MLS Playoff Chances 50/50

Sounders +13.4, Timbers -14.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupSupporters ShieldChance will finish regular season at seedWooden Spoon
8/21PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change%Change12345678910Avg.Change%ChangeRPIWednesday
FC Dallas45113-6-7599.9%+0.011.7%+0.034.9%+0.239311893100002.1No3FC Dallas
Rapids43311-10-3799.6+0.011.7-0.037.8+0.242301683100002.0+0.01No1Colorado Rapids
NYCFC41111-8-7199.6+0.011.6+0.16.5+0.142281683100002.1+0.040.0%6New York City FC
Toronto FC38210-8-71097.8+0.110.4+0.13.3+0.0282519138420002.7+0.050.05at OrlandoToronto FC
Galaxy3939-12-31596.2+0.09.2+0.010.0+0.11219262112631003.4+0.010.02at FireLos Angeles Galaxy
Red BullsTDC United 2-237110-7-91094.8+0.28.7-0.20.8-0.51318221914841003.5-0.100.0-0.08New York Red Bulls
Real Salt Lake40111-7-8193.8-0.07.9+0.05.1+0.1614232517942003.90.04Real Salt Lake
Union3429-7-9387.4+0.56.9+0.10.4+0.07121719191374104.3+0.060.1+0.013at CrewPhiladelphia Union
Impact3338-9-7185.7+0.56.8+0.10.5+0.08121619181384204.3+0.050.2+0.011DC UnitedMontreal Impact
Sporting KC3811-5-11279.1+0.14.6+0.00.5+0.01310192620136205.20.07Sporting Kansas City
DC UnitedTRed Bulls 2-22836-10-8-445.0-3.52.1-0.40.0-0.01247121819161376.7-0.194.8+0.418at ImpactDC United
Earthquakes3137-10-7-143.1+0.41.9+0.00.2+0.00137131820181366.7-0.010.8+0.09RevolutionSan Jose Earthquakes
Orlando2835-13-6-341.7+0.81.9+0.00.0+0.01247121719181476.8+0.034.6+0.114Toronto FCOrlando City SC
SoundersWTimbers 3-13039-3-12-241.0+13.41.6+0.60.1+0.10136121819181486.9+0.641.1-2.112at DynamoSeattle Sounders
TimbersLSounders 1-33218-8-10-227.4-14.10.9-0.70.0-0.1001381521231997.4-0.601.0+0.515Portland Timbers
Revolution2626-8-11-1717.5+0.50.6+0.00.0001259162124218.0+0.0315.6+0.220at EarthquakesNew England Revolution
Crew2344-11-8-716.5+0.50.6+0.00.0001259141823298.2+0.0222.8+0.416UnionColumbus Crew
Whitecaps3018-6-12-915.6+0.10.4+0.00.0000149152130188.1-0.023.1+0.010Vancouver Whitecaps
Fire2245-7-11-714.0+0.40.5+0.00.0001247121723348.4+0.0226.2+0.319GalaxyChicago Fire
Dynamo2435-9-10-34.3+0.00.1-0.00.000001361021599.2-0.0319.8+0.117SoundersHouston Dynamo

Direct Comments/Corrections to bgix on BigSoccer
Monte Carlo simulation: Does not prove mathematical Clinching or Elimination
Tie Breakers:
1. Wins
2. Goal Differential
3. Goals Scored

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 8/21
Sounders 3 Timbers 1
9:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sporting KC+0.1
DC United+0.1
Earthquakes+0.4
Orlando+0.2
Sounders+13.5
+0.6
+0.1
-2.1
Timbers-14.2
-0.7
-0.1
+0.5
Revolution+0.3
Crew+0.5
Whitecaps+0.1
+0.1
Fire+0.3
Dynamo+0.2
DC United 2 Red Bulls 2
3:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas+0.3
Rapids+0.1
Toronto FC+0.1
+0.1
Red Bulls+0.2
-0.2
-0.5
Union+0.5
+0.1
Impact+0.4
+0.1
DC United-3.5
-0.4
+0.3
Orlando+0.8
+0.1
Revolution+0.5
Crew+0.6
*-0.1
Fire+0.3
Dynamo*-0.1
Earthquakes vs RevolutionIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
10:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sporting KC76.379.881.4
4.34.64.8
Earthquakes56.739.832.1
2.81.61.2
0.40.10.0
0.10.71.5
Sounders37.641.843.7
1.51.71.7
0.91.01.3
Timbers24.528.229.8
0.80.90.9
0.80.91.2
Revolution10.114.227.4
0.30.41.0
22.617.17.5
Crew vs EarthquakesHomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sporting KC81.479.876.3
4.84.64.3
Earthquakes32.139.856.7
1.21.62.8
0.00.10.4
1.60.60.1
Sounders43.741.837.6
1.71.71.5
1.31.00.9
Timbers29.828.224.5
0.90.90.8
1.20.90.8
Crew25.013.710.1
1.00.40.3
13.424.530.8
Fire13.314.214.6
28.425.924.2
Dynamo4.84.43.7
22.119.317.8
Union vs Sporting KCHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Union94.586.381.1
8.46.55.6
0.80.20.1
0.00.10.2
Sporting KC69.777.289.9
3.44.26.1
0.10.21.1
Earthquakes45.443.540.6
2.12.01.7
Sounders43.241.438.4
1.81.71.4
Timbers29.427.925.1
1.00.90.7
DC United vs FireHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
DC United59.941.832.6
3.21.71.3
1.34.78.4
Fire6.811.523.1
0.20.30.9
35.428.215.4
Impact vs DC UnitedHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Impact94.185.477.6
8.46.55.4
1.10.30.1
0.00.10.4
DC United32.841.559.9
1.11.73.3
7.65.11.7
Dynamo vs SoundersHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Earthquakes45.044.240.4
2.01.91.8
0.90.70.7
Sounders29.737.854.8
1.01.42.5
2.00.90.2
Timbers29.328.524.8
0.90.90.8
1.10.90.9
Fire28.725.724.0
Dynamo8.22.91.4
0.20.10.0
10.321.627.9
Orlando vs Toronto FCHomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Toronto FC95.898.099.6
9.410.211.4
1.32.16.1
DC United42.045.947.4
4.94.84.6
Orlando55.338.330.6
3.01.61.1
1.64.87.5
Crew vs UnionHomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Union80.087.095.2
5.56.58.5
0.10.20.8
0.20.10.0
Crew25.913.59.3
1.00.40.2
13.524.530.7
Fire14.114.413.6
0.50.50.4
28.525.824.1
Dynamo22.219.317.7
Fire vs GalaxyHomeDrawAway
8:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Galaxy93.796.198.8
8.29.010.4
5.68.016.1
Crew15.716.717.1
25.222.420.7
Fire21.711.58.2
0.80.30.2
16.028.334.7
Dynamo22.519.217.6
Galaxy vs WhitecapsHomeDrawAway
10:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Galaxy99.096.593.3
10.49.08.1
16.08.05.6
Whitecaps8.612.425.2
0.20.30.8
5.43.30.8
Toronto FC vs ImpactHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Toronto FC99.697.996.0
11.510.39.3
6.12.11.3
Impact79.284.593.1
5.46.48.5
0.10.31.1
0.30.20.0
Real Salt Lake vs RapidsHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas11.611.711.8
38.437.329.6
Rapids99.299.7100.0
11.111.712.2
26.434.951.5
Real Salt Lake98.093.389.8
9.57.66.7
10.03.41.4
No0.00.0
Dynamo vs FC DallasHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas11.311.612.2
25.031.347.5
Rapids42.739.431.7
Crew25.122.420.7
Fire28.925.723.9
Dynamo7.63.01.9
0.20.10.0
10.421.627.8
Week of 8/28
Timbers vs SoundersIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sounders27.038.357.0
0.91.42.6
1.91.00.2
Timbers43.523.614.3
1.60.60.4
0.11.01.9
NYCFC vs DC UnitedHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NYCFC100.099.799.1
12.211.511.0
11.54.73.0
No0.00.0
DC United34.341.358.6
1.31.73.2
7.65.11.7
Orlando44.342.538.4
2.02.01.9
4.54.64.8
Orlando vs NYCFCHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NYCFC99.199.7100.0
11.011.512.2
3.04.711.5
0.00.0No
DC United41.845.947.6
2.02.12.1
4.94.84.6
Orlando55.038.330.9
2.91.61.2
1.64.87.5
FC Dallas vs TimbersHomeDrawAway
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas12.211.611.2
47.531.325.0
Rapids31.739.442.7
Sporting KC81.180.076.4
4.64.64.5
0.30.50.6
Earthquakes45.644.040.0
1.91.91.8
Sounders43.441.837.9
Timbers17.423.440.6
0.40.61.5
1.81.00.1
Whitecaps vs Red BullsHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Red Bulls91.494.598.5
7.68.410.1
0.20.41.6
Whitecaps24.912.58.8
0.70.30.2
0.83.35.4
Galaxy vs CrewHomeDrawAway
10:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Galaxy98.896.193.7
10.49.08.2
16.18.05.6
Crew10.113.725.0
0.30.41.0
30.724.513.5
Fire14.614.213.3
24.125.828.5
Dynamo17.719.322.2
Red Bulls vs RevolutionHomeDrawAway
2:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Red Bulls98.795.190.7
10.18.57.5
1.60.40.2
Revolution9.614.127.9
0.20.41.1
22.517.17.6
Revolution vs RapidsHomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas39.836.528.8
Rapids99.399.7100.0
11.311.612.2
27.634.450.5
Revolution27.414.210.1
1.00.40.3
7.617.122.5
Fire vs UnionHomeDrawAway
8:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Union80.187.095.1
5.56.58.5
0.10.20.8
0.20.10.0
Crew16.616.916.1
0.60.60.5
25.122.420.7
Fire22.511.47.5
0.90.30.2
16.028.334.7
Dynamo22.419.217.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you bgix for adding this league.