Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleUEFA CLChance will finish season at seedSegunda Division
9/2PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIFriday
BarcelonaWHuesca 8-293-0-01013.2%+3.553.0%+8.113109876655444333322217.2+1.064.6%-2.42Barcelona
Real Madrid93-0-0813.2+0.153.0+0.113109876655444333322217.2+0.014.6+0.14Real Madrid
Celta Vigo72-1-038.7+0.143.1+0.1987766655554444433328.5+0.017.5+0.11Celta Vigo
Ath Bilbao411-1-016.3+0.135.5+0.2666666555555555444439.6+0.0111.0+0.07Ath Bilbao
SevillaLBetis 0-141-1-124.4-1.929.2-6.24555555555555555555410.5-0.9314.2+3.318Sevilla
Real Sociedad41-1-104.4+0.029.2+0.14555555555555555555410.514.2+0.117Real Sociedad
LevanteTValencia 2-241-1-124.4-0.629.2-1.84555555555555555555510.5-0.2614.2+0.86Levante
EspanyolLAlaves 1-241-1-114.4-1.829.2-6.24555555555555555555510.5-0.9314.2+3.310Espanyol
Getafe41-1-104.3+0.029.2+0.14555555555555555555510.5+0.0114.2+0.18Getafe
Atl. Madrid41-1-1-14.4-0.029.2+0.14555555555555555555410.514.2+0.113Atl. Madrid
Girona41-1-1-24.3+0.029.2+0.24555555555555555555410.5+0.0114.2+0.112Girona
BetisWSevilla 1-041-1-1-24.4+1.329.2+6.24555555555555555555510.5+1.0914.2-5.311Betis
AlavesWEspanyol 2-141-1-1-24.3+1.329.2+6.24555555555555555555510.5+1.0914.2-5.25Alaves
HuescaLBarcelona 2-841-1-1-54.3-2.029.1-6.34555555555555555555510.5-0.9414.2+3.33Rayo VallecanoHuesca
Eibar31-0-2-23.4+0.125.1+0.23444555555555556666611.217.2+0.114Eibar
ValenciaTLevante 2-220-2-1-22.6-0.421.4-1.63344444555555666667711.9-0.2620.6+1.116Valencia
Valladolid20-2-1-12.6+0.021.4+0.13344444555555666667711.920.6+0.19Valladolid
Rayo Vallecano010-0-2-42.4+0.019.6+0.22333444455555666678912.3+0.0123.2+0.120at HuescaRayo Vallecano
Villarreal10-1-2-22.0+0.018.0+0.12333444445555666778912.524.4+0.219Villarreal
Leganes10-1-2-42.0+0.018.0+0.12333444445555666778912.524.4+0.115Leganes

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 8/31
Real Madrid 4 Leganes 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Barcelona-0.2
-0.2
Real Madrid+3.3
+7.9
-2.6
+1.0
Celta Vigo-0.2
Ath Bilbao-0.2
-0.2
Sevilla-0.2
-0.2
Real Sociedad-0.1
Levante-0.2
Espanyol-0.2
Getafe-0.1
Atl. Madrid-0.2
Girona-0.1
Betis-0.1
Alaves-0.1
Huesca-0.2
-0.2
Valencia-0.1
Valladolid-0.1
Rayo Vallecano-0.1
Villarreal-0.2
Leganes-1.2
-5.3
+4.6
-0.9
Barcelona 8 Huesca 2
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Barcelona+3.3
+8.0
-2.5
+1.0
Real Madrid-0.2
Huesca-2.1
-6.4
+3.1
-0.9
Celta Vigo 2 Atl. Madrid 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Celta Vigo+2.5
+7.5
-3.6
+1.1
Atl. Madrid-2.0
-6.4
+3.2
-1.0
Eibar 2 Real Sociedad 1
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Real Sociedad-1.9
-6.3
+3.4
-0.9
Girona+0.2
Betis+0.2
Alaves+0.2
Huesca+0.1
Eibar+1.1
+5.6
-5.8
+1.1
Valencia+0.2
Valladolid+0.2
Rayo Vallecano+0.2
Villarreal+0.2
Leganes+0.2
Betis 1 Sevilla 0
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Sevilla-1.9
-6.3
+3.3
-0.9
Betis+1.4
+6.2
-5.3
+1.1
Alaves+0.2
Leganes*+0.1
+0.2
Alaves 2 Espanyol 1
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Real Madrid*+0.1
*+0.1
Espanyol-1.9
-6.3
+3.3
-0.9
Alaves+1.4
+6.2
-5.3
+1.1
Eibar+0.2
Villarreal 0 Girona 1
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Girona+1.3
+6.1
-5.4
+1.1
Villarreal-1.1
-5.1
+4.8
-0.9
Levante 2 Valencia 2
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Barcelona+0.2
Real Madrid+0.2
Celta Vigo+0.2
Ath Bilbao+0.2
Sevilla+0.2
Real Sociedad+0.2
Levante-0.6
-1.7
+0.6
-0.2
Espanyol+0.2
Getafe+0.2
Atl. Madrid+0.2
Girona+0.2
Betis+0.2
Huesca+0.2
Eibar+0.2
Valencia-0.4
-1.5
+0.9
-0.2
Getafe 0 Valladolid 0
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Barcelona+0.2
Real Madrid+0.2
Celta Vigo+0.2
Ath Bilbao+0.2
Sevilla+0.2
Real Sociedad+0.2
Levante+0.2
Espanyol+0.2
Getafe-0.6
-1.7
+0.6
-0.2
Atl. Madrid+0.2
Girona+0.2
Betis+0.2
Huesca+0.2
Valladolid-0.4
-1.5
+0.9
-0.2
Villarreal+0.2
Leganes+0.2
Rayo Vallecano vs Ath BilbaoIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Barcelona13.313.313.0
53.153.252.9
Real Madrid13.313.313.0
53.153.252.8
Celta Vigo8.88.88.6
43.143.342.9
7.67.47.4
Ath Bilbao4.45.68.6
29.233.842.9
14.411.57.3
10.59.88.5
Sevilla4.44.44.3
29.329.429.1
14.314.114.1
Real Sociedad4.44.44.3
29.329.429.1
14.314.114.1
Levante4.44.44.3
29.229.429.1
14.314.114.1
Espanyol4.44.44.3
29.229.429.1
14.314.114.1
Getafe4.44.44.3
29.229.429.0
14.314.114.1
Atl. Madrid4.44.44.3
29.229.429.0
14.314.114.1
Girona4.44.44.3
29.229.329.0
14.314.114.1
Betis4.44.44.3
29.229.429.0
14.414.214.2
Alaves4.44.44.2
29.229.329.0
14.414.114.2
Huesca4.34.34.2
29.229.329.0
14.414.214.2
Eibar3.43.53.4
25.125.325.0
17.417.117.1
Valencia21.421.621.3
20.820.520.5
Valladolid21.421.521.3
20.720.520.5
Rayo Vallecano3.52.01.5
25.218.114.8
17.424.228.4
11.212.513.2
Villarreal18.118.217.9
24.524.224.2
Leganes18.018.117.9
24.624.224.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you MarkusPaminger for adding this league.