"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

MLS Playoff Chances 50/50

Portland +8.5, Nashville -6.8
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupSupporters ShieldChance will finish regular season at seedWooden Spoon
3/8PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change%Change12345678910111213Avg.Change%ChangeRPISaturday
Atlanta62-0-0272.6%+0.26.1%+0.07.8%+0.0161311109876654435.3+0.021.2%-0.012Sporting KCAtlanta United
Sporting KC62-0-0668.6+0.05.5+0.07.9+0.113111099877665435.71.2+0.02at AtlantaSporting Kansas City
Minnesota62-0-0568.5+0.05.5+0.07.9+0.113111099877665435.7+0.011.2-0.01Minnesota United FC
Colorado62-0-0268.4+0.15.5+0.07.9+0.113111099877665435.7+0.011.2-0.02at VancouverColorado Rapids
Columbus41-1-0162.7+0.24.8+0.04.7+0.01010998887776656.2+0.022.4-0.05RSLColumbus Crew
NY Red Bulls41-1-0162.7+0.24.8+0.04.7+0.11010998887776656.2+0.022.4-0.012New York Red Bulls
Montreal41-1-0162.7+0.24.8+0.04.7+0.01010998887776656.2+0.022.4-0.05Montreal Impact
Toronto FC41-1-0162.7+0.24.8+0.04.7+0.01010998887776656.2+0.012.4-0.012NashvilleToronto FC
DC United31-0-1058.3+0.24.3+0.03.7+0.099888888877766.6+0.023.1+0.011at CincinnatiDC United
FC Dallas41-1-0258.1-0.04.2+0.04.7+0.189888888877766.62.3-0.02at NYCFCFC Dallas
Seattle41-1-0158.1+0.14.2+0.04.8+0.089888888877766.6+0.012.3-0.05at HoustonSeattle Sounders
LAFCTPhiladelphia 3-341-1-0158.1-2.14.2-0.34.8-0.789888888877766.6-0.202.3+0.116Los Angeles FC
Vancouver31-0-1-153.6+0.03.7+0.03.8+0.077888888888877.03.0-0.010ColoradoVancouver Whitecaps
PortlandWNashville 1-031-0-1-153.6+8.53.7+0.83.8+1.277888888888877.0+0.753.0-2.09Portland Timbers
Chicago10-1-1-147.4+0.23.1+0.02.1+0.0567778888999107.6+0.025.4-0.023at OrlandoChicago Fire FC
New England10-1-1-147.4+0.23.1+0.02.1+0.0567778888999107.6+0.015.5-0.023New England Revolution
Orlando10-1-1-147.4+0.23.1+0.12.1+0.0567778888999107.6+0.025.5-0.012ChicagoOrlando City SC
PhiladelphiaTLAFC 3-310-1-1-247.4-2.23.1-0.22.1-0.4567778888999107.6-0.205.5+0.416San JosePhiladelphia Union
RSL20-2-0047.2-0.03.1+0.02.7+0.0566778888999107.64.3-0.016at ColumbusReal Salt Lake
Miami00-0-2-242.9+0.22.7+0.01.6+0.045667788891010128.0+0.026.9-0.123LA GalaxyInter Miami CF
Cincinnati00-0-2-242.9+0.32.7+0.01.6+0.045667788891010128.0+0.026.8-0.121DC UnitedFC Cincinnati
NYCFC00-0-2-242.9+0.12.7+0.01.6+0.045667788991010128.0+0.016.8+0.023FC DallasNew York City FC
LA Galaxy10-1-1-142.7+0.12.7+0.02.1+0.045667788991010128.05.4-0.022at MiamiLos Angeles Galaxy
San Jose10-1-1-342.6+0.02.7-0.02.1+0.045667788991010128.0+0.015.4-0.05at PhiladelphiaSan Jose Earthquakes
Houston10-1-1-442.6+0.12.7+0.02.1+0.045667788991010128.0+0.015.4-0.016SeattleHouston Dynamo
NashvilleLPortland 0-100-0-2-238.3-6.82.3-0.61.7-0.934566778991012148.4-0.616.8+1.816at Toronto FCNashville SC

Monte Carlo simulation: Does not prove mathematical Clinching or Elimination
Tie Breakers:
1. Wins
2. Goal Differential
3. Goals Scored.
Direct Comments/Corrections to Joshuabrianlane@gmail.com

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 3/7
Colorado 2 Orlando 1
6:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Colorado+7.6
+0.9
+2.3
-1.0
Columbus+0.5
Toronto FC+0.6
DC United+0.5
LAFC-0.6
Vancouver-0.6
Portland-0.6
Chicago+0.5
New England+0.6
Orlando-6.5
-0.7
-1.2
+1.5
Philadelphia+0.5
Miami+0.5
Cincinnati+0.6
NYCFC+0.6
LA Galaxy-0.6
San Jose-0.6
Houston-0.6
Portland 1 Nashville 0
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Portland+8.6
+0.8
+1.2
-2.0
Nashville-7.0
-0.6
-1.0
+1.8
LA Galaxy 0 Vancouver 1
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Vancouver+8.5
+0.8
+1.2
-2.1
LA Galaxy-7.2
-0.7
-1.1
+1.6
DC United 2 Miami 1
12:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
DC United+8.5
+0.8
+1.2
-2.1
Miami-7.2
-0.7
-0.9
+1.9
Toronto FC 1 NYCFC 0
2:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Toronto FC+8.5
+0.9
+1.5
-1.7
NYCFC-7.2
-0.7
-0.9
+1.9
San Jose 2 Minnesota 5
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Minnesota+8.2
+1.0
+2.3
-1.0
San Jose-7.2
-0.7
-1.2
+1.5
Sporting KC 4 Houston 0
5:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sporting KC+8.2
+1.0
+2.3
-1.0
Houston-7.2
-0.7
-1.2
+1.5
Atlanta 2 Cincinnati 1
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta+7.9
+1.0
+2.3
-1.1
Cincinnati-7.1
-0.7
-1.0
+1.8
RSL 1 NY Red Bulls 1
11:00 AM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sporting KC+0.2
Minnesota+0.2
Colorado+0.2
NY Red Bulls-1.9
-0.3
-0.8
+0.1
FC Dallas+0.2
Seattle+0.2
LAFC+0.2
Vancouver+0.2
Portland+0.2
RSL-2.2
-0.2
-0.5
+0.3
LA Galaxy+0.2
San Jose+0.2
Houston+0.2
Nashville+0.2
New England 1 Chicago 1
10:30 AM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Chicago-2.0
-0.2
-0.4
+0.3
New England-2.0
-0.2
-0.4
+0.3
LAFC 3 Philadelphia 3
7:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NY Red Bulls*+0.1
Montreal*+0.2
Seattle*+0.1
LAFC-1.9
-0.3
-0.8
+0.1
Vancouver*+0.2
Portland*+0.1
Chicago+0.2
New England*+0.2
Orlando*+0.2
Philadelphia-2.1
-0.2
-0.4
+0.3
Miami*+0.2
Cincinnati*+0.2
NYCFC+0.2
San Jose*+0.1
Houston*+0.1
Nashville+0.2
FC Dallas 2 Montreal 2
12:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Montreal-1.9
-0.3
-0.8
+0.1
FC Dallas-2.0
-0.3
-0.8
+0.2
RSL+0.2
LA Galaxy+0.2
San Jose+0.2
Seattle 1 Columbus 1
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Columbus-1.9
-0.3
-0.7
+0.1
DC United+0.2
Seattle-2.0
-0.3
-0.8
+0.2
RSL+0.2
LA Galaxy+0.2
San Jose+0.2
Houston+0.2
Nashville+0.2
Week of 3/14
New England vs PortlandIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
10:30 AM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Vancouver54.153.852.8
3.83.73.6
Portland47.051.461.6
3.03.54.6
2.53.25.5
4.33.21.7
New England55.545.140.8
3.92.92.5
3.21.71.3
3.35.87.4
Philadelphia vs San JoseHomeDrawAway
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Philadelphia55.545.140.8
3.92.92.5
3.21.71.3
3.35.87.5
San Jose36.240.350.6
2.12.53.4
1.31.73.2
7.45.83.2
Miami vs LA GalaxyHomeDrawAway
11:30 AM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Miami50.940.636.5
3.42.52.1
2.51.31.0
4.27.39.2
LA Galaxy36.240.450.7
2.12.43.4
1.31.83.2
7.45.73.2
NYCFC vs FC DallasHomeDrawAway
9:30 AM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas51.656.065.9
3.54.05.1
3.24.06.8
3.42.51.2
NYCFC50.940.636.4
3.42.52.1
2.51.31.0
4.37.39.1
Columbus vs RSLHomeDrawAway
2:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Columbus70.360.856.4
5.74.54.0
6.84.03.1
1.32.53.4
RSL40.645.055.2
2.52.93.9
1.72.34.1
5.84.52.5
Toronto FC vs NashvilleHomeDrawAway
1:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Toronto FC70.360.756.4
5.74.54.0
6.74.03.1
1.32.53.4
Nashville32.036.046.0
1.82.13.0
1.01.32.5
9.07.24.2
Minnesota vs NY Red BullsHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Minnesota75.666.762.6
6.55.24.7
11.07.05.5
0.61.31.7
NY Red Bulls56.460.770.3
4.04.55.7
3.04.06.8
3.32.51.3
Atlanta vs Sporting KCHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta79.270.967.0
7.15.85.3
11.06.85.3
0.61.31.8
Sporting KC62.666.775.7
4.75.26.5
5.47.011.1
1.71.30.6
Orlando vs ChicagoHomeDrawAway
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Chicago40.145.356.0
2.42.94.0
1.31.73.2
7.45.83.2
Orlando56.045.340.1
4.02.92.4
3.21.71.3
3.35.87.4
Houston vs SeattleHomeDrawAway
5:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Seattle50.956.266.5
3.44.05.2
3.24.16.8
3.32.51.2
Houston51.140.435.4
3.42.42.0
3.21.71.3
3.35.87.3
Cincinnati vs DC UnitedHomeDrawAway
2:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
DC United51.256.466.7
3.54.05.2
2.43.15.4
4.33.31.7
Cincinnati51.440.835.7
3.52.52.1
2.51.31.0
4.37.39.1
Vancouver vs ColoradoHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Colorado61.866.876.0
4.65.26.5
5.56.910.9
1.71.30.6
Vancouver62.151.546.4
4.63.52.9
5.53.22.4
1.73.24.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you bgix for adding this league.