Toronto Maple Leafs Playoff Chances 1
Beat Stars 1-0, playoff odds up 23.9 to 73.9%
2 points 1 0-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 12/21 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Division II | 100.0* | Disbanded | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Maple Leafs 1 Stars 0 | +10.5 | +8.0 | -8.0 | +0.6 | ||||
| Hurricanes 0 Canucks 2 | +0.1 | +0.1 | -0.1 | +0.0 | ||||
| Blackhawks 1 Red Wings 2 | +0.1 | |||||||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | ||||||||
| Islanders vs Bruins | +0.1-1.3-1.1+0.1 | +0.1-1.2-1.0+0.1 | *-0.0+0.6+0.5-0.0 | *+0.0-0.1-0.1*+0.0 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | ||||||||
| Week of 12/28 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Division II | 100.0* | Disbanded | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Red Wings vs Maple Leafs | -8.9-0.4+7.2+8.5 | -11.9-2.3+8.8+11.5 | +3.6-0.3-3.2-3.5 | -0.5-0.1+0.4+0.5 | ||||
| Canucks vs Islanders | +0.3-1.0-1.4-0.2 | -0.4-1.5-1.3+0.7 | -0.2+0.3+0.5+0.2 | -0.0-0.1-0.1+0.0 | ||||
| Bruins vs Hurricanes | -0.1-0.9-1.0+0.2 | -0.5-0.9-0.4+0.7 | -0.2+0.4+0.8+0.2 | |||||
| Stars vs Blackhawks | +0.2-0.8-1.0-0.1 | +0.1-0.3-0.6-0.1 | *+0.0+0.6+0.8-0.1 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Maple Leafs finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Division | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | playoffs | II | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | Disbanded | Count | ||||||
| 27 | -28 | In | Yes | 100 | No | 13,766 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 26 | 12 | 1 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 62,119 | ||||||||||||
| 11 | 0 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 100 | No | 798 | ||||||||||||||
| 25 | 11 | 1 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 30,464 | ||||||||||||
| 10 | 0 | - | 3 | In | Yes | 99 | 1 | No | 130 | |||||||||||||
| 24 | 11 | 2 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 99 | 1 | No | 289,201 | ||||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 98 | 2 | No | 6,773 | * | ||||||||||||
| 23 | 10 | 2 | - | 1 | In | 100.0 | % | 96 | 4 | 0 | No | 128,750 | ||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | - | 3 | In | Yes | 94 | 6 | No | 937 | * | ||||||||||||
| 22 | 10 | 3 | - | 0 | In | 99.9 | 90 | 9 | 0 | No | 819,031 | |||||||||||
| 9 | 2 | - | 2 | In | 99.8 | 89 | 11 | 0 | No | 25,987 | * | |||||||||||
| 21 | 9 | 3 | - | 1 | In | 99.4 | 79 | 20 | 1 | 0 | No | 330,878 | ||||||||||
| 8 | 2 | - | 3 | In | 98.9 | 75 | 24 | 1 | No | 3,193 | * | |||||||||||
| 20 | 9 | 4 | - | 0 | In | 97.1 | 63 | 34 | 3 | 0 | No | 1,574,743 | ||||||||||
| 8 | 3 | - | 2 | In | 95.7 | 59 | 37 | 4 | 0 | No | 60,042 | |||||||||||
| 7 | 2 | - | 4 | In | 93.4 | 53 | 41 | 7 | No | 271 | ||||||||||||
| 19 | 8 | 4 | - | 1 | 100.0 | % | 89.1 | 40 | 49 | 11 | 0 | 0 | No | 573,674 | ||||||||
| 7 | 3 | - | 3 | In | 84.6 | 34 | 51 | 15 | 1 | No | 6,640 | * | ||||||||||
| 18 | 8 | 5 | - | 0 | 100.0 | 71.8 | 21 | 51 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 2,178,511 | ||||||||
| 7 | 4 | - | 2 | 99.9 | 65.6 | 17 | 49 | 30 | 4 | 0 | No | 92,319 | ||||||||||
| 6 | 3 | - | 4 | 99.6 | 60.5 | 13 | 47 | 32 | 7 | 0 | No | 468 | ||||||||||
| 17 | 7 | 5 | - | 1 | 99.4 | 40.8 | 5 | 36 | 46 | 13 | 1 | 0 | No | 703,232 | ||||||||
| 6 | 4 | - | 3 | 98.8 | 33.3 | 3 | 30 | 47 | 18 | 1 | No | 8,782 | * | |||||||||
| 16 | 7 | 6 | - | 0 | 94.2 | 17.3 | 1 | 16 | 45 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 2,233,113 | ||||||
| 6 | 5 | - | 2 | 90.8 | 12.2 | 1 | 12 | 41 | 37 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 99,212 | ||||||||
| 5 | 4 | - | 4 | 87.3 | 9.4 | 0 | 9 | 40 | 38 | 12 | 1 | No | 521 | * | ||||||||
| 15 | 6 | 6 | - | 1 | 72.7 | 1.6 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 49 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 626,779 | |||||||
| 5 | 5 | - | 3 | 63.6 | 0.7 | 1 | 15 | 48 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 0.1 | 8,073 | * | ||||||||
| 14 | 6 | 7 | - | 0 | 40.3 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 33 | 43 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | 1,703,225 | ||||||
| 5 | 6 | - | 2 | 31.3 | 0.1 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 46 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 2.2 | 76,258 | ||||||||
| 4 | 5 | - | 4 | 23.3 | No | 2 | 21 | 43 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 5.2 | 403 | |||||||||
| 13 | 5 | 7 | - | 1 | 8.6 | No | 0 | 8 | 40 | 42 | 10 | 0 | 10.0 | 410,911 | ||||||||
| 4 | 6 | - | 3 | 5.2 | No | 0 | 5 | 33 | 47 | 15 | 0 | 15.0 | 5,039 | * | ||||||||
| 12 | 5 | 8 | - | 0 | 2.2 | No | 0 | 2 | 20 | 46 | 28 | 3 | 31.2 | 976,387 | ||||||||
| 4 | 7 | - | 2 | 1.2 | No | 0 | 1 | 15 | 44 | 34 | 6 | 39.3 | 41,283 | |||||||||
| 3 | 6 | - | 4 | 0.6 | No | 1 | 11 | 42 | 38 | 9 | 46.9 | 179 | ||||||||||
| 11 | 4 | 8 | - | 1 | 0.1 | No | 0 | 4 | 31 | 50 | 16 | 65.4 | 196,150 | |||||||||
| 3 | 7 | - | 3 | Out | No | 2 | 28 | 51 | 20 | 70.6 | 2,243 | * | ||||||||||
| 10 | 4 | 9 | - | 0 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 1 | 16 | 50 | 32 | 82.8 | 414,327 | |||||||||
| 3 | 8 | - | 2 | Out | No | 1 | 12 | 48 | 39 | 86.9 | 15,817 | * | ||||||||||
| 9 | 3 | 9 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 4 | 38 | 59 | 96.1 | 66,266 | ||||||||||
| 2 | 8 | - | 3 | Out | No | 2 | 36 | 62 | 97.9 | 652 | * | |||||||||||
| 8 | 3 | 10 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 25 | 73 | 98.6 | 125,981 | ||||||||||
| 2 | 9 | - | 2 | Out | No | 1 | 21 | 78 | 99.1 | 4,180 | * | |||||||||||
| 7 | 2 | 10 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 10 | 89 | 99.9 | 15,142 | * | ||||||||||
| 6 | 2 | 11 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 6 | 94 | 100.0 | 26,009 | |||||||||||
| 1 | 10 | - | 2 | Out | No | 5 | 95 | Yes | 600 | * | ||||||||||||
| 5 | 1 | 11 | - | 1 | Out | No | 2 | 98 | Yes | 2,033 | * | |||||||||||
| 4 | 1 | 12 | - | 0 | Out | No | 1 | 99 | Yes | 3,317 | * | |||||||||||
| 2 | -3 | Out | No | 100 | Yes | 4,663 | * | |||||||||||||||
| Total: | 73.9 | % | 44.0 | % | 24 | 20 | 17 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8.0 | % | 13,969,472 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 12:50 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
