Ice Fortune Playoff Chances 2017
Did not play, playoff odds up 0.04 to 12.8%
0 points 0 2-0 0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 5/23 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Hogbuffs vs IceFortune | -9.1+3.5+40.8 | -0.3+0.2+1.3 | ||
| VegasFightingIrish vs Brewskis | -2.3-0.7+4.2 | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | ||
| TupsNaturalIce vs Rippers | +0.7-1.4-3.1 | +0.0-0.1-0.2 | ||
| CoopsTroop vs LuckyDawgs | -0.1*-0.2+0.2 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 5/30 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Cashholes vs IceFortune | -5.2+3.5+22.6 | -0.2+0.2+0.9 | ||
| Hogbuffs vs NattyBeavers | -3.4-2.6+2.1 | -0.1-0.0+0.0 | ||
| CoopsTroop vs VegasFightingIrish | +2.2-1.7-2.6 | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | ||
| PuckNSuds vs Rippers | -1.0-0.3+2.0 | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | ||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the IceFortune finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chowder | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | T | playoffs | Cup | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | Count | ||||||
| 6 | 3 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | In | No | 0 | 3 | 21 | 50 | 25 | 1 | 3,195 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 99.8 | % | No | 0 | 20 | 51 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 7,897 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 96.0 | No | 3 | 32 | 40 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 62,430 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 95.3 | No | 2 | 27 | 42 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 6,215 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 56.3 | No | 0 | 2 | 15 | 39 | 37 | 7 | 96,768 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | 52.2 | No | 2 | 12 | 38 | 41 | 7 | 1,578 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 18.0 | No | 0 | 2 | 16 | 56 | 26 | 371,922 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | 6.7 | No | 7 | 61 | 32 | 36,199 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | 0.3 | No | 0 | 31 | 69 | 279,153 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | No | 2 | 98 | 712,323 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 12.8 | % | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 64 | 1,577,680 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 5/23 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Hogbuffs vs IceFortune | +1.3-1.1-5.4 | |
| Cyclones vs NESHLSouth | +0.3+0.1-0.1 | |
| TwistedWristers vs NESHLSouth | +0.2+0.1-0.1 | |
| IceAge vs Wolfhounds | +0.2+0.0-0.1 | |
| ATCJets vs WoodfordLawBoxers | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | |
| RoyalDangleBerries vs NESHLSouth | +0.2+0.1-0.1 | |
| TupsNaturalIce vs Rippers | -0.0+0.1+0.1 | |
| GLP vs Chiefs | -0.0+0.1+0.1 | |
| VegasFightingIrish vs Brewskis | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |
| Rangers vs IceTurkeys | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |
| SurgeSouth vs GoonSquad | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |
| FightingSioux vs MooseKnuckles | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | |
| Squires vs ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 5/30 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Cashholes vs IceFortune | +1.1-1.1-4.7 | |
| GLP vs Cyclones | -0.1+0.2+0.3 | |
| Brewskis vs TwistedWristers | -0.2+0.0+0.2 | |
| WeathervaneRangers vs ATCJets | -0.0+0.1+0.2 | |
| Hogbuffs vs NattyBeavers | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | |
| Chiefs vs SurgeSouth | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | |
| Rangers vs BostonianBarberShop | +0.2+0.1-0.0 | |
| Wolfhounds vs ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |
| PuckNSuds vs Rippers | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | |
| CoopsTroop vs VegasFightingIrish | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |
| GoonSquad vs Ticklefight | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | |
| GoonSquad vs BostonianBarberShop | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | |
| ColtonsCrusaders vs Ticklefight | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 37 | 38 | 39 | 40 | |||
| 6 | 3 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 18 | 17 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 21 | 20 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 15 | 19 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 20 | 19 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 22 | 22 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 29 | 29 | 13 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 64 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 31 | ||||||||||||||||
Updated Saturday, 2023-10-21 11:19 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
