"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 5/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Hogbuffs vs IceFortune-9.1+3.5+40.8
-0.3+0.2+1.3
VegasFightingIrish vs Brewskis-2.3-0.7+4.2
-0.1-0.0+0.1
TupsNaturalIce vs Rippers+0.7-1.4-3.1
+0.0-0.1-0.2
CoopsTroop vs LuckyDawgs-0.1*-0.2+0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 5/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cashholes vs IceFortune-5.2+3.5+22.6
-0.2+0.2+0.9
Hogbuffs vs NattyBeavers-3.4-2.6+2.1
-0.1-0.0+0.0
CoopsTroop vs VegasFightingIrish+2.2-1.7-2.6
+0.1-0.0-0.1
PuckNSuds vs Rippers-1.0-0.3+2.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the IceFortune finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChowderChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTTplayoffsCup123456789101112131415161718192021Count
630-00InNo0321502513,195
520-0199.8%No0205125407,897
421-0096.0No33240214062,430
10-0295.3No2274224506,215
311-0156.3No02153937796,768
00-0352.2No212384171,578
212-0018.0No02165626371,922
01-026.7No7613236,199
102-010.3No03169279,153
003-00OutNo298712,323
Total:12.8%No000023724641,577,680
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 5/23100.0*Lottery seed
Hogbuffs vs IceFortune+1.3-1.1-5.4
Cyclones vs NESHLSouth+0.3+0.1-0.1
TwistedWristers vs NESHLSouth+0.2+0.1-0.1
IceAge vs Wolfhounds+0.2+0.0-0.1
ATCJets vs WoodfordLawBoxers+0.1+0.1-0.1
RoyalDangleBerries vs NESHLSouth+0.2+0.1-0.1
TupsNaturalIce vs Rippers-0.0+0.1+0.1
GLP vs Chiefs-0.0+0.1+0.1
VegasFightingIrish vs Brewskis+0.1+0.0-0.1
Rangers vs IceTurkeys+0.1+0.0-0.1
SurgeSouth vs GoonSquad-0.1+0.0+0.1
FightingSioux vs MooseKnuckles-0.0+0.1+0.0
Squires vs ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy-0.0+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 5/30100.0*Lottery seed
Cashholes vs IceFortune+1.1-1.1-4.7
GLP vs Cyclones-0.1+0.2+0.3
Brewskis vs TwistedWristers-0.2+0.0+0.2
WeathervaneRangers vs ATCJets-0.0+0.1+0.2
Hogbuffs vs NattyBeavers+0.1+0.1-0.1
Chiefs vs SurgeSouth+0.1+0.1-0.1
Rangers vs BostonianBarberShop+0.2+0.1-0.0
Wolfhounds vs ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy-0.1+0.0+0.1
PuckNSuds vs Rippers+0.0+0.1-0.0
CoopsTroop vs VegasFightingIrish-0.1+0.0+0.1
GoonSquad vs Ticklefight+0.1+0.0-0.0
GoonSquad vs BostonianBarberShop+0.1+0.0-0.0
ColtonsCrusaders vs Ticklefight+0.1+0.0-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OTT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940
630-0000138131817151283200
520-010014101721201483100
421-0000014712141515139631000
10-020125914161614117310
311-0100001471216181713831000
00-03014816151914126310
212-000001361117201914720
01-020013917222215820
102-01002818292913
003-000162964
Total:00000000000000111111112345667101931