Ottawa Senators Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.0009 to 0.02%
49 points   22 31-5

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

SundayNone
MondayNone

What If

Chances based on how well the Ottawa finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
97240-099.5%No52948180205
96230-1OutNo1001
95220-225.0No25754*
94221-166.7No6115028618*
93211-248.8No510343813180*
92212-128.9No2522332971201*
91202-211.2No11031371730545*
90203-14.3No004183830911,357*
89193-20.9No018343716302,932*
88183-30.2No042039288105,743*
87184-20.0No01113237173010,897*
86174-30.0No00522392770018,691*
85175-2OutNo01123436141031,168*
84165-3OutNo0052541254047,203*
83166-2OutNo0021538369169,210*
82156-3OutNo017304417294,753*
81157-2OutNo003204627460,631
146-4OutNo003194528463,671*
80147-3OutNo01114237973,476
158-1OutNo01114137979,887*
79148-2OutNo006334516116,824*
137-4OutNo0532461763,974*
78138-3OutNo02234926144,215*
149-1OutNo00324482559,204
77139-2OutNo01154737100,997
128-4OutNo01144738116,751*
76129-3OutNo0084250106,119
1310-1OutNo009415062,211
118-5OutNo008415153,144*
751210-2OutNo004346199,006
119-4OutNo043362118,025*
741110-3OutNo02267296,377
1211-1OutNo02267155,472
109-5OutNo02257349,360*
731111-2OutNo01198081,674
1010-4OutNo01188197,966*
721011-3OutNo00138772,851
1112-1OutNo00128779,946*
711012-2OutNo089257,081
911-4OutNo089267,433*
70912-3OutNo059596,808*
69913-2OutNo039771,596*
68813-3OutNo029850,119*
67814-2OutNo19933,933*
66714-3OutNo010021,691*
65715-2OutNo010013,038*
64615-3OutNo01007,710*
63616-2OutNo01004,238*
62516-3OutNo01002,176*
49-61OutNo1002,098*
Total:0.0%No0000001261527492,562,710

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Ottawa finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayNY IslandersTorontoBostonWashingtonColumbusPittsburghMontrealCarolina
97240-04.9%1830112283511
96230-1No
95220-2No33
231-0No
94210-322.26711
221-1No331111
93211-212.0368642
222-04.22948
200-4No17
92212-11.6214512
201-3No1931
190-5No1313
91202-20.910010
191-41.31611
213-01.771
180-6No
90203-10.440000
192-30.440
181-5No1
170-7No
89193-20.110
182-40.21
204-0No1
171-6No
160-8No
88194-1No0
183-3No0
172-5No
161-7No
150-9No
87184-2No0
173-4No0
195-0No
162-6No
151-8No
86185-1No0
174-3No
163-5No
152-7No
141-9No
49-85No
Total:0.0%0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit 1 Philadelphia 3 -0.1
New Jersey 4 Buffalo 1 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Anaheim vs Washington+0.0+0.0+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago vs Ottawa+0.6+0.1+0.1-0.4-0.4-0.5
Los Angeles vs Washington+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
97240-01211441048180
96230-1100
95220-22575
94221-161150286
93211-25833438131
92212-1103222342871
91202-21010031371730
90203-10003118383091
89193-20108323717410
88183-30031837301120
87184-201826352271000
86174-3002132931176100
85175-2004162828166100
84165-3015162727176200
83166-20015152527187200
82156-30015142527187200
81157-20015142528187200
80147-3001514262818610
158-10001516272816510
79148-200161728281540
137-4000151628291651
78138-30017193127122
149-100017193128122
77139-200292434246
128-4000292434247
76129-300314323515
1310-1000415323514
118-500313313616
751210-20017244127
119-4016234228
741110-3002154142
1211-1003154141
109-5002144044
731111-200183556
1010-40173458
721011-30032670
711012-20011880
911-4011881
70912-3001188
69913-200793
68813-30496
67814-20298
66714-30199
65715-200100
64615-30100
63616-20100
62516-30100
61517-20100
60417-30100
49-59100
Total:000000000000001122346810131931