Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleUEFA CLChance will finish season at seedSerie B
9/17PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPISunday
Juventus124-0-0517.8%-0.240.2%-0.2181210876654433322211116.1-0.022.5%-0.02at FrosinoneJuventus
SpalWAtalanta 2-093-0-139.5+2.725.8+6.0998776665554443332218.0+1.165.8-3.413at FiorentinaSpal
Napoli93-0-109.4-0.125.8-0.2998776665554443332218.0-0.015.9-0.01at TorinoNapoli
Sampdoria612-0-176.7-0.119.7-0.2776666665555544444339.2-0.019.2+0.010InterSampdoria
Fiorentina612-0-156.6-0.119.6-0.2776666665555544444339.2-0.019.2-0.05SpalFiorentina
Genoa612-0-106.7-0.119.6-0.2776666665555544444339.2-0.019.2-0.012at LazioGenoa
Sassuolo72-1-125.8-0.118.1-0.2666666665555554444339.4-0.029.7+0.03EmpoliSassuolo
Lazio62-0-2-14.5-0.114.8-0.15555555555555555544410.2-0.0112.1-0.09GenoaLazio
AC Milan411-1-104.1-0.113.3-0.14555555555555555555510.6-0.0114.4-0.04AtalantaAC Milan
AS Roma51-2-103.6-0.012.2-0.14445555555555555555510.915.0-0.111at BolognaAS Roma
Cagliari51-2-1-13.6-0.112.2-0.14445555555555555555510.9-0.0115.0-0.18at ParmaCagliari
Udinese51-2-103.6-0.012.2-0.14445555555555555555510.9-0.0115.1-0.06at ChievoUdinese
Torino51-2-103.6-0.112.2-0.14445555555555555555510.915.1-0.116NapoliTorino
Inter41-1-212.7-0.19.8-0.13344445555556666666611.6-0.0218.3-0.017at SampdoriaInter
AtalantaLSpal 0-241-1-212.7-1.59.8-3.83344445555556666666611.6-0.9818.3+4.018at AC MilanAtalanta
Empoli41-1-202.7-0.19.8-0.13344445555556666666611.6-0.0118.4-0.015at SassuoloEmpoli
Parma41-1-2-12.7-0.19.7-0.13344445555556666666611.6-0.0118.4-0.07CagliariParma
Chievo20-2-2-61.5-0.06.1-0.012233344455566677891013.026.4-0.014UdineseChievo
Bologna10-1-3-51.1-0.04.7-0.1122233344455566789101313.731.0-0.119AS RomaBologna
Frosinone10-1-3-101.1-0.04.7-0.0122233344455566789101313.7-0.0131.1-0.020JuventusFrosinone

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 8/18
Chievo 2 Juventus 3
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Juventus+2.1
+4.9
-4.7
+1.2
Chievo-1.6
-3.9
+4.1
-1.0
Torino 0 AS Roma 1
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
AS Roma+2.1
+4.9
-4.7
+1.2
Torino-1.6
-3.9
+4.1
-1.0
Atalanta 4 Frosinone 0
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atalanta+2.1
+4.9
-4.7
+1.2
Frosinone-1.6
-3.8
+4.1
-1.0
Sassuolo 1 Inter 0
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sassuolo+2.1
+4.9
-4.7
+1.2
Inter-1.6
-3.8
+4.2
-1.0
Frosinone-0.1
Bologna 0 Spal 1
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Spal+2.1
+4.9
-4.8
+1.2
Bologna-1.6
-3.8
+4.2
-1.0
Lazio 1 Napoli 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Napoli+2.1
+5.0
-4.7
+1.2
Lazio-1.6
-3.8
+4.1
-1.0
AC Milan-0.2
Empoli 2 Cagliari 0
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
AC Milan+0.2
Cagliari-1.6
-3.8
+4.1
-1.0
Inter-0.2
Empoli+2.1
+4.9
-4.6
+1.2
Parma 2 Udinese 2
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Juventus+0.2
Napoli+0.2
Sampdoria+0.2
AS Roma+0.2
Udinese-0.5
-1.1
+0.6
-0.2
Empoli+0.2
Parma-0.5
-1.1
+0.6
-0.2
Sampdoria vs FiorentinaIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Juventus17.718.117.7
40.140.540.1
Spal9.49.69.4
25.726.025.7
Napoli9.39.69.4
25.626.025.7
Sampdoria9.56.04.5
25.818.314.8
5.89.612.2
8.09.410.2
Fiorentina4.56.09.4
14.718.325.7
12.29.65.8
10.29.48.0
Genoa6.66.86.6
19.519.819.5
Sassuolo5.85.95.8
18.018.218.0
Lazio4.54.64.5
14.714.914.7
Udinese3.53.63.5
12.112.312.1
AC Milan vs GenoaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Juventus17.918.017.6
40.240.440.0
Spal9.59.69.4
*25.826.025.6
Napoli9.49.59.3
25.826.025.6
Sampdoria6.76.86.6
*19.719.919.5
Fiorentina6.76.76.6
*19.619.819.4
Genoa4.66.09.4
14.818.225.6
12.29.65.8
10.29.48.0
Sassuolo5.95.95.8
18.118.217.9
Lazio4.54.64.4
*14.814.914.7
12.212.112.1
AC Milan5.93.62.6
18.112.29.6
9.715.018.4
9.410.811.6
AS Roma*3.63.63.5
12.212.312.1
15.115.015.0
Cagliari3.63.63.5
12.212.312.1
15.115.015.0
Udinese3.63.63.5
*12.212.312.0
15.215.015.0
Torino3.63.63.5
*12.212.312.1
15.215.015.1
Empoli2.72.82.7
9.89.99.7
18.518.318.3
Bologna4.74.84.7
31.230.930.9
Frosinone*4.74.84.7
31.231.031.0
Week of 8/25
Spal 1 Parma 0
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Spal+2.7
+5.8
-3.6
+1.2
Napoli-0.2
-0.2
Sassuolo-0.2
AS Roma-0.1
Parma-1.5
-3.7
+4.3
-1.0
Juventus 2 Lazio 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Juventus+2.7
+5.8
-3.7
+1.2
Spal-0.2
Napoli-0.2
Sampdoria-0.2
Fiorentina-0.2
Sassuolo-0.2
Lazio-1.2
-3.2
+4.7
-1.0
Atalanta-0.2
Empoli-0.2
Napoli 3 AC Milan 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Juventus-0.2
-0.3
Napoli+2.7
+5.8
-3.6
+1.2
AC Milan-1.6
-3.9
+4.1
-1.0
Atalanta-0.2
Empoli-0.2
Genoa 2 Empoli 1
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Genoa+2.0
+4.9
-4.7
+1.2
Empoli-2.1
-4.6
+3.2
-1.0
Fiorentina 6 Chievo 1
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Napoli-0.2
Fiorentina+2.0
+4.7
-4.7
+1.2
Chievo-1.1
-3.0
+4.8
-1.0
Udinese 1 Sampdoria 0
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Napoli*-0.1
Sampdoria-1.5
-3.8
+4.1
-1.0
Udinese+1.8
+4.6
-4.9
+1.2
AS Roma 3 Atalanta 3
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Juventus+0.2
Spal+0.2
Napoli+0.2
Fiorentina+0.2
Genoa+0.2
Sassuolo+0.2
AS Roma-0.7
-1.3
+0.4
-0.2
Udinese+0.2
Atalanta-0.7
-1.3
+0.4
-0.2
Cagliari 2 Sassuolo 2
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Juventus+0.2
Spal+0.2
Napoli+0.2
Sassuolo-0.7
-1.3
+0.4
-0.2
Cagliari-0.4
-0.9
+0.8
-0.2
Atalanta+0.2
Empoli+0.2
Frosinone 0 Bologna 0
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Juventus+0.2
Napoli+0.2
Empoli+0.2
Bologna-0.4
-0.9
+0.7
-0.2
Frosinone-0.4
-1.0
+0.8
-0.2
Inter 2 Torino 2
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Torino-0.4
-0.9
+0.8
-0.2
Inter-0.4
-1.0
+0.8
-0.2
Atalanta+0.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you kevinyoung90 for adding this league.