SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Los Angeles Galaxy Playoff Chances 2020 50/50

Lost to Vancouver 0-1, Plays at Miami, playoff odds down 7.3 to 42.6%

1 points 0-1-1

Add your own league!

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 3/8	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
LA Galaxy 0 Vancouver 1	-7.2		-1.1		+1.6		-0.6
Colorado 2 Orlando 1	-0.6		*-0.1				-0.1
Dallas 2 Montreal 2	+0.2		+0.1				+0.0
Seattle 1 Columbus 1	*+0.1		+0.1				+0.0
Los Angeles FC 3 Philadelphia 3	*+0.1				*-0.1		*+0.0
Portland 1 Nashville 0	*-0.1
San Jose 2 Minnesota 5	*-0.1		-0.1
Salt Lake 1 New York RB 1	*+0.1						+0.0
Toronto 1 New York City 0			-0.1
Atlanta 2 Cincinnati 1			-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Miami vs LA Galaxy	-6.5-2.1+8.1		-0.8-0.4+1.1		+2.0+0.3-2.3		-0.6-0.2+0.7
Columbus vs Salt Lake	+0.6*+0.2-0.7						+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Philadelphia vs San Jose	+0.6*+0.1-0.7						+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Toronto vs Nashville	+0.5+0.3-0.7						+0.0*+0.0-0.1
New York City vs Dallas	+0.5+0.3-0.7						+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Minnesota vs New York RB	-0.6*+0.1+0.6						-0.1*+0.0+0.0
Atlanta vs Kansas City	+0.5*+0.2-0.6						+0.0*+0.0-0.1

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/15	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
Nashville vs Columbus	-0.7+0.3+0.5						-0.1+0.0+0.1
Salt Lake vs New England	-0.7*+0.2+0.6						-0.1*+0.0+0.0
New England vs Portland	+0.5*+0.2-0.7						+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Minnesota vs Montreal	-0.6*+0.0+0.6						-0.1*+0.0+0.1
New York City vs Vancouver	+0.5*+0.2-0.6						+0.0*+0.0-0.1
San Jose vs Kansas City	-0.2+0.4*-0.0		+0.1*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the LA Galaxy finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Supporters		Chance will finish regular season at seed													Wooden
TP		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		Shield		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	Spoon		Count

72	-97						In		Yes		100													No		275	*
71		21	-	7	-	4	In		97.4	%	98	2												No		114	*
70		21	-	6	-	5	In		99.0		100	0												No		209	*
69		21	-	5	-	6	In		98.2		99	1												No		325	*
68		20	-	7	-	5	In		94.4		97	3												No		500	*
67		20	-	6	-	6	In		93.8		97	3												No		720	*
66		19	-	8	-	5	In		90.9		95	5												No		1,080	*
65		19	-	7	-	6	In		85.0		92	8												No		1,477	*
64		19	-	6	-	7	In		80.3		90	10	0											No		2,261	*
63		18	-	8	-	6	In		74.5		86	14	0											No		3,161	*
62		18	-	7	-	7	In		64.7		80	19	1	0										No		4,345	*
61		18	-	6	-	8	In		53.2		72	25	3	0										No		5,882	*
60		17	-	8	-	7	In		41.8		64	31	5	0										No		7,907	*
59		17	-	7	-	8	In		30.4		54	37	9	1	0									No		10,345	*
58		16	-	9	-	7	In		19.8		44	41	13	2	0									No		13,272	*
57		16	-	8	-	8	In		10.7		33	43	20	4	0	0								No		16,665	*
56		16	-	7	-	9	In		5.2		24	42	26	7	1	0	0							No		20,836	*
55		15	-	9	-	8	In		2.0		15	36	33	13	3	0	0							No		25,295	*
54		15	-	8	-	9	In		0.6		8	28	36	21	6	1	0							No		30,361	*
53		15	-	7	-	10	100.0	%	0.1		4	20	33	28	12	3	0	0						No		35,594	*
52		14	-	9	-	9	99.9		0.0		2	11	28	32	19	7	1	0	0					No		41,435	*
51		14	-	8	-	10	99.4		No		1	5	19	31	27	13	4	1	0					No		47,034	*
50		14	-	7	-	11	97.9		No		0	2	11	25	31	21	8	2	0	0				No		52,589	*
49		13	-	9	-	10	93.9		No		0	1	5	15	28	29	16	5	1	0	0			No		57,036	*
48		13	-	8	-	11	85.0		No		0	0	2	8	21	30	25	11	3	0	0	0		No		61,155	*
47		12	-	10	-	10	70.1		No		0	0	0	3	12	24	30	20	8	2	0	0		No		64,835	*
46		12	-	9	-	11	50.7		No			0	0	1	5	16	28	28	16	5	1	0	0	No		67,455	*
45		12	-	8	-	12	30.8		No				0	0	2	8	21	30	25	11	3	0	0	No		68,399	*
44		11	-	10	-	11	15.5		No					0	0	3	12	26	31	20	7	1	0	No		68,894	*
43		11	-	9	-	12	6.6		No					0	0	1	6	17	29	29	14	4	0	No		67,857	*
42		11	-	8	-	13	2.2		No						0	0	2	9	24	32	24	8	1	No		65,713	*
41		10	-	10	-	12	0.6		No						0	0	1	4	15	31	32	15	3	0.0	%	62,174	*
40		10	-	9	-	13	0.1		No							0	0	1	8	24	36	24	6	0.0		57,406	*
39		10	-	8	-	14	0.0		No								0	0	4	16	34	33	12	0.3		52,662	*
38		9	-	10	-	13	0.0		No								0	0	2	10	29	40	19	1.2		47,092	*
37		9	-	9	-	14	Out		No									0	1	5	22	44	29	3.5		41,417	*
36		9	-	8	-	15	Out		No									0	0	2	15	42	41	8.5		35,633	*
35		8	-	10	-	14	Out		No									0	0	1	10	38	51	16.7		29,952	*
34		8	-	9	-	15	Out		No										0	0	5	33	62	27.1		25,114	*
33		8	-	8	-	16	Out		No										0	0	3	26	72	39.3		20,293	*
32		7	-	10	-	15	Out		No											0	1	19	80	52.3		16,325	*
31		7	-	9	-	16	Out		No											0	1	14	86	63.9		12,500	*
30		7	-	8	-	17	Out		No											0	0	10	90	73.1		9,649	*
29		6	-	10	-	16	Out		No												0	6	93	82.0		7,118	*
28		6	-	9	-	17	Out		No												0	4	96	87.6		5,120	*
27		6	-	8	-	18	Out		No													3	97	91.3		3,627	*
26		5	-	10	-	17	Out		No													2	98	94.1		2,628	*
25		5	-	9	-	18	Out		No													1	99	96.1		1,704	*
24		5	-	8	-	19	Out		No													1	99	97.8		1,012	*
23		4	-	10	-	18	Out		No													0	100	99.0		693	*
22		4	-	9	-	19	Out		No													0	100	99.1		439	*
1	-21						Out		No														100	Yes		760	*

Total:							42.6	%	2.1	%	4	5	6	6	7	7	8	8	9	9	10	10	12	5.4	%	1,276,344

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/8	100.0*	Lottery seed
LA Galaxy 0 Vancouver 1	+1.3
Colorado 2 Orlando 1	+0.1
Dallas 2 Montreal 2	-0.0
Los Angeles FC 3 Philadelphia 3	*-0.0
Seattle 1 Columbus 1	-0.0
Salt Lake 1 New York RB 1	*-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Miami vs LA Galaxy	+1.2+0.4-1.5
Columbus vs Salt Lake	-0.1*-0.0+0.1
New York City vs Dallas	-0.0-0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Kansas City	-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Toronto vs Nashville	-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Philadelphia vs San Jose	-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Minnesota vs New York RB	+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Houston vs Seattle	+0.0-0.1+0.0

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/15	100.0*	Lottery seed
Nashville vs Columbus	+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Minnesota vs Montreal	+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Salt Lake vs New England	+0.1*-0.0-0.0
New England vs Portland	-0.0*-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26

72	-97						100
71		21	-	7	-	4	97	1	2
70		21	-	6	-	5	99	0	0
69		21	-	5	-	6	98	1	1
68		20	-	7	-	5	94	3	3
67		20	-	6	-	6	94	4	3
66		19	-	8	-	5	91	4	5
65		19	-	7	-	6	85	7	8
64		19	-	6	-	7	80	10	10		0
63		18	-	8	-	6	74	11	14	0	0
62		18	-	7	-	7	65	15	19	0	1		0
61		18	-	6	-	8	53	19	24	1	3		0
60		17	-	8	-	7	42	22	30	1	5	0	0
59		17	-	7	-	8	30	23	34	3	9	0	1		0
58		16	-	9	-	7	20	24	35	5	13	0	2		0
57		16	-	8	-	8	11	22	34	9	19	1	4		0		0
56		16	-	7	-	9	5	18	28	13	25	1	7	0	1		0		0
55		15	-	9	-	8	2	13	19	17	29	4	13	0	3		0		0
54		15	-	8	-	9	1	8	10	17	27	8	20	1	6	0	1		0
53		15	-	7	-	10	0	4	4	15	21	13	25	3	12	0	3		0		0
52		14	-	9	-	9	0	2	1	10	12	16	25	7	19	1	7	0	1		0	0
51		14	-	8	-	10		1	0	5	4	14	19	12	24	3	13	0	4		1	0
50		14	-	7	-	11		0	0	2	1	10	10	15	23	8	20	1	8	0	2	0	0
49		13	-	9	-	10		0	0	1	0	4	3	13	15	13	24	4	16	0	5	1	0	0
48		13	-	8	-	11		0		0	0	2	0	7	6	15	20	11	23	2	11	3	0	0	0
47		12	-	10	-	10		0		0		0	0	3	1	10	10	15	23	7	19	8	2	0	0
46		12	-	9	-	11				0		0	0	1	0	5	3	13	14	14	24	17	7	2	0	0	0
45		12	-	8	-	12						0	0	0	0	2	0	8	5	15	19	25	17	7	2	0	0	0
44		11	-	10	-	11								0		0	0	3	1	11	9	22	25	17	8	2	0	0	0
43		11	-	9	-	12								0		0	0	1	0	5	3	11	22	25	19	10	3	1	0	0
42		11	-	8	-	13										0		0	0	2	1	4	11	21	25	21	11	4	1	0	0
41		10	-	10	-	12										0		0		1	0	1	3	10	20	26	22	12	4	1	0	0
40		10	-	9	-	13												0		0	0	0	1	3	10	20	26	23	12	4	1	0
39		10	-	8	-	14														0		0	0	1	3	10	21	28	22	11	3	0
38		9	-	10	-	13														0			0	0	1	4	12	24	29	21	8	1
37		9	-	9	-	14																		0	0	1	5	15	28	30	17	3
36		9	-	8	-	15																			0	0	2	8	21	33	27	8
35		8	-	10	-	14																				0	1	3	13	31	36	17
34		8	-	9	-	15																				0	0	1	7	23	42	27
33		8	-	8	-	16																					0	0	3	16	41	39
32		7	-	10	-	15																						0	1	9	37	52
31		7	-	9	-	16																						0	0	5	30	64
30		7	-	8	-	17																							0	3	24	73
29		6	-	10	-	16																							0	1	17	82
28		6	-	9	-	17																								0	12	88
27		6	-	8	-	18																								0	8	91
26		5	-	10	-	17																								0	6	94
25		5	-	9	-	18																									4	96
24		5	-	8	-	19																									2	98
23		4	-	10	-	18																									1	99
22		4	-	9	-	19																									1	99
1	-21																															100

Total:							2	2	3	2	3	2	4	3	4	3	4	3	5	3	5	5	5	4	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	5