MLS Playoff Chances 50/50

Sporting KC +13.3, Sounders -7.6
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupSupporters ShieldChance will finish regular season at seedWooden Spoon
7/24PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change%Change12345678910Avg.Change%ChangeRPISaturday
FC Dallas4112-5-6499.2%-0.111.3%-0.129.5%+0.5323021104210002.3-0.020.0%4FC Dallas
Rapids38310-8-2998.8-0.111.3-0.136.0+0.638281884210002.2-0.010.01at NYCFCColorado Rapids
Galaxy3639-9-21697.2-0.210.4-0.121.8+0.4242524137421002.8-0.020.02Los Angeles Galaxy
NYCFCLRed Bulls 1-43319-6-7-493.9-2.49.7-0.93.0-2.5272317139632103.0-0.470.1+0.010RapidsNew York City FC
Red BullsWNYCFC 4-13119-4-9887.8+8.88.2+1.51.1+0.51817161512964203.7+0.740.2-0.513New York Red Bulls
Union3028-6-7287.3-0.48.2-0.11.4+0.11918161412964213.7-0.020.2-0.011Philadelphia Union
Impact2937-8-5586.3-0.48.2-0.11.7+0.02017161311964213.7-0.020.3-0.05Montreal Impact
Real Salt Lake3128-7-6-175.2-0.95.2-0.12.6+0.13713191815128415.1-0.040.1-0.03Real Salt Lake
Toronto FC2536-7-7163.6-0.94.7-0.10.3+0.068101213141311845.4-0.042.3-0.18Toronto FC
Revolution2626-8-7-660.3-1.14.2-0.10.2+0.05791113151412955.7-0.042.3-0.116New England Revolution
Whitecaps3018-6-8-258.8-1.23.3-0.10.8+0.01371317181614836.0-0.040.3-0.06Vancouver Whitecaps
Sporting KCWSounders 3-0319-4-10257.9+13.33.1+0.90.5+0.31271417181715826.0+0.650.2-0.89Sporting Kansas City
Timbers2917-8-7047.9-1.52.4-0.10.4+0.012510141718171256.5-0.030.7-0.014Portland Timbers
Earthquakes2636-8-6-145.2-1.32.3-0.10.5+0.012510131517181376.6-0.031.4-0.17San Jose Earthquakes
Orlando2334-11-5-344.1-1.12.7-0.10.1+0.024681113151615106.6-0.056.0-0.212Orlando City SC
DC United2235-7-8-639.9-1.12.4-0.10.0-0.024571012151616136.8-0.047.6-0.317DC United
Fire1744-5-10-818.6-0.70.9-0.00.0012357101522348.2-0.0324.1-0.620Chicago Fire
Crew1933-10-7-618.1-0.70.9-0.00.0012357111623328.2-0.0322.0-0.719Columbus Crew
SoundersLSporting KC 0-32036-2-12-712.2-7.60.4-0.40.0-0.0001246101529348.5-0.4612.9+4.015Seattle Sounders
Dynamo1934-7-9-37.6-0.50.2-0.00.0+0.000012471225488.9+0.0119.2-0.418Houston Dynamo

Direct Comments/Corrections to bgix on BigSoccer
Monte Carlo simulation: Does not prove mathematical Clinching or Elimination
Tie Breakers:
1. Wins
2. Goal Differential
3. Goals Scored

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 7/24
Sporting KC 3 Sounders 0
3:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas-0.1
-0.1
Rapids-0.1
Galaxy-0.2
Real Salt Lake-0.9
-0.1
Toronto FC-0.1
Revolution-0.2
Whitecaps-1.3
-0.1
Sporting KC+13.5
+1.0
+0.2
-0.8
Timbers-1.4
-0.1
Earthquakes-1.4
-0.1
-0.1
Orlando-0.3
DC United-0.3
Fire-0.6
Crew-0.8
Sounders-7.7
-0.4
-0.1
+3.9
Dynamo-0.5
-0.5
Red Bulls 4 NYCFC 1
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas+0.5
Rapids+0.7
Galaxy+0.4
NYCFC-2.4
-0.9
-2.5
Red Bulls+8.8
+1.6
+0.6
-0.5
Union-0.4
-0.1
+0.1
Impact-0.5
-0.1
+0.1
Real Salt Lake+0.1
Toronto FC-1.0
-0.1
Revolution-1.1
-0.1
Orlando-1.1
-0.1
DC United-1.1
-0.1
Fire-0.7
*+0.1
Crew-0.7
NYCFC vs RapidsIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas11.311.311.2
32.531.125.5
Rapids97.998.799.6
10.811.211.9
27.133.447.0
Galaxy10.510.410.3
23.923.118.8
NYCFC97.693.490.7
10.89.58.8
5.62.11.0
Week of 7/31
Toronto FC vs Real Salt LakeIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Real Salt Lake67.273.284.7
4.14.86.5
1.31.94.5
0.20.10.0
Toronto FC74.661.054.7
6.04.33.6
0.50.10.1
0.92.53.7
Revolution58.560.861.8
4.04.24.3
Whitecaps60.359.256.9
3.53.33.1
Sporting KC59.658.356.1
3.33.22.9
Timbers49.548.445.9
2.62.52.2
Orlando42.344.545.6
2.62.82.8
6.06.05.9
Real Salt Lake vs FireHomeDrawAway
10:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Real Salt Lake84.773.267.2
6.54.84.1
4.51.91.3
0.00.10.2
Whitecaps56.959.260.3
3.13.33.5
Sporting KC56.158.359.6
2.93.23.3
Timbers45.948.449.5
2.22.52.6
0.60.70.9
Fire12.516.226.6
0.50.81.4
31.325.815.7
Crew18.618.317.4
20.321.723.9
Dynamo6.97.78.1
17.418.721.2
Sporting KC vs TimbersHomeDrawAway
2:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sporting KC72.556.044.9
4.42.82.1
1.00.30.2
0.00.20.5
Timbers35.145.162.8
1.52.13.5
0.10.20.8
1.30.70.2
Union vs Real Salt LakeHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Union93.486.282.0
9.57.97.1
2.50.90.5
0.00.20.4
Real Salt Lake67.273.284.7
4.14.86.5
1.21.94.5
0.20.10.0
Whitecaps60.359.256.9
3.53.33.1
Sporting KC59.658.356.1
3.33.22.9
Timbers49.548.445.9
2.62.52.2
Orlando vs RevolutionHomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Revolution48.558.073.9
3.03.85.6
0.00.10.4
3.92.40.7
Orlando57.641.532.6
3.92.41.8
2.76.39.0
Earthquakes vs NYCFCHomeDrawAway
11:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NYCFC90.793.497.6
8.89.510.8
1.42.25.1
Real Salt Lake73.375.876.7
5.05.25.3
Whitecaps56.359.460.7
3.13.33.4
Sporting KC55.558.560.0
3.03.23.2
Timbers45.548.649.8
2.32.52.5
Earthquakes56.942.135.9
3.32.11.6
1.00.30.2
0.51.52.3
Toronto FC vs RevolutionHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Toronto FC76.261.652.7
6.24.33.4
0.50.10.1
0.82.53.8
Revolution48.757.973.8
2.93.85.7
0.00.10.4
3.82.40.8
Toronto FC vs CrewHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Toronto FC75.561.553.4
6.14.33.6
0.50.10.1
0.72.34.1
Crew10.915.527.3
0.40.71.4
29.323.513.5
DC United vs ImpactHomeDrawAway
6:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Impact79.985.793.3
7.07.99.5
0.71.13.0
0.50.30.1
DC United52.436.729.8
3.52.11.6
3.78.211.1
DC United vs UnionHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Union80.886.794.1
7.07.99.6
0.60.92.5
0.40.20.0
DC United52.436.729.8
3.52.11.5
3.78.211.1
Dynamo vs EarthquakesHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Earthquakes35.142.457.5
1.62.13.3
0.20.30.9
2.51.30.4
Fire26.023.722.5
Dynamo12.66.03.7
0.40.20.1
11.320.625.9
Rapids vs WhitecapsHomeDrawAway
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas25.230.832.9
Rapids99.798.997.8
11.911.310.7
46.733.327.5
Galaxy97.597.396.9
10.410.510.3
18.622.924.2
Whitecaps48.855.871.0
2.32.94.5
0.20.51.7
0.60.30.1
Sporting KC59.958.555.5
3.23.23.0
0.40.50.6
Timbers49.848.645.5
2.52.52.3
Earthquakes47.145.842.9
2.42.42.2
FC Dallas vs WhitecapsHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas99.999.398.4
11.911.210.7
39.926.721.3
NoNo0.0
Rapids98.998.898.6
31.637.439.4
Galaxy97.597.396.9
10.410.410.3
19.122.723.9
Real Salt Lake76.775.773.3
5.25.35.1
2.22.82.9
Whitecaps48.855.871.0
2.32.94.5
0.20.51.7
0.60.30.1
Sporting KC59.958.555.5
3.23.23.0
0.40.50.6
Timbers49.948.645.4
2.52.52.3
Earthquakes47.145.842.9
2.42.42.2
0.40.50.6
Impact vs DynamoHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Impact92.585.281.0
9.47.97.1
3.01.10.7
0.00.20.6
Fire18.018.719.1
0.90.91.0
22.423.726.2
Crew17.618.218.6
0.80.90.9
20.421.723.9
Dynamo4.36.012.0
0.10.20.4
25.820.711.4
Fire vs Red BullsHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Red Bulls81.687.394.3
7.07.99.6
0.40.72.1
0.30.10.0
Fire27.116.211.9
1.50.80.5
15.725.831.3
Crew18.018.418.0
23.921.720.3
Dynamo21.218.717.5
Sounders vs GalaxyHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas11.311.311.2
31.730.426.7
Rapids11.411.311.2
38.537.232.7
Galaxy95.497.299.1
9.710.311.2
15.519.430.0
Sounders18.510.37.4
0.70.30.2
7.213.818.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you bgix for adding this league.