Washington Capitals Playoff Chances 50/50

Beat Philadelphia 4-1, playoff odds up 0.002 to 99.99%
87 points   40 12-7

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Pres Trophy
Philadelphia 1 Washington 4 +6.4
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Pres Trophy
Toronto vs NY Rangers+0.6+0.2+0.2-0.4-0.5-0.5
Chicago vs Arizona-0.4-0.3-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.4

What If

Chances based on how well the Washington finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
129-133InYes100199,140*
128202-1In100.0%1000182,117*
127192-2In100.01000476,864*
126193-1In100.010001,086,564*
125183-2In100.010002,334,856*
124184-1In100.010004,513,855*
123174-2In99.910008,254,624*
122164-3In99.8100013,853,543*
121165-2In99.61000022,098,717*
120155-3In99.21000032,770,163*
119156-2In98.41000046,299,188*
118146-3In96.89901061,291,723*
117147-2In94.498020038,808,216
136-4In93.79802038,677,917*
116137-3In89.796040044,153,580
148-1In89.896040048,142,565*
115138-2In84.094060051,350,826
127-4In82.593070053,797,989*
114128-3In74.2890110054,257,034
139-1In74.3890110059,017,195*
113129-2In64.2830161056,092,505
118-4In61.7820171060,751,653*
112119-3In49.6740242054,692,828
1210-1In49.7740242059,484,470*
1111110-2In35.963033400106,945,822*
1101010-3In23.15104180045,498,082
1111-1In23.2510408049,490,179*
1091011-2In13.939046141038,477,067
910-4In12.337046151042,394,963*
108911-3In6.326048233065,296,894*
107912-2In2.517045326050,531,774*
106812-3In0.890384112037,038,244*
105813-2100.0%0.2502946200025,995,227*
104713-3In0.020204830017,264,002*
103714-2100.00.0101244420010,955,291*
102614-3100.00.00073855006,552,208*
101615-2100.00.00032966103,748,127*
100515-3100.0No0012176202,003,591*
99516-2100.0No0011482401,022,530*
98416-3100.0No00885700485,785*
97417-299.8No05831200218,225*
96418-199.2No0278191090,041*
95318-297.0No0168283035,338*
94319-191.3No0533781012,421*
93219-279.1No03643174004,139*
92220-157.9No1840291121,212*
91120-235.7No630322192361*
90121-124.1No7172129193358*
89122-0OutNo213242519*
87023-00.2No00210263321710109,148
Total:100.0%55.0%69020830000000001,316,758,880

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Washington finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupPittsburghColumbusNY RangersMontrealOttawaTorontoFloridaNY IslandersBostonTampa BayBuffaloPhiladelphiaCarolinaNew JerseyDetroit
133230-06.2%0353377437337621
132220-15.90243456447448630
131221-06.00243367438338721
130211-16.30243477427338621
129201-26.20243377427338620
128202-16.20243477427438620
127192-26.20243477427438620
126193-16.20243477427438620
125183-26.20233477427439620
124184-16.30234477427439620
123174-26.20234477427439620
122164-36.30234477417439620
121165-26.21234477417439630
120155-36.21234477417439630
119156-26.21234477417439530
118146-36.21234477417439530
117147-26.31234477407439530
116137-36.21344477397439530
115138-26.32454477387439530
127-46.32454477387439530
114128-36.23663476366339520
139-16.33663476366339520
113129-26.35883366336338420
118-46.36983366336328420
112119-36.3812103355305328420
1210-16.2812103355305327420
1111110-26.21215133355255227320
1101010-36.31519162244204225320
1091011-26.31923202233153114210
108911-36.32327232222102113110
107912-26.2252925332271112110
106812-36.2262925552141001000
105813-26.3252824882221001000
104713-36.322252112113212000000
103714-26.319211716164302100000
102614-36.215161420206403100000
101615-26.211121024257504100000
100515-36.389728288604100000
99516-26.277530309605100000
98416-36.366431319605100000
97417-26.376430309605100000
96418-16.298528299604100000
95318-26.012117252585041000
94319-15.8151491920640310
93219-25.2181691314432100
92220-13.216168672121
91120-20.61014622101
90121-1No103352
89122-0No
87023-00.000000
Total:6.2%9.011.710.63.73.75.35.228.15.22.72.16.83.71.90.3
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia 1 Washington 4 -0.4
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto vs NY Rangers-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
129-133100
128202-11000
127192-210000
126193-110000
125183-210000
124184-110000
123174-210000
122164-310000
121165-2100000
120155-399100
119156-298100
118146-39720100
117147-294402000
136-49440200
116137-390704000
148-190604000
115138-28410006000
127-4831007000
114128-374150011000
139-174140011000
113129-264190016010
118-462200017010
112119-350240024020
1210-150240024020
1111110-236270032004000
1101010-323280039108000
1111-12328003910800
1091011-2142500432014010
910-4122500443015010
108911-362000435023030
107912-221400387032060
106812-319002990410120
105813-2040019100046002000
104713-302001190048003000
103714-201005700440042000
102614-300002500370055000
101615-200001200281066010
100515-30000100191076020
99516-200000001220082040
98416-3000006200840700
97417-2000221082112000
96418-1000111075419010
95318-20010061728030
94319-100004211370810
93219-2000231341117400
92220-181036429112
91120-214237322192
90121-12510719311933
89122-02132425
87023-000016172926145100
Total:55140019100800030000000000000