New York Islanders Playoff Chances

Beat Washington 2-0, playoff odds up 1.6 to 97.9%
60 points   28 15-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington 0 NY Islanders 2 +1.3
+0.2
+0.2
Carolina 1 Ottawa 4 +0.2
Columbus 1 Montreal 4 -0.2
Arizona 2 Pittsburgh 3 (ot)*-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Vancouver vs Buffalo+0.3*+0.0*+0.1-0.2-0.3-0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Montreal vs Philadelphia-0.1-0.1*-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.2
Minnesota vs Columbus+0.1*-0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Boston vs NY Rangers-0.0-0.1*-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
Vegas vs Pittsburgh+0.0*-0.0*-0.0*-0.1*+0.0-0.0
+0.1*+0.0*+0.0*-0.0*-0.1-0.1
Tampa Bay vs San Jose-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.1+0.3
Edmonton vs Calgary+0.1*-0.0+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Islanders finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
130350-0In99.8%1000474
127-128InYes1004*
126321-2In90.991911*
125322-1In82.4821834*
124312-2In82.68317132*
123313-1In76.17723352*
122303-2In68.57030742*
121293-3In58.360401,653*
120294-2In49.752483,362*
119284-3In41.6445606,673*
118285-2In31.73664012,298*
117275-3In24.02971020,655*
116276-2In16.42278034,355*
115266-3In10.81683153,226*
114267-2In6.512872078,987*
113257-3In3.688930112,877*
112258-2In1.759050153,374*
111248-3In0.8389800199,879*
110238-4In0.32861200251,103*
109239-3In0.11821710302,234*
108229-4In0.00752320350,653*
1072210-3In0.00663030391,383*
1062110-4In0.00573760422,640*
1052111-3In0.0046431010439,192*
1042011-4InNo036471610441,414*
1032012-3100.0%No0264723300427,862*
1021912-4100.0No0184531600401,226*
1011913-3100.0No124038910364,065*
1001813-499.9No7334414200319,352*
991814-399.6No4254719500270,355*
981714-498.8No21846221010222,967*
971715-396.9No11243241730176,906*
961615-493.4No0738232570136,774*
951616-387.1No04312032130102,247*
941516-478.6No02241537201073,394*
931517-367.6No01171039302051,919*
921417-454.4No0012636405035,295*
911418-341.0No074304910023,157*
901318-428.9No0422354161014,653*
891319-318.7No021165523308,987*
881219-411.4No10104834605,336*
871220-36.5No106414110103,077*
861120-42.5No02314419301,740*
851121-31.6No0220462661974*
841021-40.2No0134033122504*
831022-3OutNo536331970215*
82922-4OutNo1213134841112*
81923-3OutNo28303422450*
80924-2OutNo5514411814522*
79824-3OutNo9459181811*
78724-4OutNo67333
77725-3OutNo1002
76625-4OutNo1001
74526-4OutNo1001
60035-0OutNo100474
Total:97.9%0.7%141281864200000005,919,388

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the NY Islanders finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayTorontoPittsburghWashingtonBostonColumbusMontrealBuffaloCarolinaNY RangersFloridaNew JerseyOttawaDetroitPhiladelphia
130350-08.9%3310131719229311
128341-0NoYes
127331-1No333333
126321-218.291899181818
125322-15.96669926299
124312-23.86614151719191211
123313-19.9351612161922411100
122303-29.834131316241861110
121293-37.23712141923164110000
120294-28.2461314202215411100
119284-37.63714141922164100000
118285-28.24715141922153100000
117275-37.804814151922143000000
116276-27.604815141922133000000
115266-37.75915142022122000000
114267-27.504916142022122000000
113257-37.651016142021122000000
112258-27.3051017142021112000000
111248-37.2041118132020102000000
110238-47.3041219132120102000000
109239-37.2041320122118101000000
108229-47.104142111211791000000
1072210-37.003162310221681000000
1062110-46.80318259231471000000
1052111-36.80320278241261000000
2010-56.60220278241161000000
1042011-46.5022229625951000000
2112-26.5022329625951000000
1032012-36.3022430526741000000
1911-56.3022530527741000000
1021912-46.2012732327531000000
1011913-36.1112933228421000000
1001813-45.9213033128211000000
991814-35.8503033128111000000
981714-45.6100293112610100000
971715-35.4161272802300100000
961615-45.024124240200000000
951616-34.631119190160000000
941516-43.936115140120000000
931517-33.5371101008000000
921417-42.53417606000000
911418-31.929144030000000
901318-41.3221220200
891319-30.9151110100
881320-20.7901000
871220-30.2500000
861221-20.1200
851121-30.1100
841021-4No0
60-83No
Total:6.4%3.62.320.225.26.723.210.15.21.10.10.10.10.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Washington 0 NY Islanders 2 -0.8
Columbus 1 Montreal 4 -0.2
Arizona 2 Pittsburgh 3 (ot)+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Vegas vs Pittsburgh-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Minnesota vs Columbus-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
130350-01000
127-128100
126321-2919
125322-18218
124312-28317
123313-176123
122303-268130
121293-358140
120294-250248
119284-34235600
118285-23246400
117275-324571000
116276-216577100
115266-3115812100
114267-2758342000
113257-3448273000
112258-22378124000
111248-312711860100
110238-40161259120000
109239-3014932112401000
108229-4003639124802000
1072210-30025421161303000
1062110-4001542981916000
1052111-3009386925290110
1042011-4043239295121310
1032012-3022417309153603000
1021912-401171427141541106000
1011913-30110220171361909010
1001813-407011419107260140200
991814-30400817673311905000
981714-4020414353622201010
971715-30102101434523117030
961615-400170229721225070
951616-300401219172320130
941516-40020013101233712010
931517-3001008107337230300
921417-4000048333244050
911418-3002612246471110
901318-401401158501920
891319-300201784628710
881219-4010037323616410
871220-3010152034251131
861120-4002925302193000
851121-3001313252917920
841021-401715292318520
831022-3271628241671
82922-41820252415511
81923-38828301610
80924-259143223595
79824-39189189279
78724-46733
77725-35050
76625-4100
74526-4100
60035-0199
Total:1120214414662916040200000000000000