How are these numbers calculated?

## Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Week of 3/2 100.0* Chance in playoffs 100.0* Supporters Shield 100.0* Wooden Spoon 100.0* Average seed Kansas City vs New York City +6.3-4.5-9.0 +1.4-1.1-1.9 -1.5+0.9+2.4 +0.5-0.4-0.7 Houston vs Atlanta -0.6+0.4+0.8 -0.0+0.1-0.1 -0.0+0.0+0.1 Vancouver vs Montreal -0.6+0.4+0.8 -0.0+0.1-0.1 -0.0+0.0+0.1 Dallas vs Salt Lake -0.2+0.4-0.2 -0.0+0.1-0.0 San Jose vs Minnesota -0.2+0.4-0.2 -0.0+0.1-0.0 LA Galaxy vs Portland -0.2+0.4-0.2 -0.0+0.1-0.0 Seattle vs Los Angeles FC -0.2+0.4-0.2 -0.0+0.1-0.0 Toronto vs Columbus -0.0+0.1-0.0 Philadelphia vs New England -0.0+0.1-0.0 Orlando vs DC -0.0+0.1-0.0 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Week of 3/9 100.0* Chance in playoffs 100.0* Supporters Shield 100.0* Wooden Spoon 100.0* Average seed Chicago vs Kansas City -4.6*-0.0+10.7 -1.1-0.2+2.9 +1.1-0.2-2.2 -0.4-0.0+0.9 Orlando vs Minnesota +0.4*-0.0-1.0 -0.0+0.1-0.0 +0.0-0.0-0.1 New England vs Colorado +0.4*-0.0-1.0 -0.0+0.1-0.0 +0.0+0.0-0.1 New York vs Portland +0.4*+0.0-1.0 -0.0+0.1-0.0 +0.0+0.0-0.1 New York City vs LA Galaxy +0.4*-0.0-1.0 -0.0+0.1-0.0 +0.0+0.0-0.1 Salt Lake vs Los Angeles FC -0.2+0.4-0.2 -0.0+0.1-0.0 Houston vs Vancouver -0.2+0.4-0.2 -0.0+0.1-0.0 Columbus vs Montreal -0.0+0.1-0.0 Atlanta vs DC -0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

## What If

Chances based on how well the Kansas City finish out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance in Supporters Chance will finish regular season at seed Wooden TP W - D - L playoffs Shield 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Spoon Count 78 -102 In 100.0 % 100 No 167,278 * 77 24 - 5 - 5 In 99.9 100 0 No 8,882 * 76 23 - 7 - 4 In 99.9 100 0 No 15,734 * 75 23 - 6 - 5 In 99.9 100 0 No 28,306 * 74 23 - 5 - 6 In 99.9 100 0 No 49,022 * 73 22 - 7 - 5 In 99.8 100 0 No 83,867 * 72 22 - 6 - 6 In 99.7 100 0 No 139,104 * 71 21 - 8 - 5 In 99.5 100 0 No 227,317 * 70 21 - 7 - 6 In 99.2 100 0 0 No 364,104 * 69 21 - 6 - 7 In 98.8 100 0 0 No 567,893 * 68 20 - 8 - 6 In 98.0 99 1 0 No 871,661 * 67 20 - 7 - 7 In 96.9 99 1 0 No 1,310,331 * 66 20 - 6 - 8 In 95.1 98 2 0 No 1,929,472 * 65 19 - 8 - 7 In 92.5 97 3 0 0 No 2,791,483 * 64 19 - 7 - 8 In 88.7 95 5 0 0 No 3,954,228 * 63 18 - 9 - 7 In 83.4 92 8 0 0 No 5,495,127 * 62 18 - 8 - 8 In 76.4 89 11 0 0 No 7,495,307 * 61 18 - 7 - 9 In 67.5 84 15 1 0 0 No 10,021,261 * 60 17 - 9 - 8 In 56.9 77 21 2 0 0 No 13,144,965 * 59 17 - 8 - 9 In 44.8 69 27 3 0 0 0 No 16,925,754 * 58 17 - 7 - 10 In 32.4 60 33 6 0 0 0 No 21,389,283 * 57 16 - 9 - 9 100.0 % 21.0 49 39 10 1 0 0 0 No 26,514,456 * 56 16 - 8 - 10 100.0 11.8 38 42 16 3 0 0 0 0 No 32,250,264 * 55 15 - 10 - 9 100.0 5.4 27 43 23 6 1 0 0 0 No 38,520,946 * 54 15 - 9 - 10 100.0 2.0 18 39 30 11 2 0 0 0 0 No 45,136,764 * 53 15 - 8 - 11 99.9 0.5 10 32 35 18 5 1 0 0 0 No 51,908,216 * 52 14 - 10 - 10 99.8 0.1 5 22 35 26 10 2 0 0 0 0 No 58,601,729 * 51 14 - 9 - 11 99.1 0.0 2 14 30 31 17 5 1 0 0 0 No 64,893,035 * 50 14 - 8 - 12 96.9 0.0 1 7 21 32 25 11 3 0 0 0 0 No 70,520,857 * 49 13 - 10 - 11 91.5 0.0 0 3 12 27 30 19 7 1 0 0 0 0 No 75,193,469 * 48 13 - 9 - 12 81.0 No 0 1 6 18 29 27 14 4 1 0 0 0 No 78,693,368 * 47 13 - 8 - 13 64.6 No 0 0 2 9 23 30 23 10 2 0 0 0 No 80,774,451 * 46 12 - 10 - 12 44.8 No 0 0 1 4 14 27 29 18 6 1 0 0 No 81,295,815 * 45 12 - 9 - 13 26.2 No 0 0 0 1 6 18 29 27 14 4 0 0 No 80,289,214 * 44 12 - 8 - 14 12.7 No 0 0 0 0 2 10 23 31 23 9 2 0 0.0 % 77,761,379 * 43 11 - 10 - 13 5.0 No 0 0 0 1 4 15 28 30 17 5 0 0.0 73,838,524 * 42 11 - 9 - 14 1.6 No 0 0 0 1 7 21 32 26 10 1 0.0 68,740,850 * 41 10 - 11 - 13 0.4 No 0 0 0 0 3 13 29 33 18 4 0.0 62,732,535 * 40 10 - 10 - 14 0.1 No 0 0 0 0 1 6 21 35 28 8 0.3 56,103,442 * 39 10 - 9 - 15 0.0 No 0 0 0 0 3 13 32 37 15 1.2 49,145,923 * 38 9 - 11 - 14 0.0 No 0 0 0 1 7 26 42 24 3.9 42,189,189 * 37 9 - 10 - 15 0.0 No 0 0 0 3 18 43 35 9.5 35,456,600 * 36 9 - 9 - 16 0.0 No 0 0 0 0 1 12 40 47 18.5 29,169,301 * 35 8 - 11 - 15 0.0 No 0 0 0 1 7 35 58 30.2 23,482,433 * 34 8 - 10 - 16 Out No 0 0 0 4 28 68 43.3 18,500,663 * 33 8 - 9 - 17 Out No 0 0 0 2 21 77 56.2 14,251,585 * 32 7 - 11 - 16 Out No 0 0 1 15 84 67.7 10,733,117 * 31 7 - 10 - 17 Out No 0 0 0 11 89 77.2 7,893,322 * 30 7 - 9 - 18 Out No 0 0 7 93 84.5 5,675,365 * 29 6 - 11 - 17 Out No 0 0 4 95 89.9 3,978,815 * 28 6 - 10 - 18 Out No 0 0 3 97 93.6 2,720,234 * 27 6 - 9 - 19 Out No 0 2 98 96.0 1,809,705 * 26 5 - 11 - 18 Out No 0 1 99 97.6 1,175,731 * 25 5 - 10 - 19 Out No 1 99 98.6 742,446 * 24 5 - 9 - 20 Out No 0 100 99.2 458,316 * 23 4 - 11 - 19 Out No 0 100 99.5 272,763 * 22 4 - 10 - 20 Out No 0 100 99.8 158,093 * 21 4 - 9 - 21 Out No 0 100 99.8 88,468 * 20 4 - 8 - 22 Out No 0 100 99.9 48,496 * 19 3 - 10 - 21 Out No 0 100 99.9 25,141 * 18 3 - 9 - 22 Out No 0 100 100.0 12,708 * 0 -17 Out No 100 100.0 169,129 * Total: 50.0 % 4.3 % 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 4.3 % 1,458,907,236

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

## Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

## Big Games

 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Week of 3/2 100.0* Lottery seed Kansas City vs New York City -1.0+0.7+1.5 Houston vs Atlanta +0.1-0.0-0.1 Vancouver vs Montreal +0.1-0.0-0.1 Seattle vs Los Angeles FC +0.0-0.1+0.0 Dallas vs Salt Lake +0.0-0.1+0.0 LA Galaxy vs Portland +0.0-0.1+0.0 San Jose vs Minnesota +0.0-0.1+0.0 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Week of 3/9 100.0* Lottery seed Chicago vs Kansas City +0.8-0.0-1.8 New England vs Colorado -0.0-0.0+0.1 New York City vs LA Galaxy -0.0-0.0+0.1 New York vs Portland -0.0-0.0+0.1 Orlando vs Minnesota -0.0-0.0+0.1 Salt Lake vs Los Angeles FC +0.0-0.1+0.0 Houston vs Vancouver +0.0-0.1+0.0

## What If

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance will finish season at seed TP W - D - L 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 80 -102 100 79 25 - 4 - 5 100 0 78 24 - 6 - 4 100 0 77 24 - 5 - 5 100 0 0 76 23 - 7 - 4 100 0 0 75 23 - 6 - 5 100 0 0 74 23 - 5 - 6 100 0 0 73 22 - 7 - 5 100 0 0 72 22 - 6 - 6 100 0 0 71 21 - 8 - 5 100 0 0 70 21 - 7 - 6 99 0 0 0 69 21 - 6 - 7 99 1 0 0 68 20 - 8 - 6 98 1 1 0 67 20 - 7 - 7 97 2 1 0 0 66 20 - 6 - 8 95 3 2 0 0 65 19 - 8 - 7 92 4 3 0 0 0 64 19 - 7 - 8 89 6 5 0 0 0 63 18 - 9 - 7 83 9 8 0 0 0 0 62 18 - 8 - 8 76 12 11 0 0 0 0 61 18 - 7 - 9 68 16 15 0 1 0 0 0 60 17 - 9 - 8 57 21 20 0 2 0 0 0 59 17 - 8 - 9 45 25 26 1 3 0 0 0 0 58 17 - 7 - 10 32 28 31 2 6 0 0 0 0 0 57 16 - 9 - 9 21 28 34 5 10 0 1 0 0 0 0 56 16 - 8 - 10 12 26 33 9 16 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 55 15 - 10 - 9 5 22 28 14 22 1 6 0 1 0 0 0 0 54 15 - 9 - 10 2 16 20 19 26 4 11 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 53 15 - 8 - 11 1 10 11 21 26 8 17 1 5 0 1 0 0 0 0 52 14 - 10 - 10 0 5 4 18 20 15 23 3 10 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 51 14 - 9 - 11 0 2 1 12 11 19 24 7 17 1 5 0 1 0 0 0 50 14 - 8 - 12 0 1 0 7 4 17 18 14 23 3 11 0 3 0 0 0 0 49 13 - 10 - 11 0 0 0 3 1 12 9 18 22 8 18 1 7 1 0 0 0 0 48 13 - 9 - 12 0 0 1 0 6 2 15 14 15 23 4 14 4 1 0 0 0 47 13 - 8 - 13 0 0 0 0 2 0 9 6 17 20 11 21 11 3 0 0 0 0 0 46 12 - 10 - 12 0 0 0 1 0 4 1 13 10 16 23 20 9 2 0 0 0 0 0 45 12 - 9 - 13 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 6 3 15 16 25 20 9 3 0 0 0 0 0 44 12 - 8 - 14 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 9 7 19 27 21 10 3 1 0 0 0 0 43 11 - 10 - 13 0 0 0 0 1 0 4 2 8 20 27 22 12 4 1 0 0 0 42 11 - 9 - 14 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 9 20 27 23 13 4 1 0 0 41 10 - 11 - 13 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 9 20 27 24 13 4 1 0 40 10 - 10 - 14 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 9 21 28 24 11 3 0 39 10 - 9 - 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 11 23 30 22 8 1 38 9 - 11 - 14 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 14 28 31 18 4 37 9 - 10 - 15 0 0 0 0 0 1 7 20 34 29 10 36 9 - 9 - 16 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 11 29 38 18 35 8 - 11 - 15 0 0 0 0 0 1 5 22 42 30 34 8 - 10 - 16 0 0 0 0 2 14 40 43 33 8 - 9 - 17 0 0 0 1 8 35 56 32 7 - 11 - 16 0 0 0 4 28 68 31 7 - 10 - 17 0 0 0 2 21 77 30 7 - 9 - 18 0 0 1 15 85 29 6 - 11 - 17 0 0 0 10 90 28 6 - 10 - 18 0 0 6 94 27 6 - 9 - 19 0 0 4 96 26 5 - 11 - 18 0 0 2 98 25 5 - 10 - 19 0 1 99 24 5 - 9 - 20 0 1 99 23 4 - 11 - 19 0 0 100 22 4 - 10 - 20 0 100 21 4 - 9 - 21 0 100 20 4 - 8 - 22 0 100 19 3 - 10 - 21 0 100 18 3 - 9 - 22 0 100 15 -17 100 14 2 - 8 - 24 0 100 0 -13 100 Total: 4 4 4 4 5 4 5 4 5 4 5 3 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4