Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleUEFA CLChance will finish season at seedChampionship
11/18PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPISaturday
Manchester CityWLeicester City 2-03411-1-03356.0%+4.691.1%+3.4561910632110000000000002.1+0.270.0%-0.01at Huddersfield TownManchester City
Manchester UnitedWNewcastle United 4-1268-2-22112.3+1.356.8+6.712171512108654322111000004.8+0.690.2-0.46Brighton & HoveManchester United
ChelseaWWest Brom 4-0258-1-3139.1+0.950.4+6.79151412109765432211100005.3+0.770.4-0.63at LiverpoolChelsea
Tottenham HotspurLArsenal 0-2237-2-3115.8-5.038.7-11.06101111109876543322110006.4-0.850.8+0.25West BromTottenham Hotspur
LiverpoolWSouthampton 3-0226-4-274.2+0.533.0+5.3491010109876654332111007.0+0.941.3-1.62ChelseaLiverpool
ArsenalWTottenham Hotspur 2-0227-1-464.3+0.432.9+5.2491010109876654332111007.0+0.921.2-1.64at BurnleyArsenal
BurnleyWSwansea City 2-0226-4-234.2+0.432.7+5.3491010109876654332211007.0+0.931.2-1.77ArsenalBurnley
WatfordWWest Ham United 2-0185-3-4-21.3+0.115.5+3.0135677888776654432219.5+1.104.8-4.38at Newcastle UnitedWatford
Brighton & HoveTStoke City 2-2164-4-400.7-0.510.1-2.71234566777777665543210.7-0.208.2-0.711at Manchester UnitedBrighton & Hove
Huddersfield TownLBournemouth 0-4154-3-5-90.5-0.77.5-4.90123456677777776654211.5-0.8810.9+1.814Manchester CityHuddersfield Town
Newcastle UnitedLManchester United 1-4144-2-6-30.4-0.65.9-4.20123345667777777665312.1-0.8613.6+2.216WatfordNewcastle United
Leicester CityLManchester City 0-2133-4-5-20.2-0.44.5-3.40112344566777787776412.7-0.8216.9+2.612at West Ham UnitedLeicester City
BournemouthWHuddersfield Town 4-0134-1-7-30.2+0.04.5+1.10112344566777887776412.7+1.1517.0-9.59at Swansea CityAFC Bournemouth
SouthamptonLLiverpool 0-3133-4-5-50.2-0.44.5-3.40112344566777888776412.7-0.8317.0+2.717EvertonSouthampton
Stoke CityTBrighton & Hove 2-2133-4-5-90.2-0.24.4-1.50112344566777888776512.7-0.1417.4-0.910at Crystal PalaceStoke City
EvertonTCrystal Palace 2-2123-3-6-120.1-0.13.2-1.20112234456677888888613.4-0.1221.6-1.013at SouthamptonEverton
West BromLChelsea 0-4102-4-6-90.1-0.11.8-1.70011122344567789910101014.6-0.7330.5+4.215at Tottenham HotspurWest Bromwich Albion
West Ham UnitedLWatford 0-292-3-7-140.1-0.11.2-1.300011122344567891011121315.2-0.6736.2+4.420Leicester CityWest Ham United
Swansea CityLBurnley 0-282-2-8-80.0-0.10.9-1.000001122334556791012141615.7-0.6341.3+4.819BournemouthSwansea City
Crystal PalaceTEverton 2-251-2-9-180.0-0.00.3-0.20000001112234467912173017.1-0.0359.5-0.618Stoke CityCrystal Palace

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/18
Leicester City 0 Manchester City 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Manchester City+8.2
+4.5
+0.4
Manchester United-1.6
Chelsea-1.3
Tottenham Hotspur-1.6
Liverpool-0.7
Arsenal-0.7
Burnley-0.7
Leicester City-0.4
-2.8
+4.3
-0.9
Bournemouth-0.4
West Brom-0.4
West Ham United-0.4
Swansea City-0.5
Crystal Palace-0.5
Manchester United 4 Newcastle United 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Manchester City-1.6
-0.3
Manchester United+4.0
+9.3
-0.4
+0.8
Chelsea-0.4
-0.7
Tottenham Hotspur-0.5
-0.7
Liverpool-0.2
-0.6
Arsenal-0.2
-0.6
Burnley-0.2
-0.6
Newcastle United-0.5
-3.6
+3.7
-0.9
Crystal Palace-0.4
West Brom 0 Chelsea 4
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Manchester City-1.4
-0.4
Manchester United-0.4
-0.9
Chelsea+3.2
+9.0
-0.6
+0.9
Tottenham Hotspur-0.4
-0.9
Liverpool-0.2
-0.7
Arsenal-0.2
-0.7
Burnley-0.2
-0.7
Leicester City-0.3
-0.4
Bournemouth-0.6
Southampton-0.3
-0.4
Stoke City-0.2
-0.4
Everton-0.2
-0.5
West Brom-1.5
+6.2
-0.9
West Ham United-0.6
Swansea City-0.6
Crystal Palace-0.7
Arsenal 2 Tottenham Hotspur 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Manchester City+0.5
Tottenham Hotspur-2.6
-8.3
+0.3
-0.7
Arsenal+1.5
+7.9
-1.2
+1.0
Liverpool 3 Southampton 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Manchester City-0.6
-0.3
Manchester United-0.2
-0.6
Chelsea-0.6
Tottenham Hotspur-0.2
-0.6
Liverpool+1.8
+7.9
-1.5
+1.0
Southampton-0.3
-2.9
+4.5
-1.0
Burnley 2 Swansea City 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Manchester City-0.7
-0.4
Manchester United-0.2
-0.8
Chelsea-0.2
-0.8
Tottenham Hotspur-0.2
-0.8
Liverpool-0.6
Arsenal-0.6
Burnley+1.8
+7.7
-1.5
+1.0
Leicester City-0.3
-0.4
Bournemouth-0.6
Southampton-0.3
-0.4
Stoke City-0.2
-0.5
Everton-0.5
West Brom-0.6
West Ham United-0.6
Swansea City-0.9
+7.2
-0.8
Crystal Palace-0.7
Bournemouth 4 Huddersfield Town 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Huddersfield Town-0.5
-3.8
+3.5
-1.0
Bournemouth+0.2
+1.9
-7.5
+1.1
Crystal Palace+0.5
Watford 2 West Ham United 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Chelsea-0.5
Watford+0.5
+4.4
-3.5
+1.1
West Brom-0.3
West Ham United-1.0
+6.9
-0.8
Swansea City-0.5
Crystal Palace-0.4
Brighton & Hove 2 Stoke City 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Brighton & Hove-0.2
-1.1
+0.3
-0.2
Stoke City-0.7
+0.8
-0.2
Crystal Palace 2 Everton 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Everton-0.6
+0.8
-0.2
Crystal Palace+1.8
-0.2
Week of 11/25
Huddersfield Town vs Manchester CityIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Manchester City49.154.564.2
87.890.894.7
2.32.11.7
Manchester United13.912.710.3
56.857.056.8
Chelsea10.59.57.5
50.350.550.3
Tottenham Hotspur6.66.04.7
*38.738.838.6
Huddersfield Town0.90.40.2
11.06.64.8
6.811.514.6
10.411.712.3
Manchester United vs Brighton & HoveHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Manchester City54.056.757.5
90.991.391.3
Manchester United16.611.28.9
66.155.348.9
0.10.20.4
4.14.95.5
Brighton & Hove0.30.61.2
6.59.014.6
11.28.64.9
11.610.99.6
Liverpool vs ChelseaHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Chelsea6.28.212.8
41.748.760.3
0.60.40.1
6.15.54.5
Liverpool6.43.72.5
42.231.225.2
0.61.31.9
6.07.17.8
Burnley vs ArsenalHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Arsenal2.63.76.3
25.231.242.0
1.91.30.6
7.87.16.0
Burnley6.33.72.6
41.831.025.1
0.51.31.9
6.07.27.8
Tottenham Hotspur vs West BromHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Manchester City54.956.456.9
90.791.291.4
Tottenham Hotspur8.35.13.9
47.536.831.4
0.30.81.4
5.56.57.1
West Brom0.91.42.9
37.331.922.6
15.414.813.6
Newcastle United vs WatfordHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Watford0.71.12.1
10.914.121.2
6.94.92.5
10.49.78.4
Newcastle United0.60.30.2
8.95.13.6
8.714.218.0
10.912.313.0
Southampton vs EvertonHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Southampton0.40.20.1
6.83.82.8
11.017.722.5
11.612.913.6
Everton0.10.10.3
1.92.75.0
27.722.514.7
14.313.612.3
Swansea City vs BournemouthHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Bournemouth0.10.20.4
2.83.86.8
22.717.610.9
13.612.911.6
Swansea City1.50.70.4
31.942.949.4
14.715.816.4
West Ham United vs Leicester CityHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Leicester City0.10.20.4
2.83.86.8
22.617.510.9
13.612.911.6
West Ham United2.01.00.6
27.237.644.0
14.215.416.0
Crystal Palace vs Stoke CityHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Stoke City0.10.20.4
2.73.86.6
23.118.011.2
13.713.011.7
Crystal Palace0.50.20.1
50.061.367.4
16.417.317.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Markus Paminger for adding this league.