Los Angeles Kings Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to Winnipeg 1-2, playoff odds down 6.6 to 59.4%
26 points   12 8-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Los Angeles 1 Winnipeg 2 -5.4
-0.3
-1.1
Pittsburgh 2 Vancouver 5 -0.5
Arizona 1 San Jose 3 -0.3
Buffalo 4 Minnesota 5 -0.3
Detroit 2 Edmonton 6 -0.3
Anaheim 2 Vegas 4 +0.2
Nashville 3 Montreal 2 (so)-0.2
-0.1
Florida 2 Toronto 1 (so)+0.2
Columbus 1 Calgary 0 (ot)*+0.1
Colorado 3 Dallas 0 +0.1
Tampa Bay 3 Chicago 2 (ot)*+0.1
-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Arizona vs Los Angeles-5.6-0.9-0.9+3.8+4.5+4.5
-0.3-0.0-0.1+0.2+0.3+0.3
-0.7-0.2-0.2+0.5+0.6+0.6
New Jersey vs Vancouver+0.6*+0.0+0.1-0.4-0.5-0.5
Anaheim vs Winnipeg-0.2-0.5-0.4-0.1-0.1+0.4
Buffalo vs Edmonton+0.4+0.1*+0.0-0.3-0.3-0.3
Dallas vs Calgary+0.3-0.2-0.2-0.4-0.4-0.1
Vegas vs San Jose+0.2-0.3-0.2-0.4-0.4*-0.0
St. Louis vs Nashville+0.2-0.2-0.1-0.2-0.2-0.1
-0.0-0.1-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Minnesota vs Colorado+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1
Washington vs Tampa Bay+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Los Angeles finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
125-146InYes1004,540*
124479-4In99.4%991159*
122-123In99.8100964*
1214510-5In99.510001,072*
1204410-6In99.3100002,103*
1194411-5In98.2100003,633*
1184311-6In97.799006,456*
1174312-5In96.2991010,747*
1164212-6In94.5982017,569*
1154213-5In92.0973127,989*
1144113-6In88.39541043,638*
1134013-7In84.39351065,920*
1124014-6In78.29072098,351*
1113914-7In70.6861130141,406*
1103915-6In61.88114500200,593*
1093815-7In51.77518700277,733*
1083816-6In41.067231000376,021*
1073716-7In30.158281310498,222*
1063717-6In20.148341710645,859*
1053617-7In12.1383822200820,506*
1043618-6In6.32841283001,023,464*
1033518-7In2.71942335001,245,109*
1023519-6100.0%0.912413881001,485,301*
1013419-7100.00.273742131001,740,871*
1003420-6100.00.0331441830001,997,343*
993320-7100.00.0125442451002,246,385*
983321-699.80.00184130820002,473,842*
973221-799.4No013373412410002,678,646*
963222-698.0No08303715720002,838,934*
953122-794.3No0523371712510002,954,024*
943123-686.8No031635161710310003,018,117*
933023-774.2No011129132016720003,018,127*
922923-857.5No16238202314510002,967,694*
912924-739.5No031641525221130002,857,894*
902824-823.9No021121022271871002,705,224*
892825-712.6No01615162826134002,513,532*
882725-85.9No00302102330228102,292,051*
872726-72.5No00201516302915302,046,164*
862626-81.0No00100210243323701,796,881*
852627-70.3No0000151732311211,548,008*
842527-80.1No0000021128372031,309,852*
832528-70.0No00001621382951,087,172*
822428-80.0No000031436379884,137*
812429-70.0No00019314415707,827*
802329-80.0No00005254822556,689*
792330-70.0No0003184929426,403*
782331-6OutNo001134838322,248*
772231-7OutNo0184546238,342*
762232-6OutNo0054055173,550*
752132-7OutNo0033463124,339*
742133-6OutNo002296986,533*
732033-7OutNo01237659,597*
722034-6OutNo01188139,549*
711934-7OutNo0148526,402*
701935-6OutNo0118916,986*
691835-7OutNo089210,858*
681836-6OutNo06946,857*
671736-7OutNo05954,035*
661737-6OutNo3972,359*
651637-7OutNo2981,387*
641638-6OutNo199836*
631538-7OutNo0100441*
621539-6OutNo0100233*
26-61OutNo1004,642*
Total:59.4%2.3%510161656777765254,782,366

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Los Angeles finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupSt. LouisWinnipegVegasNashvilleCalgarySan JoseVancouverColoradoAnaheimChicagoMinnesotaDallasEdmontonArizona
146600-06.0%567888898109941
129485-750.0252550
128497-4No20204020
127487-57.17714141477217
126477-68.6699996936116966
125467-76.7684810111171129471
124479-43.158611116710895851
123469-54.25679895119810831
1224610-46.8559779798109841
1214510-56.1777878810878841
1204410-66.15861088998910741
1194411-56.158778989889941
1184311-66.157788899799841
1174312-56.057778889899951
1164212-66.257788889899941
1154213-56.257788889899841
1144113-66.157788889899841
1134013-76.157788889899841
1124014-66.457788899899841
1113914-76.357789889899841
1103915-66.257889999888841
1093815-76.257889998888841
1083816-66.257889998888841
1073716-76.3579710998988741
1063717-66.2571071010108977741
1053617-76.3561071110107977641
1043618-66.24612611111171066641
1033518-76.24513612121161066541
1023519-66.24514513121251055541
1013419-76.24415514131351144440
1003420-66.33416415141341144340
993320-76.23417415141431233341
983321-66.23318316151431222241
973221-76.24319316151421222241
963222-66.15319316141421222141
953122-75.96418315131321111141
943123-65.47417313121221011141
933023-74.674143111091811130
923024-63.6641138771611120
912924-72.553725551411010
902925-61.532513330200010
892825-70.821212220100000
882826-60.410101110100000
872726-70.200100000000000
862727-60.100000000000000
852627-70.000000000000000
842628-60.000000000000000
832528-70.000000000000
822529-60.00000000
812530-50.0000000
802531-4No00000
792431-5No0
26-78No
Total:3.7%3.52.810.02.68.47.87.62.06.61.81.81.72.40.3
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Los Angeles 1 Winnipeg 2 +1.1
Pittsburgh 2 Vancouver 5 +0.1
Arizona 1 San Jose 3 +0.1
Detroit 2 Edmonton 6 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Arizona vs Los Angeles+1.1+0.2+0.2-0.8-0.9-0.9
New Jersey vs Vancouver-0.1+0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Dallas vs Calgary-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Anaheim vs Winnipeg+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1
Vegas vs San Jose-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
125-146100
124479-4991
123469-5100
1224610-41000
1214510-510000
1204410-699100
1194411-598100
1184311-698200
1174312-596310
1164212-694320
1154213-592531
1144113-68874010
1134013-78495010
1124014-67812702000
1113914-771161003000
1103915-6621914050000
1093815-7522318070000
1083816-6412622190000
1073716-7302827212001000
1063717-6202831316111000
1053617-712263361922020000
1043618-66223292044030000
1033518-731629132066050000
1023519-6111231718101108001000
1013419-70617201313161111101000
1003420-603102171421213220300000
993320-70151931223514550501000
983321-6002161922101281008120000
973221-70112051615811151102401000
963222-6008021018311203114702000
953122-7005015171821710711151000
943123-600300214051713610134931000
933023-7001011002111721012915830000
922923-801006015171871316158310000
912924-7000300214043131219169310000
902824-8000201100219615211811410000
892825-7000100601052716212013620000
882725-800000300202715222115831000
872726-7000020010027142223179310000
862626-80001000002614222418931000
852627-7000000000261422241993100
842527-80000000026142325188200
832528-700000002716252617610
822428-8000000281927251440
812429-70000131123302291
802329-80000015162930163
792330-70000292334257
782331-6001517333312
772231-7000210293919
762232-60016234228
752132-7003174238
742133-6001113948
732033-70173557
722034-60042966
711934-7022473
701935-6011979
691835-711485
681836-601189
671736-70892
661737-60595
651637-70496
641638-6298
631538-7199
621539-6298
611439-7199
26-60100
Total:2356335533653333444333333322211