New York Islanders Playoff Chances 50/50

Beat Tampa Bay 6-1, playoff odds up 3.3 to 76.2%

89 points 40 30-9

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Stanley Cup
NY Islanders 6 Tampa Bay 1	+13.1		+0.8
Pittsburgh 4 Minnesota 1	-6.3		-0.4
Florida 7 Ottawa 2	-3.8		-0.2
Detroit 6 Buffalo 7 (so)	-1.6		-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Stanley Cup
NY Islanders vs Philadelphia	+13.7+13.2+9.7+0.4+0.5-18.4		+0.8+0.9+0.6-0.0+0.1-1.1
Detroit vs Pittsburgh	+9.2+3.2+3.2-7.2-7.7-7.5		+0.6+0.2+0.2-0.5-0.5-0.5
Washington vs Florida	+5.0+0.7+0.7-2.1-3.6-4.1		+0.3-0.0+0.0-0.1-0.2-0.2
Buffalo vs Carolina	-2.5-2.4*+0.1+1.7+1.6+2.4		-0.2-0.2*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the NY Islanders finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres	Division seed				Conference seed (wildcard race)
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1a	1b	2	3	WCb	WCa	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

95	3	0		-	0	In		No					94	6									1,529,154
94	2	0		-	1	99.6	%	No					81	18	0								1,243,791
93	2	1		-	0	94.4		No					54	40	6	0							3,331,721
	1	0		-	2	92.1		No					44	48	8	0							338,049
92	1	1		-	1	81.9		No					30	52	17	1							1,811,598
	0	0		-	3	66.7		No					17	49	31	2							30,778
91	1	2		-	0	51.1		No					9	42	42	7							2,428,317
	0	1		-	2	44.9		No					5	40	46	9							246,093
90	0	2		-	1	28.3		No					2	26	53	19							660,448
89	0	3		-	0	6.8		No					0	7	52	41							590,787

Total:						76.2	%	No					42	34	19	5							12,210,736

First round opponent based on how well the NY Islanders finish out the regular season. Explain


If finish:								Chance will play in first round
TP	W		L	-	OT	Win Cup		Boston	Carolina	New Jersey	NY Rangers

95	3	0		-	0	6.2	%	6	71	22	0
94	2	0		-	1	6.2		18	63	18	0
93	2	1		-	0	5.9		40	43	11	0
	1	0		-	2	5.8		48	35	9	0
92	1	1		-	1	5.1		52	24	6	0
	0	0		-	3	4.1		49	14	3
91	1	2		-	0	3.2		42	7	1	0
	0	1		-	2	2.8		40	4	1
90	0	2		-	1	1.8		26	2	0
89	0	3		-	0	0.4		7	0	0

Total:						4.8	%	33.7	33.3	9.2	0.0

Points (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
NY Islanders 6 Tampa Bay 1	-0.7
Florida 7 Ottawa 2	+0.3
Pittsburgh 4 Minnesota 1	+0.2
Detroit 6 Buffalo 7 (so)	+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
NY Islanders vs Philadelphia	-0.8-0.7-0.5+0.0+0.0+1.0
Washington vs Florida	-0.4-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.3+0.3
Detroit vs Pittsburgh	-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3
Buffalo vs Carolina	+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Vancouver vs Calgary	-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

95	3	0		-	0														94	4	2
94	2	0		-	1														81	7	12	0	0	0
93	2	1		-	0														54	4	36	3	2	0	0
	1	0		-	2														44	5	43	5	3	0	0
92	1	1		-	1														30	1	51	5	10	3	0
	0	0		-	3														17	1	48	9	17	6	0
91	1	2		-	0														9	0	42	3	21	22	3
	0	1		-	2														5	0	40	3	23	25	4
90	0	2		-	1														2		26	0	14	43	14
89	0	3		-	0														0		7		5	51	37

Total:																			42	3	31	3	8	10	3