MLS Playoff Chances 50/50

NY Red Bulls +8.0, Atlanta -4.5
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupSupporters ShieldChance will finish regular season at seedWooden Spoon
7/14PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change%Change123456789101112Avg.Change%ChangeRPIWednesday
LAFC46214-4-236100.0%-0.012.4%-0.081.7%-0.2851131000000001.2-0.02No1Los Angeles FC
Philadelphia3610-6-6796.1-0.09.4+0.11.8-0.028211612964210003.1+0.060.0%8Philadelphia Union
SeattleWAtlanta 2-135210-5-5592.1+6.08.0+1.34.0+1.652620151296421004.0+0.620.0-0.03Seattle Sounders
LA Galaxy34211-1-8291.2-0.37.6-0.24.1+0.052220161297431004.1-0.090.012Los Angeles Galaxy
NYCFCLNY Red Bulls 1-22947-8-3989.1-3.47.7-1.01.2-1.1191714121197532104.0-0.500.1+0.02New York City FC
NY Red BullsWNYCFC 2-13129-4-7789.0+8.07.5+1.61.0+0.4171615131197532004.1+0.840.0-0.117at Toronto FCNew York Red Bulls
DC United3218-8-5487.2+0.16.8+0.10.5-0.01314141413119642104.4+0.050.06DC United
Minnesota33210-3-7886.1-0.46.5-0.22.7+0.0316181614118642104.7-0.090.04Minnesota United FC
AtlantaLSeattle 1-23029-3-8385.8-4.56.7-1.10.7-0.71314141312119742104.5-0.560.1+0.013HoustonAtlanta United
San Jose3129-4-7275.7-0.74.5-0.21.0-0.01912141414121074215.7-0.080.0-0.09San Jose Earthquakes
Montreal309-3-10-1071.4-0.14.0+0.10.1-0.0479111314131295215.9+0.030.211Montreal Impact
RSL2929-2-9063.4-0.83.2-0.20.4+0.01691112131313118416.5-0.080.115Real Salt Lake
Toronto FC2627-5-8-158.6-0.03.0+0.10.1357910121313129526.7+0.031.0-0.010NY Red BullsToronto FC
Houston2738-3-8157.4-0.82.7-0.10.4-0.0047911121313129526.8-0.070.214at AtlantaHouston Dynamo
Orlando2527-4-9152.0-0.02.4+0.10.0245791113141411727.1+0.021.218Orlando City SC
FC Dallas2918-5-8350.0-0.92.0-0.10.1-0.00357101214151412727.3-0.070.27FC Dallas
Portland2447-3-8-244.6-0.91.9-0.10.2+0.0035681012141514947.6-0.060.7-0.05Portland Timbers
New England2426-6-8-1441.2+0.01.7+0.00.0124579121416151047.7+0.022.2+0.020VancouverNew England Revolution
Sporting KC2526-7-7-228.7-0.80.9-0.10.0-0.0012357101316191588.6-0.051.2+0.016Sporting Kansas City
Chicago2215-7-9118.3-0.00.5+0.00.0001235711162220139.38.3+0.019ColumbusChicago Fire
Cincinnati1725-2-13-257.5-0.00.2+0.00.0000112361016273410.424.9+0.022FC Cincinnati
Colorado2025-5-10-97.4-0.30.1-0.00.000011236916293210.4-0.029.3-0.024Colorado Rapids
Columbus1715-2-14-143.9+0.00.1+0.00.000001124714264510.933.9+0.123at ChicagoColumbus Crew
Vancouver2014-8-9-123.3-0.10.0-0.00.000000123612264911.0-0.0116.4-0.021at New EnglandVancouver Whitecaps

Monte Carlo simulation: Does not prove mathematical Clinching or Elimination
Tie Breakers:
1. Wins
2. Goal Differential
3. Goals Scored.
Direct Comments/Corrections to Joshuabrianlane@gmail.com

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 7/13
RSL 4 Philadelphia 0
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
LAFC+0.9
Philadelphia-1.4
-0.8
-1.6
Seattle-0.9
Minnesota-1.2
San Jose-1.3
RSL+11.3
+0.9
+0.2
-0.3
Houston-1.7
FC Dallas-1.6
Portland-1.6
Sporting KC-1.1
Colorado-0.7
Montreal 0 Toronto FC 2
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Montreal-8.6
-1.2
Toronto FC+12.5
+1.0
-1.4
Orlando-0.7
New England-0.7
Chicago-0.6
Orlando 1 Columbus 0
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NY Red Bulls-0.9
DC United-0.7
Montreal-0.9
Toronto FC-1.3
Orlando+11.7
+0.7
-2.1
New England-1.3
-0.3
Chicago-1.2
-0.5
Cincinnati-0.3
-2.1
Colorado-0.8
Columbus-3.9
*No
+7.5
Vancouver-0.9
Minnesota 1 FC Dallas 0
6:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Minnesota+8.8
+1.4
+1.1
Houston+0.3
FC Dallas-10.3
-1.0
-0.2
Portland+0.3
Seattle 2 Atlanta 1
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
LAFC-0.6
Seattle+6.1
+1.3
+1.6
Atlanta-4.2
-1.0
-0.8
RSL-0.8
-0.2
Toronto FC+0.6
Houston-0.8
Orlando+0.6
FC Dallas-0.9
Portland-0.9
New England+0.6
Sporting KC-0.8
Vancouver 0 Sporting KC 3
10:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
RSL-0.8
Houston-0.8
FC Dallas-0.8
Portland-0.8
Sporting KC+8.7
+0.4
-2.0
Cincinnati-0.9
Columbus-0.7
Vancouver-3.5
+4.7
Chicago 1 Cincinnati 2
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NY Red Bulls+0.6
DC United+0.5
Montreal+0.7
Toronto FC+0.7
+0.3
Orlando+0.7
+0.5
New England+0.8
+0.4
Chicago-8.2
-0.4
+3.7
Cincinnati+3.2
-10.9
Colorado+1.2
Columbus+0.3
+2.6
Vancouver+1.4
NY Red Bulls 2 NYCFC 1
3:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
LAFC+0.4
NYCFC-3.7
-1.1
-1.1
NY Red Bulls+7.8
+1.5
+0.5
Portland 2 Colorado 2
11:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Minnesota+0.5
San Jose+0.6
RSL+0.8
Houston+0.8
FC Dallas+0.7
Portland-2.7
-0.3
Sporting KC+0.5
Cincinnati-0.3
Colorado-1.9
+0.6
Columbus-0.1
Portland vs OrlandoIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Orlando42.348.863.9
1.62.13.4
1.91.20.4
Portland55.841.435.7
2.71.61.3
0.30.10.1
0.20.71.1
Atlanta vs HoustonHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta92.284.580.1
8.16.35.5
1.20.50.3
Houston48.254.368.8
1.92.43.7
0.10.20.7
0.40.20.0
New England vs VancouverHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
New England52.737.831.8
2.51.41.1
0.72.13.8
Vancouver1.52.35.6
22.717.59.4
Toronto FC vs NY Red BullsHomeDrawAway
5:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NY Red Bulls83.488.494.9
6.27.28.9
0.40.71.8
Toronto FC70.755.748.4
4.32.72.0
0.31.01.6
Chicago vs ColumbusHomeDrawAway
6:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Chicago26.915.511.7
0.90.40.3
3.38.313.4
Columbus1.72.96.8
0.00.00.1
No0.00.0
43.636.022.7
Cincinnati vs DC UnitedHomeDrawAway
5:00 PM Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
DC United81.386.593.6
5.66.58.2
0.20.30.9
Cincinnati12.05.93.9
0.30.10.1
16.426.732.1
Columbus37.033.231.3
LA Galaxy vs LAFCHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
LAFC12.312.412.5
74.181.089.7
LA Galaxy95.790.487.2
8.97.36.6
7.73.11.2
Week of 7/20
Toronto FC vs HoustonIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Toronto FC70.055.649.2
4.12.62.1
0.31.01.6
Houston48.254.368.8
1.92.43.7
0.10.20.7
0.40.20.0
Sporting KC vs FC DallasHomeDrawAway
6:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas38.547.063.6
1.31.72.9
0.00.10.3
0.40.20.0
Sporting KC40.126.019.2
1.50.80.5
0.41.22.0
NYCFC vs Sporting KCHomeDrawAway
4:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NYCFC94.188.484.5
9.07.46.6
2.00.80.6
Sporting KC20.825.738.7
0.50.81.4
2.01.20.4
Orlando vs NY Red BullsHomeDrawAway
4:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NY Red Bulls83.488.594.9
6.37.28.9
0.40.71.8
Orlando64.648.941.5
3.52.11.5
0.41.21.9
Cincinnati vs New EnglandHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
New England31.238.053.2
1.11.42.5
3.82.10.6
Cincinnati12.25.93.7
0.30.10.1
16.126.732.4
RSL vs MinnesotaHomeDrawAway
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Minnesota79.885.293.0
5.26.28.0
1.42.04.4
RSL75.160.953.5
4.52.92.2
0.80.30.2
Seattle vs PortlandHomeDrawAway
6:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Seattle96.691.887.8
9.37.86.9
6.43.12.2
Portland35.141.456.4
1.21.62.8
0.10.10.3
1.10.70.2
Columbus vs MontrealHomeDrawAway
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Montreal62.069.282.3
2.93.65.4
0.50.20.0
Cincinnati7.87.67.0
27.824.122.4
Columbus6.92.91.6
0.10.00.0
0.00.0No
23.836.242.4
Vancouver vs San JoseHomeDrawAway
10:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
San Jose67.673.785.1
3.44.15.8
0.40.71.7
Vancouver5.82.31.3
9.617.622.4
Colorado vs NYCFCHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NYCFC84.588.494.1
6.67.49.0
0.60.82.0
Colorado11.75.74.2
0.30.10.1
4.710.013.4
Philadelphia vs ChicagoHomeDrawAway
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Philadelphia98.796.093.4
10.69.28.4
3.11.20.8
Chicago11.615.427.0
0.20.40.9
12.09.04.2
Atlanta vs DC UnitedHomeDrawAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
DC United81.186.593.8
5.46.58.4
0.20.30.9
Atlanta92.784.779.6
8.36.45.3
1.20.50.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you bgix for adding this league.