SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Vancouver Whitecaps Playoff Chances 2020 50/50

Beat LA Galaxy 1-0, Plays Colorado, playoff odds up 8.2 to 53.5%

3 points 1-0-1

Add your own league!

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 3/8	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
LA Galaxy 0 Vancouver 1	+8.6		+1.3		-2.1		+0.8
Colorado 2 Orlando 1	-0.6						-0.1
Salt Lake 1 New York RB 1	+0.3						*+0.0
Seattle 1 Columbus 1	+0.2						+0.0
Dallas 2 Montreal 2	+0.2						+0.0
Kansas City 4 Houston 0	-0.2
Los Angeles FC 3 Philadelphia 3	*+0.2						*+0.0
San Jose 2 Minnesota 5	*-0.1		-0.1
Portland 1 Nashville 0	*-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Vancouver vs Colorado	+8.8-2.1-7.2		+1.8-0.5-1.4		-1.4+0.2+1.2		+0.8-0.2-0.6
Columbus vs Salt Lake	+0.6+0.3-0.8						+0.1*+0.0-0.1
New York City vs Dallas	+0.6*+0.1-0.7						+0.0+0.0-0.1
Philadelphia vs San Jose	+0.6*+0.2-0.7						+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Miami vs LA Galaxy	+0.6*+0.1-0.7						+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Kansas City	+0.6*+0.0-0.6						+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Minnesota vs New York RB	-0.6*+0.1+0.5						-0.1*+0.0+0.0
Toronto vs Nashville	+0.4*+0.2-0.5

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/15	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
New York City vs Vancouver	-6.6-2.2+8.3		-1.3-0.6+1.8		+1.3+0.2-1.4		-0.6-0.2+0.7
Salt Lake vs New England	-0.8*+0.2+0.6						-0.1*+0.0+0.1
New England vs Portland	+0.6*+0.1-0.7						+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Nashville vs Columbus	-0.7+0.2+0.5						-0.1*+0.0+0.0
Minnesota vs Montreal	-0.6+0.3+0.4						-0.1+0.0+0.0
San Jose vs Kansas City	-0.3+0.4*-0.0
Seattle vs Dallas	-0.2+0.4*-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vancouver finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Supporters		Chance will finish regular season at seed													Wooden
TP		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		Shield		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	Spoon		Count

72	-99						In		99.5	%	100													No		657	*
71		21	-	5	-	6	In		99.0		99	1												No		295	*
70		20	-	7	-	5	In		97.9		99	1												No		473	*
69		20	-	6	-	6	In		98.1		99	1												No		700	*
68		19	-	8	-	5	In		95.3		98	2												No		1,032	*
67		19	-	7	-	6	In		93.5		96	4	0											No		1,558	*
66		19	-	6	-	7	In		90.9		95	5	0											No		2,279	*
65		18	-	8	-	6	In		86.9		93	7	0											No		3,232	*
64		18	-	7	-	7	In		80.6		89	10	0	0										No		4,329	*
63		18	-	6	-	8	In		73.5		86	14	1	0										No		5,949	*
62		17	-	8	-	7	In		64.3		80	19	1	0										No		7,765	*
61		17	-	7	-	8	In		53.6		73	25	3	0										No		10,170	*
60		16	-	9	-	7	In		41.7		64	31	5	0										No		13,145	*
59		16	-	8	-	8	In		30.2		55	36	8	1	0									No		16,701	*
58		16	-	7	-	9	In		19.8		44	41	13	2	0	0								No		20,717	*
57		15	-	9	-	8	In		11.2		34	43	19	4	0	0								No		25,254	*
56		15	-	8	-	9	In		5.5		24	42	26	7	1	0	0							No		30,390	*
55		15	-	7	-	10	In		2.0		15	37	32	13	3	0	0							No		35,370	*
54		14	-	9	-	9	100.0	%	0.6		9	29	35	20	6	1	0	0						No		41,299	*
53		14	-	8	-	10	100.0		0.1		4	20	35	27	11	2	0	0						No		46,855	*
52		14	-	7	-	11	99.9		0.0		2	12	28	32	19	6	1	0	0					No		52,253	*
51		13	-	9	-	10	99.5		No		1	6	20	32	27	12	3	0	0					No		56,747	*
50		13	-	8	-	11	98.3		No		0	2	11	25	31	20	8	2	0	0				No		61,338	*
49		12	-	10	-	10	94.6		No		0	1	5	17	29	28	15	5	1	0	0			No		64,550	*
48		12	-	9	-	11	86.5		No		0	0	2	9	22	30	24	10	3	0	0			No		67,615	*
47		12	-	8	-	12	71.9		No		0	0	1	3	13	26	30	19	7	1	0	0		No		68,067	*
46		11	-	10	-	11	52.8		No			0	0	1	6	17	29	27	15	4	1	0	0	No		68,937	*
45		11	-	9	-	12	33.0		No				0	0	2	9	22	30	24	10	2	0	0	No		68,085	*
44		11	-	8	-	13	17.1		No					0	1	4	13	27	30	19	6	1	0	No		65,561	*
43		10	-	10	-	12	7.5		No					0	0	1	6	18	30	28	13	3	0	No		62,251	*
42		10	-	9	-	13	2.6		No						0	0	2	10	25	32	22	7	1	No		57,535	*
41		10	-	8	-	14	0.8		No						0	0	1	4	16	31	30	14	2	0.0	%	52,906	*
40		9	-	10	-	13	0.2		No							0	0	2	9	25	35	23	6	0.0		47,273	*
39		9	-	9	-	14	0.0		No								0	1	4	17	35	32	11	0.2		41,827	*
38		9	-	8	-	15	0.0		No								0	0	2	10	30	40	18	1.1		35,815	*
37		8	-	10	-	14	Out		No									0	1	6	23	43	28	3.2		30,535	*
36		8	-	9	-	15	Out		No									0	0	3	16	43	39	8.2		25,155	*
35		8	-	8	-	16	Out		No										0	1	10	38	51	16.0		20,360	*
34		7	-	10	-	15	Out		No										0	0	6	33	61	26.4		16,216	*
33		7	-	9	-	16	Out		No											0	3	26	70	38.1		12,471	*
32		7	-	8	-	17	Out		No											0	2	20	78	51.5		9,456	*
31		6	-	10	-	16	Out		No											0	1	14	85	63.1		7,088	*
30		6	-	9	-	17	Out		No												0	10	89	72.8		5,165	*
29		6	-	8	-	18	Out		No												0	7	93	81.0		3,648	*
28		5	-	10	-	17	Out		No												0	5	95	85.7		2,511	*
27		5	-	9	-	18	Out		No												0	3	97	92.3		1,750	*
26		5	-	8	-	19	Out		No													2	98	94.7		1,179	*
25		4	-	10	-	18	Out		No													1	99	95.0		682	*
24		4	-	9	-	19	Out		No													0	100	97.6		419	*
3	-23						Out		No														100	99.2		779	*

Total:							53.5	%	3.8	%	7	7	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	7	3.0	%	1,276,344

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/8	100.0*	Lottery seed
LA Galaxy 0 Vancouver 1	-1.6
Colorado 2 Orlando 1	+0.1
Seattle 1 Columbus 1	*-0.0
Salt Lake 1 New York RB 1	*-0.0
Dallas 2 Montreal 2	*-0.0
Los Angeles FC 3 Philadelphia 3	*-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Vancouver vs Colorado	-1.6+0.4+1.3
Columbus vs Salt Lake	-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Kansas City	-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Minnesota vs New York RB	+0.1*-0.0-0.0
New York City vs Dallas	-0.0-0.0+0.1
Miami vs LA Galaxy	-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Philadelphia vs San Jose	-0.0-0.0+0.1

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/15	100.0*	Lottery seed
New York City vs Vancouver	+1.2+0.4-1.5
Minnesota vs Montreal	+0.1-0.1-0.0
Salt Lake vs New England	+0.1*-0.0-0.0
San Jose vs Kansas City	+0.0-0.1+0.0
Nashville vs Columbus	+0.1*-0.0-0.0
New England vs Portland	-0.0*-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26

76	-99						100
75		22	-	6	-	4	98	2
74		22	-	5	-	5	99	1
73		21	-	7	-	4	100
72		21	-	6	-	5	100	0
71		21	-	5	-	6	99	0	1
70		20	-	7	-	5	98	1	1
69		20	-	6	-	6	98	1	1
68		19	-	8	-	5	95	3	2
67		19	-	7	-	6	93	3	4		0
66		19	-	6	-	7	91	4	5		0
65		18	-	8	-	6	87	6	7		0
64		18	-	7	-	7	81	9	10		0		0
63		18	-	6	-	8	74	12	14	0	1		0
62		17	-	8	-	7	64	15	19	0	1		0
61		17	-	7	-	8	54	19	24	0	3		0
60		16	-	9	-	7	42	23	29	1	5	0	0
59		16	-	8	-	8	30	24	34	3	8	0	1		0
58		16	-	7	-	9	20	25	36	5	13	0	2		0		0
57		15	-	9	-	8	11	22	35	9	19	0	4	0	0		0
56		15	-	8	-	9	6	18	29	14	25	1	7	0	1		0		0
55		15	-	7	-	10	2	13	20	17	28	4	13	0	3	0	0		0
54		14	-	9	-	9	1	8	11	18	27	8	19	1	6	0	1		0		0
53		14	-	8	-	10	0	4	4	15	22	13	25	3	11	0	2		0		0
52		14	-	7	-	11	0	2	1	11	12	16	25	7	18	1	6	0	1		0	0
51		13	-	9	-	10		1	0	6	5	15	19	12	24	3	12	0	3	0	0	0
50		13	-	8	-	11		0	0	2	1	10	10	16	24	8	20	1	8	0	2	0	0
49		12	-	10	-	10		0	0	1	0	5	3	14	16	13	24	4	15	0	5	1	0	0
48		12	-	9	-	11		0		0	0	2	1	8	6	16	20	10	22	2	10	3	0	0
47		12	-	8	-	12		0		0	0	1	0	3	1	11	10	15	23	7	19	8	2	0	0
46		11	-	10	-	11				0		0		1	0	6	3	14	15	14	23	16	6	1	0	0
45		11	-	9	-	12						0		0	0	2	0	8	6	16	20	24	16	6	1	0	0
44		11	-	8	-	13								0		1	0	4	1	12	11	22	25	16	7	2	0	0	0
43		10	-	10	-	12								0		0		1	0	6	3	12	22	25	18	9	3	1	0	0
42		10	-	9	-	13										0	0	0	0	2	1	4	12	22	25	20	10	3	1	0	0
41		10	-	8	-	14										0		0		1	0	1	4	11	21	26	21	11	4	1	0	0
40		9	-	10	-	13												0		0	0	0	1	4	11	21	26	22	11	3	1	0
39		9	-	9	-	14														0		0	0	1	4	11	22	27	22	10	2	0
38		9	-	8	-	15														0			0	0	1	4	13	24	29	20	8	1
37		8	-	10	-	14																		0	0	1	6	16	29	29	16	3
36		8	-	9	-	15																			0	0	2	8	22	33	26	8
35		8	-	8	-	16																			0	0	0	3	14	30	36	16
34		7	-	10	-	15																			0	0	0	1	7	24	41	26
33		7	-	9	-	16																				0	0	0	3	16	42	38
32		7	-	8	-	17																						0	1	10	37	51
31		6	-	10	-	16																						0	1	6	31	63
30		6	-	9	-	17																							0	3	24	73
29		6	-	8	-	18																							0	1	18	81
28		5	-	10	-	17																							0	1	13	86
27		5	-	9	-	18																								0	7	92
26		5	-	8	-	19																								0	5	95
25		4	-	10	-	18																									5	95
24		4	-	9	-	19																									2	98
23		4	-	8	-	20																									1	99
22		4	-	7	-	21																									1	99
21		3	-	9	-	20																									1	99
3	-20																															100

Total:							4	3	4	3	5	3	5	3	5	3	5	3	5	3	5	5	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3