MLS Playoff Chances 50/50

Sporting KC +8.9, Revolution -4.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupSupporters ShieldChance will finish regular season at seedWooden Spoon
5/20PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change%Change12345678910Avg.Change%ChangeRPIFriday
DC United2116-3-2492.6%+0.29.8%+0.115.7%+0.1332115118542102.9+0.050.2%+0.02DC United
FC Dallas2116-3-2486.2-0.68.6-0.116.0+0.2251915129764313.5-0.060.2+0.07FC Dallas
Sounders1926-1-3884.3-0.78.3-0.115.1+0.3231814129865323.7-0.060.3+0.03Seattle Sounders
Red Bulls1724-5-1583.9+0.37.9+0.17.8+0.11918151311975323.8+0.060.9+0.01New York Red Bulls
RevolutionLSporting KC 2-4195-4-3282.7-4.17.6-0.86.1-3.11617161412975324.0-0.400.8+0.36New England Revolution
Whitecaps206-2-4377.7-0.97.0-0.19.0+0.115151413111087534.3-0.070.4+0.010Vancouver Whitecaps
Crew1424-2-4372.4+0.56.1+0.13.8+0.1101213131211108644.8+0.052.3+0.09FireColumbus Crew
Earthquakes1715-2-4168.7-1.05.8-0.15.9+0.1101212121211109755.0-0.071.0+0.05San Jose Earthquakes
Sporting KCWRevolution 4-21714-5-2266.6+8.95.5+1.05.4+1.9101112121211109865.1+0.601.1-1.24Sporting Kansas City
Toronto FC1033-1-5-157.8+0.64.3+0.11.8+0.0681011121212121085.8+0.055.6+0.115Toronto FC
Fire1033-1-5-357.6+0.64.3+0.11.9+0.068911121212121185.8+0.055.3+0.119at CrewChicago Fire
Dynamo164-4-4153.6-1.23.9-0.12.5+0.0579101112121212106.0-0.072.4+0.014at GalaxyHouston Dynamo
Orlando1213-3-5-152.5+0.63.6+0.11.1+0.046810121313131296.1+0.056.4+0.116Orlando City SC
Impact561-2-3-250.9+0.53.7+0.11.7+0.057891011121312126.2+0.048.8+0.117Montreal Impact
Real Salt Lake1413-5-3-548.1-1.23.4-0.12.1+0.146891011121313136.4-0.073.5+0.012Real Salt Lake
Timbers1313-4-4-243.0-1.22.9-0.11.6+0.03578911121415166.7-0.074.6+0.011Portland Timbers
Galaxy143-5-4-439.9-1.22.6-0.11.2+0.03467911121416176.9-0.075.1+0.18DynamoLos Angeles Galaxy
Rapids1021-7-2031.8-1.02.0-0.10.9+0.0235679111418267.4-0.068.5+0.013Colorado Rapids
Union92-3-7-1026.4+0.51.5+0.10.2+0.0123579121621257.7+0.0319.2+0.218Philadelphia Union
NYCFC711-4-6-523.3+0.41.3+0.00.2-0.0123468111521307.9+0.0223.4+0.220New York City FC

Direct Comments/Corrections to bgix on BigSoccer
Monte Carlo simulation: Does not indicate mathematical Clinching or Elimination
Tie Breakers:
1. Wins
2. Goal Differential
3. Goals Scored

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 5/17
Orlando 4 Galaxy 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
DC United-0.4
FC Dallas+0.5
Sounders+0.6
Red Bulls-0.8
Revolution-0.7
Whitecaps+0.8
Crew-1.2
Earthquakes+0.8
Sporting KC+0.9
Toronto FC-1.4
Fire-1.4
Dynamo+1.1
Orlando+9.0
+0.8
+0.4
-3.8
Impact-1.3
+0.2
Real Salt Lake+1.0
Timbers+1.0
+0.2
Galaxy-7.6
-0.8
-0.8
+1.5
Rapids+0.9
+0.2
Union-0.9
+0.5
NYCFC-1.0
+0.5
Sporting KC 4 Revolution 2
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
DC United+0.2
FC Dallas-0.6
+0.2
Sounders-0.6
+0.3
Red Bulls+0.3
Revolution-4.1
-0.8
-3.1
+0.3
Whitecaps-0.9
+0.2
Crew+0.5
Earthquakes-1.0
Sporting KC+9.0
+1.0
+2.0
-1.2
Toronto FC+0.5
Fire+0.5
Dynamo-1.2
Orlando+0.6
Impact+0.5
Real Salt Lake-1.2
Timbers-1.2
Galaxy-1.2
Rapids-1.0
Union+0.5
+0.2
NYCFC+0.4
+0.2
Union 1 DC United 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
DC United-2.2
-0.6
-5.1
FC Dallas+0.8
Sounders+0.8
Red Bulls-0.5
+0.5
Revolution-0.4
+0.5
Whitecaps+0.5
Crew-0.6
+0.2
+0.2
Earthquakes+0.3
Sporting KC+0.2
+0.3
Toronto FC-0.6
+0.5
Fire-0.7
+0.5
Dynamo+0.2
+0.2
Orlando-0.8
+0.9
Impact-0.6
+0.7
Real Salt Lake+0.2
+0.4
Timbers+0.4
Galaxy+0.2
+0.4
Rapids+0.8
Union+6.9
+0.5
-7.3
NYCFC-0.5
+1.6
Week of 5/22
Toronto FC vs TimbersIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Toronto FC66.655.650.7
5.34.03.5
2.91.41.0
3.16.07.9
Fire56.357.958.6
4.24.34.4
Dynamo54.654.052.4
4.04.03.8
Orlando51.252.853.6
3.53.73.7
Real Salt Lake49.148.546.9
3.53.43.3
Timbers35.640.452.4
2.22.73.8
0.91.22.6
6.64.82.3
Earthquakes vs OrlandoHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Earthquakes77.066.861.9
6.95.54.9
8.85.03.8
0.41.11.7
Toronto FC58.958.156.5
4.44.34.2
5.55.65.8
Fire58.657.956.2
4.44.34.2
1.81.92.0
5.25.25.4
Orlando45.150.061.8
2.93.44.6
0.60.81.9
8.86.93.6
Impact51.951.249.6
3.83.73.6
8.68.79.0
Real Salt Lake vs NYCFCHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Dynamo52.454.054.7
3.84.04.0
2.32.42.7
Real Salt Lake57.545.640.6
4.43.12.7
3.31.71.2
1.53.55.4
Timbers41.843.344.0
2.83.03.0
4.34.55.0
Galaxy38.740.240.8
2.52.62.7
4.74.95.5
NYCFC17.621.030.6
0.91.11.8
0.10.10.3
29.524.916.2
Impact vs FC DallasHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas81.985.191.3
7.78.39.5
11.514.321.8
0.30.20.0
Toronto FC56.658.158.8
4.24.34.4
1.91.91.7
5.85.65.5
Orlando51.252.853.5
3.53.73.7
1.21.21.0
6.66.46.2
Impact59.448.644.1
4.63.43.0
2.71.30.9
5.59.411.5
Timbers vs DC UnitedHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
DC United89.992.195.8
9.19.610.6
11.213.921.5
0.40.20.1
Dynamo52.454.054.6
3.84.04.0
2.72.62.3
Real Salt Lake46.948.549.1
3.33.43.5
2.22.22.0
3.63.53.4
Timbers52.440.435.6
3.82.72.2
2.71.20.8
2.44.96.4
Galaxy vs DynamoHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Dynamo44.751.564.2
3.03.75.0
1.42.04.0
3.72.61.1
Galaxy50.337.531.2
3.62.41.9
2.00.90.6
2.75.47.2
Galaxy vs Real Salt LakeHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Real Salt Lake39.346.058.5
2.63.24.4
1.21.73.4
5.13.71.7
Galaxy50.337.531.2
3.52.41.9
2.00.90.6
2.75.47.2
Crew vs FireHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Crew80.871.065.0
7.25.85.0
5.83.12.3
1.12.43.4
Fire49.455.667.2
3.44.05.4
1.11.53.0
7.35.62.9
Rapids vs WhitecapsHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Whitecaps70.976.585.3
6.06.88.2
6.17.813.0
0.7*0.40.1
Rapids40.929.624.5
2.81.81.4
1.50.70.4
5.19.011.5
Sounders vs Sporting KCHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sounders90.283.579.0
9.48.17.3
20.813.510.7
0.1*0.30.4
Sporting KC59.164.775.6
4.55.26.7
3.14.58.2
1.71.20.5
Sounders vs RapidsHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sounders90.283.579.0
9.38.17.4
20.613.410.9
0.10.30.5
Rapids24.729.540.7
1.41.82.8
0.40.71.5
11.59.05.1
Red Bulls vs UnionHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Red Bulls89.883.178.5
9.07.77.0
11.36.75.2
0.30.91.4
Union19.624.034.9
1.01.32.1
0.10.10.3
24.520.612.9
NYCFC23.323.622.9
22.223.124.8
Revolution vs DC UnitedHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
DC United89.692.296.0
9.09.610.7
11.014.021.7
0.40.20.1
Revolution88.981.677.4
8.87.36.6
9.45.23.6
0.30.91.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you bgix for adding this league.