Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleUEFA CLChance will finish season at seedRelegated
PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718Avg.Change%ChangeRPI
Feyenoord6922-3-25183.0%+12.098.1%+3.3831521.2+0.15No1Feyenoord Rotterdam
Ajax6319-6-23913.5-9.264.6-3.514513502.2-0.13No3Ajax Amsterdam
PSV6118-7-2343.5-2.837.3+0.133463002.6-0.03No2PSV Eindhoven
Utrecht4412-8-78No0.00050251483100004.9-0.04No5FC Utrecht
AZ4110-11-67NoNo021262218931000005.8+0.67No-0.04AZ Alkmaar
Twente4111-8-83NoNo0192423191131000005.9-0.02No6FC Twente Enschede
Vitesse3911-6-108NoNo917212118831000006.7-0.050.0%8Vitesse Arnhem
Heerenveen3710-7-109NoNo2714202615842100007.8-0.660.07SC Heerenveen
Willem II338-9-10-5NoNo01371524191395310009.8-0.010.4-0.19Willem II Tilburg
Heracles318-7-12-9NoNo0013816181614117421010.9-0.011.9-0.612Heracles Almelo
Zwolle308-6-13-20NoNo00014111517161411631011.7+0.983.2-7.713PEC Zwolle
Groningen296-11-10-4NoNo0001281316161513852112.2+0.016.1-1.410FC Groningen
Sparta287-7-13-13NoNo0000259131516141184212.8+0.0411.1-1.711Sparta Rotterdam
NEC287-7-13-19NoNo0001258121416171273112.8+0.049.5-2.114NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior245-9-13-18NoNo000012469131720181215.1-0.1041.8-0.516Excelsior Rotterdam
Roda234-11-12-22NoNo000001246101822211615.6+0.1549.9-4.017Roda JC Kerkrade
ADO226-4-17-27NoNo0000113581419242516.1-0.5459.4+9.215ADO Den Haag
G.A. Eagles205-5-17-22NoNo00000124815264416.9-0.4576.7+8.918Go Ahead Eagles

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 4/1
Ajax vs FeyenoordIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
2:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Feyenoord67.685.996.6
96.098.799.9
1.41.21.0
Ajax27.410.11.8
76.562.254.3
2.02.32.4
PSV5.04.01.6
27.539.245.9
2.72.62.5
UtrechtNo*0.00.0
Feyenoord vs G.A. EaglesHomeDrawAway
8:45 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Feyenoord90.782.075.9
99.598.196.7
1.11.21.3
Ajax7.814.418.7
63.9*64.665.4
2.32.22.2
PSV1.53.65.4
36.637.238.0
Groningen5.45.86.9
Sparta10.410.812.1
NEC8.79.110.6
Excelsior39.841.044.1
15.115.115.3
Roda47.949.252.4
15.515.615.7
ADO57.258.762.0
16.016.016.2
G.A. Eagles85.680.165.8
17.317.016.4
Ajax vs AZHomeDrawAway
6:30 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Feyenoord76.585.188.3
97.598.398.6
1.31.21.1
Ajax20.511.37.9
75.562.455.1
2.02.32.4
PSV3.03.63.8
27.039.346.3
2.72.62.5
UtrechtNo0.00.0
4.84.95.0
AZ6.35.95.3
Vitesse6.66.76.8
Sparta vs PSVHomeDrawAway
7:45 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Feyenoord84.583.881.0
99.098.596.9
Ajax14.113.812.8
73.367.254.3
2.12.22.3
PSV1.42.46.2
27.734.348.8
2.72.62.5
Utrecht0.0*0.0No
Zwolle3.53.22.9
11.811.611.5
Groningen6.66.05.6
12.312.112.1
Sparta4.611.817.3
11.913.013.6
NEC10.19.59.0
13.012.812.7
Excelsior43.241.640.4
15.215.115.1
Roda51.349.848.7
15.715.615.5
ADO60.759.358.1
16.116.116.0
G.A. Eagles77.576.775.9
Utrecht vs Willem IIHomeDrawAway
8:45 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Utrecht0.0NoNo
4.64.95.2
Willem II0.80.30.0
10.49.99.0
Heracles10.810.911.1
AZ vs GroningenHomeDrawAway
6:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
AZ5.35.96.3
Groningen10.26.21.9
12.912.411.3
Sparta10.711.111.6
12.712.812.9
Excelsior40.841.742.8
15.115.115.2
Roda49.1*49.950.8
15.615.615.7
ADO58.759.460.1
G.A. Eagles76.176.777.4
Twente vs G.A. EaglesHomeDrawAway
4:45 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Twente5.46.06.4
Vitesse6.86.76.6
Groningen5.45.86.9
Sparta10.410.812.1
NEC8.79.110.6
Excelsior39.841.044.1
15.115.115.3
Roda47.949.252.4
15.515.615.7
ADO57.258.762.0
16.016.016.2
G.A. Eagles85.680.165.8
17.317.016.4
Groningen vs NECHomeDrawAway
7:45 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Groningen1.55.910.7
11.212.313.1
NEC15.89.93.0
13.813.011.8
Excelsior vs UtrechtHomeDrawAway
6:30 PM Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
UtrechtNoNo0.0
5.25.04.6
Zwolle3.83.02.6
11.711.611.6
Groningen7.15.85.2
12.312.112.1
Sparta12.510.89.9
12.912.812.7
NEC10.99.28.3
12.912.812.7
Excelsior28.044.853.7
14.415.415.8
Roda53.649.146.8
15.715.615.5
ADO62.458.756.8
16.216.016.0
G.A. Eagles79.076.374.7
17.016.816.8
Heerenveen vs SpartaHomeDrawAway
8:45 PM Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
HeerenveenNo0.00.0
7.17.98.4
Sparta17.311.84.6
13.613.011.9
Excelsior40.441.643.2
15.115.115.2
Roda48.749.851.3
15.515.615.7
ADO58.159.360.7
16.016.116.1
G.A. Eagles75.976.777.5
ADO vs RodaHomeDrawAway
2:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
NEC9.68.610.0
Excelsior41.739.942.9
15.115.115.2
Roda66.452.431.9
16.415.814.7
ADO42.262.674.6
15.316.216.8
G.A. Eagles77.275.677.0
Zwolle vs ExcelsiorHomeDrawAway
6:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Zwolle0.42.56.4
10.811.812.5
Groningen5.45.86.9
12.212.112.2
Sparta10.210.912.2
12.912.812.8
NEC8.59.310.7
Excelsior54.345.127.2
15.915.414.3
Roda47.349.253.0
15.615.615.7
ADO57.058.862.1
16.016.016.1
G.A. Eagles74.976.378.8
16.816.817.0
Willem II vs ADOHomeDrawAway
8:45 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Willem II0.00.20.8
9.09.910.4
Groningen5.35.87.0
Sparta10.010.712.5
NEC8.49.110.9
Excelsior39.441.044.6
15.115.115.2
Roda47.549.252.8
15.515.615.7
ADO70.462.846.3
16.616.215.4
G.A. Eagles74.676.279.2
16.816.817.0
Vitesse vs NECHomeDrawAway
12:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
AZ6.05.85.7
VitesseNo0.00.0
6.16.87.3
Sparta10.411.012.0
12.712.812.9
NEC15.210.03.5
13.613.011.9
Excelsior40.541.643.0
15.115.115.2
Roda49.049.950.9
15.615.615.7
ADO58.359.360.6
16.016.116.1
G.A. Eagles75.976.777.6
Heracles vs VitesseHomeDrawAway
6:30 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Vitesse0.0NoNo
7.36.86.1
Heracles0.31.83.6
10.011.111.7
Heracles vs HeerenveenHomeDrawAway
8:45 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Heerenveen8.47.97.1
Heracles0.31.83.6
10.011.211.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Tom Nijman for adding this league.