Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleEurope (CL/EL)Chance will finish season at seedOBOS-ligaen
SundayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.Change%ChangeRPI8/26
BrannWSarpsborg 2-04112-5-21346.5%+8.790.2%+11.34630146210000001.9+0.47No-0.01at VålerengaSK Brann
RosenborgWKristiansund 2-04012-4-31937.8+7.385.8+12.83832168420000002.2+0.51No-0.02StrømsgodsetRosenborg BK
HaugesundTLillestrøm 1-13510-5-498.1-4.446.9-0.7816232015105210000003.9-0.040.0%-0.03StabækFK Haugesund
MoldeLStabæk 1-33310-3-6163.6-5.530.9-10.04101820181495311000004.7-0.470.0+0.05RanheimMolde FK
SarpsborgLBrann 0-2329-5-5122.3-4.423.0-9.42714181916117421000005.2-0.490.0+0.04KristiansundSarpsborg 08
RanheimTSandefjord 1-1319-4-6-21.3-1.215.6-1.81410151818149632100005.8+0.010.0-0.06at MoldeRanheim TF
VålerengaWTromsø 3-0277-6-6-40.2+0.03.4+1.60125913161613107421007.8+1.080.9-1.67BrannVålerenga IF
TromsøLVålerenga 0-3268-2-910.1-0.32.3-2.20024711151614119632108.3-0.551.5+0.68Bodø/GlimtTromsø IL
KristiansundLRosenborg 0-2246-6-7-30.0-0.10.9-1.100124610131514131064209.4-0.593.9+1.69at SarpsborgKristiansund BK
OddTBodø/Glimt 1-1236-5-830.0-0.00.6-0.20001358111415141285219.9-0.045.4+0.212at StartOdds Ballklubb
StrømsgodsetTStart 1-1225-7-730.0-0.00.3-0.100012469121515141174110.4-0.068.0+0.213at RosenborgStrømsgodset IF
Bodø/GlimtTOdd 1-1204-8-7-30.0-0.00.1-0.000001236811141615128311.6-0.1217.2+1.310at TromsøFK Bodø/Glimt
StabækWMolde 3-1184-6-9-120.00.0+0.000000123571014181815712.6+0.7331.3-13.114at HaugesundStabæk
LillestrømTHaugesund 1-1163-7-9-110.0-0.00.0-0.000000011347111520231413.5-0.1647.6+3.811at SandefjordLillestrøm SK
StartTStrømsgodset 1-1164-4-11-20No-0.00.0-0.00000011247101521241513.6-0.1749.6+4.015OddIK Start
SandefjordTRanheim 1-1112-5-12-21No0.00000000113510215915.2-0.1384.6+3.116LillestrømSandefjord Fotball

The winner enters the first qualifying round of the UEFA Champions League. 2nd and 3rd place will join the first qualifying round of the UEFA Europa League. 4th seed receives a spot in UEFA Europa League if any of the top 3 team win the Norwegian Football Cup.

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 8/19
Brann 2 Sarpsborg 0
6:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Europe (CL/EL)100.0*OBOS-ligaen100.0*Average seed
Brann+12.4
+10.2
+0.5
Rosenborg-4.0
+0.4
Haugesund-1.9
+0.2
Molde-1.7
+0.2
Sarpsborg-4.2
-10.9
-0.7
Ranheim-0.4
Kristiansund 0 Rosenborg 2
6:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Europe (CL/EL)100.0*OBOS-ligaen100.0*Average seed
Brann-4.9
-1.2
Rosenborg+10.4
+10.3
*No
+0.5
Haugesund-2.0
-2.0
Molde-1.5
-1.9
Sarpsborg-1.2
-1.8
Ranheim-0.6
-1.2
Vålerenga-0.2
Tromsø-0.4
Kristiansund-1.3
+1.5
-0.7
Bodø/Glimt-0.2
Stabæk-0.3
Lillestrøm-0.2
Start-0.3
Stabæk 3 Molde 1
6:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Europe (CL/EL)100.0*OBOS-ligaen100.0*Average seed
Brann+1.5
+1.5
Rosenborg+1.2
+1.9
Haugesund+0.6
+2.3
Molde-3.9
-10.2
-0.6
Sarpsborg+0.4
+2.0
Ranheim+1.3
Vålerenga+0.2
+0.4
Tromsø+0.5
Kristiansund+0.2
+0.4
Odd+0.7
Strømsgodset+1.0
Bodø/Glimt+1.7
Stabæk-12.0
+0.6
Lillestrøm+2.9
Start+2.9
Sandefjord+1.8
Lillestrøm 1 Haugesund 1
6:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Europe (CL/EL)100.0*OBOS-ligaen100.0*Average seed
Brann+0.6
+0.4
Rosenborg+0.6
+0.5
Haugesund-1.7
-2.6
-0.1
Molde+0.2
+0.6
Sarpsborg+0.2
+0.5
Ranheim+0.3
Odd-0.2
Strømsgodset-0.2
Bodø/Glimt-0.3
Stabæk-0.5
LillestrømNo
+2.3
-0.1
Start-0.6
Sandefjord-0.3
Ranheim 1 Sandefjord 1
6:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Europe (CL/EL)100.0*OBOS-ligaen100.0*Average seed
Brann+0.2
+0.4
Rosenborg+0.2
+0.4
Haugesund+0.5
Molde+0.4
Sarpsborg+0.4
Ranheim-0.6
-2.3
-0.1
Strømsgodset-0.2
Bodø/Glimt-0.3
Stabæk-0.5
Lillestrøm-0.5
Start-0.5
SandefjordNo
+2.3
-0.1
Vålerenga 3 Tromsø 0
6:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Europe (CL/EL)100.0*OBOS-ligaen100.0*Average seed
Haugesund+0.2
Molde+0.2
Vålerenga+1.6
-1.6
+0.9
Tromsø-0.3
-2.4
+0.7
-0.8
Start+0.3
Bodø/Glimt 1 Odd 1
6:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Europe (CL/EL)100.0*OBOS-ligaen100.0*Average seed
Odd-0.3
-0.1
Bodø/Glimt+0.8
-0.2
Lillestrøm-0.2
Start-0.2
Strømsgodset 1 Start 1
6:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Europe (CL/EL)100.0*OBOS-ligaen100.0*Average seed
Strømsgodset-0.2
-0.2
-0.1
Bodø/Glimt-0.4
Stabæk-0.5
Lillestrøm-0.6
StartNo
+2.3
-0.2
Sandefjord-0.3
Week of 8/26
Vålerenga vs BrannIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
6:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Europe (CL/EL)100.0*OBOS-ligaen100.0*Average seed
Brann36.744.058.2
84.989.995.7
2.22.01.6
Rosenborg43.839.530.6
86.086.085.5
2.12.12.3
Vålerenga0.40.10.0
6.32.41.3
0.20.81.5
7.08.08.5
Rosenborg vs StrømsgodsetHomeDrawAway
6:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Europe (CL/EL)100.0*OBOS-ligaen100.0*Average seed
Brann39.048.252.5
89.690.390.7
2.01.91.8
Rosenborg49.035.328.7
92.885.179.5
1.82.22.5
Strømsgodset0.10.20.7
12.28.23.5
11.210.69.6
Haugesund vs StabækHomeDrawAway
6:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Europe (CL/EL)100.0*OBOS-ligaen100.0*Average seed
Brann44.347.148.1
88.890.591.3
2.01.91.9
Haugesund12.86.74.6
59.744.236.3
NoNo0.0
3.34.04.4
Molde3.33.73.8
27.531.733.7
4.84.74.6
Sarpsborg2.12.32.4
20.323.625.2
5.35.25.1
Stabæk40.833.020.3
13.212.811.9
Lillestrøm45.347.250.3
13.413.513.6
Start47.249.252.3
13.513.613.7
Molde vs RanheimHomeDrawAway
6:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Europe (CL/EL)100.0*OBOS-ligaen100.0*Average seed
Molde6.32.81.6
43.928.419.9
4.04.85.4
Ranheim0.50.92.6
7.713.325.3
6.55.94.9
Sarpsborg vs KristiansundHomeDrawAway
6:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Europe (CL/EL)100.0*OBOS-ligaen100.0*Average seed
Haugesund7.98.28.3
44.247.848.9
4.03.93.8
Sarpsborg4.11.71.0
33.320.414.9
4.45.35.8
Kristiansund0.20.51.9
6.33.91.4
10.29.68.5
Tromsø vs Bodø/GlimtHomeDrawAway
6:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Europe (CL/EL)100.0*OBOS-ligaen100.0*Average seed
Tromsø4.21.60.9
0.31.42.8
7.48.59.1
Bodø/Glimt24.418.29.3
12.311.810.7
Start vs OddHomeDrawAway
6:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Europe (CL/EL)100.0*OBOS-ligaen100.0*Average seed
Odd0.20.31.2
9.45.01.6
10.710.19.0
Stabæk33.630.729.4
Lillestrøm50.247.145.6
Start36.252.260.9
12.913.714.1
Sandefjord vs LillestrømHomeDrawAway
6:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Europe (CL/EL)100.0*OBOS-ligaen100.0*Average seed
Lillestrøm59.949.533.9
14.113.612.8
Sandefjord75.386.992.2
14.815.315.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Steffen Jakobsen for adding this league.