How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 5/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
VegasFightingIrish vs Brewskis+10.5-0.8-18.1
+0.5-0.1-0.9
TupsNaturalIce vs Rippers+1.3*-0.1-8.0
+0.0-0.0-0.2
Hogbuffs vs IceFortune+1.2-1.3-4.8
CoopsTroop vs LuckyDawgs-0.5*-0.3+0.4
-0.1+0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 5/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
CoopsTroop vs VegasFightingIrish-11.7+0.7+16.0
-0.7-0.1+1.0
Cashholes vs IceFortune+1.5-0.7-6.9
+0.0-0.0-0.2
PuckNSuds vs Rippers-2.2+0.9+4.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Hogbuffs vs NattyBeavers-0.6-0.4+0.4
-0.2-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the VegasFightingIrish finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChowderChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTTplayoffsCup123456789101112131415161718192021Count
630-00InNo0116582320210,744
520-01100.0%No0331432130125,876
421-0099.0No324521910508,299
10-0299.3No7284618124,477
311-0178.7No032353201191,745
00-0379.0No010682011,593
212-0039.8No02384911355,053
01-0240.7No41471217,959
102-011.9No2544465,431
003-00OutNo237776,503
Total:73.9%No002111523221881,577,680
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 5/23100.0*Lottery seed
VegasFightingIrish vs Brewskis-3.2+1.0+5.3
RoyalDangleBerries vs NESHLSouth+0.2+0.1-0.1
SurgeSouth vs GoonSquad-0.1+0.0+0.2
GunnersHC vs NESHLSouth+0.2+0.0-0.1
TwistedWristers vs NESHLSouth+0.2+0.0-0.1
GLP vs Chiefs-0.1+0.1+0.2
TupsNaturalIce vs Rippers-0.0-0.1+0.1
CoopsTroop vs LuckyDawgs+0.0-0.2+0.0
IceAge vs Wolfhounds+0.2+0.0-0.1
LuckyDawgs vs NESHLSouth+0.1-0.0-0.1
Cyclones vs NESHLSouth+0.1+0.0-0.0
Haulers vs ShowPonyLifestyle-0.1+0.1+0.1
Squires vs ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy-0.0+0.0+0.1
FightingSioux vs MooseKnuckles-0.0+0.1+0.1
Rangers vs IceTurkeys-0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 5/30100.0*Lottery seed
CoopsTroop vs VegasFightingIrish+3.4-0.2-4.6
ColtonsCrusaders vs Ticklefight+0.4+0.2-0.1
WeathervaneRangers vs ATCJets-0.1+0.1+0.4
Rangers vs BostonianBarberShop+0.4+0.1-0.0
PuckNSuds vs Rippers+0.1-0.2-0.1
GoonSquad vs Ticklefight+0.2+0.1-0.1
GoonSquad vs BostonianBarberShop+0.2+0.1-0.1
Brewskis vs TwistedWristers-0.1+0.1+0.1
GunnersHC vs NESHLSouth+0.2+0.1-0.1
Hogbuffs vs NattyBeavers+0.2+0.1-0.1
Chiefs vs SurgeSouth+0.2+0.1-0.1
Wolfhounds vs ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy-0.1+0.0+0.2
Bruins vs WoodfordLawBoxers-0.1+0.1+0.2
Haulers vs ShowPonyLifestyle-0.1+0.0+0.1
GLP vs Cyclones-0.0+0.0+0.2
Cashholes vs IceFortune-0.0+0.0+0.2
Squires vs NESHLSouth+0.0-0.0-0.1
FightingSioux vs HighWide+0.1+0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OTT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940
630-000001491621201583100
520-0100138152121169410000
421-00000138141717151174100000
10-02001381418181511631000
311-010001371216171613841000
00-0302510181819149411
212-00000149162120159410
01-0200039182120159410
102-010014112330237
003-0002123353
Total:0000112333334566654333455543333