Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleUEFA CLChance will finish season at seedChampionship
2/11PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPISaturday
ChelseaTBurnley 1-16019-3-33475.2%-4.099.0%-0.47516621000001.4-0.08No1Swansea CityChelsea
Manchester CityWBournemouth 2-05216-4-5229.9+3.674.9+5.210262218139300000003.4+0.31No3Manchester UnitedManchester City
Tottenham HotspurLLiverpool 0-25014-8-3284.6-3.661.7-15.6517202018145100000004.0-0.66No2Stoke CityTottenham Hotspur
ArsenalWHull City 2-05015-5-5264.7+1.860.9+5.65181919181461000000004.0+0.31No6at SouthamptonArsenal
LiverpoolWTottenham Hotspur 2-04914-7-4243.1+1.252.6+5.83131719201782000000004.3+0.32No5at Leicester CityLiverpool
Manchester UnitedWWatford 2-04813-9-3172.4+0.943.0+5.221014172022113100000004.7+0.33No-0.04at Manchester CityManchester United
EvertonTMiddlesbrough 0-04111-8-6130.1-0.16.4-4.2012481535199421000000007.1-0.260.0%-0.07SunderlandEverton
West BromTWest Ham 2-23710-7-830.0-0.01.2-1.30001261829181174210000008.6-0.170.0-0.08BournemouthWest Bromwich Albion
Stoke CityWCrystal Palace 1-0328-8-9-60.00.1+0.0000001411161614129742110010.9+0.940.8-2.49at Tottenham HotspurStoke City
West HamTWest Brom 2-2329-5-11-90.0-0.00.1-0.1000001411161614129742110010.9-0.110.8-0.410at WatfordWest Ham United
SouthamptonWSunderland 4-0308-6-11-30.00.0+0.00000002711141414121074311011.8+1.062.2-4.813ArsenalSouthampton
BurnleyTChelsea 1-1309-3-13-90.0-0.00.0-0.00000002711131414121075321011.9-0.072.5-0.812at Hull CityBurnley
WatfordLManchester United 0-2308-6-11-130.0-0.00.0-0.10000002610131414131075321011.9-0.622.5+0.511West HamWatford
BournemouthLManchester City 0-2267-5-13-140.00.0-0.0000000024681012141311964214.1-0.6012.3+2.014at West BromAFC Bournemouth
Swansea CityWLeicester City 2-0247-3-15-23No0.0-0.000000012357912131412118515.3+1.0823.2-16.915at ChelseaSwansea City
MiddlesbroughTEverton 0-0224-10-11-8No0.0-0.00000001134691214141412916.2+0.0235.2-2.418at Crystal PalaceMiddlesbrough
Leicester CityLSwansea City 0-2215-6-14-19No0.0-0.000000001235710131515151416.8-0.4944.7+5.819LiverpoolLeicester City
Hull CityLArsenal 0-2205-5-15-27No0.0-0.0000000112468111316182017.3-0.4554.2+6.316BurnleyHull City
Crystal PalaceLStoke City 0-1195-4-16-14No0.0-0.0000000011347101316202417.6-0.4260.2+6.420MiddlesbroughCrystal Palace
SunderlandLSouthampton 0-4195-4-16-22No0.000000001234791316202517.7-0.4361.3+6.717at EvertonSunderland

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 2/25
Chelsea vs Swansea CityIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Chelsea84.073.867.6
99.799.098.3
1.21.41.5
Manchester City6.710.412.6
Tottenham Hotspur2.94.86.1
Arsenal3.05.06.2
60.8*60.961.0
Liverpool1.93.34.2
52.5*52.652.8
Manchester United1.52.53.2
42.9*43.043.2
Watford2.32.52.7
11.911.912.0
Bournemouth11.612.113.0
14.014.114.2
Swansea City31.424.614.0
16.015.514.4
Middlesbrough33.935.036.6
16.116.216.3
Leicester City43.344.546.3
16.716.816.9
Hull City52.854.055.8
17.217.317.4
Crystal Palace58.960.061.8
17.617.617.7
Sunderland59.961.062.8
17.617.717.8
Manchester City vs Manchester UnitedHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Chelsea72.476.676.9
Manchester City15.08.55.9
86.074.364.2
2.93.43.8
Tottenham Hotspur4.24.84.8
62.062.560.7
Arsenal4.44.94.9
61.261.760.0
Liverpool2.93.33.2
52.853.551.7
Manchester United1.01.84.3
31.040.757.0
5.24.84.2
Southampton vs ArsenalHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Chelsea76.675.873.3
99.299.198.8
Manchester City10.210.09.5
76.675.372.8
3.33.43.5
Tottenham Hotspur4.74.64.4
63.962.259.1
3.94.04.1
Arsenal2.63.87.6
51.358.972.1
4.44.13.5
Liverpool3.33.23.0
55.053.249.8
4.34.34.4
Manchester United2.52.42.2
45.343.540.4
4.74.74.8
Everton7.16.65.7
Stoke City11.010.910.8
West Ham11.010.910.8
Southampton0.00.0No
0.72.23.7
11.012.012.5
Burnley12.011.911.8
Watford12.011.911.9
Bournemouth14.214.114.0
Tottenham Hotspur vs Stoke CityHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Chelsea73.475.876.6
98.899.199.2
Manchester City9.410.010.2
72.875.376.7
3.53.43.3
Tottenham Hotspur7.53.72.4
73.259.751.9
3.54.14.4
Arsenal4.54.84.9
58.461.463.1
4.14.03.9
Liverpool3.03.23.3
49.853.255.1
4.44.34.3
Manchester United2.22.42.5
40.343.545.4
4.84.74.7
Everton5.76.67.1
Stoke City1.50.80.2
11.511.010.1
West Ham10.810.911.0
Southampton11.811.811.9
Burnley11.811.912.0
Watford11.911.912.0
Leicester City vs LiverpoolHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Chelsea76.275.773.9
99.299.198.8
Manchester City10.110.09.6
76.875.372.5
3.33.43.5
Tottenham Hotspur4.74.64.4
64.162.358.8
3.94.04.1
Arsenal4.84.84.5
63.361.558.1
3.94.04.1
Liverpool1.62.45.3
42.550.364.8
4.84.43.9
Manchester United2.52.42.3
45.443.640.2
4.64.74.8
Everton7.16.65.7
Bournemouth13.312.011.4
14.214.114.0
Swansea City24.922.921.8
15.415.315.2
Middlesbrough37.234.833.5
16.316.216.1
Leicester City0.0NoNo
32.447.155.1
16.017.017.4
Hull City56.353.852.3
17.417.317.2
Crystal Palace62.459.858.4
17.717.617.6
Sunderland63.460.959.5
17.817.717.6
Everton vs SunderlandHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Manchester City74.375.175.3
Tottenham Hotspur60.862.062.3
Arsenal60.161.261.5
Liverpool51.852.953.3
4.44.34.3
Manchester United42.343.343.6
4.84.74.7
Everton10.55.23.4
6.67.27.5
West Brom8.78.68.6
Bournemouth11.412.013.3
14.114.114.2
Swansea City21.922.924.9
15.215.315.3
Middlesbrough33.534.737.2
16.116.216.3
Leicester City43.044.246.8
16.716.816.9
Hull City52.553.756.2
17.217.317.4
Crystal Palace58.659.862.2
17.617.617.7
Sunderland71.164.049.3
18.217.817.0
West Brom vs BournemouthHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Everton7.27.17.1
West Brom2.20.80.5
8.08.79.1
Bournemouth17.812.96.2
14.814.313.2
Swansea City22.623.223.9
15.215.315.3
Middlesbrough34.435.136.1
16.116.216.3
Leicester City43.844.645.7
16.716.816.8
Hull City53.354.155.2
17.217.317.4
Crystal Palace59.460.161.2
17.617.617.7
Sunderland60.461.262.3
17.617.717.7
Watford vs West HamHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
West Ham1.50.80.2
11.611.010.1
Watford0.00.0No
0.82.54.2
11.012.112.7
Hull City vs BurnleyHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Stoke City10.810.911.0
West Ham10.810.911.0
BurnleyNoNo0.0
4.42.30.7
12.612.011.1
Bournemouth13.212.011.5
Swansea City24.722.922.0
Middlesbrough37.034.833.7
Leicester City46.644.343.1
16.816.816.7
Hull City0.0NoNo
41.756.864.6
16.617.517.9
Crystal Palace62.159.858.7
17.717.617.6
Sunderland63.060.959.8
17.817.717.6
Crystal Palace vs MiddlesbroughHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Bournemouth12.511.912.3
Swansea City23.622.623.3
MiddlesbroughNo0.00.0
47.136.522.2
16.916.315.3
Leicester City45.243.944.9
Hull City54.653.454.5
Crystal Palace46.162.872.3
16.917.818.3
Sunderland61.660.561.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Markus Paminger for adding this league.