MLS Playoff Chances 50/50

Revolution +9.3, Union -6.9
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupSupporters ShieldChance will finish regular season at seedWooden Spoon
4/19PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change%Change12345678910Avg.Change%ChangeRPIFriday
Red Bulls1133-2-0583.7%+0.58.3%+0.012.0%-0.2251814119765323.7+0.021.2%-0.01New York Red Bulls
Whitecaps165-1-2382.0-0.78.0-0.114.4-0.2231714119875423.8-0.050.5-0.04Vancouver Whitecaps
DC United1123-2-1179.1+0.57.4+0.08.4-0.11916141210976534.1+0.031.7-0.02DC United
FC Dallas1314-1-2074.6-0.86.8-0.110.1-0.21614131110987644.5-0.061.1-0.011at RapidsFC Dallas
RevolutionWUnion 2-11113-2-2-173.7+9.36.5+1.25.8+1.814141312111097644.6+0.662.4-1.913New England Revolution
Sounders1023-1-2466.4-0.95.7-0.17.1-0.1121211111110109875.1-0.062.1-0.07Seattle Sounders
Crew822-2-2365.4+0.75.4+0.03.9-0.1101111111111109875.2+0.034.2-0.09Columbus Crew
Galaxy1113-2-2164.0-1.05.4-0.15.9-0.11011111111101010985.3-0.062.3-0.03Los Angeles Galaxy
Fire632-0-3-262.6+0.75.2+0.03.7-0.11010111111111010985.4+0.045.0-0.116NYCFCChicago Fire
Real Salt Lake922-3-1159.5-1.04.9-0.15.1-0.191010101010101010105.6-0.063.1-0.110Real Salt Lake
Orlando812-2-3-258.1+0.74.5+0.02.5-0.1791010111111111095.7+0.045.9-0.012Orlando City SC
Earthquakes913-0-4-254.1-1.04.2-0.13.6-0.1789101011111112125.9-0.064.0-0.15San Jose Earthquakes
Dynamo912-3-2252.3-1.04.0-0.13.3-0.168991010111212136.1-0.064.3-0.115Houston Dynamo
TimbersWNYCFC 1-0912-3-2052.2+8.44.0+0.83.3+1.168991011111212136.1+0.554.4-3.18Portland Timbers
Sporting KC912-3-2-152.1-1.04.0-0.13.3-0.168991011111212136.1-0.074.4-0.16Sporting Kansas City
Impact240-2-2-446.7+0.73.4+0.01.7-0.05678910111214166.4+0.0411.2-0.118Montreal Impact
Toronto FC331-0-4-346.3+0.73.4+0.01.5-0.04678910111214166.5+0.0411.2-0.114Toronto FC
NYCFCLTimbers 0-1611-3-3-146.1-6.93.3-0.81.3-0.946781011121314156.5-0.4510.2+2.520at FireNew York City FC
Rapids621-3-2042.9-1.03.1-0.12.2-0.04678910111315196.7-0.077.3-0.117FC DallasColorado Rapids
UnionLRevolution 1-261-3-4-438.3-6.92.6-0.70.8-0.63467910121416207.0-0.4413.6+3.319Philadelphia Union

Direct Comments/Corrections to bgix on BigSoccer
Monte Carlo simulation: Does not indicate mathmatical Clinching or Elimination
Tie Breakers:
1. Wins
2. Goal Differential
3. Goals Scored

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 4/17
NYCFC 0 Timbers 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
DC United+0.6
FC Dallas-0.8
Revolution+0.8
Sounders-0.9
Crew+0.8
Galaxy-1.0
Fire+0.8
Real Salt Lake-1.0
Orlando+0.8
Earthquakes-1.0
Dynamo-1.0
Timbers+8.6
+0.8
+1.2
-3.1
Sporting KC-1.0
Impact+0.8
Toronto FC+0.8
NYCFC-6.9
-0.7
-0.9
+2.8
Rapids-1.0
Union+0.8
FC Dallas 3 Toronto FC 2
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
DC United+0.6
-0.2
FC Dallas+7.6
+1.1
+3.1
-1.1
Revolution+0.8
Sounders-0.8
Crew+0.8
Galaxy-0.9
Fire+0.7
Real Salt Lake-0.8
-0.2
Orlando+0.8
Earthquakes-1.0
Dynamo-0.9
Timbers-0.9
Sporting KC-0.8
Impact+0.8
Toronto FC-6.6
-0.7
-1.0
+2.7
NYCFC+0.8
Rapids-0.9
Union+0.8
Red Bulls 2 Earthquakes 0
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Red Bulls+6.3
+1.0
+3.7
-1.1
Whitecaps+0.6
-0.2
FC Dallas+0.7
Sounders+0.7
Crew-0.7
Galaxy+0.8
Fire-0.7
Real Salt Lake+0.7
Earthquakes-6.6
-0.8
-2.1
+1.3
Dynamo+0.8
Timbers+0.8
Sporting KC+0.8
Impact-0.7
Toronto FC-0.8
NYCFC-0.8
Rapids+0.8
Union-0.8
Galaxy 2 Sporting KC 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Galaxy+9.2
+1.1
+2.1
-1.9
Sporting KC-7.6
-0.9
-1.9
+1.4
Crew 3 Orlando 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Crew+9.2
+1.0
+1.4
-2.9
Orlando-7.5
-0.9
-1.5
+1.8
Rapids 1 Sounders 3
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sounders+9.0
+1.1
+2.3
-1.8
Rapids-7.7
-0.8
-1.4
+2.0
Union 1 Revolution 2
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Revolution+8.7
+1.1
+1.9
-2.0
Union-7.9
-0.8
-0.6
+3.4
Real Salt Lake 0 Whitecaps 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Whitecaps+7.2
+1.1
+4.3
-0.6
Real Salt Lake-6.8
-0.9
-2.7
+1.0
DC United 1 Dynamo 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Whitecaps+0.2
+0.2
DC United-1.3
-0.2
-1.2
FC Dallas+0.2
Revolution+0.2
Sounders+0.3
Galaxy+0.3
Real Salt Lake+0.2
+0.2
Earthquakes+0.3
Dynamo-2.1
-0.3
-0.6
+0.3
Timbers+0.2
Sporting KC+0.2
Rapids+0.2
Union+0.2
Week of 4/24
Revolution vs Real Salt LakeIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Revolution80.772.067.9
7.66.35.7
8.55.03.7
1.22.53.5
Real Salt Lake52.857.567.9
4.14.65.9
3.24.37.5
4.43.31.6
Earthquakes54.954.353.1
4.34.24.1
3.63.7*3.6
Sporting KC52.952.451.1
4.14.03.9
3.33.43.3
Red Bulls vs RapidsHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Red Bulls88.882.679.4
9.28.17.5
16.410.78.6
0.51.21.8
Earthquakes54.954.353.1
4.34.24.1
3.53.73.8
3.94.04.1
Timbers53.052.451.1
4.14.03.9
3.23.43.4
4.34.34.5
Sporting KC52.952.451.1
4.14.03.9
3.13.43.4
4.34.34.5
Rapids36.140.551.3
2.52.93.9
1.21.83.5
9.87.84.4
Red Bulls vs GalaxyHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Red Bulls88.882.679.4
9.28.17.5
16.610.78.5
0.51.21.7
Galaxy57.462.072.2
4.55.16.4
3.75.08.8
3.32.41.1
Whitecaps vs DC UnitedHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Whitecaps87.780.777.2
8.97.77.2
19.912.910.1
0.20.50.8
DC United74.177.785.2
6.67.28.4
5.47.412.2
2.51.80.8
Dynamo vs Sporting KCHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Dynamo61.850.344.3
5.13.83.2
5.12.82.1
2.44.66.1
Sporting KC44.050.161.7
3.13.75.0
2.02.75.0
6.14.62.4
Orlando vs Toronto FCHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Orlando67.456.250.2
5.64.33.7
3.82.01.5
3.36.28.3
Toronto FC38.544.355.5
2.63.14.3
0.91.22.3
14.711.87.2
Fire vs NYCFCHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Fire71.461.055.1
6.24.94.3
5.53.12.4
2.85.37.1
NYCFC38.244.055.7
2.53.04.2
0.71.02.1
13.510.86.3
Sounders vs TimbersHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sounders75.064.859.0
6.85.54.8
10.16.14.7
1.02.23.1
Timbers44.250.161.7
3.13.75.0
2.02.75.1
6.14.72.4
Crew vs UnionHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Crew74.163.858.0
6.55.24.5
5.83.32.5
2.34.46.1
Union30.636.147.7
1.92.33.4
0.40.61.3
17.814.58.8
Rapids vs FC DallasHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas68.073.382.2
5.96.67.9
7.18.914.1
1.61.10.5
Rapids52.040.735.3
4.02.92.4
3.51.81.3
4.47.89.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you bgix for adding this league.