MLS Playoff Chances 50/50

Sporting KC +8.9, Charlotte -7.4
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupSupporters ShieldChance will finish regular season at seedWooden Spoon
SaturdayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change%Change123456789101112131415Avg.Change%ChangeRPISunday
MinnesotaWLAFC 2-01013-1-0485.4%+6.46.5%+1.19.6%+3.01814111087665443215.1+0.830.6%-0.58Minnesota United FC
ColumbusWNY Red Bulls 3-01013-1-0581.0+6.56.0+1.19.6+3.01612109876655443225.6+0.840.6-0.51Columbus Crew
VancouverWDallas 3-1722-1-0479.4+7.45.5+1.06.8+2.2141110988766554435.8+0.851.1-0.918Vancouver Whitecaps
Miami CFWDC United 3-1103-1-1876.2+7.35.1+1.06.8+2.21211109887665544326.2+0.860.8-0.77Inter Miami CF
PortlandLHouston 0-1712-1-1374.3-4.74.6-0.84.6-2.01099988777665546.5-0.611.6+0.510Portland Timbers
St LouisTLA Galaxy 3-3611-3-0268.8-1.43.9-0.33.3-0.6788888877776657.1-0.192.4+0.29Saint Louis City SC
Sporting KCWSan Jose 2-1611-3-0168.8+8.93.9+0.93.4+1.2888888877776657.1+0.882.3-1.615Sporting Kansas City
LA GalaxyTSt Louis 3-3611-3-0268.8-1.43.9-0.33.3-0.6788888877776657.1-0.192.4+0.24Los Angeles Galaxy
TorontoLNYCFC 1-2712-1-1168.4-6.24.1-0.84.7-2.08888877776665547.1-0.721.6+0.517Toronto FC
MontrealLChicago 3-4712-1-1168.3-6.24.1-0.84.6-2.08888877776665547.2-0.721.6+0.512CF Montreal
NY Red BullsLColumbus 0-3712-1-1-168.2-6.34.1-0.84.6-2.08888877776665547.2-0.731.6+0.52New York Red Bulls
HoustonWPortland 1-0421-1-1066.5+8.93.7+0.83.1+1.1777888777777767.3+0.862.9-1.86Houston Dynamo
ColoradoTSeattle 1-1511-2-1-264.4-1.63.4-0.32.6-0.5677777888877767.6-0.193.1+0.311Colorado Rapids
Cincinnati521-2-0164.4-0.53.7+0.04.0+0.17777777777666657.6-0.032.2+0.15at New EnglandFC Cincinnati
NashvilleWCharlotte 2-1611-3-0162.2+8.23.4+0.83.3+1.16777777777776657.8+0.852.4-1.63Nashville FC
Atlanta331-0-1262.1-0.53.5+0.03.8+0.17777777777766667.8-0.032.6+0.113OrlandoAtlanta United
RSL411-1-2060.0+0.42.9+0.02.0+0.1566777788888888.0+0.044.0+0.119Real Salt Lake
LAFCLMinnesota 0-2411-1-2-459.9-6.12.9-0.72.0-1.1566777788888888.0-0.644.1+1.322Los Angeles FC
DC UnitedLMiami CF 1-3511-2-1057.6-7.22.9-0.72.6-1.35666777777777778.3-0.763.1+0.916DC United
SeattleTColorado 1-1220-2-1-155.8-1.82.6-0.21.7-0.34566677788899108.4-0.195.2+0.528Seattle Sounders
DallasLVancouver 1-3311-0-3-355.2-6.52.5-0.71.5-0.94556677788999108.5-0.655.2+1.623FC Dallas
PhiladelphiaTAustin 2-2320-3-0053.5-2.82.6-0.22.2-0.44556667777788888.7-0.294.0+0.426Philadelphia Union
AustinTPhiladelphia 2-2310-3-1-153.4-1.92.4-0.21.4-0.334566777889910118.6-0.195.7+0.625Austin FC
ChicagoWMontreal 4-3411-1-2-153.0+8.22.5+0.62.0+0.74556667777888888.8+0.824.0-2.420Chicago Fire FC
CharlotteLNashville 1-2411-1-2-153.0-7.42.5-0.72.0-1.14556667777888888.8-0.764.0+1.221Charlotte FC
NYCFCWToronto 2-1311-0-3-348.2+8.02.2+0.61.5+0.634555667778899109.2+0.795.1-2.924New York City FC
Orlando120-1-2-644.2-0.51.9+0.01.3+0.0344555667788910139.7-0.056.7+0.214at AtlantaOrlando City SC
New England020-0-3-639.6-0.51.6+0.01.0+0.023344556778910121510.1-0.058.2+0.229CincinnatiNew England Revolution
San JoseLSporting KC 1-2010-0-4-639.3-6.71.4-0.50.6-0.4223445667891113199.9-0.6111.0+3.027San Jose Earthquakes

Monte Carlo simulation: Does not prove mathematical Clinching or Elimination
Tie Breakers:
1. Wins
2. Goal Differential
3. Goals Scored.
Direct Comments/Corrections to u/bgix in Reddit

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 3/9
Orlando 2 Minnesota 3
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Minnesota+6.7
+0.9
+2.0
-1.0
Nashville+0.5
Philadelphia+0.5
Chicago+0.5
NYCFC+0.5
Orlando-6.6
-0.5
-0.8
+1.8
New England+0.5
NYCFC 1 Portland 2
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Portland+6.7
+0.9
+2.0
-1.0
Atlanta+0.5
Philadelphia+0.5
Chicago+0.5
NYCFC-6.6
-0.5
-0.7
+2.1
Orlando+0.5
New England+0.5
NY Red Bulls 2 Dallas 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NY Red Bulls+7.4
+0.9
+2.1
-1.0
Dallas-6.0
-0.7
-1.3
+1.1
Atlanta 4 New England 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta+8.5
+0.8
+1.2
-1.9
New England-7.2
-0.5
-0.7
+2.2
RSL 1 Colorado 2
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Colorado+8.4
+0.8
+1.1
-2.0
RSL-6.8
-0.8
-1.1
+1.2
San Jose 0 Vancouver 2
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Vancouver+7.9
+0.9
+1.5
-1.6
San Jose-7.2
-0.6
-0.7
+2.1
Columbus 2 Chicago 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Columbus+7.8
+0.9
+2.0
-1.0
Chicago-7.2
-0.6
-0.8
+1.8
Toronto 1 Charlotte 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Toronto+7.8
+0.9
+2.1
-1.0
Charlotte-6.6
-0.8
-1.6
+0.9
Miami CF 2 Montreal 3
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Miami CF-6.0
-0.9
-2.2
+0.5
Montreal+7.7
+1.0
+2.1
-1.0
Nashville 2 LA Galaxy 2
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
LA Galaxy-1.7
-0.3
-0.7
+0.1
Nashville-2.1
-0.2
-0.5
+0.3
Chicago+0.2
Orlando+0.2
New England+0.2
LAFC 0 Sporting KC 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sporting KC-1.8
-0.2
-0.5
+0.3
LAFC-1.6
-0.2
-0.6
+0.2
Cincinnati 0 DC United 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Cincinnati-1.7
-0.3
-0.7
+0.1
DC United-1.7
-0.2
-0.7
+0.1
Austin 2 St Louis 2
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
St Louis-1.5
-0.3
-0.7
+0.1
Austin-2.0
-0.2
-0.4
+0.3
Philadelphia vs SeattleIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
St Louis69.469.068.2
3.93.93.8
Sporting KC69.369.068.2
3.93.93.8
LA Galaxy69.368.968.1
3.93.93.8
Houston67.066.765.8
3.73.73.6
Colorado65.064.663.7
3.43.43.3
Nashville61.662.462.7
3.33.43.4
RSL60.660.259.3
3.03.02.9
LAFC60.460.159.2
3.02.92.9
DC United57.057.858.2
2.92.93.0
Seattle49.253.763.9
2.02.43.3
1.01.42.6
7.15.63.1
Dallas55.855.454.5
Philadelphia61.751.446.8
3.42.42.0
3.41.81.4
2.34.35.6
Austin54.053.652.8
Chicago52.453.153.5
Charlotte52.353.153.5
NYCFC47.648.448.8
Orlando43.644.444.7
6.66.66.7
New England39.039.840.2
8.28.28.3
San Jose39.839.538.6
*11.011.011.1
Week of 3/16
Nashville 2 Charlotte 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Nashville+8.7
+0.8
+1.1
-1.7
Charlotte-7.2
-0.7
-1.1
+1.2
Chicago 4 Montreal 3
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Montreal-6.0
-0.8
-2.1
+0.5
Chicago+8.7
+0.6
+0.7
-2.5
NYCFC 2 Toronto 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Toronto-6.0
-0.8
-2.1
+0.5
NYCFC+8.4
+0.6
+0.6
-2.9
Sporting KC 2 San Jose 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sporting KC+8.4
+0.8
+1.1
-1.7
San Jose-7.4
-0.5
-0.4
+2.6
Houston 1 Portland 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Portland-5.4
-0.9
-2.1
+0.5
Houston+8.3
+0.8
+1.1
-1.9
DC United 1 Miami CF 3
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Miami CF+7.8
+1.0
+2.1
-0.8
DC United-6.9
-0.8
-1.4
+0.9
Dallas 1 Vancouver 3
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Vancouver+7.2
+1.0
+2.0
-0.9
Dallas-7.0
-0.7
-0.9
+1.4
Columbus 3 NY Red Bulls 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Columbus+6.9
+1.0
+2.8
-0.5
NY Red Bulls-5.9
-0.9
-2.2
+0.5
Minnesota 2 LAFC 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Minnesota+6.2
+1.0
+2.7
-0.6
LAFC-6.7
-0.8
-1.2
+1.1
Austin 2 Philadelphia 2
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sporting KC+0.2
Houston+0.2
Colorado+0.2
Nashville+0.2
RSL+0.2
LAFC+0.2
Seattle+0.2
Dallas+0.2
Philadelphia-2.1
-0.2
-0.5
+0.2
Austin-2.2
-0.2
-0.3
+0.3
Chicago+0.2
Charlotte+0.2
NYCFC+0.2
Orlando+0.2
San Jose+0.2
Seattle 1 Colorado 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Colorado-1.7
-0.2
-0.5
+0.2
Seattle-1.9
-0.2
-0.4
+0.3
LA Galaxy 3 St Louis 3
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
St Louis-1.6
-0.2
-0.6
+0.1
LA Galaxy-1.6
-0.2
-0.6
+0.1
Atlanta vs OrlandoIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta70.360.355.1
4.43.22.8
5.53.22.5
1.42.83.8
Orlando37.042.052.9
1.41.72.5
0.71.02.0
8.97.14.1
New England vs CincinnatiHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Cincinnati57.462.672.5
2.93.44.6
2.63.45.8
3.22.31.1
New England48.237.532.6
2.21.41.1
1.60.80.6
5.28.810.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you bgix for adding this league.