Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleUEFA CLChance will finish season at seedLigue 2
10/20PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIFriday
PSGTMarseille 2-2268-2-02335.6%-2.566.3%-1.6361912965432211100000003.4-0.110.1%+0.01NiceParis Saint-Germain
MonacoWCaen 2-0227-1-21316.4+4.543.4+8.51615121087654432221110005.3+0.920.7-0.63at BordeauxMonaco
NantesWGuingamp 2-1206-2-2210.2+3.032.0+7.21011111098765543322211106.5+1.001.6-1.26at DijonNantes
LyonnaisWTroyes 5-0195-4-1108.2+2.627.8+6.881010988766544332221107.0+1.062.2-1.52MetzLyonnais
MarseilleTPSG 2-2185-3-236.3-1.023.0-2.0689888776655443322117.7-0.243.1+0.45at LilleMarseille
Saint-ÉtienneLMontpellier 0-1175-2-335.0-2.219.2-5.9577887776655544332118.3-0.884.1+1.49at ToulouseSaint-Étienne
BordeauxLAmiens 0-1164-4-213.8-1.815.6-5.3466777776665554433219.0-0.915.6+1.84MonacoBordeaux
MontpellierWSaint-Étienne 1-0154-3-322.8+0.912.6+3.5345666776666655443329.7+1.067.3-3.47RennesMontpellier
CaenLMonaco 0-2155-0-5-12.9-1.612.6-4.7345666666666655443319.7-0.957.3+2.414TroyesCaen
ToulouseWAngers 1-0144-2-4-42.1+0.79.9+2.92345566666666655543210.4+1.069.6-4.18Saint-ÉtienneToulouse
GuingampLNantes 1-2134-1-5-21.6-1.07.9-3.52344556666666666554311.0-0.9812.0+3.610AmiensGuingamp
AngersLToulouse 0-1122-6-221.2-0.76.3-2.91234455566666766665411.7-0.9814.7+4.111at StrasbourgAngers
TroyesLLyonnais 0-5123-3-4-51.2-0.86.1-3.01234455566666776665411.8-1.0215.1+4.412at CaenTroyes
NiceLStrasbourg 1-2103-1-6-30.6-0.43.6-1.91122334455666778888713.1-0.9722.3+5.620at PSGNice
RennesWLille 1-092-3-5-30.4+0.22.7+0.90112233445566778899913.7+0.9126.7-7.118at MontpellierRennes
StrasbourgWNice 2-192-3-5-60.4+0.22.7+0.90112233445566778899913.7+0.9126.9-7.115AngersStrasbourg
DijonWMetz 2-192-3-5-70.4+0.22.6+0.90112233445566778899913.7+0.9127.0-7.113NantesDijon
LilleLRennes 0-192-3-5-70.4-0.32.7-1.50112233445566778899913.7-0.9526.9+6.519MarseilleLille
AmiensWBordeaux 1-093-0-7-70.4+0.22.7+0.90112233445566778899913.7+0.9127.0-7.116at GuingampAmiens
MetzLDijon 1-231-0-9-140.0-0.00.3-0.30000011112233457911173217.0-0.7559.7+9.017at LyonnaisMetz

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 10/20
Monaco 2 Caen 0
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
PSG-0.8
-0.4
Monaco+4.3
+8.6
-0.7
+1.0
Nantes-0.2
-0.3
Lyonnais-0.2
-0.4
Marseille-0.3
-0.4
Saint-Étienne-0.2
-0.3
Bordeaux-0.2
-0.4
Caen-1.8
-5.1
+1.9
-0.9
Nantes 2 Guingamp 1
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
PSG-0.7
-0.4
Monaco-0.2
-0.4
Nantes+3.0
+7.3
-1.4
+1.1
Marseille-0.2
-0.4
Saint-Étienne-0.4
Caen-0.3
Guingamp-1.1
-3.7
+3.0
-1.0
Troyes 0 Lyonnais 5
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
PSG-0.5
-0.4
Monaco-0.2
-0.5
Nantes-0.4
Lyonnais+2.5
+6.6
-1.7
+1.1
Saint-Étienne-0.3
Troyes-0.9
-3.1
+3.5
-1.0
Strasbourg-0.2
Metz-0.3
Saint-Étienne 0 Montpellier 1
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
PSG+0.4
+0.2
Monaco+0.2
Nantes+0.2
Lyonnais+0.2
Marseille+0.2
Saint-Étienne-2.3
-5.9
+1.3
-0.9
Bordeaux+0.2
Montpellier+1.1
+4.0
-3.9
+1.2
Caen+0.2
Metz+0.3
Marseille 2 PSG 2
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
PSG-1.5
-1.1
-0.1
Monaco+0.4
+0.3
Nantes+0.3
+0.2
Lyonnais+0.2
+0.3
Marseille-0.8
-1.6
+0.1
-0.2
Saint-Étienne+0.2
+0.3
Bordeaux+0.3
+0.3
Caen+0.2
+0.3
Amiens 1 Bordeaux 0
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
PSG+0.5
+0.4
Monaco+0.2
+0.4
Nantes+0.4
Lyonnais+0.4
Marseille+0.2
+0.4
Saint-Étienne+0.3
Bordeaux-1.9
-5.2
+1.8
-0.9
Montpellier+0.2
+0.2
Caen+0.3
+0.2
Toulouse+0.4
Guingamp+0.3
+0.3
Angers+0.2
+0.3
Troyes+0.2
+0.3
Nice+0.5
Rennes+0.8
Strasbourg+0.7
Dijon+0.7
Lille+0.6
Amiens+0.2
+1.1
-8.0
+1.0
Metz+0.8
Angers 0 Toulouse 1
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Toulouse+0.8
+3.2
-4.8
+1.1
Angers-0.8
-3.0
+3.7
-1.0
Nice 1 Strasbourg 2
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Nice-0.4
-1.9
+5.2
-1.0
Rennes+0.4
Strasbourg+0.2
+1.0
-8.3
+1.0
Dijon+0.4
Amiens+0.4
Metz+0.3
Rennes 1 Lille 0
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Rennes+0.2
+1.0
-8.4
+1.0
Strasbourg+0.3
Dijon+0.3
Lille-0.4
-1.6
+5.9
-0.9
Metz 1 Dijon 2
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Dijon+0.2
+1.0
-8.7
+1.0
Amiens*+0.1
Metz-0.3
+8.1
-0.7
Week of 10/27
PSG vs NiceIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
PSG43.333.929.2
74.464.959.3
0.00.10.2
2.83.53.9
Monaco14.716.817.7
42.643.744.0
Nantes9.110.511.1
31.232.232.6
Nice0.30.51.1
2.13.15.6
27.923.315.9
13.913.312.0
Bordeaux vs MonacoHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
PSG36.436.234.2
66.566.765.8
Monaco12.015.121.7
35.641.752.6
1.2*0.70.3
6.05.44.4
Bordeaux5.83.32.2
21.514.210.7
3.25.87.8
7.99.210.0
Dijon vs NantesHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
PSG36.435.934.5
66.966.565.5
Nantes7.39.314.0
25.430.240.0
2.51.60.7
7.36.65.5
Dijon0.70.30.2
4.22.21.5
19.828.233.3
12.714.014.6
Lyonnais vs MetzHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
PSG34.635.936.3
65.466.566.9
3.43.43.3
Lyonnais11.47.35.7
35.326.021.7
1.02.23.4
6.07.27.8
Metz0.10.20.6
66.861.551.0
17.617.216.3
Lille vs MarseilleHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Marseille4.25.68.9
17.421.429.8
4.63.21.5
8.67.96.6
Lille0.70.30.2
4.22.21.5
19.728.133.2
12.714.014.6
Toulouse vs Saint-ÉtienneHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Saint-Étienne3.24.47.2
14.117.725.6
5.94.32.2
9.38.57.2
Toulouse3.21.81.2
14.18.86.6
5.910.012.9
9.210.611.4
Caen vs TroyesHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Caen4.32.51.8
17.411.48.8
4.27.610.2
8.59.910.7
Troyes0.71.01.9
3.95.39.0
19.715.89.9
12.712.010.6
Montpellier vs RennesHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Montpellier4.32.41.8
17.411.48.9
4.27.610.3
8.59.910.6
Rennes0.20.30.8
1.62.34.2
33.127.819.3
14.613.912.6
Guingamp vs AmiensHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Guingamp2.51.30.9
11.37.05.3
7.412.416.2
9.911.312.0
Amiens0.20.30.7
1.52.24.1
33.628.119.5
14.613.912.6
Strasbourg vs AngersHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Angers0.71.01.9
4.15.59.2
19.615.39.4
12.711.910.5
Strasbourg0.70.30.2
4.12.21.5
19.428.033.5
12.613.914.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you MarkusPaminger for adding this league.