Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsNWSL ShieldChance will finish regular season at seedWooden Spoon
7/1PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change12345678910Avg.Change%ChangeRPISunday
CourageLSky Blue 0-12418-0-4687.8%-4.237.9%-12.9382515106321002.4-0.390.1%+0.03North Carolina Courage
StarsWPride 1-02317-2-3583.3+9.931.3+11.6312516117531102.7+0.640.2-0.31Chicago Red Stars
ReignWThorns 2-02015-5-2964.0+12.414.1+5.414171815121074213.9+0.700.8-1.22Seattle Reign FC
ThornsLReign 0-21815-3-4446.9-12.86.4-4.061114151513108534.9-0.682.8+1.34Portland Thorns FC
Sky BlueWCourage 1-0196-1-6043.3+11.45.0+2.151014151514119635.1+0.712.5-2.66Sky Blue FC
PrideLStars 0-11514-3-5-123.8-11.22.0-1.824710121415141296.3-0.728.6+3.57Orlando Pride
Kansas1323-4-4-321.0-0.91.7+0.224691113151514116.6-0.0611.0+0.95DashFC Kansas City
SpiritLBreakers 0-11123-2-6-512.0-7.40.8-0.81246810131619227.5-0.6821.9+7.610Washington Spirit
BreakersWSpirit 1-01213-3-6-59.7+3.30.4+0.20135710131620247.7+0.5223.6-10.89Boston Breakers
Dash1023-1-7-108.1-0.50.4-0.0012469121621297.9-0.0528.5+1.78at KansasHouston Dash

Comments/Corrections may be directed to SiberianThunderT on BigSoccer (also available as CyMoahk2 on Wikipedia)

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 7/1
Reign 2 Thorns 0
10:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*NWSL Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Courage-0.1
*-0.1
Stars-0.3
-0.2
Reign+13.6
+4.9
-1.3
+0.7
Thorns-12.0
-4.6
+1.0
-0.7
Sky Blue-0.3
+0.1
Pride-0.3
Kansas-0.2
Spirit-0.2
-0.1
Breakers-0.1
+0.2
Dash-0.1
*+0.1
Courage 0 Sky Blue 1
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*NWSL Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Courage-4.6
-9.9
+0.1
-0.4
Stars-0.9
+2.8
Reign-1.3
+1.2
+0.1
Thorns-1.3
+1.7
+0.1
Sky Blue+11.6
+2.7
-2.8
+0.7
Pride-1.1
+0.7
+0.2
-0.1
Kansas-0.9
+0.3
+0.3
-0.1
Spirit-0.7
+0.3
+0.5
-0.1
Breakers-0.4
+0.9
-0.1
Dash-0.5
+0.1
+0.6
-0.1
Pride 0 Stars 1
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*NWSL Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Courage-3.6
Stars+10.8
+8.0
-0.4
+0.6
Reign-0.8
-0.1
Thorns*+0.1
-0.7
-0.1
Sky Blue-0.3
-0.2
Pride-10.7
-2.2
+2.5
-0.7
Kansas-0.1
-0.2
-0.3
Spirit-0.1
-0.2
-0.4
Breakers-0.6
Dash-0.1
-0.7
Breakers 1 Spirit 0
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*NWSL Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Courage+0.3
+0.2
Stars+0.3
+0.2
+0.1
Reign+0.3
+0.1
+0.2
Thorns+0.6
+0.1
+0.2
Sky Blue+0.4
+0.5
Pride+0.4
+0.5
Kansas+0.3
+0.8
Spirit-6.8
-0.8
+7.5
-0.6
Breakers+4.1
+0.2
-11.5
+0.6
Dash+0.2
+1.7
Kansas vs DashIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*NWSL Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Courage87.588.287.9
37.638.138.1
Stars82.783.783.5
31.131.531.5
Reign63.164.764.5
13.914.214.2
0.70.80.9
Thorns46.147.647.3
6.46.56.5
2.72.72.9
Sky Blue42.444.043.7
2.22.42.9
Pride23.324.324.0
7.88.39.4
Kansas29.918.613.6
2.91.20.8
4.911.117.0
5.86.77.2
Spirit11.512.312.3
20.821.523.4
Breakers9.310.09.9
22.523.225.0
Dash4.16.613.1
0.10.30.8
38.029.918.1
8.58.17.3
Breakers vs StarsHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*NWSL Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Courage88.088.087.5
42.039.332.9
2.42.42.5
Stars76.182.591.0
23.028.841.4
0.40.10.0
3.22.82.2
Reign*64.064.563.7
15.814.712.0
1.00.80.7
Thorns47.347.446.3
7.16.75.6
3.22.72.4
Sky Blue43.343.842.9
5.75.24.1
2.92.52.2
Pride24.124.223.3
2.32.11.7
9.68.47.6
Kansas21.221.320.5
1.91.81.4
12.410.89.8
6.66.66.5
Spirit12.112.211.8
0.90.80.6
23.921.620.2
7.67.57.4
Breakers15.67.95.1
0.80.20.1
15.525.030.8
7.17.88.2
Dash8.28.37.9
0.50.50.3
31.028.126.2
8.07.97.9
Week of 7/8
Sky Blue vs KansasIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*NWSL Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Courage87.388.388.0
37.138.538.3
Stars82.783.983.4
30.731.831.7
Reign63.164.964.3
13.814.314.2
0.80.80.9
Thorns45.748.047.5
6.26.66.6
2.62.72.9
Sky Blue57.140.731.2
8.23.92.5
0.72.44.4
4.35.25.8
Pride23.024.624.2
1.92.12.1
8.28.58.9
Kansas12.418.631.1
0.71.23.0
15.711.65.9
7.26.75.8
Spirit11.712.512.0
21.221.822.8
Breakers9.410.19.8
22.823.524.5
Dash7.68.48.4
27.628.429.5
Dash vs ThornsHomeDrawAway
8:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*NWSL Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Courage88.388.387.1
38.738.436.8
Stars83.983.782.4
32.131.830.3
2.72.72.8
Reign65.164.762.5
14.514.313.5
1.00.80.7
3.93.94.0
Thorns35.744.459.9
3.55.210.2
4.82.60.8
5.55.04.1
Sky Blue44.644.141.5
5.25.14.6
3.02.42.1
5.05.05.1
Pride24.624.422.7
2.12.11.9
9.88.37.5
Kansas21.821.519.8
1.81.71.6
12.010.810.2
Spirit12.412.411.3
24.221.520.0
Breakers10.210.09.0
25.823.221.7
Dash13.46.53.8
0.90.30.1
19.130.136.8
7.38.18.4
Courage vs ReignHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*NWSL Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Courage94.487.581.5
50.635.826.7
0.00.10.2
1.92.52.9
Stars83.683.682.8
28.433.632.8
Reign53.462.076.0
6.812.322.6
1.40.80.2
4.54.03.2
Thorns47.847.445.8
5.67.16.9
Sky Blue44.143.842.2
4.25.45.4
Pride24.424.223.1
1.72.22.2
8.58.68.6
Kansas21.521.320.2
1.41.91.8
10.911.011.1
Spirit12.312.211.6
0.70.80.8
21.822.022.0
Breakers10.29.99.1
0.30.40.4
23.423.623.8
Dash8.38.37.8
0.40.50.4
28.428.528.6
Spirit vs PrideHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*NWSL Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Courage88.088.387.4
38.138.237.6
Stars83.583.882.7
31.431.631.1
Reign64.464.863.1
14.214.213.9
0.90.80.8
Thorns47.147.846.2
6.56.56.4
2.92.72.7
Sky Blue43.644.142.5
5.05.04.9
2.62.52.4
Pride15.321.334.1
0.91.53.5
13.68.53.5
7.06.55.5
Kansas21.221.520.4
12.010.710.2
Spirit18.810.16.5
1.40.50.3
13.023.130.1
6.87.68.1
Breakers9.910.09.3
25.023.322.5
Dash8.38.47.8
29.728.127.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you bgix for adding this league.