Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsNWSL ShieldChance will finish regular season at seedWooden Spoon
5/21PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change12345678910Avg.Change%ChangeRPIWednesday
CourageLStars 1-3124-0-2164.5%-7.623.0%-7.22317131110875423.8-0.492.3%+0.87Sky BlueNorth Carolina Courage
Sky Blue103-1-2251.4+0.214.3+0.914131212111098754.7+0.024.6+0.15at CourageSky Blue FC
StarsWCourage 3-1103-1-2251.3+11.014.2+5.114131211111098754.7+0.744.8-3.52Chicago Red Stars
ReignTPride 1-192-3-1544.7-2.311.1-0.8111111111111109865.1-0.146.1+0.36Seattle Reign FC
Thorns92-3-1244.5+0.210.5+0.9111111111110109875.1+0.026.7+0.11Portland Thorns FC
Kansas82-2-2137.9+0.28.1+0.6891010111111111095.6+0.018.6+0.14FC Kansas City
Breakers82-2-2137.8+0.27.9+0.6891010111111111095.6+0.019.3+0.23Boston Breakers
PrideTReign 1-161-3-2-226.0-2.34.4-0.54678910121314166.5-0.1615.7+1.18Orlando Pride
Dash62-0-4-625.6+0.24.2+0.34678910121314166.515.7+0.39Houston Dash
Spirit41-1-4-616.4+0.22.2+0.2245679111317267.426.1+0.410Washington Spirit

Comments/Corrections may be directed to SiberianThunderT on BigSoccer (also available as CyMoahk2 on Wikipedia)

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 5/20
Sky Blue 2 Dash 1
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*NWSL Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Courage-0.2
-0.4
Sky Blue+10.6
+4.3
-3.9
+0.7
Stars-0.3
-0.2
-0.1
Reign-0.2
-0.2
-0.1
Thorns-0.2
-0.2
Kansas-0.3
-0.2
-0.1
Breakers-0.2
-0.2
Pride-0.2
-0.1
-0.2
Dash-8.8
-2.8
+4.4
-0.6
Spirit-0.2
-0.1
Courage 1 Stars 3
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*NWSL Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Courage-8.2
-7.9
+0.9
-0.5
Sky Blue-0.3
+0.5
+0.2
Stars+10.5
+4.9
-3.5
+0.7
Reign-0.3
+0.5
+0.1
Thorns-0.4
+0.6
+0.2
Kansas-0.3
+0.3
+0.2
Breakers-0.3
+0.3
+0.3
Pride-0.2
+0.3
+0.4
Dash-0.3
+0.2
+0.5
Spirit-0.2
+0.1
+0.7
Spirit 0 Kansas 1
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*NWSL Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Courage-0.2
-0.3
Sky Blue-0.2
-0.1
Stars-0.3
-0.1
Reign-0.3
-0.1
-0.2
Thorns-0.3
-0.1
Kansas+9.2
+2.7
-6.3
+0.7
Breakers-0.4
-0.2
Pride-0.2
-0.1
-0.1
Dash-0.3
-0.1
-0.2
Spirit-7.1
-1.6
+6.8
-0.6
Reign 1 Pride 1
9:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*NWSL Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Courage+0.5
+0.7
Sky Blue+0.6
+0.3
Stars+0.6
+0.3
-0.1
Reign-2.0
-1.3
+0.1
-0.1
Thorns+0.5
+0.2
-0.1
Kansas+0.6
+0.2
-0.1
Breakers+0.5
+0.2
-0.1
Pride-2.1
-0.8
+0.7
-0.1
Dash+0.4
+0.1
-0.1
Spirit+0.3
+0.1
-0.3
Courage vs Sky BlueIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*NWSL Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Courage74.962.955.1
31.521.315.7
1.02.33.5
3.23.94.4
Sky Blue41.549.362.6
8.612.921.0
6.84.82.3
5.34.84.0
Stars51.251.851.1
13.714.914.3
Reign44.645.244.4
10.711.611.2
6.16.16.2
Thorns44.545.044.3
9.911.110.7
6.66.76.8
Kansas37.838.337.6
7.88.58.2
8.68.68.7
Breakers37.838.337.5
7.58.38.1
9.29.39.5
Pride25.926.425.8
4.14.64.5
15.615.715.8
Dash25.526.025.4
4.14.54.1
15.615.715.9
Spirit16.316.716.2
2.12.32.3
25.826.026.4
Week of 5/27
Thorns vs BreakersIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
10:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*NWSL Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Courage64.265.064.3
22.623.623.1
Sky Blue51.252.051.2
14.114.714.3
Stars51.051.951.1
14.014.714.2
4.74.84.9
Reign44.545.344.5
11.011.511.0
6.16.16.2
Thorns55.842.534.7
15.49.26.5
3.46.99.8
4.45.35.8
Kansas37.638.437.7
8.08.48.1
8.58.58.8
Breakers28.335.648.8
4.66.812.0
13.29.75.2
6.35.74.9
Pride25.726.525.9
4.24.54.4
15.615.615.8
Dash25.426.125.5
4.14.3*4.2
15.615.615.9
Spirit16.216.816.3
2.22.3*2.2
25.925.926.3
Stars vs CourageHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*NWSL Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Courage55.162.974.8
15.621.331.6
3.52.31.0
4.43.93.2
Sky Blue51.151.951.3
14.415.013.8
4.74.64.6
Stars62.449.341.5
20.912.88.5
2.55.07.0
4.04.85.3
Reign44.445.244.6
11.211.610.7
6.26.16.1
Thorns44.345.044.5
10.811.19.9
6.86.76.6
Kansas37.638.337.8
8.28.57.8
8.78.68.6
Breakers37.638.337.8
8.08.37.6
9.59.39.2
Pride25.826.425.9
4.54.64.1
15.815.715.6
Dash25.426.025.5
4.24.44.0
15.915.715.6
Spirit16.216.716.3
2.22.32.1
26.326.025.8
Sky Blue vs PrideHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*NWSL Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Courage64.165.064.5
22.223.623.4
2.22.22.4
Sky Blue62.449.441.7
20.012.89.6
2.14.77.1
4.04.85.3
Stars50.951.851.3
13.614.614.6
4.64.75.0
Reign44.345.244.7
10.611.511.4
5.96.16.5
Thorns44.145.144.6
10.010.810.8
6.46.67.1
Kansas37.538.437.9
7.78.48.4
8.38.59.0
Breakers37.438.437.9
7.68.18.1
9.19.29.7
Pride18.123.835.3
2.33.67.0
21.016.59.9
7.16.65.8
Dash25.326.125.7
3.94.34.4
15.215.616.4
Spirit16.116.716.4
2.12.32.3
25.325.827.0
Dash vs ReignHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*NWSL Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Courage64.565.064.1
23.323.522.4
2.42.32.2
Sky Blue51.552.050.9
14.614.713.8
5.04.54.4
Stars51.351.950.9
14.414.613.8
5.14.74.6
Reign35.242.655.5
7.29.815.9
9.36.22.9
5.85.24.4
Thorns44.645.144.1
10.710.810.1
6.96.66.5
Kansas37.938.437.5
8.38.37.9
8.98.58.4
Breakers37.838.437.4
8.18.17.6
9.69.29.1
Pride26.026.425.6
4.54.54.2
16.215.515.3
Dash34.923.517.8
6.73.42.1
9.816.521.1
5.86.77.1
Spirit16.416.716.1
2.32.32.1
26.825.925.5
Kansas vs SpiritHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*NWSL Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Courage63.965.064.7
22.423.423.4
2.12.22.5
Sky Blue50.951.951.5
14.014.614.5
4.44.54.9
Stars50.751.851.5
13.914.514.4
4.64.75.1
Reign44.145.244.9
10.811.311.3
5.76.06.7
Thorns44.045.144.8
10.210.710.7
6.46.67.1
Kansas48.135.829.0
11.97.05.1
4.18.413.3
4.95.76.2
Breakers37.238.338.1
7.68.18.1
8.99.29.8
Pride25.526.426.2
4.24.54.5
15.015.416.6
Dash25.126.025.8
4.14.34.3
14.915.416.7
Spirit10.514.523.6
1.01.73.7
33.827.517.4
7.97.56.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you bgix for adding this league.