5781.4-10.318CaenLorient

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 4/1
Monaco vs Saint-ÉtienneIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Monaco81.668.660.3
1.21.41.5
PSG15.726.132.6
2.12.01.9
Nice2.75.37.1
Lyon4.64.64.7
Marseille6.06.16.3
Bordeaux6.16.16.3
Saint-Étienne0.00.0No
7.77.16.3
Rennes10.210.210.3
Angers10.210.210.3
Guingamp10.810.810.9
Nantes11.011.011.1
Metz vs PSGHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Monaco77.972.860.6
1.31.31.4
PSG16.221.935.5
2.12.01.8
Nice5.95.23.9
2.62.72.8
Saint-Étienne7.17.07.0
Rennes10.310.210.1
Angers10.410.210.1
Guingamp11.010.810.7
Nantes11.211.010.9
Metz0.10.51.1
10.111.412.1
Toulouse11.611.511.4
Lille13.713.613.6
Montpellier14.414.314.3
Caen15.215.115.0
Nice vs BordeauxHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Monaco67.671.272.2
1.41.31.3
PSG23.625.025.5
2.11.91.9
Nice8.83.82.3
99.999.498.9
2.52.72.8
Lyon0.20.61.0
4.64.64.7
Marseille6.06.16.3
Bordeaux0.00.00.1
6.76.35.6
Saint-Étienne6.97.07.1
Bastia vs LilleHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Rennes10.210.210.3
Angers10.210.210.3
Guingamp10.810.810.9
Nantes11.011.011.1
Metz11.111.111.3
Toulouse11.411.511.6
Lille11.15.51.4
14.613.812.6
Montpellier11.19.89.5
14.314.314.4
Caen17.515.715.4
15.115.115.2
Dijon52.049.448.9
Nancy54.952.451.9
17.417.317.3
Bastia67.983.389.2
18.118.819.1
Lorient82.181.080.9
18.818.718.6
Guingamp vs NancyHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Saint-Étienne7.17.07.0
Rennes10.310.210.1
Angers10.410.210.2
Guingamp0.00.31.1
9.811.011.8
Nantes11.111.011.0
Metz0.40.50.7
11.311.111.1
Toulouse0.80.91.3
11.611.511.5
Lille5.15.87.2
Montpellier8.89.811.8
Caen14.315.718.6
Dijon46.549.254.6
17.217.217.3
Nancy66.256.537.3
18.017.516.6
Bastia77.879.482.5
18.518.618.7
Lorient79.581.083.6
18.618.718.8
Montpellier vs ToulouseHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Rennes10.210.210.3
Angers10.210.210.3
Toulouse2.00.80.1
12.611.710.3
Montpellier3.710.516.3
13.214.615.3
Caen16.8*16.215.7
Dijon51.450.149.0
17.317.217.2
Nancy54.453.151.9
17.417.317.3
Bastia80.879.979.1
Lorient82.481.380.4
Rennes vs LyonHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Nice99.899.698.8
LyonNo0.00.0
0.20.31.2
4.94.74.3
Rennes0.00.20.5
9.110.411.1
Angers10.410.210.2
Guingamp11.010.810.7
Nantes11.111.010.9
Metz11.311.111.1
Toulouse11.611.511.4
Lille13.713.613.6
Montpellier14.414.314.3
Marseille vs DijonHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Lyon4.74.64.6
Marseille5.66.26.7
Bordeaux6.36.16.1
Saint-Étienne7.17.06.9
Lille5.15.87.2
13.613.613.7
Montpellier8.89.811.8
14.314.314.4
Caen14.315.718.6
15.015.115.2
Dijon62.953.334.9
17.917.416.5
Nancy49.552.357.5
17.217.317.5
Bastia77.779.582.5
18.518.618.7
Lorient79.481.083.7
18.618.718.8
Lorient vs CaenHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Guingamp10.810.810.9
Nantes11.011.011.1
Metz11.111.111.2
Toulouse11.511.511.6
Lille6.35.86.0
13.613.613.7
Montpellier10.89.89.8
14.314.314.4
Caen26.516.16.0
16.015.314.1
Dijon50.849.250.3
Nancy53.552.253.5
Bastia79.979.480.4
18.718.618.6
Lorient68.984.791.1
18.118.819.1
Nantes vs AngersHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Angers0.40.10.0
11.310.49.1
Nantes0.00.41.0
9.811.212.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you MarkusPaminger for adding this league.