"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

MLS Playoff Chances 50/50

DC United +20.9, Montreal -19.7
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupSupporters ShieldChance will finish regular season at seedWooden Spoon
10/13PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change%Change123456789101112Avg.Change%ChangeRPIWednesday
Atlanta6620-6-628In12.5%61.7%-0.062381.4No1Atlanta United
NY Red Bulls6520-5-727In12.538.3+0.038621.6No2New York Red Bulls
FC DallasLDC United 0-15716-9-712In12.3-0.10.0493415301.7-0.27No3FC Dallas
LAFC5616-8-817In12.0+0.0No303724812.1+0.15No4Los Angeles FC
Sporting KC53115-8-818In10.9+0.0No2022321972.7+0.10No6at VancouverSporting Kansas City
NYCFC5315-8-914In10.6-0.0No7125403.3-0.01No5New York City FC
Philadelphia5015-5-122In7.9-0.1No28511923.9-0.02No11Philadelphia Union
Seattle50115-5-111299.8%7.6+0.0No161937353004.1+0.02No8at OrlandoSeattle Sounders
Portland5114-9-9598.56.3+0.0No0211314510104.6+0.01No7Portland Timbers
Columbus4813-9-10-297.8-0.94.8-0.6No119552225.0-0.11No9Columbus Crew
DC UnitedWFC Dallas 1-044112-8-11675.2+20.91.5+0.7No41952256.0+0.37No10Toronto FCDC United
RSL4613-7-12-354.8-0.00.6No284531146.5No13Real Salt Lake
Montreal4313-4-15-727.0-19.70.2-0.0No3246856.8-0.24No15Montreal Impact
LA Galaxy4512-9-11124.9+0.00.1No022337387.1+0.02No12Los Angeles Galaxy
Vancouver43112-7-12-1122.0+0.00.2No131930487.2+0.02No14Sporting KCVancouver Whitecaps
New EnglandWOrlando 2-0389-11-12-4Out-0.3NoNo580158.1+0.26No16New England Revolution
Toronto FC3319-6-16-5OutNoNo15701509.0-0.16No19at DC UnitedToronto FC
MinnesotaLColorado 0-23611-3-18-19OutNoNo70309.3-0.16No18Minnesota United FC
Houston359-8-150OutNoNo30709.7+0.12No17Houston Dynamo
Chicago318-7-17-12OutNoNo157699.9+0.07No20Chicago Fire
OrlandoLNew England 0-22517-4-20-30OutNoNo199010.9-0.160.7%+0.621SeattleOrlando City SC
ColoradoWMinnesota 2-0277-6-19-28OutNoNo10011.0+0.05No-5.522Colorado Rapids
San Jose204-8-20-21OutNoNo10012.0-0.0599.3+4.923San Jose Earthquakes

Monte Carlo simulation: Does not prove mathematical Clinching or Elimination
Tie Breakers:
1. Wins
2. Goal Differential
3. Goals Scored.
Direct Comments/Corrections to Joshuabrianlane@gmail.com

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 10/13
DC United 1 FC Dallas 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas-0.1
Philadelphia-0.1
Columbus-0.9
-0.6
DC United+21.0
+0.7
Montreal-19.7
New EnglandOut
New England 2 Orlando 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
DC United-0.1
Montreal-0.4
New England+0.5
Orlando+0.3
San Jose-0.3
Minnesota 0 Colorado 2
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Orlando+0.1
ColoradoNo
San Jose+5.4
RSL vs New EnglandIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Seattle99.6100.0100.0
7.47.87.8
Portland96.599.799.7
5.66.76.7
RSL82.144.534.4
1.6NoNo
LA Galaxy10.232.534.4
0.00.10.1
Vancouver11.623.331.5
Vancouver vs Sporting KCHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas12.412.312.3
LAFC12.112.011.9
Sporting KC9.810.811.9
Seattle99.799.999.9
8.17.77.1
Portland97.299.399.3
6.46.56.1
RSL43.658.363.7
LA Galaxy18.528.428.9
Vancouver41.014.18.2
0.6NoNo
DC United vs Toronto FCHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Philadelphia7.87.98.0
Columbus96.597.999.0
3.95.05.6
DC United92.571.960.0
2.61.20.5
Montreal10.930.241.0
0.10.20.2
Orlando vs SeattleHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas12.412.312.2
LAFC12.212.111.6
Sporting KC11.411.110.2
Seattle99.5InIn
6.47.39.1
Portland98.698.498.4
6.66.36.1
RSL0.70.60.5
LA Galaxy25.024.824.8
0.20.10.1
OrlandoNoNo2.0
San JoseYesYes98.0
Week of 10/21
Portland vs RSLIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas12.212.412.4
LAFC11.712.112.1
Sporting KC10.411.111.2
Seattle100.0100.099.6
7.57.87.6
PortlandInIn96.1
8.16.24.6
RSL34.444.582.1
NoNo1.6
LA Galaxy34.132.310.7
0.00.00.2
Vancouver31.523.311.6
0.10.30.3
Minnesota vs LA GalaxyHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Seattle100.0100.099.6
7.77.77.6
Portland99.399.397.2
6.46.46.2
RSL65.163.638.7
LA Galaxy9.511.449.2
NoNo0.3
Vancouver26.125.715.3
Montreal vs Toronto FCHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Columbus94.1InIn
4.65.05.0
DC United57.779.090.1
1.41.51.5
Montreal48.221.09.9
0.5NoNo
LAFC vs VancouverHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas12.312.312.4
LAFC12.512.111.4
Sporting KC10.810.811.0
Seattle99.999.999.7
7.57.67.8
Portland99.399.397.2
*6.36.56.2
RSL63.758.343.6
LA Galaxy28.928.418.5
Vancouver8.214.141.0
NoNo0.6
DC United vs NYCFCHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NYCFC9.511.011.6
Philadelphia8.87.67.1
Columbus96.597.999.0
4.05.05.5
DC United92.571.960.0
2.61.20.5
Montreal10.930.241.0
0.10.20.2
Orlando vs ColumbusHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NYCFC10.710.710.5
Philadelphia8.08.07.7
Columbus95.598.0In
3.74.66.1
DC United76.274.874.4
2.31.50.6
Montreal28.427.225.6
0.40.2No
OrlandoNoNo2.0
San JoseYesYes98.0
Houston vs SeattleHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas12.412.312.2
LAFC12.212.111.6
Sporting KC11.411.110.2
Seattle99.5InIn
6.47.39.1
Portland98.698.498.4
6.66.36.1
RSL0.70.60.5
LA Galaxy25.024.824.8
0.20.10.1
FC Dallas vs Sporting KCHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas12.512.512.0
Sporting KC9.810.812.0
Seattle8.27.67.1
Portland6.66.36.1
Atlanta vs ChicagoHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta85.954.542.3
NY Red Bulls14.145.557.7
Philadelphia vs NY Red BullsHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta82.765.738.1
NY Red Bulls17.334.361.9
NYCFC9.611.011.5
Philadelphia9.27.76.8
Columbus4.74.75.0
DC United1.41.41.5
San Jose vs ColoradoHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Orlando2.0NoNo
San Jose98.0YesYes

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Josh Lane for adding this league.