Los Angeles Kings Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to Tampa Bay 1-2, playoff odds down 5.6 to 61.8%
48 points   22 18-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Los Angeles 1 Tampa Bay 2 -6.3
-0.4
-0.1
Buffalo 4 Dallas 1 +0.7
Edmonton 3 Arizona 1 -0.4
San Jose 5 Winnipeg 2 +0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Calgary vs Florida-0.9-0.9-0.7+0.2+0.2+1.1
-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
NY Rangers vs Dallas+0.8+0.2+0.2-0.5-0.6-0.6
St. Louis vs Ottawa-0.5-0.5-0.4+0.1+0.1+0.6
Vancouver vs Nashville+0.1-0.7-0.7-0.5-0.6+0.3
Anaheim vs Tampa Bay-0.3-0.3-0.3*+0.0+0.0+0.4
Colorado vs Chicago+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Los Angeles finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
124380-0In99.9%100084,248
119-121InYes10030*
118342-2In93.796495*
117332-3In90.0973341*
116333-2In89.7973926*
115323-3In81.995502,601*
114324-2In73.893706,635*
113314-3In65.39010016,073*
112304-4In55.58614036,066*
111305-3In44.182181077,369*
110295-4In33.0762310159,566*
109296-3In22.9692920308,765*
108286-4In14.2613630573,632*
107287-3In7.95242601,019,031*
106277-4In3.842499001,738,328*
105278-3In1.6335413002,836,399*
104268-4In0.5245718104,461,115*
103269-3In0.11657252006,757,192*
102259-4In0.01054314009,858,990*
1012510-3In0.06493870013,882,051*
1002410-4100.0%0.0341431210018,879,155*
992310-5100.00.0132461920024,832,358*
982311-4100.0No0234626400031,590,261*
972211-5100.0No0154234810038,897,389*
962212-499.9No09354014200046,373,061*
952112-599.7No05274321400053,576,880*
942113-499.0No021842289100060,025,526*
932013-596.9No0111373216300065,200,695*
922014-492.1No006293125710068,724,659*
911914-583.2No032127331430070,267,172*
901915-469.7No0113193623610069,769,797*
891815-552.9No0081233321320067,235,100*
881816-435.9No0046263622600062,923,531*
871716-521.5No00231735311220057,175,274*
861717-411.3No0011929362040050,439,388*
851617-55.2No0000520372980043,226,667*
841618-42.1No0002123337151035,992,534*
831518-50.7No000172641233029,074,789*
821519-40.2No000031840336022,825,829*
811419-50.1No000111364111117,389,404*
801420-40.0No00006284617212,851,718*
791320-50.0No0000320482539,224,004*
781321-40.0No00113463466,422,850*
771221-50.0No00084041104,332,102*
761222-4OutNo0043347162,836,290*
751122-5OutNo0022550231,798,577*
741123-4OutNo011850311,104,437*
731023-5OutNo00124740657,667*
721024-4OutNo0084249377,946*
711025-3OutNo053759210,385*
70925-4OutNo033167112,799*
69926-3OutNo01247458,537*
68826-4OutNo1198028,920*
67827-3OutNo0148614,008*
66727-4OutNo010906,563*
65728-3OutNo08922,854*
64628-4OutNo4961,235*
63629-3OutNo496524*
62630-2OutNo298189*
61530-3OutNo29864*
48-60OutNo10084,289*
Total:61.8%0.1%1612171314131185201,016,364,880

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Los Angeles finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupMinnesotaChicagoAnaheimSan JoseEdmontonSt. LouisNashvilleCalgaryVancouverDallasWinnipegArizonaColorado
124380-06.1%03107141014131212700
121350-3NoYes
120351-2No1325133813
119341-314.3141419551924
118342-23.2211875142215115
117332-33.80211810121313131170
116333-28.0031091381315121060
115323-36.20389141013141310500
114324-26.31310814913151210500
113314-36.20310914913151310500
112304-46.0031091491215129500
111305-36.2031091491215129500
110295-46.20311101591215129500
109296-36.30312101591215118500
108286-46.30312111691214118400
107287-36.30313121691114107400
106277-46.20314131781113107400
105278-36.2031614188101296300
104268-46.303171619791295300
103269-36.302191819791185200
102259-46.202201920681074200
1012510-36.302222121571073200
1002410-46.212232322451063100
992310-56.31225242334962100
982311-46.31126252333962100
972211-56.22127262322961100
962212-46.33227262322851000
952112-56.26227262311850000
942113-46.29326262111750000
2012-66.29326252111740000
932013-56.114424241911640000
2114-36.114424241911640000
922014-45.819521211611530000
1913-65.720521201610430000
911914-55.224617171310320000
901915-44.42561312910210000
891815-53.322598610110000
881816-42.217455310000000
871716-51.311233200000000
861717-40.76111100000000
851617-50.33111000000000
841618-40.11000000000000
831619-30.00000000000000
821519-40.000000000000
811520-30.000000000000
801420-40.0000000000
791421-30.000000000
781321-40.000000
771322-3No000
48-76No
Total:3.9%10.42.914.013.611.41.21.13.82.50.50.20.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Los Angeles 1 Tampa Bay 2 +1.2
Edmonton 3 Arizona 1 +0.1
San Jose 5 Winnipeg 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Calgary vs Florida+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Anaheim vs Tampa Bay+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1
Vancouver vs Nashville+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1
NY Rangers vs Dallas-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
124380-010000
119-121100
118342-29424
117332-39073
116333-29073
115323-3821350
114324-27419700
113314-3652510000
112304-4553113000
111305-344381701000
110295-433432211000
109296-323462722000
108286-4144633331000
107287-384436642000
106277-4439391054000000
105278-32313915571000000
104268-412336215112010000
103269-3016312741640110000
102259-40102431321702200000
1012510-306173222411134000000
1002410-4031031124163381010000
992310-5015260211973141011000
982311-40220015181222030220000
972211-50114010151712571350000
962212-400905102002710341010000
952112-500502519024136318310000
942113-40021215018121222645100000
932013-500101100128171315112100000
922014-40000060641803142143100000
911914-50000303216027231564200000
901915-4000110120191354896310000
891815-5000000701203326121394100000
881816-4000000406026139161712520000
871716-5000002301701411192014620000
861717-400001109001514222315620000
851617-50000005000261524241561000
841618-400002000027172625155100
831518-50001000002920282512300
821519-4000000001311233022810
811419-50000000151529311730
801420-400000001721352771
791320-500000003133136142
781321-40000172441244
771221-50000031640337
761222-400019354113
751122-50005284720
741123-40002214929
731023-501144738
721024-40094348
711025-30053757
70925-4033166
69926-3022574
68826-411980
67827-301485
66727-401090
65728-30892
64628-4496
63629-3496
62630-2298
61530-3298
48-60100
Total:01240336073611211312334444433210