Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleUEFA CLChance will finish season at seedChampionship
9/16PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPISaturday
Manchester UnitedWEverton 4-0134-1-01415.8%+4.245.6%+8.6161210876655443332221116.4+1.122.7%-2.13at SouthamptonManchester United
Manchester CityWWatford 6-0134-1-01415.8+4.345.6+8.7161210876655443332221116.4+1.142.7-2.11Crystal PalaceManchester City
ChelseaTArsenal 0-0103-1-138.2-1.030.4-1.5887776665555444333228.4-0.146.4+0.06at Stoke CityChelsea
Newcastle UnitedWStoke City 2-193-0-226.5+1.926.1+6.1777666666555544443329.0+1.198.1-4.311at Brighton & HoveNewcastle United
Tottenham HotspurTSwansea City 0-082-2-145.2-0.722.3-1.4566666666555555444339.7-0.1510.1+0.15at West Ham UnitedTottenham Hotspur
Huddersfield TownTLeicester City 1-182-2-125.2-0.722.3-1.4566666666555555544339.7-0.1510.1+0.112at BurnleyHuddersfield Town
BurnleyTLiverpool 1-182-2-115.1-0.822.2-1.4566666666555555544439.7-0.1510.2+0.17Huddersfield TownBurnley
West BromTWest Ham United 0-082-2-105.2-0.722.1-1.4566666666555555544339.7-0.1610.2+0.110at ArsenalWest Bromwich Albion
SouthamptonWCrystal Palace 1-082-2-105.1+1.622.1+5.5566666666555555544439.7+1.2010.2-5.015Manchester UnitedSouthampton
LiverpoolTBurnley 1-182-2-105.1-0.722.1-1.4566666666555555544439.7-0.1510.3+0.13at Leicester CityLiverpool
WatfordLManchester City 0-682-2-1-25.1-2.422.0-5.7566666666555555544439.7-0.8810.3+2.42at Swansea CityWatford
ArsenalTChelsea 0-072-1-2-14.0-0.618.6-1.34555555555555555554410.4-0.1612.7+0.217West BromArsenal
Stoke CityLNewcastle United 1-251-2-2-12.4-1.212.7-4.02334445555556666666611.8-0.8518.8+3.513ChelseaStoke City
Swansea CityTTottenham Hotspur 0-051-2-2-32.4-0.412.7-1.12334445555556666666611.8-0.1718.9+0.414WatfordSwansea City
Leicester CityTHuddersfield Town 1-141-1-3-21.8-0.310.3-1.02233444455556666778812.4-0.1622.5+0.416LiverpoolLeicester City
Brighton & HoveLBournemouth 1-241-1-3-31.8-1.010.3-3.42233444455556667778812.4-0.8322.5+4.018Newcastle UnitedBrighton & Hove
West Ham UnitedTWest Brom 0-041-1-3-61.8-0.310.2-1.02233444455556667778812.5-0.1622.7+0.49Tottenham HotspurWest Ham United
EvertonLManchester United 0-441-1-3-81.7-1.010.1-3.62233444455556667778812.5-0.8722.9+4.38BournemouthEverton
BournemouthWBrighton & Hove 2-131-0-4-61.3+0.58.2+2.512233344455566677891013.1+1.1026.7-8.419at EvertonAFC Bournemouth
Crystal PalaceLSouthampton 0-100-0-5-80.5-0.44.0-1.81111222333445567810121915.0-0.7540.9+5.820at Manchester CityCrystal Palace

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 9/16
Watford 0 Manchester City 6
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Manchester United-0.2
-0.2
Manchester City+4.1
+8.2
-2.0
+1.1
Chelsea-0.2
-0.2
Tottenham Hotspur-0.2
Watford-2.4
-6.1
+2.7
-1.0
Manchester United 4 Everton 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Manchester United+3.9
+8.0
-2.0
+1.1
Manchester City-0.3
-0.3
Chelsea-0.3
-0.3
Newcastle United-0.2
-0.3
Tottenham Hotspur-0.2
-0.3
-0.2
Huddersfield Town-0.2
-0.3
Burnley-0.2
-0.3
West Brom-0.2
-0.2
Southampton-0.2
Liverpool-0.2
-0.3
-0.2
Watford-0.2
-0.3
Arsenal-0.2
-0.3
Stoke City-0.2
Leicester City-0.2
Brighton & Hove-0.2
West Ham United-0.2
-0.2
Everton-1.1
-4.0
+4.7
-1.0
Bournemouth-0.2
Crystal Palace-0.3
Newcastle United 2 Stoke City 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Manchester City-0.2
Newcastle United+2.0
+6.0
-4.2
+1.2
Stoke City-1.3
-4.4
+4.3
-1.0
Crystal Palace 0 Southampton 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Manchester United-0.2
-0.3
Manchester City-0.3
Chelsea-0.2
Burnley-0.2
Southampton+1.6
+5.3
-5.0
+1.2
Everton-0.2
Bournemouth-0.2
Crystal Palace-0.4
-2.0
+6.7
-0.9
Chelsea 0 Arsenal 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Manchester United+0.3
Manchester City+0.2
+0.3
Chelsea-0.8
-1.7
+0.2
-0.2
Newcastle United+0.2
Huddersfield Town+0.2
West Brom+0.2
Watford+0.2
Arsenal-0.5
-1.3
+0.6
-0.2
Liverpool 1 Burnley 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Manchester United+0.2
+0.3
Manchester City+0.2
+0.3
Burnley-0.6
-1.5
+0.4
-0.2
Liverpool-0.7
-1.6
+0.4
-0.2
Tottenham Hotspur 0 Swansea City 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Manchester United+0.2
Manchester City+0.2
Chelsea+0.2
Tottenham Hotspur-0.7
-1.5
+0.4
-0.2
Huddersfield Town+0.2
Liverpool+0.2
Swansea City-0.4
-1.2
+0.8
-0.2
Huddersfield Town 1 Leicester City 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Manchester United+0.2
Manchester City+0.2
Chelsea+0.2
Tottenham Hotspur+0.2
Huddersfield Town-0.6
-1.5
+0.4
-0.2
Leicester City-0.3
-1.1
+1.0
-0.2
Bournemouth-0.2
Crystal Palace-0.2
West Brom 0 West Ham United 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Manchester City+0.2
Chelsea+0.3
Newcastle United+0.2
West Brom-0.6
-1.5
+0.4
-0.2
Watford+0.2
Arsenal+0.2
West Ham United-0.3
-1.0
+0.9
-0.2
Bournemouth*-0.1
Crystal Palace-0.2
Bournemouth 2 Brighton & Hove 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Brighton & Hove-1.0
-3.7
+5.2
-1.0
West Ham United+0.2
Everton+0.2
Bournemouth+0.5
+2.5
-7.8
+1.0
Crystal Palace+0.2
Week of 9/23
Southampton vs Manchester UnitedIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Manchester United11.814.720.9
38.344.054.2
3.92.81.5
7.26.55.4
Southampton7.54.63.2
28.820.716.7
6.610.713.4
8.69.910.7
Manchester City vs Crystal PalaceHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Manchester United15.116.116.4
45.045.846.0
2.62.72.8
Manchester City20.614.612.0
53.843.938.7
1.42.84.0
5.46.67.2
Leicester City1.71.81.9
10.110.410.5
22.022.323.0
West Ham United1.61.81.8
9.910.310.4
22.322.623.2
Everton1.61.81.8
9.910.210.3
22.422.823.4
Bournemouth1.21.41.4
8.08.38.4
26.326.627.3
Crystal Palace0.30.40.9
2.53.46.0
47.742.532.9
15.815.214.0
Stoke City vs ChelseaHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Chelsea5.87.411.3
24.228.838.0
8.86.63.8
9.38.67.2
Stoke City3.62.01.4
17.411.69.0
13.319.623.7
10.612.012.7
Burnley vs Huddersfield TownHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Huddersfield Town3.44.67.4
16.920.828.8
13.410.66.5
10.79.98.5
Burnley7.44.53.4
28.720.716.8
6.610.613.5
8.69.910.7
Brighton & Hove vs Newcastle UnitedHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Newcastle United4.55.89.1
20.424.533.1
11.08.45.0
10.09.27.9
Brighton & Hove2.81.51.1
14.39.37.1
16.323.527.9
11.312.713.4
Arsenal vs West BromHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
West Brom3.44.67.4
16.820.728.6
13.510.66.5
10.79.98.6
Arsenal5.93.52.6
24.517.213.8
8.413.216.6
9.210.611.4
Swansea City vs WatfordHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Watford3.44.57.2
16.820.528.4
13.710.76.6
10.710.08.6
Swansea City3.52.01.4
17.311.69.0
13.319.723.9
10.612.012.8
West Ham United vs Tottenham HotspurHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Tottenham Hotspur3.54.67.4
17.120.928.8
13.510.56.4
10.79.98.5
West Ham United2.71.51.0
14.29.27.0
16.523.728.2
11.312.713.4
Leicester City vs LiverpoolHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Liverpool3.44.57.3
16.920.628.5
13.710.66.5
10.79.98.6
Leicester City2.71.51.1
14.49.37.1
16.223.427.9
11.312.713.4
Everton vs BournemouthHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Everton2.61.51.0
14.09.17.1
16.423.728.7
11.412.713.5
Bournemouth0.81.12.1
5.67.411.6
33.027.819.7
14.113.312.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Markus Paminger for adding this league.