"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Ottawa Senators Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to Chicago 2-3 (so), playoff odds down 0.09 to 0.3%
52 points   21 28-10

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Chicago 3 Ottawa 2 (so)-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Ottawa vs Tampa Bay+0.2+0.2+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Ottawa finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
98230-0InNo1287107,258
97220-1InNo188267
96221-099.7%No108370361*
95211-198.0No67418201,270*
94201-294.7No046229504,492*
93202-186.8No24441121012,519*
92192-273.0No127452250033,112*
91193-153.6No11340341120074,773*
90183-234.0No05283922500160,280*
89184-117.9No0216363212200309,393*
88174-27.8No007263723610566,562*
87164-32.6No00215333314300950,319*
86165-20.7No00162336257101,517,753*
85155-30.2No000213323516302,248,096*
84156-20.0No00015223827703,176,064*
83146-30.0No000212333715104,203,881*
82147-20.0No00015244125302,657,492
136-40.0No00005224127402,653,580*
81137-3OutNo002133839803,182,815*
148-10.0No0002143938803,151,048*
80138-2OutNo001731471503,522,383
127-40.0No0000630481603,692,374*
79128-3OutNo000321512503,721,991
139-1OutNo000321512504,049,627*
78129-2OutNo00113493613,848,761
118-4OutNo00112493714,165,040*
77119-3OutNo006424935,445,120*
1210-1OutNo0007444622,385,029
761110-2OutNo003345853,492,544
109-4OutNo003335953,844,993*
751010-3OutNo001256596,516,700*
741011-2OutNo001768152,638,973
910-4OutNo001668162,908,762*
73911-3OutNo001066232,146,941
1012-1OutNo001066232,334,406*
72912-2OutNo00661333,463,070*
71812-3OutNo0354432,541,852*
70813-2OutNo0245541,784,683*
69713-3OutNo0136641,183,629*
68714-2OutNo002773753,130*
67614-3OutNo01981449,326*
66615-2OutNo01387255,859*
65515-3OutNo0991138,070*
64516-2OutNo059569,865*
63416-3OutNo039732,880*
62417-2OutNo19915,037*
61418-1OutNo1996,190*
60318-2OutNo1992,409*
59319-1OutNo0100895*
52-58OutNo1007,640*
Total:0.3%No00001248152834990,329,314

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Ottawa finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayBostonTorontoWashingtonPittsburghPhiladelphiaNew JerseyColumbusCarolinaNY IslandersNY Rangers
98230-06.0%1612429181281000
97220-14.56123251919131
96221-05.3118137201482
210-28.1118236201571
95211-16.0121123219156100
200-32.911121362011510
94201-25.3141922816105000
212-06.5141832716116000
190-43.2141712719861
93202-15.517232211384000
191-35.8182321911840000
180-55.4152441812820
92192-24.61825212852000
203-04.91826214853000
181-44.21825312742000
170-64.0162747552
91193-13.21622275310000
182-33.11521264210000
171-53.01420263210
90183-22.1111613210000
194-02.5121723210000
172-41.81014121100
161-61.7913121100
89184-11.371011100000
173-31.16811100000
162-50.957110000
151-70.84501000
88174-20.534000000
163-40.423000000
185-00.63500000
152-60.32300000
87175-10.212000000
164-30.11100000
153-50.11100000
142-70.1010000
86165-20.10000000
154-40.00000000
176-00.10100000
143-60.00000
85166-10.00000000
155-30.00000000
144-50.00000000
84156-20.0000000
145-40.0000000
167-00.0000000
83157-10.000000
82147-20.000
81148-1No0
80149-0No0
52-79No
Total:0.0%0.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago 3 Ottawa 2 (so)+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Ottawa vs Tampa Bay-0.4-0.4-0.4+0.1+0.1+0.5
Edmonton vs Colorado+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Montreal vs NY Rangers+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
98230-01006202053170
97220-19443052
96221-004242459520
95211-120496581020
94201-201032598213100
93202-1002144436553100
92192-20010272435994100
91193-10010130393101712300
90183-2005028172124112000
89184-1020160315312382000
88174-20070182631196100
87164-3002002142930164100
86165-20010016193227123000
85155-300000182332249200
84156-20000003122732196100
83146-300001517313014300
82147-20000182334258100
81137-3000212293418400
148-10000312293418400
80138-20001520352810100
127-40001519352911100
79128-300210283620400
139-100210293620400
78129-20004193730900
118-4000041836321000
77119-300011030391920
1210-100011030391910
761110-2000421413040
109-4000420403150
751010-3001113542101
1111-10001113641101
741011-200052648182
73911-30021748284
72912-2001943399
71812-3004334616
70813-2002234926
69713-301154737
68714-20084250
67614-30043462
66615-2022672
65515-3011881
64516-2001288
63416-30892
62417-20496
61418-1397
60318-2199
59319-1199
58219-20100
57220-1199
52-56100
Total:000000000000001124691316181793