New York City FC Playoff Chances 2020 50/50Lost to Toronto 0-1, playoff odds down 5.8 to 42.7% 0 points 0-0-2 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 3/8 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Supporters Shield | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed | Toronto 1 New York City 0 | -7.3 | | -0.9 | | +1.9 | | -0.6 | | Colorado 2 Orlando 1 | +0.6 | | | | | | +0.0 | | New England 1 Chicago 1 | +0.3 | | | | | | | | Salt Lake 1 New York RB 1 | +0.2 | | +0.1 | | -0.1 | | +0.0 | | Seattle 1 Columbus 1 | *+0.2 | | | | | | +0.0 | | Los Angeles FC 3 Philadelphia 3 | *+0.2 | | +0.1 | | | | *+0.0 | | Dallas 2 Montreal 2 | *+0.1 | | +0.1 | | | | +0.0 | | DC United 2 Miami 1 | *-0.1 | | | | | | | | Atlanta 2 Cincinnati 1 | *-0.1 | | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | New York City vs Dallas | +8.2-2.4-6.3 | | +0.9-0.3-0.7 | | -2.7+0.5+2.3 | | +0.7-0.2-0.6 | | Miami vs LA Galaxy | -0.8+0.3+0.5 | | | | | | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | | Columbus vs Salt Lake | -0.7*+0.2+0.5 | | | | | | -0.1*+0.0+0.0 | | Atlanta vs Kansas City | -0.6*+0.0+0.6 | | | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | Toronto vs Nashville | -0.6*+0.2+0.5 | | | | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | | -0.1*+0.0+0.0 | | Minnesota vs New York RB | +0.5*+0.1-0.6 | | | | | | +0.0*+0.0-0.1 | | Philadelphia vs San Jose | -0.6*+0.1+0.5 | | | | | | -0.1*+0.0+0.0 | | Orlando vs Chicago | -0.3+0.6*-0.1 | | | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 3/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Supporters Shield | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed | New York City vs Vancouver | +8.2-2.3-6.4 | | +0.9-0.3-0.7 | | -2.7+0.5+2.3 | | +0.7-0.2-0.6 | | New England vs Portland | -0.9*+0.2+0.7 | | | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Salt Lake vs New England | +0.6*+0.2-0.8 | | | | | | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | | Minnesota vs Montreal | +0.6*-0.0-0.6 | | | | | | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | | Nashville vs Columbus | +0.5*+0.2-0.7 | | | | +0.2*-0.1-0.1 | | +0.0*+0.0-0.1 | | Chicago vs Atlanta | -0.3+0.4*-0.0 | | | | +0.2*-0.0-0.1 | | | | Cincinnati vs Toronto | | | | | +0.2*-0.1-0.1 | | | | Miami vs New York RB | | | | | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the New York City finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Supporters | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Wooden | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | Shield | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | Spoon | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 69 | -96 | | In | 99.0 | % | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 590 | * | 68 | | 21 | - | 5 | - | 6 | In | 95.8 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 306 | * | 67 | | 20 | - | 7 | - | 5 | In | 92.6 | | 97 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 461 | * | 66 | | 20 | - | 6 | - | 6 | In | 91.5 | | 96 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 752 | * | 65 | | 19 | - | 8 | - | 5 | In | 87.8 | | 96 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,011 | * | 64 | | 19 | - | 7 | - | 6 | In | 80.9 | | 93 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,585 | * | 63 | | 19 | - | 6 | - | 7 | In | 73.4 | | 89 | 10 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,266 | * | 62 | | 18 | - | 8 | - | 6 | In | 64.2 | | 86 | 14 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,168 | * | 61 | | 18 | - | 7 | - | 7 | In | 54.8 | | 81 | 18 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,420 | * | 60 | | 18 | - | 6 | - | 8 | In | 42.5 | | 73 | 25 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,954 | * | 59 | | 17 | - | 8 | - | 7 | In | 31.7 | | 64 | 31 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,806 | * | 58 | | 17 | - | 7 | - | 8 | In | 21.0 | | 54 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 10,396 | * | 57 | | 16 | - | 9 | - | 7 | In | 11.4 | | 45 | 41 | 13 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 13,397 | * | 56 | | 16 | - | 8 | - | 8 | In | 5.7 | | 33 | 43 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 16,859 | * | 55 | | 16 | - | 7 | - | 9 | In | 2.1 | | 23 | 42 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 20,805 | * | 54 | | 15 | - | 9 | - | 8 | In | 0.7 | | 15 | 37 | 33 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 25,240 | * | 53 | | 15 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 100.0 | % | 0.2 | | 9 | 29 | 36 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 30,236 | * | 52 | | 15 | - | 7 | - | 10 | 100.0 | | 0.0 | | 4 | 20 | 34 | 28 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 35,910 | * | 51 | | 14 | - | 9 | - | 9 | 99.9 | | No | 2 | 12 | 28 | 32 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 41,266 | * | 50 | | 14 | - | 8 | - | 10 | 99.5 | | No | 1 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 27 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | | | | | No | 46,676 | * | 49 | | 14 | - | 7 | - | 11 | 98.1 | | No | 0 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 31 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 51,552 | * | 48 | | 13 | - | 9 | - | 10 | 94.2 | | No | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 28 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | No | 57,290 | * | 47 | | 13 | - | 8 | - | 11 | 85.6 | | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | No | 61,366 | * | 46 | | 12 | - | 10 | - | 10 | 70.4 | | No | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 30 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | No | 64,880 | * | 45 | | 12 | - | 9 | - | 11 | 51.0 | | No | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 28 | 28 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 67,277 | * | 44 | | 12 | - | 8 | - | 12 | 31.6 | | No | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 68,115 | * | 43 | | 11 | - | 10 | - | 11 | 16.1 | | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 30 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 68,753 | * | 42 | | 11 | - | 9 | - | 12 | 6.8 | | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 30 | 28 | 14 | 3 | 0 | No | 67,249 | * | 41 | | 11 | - | 8 | - | 13 | 2.3 | | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 33 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0.0 | % | 65,427 | * | 40 | | 10 | - | 10 | - | 12 | 0.6 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 32 | 15 | 3 | 0.0 | | 62,405 | * | 39 | | 10 | - | 9 | - | 13 | 0.1 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 36 | 24 | 6 | 0.2 | | 57,934 | * | 38 | | 10 | - | 8 | - | 14 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 34 | 34 | 12 | 1.0 | | 52,630 | * | 37 | | 9 | - | 10 | - | 13 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 40 | 20 | 3.4 | | 47,525 | * | 36 | | 9 | - | 9 | - | 14 | Out | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 43 | 30 | 7.8 | | 41,454 | * | 35 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 15 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 14 | 42 | 41 | 16.0 | | 35,930 | * | 34 | | 8 | - | 10 | - | 14 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 38 | 52 | 26.8 | | 30,332 | * | 33 | | 8 | - | 9 | - | 15 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 63 | 38.9 | | 25,111 | * | 32 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 16 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 72 | 51.7 | | 20,242 | * | 31 | | 7 | - | 10 | - | 15 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 19 | 79 | 63.2 | | 16,231 | * | 30 | | 7 | - | 9 | - | 16 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 86 | 74.1 | | 12,587 | * | 29 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 17 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 9 | 91 | 81.3 | | 9,597 | * | 28 | | 6 | - | 10 | - | 16 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 94 | 87.4 | | 7,223 | * | 27 | | 6 | - | 9 | - | 17 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 96 | 91.6 | | 5,166 | * | 26 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 18 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | 95.4 | | 3,670 | * | 25 | | 5 | - | 10 | - | 17 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | 96.6 | | 2,560 | * | 24 | | 5 | - | 9 | - | 18 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 98.1 | | 1,696 | * | 23 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 19 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 98.5 | | 1,167 | * | 22 | | 4 | - | 10 | - | 18 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 99.1 | | 685 | * | 21 | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 19 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 99.1 | | 440 | * | 0 | -20 | | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 746 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 42.7 | % | 1.6 | % | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 7.0 | % | 1,276,344 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesWeek of 3/8 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Toronto 1 New York City 0 | +1.3 | | Colorado 2 Orlando 1 | -0.0 | | Salt Lake 1 New York RB 1 | -0.0 | | Seattle 1 Columbus 1 | *-0.0 | | Dallas 2 Montreal 2 | -0.0 | | Los Angeles FC 3 Philadelphia 3 | -0.0 | | DC United 2 Miami 1 | *+0.0 | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | New York City vs Dallas | -1.5+0.4+1.2 | | Atlanta vs Kansas City | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | | Minnesota vs New York RB | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | | Orlando vs Chicago | +0.0-0.1*+0.0 | | Miami vs LA Galaxy | +0.1*-0.0-0.0 | | Columbus vs Salt Lake | +0.1*-0.0-0.0 | | Toronto vs Nashville | +0.1*-0.0-0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 3/15 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | New York City vs Vancouver | -1.5+0.4+1.2 | | New England vs Portland | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | | Minnesota vs Montreal | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | | Salt Lake vs New England | -0.0*-0.0+0.1 | | Chicago vs Atlanta | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | | Nashville vs Columbus | -0.0*-0.0+0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TP | W | - | D | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 73 | -96 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 72 | | 22 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 97 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 71 | | 22 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 70 | | 21 | - | 7 | - | 4 | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 69 | | 21 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 68 | | 21 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 67 | | 20 | - | 7 | - | 5 | 93 | 5 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 66 | | 20 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 91 | 4 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 65 | | 19 | - | 8 | - | 5 | 88 | 8 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 64 | | 19 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 81 | 12 | 6 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 63 | | 19 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 73 | 16 | 10 | 0 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 62 | | 18 | - | 8 | - | 6 | 64 | 21 | 14 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 61 | | 18 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 55 | 26 | 18 | 1 | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 60 | | 18 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 42 | 31 | 23 | 1 | 2 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 59 | | 17 | - | 8 | - | 7 | 32 | 33 | 28 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 58 | | 17 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 21 | 33 | 30 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 57 | | 16 | - | 9 | - | 7 | 11 | 33 | 30 | 11 | 12 | 0 | 2 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 56 | | 16 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 17 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 55 | | 16 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 2 | 21 | 19 | 24 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 54 | | 15 | - | 9 | - | 8 | 1 | 14 | 11 | 26 | 23 | 10 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 53 | | 15 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 17 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 52 | | 15 | - | 7 | - | 10 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 23 | 20 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 51 | | 14 | - | 9 | - | 9 | | 2 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | | 14 | - | 8 | - | 10 | | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 22 | 18 | 9 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 49 | | 14 | - | 7 | - | 11 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 18 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 48 | | 13 | - | 9 | - | 10 | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 23 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 47 | | 13 | - | 8 | - | 11 | | 0 | | 0 | | 2 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 21 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 46 | | 12 | - | 10 | - | 10 | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 17 | 16 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 45 | | 12 | - | 9 | - | 11 | | | | | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 16 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 44 | | 12 | - | 8 | - | 12 | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 18 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 43 | | 11 | - | 10 | - | 11 | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 23 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 42 | | 11 | - | 9 | - | 12 | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 25 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 41 | | 11 | - | 8 | - | 13 | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 26 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 40 | | 10 | - | 10 | - | 12 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 27 | 22 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 39 | | 10 | - | 9 | - | 13 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 28 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 38 | | 10 | - | 8 | - | 14 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 29 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 37 | | 9 | - | 10 | - | 13 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 29 | 29 | 16 | 3 | 36 | | 9 | - | 9 | - | 14 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 33 | 26 | 8 | 35 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 15 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 36 | 16 | 34 | | 8 | - | 10 | - | 14 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 41 | 27 | 33 | | 8 | - | 9 | - | 15 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 41 | 39 | 32 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 16 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 37 | 52 | 31 | | 7 | - | 10 | - | 15 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 63 | 30 | | 7 | - | 9 | - | 16 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 23 | 74 | 29 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 17 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 17 | 81 | 28 | | 6 | - | 10 | - | 16 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 87 | 27 | | 6 | - | 9 | - | 17 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 92 | 26 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 18 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 95 | 25 | | 5 | - | 10 | - | 17 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | 24 | | 5 | - | 9 | - | 18 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | 23 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 19 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | 22 | | 4 | - | 10 | - | 18 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 21 | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 19 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 0 | -20 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
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