New York Islanders Playoff Chances

Beat St. Louis 3-2, playoff odds up 3 to 14.5%
27 points   11 10-5

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
NY Islanders 3 St. Louis 2 +2.0
+0.0
Philadelphia 6 Edmonton 5 -0.3
Montreal 5 New Jersey 2 +0.3
Los Angeles 1 Carolina 3 -0.3
Tampa Bay 1 Vancouver 5 +0.2
Boston 2 Colorado 4 +0.2
Florida 1 Pittsburgh 5 -0.1
Winnipeg 1 NY Rangers 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
New Jersey vs St. Louis-0.3-0.3-0.2*+0.1*+0.1+0.5
Buffalo vs Washington+0.3*+0.0*+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.3
Chicago vs NY Rangers+0.1*-0.0*+0.0*-0.1*-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Islanders finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
119-139InYes100736*
118449-3In66.7%67336*
117417-8In89.5895519*
116429-5In83.38541048*
1154210-4In77.582313189*
1144110-5In64.4727192163*
1134010-6In58.06514201293*
1124011-5In41.64617343592*
1113911-6In34.040153590978*
1103811-7In22.63015431111,722*
1093812-6In14.822164615102,807*
1083712-7In9.415144522304,586*
1073713-6In4.610114528607,229*
1063613-7100.0%2.059423491011,112*
1053614-6100.00.8373539152016,552*
1043514-799.90.31428422140024,563*
1033515-699.70.1132141286034,860*
1023415-799.20.001153834111048,485*
1013416-698.20.00193239172066,385*
1003316-796.1No0052541244088,158*
993317-692.8No003184031700115,242*
983217-787.1No00112363812100146,564*
973218-678.5No017294219300183,558*
963118-767.0No004214227610222,993*
953119-653.1No00213383411200266,586*
943019-738.3No0173038194100311,396*
933020-624.5No00321382792000355,667*
922920-713.7No0011231321751000397,576*
912921-66.5No0006223324113000436,029*
902821-72.6No0002132830187100467,881*
892822-60.9No0001720292613410490,637*
882722-70.3No000312253021820504,062*
872723-60.1No00161729281540508,395*
862623-70.0No00021024312381501,087*
852624-60.0No0015173030153484,826*
842524-70.0No0002102534236456,688*
832525-6OutNo001519343110425,226*
822425-7OutNo000212313817386,091*
812426-6OutNo0017254225344,383*
802326-7OutNo0004184335300,491*
792327-6OutNo002124045255,359*
782227-7OutNo00183655213,544*
772228-6OutNo0053065175,474*
762128-7OutNo0032473140,232*
752129-6OutNo0011980110,364*
742029-7OutNo01148684,944*
732030-6OutNo00109064,358*
721930-7OutNo0079347,558*
711931-6OutNo059534,161*
701831-7OutNo039724,263*
691832-6OutNo29816,517*
681732-7OutNo019911,519*
671733-6OutNo1997,579*
661633-7OutNo01004,784*
651634-6OutNo01003,023*
641534-7OutNo01001,903*
631535-6OutNo1001,120*
621435-7OutNo0100703*
27-61OutNo1001,574*
Total:14.5%0.0%00124899910111213138,813,740

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the NY Islanders finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupMontrealColumbusNY RangersPittsburghWashingtonBostonOttawaPhiladelphiaTampa BayNew JerseyTorontoDetroitCarolinaFloridaBuffalo
139560-02.9%01510172422142522311
121446-6NoYes
119448-4No171717171717
118449-316.717333317
117417-85.35162142511
116429-5No151315212234242
1154210-42.2111229162116714
1144110-50.6211315191114182311
1134010-61.001918191411121711400
1124011-51.51920201711101711310
1113911-61.81211922181091510200
1103811-71.51212322161181410200
1093812-61.71232421160161300200
1083712-71.82242520161060300200
1073713-62.14222521161050300200
1063613-71.96242420141150200100
1053614-62.010232419141151200100
1043514-71.814222318121141200100
1033515-61.718212216111141200100
1023415-71.822202115102231110100
1013416-61.82620201392231110100
1003316-71.72819191282221110100
3215-91.62919191282221110100
993317-61.73019181062221110000
3418-41.63019181062221110000
983217-71.6291818962211110000
3116-91.6291817952211110000
973218-61.3281716842211000000
3117-81.4271716741211000000
3319-41.3271716841211000000
963118-71.1231614641111000000
3219-51.3241614741111000000
3017-91.1231514631111000000
953119-60.9191312531100000000
3018-80.8181311531100000000
3220-40.9181311531100000000
943019-70.614109320000000000
2918-90.612108320000000000
933020-60.4876210000000000
3121-40.4875210000000000
922920-70.2443110000000000
912921-60.1222100000000000
902821-70.0111000000000000
892822-60.000000000000000
882823-50.000000000000000
872723-60.0000000000
862623-70.0000000
852624-6No000
842524-7No0
27-83No
Total:0.3%4.53.43.11.61.00.20.20.20.10.10.10.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
NY Islanders 3 St. Louis 2 -0.5
FridayNone

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
119-139100
118449-36733
117417-88955
116429-5832410
1154210-47843131
1144110-56477192
1134010-658614201
1124011-5424170343
1113911-634615350090
1103811-72371504300111
1093812-615715045101510
1083712-796140441122030
1073713-655111422128060
1063613-7239137323400910
1053614-612612942390015020
1043514-70131205304110210400
1033515-6002113530401028060
1023415-70011753036213401110
1013416-600003430283139017020
1003316-70001220204204102440
993317-6000011012420401310700
983217-70000010642034138012100
973218-6000000232026242019300
963118-700000122018342027610
953119-6000001101033713411200
943019-700000005329238194100
933020-600000022183372792000
922920-700000019330321751000
912921-600000042203225123100
902821-70000001111253021920000
892822-600000141527271772000
882722-70000171827251561000
872723-60000281927231351000
862623-7000013102026221251000
852624-60001411212621124100
842524-700001412222620103100
832525-6000015142426198200
822425-70002716262616510
812426-60000392029251230
802326-700141325302061
792327-600017183128122
782227-700003112734204
772228-6000162035298
762128-7000313333714
752129-60018274222
742029-70004204431
732030-6002154340
721930-7001103950
711931-60063559
701831-7042968
691832-6022375
681732-7011881
671733-611485
661633-701090
651634-60892
641534-7694
631535-60496
621435-7298
611436-6298
601336-7298
591337-6298
27-58100
Total:000000001000407198777666666543