MLS Playoff Chances 50/50

Season starts March 3rd
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupSupporters ShieldChance will finish regular season at seedWooden Spoon
PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change%Change1234567891011Avg.Change%ChangeRPI3/3
Fire00-0-0054.6%4.5%4.6%999999999996.04.5%1Chicago Fire
Minnesota00-0-0054.64.54.5999999999996.04.51at TimbersMinnesota United FC
Whitecaps00-0-0054.64.54.5999999999996.04.51Vancouver Whitecaps
Orlando00-0-0054.64.54.5999999999996.04.51Orlando City SC
Atlanta00-0-0054.64.54.6999999999996.04.51Atlanta United FC
Earthquakes00-0-0054.64.64.5999999999996.04.51San Jose Earthquakes
Sounders00-0-0054.54.54.5999999999996.04.51Seattle Sounders
Union00-0-0054.54.54.5999999999996.04.51Philadelphia Union
Toronto FC00-0-0054.54.54.5999999999996.04.51Toronto FC
DC United00-0-0054.54.54.5999999999996.04.51DC United
Sporting KC00-0-0054.54.54.6999999999996.04.51Sporting Kansas City
Red Bulls00-0-0054.54.54.5999999999996.04.51New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas00-0-0054.54.54.5999999999996.04.51FC Dallas
Rapids00-0-0054.54.54.5999999999996.04.51Colorado Rapids
Real Salt Lake00-0-0054.54.54.5999999999996.04.51Real Salt Lake
Timbers00-0-0054.54.54.5999999999996.04.51MinnesotaPortland Timbers
Crew00-0-0054.54.54.5999999999996.04.51Columbus Crew
NYCFC00-0-0054.54.54.5999999999996.04.51New York City FC
Impact00-0-0054.54.54.5999999999996.04.51Montreal Impact
Dynamo00-0-0054.54.54.5999999999996.04.61Houston Dynamo
Galaxy00-0-0054.54.54.5999999999996.04.51Los Angeles Galaxy
Revolution00-0-0054.54.54.5999999999996.04.51New England Revolution

Direct Comments/Corrections to bgix on BigSoccer
Monte Carlo simulation: Does not prove mathematical Clinching or Elimination
Tie Breakers:
1. Wins
2. Goal Differential
3. Goals Scored

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 3/3
Whitecaps vs UnionIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
9:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Fire55.254.853.8
4.64.64.5
4.54.64.5
Whitecaps62.452.548.2
5.54.33.8
6.63.93.0
2.74.86.2
Atlanta55.254.853.8
4.64.64.5
4.54.64.5
Union48.252.562.4
3.84.35.5
3.03.96.6
6.24.82.7
FC Dallas53.754.755.2
4.54.64.6
4.54.64.5
Timbers53.754.755.2
4.54.64.6
*4.54.64.5
Impact55.254.753.7
4.64.64.4
4.54.6*4.5
Dynamo53.754.755.2
4.44.64.6
*4.54.64.5
Earthquakes vs ImpactHomeDrawAway
10:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Minnesota53.854.855.2
4.44.64.6
*4.54.64.5
Atlanta55.254.853.8
4.64.64.5
4.54.64.5
Earthquakes62.452.548.2
5.54.33.8
6.63.93.0
2.74.86.2
Toronto FC55.254.753.8
4.64.64.5
4.54.64.5
NYCFC55.254.753.7
4.64.64.5
4.54.64.5
Impact48.252.562.4
3.84.35.4
3.03.96.5
6.24.82.7
Galaxy53.754.755.2
4.54.64.6
*4.54.64.5
DC United vs Sporting KCHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta53.854.855.2
4.54.64.6
*4.54.64.5
Earthquakes55.254.853.8
4.64.64.5
4.54.6*4.5
Union53.754.755.2
4.54.64.6
*4.54.64.5
DC United62.452.548.2
5.44.33.8
6.53.93.0
2.74.86.2
Sporting KC48.252.562.4
3.84.35.5
3.03.96.6
6.24.82.7
FC Dallas55.254.753.8
4.64.64.5
4.54.6*4.5
Real Salt Lake55.254.753.7
4.64.64.4
4.54.64.5
Real Salt Lake vs Toronto FCHomeDrawAway
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Orlando55.254.753.8
4.64.64.5
4.54.64.5
Earthquakes53.854.855.2
4.54.64.6
*4.54.64.5
Toronto FC48.252.562.4
3.84.35.5
3.03.96.5
6.24.82.7
DC United55.254.853.7
4.64.64.4
4.54.64.5
Rapids53.754.855.2
4.54.64.6
4.54.64.5
Real Salt Lake62.452.548.3
5.44.33.8
6.53.93.0
2.74.86.2
NYCFC55.254.753.8
4.64.64.5
4.54.64.5
Rapids vs RevolutionHomeDrawAway
6:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Fire55.254.853.8
4.64.64.5
4.54.6*4.5
Whitecaps53.854.855.2
4.54.64.6
*4.54.64.5
Rapids62.452.548.2
5.44.33.8
6.63.93.0
2.74.86.2
Real Salt Lake53.854.755.2
4.54.64.6
*4.54.64.5
NYCFC55.254.753.8
4.64.64.5
4.54.6*4.5
Dynamo53.754.755.2
4.54.64.6
4.54.64.5
Revolution48.252.562.4
3.84.35.5
3.03.96.5
6.24.82.7
Atlanta vs Red BullsHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta63.152.747.4
5.54.33.7
6.63.93.0
2.74.86.2
Red Bulls47.452.763.0
3.74.35.5
3.03.96.6
6.24.82.7
Orlando vs NYCFCHomeDrawAway
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Orlando63.052.747.5
5.54.33.8
6.53.93.0
2.74.86.2
NYCFC47.452.763.0
3.74.35.5
3.03.96.6
6.24.82.7
Galaxy vs FC DallasHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas47.452.763.0
3.74.35.5
3.03.96.6
6.24.82.7
Galaxy63.052.747.4
5.54.33.7
6.63.93.0
2.74.86.2
Crew vs FireHomeDrawAway
2:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Fire47.452.763.1
3.74.35.5
3.03.96.5
6.24.82.7
Crew63.052.747.4
5.54.33.7
6.53.93.0
2.74.86.2
Timbers vs MinnesotaHomeDrawAway
9:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Minnesota47.452.763.1
3.74.35.5
3.03.96.6
6.24.82.7
Timbers63.052.747.4
5.54.33.7
6.53.93.0
2.74.86.2
Dynamo vs SoundersHomeDrawAway
8:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sounders47.452.763.0
3.74.35.5
3.03.96.6
6.24.82.7
Dynamo63.052.747.4
5.54.33.7
6.53.93.0
2.74.86.2
Week of 3/11
Minnesota vs AtlantaIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Fire55.254.853.8
4.64.64.5
4.54.64.5
Minnesota62.452.548.2
5.54.33.8
6.63.93.0
2.74.86.2
Orlando55.254.753.8
4.64.64.5
4.54.6*4.5
Atlanta48.252.562.4
3.84.35.5
3.03.96.6
6.24.82.7
Earthquakes53.854.855.2
4.54.64.6
4.54.64.5
Toronto FC55.254.753.8
4.64.64.5
4.54.64.5
FC Dallas53.754.855.2
4.54.64.6
4.54.64.5
Rapids53.854.755.2
4.54.64.6
4.54.64.5
Real Salt Lake53.754.755.2
4.54.64.6
4.54.64.5
Crew55.254.753.8
4.64.64.5
4.54.64.5
Dynamo53.754.755.2
4.54.64.6
4.54.64.5
Impact vs SoundersHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Fire53.854.855.2
4.54.64.6
*4.54.64.5
Minnesota55.254.853.8
4.64.64.4
4.54.6*4.5
Earthquakes55.254.753.8
4.64.64.5
4.54.64.5
Sounders48.252.562.4
3.84.35.5
3.03.96.6
6.24.82.7
Real Salt Lake55.254.753.8
4.64.64.5
4.54.64.5
Crew53.754.755.2
4.44.64.6
4.54.64.5
Impact62.452.548.2
5.44.33.8
6.53.93.0
2.74.86.2
Dynamo55.254.853.7
4.64.64.5
4.54.64.5
Galaxy55.254.853.7
4.64.64.5
4.54.6*4.5
Red Bulls vs RapidsHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Orlando53.854.755.2
4.54.64.6
4.54.64.5
Union53.854.755.2
4.54.64.6
*4.54.64.5
Red Bulls62.452.548.2
5.54.33.8
6.53.93.0
2.74.86.2
FC Dallas55.254.753.7
4.64.64.5
4.54.64.5
Rapids48.252.562.4
3.84.35.5
3.03.96.6
6.24.82.7
Real Salt Lake55.254.853.7
4.64.64.5
4.54.6*4.5
Impact53.754.755.2
4.54.64.6
4.54.64.5
Fire vs Real Salt LakeHomeDrawAway
2:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Fire62.452.548.3
5.54.33.8
6.63.93.0
2.74.86.2
Sporting KC55.254.853.7
4.64.64.5
4.54.6*4.5
Red Bulls53.754.755.2
4.54.64.6
4.54.64.5
Real Salt Lake48.352.562.4
3.84.35.4
3.03.96.6
6.24.82.7
NYCFC53.754.755.2
4.54.64.6
4.54.64.5
Galaxy55.254.753.7
4.64.64.5
4.54.6*4.5
Dynamo vs CrewHomeDrawAway
8:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Fire55.254.853.8
4.64.64.5
4.54.6*4.5
Minnesota53.854.855.2
4.54.64.6
4.54.64.5
Atlanta55.254.853.8
4.64.64.4
4.54.64.5
FC Dallas53.854.755.2
4.54.64.6
4.54.64.5
Real Salt Lake53.754.855.2
4.54.64.6
4.54.64.5
Crew48.252.562.4
3.84.35.4
3.03.96.6
6.24.82.7
NYCFC55.254.753.7
4.64.64.5
4.54.64.5
Dynamo62.452.548.2
5.44.33.8
6.53.93.0
2.74.86.2
NYCFC vs DC UnitedHomeDrawAway
2:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
DC United47.552.763.0
3.74.35.5
3.03.96.5
6.24.82.7
NYCFC63.152.747.4
5.54.33.7
6.53.93.0
2.74.86.2
Union vs Toronto FCHomeDrawAway
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Union63.152.747.4
5.54.33.7
6.53.93.0
2.74.86.2
Toronto FC47.452.763.0
3.74.35.5
3.03.96.5
6.24.82.7
Sporting KC vs FC DallasHomeDrawAway
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sporting KC63.152.747.4
5.54.33.7
6.63.93.0
2.74.86.2
FC Dallas47.452.763.0
3.74.35.5
3.03.96.5
6.24.82.7
Earthquakes vs WhitecapsHomeDrawAway
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Whitecaps47.452.763.1
3.74.35.5
3.03.96.5
6.24.82.7
Earthquakes63.052.747.4
5.54.33.7
6.53.93.0
2.74.86.2
Revolution vs OrlandoHomeDrawAway
2:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Orlando47.552.763.0
3.74.35.5
3.03.96.6
6.24.82.7
Revolution63.052.747.4
5.54.33.7
6.53.93.0
2.74.86.2
Galaxy vs TimbersHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Timbers47.452.763.0
3.74.35.5
3.03.96.6
6.24.82.7
Galaxy63.052.747.4
5.54.33.7
6.63.93.0
2.74.86.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you bgix for adding this league.