Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

Ottawa Senators Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to Carolina 0-3, playoff odds down 4.2 to 80.4%
70 points   32 21-6

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Carolina 3 Ottawa 0 -5.3
-0.3
Florida 2 Calgary 4 +0.9
+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Toronto vs Montreal-0.3-0.8-0.6-0.2-0.3+0.6
-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0
Columbus vs NY Islanders+0.7+0.1+0.1-0.4-0.6-0.6
Colorado vs Buffalo+0.5+0.1+0.1-0.3-0.4-0.4
Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia+0.2+0.1+0.0-0.1-0.2-0.2
New Jersey vs NY Rangers-0.0-0.1-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Ottawa finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
116230-0In67.6%7030172,098
115220-1In50.455451,386
114221-0In36.744567,914*
113211-1In25.2336729,463*
112201-2In15.323770102,532*
111202-1In8.015850285,322*
110192-2In3.58910752,378*
109193-1In1.349601,714,333*
108183-2In0.429803,680,244*
107184-1In0.1199007,111,382*
106174-2In0.00990012,996,454*
105164-3In0.00991021,825,488*
104165-2In0.009820034,809,649*
103155-3In0.0096400051,608,477*
102156-2InNo093700072,896,434*
101146-3100.0%No08812000096,492,137*
100147-2100.0No0801910000121,993,247*
99137-3100.0No692930000069,511,676
148-1100.0No69283000075,806,317*
98138-2100.0No57376000080,850,813
127-4100.0No543970000084,697,970*
97128-399.8No4145130100085,428,560
139-199.8No4245120100092,911,606*
96129-299.2No29482002100088,280,977
118-498.9No26472303100095,655,344*
95119-396.6No164432053000086,134,294
1210-196.6No16433205300093,645,166*
941110-290.1No8344009820000168,365,414*
931010-377.0No322410111761000149,546,982*
921011-257.5No11134011251430000127,348,510*
91911-335.6No0523072725102000102,783,865*
90912-217.7No0213042132217100079,552,731*
89812-36.9No0050112293117410058,301,122*
88813-22.1No0020041832281230040,932,761*
87713-30.5No00001823332481027,176,704*
86714-20.1No00003122833195017,244,923*
85614-30.0No00001518333012210,317,876*
84615-20.0No0001926372355,895,317*
83515-30.0No00003153535123,155,958*
82516-2OutNo00172742221,611,484*
81416-3OutNo003184435763,620*
80417-2OutNo001103950343,803*
79418-1OutNo0053164142,227*
78318-2OutNo02227555,663*
77319-1OutNo01148519,576*
76219-2OutNo010906,565*
75220-1OutNo05951,865*
74120-2OutNo298458*
71-73OutNo100124*
70023-0OutNo0100171,851
Total:80.4%0.0%036241703654211002,073,141,060

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Ottawa finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWashingtonPittsburghColumbusNY RangersMontrealTorontoNY IslandersBostonFloridaBuffaloTampa BayPhiladelphiaCarolinaNew JerseyDetroit
116230-06.2%061114333544216730
115220-16.691620322932215530
114221-05.80112025222322114420
113211-16.40132230221822113310
112201-26.31152533111411102210
111202-16.21172737111011002110
110192-26.3118293901711001100
109193-16.2119304000600001100
108183-26.2120314100500001000
107184-16.3120314200400000000
106174-26.2220314200400000000
105164-36.3220314100400000000
104165-26.3220314101410000000
103155-36.2220304011411000000
102156-26.2219293912421000000
145-46.3219293913421000000
101146-36.3218273624332100000
157-16.2218273724332100000
100147-26.3117253446353110000
136-46.2116253347353110000
99137-36.3114212979385210000
148-16.3114222969375110000
98138-26.211218249122107220000
127-46.3111172210132118220000
149-06.2112172310122117220000
97128-36.219131713162149330000
139-16.2110141912152139320000
117-56.2281115141711510330000
96129-26.226912161811611330000
118-46.236811161911712330000
1310-06.226912161811611330000
95119-36.04457182011812440000
1210-16.14568182011712440000
108-56.05446182001812440000
941110-25.76334171901712440000
109-45.67333171901712440001
931010-34.88222141601510340001
1111-14.88222141601510340001
921011-23.7821111120118330000
910-43.5721110110117230000
91911-32.2511167074120000
90912-21.1210034042110000
89812-30.410001101100000
88813-20.10000000100000
87814-10.000000000000
86714-20.000000000000
85715-10.000000000000
84615-20.0000000
83616-1No00
70-82No
Total:5.0%3.27.911.515.29.311.01.49.86.72.12.00.10.10.00.2
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Carolina 3 Ottawa 0 +1.1
Florida 2 Calgary 4 -0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto vs Montreal-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0
Colorado vs Buffalo-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
116230-068330
115220-150545
114221-037756
113211-1258670
112201-215877000
111202-18785000
110192-24590100
109193-113933000
108183-202926000
107184-10189100000
106174-2008316000000
105164-3007425001000
104165-200633500200000
103155-3005145004000000
102156-203855007000000
101146-302662001110000000
100147-20156400154001000000
99137-38610019100030000000
98138-235300191900600000000
97128-3140001630001200010000
139-114101629001200010000
96129-2029011370019200201000
118-4026010380021200301000
95119-3016053900266005030000
1210-10165380026600503000
941110-2082320027130090820000
931010-303021002120001101761000
921011-201011011230091251430000
91911-30005519005226251020000
90912-20021110022193222810000
89812-30000500019263119710000
88813-20002000313272918720000
87713-30000000414262818720000
86714-2000000141425271982000
85614-30000014132427198200
84615-2000014132428208200
83515-300001414262919610
82516-2000151629301640
81416-300017203328100
80417-20002102738211
79418-10141739353
78318-2001934488
77319-10042457150
76219-201156023
75220-1075735
74120-2045541
73121-13961
72122-025714
71022-12575
70023-0017794
Total:009270071700106003065321110000000