New York Islanders Playoff Chances 50/50

Tied with Philadelphia 0-0 (6:00 pm ET), playoff odds down 0.3 to 21.6%
46 points   19 17-8

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Detroit 0 NY Rangers 1 (ot)-0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
NY Islanders vs Philadelphia+5.0+4.2+3.5-1.8-1.9-5.7
+0.3+0.3+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.3
Pittsburgh vs Boston+0.3*-0.1*-0.0*-0.3*-0.3-0.2
Ottawa vs Columbus-0.1*-0.2*-0.2*-0.0*+0.0+0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Washington vs Carolina+0.9*-0.0+0.4-0.6-0.8-0.7
NY Rangers vs Los Angeles-0.3-0.4*-0.1*+0.0*-0.1+0.4
Toronto vs Calgary-0.3*-0.3-0.3*+0.1*-0.1+0.4
Arizona vs Florida+0.3*-0.1*-0.0*-0.2*-0.3-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Islanders finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
116-122InYes100160*
113323-3In50.0%50504*
112324-2In31.338650616*
111314-3In31.45143635*
110304-4In18.2383499177*
109305-3In14.429246202153*
108295-4In8.0183452950301*
107296-3In4.21233835120642*
106286-4In1.16230451611,116*
105287-3In0.42125452431,909*
104277-4In0.01118433253,320*
103278-3InNo0011394095,416*
102268-499.9%0.000632461608,338*
101269-399.8No003235023012,731*
100259-499.1No0011748331018,711*
992510-397.9No011045432026,277*
982410-495.7No006385240036,028*
972310-591.3No03305880047,176*
962311-484.6No0221621410059,526*
952211-574.3No0114602330073,502*
942212-459.7No0085232710086,745*
932112-543.0No04393914300100,810*
922113-426.9No012540248200112,640*
912013-513.0No013323217510067,677*
2114-315.6No0115343015410054,598*
902014-46.8No072332241130079,520*
1913-65.2No0520312613410050,332*
891914-51.8No0210253022920081,374*
2015-32.7No0313272919710051,770*
881915-40.6No01516282817510132,088*
871815-50.1No0282030251230127,542*
861816-40.0No0031125312171119,047*
851716-50.0No0015163030153107,705*
841717-4OutNo0029233425795,137*
831617-5OutNo00141532341481,955*
821618-4OutNo001826402467,903*
811518-5OutNo00419423555,361*
801519-4OutNo00111394943,094*
791419-5OutNo0016336032,722*
781420-4OutNo0003257224,213*
771320-5OutNo01198017,543*
761321-4OutNo01128712,256*
751221-5OutNo09918,195*
741222-4OutNo05955,549*
731122-5OutNo03973,387*
721123-4OutNo2982,007*
711124-3OutNo1991,267*
701024-4OutNo199716*
69924-5OutNo0100388*
46-68OutNo100561*
Total:21.6%0.0%00015151210101099981,919,540

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the NY Islanders finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWashingtonColumbusPittsburghMontrealNY RangersOttawaTorontoBostonCarolinaPhiladelphiaBuffaloDetroitFloridaNew JerseyTampa Bay
122380-06.9%8141614812421111
116331-4NoYes
113323-350.025252525
112324-26.313195019
111314-3No2923232033
110304-45.218322311413331
109305-37.22027262201112
108295-45.63024233151111101
107296-35.824252291521100000
106286-46.42625201012320010000
105287-36.02323201495201000000
104277-46.72120181987310000000
103278-35.82019142479410000000
102268-46.519181228610410000100
101269-36.119161230511510010100
100259-46.120161129410410010100
2610-26.321161129510510010000
992510-36.621161128510410010000
249-56.522181027410410000000
238-76.722181027510410000100
982410-45.82419112449410000000
239-66.02419112348410010000
2511-26.22418102449410000000
972310-55.42620111947300000000
2411-35.92619112047310000000
229-75.82520102047310000000
962311-45.22720111545200000000
2210-65.226211015352000000
2412-25.627201115352000000
952211-54.5252010113410000000
2312-35.0262010113410000000
2110-74.524191010331000000
942212-44.02217873210000000
2111-63.62016873210000000
2313-23.72217972210000000
932112-52.71613642100000000
2213-32.917146521000000000
2011-72.6151264210000000
922113-41.81194211000000
2012-61.5983210000000
2214-21.9121053110000000
912114-31.065211000000
2013-50.954211000000
902014-40.42210000000
892015-30.11100000
881915-40.00000000
871815-50.0000000
861816-40.00000
851716-5No0
46-84No
Total:1.4%6.75.42.83.71.01.20.50.10.00.00.10.00.10.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
NY Islanders vs Philadelphia-0.7-0.7-0.5+0.2+0.2+0.9
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Washington vs Carolina-0.1*+0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Arizona vs Florida-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1*+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
116-122100
113323-35050
112324-23166506
111314-33120436
110304-4181934991
109305-31415246202
108295-4810304412950
107296-34720353035120
106286-41420264045161
105287-302102040450243
104277-401101341420325
103278-30006403800409
102268-400003310311046160
101269-30012102210500230
100259-400010015204803310
992510-30000082144043020
982410-400000421371520400
972310-50001110281580800
962311-4000010019262014100
952211-5000000011359123300
942212-40000053492327100
932112-5000223553915300
922113-40000119638258200
912013-50000862931186100
902014-400241729271551000
891914-50002719282514510000
881915-4001281926231462000
871815-5000281825231562000
861816-400028172424157200
851716-5000027172424167200
841717-40002717252516610
831617-5000281928261330
821618-4001310223124810
811518-500141429341720
801519-4001621372950
791419-5002123440100
781420-400162749161
771320-50031851253
761321-4011050345
751221-500643419
741222-403364714
731122-51285020
721123-40195229
711124-30155035
701024-4094744
69924-544155
68925-442769
67926-372370
66725-622375
65827-3496
64626-6991
46-63100
Total:00000000100051142119876665555420