MLS Playoff Chances 50/50

Timbers +26.0, Whitecaps -23.2
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupSupporters ShieldChance will finish regular season at seedWooden Spoon
SaturdayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change%Change12345678910Avg.Change%ChangeRPISunday
SoundersLRed Bulls 1-454117-3-811In12.5%-0.062.9%-15.86331501.4-0.19No3Seattle Sounders
GalaxyWFC Dallas 2-15415-9-528In+0.012.4+0.434.4+17.235531111.8+0.39No1Los Angeles Galaxy
Real Salt Lake4913-10-613100.0%11.3+0.51.5+0.22136519103.0+0.04No2Real Salt Lake
DC UnitedTFire 3-34814-6-911100.0+0.012.4+0.01.0-0.967257200001.4+0.02No4DC United
FC DallasLGalaxy 1-24513-6-101098.9-0.67.5-1.00.1-0.70218708103.9-0.28No7FC Dallas
Sporting KC4513-6-10998.6-0.411.4-0.10.1-0.025382111410002.4+0.05No6Sporting Kansas City
New EnglandLCrew 0-14213-3-13189.0-5.78.8-1.50.0-0.062027221573103.6-0.59No11New England Revolution
Red BullsWSounders 4-14110-11-8674.0+16.26.5+1.9No-0.029182321148304.5+0.75No-0.09New York Red Bulls
TimbersWWhitecaps 3-0399-12-8468.0+26.04.3+1.7No1761284005.3+0.460.0%-0.05Portland Timbers
CrewWNew England 1-04010-10-9563.2+15.55.3+1.6No151520221813504.9+0.68No-0.012Columbus Crew
UnionTDynamo 0-0389-11-9236.3-11.12.7-0.9No0261118232414306.0-0.310.08Philadelphia Union
WhitecapsLTimbers 0-3378-13-8-329.8-23.21.9-1.5No02285513205.9-0.300.010Vancouver Whitecaps
Toronto FC3429-7-11-727.5-4.62.1-0.3No025813202222806.4-0.110.0+0.014Chivas USAToronto FC
DynamoTUnion 0-03319-6-13-179.8-7.50.7-0.5No001361220312617.5-0.320.1+0.016Houston Dynamo
Rapids318-7-14-131.8-0.10.1-0.0No0210512987.3+0.101.7+0.715Colorado Rapids
FireTDC United 3-33115-16-7-61.7-2.30.1-0.2No00001410235748.4-0.191.0+0.313Chicago Fire
EarthquakesLImpact 0-22816-10-12-81.5-2.10.1-0.1No0252547217.8-0.297.0+3.917San Jose Earthquakes
Chivas USA2416-6-16-280.00.0No00722718.6+0.0737.0+10.718at Toronto FCCD Chivas USA
ImpactWEarthquakes 2-0246-6-17-18Out-0.0NoNo0005959.9+0.0353.1-15.719Montreal Impact

Direct Comments/Corrections to bgix on BigSoccer
Monte Carlo simulation: Does not indicate mathmatical Clinching or Elimination
Tie Breakers:
1. Wins
2. Goal Differential
3. Goals Scored

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 9/20
Timbers 3 Whitecaps 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Timbers+25.2
+1.6
Whitecaps-25.1
-1.6
Rapids-0.2
Earthquakes+0.1
Crew 1 New England 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sporting KC-0.3
New England-5.2
-1.3
Red Bulls-3.2
Crew+17.5
+1.8
No
Union-3.7
Toronto FC-2.7
Dynamo-1.9
Fire-0.6
Red Bulls 4 Sounders 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sounders-8.2
Galaxy+6.0
Real Salt Lake+0.8
DC United+0.9
FC Dallas+0.4
Sporting KC-0.3
-0.2
New England-1.1
-0.3
Red Bulls+16.7
+1.7
*No
Crew-4.0
-0.3
Union-4.1
-0.3
Toronto FC-3.8
-0.3
Dynamo-2.5
-0.2
Fire-0.8
Union 0 Dynamo 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sporting KC+0.2
New England+0.6
Red Bulls+2.1
+0.2
Crew+2.2
+0.2
Union-3.5
-0.4
Toronto FC+1.8
Dynamo-3.7
-0.3
Fire+0.3
Impact 2 Earthquakes 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Timbers+0.9
Whitecaps+1.1
Rapids+0.7
Fire+0.4
Earthquakes-2.2
+3.9
Chivas USA+10.8
Impact-15.9
Fire 3 DC United 3
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sounders+0.7
Galaxy+0.2
DC United-0.9
Red Bulls+0.3
Crew+0.3
Union+0.3
Toronto FC+0.3
Fire-1.5
Galaxy 2 FC Dallas 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sounders-7.2
GalaxyIn
+0.4
+8.9
Real Salt Lake+0.5
-0.4
DC United-0.5
FC Dallas-0.5
-1.0
-0.7
Red BullsNo
Timbers+0.2
Whitecaps+0.2
Toronto FC vs Chivas USAIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Red Bulls70.475.076.9
6.26.56.7
Crew59.664.366.0
5.05.45.5
Union32.937.238.9
2.52.82.9
Toronto FC42.123.116.2
3.41.71.2
Chivas USA49.540.221.9
Impact43.250.665.1
Sporting KC vs New EnglandHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
New England81.088.697.3
7.28.610.7
NoNo0.0
FC Dallas vs SoundersHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sounders52.360.175.7
Galaxy12.412.412.5
43.537.023.3
FC Dallas99.999.197.9
8.37.26.8
0.40.0No
New England0.00.0No
Week of 9/27
Toronto FC vs TimbersIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Red Bulls70.375.076.9
6.26.56.7
Timbers55.764.782.7
3.54.15.3
0.0*NoNo
Crew59.664.366.0
5.05.45.5
Union32.937.238.9
2.52.82.9
Whitecaps39.832.617.6
2.52.01.1
Toronto FC42.123.116.2
3.41.71.2
Union vs FireHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Red Bulls70.175.576.8
6.16.66.7
Crew57.865.666.8
4.95.55.5
Union54.530.722.3
4.32.21.5
No0.00.0
Toronto FC24.528.529.8
1.92.22.3
DC United vs UnionHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Red Bulls77.175.369.9
6.76.66.1
Crew67.265.357.6
5.65.44.9
Union22.730.654.3
1.62.24.3
0.00.0No
Toronto FC30.128.324.3
2.32.21.9
Crew vs ImpactHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Red Bulls70.874.876.7
6.06.66.8
TimbersNo*No0.0
Crew79.459.649.8
7.14.83.8
Union31.137.740.4
2.42.83.0
NoNo0.0
WhitecapsNo0.00.0
Toronto FC24.228.230.3
1.82.22.3
Earthquakes4.16.110.6
Chivas USA27.333.849.0
Impact67.257.835.6
Galaxy vs Red BullsHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sounders51.665.572.2
Galaxy12.512.412.4
47.031.523.9
New England90.589.387.3
9.29.08.4
No0.00.0
Red Bulls61.571.488.5
4.96.08.4
Crew65.964.059.9
5.65.44.9
Union39.436.932.7
3.02.82.4
Toronto FC30.528.024.1
2.42.21.8
Whitecaps vs Real Salt LakeHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Real Salt Lake100.0InIn
10.611.211.9
0.30.73.4
Timbers54.672.577.9
3.54.64.9
Whitecaps45.224.718.2
2.81.51.1
No0.00.0
Dynamo vs FireHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Dynamo18.16.83.8
1.30.50.2
Rapids vs EarthquakesHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Earthquakes0.30.83.2
0.00.10.2
11.97.22.0
Sounders vs Chivas USAHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sounders75.760.052.4
Galaxy23.337.043.5
New EnglandNo0.00.0
Chivas USA49.540.221.9
Impact43.250.665.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you bgix for adding this league.