Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleUEFAChance will finish season at seedDemotion
SundayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIMonday
Manchester City237-2-02320.6%-0.259.5%-0.32116131097654322111000004.6-0.020.2%-0.03Manchester City
Liverpool237-2-01319.9-0.158.8-0.32016131097654322111000004.6-0.020.2-0.01Liverpool
Chelsea216-3-01313.5-0.148.2-0.31313121098765433221110005.6-0.020.52Chelsea
Tottenham Hotspur217-0-2913.4-0.147.8-0.31313121098765433221110005.6-0.020.5-0.010Tottenham Hotspur
Arsenal1816-0-299.7-0.139.5-0.31010101098776544322111006.5-0.021.1-0.04Leicester CityArsenal
Bournemouth175-2-245.4-0.127.6-0.3578888877665443221107.8-0.022.2-0.05AFC Bournemouth
Watford165-1-314.1-0.023.2-0.2466788887766543322108.4-0.023.0-0.19Watford
EvertonWCrystal Palace 2-0154-3-233.3+1.019.7+4.8356677777776554332119.0+1.003.9-2.613Everton
Wolverhampton154-3-213.2-0.019.5-0.2356677777776554332119.0-0.024.0-0.17Wolverhampton
Manchester United144-2-3-12.4-0.016.1-0.2245567777777655433219.6-0.015.3-0.18Manchester United
Leicester City1214-0-422.2-0.014.7-0.22345667777776655432110.0-0.016.5-0.112at ArsenalLeicester City
Brighton & Hove113-2-4-31.0-0.08.5-0.11233455667777776654211.5-0.0111.1-0.111Brighton & Hove
Burnley82-2-5-70.4-0.04.0-0.10112233455677888887613.320.5-0.215Burnley
Crystal PalaceLEverton 0-272-1-6-60.3-0.23.0-1.70111223445667889998713.9-0.8224.5+4.917Crystal Palace
West Ham United72-1-6-60.2-0.02.9-0.00111223445667889998713.924.7-0.26West Ham United
Southampton61-3-5-80.2-0.02.2-0.0001112234456788991010914.429.1-0.314Southampton
Cardiff City51-2-6-110.1+0.01.6-0.000011223345567891011121215.0+0.0134.0-0.320Cardiff City
Fulham51-2-6-140.1-0.01.6-0.000011122345567891011121215.034.2-0.319Fulham
Huddersfield Town30-3-6-140.1-0.00.8-0.000001112233456791012141816.0+0.0144.6-0.316Huddersfield Town
Newcastle United20-2-7-80.00.6-0.000000111223456781012162216.4+0.0149.6-0.318Newcastle United

Above upper green line: Qualification for UEFA Champions League
Above upper red line: Qualification for Europa League

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 10/20
Manchester City 5 Burnley 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Manchester City+5.0
+8.4
-0.3
+0.8
Liverpool-0.9
-0.6
Chelsea-0.8
-0.6
Tottenham Hotspur-0.6
-0.6
Arsenal-0.6
-0.6
Bournemouth-0.4
-0.5
Wolverhampton-0.3
-0.5
Burnley-0.4
-2.4
+4.6
-0.9
Southampton-0.5
Cardiff City-0.6
Fulham-0.4
Huddersfield Town-0.5
Newcastle United-0.5
Huddersfield Town 0 Liverpool 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Manchester City-0.9
-0.8
Liverpool+4.8
+8.3
-0.4
+0.8
Chelsea-0.9
-0.8
Tottenham Hotspur-0.6
-0.8
Arsenal-0.6
-0.8
Bournemouth-0.4
-0.7
Watford-0.2
-0.5
-0.2
Everton-0.4
-0.3
Wolverhampton-0.3
-0.6
Manchester United-0.2
-0.5
-0.2
Leicester City-0.2
-0.5
-0.2
Brighton & Hove-0.3
-0.5
Burnley-0.2
-0.5
Crystal Palace-0.2
-0.6
West Ham United-0.2
-0.5
Southampton-0.7
Cardiff City-0.8
Fulham-0.7
Huddersfield Town-0.8
+6.8
-0.7
Newcastle United-0.8
West Ham United 0 Tottenham Hotspur 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Manchester City-0.6
-0.7
Liverpool-0.5
-0.6
Chelsea-0.6
-0.7
Tottenham Hotspur+3.7
+8.2
-0.6
+0.9
Arsenal-0.4
-0.7
Bournemouth-0.3
-0.6
Wolverhampton-0.2
-0.5
Brighton & Hove-0.2
-0.4
Crystal Palace-0.2
-0.4
West Ham United-0.3
-2.0
+5.2
-0.8
Southampton-0.4
Cardiff City-0.6
Fulham-0.5
Huddersfield Town-0.5
Newcastle United-0.5
Wolverhampton 0 Watford 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Watford+1.5
+6.1
-2.3
+1.0
Wolverhampton-1.9
-6.2
+1.4
-0.9
Chelsea 2 Manchester United 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Manchester City+0.4
+0.4
Liverpool+0.3
+0.3
Chelsea-1.3
-1.7
-0.1
Tottenham Hotspur+0.2
+0.3
Arsenal+0.2
+0.4
Manchester United-0.4
-1.4
+0.2
-0.2
Everton 2 Crystal Palace 0
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Everton+1.1
+5.0
-2.7
+1.0
Crystal Palace-0.2
-1.8
+5.1
-0.8
Bournemouth 0 Southampton 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Manchester City+0.2
+0.3
Liverpool+0.2
Chelsea+0.2
Tottenham Hotspur+0.2
Arsenal+0.2
Bournemouth-0.8
-1.8
-0.2
Wolverhampton+0.2
Brighton & Hove-0.2
Southampton-0.5
+1.3
-0.2
Cardiff City-0.2
Fulham-0.2
Huddersfield Town-0.2
Newcastle United-0.2
Newcastle United 0 Brighton & Hove 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Brighton & Hove+0.5
+2.8
-5.7
+1.0
Cardiff City-0.2
Newcastle United-0.5
+7.6
-0.7
Cardiff City 4 Fulham 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Cardiff City+0.7
-8.9
+0.8
Fulham-1.2
+7.1
-0.8
Arsenal vs Leicester CityIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Arsenal13.28.86.8
47.937.732.3
0.51.11.6
5.66.67.3
Leicester City1.31.93.3
10.313.420.0
8.86.84.0
10.910.29.0
Week of 10/27
Tottenham Hotspur vs Manchester CityIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Manchester City15.119.327.0
51.758.168.3
0.40.20.1
5.24.73.9
Tottenham Hotspur18.412.39.1
56.946.139.9
0.2*0.50.8
4.85.76.3
Liverpool vs Cardiff CityHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Manchester City19.421.021.7
58.859.760.2
4.64.64.5
Liverpool25.418.415.3
66.957.251.7
0.10.20.4
4.04.85.3
Cardiff City0.00.10.2
0.91.32.6
40.635.526.5
15.715.214.1
Huddersfield Town43.844.445.6
15.916.016.0
Newcastle United48.849.450.5
16.416.416.5
Burnley vs ChelseaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Chelsea9.912.317.8
40.946.356.6
0.80.50.2
6.35.74.8
Burnley0.60.30.2
6.03.42.4
14.721.525.7
12.313.514.1
Crystal Palace vs ArsenalHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Arsenal6.98.713.1
32.637.747.6
1.7*1.10.5
7.26.65.6
Crystal Palace0.50.20.1
4.62.51.7
18.025.630.2
12.914.114.6
Fulham vs BournemouthHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Bournemouth3.64.87.6
21.725.934.8
3.32.21.1
8.68.06.9
Fulham0.20.10.0
2.61.30.9
26.635.740.9
14.115.215.7
Watford vs Huddersfield TownHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Watford5.93.62.7
29.721.517.8
1.63.14.5
7.48.69.3
Huddersfield Town0.40.71.4
51.846.436.3
16.616.215.2
Manchester United vs EvertonHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Everton2.02.84.8
14.518.225.9
5.64.12.2
9.99.28.0
Manchester United3.62.01.5
21.614.711.5
3.15.67.4
8.69.810.5
Brighton & Hove vs WolverhamptonHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Wolverhampton2.02.74.7
14.518.025.6
5.74.22.2
9.99.28.0
Brighton & Hove1.50.80.5
12.07.55.6
7.211.614.6
10.411.712.4
Leicester City vs West Ham UnitedHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Leicester City3.31.91.4
19.613.410.7
3.86.79.0
9.010.210.9
West Ham United0.10.20.4
1.72.44.5
30.625.818.1
14.714.112.9
Southampton vs Newcastle UnitedHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Southampton0.30.10.1
3.41.81.3
21.430.136.1
13.514.615.2
Newcastle United0.30.51.0
57.551.240.5
17.116.615.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you bgix for adding this league.