"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Washington Capitals Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.09 to 98.9%
64 points   29 9-6

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Columbus 4 Carolina 1 +0.1
-1.3
NY Rangers 6 Dallas 7 +0.3
Minnesota 3 New Jersey 4 +1.3
St. Louis 4 Ottawa 6 *-0.0
Colorado 4 Chicago 6 -0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Montreal vs Pittsburgh+0.3-0.2-0.1-0.3-0.4-0.1
Los Angeles vs San Jose+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Washington finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
132-140InYes100173,882*
131323-3In99.9%10005,395*
130324-2In100.0100013,438*
129314-3In100.01000032,043*
128304-4In100.01000073,418*
127305-3In100.010000157,824*
126295-4In99.910000322,736*
125296-3In99.910000626,039*
124286-4In99.8100001,164,709*
123287-3In99.7100002,066,730*
122277-4In99.41000003,522,501*
121278-3In99.0990105,757,047*
120268-4In98.3990109,057,105*
119269-3In97.39802013,715,351*
118259-4In95.69703020,021,753*
1172510-3In93.29505028,186,075*
1162410-4In89.892070038,343,079*
1152310-5In85.1881110050,412,415*
1142311-4In79.0841150064,134,630*
1132211-5In71.3782201078,966,350*
1122212-4In62.1712261094,165,156*
1112112-5In51.662332200108,818,186*
1102113-4In40.653439400121,890,097*
1092013-5In29.743545600132,414,532*
1082014-4In20.0346501000139,551,402*
1071914-5In12.1247531510142,716,692*
1061915-4100.0%6.41775421100141,706,172*
1051815-5100.02.91065328300136,549,327*
1041816-4100.01.1654836500127,779,353*
1031716-5100.00.3344242900116,104,500*
1021717-4100.00.113344715100102,462,641*
1011617-5100.00.00225492210087,771,671*
1001618-499.90.00118483030073,066,165*
991518-599.80.000114438600059,050,196*
981519-499.30.000737451110046,331,327*
971419-598.1No004284818200035,284,490*
961420-495.0No0022047275000026,097,375*
951320-588.3No00113403510100018,727,058*
941321-476.3No0072940194100013,033,181*
931221-558.8No00418372810200008,797,876*
921222-438.7No0029283320710005,757,747*
911122-520.9No01317312815510003,656,322*
901123-49.1No00182230241130002,244,392*
891023-53.1No00031224292192001,333,405*
881024-40.8No0001515272817610767,389*
871025-30.2No000271929261330425,259*
86925-40.0No000031124312281228,393*
85926-30.0No0015162930163117,990*
84826-4OutNo0028233425759,621*
83827-3OutNo0141533341428,841*
82727-4OutNo01826412313,210*
81728-3OutNo0041941355,855*
80628-4OutNo021239482,512*
79629-3OutNo0163360987*
78529-4OutNo032770427*
77530-3OutNo11782139*
76430-4OutNo257544*
75532-1OutNo49627*
74432-2OutNo25754*
64038-0OutNo0100171,059
Total:98.9%25.6%324331982100000002,063,883,540

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Washington finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupColumbusMontrealPittsburghNY RangersTorontoOttawaCarolinaBostonPhiladelphiaFloridaTampa BayDetroitNY IslandersNew JerseyBuffalo
140380-06.3%214165518513543974
138371-0NoYes
137361-1No5050
136351-216.781782581717
135341-311.1211942241179164
134342-25.7205183324611523863
133332-34.7126154518613434973
132333-26.3114155519615442873
131323-36.3215154520515442873
130324-26.2215154519515433883
129314-36.2215154419514443983
128304-46.3215154419515443983
127305-36.1215154419515443983
126295-46.2215154419515443983
125296-36.2215154419515433983
124286-46.3216154419515433983
123287-36.3216154419515433983
122277-46.3216154419515433983
121278-36.3216154419515433883
120268-46.3216154419515433882
119269-36.2217154419515433882
118259-46.3218154419515433882
1172510-36.2219154419514432872
1162410-46.33110154419514432872
1152310-56.23112164418414332872
1142311-46.24114163317413332772
1132211-56.35116173316412332762
1122212-46.36119183315312322662
1112112-56.28122182314311222651
1102113-46.2912620221339221551
1092013-56.31212921221128211441
1082014-46.3141322211927111331
1071914-56.3161352311816111331
1061915-46.3181372311715110220
1051815-56.3192392411614000220
1041816-46.3203392311513000110
1031716-56.2205382312513000110
1021717-46.3198372122413000110
1011617-56.21812342033412000110
1001618-46.21816311844312000110
991518-56.21721271555312100110
981519-46.21825231366211110110
971419-56.12027201067221110000
961420-45.9232817967121110000
951320-55.5262514756111100000
941321-44.8272112544010000000
931221-53.724149433010000000
921222-42.41886311000000000
911223-31.31143111000000000
901123-40.6521100000000000
891124-30.2200000000000000
881024-40.000000000000000
871025-30.00000000000
86925-40.00000000
85724-7No0
64-84No
Total:6.2%13.85.128.119.32.42.58.91.96.51.41.10.93.23.10.8
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
NY Rangers 6 Dallas 7 -0.1
Columbus 4 Carolina 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Montreal vs Pittsburgh-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
132-140100
131323-31000
130324-210000
129314-3100000
128304-4100000
127305-3100000
126295-4100000
125296-3100000
124286-4100000
123287-3100000
122277-4990000
121278-3990010
120268-4980010
119269-39710200
118259-4961030
1172510-393100500
1162410-4902007000
1152310-585310110000
1142311-479510150000
1132211-571720200010
1122212-462920260010
1112112-552113032002000
1102113-441134039004000
1092013-5301450450060000
1082014-420146049100100000
1071914-512126051200150010
1061915-4610605031021001000
1051815-537514661028003000
1041816-415413882035005000
1031716-5033128103042009000
1021717-4011118114046100150100
1011617-50011101050472102201000
1001618-400014851434203003000
991518-5000015413473038060000
981519-40000033123950441110100
971419-500001111210604621802000
961420-40000001586142526050000
951320-500000011551319341101000
941321-40000023218113721941000
931221-500000112810326281120000
921222-400000001271993121820000
911122-50000010389262817610000
901123-4000001261527261661000
891023-500000002516262516620000
881024-40000001161625251672000
871025-300000261524251782000
86925-400000261423251882000
85926-3000016142426188200
84826-40026152527187100
83827-30002717292615400
82727-400292132251010
81728-30141327332030
80628-4001620343281
79629-3003103238151
78529-4082540262
77530-321946267
76430-47939397
75532-1444115
74432-25050
64038-00892
Total:267302931018110802010000000000000