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MLS Playoff Chances 50/50

Fire +9.4, Union -6.6
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupSupporters ShieldChance will finish regular season at seedWooden Spoon
SundayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change%Change12345678910Avg.Change%ChangeRPI4/3
FC Dallas103-1-0579.9%-0.77.7%-0.113.5%+0.02116131110876434.0-0.060.9%+0.03FC Dallas
Red Bulls712-1-0377.5+0.47.3+0.19.5-0.02015131110876544.2+0.041.9+0.11New York Red Bulls
Whitecaps93-0-1176.1-0.77.1-0.111.1+0.01815131110987544.3-0.061.3+0.09Vancouver Whitecaps
DC United612-0-1073.7+0.46.8+0.17.7+0.01714121110987654.5+0.042.5+0.14at OrlandoDC United
Real Salt LakeWToronto FC 2-1511-2-0162.3+7.85.2+0.95.9+1.81011111110101010995.4+0.543.4-2.28Real Salt Lake
Earthquakes62-0-2062.0-0.95.1-0.15.5+0.01010111111101010985.4-0.063.3+0.15San Jose Earthquakes
NYCFC51-2-1161.7+0.65.1+0.13.9-0.01010101110101010995.4+0.044.8+0.216New York City FC
Orlando51-2-1061.6+0.55.1+0.13.9-0.010101011101010101095.4+0.044.9+0.17DC UnitedOrlando City SC
Crew311-0-2059.3+0.54.9+0.13.6-0.091010101010101010105.6+0.045.7+0.111Columbus Crew
Toronto FCLReal Salt Lake 1-2311-0-2-159.2-6.14.9-0.83.6-1.891010101010101010105.6-0.445.8+1.713Toronto FC
Sounders411-1-1257.9-0.94.7-0.14.7-0.08910101010101111115.7-0.064.4+0.16Seattle Sounders
Revolution41-1-2-456.8+0.54.5+0.13.0-0.0899101010111111115.8+0.046.2+0.218New England Revolution
Galaxy51-2-1155.6-0.94.4-0.14.0+0.0799101011111111115.8-0.064.7+0.112Los Angeles Galaxy
Dynamo51-2-1055.5-0.94.4-0.14.0+0.0799101011111111115.8-0.064.8+0.117Houston Dynamo
Sporting KC51-2-1-155.4-0.94.4-0.13.9+0.0789101011111111115.8-0.064.8+0.12Sporting Kansas City
Impact210-2-1-152.7+0.54.1+0.02.6-0.078991010111112136.0+0.047.8+0.214Montreal Impact
FireWUnion 1-031-0-3-352.1+9.44.0+0.92.4+0.878991010111212136.1+0.627.8-4.019Chicago Fire
Rapids310-3-0051.2-1.03.9-0.13.4+0.168891010111212146.1-0.066.1+0.120Colorado Rapids
UnionLFire 0-120-2-2-345.5-6.63.4-0.71.6-1.05678910111214176.5-0.4410.4+2.815Philadelphia Union
Timbers30-3-1-144.0-0.93.2-0.12.2+0.04678910111314186.6-0.068.3+0.210Portland Timbers

Direct Comments/Corrections to bgix on BigSoccer
Monte Carlo simulation: Does not indicate mathmatical Clinching or Elimination
Tie Breakers:
1. Wins
2. Goal Differential
3. Goals Scored

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 3/28
Revolution 2 Earthquakes 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Red Bulls-0.8
DC United-0.9
Real Salt Lake+0.7
+0.2
Earthquakes-5.9
-0.8
-2.3
+1.0
NYCFC-0.9
Orlando-0.9
Crew-0.9
Toronto FC-0.9
Sounders+0.7
Revolution+8.2
+0.9
+1.1
-3.4
Galaxy+0.7
Dynamo+0.7
Sporting KC+0.7
+0.2
Impact-1.0
+0.2
Fire-1.0
+0.2
Rapids+0.7
+0.2
Union-1.0
+0.2
Timbers+0.7
+0.2
NYCFC 0 Sporting KC 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Whitecaps-0.9
Real Salt Lake-1.0
Earthquakes-0.9
NYCFC-5.9
-0.8
-1.8
+1.4
Orlando+0.7
Sounders-0.9
Revolution+0.7
+0.2
Galaxy-0.9
Dynamo-1.0
Sporting KC+8.2
+0.8
+1.3
-2.9
Impact+0.7
Fire+0.7
+0.2
Rapids-1.0
Union+0.7
Timbers-1.0
Real Salt Lake 2 Toronto FC 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Real Salt Lake+8.0
+0.9
+1.9
-2.3
Earthquakes-1.0
NYCFC+0.7
Orlando+0.7
Crew+0.7
Toronto FC-6.0
-0.8
-1.8
+1.6
Sounders-1.0
Revolution+0.6
Galaxy-0.9
Dynamo-0.9
Sporting KC-1.0
Impact+0.8
Fire+0.7
Rapids-0.9
Union+0.7
Timbers-0.9
DC United 1 Galaxy 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Whitecaps+0.7
DC United+7.4
+1.0
+2.3
-1.7
Real Salt Lake+0.7
Earthquakes+0.7
Orlando-0.8
Sounders+0.7
Revolution-0.9
Galaxy-6.3
-0.8
-1.9
+1.3
Dynamo+0.7
Sporting KC+0.8
Impact-0.9
Fire-0.9
Rapids+0.7
Union-0.9
Timbers+0.8
Fire 1 Union 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Fire+8.8
+0.8
+0.9
-4.2
Union-7.5
-0.8
-1.0
+2.8
Whitecaps 2 Timbers 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Whitecaps+7.9
+1.1
+3.1
-1.1
Timbers-7.5
-0.8
-1.2
+2.1
Crew 1 Red Bulls 2
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Red Bulls+7.5
+1.1
+2.7
-1.4
Crew-6.7
-0.9
-1.8
+1.5
Dynamo 0 Rapids 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Dynamo-1.8
-0.2
-0.7
+0.3
Rapids-1.8
-0.2
-0.6
+0.3
Impact 2 Orlando 2
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Orlando-1.6
-0.2
-0.7
+0.3
Impact-1.8
-0.2
-0.5
+0.4
FC Dallas 0 Sounders 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas-1.0
-0.2
-1.4
Sounders-1.8
-0.2
-0.7
+0.3
Week of 4/3
Sporting KC vs UnionIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Revolution57.557.155.8
4.6*4.54.4
6.26.26.4
Galaxy54.555.856.4
4.3*4.44.4
3.94.0*4.0
4.64.74.8
Dynamo54.555.756.3
4.3*4.44.5
4.74.74.9
Sporting KC63.653.348.8
5.34.13.6
5.83.32.5
2.65.06.8
Union38.943.253.7
2.73.14.2
1.01.32.6
13.711.16.7
Rapids vs RevolutionHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Revolution50.254.765.0
3.74.35.5
1.92.54.5
8.56.63.7
Galaxy54.655.856.3
4.3*4.44.4
Fire52.952.351.1
4.1*4.13.9
Rapids59.449.144.7
4.83.73.2
5.12.92.2
3.66.58.4
Whitecaps vs CrewHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Whitecaps82.574.770.9
8.06.86.3
15.39.98.0
0.61.31.9
Crew52.957.367.1
4.14.65.8
2.23.15.5
7.76.13.5
Fire vs Toronto FCHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Toronto FC51.957.567.8
4.04.65.9
2.33.05.3
8.06.23.4
Fire61.150.244.5
5.03.83.2
3.62.01.4
4.78.210.4
Sounders vs DynamoHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sounders66.656.250.5
5.74.53.8
6.84.03.1
2.54.76.1
Dynamo47.953.664.4
3.54.15.4
2.53.35.9
6.65.12.7
Earthquakes vs Real Salt LakeHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Real Salt Lake55.160.770.8
4.35.06.3
3.95.18.4
4.83.61.9
Earthquakes70.660.354.8
6.24.94.3
7.94.73.6
1.83.54.7
Whitecaps vs GalaxyHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Whitecaps83.074.970.1
8.16.96.2
15.39.97.9
0.61.41.9
Galaxy48.253.664.3
3.54.25.4
2.53.46.0
6.45.02.7
Red Bulls vs ImpactHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Red Bulls84.176.371.7
8.47.16.5
13.18.36.7
0.92.02.8
Impact45.450.761.5
3.33.95.1
1.62.24.0
10.48.44.9
Timbers vs FC DallasHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas74.478.986.2
6.87.48.7
10.012.118.2
1.41.00.4
Timbers52.941.936.8
4.12.92.5
3.41.81.3
5.38.911.0
Orlando vs DC UnitedHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
DC United67.572.480.9
5.86.67.8
5.36.710.8
3.52.61.3
Orlando70.159.954.5
6.24.94.2
5.73.32.4
2.85.26.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you bgix for adding this league.