Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleUEFA CLChance will finish season at seedLigue 2
SaturdayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPI1/27
PSGat Lyonnais56118-2-15282.6%-1.899.1%-0.18313410000001.2-0.03No1MontpellierParis Saint-Germain
MarseilleWCaen 2-04714-5-3237.3+2.372.1+9.67343121510000000000002.9+0.320.0%-0.03Marseille
LyonnaisPSG45113-6-2286.5-0.368.1-2.3731312362100000000000003.0-0.060.02at BordeauxLyonnais
MonacoMetz43113-4-4263.5-0.252.2-3.34212831104210000000000003.5-0.060.04Monaco
NantesLBordeaux 0-13410-4-8-20.0-0.03.4-3.20138201713108643221100007.4-0.680.4+0.25at GuingampNantes
NiceSaint-Étienne3119-4-8-40.0-0.01.9-0.30025151513119765432211008.3-0.031.2+0.08at MetzNice
MontpellierWToulouse 2-1317-10-550.0+0.01.0+0.300131113121110876543221109.0+1.041.7-2.26at PSGMontpellier
RennesWAngers 1-0319-4-9-30.0+0.01.0+0.300131112121110876543221109.1+1.051.8-2.39at DijonRennes
GuingampLAmiens 1-3298-5-9-50.0-0.00.4-0.6000269910109887654321110.4-0.924.3+1.67NantesGuingamp
StrasbourgWDijon 3-2277-6-9-90.00.2+0.10001357788888876543111.8+1.109.0-6.410at LilleStrasbourg
CaenLMarseille 0-2278-3-11-100.0-0.00.2-0.30001357788888876543111.8-0.999.0+3.011at Saint-ÉtienneCaen
BordeauxWNantes 1-0267-5-10-70.00.1+0.00000245678888887764212.5+1.0712.1-7.412LyonnaisBordeaux
AmiensWGuingamp 3-1257-4-11-40.00.1+0.00000234567888888876313.2+1.0615.9-8.713at AngersAmiens
DijonLStrasbourg 2-3257-4-11-140.0-0.00.1-0.10000234567788898876313.3-1.0016.6+4.914RennesDijon
Saint-Étienneat Nice2316-5-10-160.00.1-0.00000134456778899997413.7-0.0520.3+0.217CaenSaint-Étienne
TroyesWLille 1-0247-3-12-90.00.0+0.00000123456778999997513.9+1.0220.8-10.018at ToulouseTroyes
AngersLRennes 0-1224-10-8-70.0-0.00.0-0.000000122345678910111212915.2-0.9732.7+8.215AmiensAngers
LilleLTroyes 0-1226-4-12-140.0-0.00.0-0.0000001223456789101112121015.2-0.9533.6+8.216StrasbourgLille
ToulouseLMontpellier 1-2205-5-12-120.00.0-0.000000011223456791114171716.4-0.8947.6+10.019TroyesToulouse
Metzat Monaco1514-3-14-18No-0.00.0000000011122346812194318.2-0.0372.9+0.520NiceMetz

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 1/17
PSG 8 Dijon 0
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
PSG+6.4
+0.9
Marseille-2.3
Lyonnais-2.1
-0.2
Monaco-1.8
Dijon-0.3
+3.5
-0.9
Guingamp 0 Lyonnais 2
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
PSG-2.3
-0.3
Marseille-0.4
-2.8
Lyonnais+3.1
+9.7
No
+0.4
Monaco-0.3
-3.3
Nantes-1.0
Guingamp-1.4
+1.1
-0.8
Caen 0 Marseille 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
PSG-1.9
Marseille+2.5
+9.4
No
+0.3
Lyonnais-0.3
-3.0
Monaco-0.2
-3.9
Nantes-1.0
Caen-0.3
+2.9
-0.9
Marseille 2 Strasbourg 0
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
PSG-1.8
-0.3
Marseille+2.5
+9.9
No
+0.4
Lyonnais-0.3
-3.3
Monaco-0.4
-3.3
Nantes-1.2
StrasbourgNo
-0.3
+4.5
-0.9
Monaco 2 Nice 2
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
PSG+0.7
Marseille+0.7
Lyonnais+0.8
Monaco-0.9
-1.4
No
Nice-0.8
-0.2
Toulouse 1 Nantes 1
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Marseille+0.4
Lyonnais+0.4
Monaco+0.3
Nantes-1.2
-0.1
Amiens-0.2
Troyes-0.3
Lille-0.2
ToulouseNo
+1.8
-0.2
Nantes 0 Bordeaux 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Marseille+0.8
Lyonnais+0.8
Monaco+0.8
Nantes-2.6
-0.7
Bordeaux-7.5
+1.1
Lille 1 Rennes 2
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Rennes+0.4
-4.1
+1.1
LilleNo
+6.7
-1.0
Bordeaux 0 Caen 2
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Caen+0.3
-5.3
+1.2
Bordeaux+5.8
-1.0
Rennes 1 Angers 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Rennes+0.5
-2.5
+1.1
AngersNo
+7.8
-1.0
Amiens 1 Montpellier 1
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Montpellier-0.3
-0.2
Amiens+1.2
-0.2
Montpellier 2 Toulouse 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Montpellier+0.6
-2.4
+1.1
Troyes-0.8
Toulouse*No
+9.2
-0.8
Amiens 3 Guingamp 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Guingamp-0.6
+1.8
-0.9
Amiens-8.7
+1.1
Angers 3 Troyes 1
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
TroyesNo
+8.4
-1.0
Angers-10.9
+1.0
Strasbourg 3 Dijon 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Strasbourg-6.7
+1.2
Dijon+5.2
-1.0
Metz 3 Saint-Étienne 0
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Saint-Étienne+6.1
-0.9
Metz-8.1
+0.5
Troyes 1 Lille 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Troyes-10.6
+1.1
LilleNo
+8.7
-1.0
Lyonnais vs PSGIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
PSG74.882.890.2
98.499.299.8
1.31.21.1
Marseille9.07.85.1
69.472.674.4
3.02.92.9
Lyonnais11.65.52.3
76.966.660.5
NoNo0.0
2.73.13.3
Monaco4.43.82.4
48.452.955.5
3.53.53.4
Monaco vs MetzHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
PSG81.283.083.6
98.999.299.3
Marseille7.0*7.47.5
68.272.975.4
3.02.92.8
Lyonnais6.36.66.7
63.868.971.6
3.13.03.0
Monaco5.52.92.1
62.250.243.9
NoNo0.0
3.23.53.8
Angers31.732.433.9
15.115.115.2
Lille32.633.334.8
15.215.215.3
Toulouse46.647.448.8
16.316.416.5
Metz0.0No0.0
80.575.463.3
18.618.317.5
Nice vs Saint-ÉtienneHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Nice3.21.51.0
0.41.12.1
7.48.59.2
Saint-ÉtienneNoNo0.0
27.221.512.6
14.713.912.6
Week of 1/27
PSG vs MontpellierIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
PSG88.581.877.3
99.799.298.6
1.11.21.3
Marseille4.97.69.4
*72.172.372.0
Lyonnais4.36.98.5
Monaco2.33.74.6
MontpellierNo0.00.0
0.50.71.8
2.9*1.80.6
9.89.28.0
Bordeaux vs LyonnaisHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
PSG84.483.280.2
99.399.298.9
Marseille7.67.46.8
74.672.769.2
2.82.93.0
Lyonnais4.25.79.6
60.566.676.8
0.0NoNo
3.33.12.7
Monaco3.73.63.3
55.752.948.2
3.43.53.6
Bordeaux0.0NoNo
0.20.10.0
6.512.717.1
11.412.713.4
Guingamp vs NantesHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Nantes1.82.75.4
0.70.40.1
8.17.56.5
Guingamp0.80.30.1
1.94.56.7
9.310.611.4
Metz vs NiceHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Nice1.01.53.2
2.11.10.3
9.18.57.4
Lille34.733.332.7
Metz0.00.0No
63.375.380.5
17.518.318.7
Dijon vs RennesHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Rennes0.40.71.8
3.1*1.80.6
10.09.38.1
Dijon0.0NoNo
9.717.522.9
12.113.514.3
Saint-Étienne vs CaenHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
CaenNo0.00.0
0.10.10.3
13.59.34.2
12.912.010.6
Saint-Étienne0.0NoNo
12.321.327.6
12.513.914.7
Lille vs StrasbourgHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
StrasbourgNoNo0.0
0.10.10.3
13.79.24.2
12.912.010.6
Lille22.735.343.0
14.215.516.2
Angers vs AmiensHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
AmiensNoNo0.0
22.816.58.6
14.213.412.0
Angers21.834.342.3
14.115.416.1
Toulouse vs TroyesHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
TroyesNoNo0.0
29.221.511.9
14.914.112.7
Toulouse35.149.858.3
15.416.617.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you MarkusPaminger for adding this league.