Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleUEFA CLChance will finish season at seedLigue 2
PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPI
PSG68122-2-35198.3%+0.4100.0%-0.0982001.0No1Paris Saint-Germain
Marseille5616-8-4121.6-0.593.5-2.327318510000002.3-0.10No2Marseille
Rennes5015-5-8140.1+0.053.5+8.6014392810521100000003.7+0.52No-0.04Rennes
Lille4915-4-980.0+0.040.6+6.10103133136321100000004.1+0.58No-0.03Lille
Reims4110-11-750.02.5+0.40026121312111097653210008.3+1.160.0%-0.25Reims
Nice4111-8-930.02.4+0.40026121312111097653210008.3+1.160.1-0.38Nice
Lyonnais4011-7-10150.01.6-4.00015111111111098764311008.8-0.940.1+0.17Lyonnais
Montpellier4011-7-1010.01.5-3.80014911111110109865321009.0-1.010.1+0.112Montpellier
Monaco4011-7-1000.01.7-3.40024910111110109865321009.0-0.960.1+0.111Monaco
Strasbourg38111-5-1100.01.3-0.60014891010101098764310009.5-0.010.4+0.013Strasbourg
Angers3911-6-11-5No0.8+0.2013689101010109875310009.8+1.200.3-0.99Angers
Bordeaux379-10-96No0.3-0.50014568891011111085210011.1-0.261.0-0.16Bordeaux
Nantes3711-4-13-3No0.2-0.90014567891011111086310011.2-1.011.1+0.510Nantes
Brest348-10-10-3No0.0-0.20001223467911131413941013.3-0.995.2+2.114Brest
Metz348-10-10-8No0.0+0.00001123467911131413941013.4+0.995.2-6.716Metz
Dijon307-9-12-10No0.0-0.00000001122458131821177015.8+0.7224.4-14.217Dijon
Saint-Étienne308-6-14-16No0.0-0.0000001112358131822187015.9-0.2725.3+1.815Saint-Étienne
Nîmes277-6-15-15No0.0-0.0000000001124712203220117.2-0.6353.1+14.218Nîmes
Amiens234-11-13-19NoNo00000000012492159518.4-0.0983.7+3.519Amiens
Toulouse133-4-21-36NoNo00000059419.9-0.0599.9+0.320Toulouse

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 3/6
Marseille 2 Amiens 2
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
PSG+0.5
Marseille-0.5
-0.1
-0.0
Lille*+0.1
Metz-0.3
Dijon-0.6
Saint-Étienne-0.6
Nîmes-0.6
Amiens+2.5
-0.1
Rennes 5 Montpellier 0
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Marseille-0.8
Rennes+13.7
+0.6
Lille-5.2
Reims-0.5
Nice-0.5
Lyonnais-1.1
Montpellier*No
-3.6
-1.0
Monaco-0.9
Strasbourg-0.4
Angers-0.2
Bordeaux-0.2
Nantes-0.3
Lille 1 Lyonnais 0
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Marseille-0.9
Rennes-5.1
Lille+12.8
*No
+0.7
Reims-0.3
Nice-0.3
Lyonnais*No
-3.6
-1.0
Montpellier-0.8
Monaco-0.8
Strasbourg-0.4
Bordeaux-0.2
Nantes-0.2
Nice 2 Monaco 1
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Rennes+0.3
Lille+0.3
Nice+1.8
-0.3
+1.2
Monaco*No
-2.7
-1.0
Reims 1 Brest 0
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Rennes-0.5
Lille-0.4
Reims+1.7
-0.3
+1.2
Brest-0.2
+2.1
-1.0
Metz-0.2
Dijon-0.5
Saint-Étienne-0.4
Nîmes-0.4
Amiens-0.3
Angers 2 Nantes 0
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Angers+0.7
-0.9
+1.3
Nantes-0.7
+0.5
-1.1
Saint-Étienne 1 Bordeaux 1
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Bordeaux-0.3
-0.2
-0.2
Metz-0.1
Dijon-0.3
Saint-Étienne+1.4
-0.2
Nîmes-0.4
Amiens-0.2
Metz 2 Nîmes 1
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Brest-0.3
Metz-7.3
+1.0
Dijon-1.9
Saint-Étienne-1.4
NîmesNo
+12.3
-0.6
Amiens-1.1
Dijon 2 Toulouse 1
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Angers+0.3
Bordeaux+0.3
Brest+0.6
Metz+1.6
Dijon-12.3
+0.7
Saint-Étienne+2.6
-0.1
Nîmes+3.8
-0.1
Amiens+2.3
Toulouse+0.3
Week of 3/13
Montpellier vs MarseilleIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Marseille0.71.22.8
89.793.397.4
2.52.32.2
Montpellier2.91.00.5
7.99.210.0
PSG vs NiceHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Nice1.01.74.5
9.28.57.2
Bordeaux vs RennesHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Marseille94.893.891.8
2.32.32.4
Rennes0.00.00.1
42.451.066.6
4.13.73.3
Lille46.842.133.1
4.04.04.2
Bordeaux0.80.20.0
0.20.91.8
9.911.312.1
Brest vs LilleHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Marseille95.094.091.5
2.32.32.4
Rennes59.755.145.9
3.63.73.8
Lille30.137.753.4
4.54.13.6
Brest1.95.38.3
12.213.614.2
Lyonnais vs ReimsHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Reims0.91.84.6
9.38.47.1
Lyonnais3.11.10.6
7.69.09.9
Monaco vs Saint-ÉtienneHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Monaco3.11.10.6
0.00.10.3
7.99.210.0
Dijon22.424.126.6
15.715.815.9
Saint-ÉtienneNo0.00.0
34.526.814.7
16.516.115.0
Nîmes49.752.656.9
17.117.117.2
Amiens81.983.485.8
18.318.418.5
Strasbourg vs DijonHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Strasbourg2.50.90.5
0.00.30.8
8.49.710.5
DijonNo0.00.0
33.525.814.1
16.516.014.9
Saint-Étienne23.325.027.4
15.815.815.9
Nîmes49.852.656.8
17.117.117.2
Amiens82.083.485.7
18.318.418.4
Amiens vs AngersHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Angers0.30.51.7
0.70.20.0
10.810.18.7
Dijon26.523.822.7
Saint-Étienne27.424.623.6
Nîmes55.352.551.3
17.217.117.1
Amiens75.186.190.3
18.118.518.7
Nantes vs NîmesHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Nantes0.50.10.1
0.10.92.4
10.011.412.2
Dijon21.223.728.1
Saint-Étienne22.024.529.1
15.815.815.9
Nîmes64.756.039.1
17.617.316.5
Amiens82.183.285.8
18.318.418.5
Toulouse vs MetzHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Metz8.45.31.9
14.313.712.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you MarkusPaminger for adding this league.