Vancouver Canucks Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.05 to 5.1%
58 points   26 29-6

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Minnesota 5 Los Angeles 4 (ot)*+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Vancouver vs Detroit+1.9+1.9+1.7-0.6-0.6-2.3
+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
St. Louis vs Edmonton-0.2-0.4-0.4-0.1-0.1+0.4
Calgary vs Los Angeles+0.2-0.3-0.2-0.4-0.4+0.0
Winnipeg vs Minnesota-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.2
Buffalo vs Nashville+0.2+0.0+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
Dallas vs Pittsburgh-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vancouver finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
100210-0InNo058402072,853
99200-1InNo2962902,190
98201-0InNo01862191011,782*
97191-1InNo956304040,439*
96181-2100.0%No444411010133,870*
95182-199.9No129471930348,812*
94172-299.6No0174529800865,433*
93173-198.0No08353618201,847,207*
92163-293.3No032435316003,734,510*
91164-182.8No01132742161006,734,359*
90154-266.2No00616442950011,577,367*
89155-145.6No0283641121018,119,947*
88145-226.7No01323462430027,025,136*
87135-313.0No00112423770037,227,536*
86136-25.3No00053247151048,966,622*
85126-31.8No00022049263059,984,109*
84127-20.5No0011144377037,057,422
116-40.5No0001044388033,232,561*
83117-30.1No0005344715036,122,119
128-10.1No0005344614040,952,340*
82118-20.0No0002245024142,016,221
107-40.0No0002235025138,906,878*
81108-30.0No011448362037,564,793
119-10.0No011448352042,244,189*
80109-20.0No00841474038,838,140
98-40.0No00741484036,551,215*
7999-30.0No00331578031,570,124
1010-10.0No00432568035,409,737*
78910-20.0No002236313029,363,867
89-4OutNo01226214027,637,620*
77810-3OutNo01146422045,626,928*
76811-2OutNo0086131035,001,113*
75711-3OutNo0045442025,200,931*
74712-2OutNo024652017,376,085*
73612-3OutNo013663011,213,587*
72613-2OutNo00287116,926,230*
71513-3OutNo00207913,978,751*
70514-2OutNo0138432,184,585*
69515-1OutNo098651,108,354*
68415-2OutNo05868536,910*
67416-1OutNo038413235,589*
66316-2OutNo2801998,872*
65317-1OutNo1732637,287*
64217-2OutNo0663413,073*
63218-1OutNo057434,105*
62118-2OutNo46541,149*
61119-1OutNo3862285*
60120-0OutNo366473*
59020-1OutNo1005
58021-0OutNo178372,430
Total:5.1%No000014920282990873,775,740

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Vancouver finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupMinnesotaChicagoSan JoseAnaheimEdmontonNashvilleCalgarySt. LouisLos AngelesWinnipegDallasArizona
100210-06.3%00729245229400
99200-17.1103527220430
98201-06.2001233272203300
97191-16.3001535271182300
96181-26.3101834260161300
192-06.2101734261171300
95182-16.4312331240150300
171-36.3312431240130300
94172-26.27229272101102000
183-06.3622827210130200
161-46.29230252001002000
93173-16.21443221160902000
162-36.1164332015070200
151-56.11853318150602
92163-25.82573114110501000
174-05.92363116120601000
152-45.72773013100401000
91164-15.232825970301000
153-35.133923860201000
142-55.034922750200
90154-24.13491543010000
143-44.033914430100
165-04.4349175301000
132-63.833813320100
89155-13.028792100000
144-32.827782100000
133-52.62567110000
88145-21.71854100000
134-41.51643000000
156-01.92054100000
123-61.41543000000
87146-10.91022000000
135-30.8921000000
124-50.7821000000
86136-20.34100000000
125-40.3310000000
147-00.4511000000
114-60.3310000000
85137-10.1100000000
126-30.1100000000
115-50.1100000000
84127-20.0000000000
116-40.000000000
83117-30.0000000000
82118-20.00000000
81119-10.000000000
80109-20.00000
7999-30.0000
78910-2No0
58-77No
Total:0.3%2.70.71.00.30.20.00.10.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

MondayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Vancouver vs Detroit-0.7-0.6-0.5+0.2+0.2+0.8
Winnipeg vs Minnesota+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Dallas vs Pittsburgh+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Buffalo vs Nashville+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1
Philadelphia vs Colorado+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
100210-004117633101000
99200-114154525081000
98201-006122491101620010
97191-1281371923700400
96181-2040212228122010100
95182-1010920261650192100
94172-200031419151102953000
93173-1000171091603691020000
92163-200034415035923520000
91164-100111110275378631000
90154-2000005016242811941000
89155-100002080354121714610000
88145-20001302317172317720000
87135-300001012029212619820000
86136-200000050031123282092000
85126-30000200031224282082000
84127-200100014132529197100
116-400000013122429208200
83117-30000001414273019610
128-10000001414272918610
82118-2000000161730291430
107-4000000151630301530
81108-30000017213428900
119-1000002823342580
80109-20000031230361810
98-4000021028382010
7999-300001419403340
1010-100001520403240
78910-20000110354580
89-4000110344690
77810-300042554160
76811-200021657260
75711-3000853380
74712-200446490
73612-300237610
72613-20128701
71513-30020781
70514-20014833
69515-109865
68415-205868
67416-1038413
66316-228019
65317-117326
64217-206634
63218-105743
62118-24654
61119-13862
60120-03664
59020-1100
58021-01783
Total:00000000000103012346791113151770