Toronto Maple Leafs Playoff Chances 1 50/50
Beat Stars 1-0, playoff odds up 10.5 to 60.5%
2 points 1 0-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 12/21 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Division II | 100.0* | Disbanded | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Maple Leafs 1 Stars 0 | +10.4 | +8.1 | -8.1 | +0.6 | ||||
| Blackhawks 1 Red Wings 2 | *+0.1 | *+0.1 | *-0.1 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | ||||||||
| Islanders vs Bruins | +0.1-1.1-1.3*+0.0 | *-0.0+0.8+1.0*-0.0 | ||||||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | ||||||||
| Week of 12/28 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Division II | 100.0* | Disbanded | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Red Wings vs Maple Leafs | -10.8-1.0+8.5+10.4 | -10.4-2.0+8.0+10.0 | +6.7*+0.0-5.3-6.4 | -0.6-0.1+0.5+0.6 | ||||
| Canucks vs Islanders | +0.1-1.3-1.3*+0.0 | -0.1-1.3-1.1+0.3 | -0.2+0.8+0.7+0.1 | +0.0-0.1-0.1+0.0 | ||||
| Stars vs Blackhawks | *+0.1-0.8-1.4*+0.0 | +0.1-0.5-1.0*-0.0 | +0.1+0.9+1.0-0.2 | +0.0-0.0-0.1+0.0 | ||||
| Bruins vs Hurricanes | *+0.1-1.2-1.0*+0.1 | -0.2-0.9-0.6+0.3 | -0.2+0.9+0.6+0.1 | +0.0-0.1-0.1+0.0 | ||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Maple Leafs finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Division | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | playoffs | II | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | Disbanded | Count | ||||||
| 27 | -28 | In | Yes | 100 | No | 2,247 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 26 | 12 | 1 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 6,584 | ||||||||||||
| 11 | 0 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 100 | No | 102 | ||||||||||||||
| 25 | 11 | 1 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 3,881 | * | |||||||||||
| 24 | 11 | 2 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 99 | 1 | No | 37,100 | ||||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 1,130 | * | ||||||||||||
| 23 | 10 | 2 | - | 1 | In | 100.0 | % | 98 | 2 | 0 | No | 20,370 | ||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | - | 3 | In | Yes | 96 | 4 | No | 189 | |||||||||||||
| 22 | 10 | 3 | - | 0 | In | 100.0 | 95 | 5 | 0 | No | 129,140 | |||||||||||
| 9 | 2 | - | 2 | In | 99.9 | 93 | 7 | 0 | No | 5,129 | * | |||||||||||
| 21 | 9 | 3 | - | 1 | In | 99.8 | 87 | 13 | 0 | No | 64,633 | |||||||||||
| 8 | 2 | - | 3 | In | 99.8 | 86 | 13 | 0 | No | 802 | * | |||||||||||
| 20 | 9 | 4 | - | 0 | In | 98.7 | 74 | 25 | 1 | 0 | No | 306,571 | ||||||||||
| 8 | 3 | - | 2 | In | 97.8 | 69 | 28 | 2 | 0 | No | 14,752 | * | ||||||||||
| 19 | 8 | 4 | - | 1 | In | 93.9 | 52 | 42 | 6 | 0 | No | 137,654 | ||||||||||
| 7 | 3 | - | 3 | In | 92.2 | 46 | 46 | 7 | 0 | No | 1,965 | * | ||||||||||
| 18 | 8 | 5 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 80.4 | 30 | 50 | 18 | 1 | 0 | No | 527,243 | ||||||||
| 7 | 4 | - | 2 | 99.9 | 75.4 | 25 | 50 | 22 | 2 | 0 | No | 27,910 | ||||||||||
| 6 | 3 | - | 4 | In | 66.2 | 15 | 51 | 30 | 4 | No | 148 | |||||||||||
| 17 | 7 | 5 | - | 1 | 99.6 | 51.1 | 9 | 43 | 40 | 9 | 0 | 0 | No | 209,762 | ||||||||
| 6 | 4 | - | 3 | 99.3 | 42.2 | 5 | 37 | 45 | 12 | 1 | No | 3,227 | * | |||||||||
| 16 | 7 | 6 | - | 0 | 95.4 | 22.6 | 2 | 21 | 45 | 28 | 4 | 0 | No | 664,830 | ||||||||
| 6 | 5 | - | 2 | 92.5 | 16.7 | 1 | 16 | 42 | 33 | 7 | 0 | No | 36,657 | |||||||||
| 5 | 4 | - | 4 | 87.0 | 12.1 | 0 | 12 | 40 | 35 | 12 | 1 | No | 239 | |||||||||
| 15 | 6 | 6 | - | 1 | 74.2 | 2.1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 48 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 232,403 | ||||||
| 5 | 5 | - | 3 | 64.3 | 0.7 | 1 | 17 | 47 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 0.2 | 3,634 | * | ||||||||
| 14 | 6 | 7 | - | 0 | 38.5 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 32 | 43 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 1.5 | 631,324 | ||||||
| 5 | 6 | - | 2 | 28.8 | 0.1 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 45 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 3.1 | 34,717 | ||||||||
| 4 | 5 | - | 4 | 15.6 | No | 2 | 14 | 46 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 7.4 | 257 | |||||||||
| 13 | 5 | 7 | - | 1 | 6.3 | No | 0 | 6 | 35 | 45 | 13 | 1 | 14.0 | 189,372 | ||||||||
| 4 | 6 | - | 3 | 3.3 | No | 0 | 3 | 28 | 49 | 19 | 1 | 20.3 | 2,896 | * | ||||||||
| 12 | 5 | 8 | - | 0 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 43 | 34 | 6 | 40.2 | 450,401 | |||||||
| 4 | 7 | - | 2 | 0.5 | No | 1 | 10 | 40 | 41 | 9 | 49.6 | 23,466 | ||||||||||
| 3 | 6 | - | 4 | Out | No | 10 | 32 | 43 | 15 | 58.0 | 157 | |||||||||||
| 11 | 4 | 8 | - | 1 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 2 | 22 | 52 | 24 | 75.8 | 112,428 | |||||||||
| 3 | 7 | - | 3 | Out | No | 1 | 17 | 52 | 29 | 81.8 | 1,560 | * | ||||||||||
| 10 | 4 | 9 | - | 0 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 10 | 46 | 43 | 89.5 | 236,854 | |||||||||
| 3 | 8 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 7 | 43 | 51 | 93.1 | 11,281 | * | ||||||||||
| 9 | 3 | 9 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 28 | 70 | 98.3 | 47,708 | ||||||||||
| 2 | 8 | - | 3 | Out | No | 1 | 24 | 75 | 99.3 | 567 | * | |||||||||||
| 8 | 3 | 10 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 17 | 82 | 99.4 | 91,075 | ||||||||||
| 2 | 9 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 13 | 87 | 99.8 | 3,607 | * | |||||||||||
| 7 | 2 | 10 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 6 | 94 | 100.0 | 13,480 | |||||||||||
| 1 | 9 | - | 3 | Out | No | 3 | 97 | Yes | 123 | |||||||||||||
| 6 | 2 | 11 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 3 | 97 | 100.0 | 23,298 | |||||||||||
| 1 | 10 | - | 2 | Out | No | 1 | 99 | Yes | 669 | |||||||||||||
| 5 | 1 | 11 | - | 1 | Out | No | 1 | 99 | Yes | 2,343 | * | |||||||||||
| 4 | 1 | 12 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 3,818 | * | |||||||||||
| 2 | -3 | Out | No | 100 | Yes | 1,785 | * | |||||||||||||||
| Total: | 60.5 | % | 33.2 | % | 18 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 16.8 | % | 4,321,488 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 12:50 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
