Roadrunners Playoff Chances 2019
Did not play, playoff odds down 1.7 to 10.9%
17 points 8 9-0 1
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 3/14 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Fighting Loons 4 Norsemen C2 3 | +7.5 | +0.1 | ||
| Rebellion 1 Wolf-Rayets C2 2 | -6.7 | -0.1 | ||
| Troopers C2 6 Roadrunners 1 | -5.9 | -0.1 | ||
| Wolf-Rayets C2 6 Minnesota Mild 4 | -4.7 | +0.0 | ||
| Shame on Ice C2 5 Silverbacks 1 | -3.3 | -0.1 | ||
| Norsemen C2 1 Troopers C2 4 | +2.1 | +0.0 | ||
| Minnesota Mild 2 Hooligans C2 2 | +0.8 | +0.1 | ||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway | ||||
| Roadrunners vs Shame on Ice C2 | +21.7+21.7OutOutOut | +0.4+0.4-0.1-0.1-0.2 | ||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway | ||||
| Week of 3/23 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Shame on Ice C2 vs Norsemen C2 | +11.2OutOutOutOut | +0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1 | ||
| Rebellion vs Roadrunners | OutOutOut+5.7+5.6 | -0.5-0.2-0.2+0.2+0.2 | ||
| Hooligans C2 vs Wolf-Rayets C2 | -0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1 | |||
| Minnesota Mild vs Silverbacks | -0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1 | |||
What If
Chances based on how well the Roadrunners finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | Count | |||||
| 21 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 49.4 | % | 49 | 51 | 5,470,927 | |||||||||||||
| 20 | 1 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | 100 | 2,772,041 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 19 | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | 100 | 10,891,248 | |||||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | Out | 58 | 42 | 196,152 | |||||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 1 | 1 | Out | 58 | 42 | 93,008 | |||||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | Out | 57 | 43 | 9,201 | |||||||||||||||
| 18 | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | 58 | 42 | 1,725,513 | ||||||||||||||
| 0 | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | Out | 58 | 42 | 347,184 | |||||||||||||||
| 17 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | 27 | 51 | 23 | 3,227,706 | |||||||||||||
| Total: | 10.9 | % | 11 | 75 | 11 | 3 | 24,732,980 | ||||||||||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 3/14 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Troopers C2 6 Roadrunners 1 | +0.3 | |
| Moose C2 3 Northern Gators 2 | +0.2 | |
| Northern Gators 3 Sharks 0 | +0.2 | |
| Minnesota Mild 2 Hooligans C2 2 | -0.1 | |
| Fighting Loons 4 Norsemen C2 3 | -0.1 | |
| Chaos C2 4 Mastodons Black 7 | +0.1 | |
| Rebellion 1 Wolf-Rayets C2 2 | +0.1 | |
| Mastodons Blue 4 Spartans C2 2 | -0.1 | |
| Spartans C2 5 Lakers C2 3 | -0.1 | |
| Mastodons Black 4 Sled Dogs C2 5 | -0.1 | |
| Shame on Ice C2 5 Silverbacks 1 | +0.1 | |
| Wolf-Rayets C2 6 Minnesota Mild 4 | -0.0 | |
| Norsemen C2 1 Troopers C2 4 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway | ||
| Roadrunners vs Shame on Ice C2 | -1.3-1.3+0.1+0.1+0.8 | |
| If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway | ||
| Week of 3/23 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Rebellion vs Roadrunners | +1.3+0.7+0.7-0.6-0.6 | |
| Mastodons Blue vs Moose C2 | -0.4+0.1+0.1+0.2+0.2 | |
| Hooligans C2 vs Wolf-Rayets C2 | +0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1 | |
| Fighting Ice Fish vs Spartans C2 | -0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2+0.2 | |
| Shame on Ice C2 vs Norsemen C2 | -0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1 | |
| Northern Gators vs Mastodons Black | -0.0+0.1-0.1+0.1+0.0 | |
| Lakers C2 vs Sharks | +0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0 | |
| Minnesota Mild vs Silverbacks | +0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | |||
| 21 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 4 | 50 | 46 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 1 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 23 | 52 | 26 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 22 | 51 | 27 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 19 | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 28 | 72 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 8 | 53 | 37 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 1 | 1 | 8 | 53 | 37 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 7 | 53 | 38 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 42 | 45 | 12 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | 42 | 45 | 12 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 17 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 15 | 39 | 33 | 12 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 1 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 41 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 12:48 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
