New York Islanders Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.7 to 34.6%
64 points   27 21-10

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
St. Louis 1 Florida 2 -0.7
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Detroit vs NY Islanders-8.0-1.7-1.7+5.3+6.5+6.6
-0.5-0.1-0.1+0.3+0.4+0.4
Toronto vs Winnipeg-0.8-0.8-0.6+0.2+0.2+0.9
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Carolina vs Pittsburgh-0.6-0.6-0.5+0.2+0.2+0.7
NY Rangers vs Montreal+0.6*+0.0+0.0-0.4-0.5-0.4
Tampa Bay vs Edmonton-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.1+0.1+0.4
New Jersey vs Ottawa+0.2-0.3-0.3-0.2-0.3*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Islanders finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
112240-0In29.3%4904740098,784
111230-1In14.33154132398
110231-0In8.02005622202,488*
109221-1In2.71205132509,408*
108211-2In1.270414011133,274*
107212-1In0.330304519296,013*
106202-2In0.1102044295258,456*
105203-1In0.00011393911607,095*
104193-2100.0%0.000630451901,339,065*
103194-1100.00.000321473002,673,533*
102184-2100.0No00113444205,026,546*
101174-399.9No0007385408,721,054*
100175-299.8No000330660014,340,300*
99165-399.4No00222761021,992,262*
98166-298.6No01158310032,104,914*
97156-396.6No00987300044,023,034*
96157-292.6No00587700057,625,877*
95147-384.7No0038214100071,223,306*
94148-273.1No0017223300039,801,284
137-470.2No0169254000044,399,094*
93138-353.3No00533510200045,296,737
149-153.3No00533510200049,066,517*
92139-235.1No003540205100046,815,471
128-431.6No003239226100054,440,115*
91129-316.5No00163531143000049,468,505
1310-116.6No0017343114300053,759,727*
901210-27.0No0072434259200046,033,092
119-45.7No0621332611200054,873,285*
891110-31.7No0211263321710044,886,923
1211-11.8No0211263221710048,892,238*
881111-20.3No0041529301641083,603,971*
871011-30.0No0016193227122070,920,536*
861012-20.0No00292433237157,690,719*
85912-30.0No000314303316344,631,598*
84913-20.0No00016213628833,117,717*
83813-3OutNo00021232391623,330,592*
82814-2OutNo001523442815,747,501*
81714-3OutNo000213424210,074,781*
80715-2OutNo001736576,162,296*
79615-3OutNo00327703,559,955*
78616-2OutNo00119801,963,120*
77516-3OutNo0012881,016,296*
76517-2OutNo00793501,056*
75417-3OutNo0496231,075*
74418-2OutNo0298100,482*
73419-1OutNo019940,555*
72319-2OutNo19915,399*
71320-1OutNo01005,203*
70220-2OutNo01001,695*
64-69OutNo10099,318*
Total:34.6%0.0%0000332151210976421,190,722,660

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the NY Islanders finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWashingtonPittsburghColumbusNY RangersMontrealOttawaFloridaBostonTorontoPhiladelphiaTampa BayBuffaloCarolinaNew JerseyDetroit
112240-06.2%733293000000100000
111230-18.81331272611000
110231-06.5123527241000000000
109221-16.6153424202211000000
108211-25.91532231944211000000
107212-16.31529211666322000000
106202-26.315251714109433000000
105203-16.2152114111313534000000
104193-26.318171291515644010000
103194-16.223141071615645010000
102184-26.32912861515644010000
101174-36.23711861312534000000
185-16.23711861313534000000
100175-26.24411861010433000000
164-46.24411961010423000000
99165-36.251129677322000000
176-16.251129687322000000
98166-26.256129655211000000
155-46.2561210655211000000
177-06.2551210655211000000
97156-36.0581310633111000000
167-16.1581310643111000000
145-56.0581310633111000000
96157-25.8591310622101000000
146-45.7581310622100000000
168-05.9591310622101000000
135-65.75613116221000000
95147-35.3541210611000000000
158-15.4561210611000000000
136-55.1521210611000000000
94148-24.648119500000000000
137-44.445109500000000000
159-04.750119511000000000
126-64.14210850000000000
93138-33.3348740000000000
149-13.63787400000000000
127-53.0317630000000000
92139-22.2235530000000000
128-41.9205420000000000
1410-02.021542000000000
91129-31.0103210000000000
1310-11.0103210000000000
901210-20.44110000000000
891110-30.110000000000
881111-20.0000000000
871011-30.00000000000
861012-20.00000000
851013-10.00000
841014-00.0000
64-83No
Total:2.2%20.84.83.92.40.90.90.40.20.30.00.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

MondayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit vs NY Islanders+0.7+0.1+0.1-0.5-0.6-0.6
Carolina vs Pittsburgh+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Tampa Bay vs Edmonton+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
112240-029190470400
111230-11417541132
110231-081205512220
109221-13904923250
108211-2150038340111
107212-1030026445192
106202-201001640440295
105203-100008403903911
104193-200003200300045190
103194-100001100210047300
102184-200001001300440420
101174-30000000700380540
100175-200000003003006600
99165-3000000100022076010
98166-200000000150830100
97156-300000000908703000
96157-20000000508707000
95147-300000020820141000
94148-200000107002440000
93138-300000052135102000
92139-200000312392161000
91129-3000014334311430000
1310-1000014234311540000
901210-20004221332611200000
891110-300119243222820000
881111-2000312263020820000
871011-30000313262919820000
861012-20001413252819820000
85912-30000141324272092000
84913-2000014132428208200
83813-30001413252919710
82814-20000151528301740
81714-300016193329111
80715-200021027372220
79615-30000417383560
78616-2000183147130
77516-300032253220
76517-20011353330
75417-300748450
74418-20340561
73419-10132661
72319-2023742
71320-1016804
70220-2012826
69221-198111
68121-297912
67122-146829
66123-07129
65023-1100
64024-005544
Total:000000000000303111511986543221100