Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleUEFA CLChance will finish season at seedLiga Pro
3/19PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718Avg.Change%ChangeRPI4/2
BenficaTPaços de Ferreira 0-06420-4-24355.5%+0.0100.0%-0.055413001.5-0.01No2PortoBenfica
PortoTVitória Setúbal 1-16319-6-14643.7-0.5100.0-0.044524001.6-0.02No1at BenficaPorto
Sporting CPWNacional 2-05416-6-4230.9+0.590.4+1.71683910003.0+0.06No3at AroucaSporting CP
Sporting BragaWBelenenses 2-14613-7-6160.07.8-0.90084931101000004.5+0.14No5MarítimoSporting Braga
Vitória GuimarãesWRio Ave 3-04412-8-690.01.7-0.5002344515410000004.9+0.29No4at NacionalVitória Guimarães
MarítimoWArouca 3-14011-7-82No0.1-0.10071843188421000006.2+0.66No-0.06at Sporting BragaMarítimo
Rio AveLVitória Guimarães 0-33510-5-11-4No0.0-0.10021325181411853100008.4-0.600.0%7at BoavistaRio Ave
ChavesLFeirense 2-3337-12-70No0.0-0.00016141616151396210009.4-0.590.0-0.08Paços de FerreiraChaves
FeirenseWChaves 3-2329-5-12-16No0.0-0.0001310151515141295100010.0+1.220.0-0.313at BelenensesFeirense
BelenensesLSporting Braga 1-2328-8-10-8No0.0-0.0001410141515141395200010.0-0.570.0-0.09FeirenseBelenenses
BoavistaTEstoril 0-0327-11-80No0.0-0.0001310131515151394100010.1+0.020.0-0.111Rio AveBoavista
Vitória SetúbalTPorto 1-1318-7-11-2No0.0-0.0000271013141616127210010.7+0.050.1-0.110MoreirenseVitória Setúbal
Paços de FerreiraTBenfica 0-0276-9-11-11NoNo000134691318231462012.9+0.052.0-1.014at ChavesPaços de Ferreira
AroucaLMarítimo 1-3278-3-15-18NoNo-0.0000123691422231362013.0-0.521.9+0.312Sporting CPArouca
EstorilTBoavista 0-0225-7-14-14NoNo00000113715282415715.3+0.0521.3-3.115at TondelaEstoril
MoreirenseTTondela 1-1215-6-15-16NoNo0000012410213121915.7+0.0830.4-5.216at Vitória SetúbalMoreirense
NacionalLSporting CP 0-2183-9-14-24NoNo0000000131019323416.8-0.2866.6+8.217Vitória GuimarãesNacional
TondelaTMoreirense 1-1173-8-15-26NoNo00000012613284917.1-0.0177.6+1.218EstorilTondela

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 4/2
Benfica vs PortoIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
Benfica81.854.330.1
1.21.51.8
Porto17.544.569.1
1.91.61.3
Sporting CP0.71.20.8
Arouca vs Sporting CPHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
Benfica55.855.655.1
Porto44.043.843.2
Sporting CP0.30.51.8
85.889.995.4
3.13.02.9
Sporting Braga11.28.24.0
Vitória Guimarães2.71.70.6
Marítimo0.30.10.0
Chaves9.59.49.4
Feirense0.00.0No
10.110.09.9
Belenenses0.00.0No
10.110.010.0
Boavista0.00.0No
10.110.010.0
Vitória Setúbal0.00.0No
10.810.610.6
Paços de Ferreira2.0*2.01.9
13.012.812.8
Arouca0.41.93.4
12.313.213.6
Estoril21.6*21.321.1
15.315.215.2
Moreirense30.7*30.430.0
15.815.715.6
Nacional66.966.766.3
Tondela78.177.677.1
Sporting Braga vs MarítimoHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
Sporting CP85.891.993.8
Sporting Braga12.76.34.1
4.24.54.8
Vitória Guimarães1.51.71.8
Marítimo0.00.10.3
6.76.35.7
Rio Ave8.38.48.5
Nacional vs Vitória GuimarãesHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
Sporting CP91.290.989.2
Sporting Braga8.17.97.4
4.44.54.6
Vitória GuimarãesNoNo0.0
0.61.13.2
5.14.94.6
Marítimo6.26.26.3
Paços de Ferreira2.61.81.5
Arouca2.41.71.5
Estoril24.920.518.5
15.315.215.2
Moreirense35.729.026.1
15.815.715.6
Nacional54.069.876.7
16.416.917.1
Tondela80.277.075.5
17.317.117.0
Boavista vs Rio AveHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
Marítimo6.26.26.3
Rio Ave0.00.0No
9.18.57.6
Chaves9.59.49.4
Boavista0.00.0No
9.110.210.9
Chaves vs Paços de FerreiraHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
Marítimo6.36.26.2
Rio Ave8.58.48.4
Chaves8.59.510.2
Feirense10.19.910.0
Belenenses10.110.010.0
Boavista10.110.010.0
Paços de Ferreira3.61.90.4
13.613.112.0
Arouca12.913.013.1
Estoril21.021.421.6
15.215.215.3
Moreirense30.030.430.7
15.715.715.8
Nacional66.266.767.1
Tondela77.277.778.1
Belenenses vs FeirenseHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
Rio Ave8.48.38.4
FeirenseNo0.00.0
10.910.29.0
Belenenses0.00.0No
9.010.110.9
Boavista10.110.010.1
Vitória Setúbal10.710.610.7
Vitória Setúbal vs MoreirenseHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
Rio Ave8.58.48.3
Chaves9.59.49.3
Feirense10.19.99.9
Belenenses10.110.09.9
Boavista10.210.010.0
Vitória Setúbal0.0NoNo
0.00.00.3
9.810.811.4
Paços de Ferreira1.61.92.4
Arouca1.51.82.3
Estoril18.620.724.6
15.215.215.4
Moreirense41.032.518.0
16.115.815.1
Nacional62.665.971.3
16.716.816.9
Tondela74.677.281.0
17.117.117.2
Tondela vs EstorilHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Pro100.0*Average seed
Paços de Ferreira2.21.81.9
12.812.812.9
Arouca2.21.71.7
13.013.013.1
Estoril34.820.38.7
15.815.314.6
Moreirense32.129.029.7
Nacional66.365.268.2
Tondela62.381.989.5
16.717.317.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Markus Paminger for adding this league.