How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 7/30 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| GLF 3 FightingSquirrels 8 | -4.5 | -0.3 | ||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Magoos vs Hogbuffs | -5.0*-0.2+2.1 | -0.1-0.0+0.0 | ||
| Triceratopshelf vs FightingSquirrels | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 8/6 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| GLF vs MooseKnuckles | +5.8-1.4-14.9 | +0.1-0.0-0.3 | ||
| Triceratopshelf vs IceFortune | +2.3-3.1-13.5 | +0.0-0.0-0.2 | ||
| Magoos vs DraughtKings | -1.3+1.4+2.5 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the GLF finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chowder | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | T | playoffs | Cup | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | Count | ||||||
| 19 | 3 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | In | No | 96 | 4 | 107,416 | |||||||||||
| 18 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | In | No | 74 | 26 | 85,251 | |||||||||||
| 17 | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 99.6 | % | No | 41 | 58 | 0 | 0 | 443,389 | ||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 99.8 | No | 43 | 57 | 0 | 21,324 | |||||||||||
| 16 | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 97.8 | No | 15 | 83 | 2 | 0 | 215,526 | |||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | 97.2 | No | 9 | 88 | 3 | 1,657 | |||||||||||
| 15 | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 87.2 | No | 3 | 85 | 12 | 0 | 530,312 | |||||||||
| 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | 86.8 | No | 2 | 84 | 13 | 0 | 24,047 | ||||||||||
| 14 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | 70.6 | No | 71 | 27 | 2 | 107,194 | ||||||||||
| 13 | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 47.0 | No | 47 | 44 | 9 | 142,068 | ||||||||||
| Total: | 89.0 | % | No | 24 | 65 | 10 | 1 | 1,678,184 | |||||||||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 7/30 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| GLF 3 FightingSquirrels 8 | +2.3 | |
| LuckyDawgs 3 Haulers 5 | -0.1 | |
| BaldEagles 6 HighWide 14 | -0.1 | |
| IceAge 6 Beavers 4 | +0.1 | |
| VegasFightingIrish 6 Rippers 6 (ot) | +0.0 | |
| SurgeMetro 6 Mohawks 2 | +0.0 | |
| LuckyDawgs 8 Brewskis 3 | +0.0 | |
| ColtonsCrusaders 2 SurgeSouth 7 | +0.0 | |
| GLP 2 FightingSioux 5 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| DraughtKings vs Chiefs | -0.2-0.0+0.0 | |
| BaldEagles vs ColtonsCrusaders | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | |
| HumongousMelonheads vs TupsNaturalIce | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
| PourSports vs Ticklefight | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | |
| Triceratopshelf vs FightingSquirrels | -0.0+0.1+0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 8/6 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| GLF vs MooseKnuckles | -1.4+0.7+3.4 | |
| GLP vs SurgeSouth | -0.1-0.3+0.1 | |
| SurgeMetro vs HumongousMelonheads | -0.1+0.0+0.2 | |
| PalmaDentalLab vs Rippers | -0.1+0.1+0.2 | |
| Cyclones vs AnnasHarborsideGrille | -0.1-0.0+0.2 | |
| IceAge vs FightingSioux | +0.2+0.1-0.1 | |
| Haulers vs Brewskis | -0.1+0.0+0.2 | |
| Triceratopshelf vs IceFortune | -0.0+0.0+0.2 | |
| HighWide vs Ticklefight | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |
| Ducks vs HumongousMelonheads | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |
| Beavers vs Chiefs | -0.1-0.0+0.0 | |
| BaghdadBandits vs WoodfordLawBoxers | +0.0*-0.0-0.1 | |
| Ducks vs Mohawks | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | |
| TupsNaturalIce vs VegasFightingIrish | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | |
| PlymouthCountyAllStars vs PalmaDentalLab | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | |
| FightingSioux vs DraughtKings | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | |
| FHTP vs PourSports | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | |
| BaghdadBandits vs WeathervaneRangers | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | |
| HighWide vs Chiefs | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | |
| SurgeMetro vs WashedUpSquad | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 37 | 38 | 39 | 40 | 41 | 42 | 43 | 44 | |||
| 19 | 3 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 27 | 24 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 27 | 25 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 17 | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 23 | 27 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 24 | 27 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 24 | 26 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 29 | 18 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 15 | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 24 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 23 | 24 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 24 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 25 | 21 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Updated Monday, 2019-8-5 2:47 AM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
