Super League Greece 2018-2019 Playoff Chances 50/50

																	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs														UEFA CL			Chance will finish regular season at seed																		Relegated
	Monday		P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI	Saturday

PAOK	W	Apollon 5-1	57		19	-	2	-	0	35	In		+0.0	108.8	%	-7.9	96	4	0	0	0												1.0	+0.05	No			1		PAOK FC

Olympiakos			48		15	-	3	-	3	27	100.0	%		255.9		+8.0	4	84	10	2	0	0	0	0									2.1	-0.04	No			2		Olympiakos CFP

AEK			40		13	-	4	-	4	23	96.5		-0.0	17.0		-0.1	0	6	46	34	10	3	1	0	0	0	0	0					3.6		No			3	Apollon	AEK Athens FC
Atromitos			39		11	-	6	-	4	12	94.7		-0.1	17.1		-0.1	0	6	36	39	14	4	1	0	0	0	0	0					3.8		No			4	at Asteras	Atromitos FC
Aris			33		10	-	3	-	8	5	55.1		-0.2	0.9		-0.0	0	0	5	14	36	24	12	6	2	1	0	0	0	0	0		5.6	-0.01	0.0	%		6		Aris Thessaloniki

Panathinaikos			31		10	-	7	-	4	11	34.6		-0.1	0.3		-0.0	0	0	2	8	24	30	17	10	5	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	6.2	-0.02	0.0			5		Panathinaikos FC
Panetolikos			27		7	-	6	-	8	-3	8.5		-0.1	0.0				0	0	1	7	14	19	18	15	11	7	4	2	1	0	0	8.1	-0.04	0.1		-0.0	8		Panetolikos FC
Xanthi			27		6	-	9	-	6	0	7.2		-0.1	0.0				0	0	1	6	13	20	20	15	11	7	4	2	1	0	0	8.2	-0.05	0.2		-0.1	7	Levadiakos	Xanthi FC
Lamia	W	OFI 3-1	24		6	-	6	-	9	-9	1.2		+0.6	0.0				0	0	0	1	4	10	14	17	16	14	11	8	4	1	0	9.9	+0.87	1.4		-4.2	9		PAS Lamia
Panionios			23		6	-	5	-	10	-12	1.3		-0.0	0.0				0	0	0	1	4	8	11	13	15	15	13	10	6	3	0	10.3	-0.03	2.8		-0.6	10		Panionios GSS FC
Larissa			22		5	-	7	-	9	-7	0.4		-0.0	0.0				0	0	0	0	2	5	9	12	15	16	15	13	9	5	0	10.9	-0.02	5.0		-0.8	13		AEL FC
Asteras			21		6	-	3	-	12	-10	0.2		-0.0	No					0	0	0	1	4	7	10	13	15	16	15	12	7	1	11.4	-0.01	7.1		-1.1	11	Atromitos	Asteras Tripolis
Giannina			20		6	-	2	-	13	-16	0.1		-0.0	No					0	0	0	1	2	5	7	10	13	16	18	16	10	1	11.9	+0.01	11.4		-1.5	12		PAS Giannina
OFI	L	Lamia 1-3	17		3	-	8	-	10	-13	0.0		-0.1	No					0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	7	11	17	24	26	7	13.5	-0.64	33.7		+8.3	14		OFI Crete FC

Levadiakos			16		4	-	4	-	13	-16	0.0			No						0	0	0	0	1	2	3	5	9	14	23	35	7	13.8	+0.08	42.8		-3.8	15	at Xanthi	Levadiakos FC
Apollon	L	PAOK 1-5	9		2	-	3	-	16	-27	Out		-0.0	No								0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	12	83	15.8	-0.14	95.4		+3.7	16	at AEK	Apollon Smyrni FC

Week of 2/16
Panathinaikos 1 Asteras 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
AEK	-0.4
Atromitos	-1.8
Aris	-3.7
Panathinaikos	+10.0						+0.7
Panetolikos	-1.5
Xanthi	-1.2
Panionios	-0.3
Asteras	-0.8				+2.6		-0.7
OFI					-0.5
Levadiakos					-1.0
Apollon					-0.3

Giannina 0 Atromitos 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
AEK			-2.7
Atromitos	+5.8		+9.1				+0.3
Aris	-1.2
Panathinaikos	-1.6
Panetolikos	-0.9
Xanthi	-0.9
Lamia					-0.3
Larissa					-0.3
Giannina	-0.4				+3.7		-0.6
OFI					-0.8
Levadiakos					-1.4
Apollon					-0.5

Levadiakos 1 Panetolikos 0
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
AEK	+0.3
Atromitos	+0.5
Aris	+2.3
Panathinaikos	+1.4
Panetolikos	-5.4						-0.6
Xanthi	+0.6
Lamia					+1.1
Panionios					+0.7
Larissa					+1.2
Asteras					+1.7
Giannina					+2.5
OFI					+3.7
Levadiakos					-12.5		+0.5
Apollon					+1.4

Aris 1 Panionios 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
AEK	+0.2		+0.2
Atromitos	+0.4
Aris	-2.4		-0.7				-0.1
Panathinaikos	+1.3
Panetolikos	+0.7
Xanthi	+0.4
Panionios	-0.7						-0.2

Larissa 1 Xanthi 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Atromitos	+0.2
Aris	+0.7
Panathinaikos	+0.5
Panetolikos	+0.3
Xanthi	-1.7						-0.1
Larissa	-0.3				+0.2		-0.2

Olympiakos 4 AEK 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Olympiakos							+0.3
AEK	-1.7		-39.8				-0.3
Atromitos			-6.7
Aris	+0.4		-0.7
Panathinaikos	+0.5
Panetolikos	+0.3

OFI 1 Lamia 3
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Lamia	+0.7				-4.0		+0.9
Panionios					-0.4
Larissa					-0.5
Asteras					-0.6
Giannina					-0.9
OFI					+9.7		-0.7
Levadiakos					-2.6
Apollon					-0.7

Apollon 1 PAOK 5
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Lamia					-0.4
Larissa					-0.3
Asteras					-0.4
Giannina					-0.6
OFI					-1.2
Levadiakos					-1.0
Apollon	Out				+4.2		-0.2

Week of 2/23
PAOK vs ArisIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Aris	44.552.467.6		0.20.51.7		0.00.0No		5.95.65.1
Panathinaikos	39.535.928.9						6.16.26.3
Panetolikos	10.29.06.5						8.18.18.2

Panionios vs PanathinaikosHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Aris	59.456.949.5						5.55.55.6
Panathinaikos	24.431.746.9						6.76.35.7
Panionios	2.80.60.2		0.0NoNo		0.92.84.8		9.410.511.0

Panetolikos vs GianninaHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Aris	52.955.956.8						5.65.55.5
Panetolikos	13.96.84.4				0.00.10.3		7.48.28.8
Giannina	0.00.10.3				16.812.15.5		12.612.111.2
OFI					32.033.535.5		13.413.413.5
Levadiakos					41.042.644.8		13.713.713.8

Xanthi vs LevadiakosHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Aris	53.355.856.5						5.65.55.5
Xanthi	12.25.53.5				0.00.10.4		7.58.38.8
Asteras					5.76.88.8
Giannina					9.310.913.9
OFI					29.432.738.6		13.413.413.5
Levadiakos					53.645.530.2		14.213.913.2

Asteras vs AtromitosHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Atromitos	91.694.698.0		9.113.727.5				4.03.83.5
Asteras	0.50.10.0				3.07.511.0		10.611.612.0

AEK vs ApollonHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
AEK	98.896.494.2		28.113.28.6				3.43.73.8
Panionios			No*0.00.0
Apollon					98.196.791.8		15.915.815.6

Lamia vs LarissaHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Lamia	2.50.70.4		0.00.0No		0.31.32.7		9.010.010.7
Larissa	0.10.20.8				8.15.21.8		11.711.110.0

Olympiakos vs OFIHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
AEK			8.518.024.9
Atromitos			9.318.124.2
Panionios			No*0.00.0		2.22.73.5		10.210.310.4
Giannina					9.811.113.2		11.911.912.0
OFI					43.735.922.1		13.913.612.9
Levadiakos					38.341.948.1		13.713.713.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Super League Greece 2018-2019 Playoff Chances 50/50

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