Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleUEFA CLChance will finish season at seedSegunda Division
10/21PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPI10/28
BarcelonaWMálaga 2-0258-1-02332.6%+3.472.4%+5.4331812975432211100000003.6+0.500.1%-0.24at Athletic ClubBarcelona
ValenciaWSevilla 4-0216-3-01515.2+1.852.0+6.11514121097654432221110005.3+0.740.6-0.81at AlavésValencia
Real MadridWEibar 3-0206-2-11112.3+1.546.2+5.71212111098765443221110005.9+0.790.9-1.13at GironaReal Madrid
Atlético MadridWCelta de Vigo 1-0195-4-099.7+1.240.9+5.51011111098766543322111006.4+0.851.3-1.52VillarrealAtlético Madrid
LeganésWAthletic Club 1-0175-2-256.3+0.830.7+4.7688888776655433221107.6+0.942.3-2.411at SevillaLeganés
VillarrealWLas Palmas 4-0165-1-354.9+0.726.1+4.2567888777665543322118.2+0.993.2-3.110at Atlético MadridVillarreal
SevillaLValencia 0-4165-1-314.7-3.925.8-9.4567888777665543322118.2-0.963.2+0.67LeganésSevilla
Real BetisWAlavés 2-0165-1-324.5+0.625.7+4.0567888777665543322118.3+0.983.4-3.15at EspanyolReal Betis
Real SociedadEspanyol1314-1-323.2-0.919.7-2.0356677777766554433219.3-0.075.6-0.86at GetafeReal Sociedad
Celta de VigoLAtlético Madrid 0-1113-2-441.2-1.39.6-5.41234455666777776654311.5-0.9212.0+1.715at MálagaCelta de Vigo
LevanteTGetafe 1-1112-5-2-21.2-0.69.6-2.51234455666777776654311.5-0.2512.4-0.89at EibarLevante
Athletic ClubLLeganés 0-1113-2-401.1-1.39.5-5.51234455666777776654311.5-0.9312.2+1.812BarcelonaAthletic Club
Espanyolat Real Sociedad912-3-3-40.9-0.38.4-1.11233445566677777665411.9+0.0314.5-1.68Real BetisEspanyol
La CoruñaGirona812-2-4-70.8-0.26.7-0.91123344556677777776512.5+0.0517.7-1.919at Las PalmasLa Coruña
GetafeTLevante 1-192-3-410.6-0.45.8-1.81122334556677778877512.8-0.2018.8-0.913Real SociedadGetafe
Gironaat La Coruña611-3-4-60.4-0.14.0-0.60112233445567788999813.7+0.0925.6-2.418Real MadridGirona
EibarLReal Madrid 0-372-1-6-170.3-0.43.3-2.601112233455677899109814.0-0.7927.1+3.417LevanteEibar
Las PalmasLVillarreal 0-462-0-7-150.2-0.32.4-2.100111223345567891011111014.6-0.7431.8+3.814La CoruñaLas Palmas
AlavésLReal Betis 0-231-0-8-110.1-0.10.9-1.000001112233456781012162016.2-0.6048.0+4.616ValenciaAlavés
MálagaLBarcelona 0-210-1-8-160.0-0.10.5-0.60000011112233467912182917.1-0.5059.3+4.920Celta de VigoMálaga

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 10/21
Barcelona 2 Málaga 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Barcelona+6.5
+7.3
-0.2
+0.6
Valencia-1.1
-0.7
Real Madrid-0.9
-0.6
Atlético Madrid-0.8
-0.6
Leganés-0.5
-0.5
-0.2
Villarreal-0.4
-0.5
-0.2
Sevilla-0.7
-0.6
Real Betis-0.4
-0.5
-0.2
Real Sociedad-0.4
-0.5
-0.2
Celta de Vigo-0.2
-0.4
-0.3
Levante-0.2
-0.3
-0.4
Athletic Club-0.2
-0.4
-0.3
Espanyol-0.3
-0.5
La Coruña-0.2
-0.5
Getafe-0.2
-0.5
Girona-0.6
Eibar-0.2
-0.6
Las Palmas-0.6
Alavés-0.8
Málaga-0.5
+6.8
-0.6
Valencia 4 Sevilla 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Barcelona-0.5
Valencia+4.6
+8.9
-0.7
+0.9
Sevilla-2.9
-7.2
+1.1
-0.9
Real Madrid 3 Eibar 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Barcelona-0.9
-0.5
Valencia-0.5
-0.6
Real Madrid+3.6
+8.1
-1.0
+0.9
Atlético Madrid-0.3
-0.5
Leganés-0.2
-0.5
Villarreal-0.2
-0.4
-0.2
Sevilla-0.3
-0.5
Real Betis-0.2
-0.4
Real Sociedad-0.2
-0.4
-0.2
La Coruña-0.2
-0.4
Getafe-0.2
-0.4
Girona-0.4
Eibar-0.3
-2.2
+5.5
-0.9
Las Palmas-0.4
Alavés-0.5
Málaga-0.5
Celta de Vigo 0 Atlético Madrid 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Barcelona-0.6
-0.3
Valencia-0.3
-0.4
Real Madrid-0.2
-0.4
Atlético Madrid+3.1
+8.1
-1.3
+1.0
Sevilla-0.2
-0.4
Celta de Vigo-1.0
-4.4
+3.2
-0.9
Leganés 1 Athletic Club 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Leganés+2.2
+7.0
-2.0
+1.1
Athletic Club-1.0
-4.3
+3.3
-1.0
Villarreal 4 Las Palmas 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Barcelona-0.4
-0.4
Valencia-0.2
-0.4
Real Madrid-0.2
-0.4
Atlético Madrid-0.4
Villarreal+1.8
+6.2
-2.7
+1.1
Sevilla-0.4
Girona-0.4
Eibar-0.3
Las Palmas-0.2
-1.7
+6.1
-0.9
Alavés-0.4
Málaga-0.4
Real Betis 2 Alavés 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Barcelona-0.4
-0.5
Valencia-0.2
-0.5
Real Madrid-0.2
-0.5
Atlético Madrid-0.5
Leganés-0.4
Sevilla-0.5
Real Betis+1.7
+6.1
-2.7
+1.1
Levante-0.3
-0.3
Espanyol-0.2
-0.3
La Coruña-0.2
-0.4
Getafe-0.2
-0.4
Girona-0.4
Eibar-0.4
Las Palmas-0.4
Alavés-0.8
+7.1
-0.7
Málaga-0.5
Levante 1 Getafe 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Levante-0.3
-1.2
+0.6
-0.2
Getafe-0.2
-0.9
+0.9
-0.2
Real Sociedad vs EspanyolIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Real Sociedad4.62.82.1
25.618.114.8
3.35.97.8
8.29.510.2
Espanyol0.50.81.5
5.57.411.9
18.715.39.9
12.812.110.8
La Coruña vs GironaHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
La Coruña1.20.60.4
9.55.94.5
12.018.422.8
11.512.713.4
Girona0.20.30.6
2.53.45.8
31.726.718.7
14.614.012.8
Week of 10/28
Athletic Club vs BarcelonaIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Barcelona26.830.939.7
66.271.179.4
4.13.73.0
Athletic Club1.90.90.5
13.48.36.3
8.112.915.8
10.511.712.4
Alavés vs ValenciaHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Barcelona33.833.131.2
73.0*72.571.7
3.53.53.6
Valencia11.413.919.7
44.950.160.2
1.0*0.60.3
6.05.54.6
Alavés1.60.70.5
39.949.854.8
15.416.416.8
Girona vs Real MadridHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Real Madrid9.111.216.2
39.144.354.5
1.4*0.80.4
6.66.05.0
Girona0.60.30.2
6.03.42.3
19.226.831.2
12.814.014.6
Atlético Madrid vs VillarrealHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Atlético Madrid13.28.86.7
49.739.033.3
0.6*1.31.9
5.56.67.2
Villarreal3.04.27.1
19.724.333.6
4.63.31.8
9.18.47.2
Sevilla vs LeganésHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Leganés4.25.68.8
23.929.038.6
3.42.51.2
8.57.86.6
Sevilla6.84.13.0
33.124.019.5
1.83.44.6
7.28.49.1
Espanyol vs Real BetisHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Real Betis3.03.96.4
19.824.032.6
4.83.51.8
9.18.47.3
Espanyol1.50.80.5
11.97.45.5
9.915.318.7
10.812.112.8
Getafe vs Real SociedadHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Real Sociedad2.12.74.7
14.718.125.6
7.85.93.2
10.29.58.3
Getafe0.90.40.3
8.45.03.6
13.319.723.8
11.713.013.6
Málaga vs Celta de VigoHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Celta de Vigo0.70.91.8
6.78.513.2
16.212.37.5
12.411.710.4
Málaga0.80.40.2
50.861.266.6
16.417.317.6
Eibar vs LevanteHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Levante0.71.01.8
6.68.513.3
16.613.07.9
12.411.710.4
Eibar0.40.20.1
4.92.82.0
20.028.433.5
13.014.214.8
Las Palmas vs La CoruñaHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
La Coruña0.40.61.2
4.55.89.5
22.918.412.0
13.412.711.5
Las Palmas0.30.10.1
3.72.01.4
24.033.238.7
13.714.815.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you MarkusPaminger for adding this league.