Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleUEFA CLChance will finish season at seedChampionship
3/18PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPI4/1
ChelseaWStoke City 2-169122-3-33892.3%+5.0100.0%+0.1927100001.1+0.07No2Crystal PalaceChelsea
Tottenham HotspurWSouthampton 2-159117-8-3344.5-0.288.3+8.04442514831002.9+0.38No1at BurnleyTottenham Hotspur
Manchester CityTLiverpool 1-157117-6-5242.2-3.175.5-3.0224282114820003.5-0.22No4at Arsenal Manchester UnitedManchester City
LiverpoolTManchester City 1-15616-8-5250.4-1.056.4-5.701120252215610004.3-0.25No3EvertonLiverpool
Manchester UnitedWMiddlesbrough 3-152214-10-3190.5-0.142.3+10.70914192221132000004.8+0.39No5at Manchester City West BromManchester United
ArsenalLWest Brom 1-350215-5-7220.1-0.627.1-13.704914202722400000005.4-0.60No6Manchester City at SouthamptonArsenal
EvertonWHull City 4-05014-8-7210.0-0.010.3+3.7013713244291000006.3+0.32No7at LiverpoolEverton
West BromWArsenal 3-14312-7-1010.00.2+0.100001312581662100000008.2+0.540.0%-0.09at Manchester UnitedWest Bromwich Albion
Stoke CityLChelsea 1-2369-9-11-9No0.0-0.0000018231915119743100011.0-0.510.5+0.28at Leicester CityStoke City
SouthamptonLTottenham Hotspur 1-23329-6-12-3No0.0-0.00000019211814119753210011.1-0.511.0+0.310Arsenal BournemouthSouthampton
BournemouthWSwansea City 2-0339-6-14-12No0.00000291213131312108521012.7+1.183.2-6.812at SouthamptonAFC Bournemouth
West HamLLeicester City 2-3339-6-14-12No0.0-0.00000291213141312107521012.7-0.613.3+0.911at Hull CityWest Ham United
WatfordLCrystal Palace 0-13118-7-13-15No0.0-0.00000271012131312119642013.1-0.635.6+1.413SunderlandWatford
BurnleyTSunderland 0-0329-5-15-11NoNo-0.0000169111213131210741013.2-0.035.2-1.115Tottenham HotspurBurnley
Leicester CityWWest Ham 3-23018-6-14-14No0.00000158101112121211952113.7+1.148.0-10.714Stoke CityLeicester City
Crystal PalaceWWatford 1-02818-4-16-10NoNo000024681012131513105214.8+1.1016.7-15.418at ChelseaCrystal Palace
Swansea CityLBournemouth 0-2278-3-18-27NoNo0000123571014191813616.4-0.6736.9+8.316MiddlesbroughSwansea City
Hull CityLEverton 0-4246-6-17-32NoNo00001123581321252117.9-0.5467.2+11.017West HamHull City
MiddlesbroughLManchester United 1-32214-10-14-13NoNo00000123581320252418.0-0.5269.0+10.220at Swansea CityMiddlesbrough
SunderlandTBurnley 0-02015-5-18-26NoNo0000001124814244518.8-0.0483.5+1.819at WatfordSunderland

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 3/4
West Ham 1 Chelsea 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Chelsea+7.0
Tottenham Hotspur-2.0
Manchester City-2.5
Arsenal-1.3
West Ham+0.6
-0.6
Sunderland 0 Manchester City 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Chelsea-2.9
Tottenham Hotspur-0.3
-1.7
Manchester City+3.7
+9.5
+0.4
Liverpool-2.3
Manchester United-2.2
Arsenal-0.2
-2.0
Leicester City-1.4
Crystal Palace-1.5
Swansea City-1.4
Hull City-1.4
Middlesbrough-1.6
Sunderland+9.1
-0.5
Tottenham Hotspur 3 Everton 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Chelsea-2.3
Tottenham Hotspur+3.1
+10.7
+0.5
Liverpool-1.6
Manchester United-1.6
Everton-5.2
-0.4
Liverpool 3 Arsenal 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Liverpool+0.8
+14.9
+0.6
Arsenal-1.5
-12.8
-0.5
Manchester United 1 Bournemouth 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Tottenham Hotspur+0.6
Manchester City+0.5
Liverpool+0.6
Manchester United-0.4
-2.5
-0.1
Arsenal+0.6
Bournemouth*No
+0.9
-0.2
West Brom 0 Crystal Palace 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
West Brom-1.1
-0.4
Bournemouth+1.4
Leicester City+2.0
Crystal Palace-13.0
+0.8
Swansea City+2.0
Hull City+2.2
Middlesbrough+2.4
Sunderland+1.8
Watford 3 Southampton 4
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Southampton-1.4
+0.9
Watford+1.6
-0.8
Stoke City 2 Middlesbrough 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Stoke City-1.0
+0.8
Leicester City-1.5
Crystal Palace-1.9
Swansea City-1.6
Hull City-1.7
Middlesbrough+10.9
-0.7
Sunderland-1.4
Swansea City 3 Burnley 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Burnley+1.8
-0.7
Leicester City+1.5
Crystal Palace+1.8
Swansea City-11.4
+0.9
Hull City+1.7
Middlesbrough+1.7
Sunderland+1.4
Leicester City 3 Hull City 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Leicester City-12.5
+0.9
Hull City+12.3
-0.7
Week of 3/11
Manchester City 0 Stoke City 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Chelsea+0.9
Manchester City-1.1
-1.0
Liverpool+0.2
Manchester United+0.2
Arsenal+0.2
Stoke City-0.1
Liverpool 2 Burnley 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Tottenham Hotspur-2.3
Manchester City-2.3
Liverpool+0.7
+13.1
+0.5
Manchester United-3.5
Arsenal-4.0
BurnleyNo
+2.4
-0.7
Everton 3 West Brom 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Everton+3.3
+0.5
West BromNo
-0.5
-0.5
Bournemouth 3 West Ham 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Bournemouth-8.5
+1.0
West Ham+1.1
-0.8
Middlesbrough+1.5
Hull City 2 Swansea City 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Swansea City+9.6
-0.8
Hull City-13.7
+0.7
Chelsea vs WatfordIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Chelsea96.491.988.5
1.01.11.1
Tottenham Hotspur2.24.76.6
WatfordNoNo0.0
9.15.71.9
13.913.312.2
Crystal Palace vs Tottenham HotspurHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Chelsea94.393.289.6
Tottenham Hotspur2.23.57.5
82.487.794.6
3.22.92.5
Liverpool57.956.554.7
4.24.34.4
Manchester United43.742.440.7
4.74.84.8
Crystal Palace8.217.624.5
13.915.015.6
Swansea City38.636.735.3
16.516.416.3
Hull City69.167.065.5
18.017.917.8
Middlesbrough70.668.867.4
18.118.018.0
Southampton vs Manchester UnitedHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Tottenham Hotspur89.788.786.6
2.82.93.0
Manchester City77.976.172.5
3.53.53.6
Liverpool59.857.352.2
4.24.34.4
Manchester United0.20.30.9
31.739.555.1
5.24.94.3
Arsenal29.127.624.6
5.35.45.5
Southampton0.20.91.9
10.311.211.8
Arsenal vs Leicester CityHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Tottenham Hotspur86.888.789.5
2.92.92.8
Manchester City73.076.177.4
3.63.53.5
Liverpool53.057.259.1
4.44.34.2
Manchester United39.742.944.3
4.94.74.7
Arsenal0.20.10.0
38.124.318.3
4.95.55.8
Leicester City12.78.33.1
14.513.912.7
Middlesbrough vs SunderlandHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Swansea City38.535.436.5
Middlesbrough55.171.980.5
17.318.118.6
Sunderland91.786.073.1
19.318.918.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Markus Paminger for adding this league.