New York Islanders Playoff Chances

Lost to Carolina 2-4, playoff odds down 6.3 to 75.8%
24 points   11 7-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Carolina 4 NY Islanders 2 -3.6
-0.3
-0.9
Anaheim 3 Florida 2 +0.1
Detroit 3 Colorado 4 (ot)+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington vs Calgary-0.3-0.3-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.5
Minnesota vs New Jersey+0.3*-0.0*+0.0-0.3-0.4-0.3
Buffalo vs Columbus+0.3*+0.0+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
Toronto vs Arizona-0.1-0.1-0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.2
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Islanders finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
129-148InYes10012,535*
128508-4In99.2%991262*
127498-5In99.1991563*
126488-6In99.49911,087*
125489-5In98.29822,103*
124479-6In97.19734,035*
1234710-5In96.59737,361*
1224610-6In94.9964012,523*
1214611-5In92.4936021,874*
1204511-6In89.3919036,530*
1194512-5In86.18911059,541*
1184412-6In81.78515094,181*
1174413-5In76.281190146,066*
1164313-6In70.076231220,052*
1154213-7In62.6712810323,867*
1144214-6In54.4653320467,384*
1134114-7In45.7583930654,798*
1124115-6In36.85145400900,070*
1114015-7In28.144515001,210,092*
1104016-6In20.237568001,590,874*
1093916-7In13.5295911002,045,039*
1083917-6In8.22362141002,576,098*
1073817-7In4.51763191003,174,938*
1063818-6In2.11262242003,829,427*
1053718-7In0.9859304004,528,184*
1043719-6100.0%0.35543560005,250,892*
1033619-7100.00.134740101005,955,472*
1023620-6100.00.013943142006,634,519*
1013520-7100.00.0131452030007,239,184*
1003521-6100.00.0023442661007,749,434*
993421-799.90.001640321020008,132,560*
983422-699.7No01134361530008,373,928*
973322-799.0No06273820710008,455,759*
963323-697.2No042037251230008,392,396*
953223-793.2No0213332719610008,165,344*
943224-685.8No0182625261130007,790,151*
933124-774.1No0419213019610007,297,812*
923125-658.5No021314292612300006,710,405*
913025-741.5No0178253020710006,057,980*
903026-625.8No00441730271341005,363,048*
892926-714.0No002210243121820004,671,734*
882927-66.5No001151729281540003,993,629*
872827-72.6No000021024312381003,344,025*
862828-60.9No00015163030154002,756,137*
852728-70.2No0000292433237102,229,617*
842729-60.1No00001517323013201,767,676*
832629-70.0No0000210273521501,378,442*
822630-60.0No00016203629911,053,164*
812530-70.0No0003133335142791,209*
802531-60.0No000182739213583,634*
792431-7OutNo00042040296423,750*
782432-6OutNo00214383610300,660*
772332-7OutNo0019334215208,998*
762333-6OutNo006274621143,609*
752233-7OutNo00322472896,290*
742234-6OutNo0216463663,469*
732134-7OutNo0111444440,442*
722135-6OutNo08405226,041*
712035-7OutNo05356016,001*
702036-6OutNo0330679,957*
691936-7OutNo0223755,897*
681937-6OutNo119803,445*
671837-7OutNo115841,948*
661838-6OutNo110891,101*
651738-7OutNo01189619*
641739-6OutNo694324*
631740-5OutNo595181*
621640-6OutNo59591*
611540-7OutNo29852*
24-60OutNo10012,338*
Total:75.8%2.0%41819179875432110153,412,848

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the NY Islanders finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayTorontoColumbusNew JerseyCarolinaDetroitOttawaPhiladelphiaNY RangersBostonWashingtonPittsburghFloridaMontrealBuffalo
148620-07.3%03911117811117108311
135545-3No333333
133514-714.31414431414
132526-4No81717172588
131516-53.4314211033714717
130517-43.721571713119667422
129507-511.93998101010101112521
128508-46.92811116101510461230
127498-59.2381113871197107311
126488-67.6021010118812116108311
125489-56.10391112681111699311
124479-67.202911127711117108311
1234710-57.603911117811107108211
1224610-67.503911118711107109310
1214611-57.3021011127711107108311
1204511-67.203101112771110798311
1194512-57.2031011127711117108310
1184412-67.3031011127711117108310
1174413-57.103101112771111798310
1164313-67.203101112771110798310
1154213-77.203101112771110798310
1144214-67.203111212771110698210
1134114-77.203111212771110698210
1124115-67.103111213771110697210
1114015-77.003121313771010697210
1104016-67.003121313771010687210
1093916-76.90313131477109687210
1083917-66.80313141477109687210
1073817-76.80314141466109587210
1063818-66.70315151566109586210
1053718-76.60216161566109576100
1043719-66.50217171655109476100
1033619-76.41218171654109476100
1023620-66.21219181744109376100
1013520-76.11219191733109376100
1003521-65.92220191833109276100
993421-75.83221201822108276100
983422-65.64221201822108176000
973322-75.4722119171198165000
963323-65.21132018161197165000
953223-74.91541917141176054000
943224-64.42041614121165043000
933124-73.7225131191143032000
923125-62.82259860032022000
913025-72.01846540021011000
903026-61.21233320011010000
892926-70.6712110000000000
882927-60.3411100000000000
872827-70.1100000000000000
862828-60.0100000000000000
852728-70.0000000000000000
842729-60.000000000000000
832730-50.0000000000000
822630-60.0000000000
812631-50.00
802329-10No0
24-79No
Total:4.4%6.92.413.812.911.62.22.26.85.81.74.84.00.50.20.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Carolina 4 NY Islanders 2 +0.9
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Buffalo vs Columbus-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Minnesota vs New Jersey-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Washington vs Calgary+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
129-148100
128508-4991
127498-59901
126488-69901
125489-59802
124479-69703
1234710-59703
1224610-695140
1214611-592160
1204511-689290
1194512-58621100
1184412-68241500
1174413-57651900
1164313-6706230100
1154213-76382801000
1144214-654113302000
1134114-746133903000
1124115-6371444140000
1114015-7281649150000
1104016-62016532700000
1093916-7131655491100000
1083917-68155571212010000
1073817-741253101423010000
1063818-621047151545020000
1053718-717401915680400000
1043719-60430231391206000000
1033619-7032125101217181001000
1023620-6011425614212112102000
1013520-70182331323513520300000
1003521-60041911122913940601000
993421-7002140818131113809120000
983422-6011005131771711112330000
973322-700602717417143137601000
963323-600301415115146121310230000
953223-7002001110101210918145610000
943224-600100706812520151010310000
933124-700004034122191218158310000
923125-6000020121011472216158310000
913025-700010017083221319158310000
903026-6000000040411671621179310000
892926-7000002020103101923189310000
882927-6000010105141221241810310000
872827-700000002015132224191031000
862828-60000001002614222518930000
852728-70000000271524251782000
842729-600000000281725251561000
832629-7000000139202724123000
822630-600000014122429208100
812530-700001617282815400
802531-600000310233223810
792431-7000151630301530
782432-600021025342260
772332-70015183530101
762333-6002123136162
752233-700172539243
742234-60041940316
732134-70021337389
722135-6019324414
712035-7005274919
702036-603215026
691936-702154934
681937-601114741
671837-7174548
661838-6144055
651738-743759
641739-612970
631740-512575
621640-621681
611540-71783
601541-61288
591340-91783
24-58100
Total:22108347645434545333322221111000