Super League Greece 2018-2019 Playoff Chances 50/50

																	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs														UEFA CL			Chance will finish regular season at seed																		Relegated
	12/8		P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI	Sunday

PAOK			32	1	11	-	1	-	0	16	97.8	%	-0.2	123.6	%	-0.9	60	21	10	5	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1.8	-0.03	0.0	%		1	Larissa	PAOK FC

Olympiakos			26	1	8	-	2	-	2	10	83.1		-0.7	91.4		-3.0	16	25	19	13	9	6	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	3.5	-0.06	0.0		-0.0	3	at Xanthi	Olympiakos CFP

Atromitos			25	1	7	-	4	-	1	9	78.1		-0.9	76.0		-2.5	13	21	19	15	11	8	5	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	3.9	-0.06	0.0		-0.0	5	Aris	Atromitos FC
AEK	W	Lamia 2-0	23		8	-	2	-	3	15	57.8		+10.4	35.8		+10.4	4	11	14	15	14	11	9	7	5	4	2	2	1	0	0	0	5.4	+0.79	0.2		-0.4	4		AEK Athens FC
Panathinaikos			19	1	7	-	4	-	1	12	39.2		-1.3	19.1		-0.9	2	6	9	11	12	12	11	10	8	7	5	4	2	1	1	0	6.7	-0.05	0.8		-0.1	2	at OFI	Panathinaikos FC

Aris			19	1	6	-	1	-	5	3	38.3		-1.3	18.4		-1.0	2	6	9	11	12	12	11	10	8	7	5	4	2	1	1	0	6.8	-0.05	0.8		-0.1	8	at Atromitos	Aris Thessaloniki
Xanthi			18	1	5	-	3	-	4	1	31.8		-1.2	13.9		-0.8	1	4	7	9	10	11	11	11	10	8	6	5	3	2	1	0	7.3	-0.04	1.2		-0.1	7	Olympiakos	Xanthi FC
Panionios			17	1	5	-	2	-	5	-1	25.9		-1.1	9.6		-0.6	1	3	5	8	9	10	11	11	10	9	8	6	4	3	2	0	7.9	-0.04	2.0		-0.1	6		Panionios GSS FC
Panetolikos			15	1	4	-	3	-	5	-2	16.4		-0.8	4.9		-0.3	0	2	3	5	7	8	9	10	11	11	10	9	7	5	3	1	9.0	-0.02	4.1		-0.2	9		Panetolikos FC
Larissa			14	1	4	-	2	-	6	-4	12.5		-0.7	3.6		-0.2	0	1	2	4	5	7	8	9	10	11	11	10	8	6	4	2	9.6	-0.01	5.8		-0.3	13	at PAOK	AEL FC
Asteras	W	Giannina 1-0	15		4	-	3	-	6	0	10.5		+3.2	2.4		+0.9	0	1	2	3	5	6	8	9	11	11	11	10	9	7	4	2	9.8	+0.89	6.1		-5.3	10		Asteras Tripolis
Lamia	L	AEK 0-2	11		2	-	5	-	6	-8	2.7		-2.6	0.4		-0.7	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	5	7	9	11	13	14	14	13	8	11.9	-0.71	20.1		+5.0	11		PAS Lamia
Giannina	L	Asteras 0-1	11		3	-	2	-	8	-11	2.7		-2.5	0.4		-0.6	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	5	6	8	11	13	14	15	13	7	11.9	-0.71	19.8		+4.9	12		PAS Giannina
OFI			8	1	1	-	5	-	6	-10	1.7		-0.1	0.2		-0.0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	3	5	6	9	11	14	16	18	12	12.7	+0.04	30.2		-1.1	15	Panathinaikos	OFI Crete FC

Levadiakos			7	1	2	-	1	-	9	-13	1.1		-0.1	0.1		-0.0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	4	5	7	10	13	17	21	16	13.1	+0.03	36.8		-1.1	16		Levadiakos FC
Apollon			2	1	0	-	2	-	10	-17	0.1		-0.0	0.0		-0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	4	7	11	21	51	14.8	+0.03	72.1		-1.1	14		Apollon Smyrni FC

Week of 12/8
AEK 2 Lamia 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
PAOK	-0.1
Olympiakos	-0.6		-2.9
Atromitos	-0.8		-2.4				-0.1
AEK	+10.7		+10.6		-0.4		+0.8
Panathinaikos	-1.1		-0.9		-0.1
Aris	-1.2		-0.9		-0.1
Xanthi	-1.0		-0.7		-0.1
Panionios	-1.0		-0.6		-0.1
Panetolikos	-0.7		-0.3		-0.2
Larissa	-0.6		-0.2		-0.3
Asteras	-0.4		-0.1		-0.5
Lamia	-2.6		-0.7		+5.1		-0.7
Giannina	-0.3		-0.1		-0.6
OFI	-0.1				-0.9		+0.0
Levadiakos	-0.1				-1.0
Apollon					-0.9

Asteras 1 Giannina 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Olympiakos	-0.1		-0.1
Atromitos	-0.1		-0.1
AEK	-0.2		-0.1
Panathinaikos	-0.2		-0.1
Aris	-0.1
Xanthi	-0.2
Panionios	-0.1
Panetolikos	-0.1
Larissa	-0.1				-0.1
Asteras	+3.8		+1.1		-5.1		+0.9
Lamia					-0.1
Giannina	-2.4		-0.6		+5.7		-0.7
OFI					-0.1
Levadiakos					-0.1
Apollon					-0.1

Atromitos vs ArisIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Olympiakos	83.283.482.8		86.793.994.4
Atromitos	86.577.270.3		95.272.559.1				3.34.04.5
AEK	58.158.357.3		33.137.137.6
Aris	29.036.049.3		9.815.928.8		1.2*0.80.3		7.56.95.9

Xanthi vs OlympiakosHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Olympiakos	76.482.490.2		74.488.2110.6				4.03.62.9
Atromitos	77.678.478.4		79.678.170.9
AEK	57.358.358.1		38.037.132.7
Panathinaikos	38.739.739.4		20.319.817.2
Aris	37.838.838.5		19.719.116.6
Xanthi	42.029.423.3		22.511.76.8		0.51.32.0		6.47.58.1

OFI vs PanathinaikosHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Olympiakos	83.783.382.3		93.292.189.1				3.53.53.6
Atromitos	78.878.477.2		77.476.674.1				3.93.94.0
Panathinaikos	30.836.849.3		12.316.427.7		1.40.70.2		7.46.95.9
Giannina	2.92.82.5				21.119.618.7
OFI	3.01.30.7		0.50.10.1		21.631.937.7		12.012.813.3
Levadiakos					38.836.435.0		13.213.113.1
Apollon					73.671.870.7		14.914.814.8

Panionios vs LevadiakosHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Panionios	34.523.718.9		14.97.95.6		0.72.03.4		7.08.18.6
Lamia	2.62.82.9				18.919.821.5
Giannina	2.62.82.8				18.619.521.3
OFI					28.729.832.1
Levadiakos	0.40.82.0				45.038.727.2		13.713.312.4
Apollon					70.871.773.6		14.814.814.9

Panetolikos vs ApollonHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Panetolikos	22.914.511.2		7.93.92.6		1.74.06.5		8.19.29.7
OFI					29.229.831.6
Levadiakos					35.736.338.2
Apollon					79.474.463.1		15.214.914.4

PAOK vs LarissaHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
PAOK	99.297.896.5						1.51.82.0
Olympiakos	83.483.282.7		93.790.989.3
Larissa	8.110.918.1		1.72.86.2		8.36.13.0		10.39.88.7

Week of 12/15
Panathinaikos vs AtromitosIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Olympiakos	82.783.483.2		94.293.986.8
Atromitos	70.377.286.5		59.172.595.2				4.54.03.3
AEK	57.258.358.1		37.537.233.2
Panathinaikos	50.336.929.8		29.816.410.1		0.30.81.3		5.96.97.5

Aris vs PanetolikosHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Olympiakos	82.783.583.2		89.792.492.4
Aris	49.036.129.2		27.015.911.6		0.30.71.3		5.96.97.5
Panetolikos	10.314.623.8		2.43.98.2		6.14.32.0		9.89.28.1

Larissa vs AEKHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Olympiakos	83.383.482.6		94.092.787.9
Atromitos	78.578.577.5		78.177.173.0
AEK	48.155.968.9		24.732.149.4		0.30.20.0		6.05.54.6
Larissa	18.810.97.4		6.32.81.6		3.06.18.3		8.79.810.3

Apollon vs XanthiHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Olympiakos	83.883.382.2		92.892.089.6				3.53.53.6
Atromitos	78.978.477.1		77.276.574.3				3.93.94.0
Xanthi	24.229.441.1		8.611.820.7		2.11.20.4		8.07.56.5
Lamia	2.92.82.6				21.419.719.0
OFI	1.81.81.6				31.829.828.9
Levadiakos					38.436.335.5
Apollon					63.474.379.1		14.514.915.1

Giannina vs PanioniosHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Panionios	18.823.734.6		5.67.914.9		3.32.00.8		8.78.07.0
Giannina	4.72.11.2		0.80.20.1		12.821.026.1		11.112.112.6

Olympiakos vs LamiaHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Olympiakos	89.582.277.3		108.887.776.5				3.03.64.0
Atromitos	77.778.378.4		69.777.581.1				4.03.93.8
AEK	57.258.158.4		32.136.738.9
Panathinaikos	38.639.439.8		16.819.620.9
Aris	37.738.538.8		16.318.920.2
Xanthi	31.232.032.3		12.314.315.2		1.11.21.4
Lamia	1.32.14.7		0.10.20.9		26.221.313.2		12.512.111.2
OFI					29.030.031.6		12.612.612.7
Levadiakos					35.536.638.3		13.113.113.2
Apollon					70.971.873.4

Asteras vs OFIHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Asteras	15.59.06.5		4.21.81.1		2.76.19.4		8.99.910.6
OFI	0.81.33.0		0.10.10.5		38.331.821.1		13.312.811.9
Levadiakos					35.536.438.4

Levadiakos vs PAOKHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
PAOK	96.697.899.1						2.01.81.5
Olympiakos			89.990.893.3				3.53.53.6
Lamia					21.719.818.7		12.011.911.9
Giannina					21.519.518.4		12.011.911.9
OFI					32.329.828.5		12.712.612.6
Levadiakos	1.90.80.5				27.538.744.7		12.513.313.6
Apollon					73.871.770.6		14.914.814.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Super League Greece 2018-2019 Playoff Chances 50/50

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