Vancouver Canucks Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.8 to 20.5%
59 points   26 27-7

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Minnesota 0 St. Louis 4 +0.8
+0.1
Pittsburgh 6 NY Rangers 5 *No
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Anaheim vs Washington-0.2*-0.3*-0.2*+0.0*-0.1+0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Calgary vs Arizona+0.9*+0.3*+0.1-0.7-0.9-0.7
+0.1*+0.0*+0.0*+0.0*-0.1-0.1
Chicago vs Ottawa-0.5-0.6-0.3+0.3*+0.0+0.6
-0.1*+0.0*-0.0*+0.1*+0.0+0.0
Colorado vs Vegas*-0.0-0.6-0.5*-0.2-0.4+0.3
Los Angeles vs Washington-0.2*-0.1*-0.0*+0.2*+0.0+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vancouver finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
103220-0InNo17175016209
102210-1InNo1002
101211-0InNo516215819*
100201-1InNo63854369*
99191-2InNo227693191*
98192-1InNo122726631*
97182-2InNo11377901,547*
96183-1InNo08771503,419*
95173-2InNo04722317,126*
94174-1100.0%No0263322013,243*
93164-299.7No0155385023,491*
92154-398.8No004442121038,266*
91155-295.9No034402240058,704*
90145-389.1No02432331010084,175*
89146-276.9No01722381930061,103
135-475.6No01621382040054,193*
88136-357.0No091236311010069,157
147-158.3No010123630101077,726*
87137-238.2No06627372040092,049
126-436.1No5526372150086,579*
86127-319.2No221535311220097,230
138-120.2No3216353112200107,977*
85128-28.8No107263622610112,736
117-48.2No107253623710111,164*
84118-32.6No00214323315300110,004
129-13.5No0031634311320078,316
107-52.1No0021230341740043,385*
83119-20.7No0016233625810114,027
108-40.7No0016213527910114,977*
82109-30.1No0021129351940102,164
1110-10.2No0002133134163070,964
98-50.1No00192636225041,233*
811010-20.0No000519362910194,758
99-40.0No000418353111195,715*
80910-30.0No0019273821477,296
1011-10.0No00019283721484,724*
79911-2OutNo004183832865,103
810-40.0No00031637341065,333*
78811-3OutNo001930411899,993*
77812-2OutNo00421453073,202*
76712-3OutNo0112424450,234*
75713-2OutNo006355833,531*
74613-3OutNo03267120,739*
73614-2OutNo01188112,302*
72514-3OutNo0012886,748*
71515-2OutNo07933,538*
70415-3OutNo04961,782*
69416-2OutNo298864*
68417-1OutNo298372*
59-67OutNo100400*
Total:20.5%No00055101314141311952,562,710

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Vancouver finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupCalgarySan JoseWinnipegNashvilleSt. LouisVegasDallasMinnesotaArizonaColoradoChicagoEdmontonAnaheimLos Angeles
103220-06.7%22431113852210
102210-1No5050
101211-0No264711115
100201-15.845411112
99191-22.137562114
98192-16.54050210600
97182-26.837525115000
96183-16.53748831400
95173-26.335451141300000
184-07.0344512424000
94174-16.5334215523000
163-36.53240175220000
93164-26.2323720622000000
153-46.2313721631000000
175-06.33138206220000
92154-36.5293424721000000
165-16.1303423731000000
143-56.23033247310000
91155-25.9293125721000000
144-46.329312572100000
166-06.03032257210000
133-65.22829277210000
90145-35.429272462100000
156-15.529282462100000
134-55.12827236210000
89146-24.82624205100000000
135-44.52523204200000
157-04.8272421520000
124-64.525231842000
88136-33.621181531000000
147-13.7221915310000000
125-53.519171331000
87137-22.3141292100000
126-42.213118100000
148-02.8161410210000
115-61.7121171000
86127-31.276410000
138-11.4975100000
116-51.16541000
85128-20.53320000
117-40.533200000
139-00.64320000
84118-30.21110000
129-10.211100000
83119-20.000000000
821110-10.0000000
811010-20.0000
80910-3No000
791012-0No0
59-78No
Total:1.3%7.16.75.01.10.40.20.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Minnesota 0 St. Louis 4 -0.1
Florida 6 Montreal 3 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Anaheim vs Washington+0.1+0.1+0.0*-0.0+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Calgary vs Arizona-0.1-0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Chicago vs Ottawa+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0+0.0-0.1
Los Angeles vs Washington+0.1+0.1*+0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Colorado vs Vegas-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
103220-0178919291160
102210-1100
101211-05161654711
100201-1613213203213
99191-2220331453131
98192-11122810593142
97182-2151846553640
96183-10205161696900
95173-2010304951851800
94174-10002034327329110
93164-20012113313724000
92154-3000100330422111000
91155-204030040121121000
90145-301023032032144200
89146-20016220381596200
135-40016210381597200
88136-3009120360412158200
147-10010120361412158200
87137-20066027021120188200
126-40550260210211992000
86127-30221501517262192000
138-10320160151826208200
85128-2107002923281982000
117-4107002921282192000
84118-30020031123282092000
129-1003003132528187200
107-5002002922282310300
83119-20010141325281982000
108-40010031223282192000
82109-3000013122429219200
1110-10000015152628176100
811010-2000015142628187100
99-4000014132529208200
80910-30001414272918610
1011-100001515262818610
79911-200161729271540
810-4000151628291651
78811-300017203127122
77812-2002102534236
76712-300415323414
75713-20017254125
74613-3003164239
73614-20193654
72514-30042867
71515-222079
70415-311585
69416-20891
68417-10496
67317-2496
59-66100
Total:000000001040509013578998876432