MLS Playoff Chances 50/50

LAFC +11.1, RSL -11.6
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupSupporters ShieldChance will finish regular season at seedWooden Spoon
8/15PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change%Change123456789101112Avg.Change%ChangeRPISaturday
Atlanta48114-6-422100.0%12.1%-0.028.9%+0.33234286000002.1No2Atlanta United
NY Red Bulls47215-2-622100.012.2-0.038.9+0.44230244000001.9No4at VancouverNew York Red Bulls
NYCFC47114-5-517100.0-0.011.9-0.022.0+0.325323481000002.3No1at PhiladelphiaNew York City FC
FC Dallas42212-6-5798.3+0.111.2+0.05.7+0.14524149521000002.2+0.04No3MinnesotaFC Dallas
Columbus39111-6-7298.1-0.36.9-0.00.8+0.0141260165100004.1-0.020.0%8Columbus Crew
Sporting KC39211-6-61292.3+0.49.2+0.11.6+0.0212218141074210003.3+0.050.07PortlandSporting Kansas City
LAFCWRSL 2-039111-6-7888.9+11.18.0+1.90.6+0.3121819171396310003.8+0.860.0-0.05ColoradoLos Angeles FC
PortlandLDC United 1-337310-7-5588.6-3.78.4-1.01.3-1.4161918151286321003.7-0.500.06at Sporting KCPortland Timbers
LA Galaxy3710-7-8665.8+1.04.4+0.10.0+0.03711141615131073105.5+0.050.09at SeattleLos Angeles Galaxy
Philadelphia3029-3-11-763.0-2.22.6-0.10.0+0.000110292317116316.2-0.070.1+0.013NYCFCPhiladelphia Union
New England2927-8-8049.5-2.41.7-0.10.00005212219159526.7-0.080.3+0.016New England Revolution
RSLLLAFC 0-23510-5-10-948.9-11.62.7-1.20.0-0.1136913161715116206.5-0.660.0+0.012at HoustonReal Salt Lake
Seattle3229-5-9047.1+0.92.8+0.10.0+0.0146912141515128306.6+0.040.0+0.010LA GalaxySeattle Sounders
Vancouver3319-6-9-941.3+0.92.3+0.10.0135811141617148306.8+0.040.0+0.011NY Red BullsVancouver Whitecaps
Montreal309-3-13-1038.0-2.31.1-0.10.000031520211812737.2-0.090.3+0.015ChicagoMontreal Impact
DC UnitedWPortland 3-12446-6-9-332.1+8.91.0+0.30.0+0.0000313161818141177.6+0.521.7-2.214DC United
Minnesota2919-2-13-1014.9+0.60.6+0.00.0001247111623221218.5+0.030.3+0.018at FC DallasMinnesota United FC
Houston2727-6-10512.3+0.40.5+0.00.000123691319281738.9+0.031.0+0.117RSLHouston Dynamo
Toronto FC2326-5-12-510.6-0.90.2-0.00.000003711162123198.9-0.096.3+0.220at San JoseToronto FC
Orlando2317-2-15-205.9-0.60.1-0.00.00000248132126269.3-0.098.1+0.319Orlando City SC
Chicago236-5-14-142.7-0.30.0-0.0No00012591625439.8-0.0714.3+0.321at MontrealChicago Fire
Colorado2416-6-12-91.6+0.00.0+0.00.000000124920491410.5+0.017.1+0.322at LAFCColorado Rapids
San Jose1623-7-13-100.0+0.00.0No0000000013148211.860.5+1.023Toronto FCSan Jose Earthquakes

Monte Carlo simulation: Does not prove mathematical Clinching or Elimination
Tie Breakers:
1. Wins
2. Goal Differential
3. Goals Scored.
Direct Comments/Corrections to Joshuabrianlane@gmail.com

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 8/11
New England 2 Philadelphia 3
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Philadelphia+14.6
+0.9
-0.4
New England-12.5
-0.9
DC United 3 Portland 1
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Portland-3.9
-1.0
-1.4
Philadelphia-2.2
New England-2.4
Montreal-2.3
DC United+9.0
+0.3
-2.2
LAFC 2 RSL 0
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
LAFC+11.0
+1.7
+0.3
RSL-12.6
-1.3
Seattle 2 FC Dallas 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta+1.4
NY Red Bulls+1.8
FC Dallas-0.9
-0.5
-4.4
LAFC-1.5
LA Galaxy-1.9
RSL-2.1
Seattle+11.9
+0.9
Vancouver-2.0
Portland 1 Vancouver 2
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Portland-3.2
-0.9
-2.8
LA Galaxy-1.4
RSL-1.7
Seattle-1.3
Vancouver+11.9
+0.8
Columbus 1 Houston 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Columbus+3.2
+0.9
+0.5
No
LA Galaxy+1.0
RSL+1.2
Vancouver+1.0
Houston-6.8
-0.4
+0.5
LAFC 0 Sporting KC 2
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sporting KC+7.6
+1.6
+1.0
*No
LAFC-6.9
-1.4
-0.7
DC United 3 Orlando 2
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
DC United+7.3
+0.2
-4.2
Orlando-5.7
-0.2
+3.1
RSL 1 Montreal 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
LA Galaxy+0.5
Philadelphia+1.0
New England+0.7
RSL-3.2
-0.4
Seattle+0.6
Vancouver+0.6
Montreal-3.6
-0.2
DC United+0.4
Minnesota+0.3
Houston+0.5
Toronto FC+0.6
Orlando+0.4
Toronto FC 2 NYCFC 3
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta-2.5
NY Red Bulls-2.7
NYCFC+0.4
+7.0
Philadelphia+1.5
New England+1.7
Montreal+1.4
Toronto FC-6.4
-0.2
No
+2.2
LA Galaxy 2 Minnesota 2
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
LA Galaxy-2.0
-0.4
Minnesota-2.8
-0.2
LA Galaxy 2 Colorado 2
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
LAFC+0.6
LA Galaxy-2.8
-0.4
RSL+0.8
Seattle+0.6
Vancouver+0.6
Colorado-0.8
+0.6
San Jose-0.3
Chicago 0 NY Red Bulls 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta-4.2
NY Red Bulls+0.2
+10.1
NYCFC-2.3
FC Dallas-1.9
Chicago-3.0
+5.0
Colorado-1.0
San Jose-2.3
Colorado 2 San Jose 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
DC United-1.0
Chicago-1.2
Colorado+1.1
-8.9
San Jose+12.7
Week of 8/18
Seattle vs LA GalaxyIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
LA Galaxy52.863.580.3
3.04.06.1
Seattle62.343.834.1
4.12.41.7
DC United vs New EnglandHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
New England36.147.364.4
1.11.52.5
0.60.30.1
DC United45.429.420.7
1.60.90.5
0.61.82.7
Houston vs RSLHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
RSL35.945.264.4
1.72.34.0
Houston20.49.76.0
0.90.40.2
0.21.01.7
LA Galaxy vs LAFCHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
LAFC82.188.595.9
6.67.89.7
0.20.31.3
0.00.0No
LA Galaxy79.362.954.3
6.13.93.0
Vancouver vs NY Red BullsHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta32.930.324.1
NY Red Bulls12.112.212.4
29.635.750.3
NYCFC25.223.218.1
Vancouver55.037.230.4
3.31.91.4
Montreal vs ChicagoHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Philadelphia60.064.465.2
2.42.62.7
New England46.450.751.9
1.61.81.8
Montreal51.134.527.2
1.70.90.7
0.00.30.7
Chicago0.71.75.4
20.515.97.2
San Jose57.259.764.3
Philadelphia vs NYCFCHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta31.830.225.3
NY Red Bulls41.940.134.9
NYCFC11.711.912.2
14.718.931.5
Philadelphia74.860.153.2
3.42.31.9
New England46.550.252.1
1.51.81.9
Montreal34.838.940.7
0.91.21.3
FC Dallas vs MinnesotaHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas99.698.497.0
11.911.110.6
9.54.32.9
Minnesota8.212.123.4
0.30.41.0
0.50.30.0
Houston vs FC DallasHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas97.098.499.6
10.611.111.9
2.94.39.5
Houston19.49.67.0
0.90.40.2
0.21.01.7
LAFC vs ColoradoHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
LAFC95.388.083.2
9.57.76.8
1.30.30.2
No0.00.0
Colorado0.50.93.1
10.77.83.0
Sporting KC vs PortlandHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sporting KC97.091.887.9
10.58.97.9
3.01.10.6
No0.00.0
Portland82.987.894.7
7.08.19.9
0.50.82.4
0.00.0No
San Jose vs Toronto FCHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Toronto FC6.08.416.6
0.10.20.4
NoNo0.0
11.45.61.6
Chicago2.92.82.5
18.113.011.5
San Jose46.464.372.0
Orlando vs AtlantaHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta11.912.112.3
20.425.639.7
NY Red Bulls42.940.333.8
NYCFC24.823.218.5
Orlando10.14.42.8
0.20.10.0
3.68.712.2
Atlanta vs ColumbusHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta12.412.211.8
39.925.720.2
NY Red Bulls12.312.312.1
34.040.542.6
NYCFC12.112.011.8
18.623.324.7
Columbus96.798.099.5
6.26.77.8
0.20.41.7
0.00.0No
NYCFC vs NY Red BullsHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta29.132.226.7
NY Red Bulls12.112.212.4
25.336.853.8
NYCFC12.211.911.7
35.219.210.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Josh Lane for adding this league.