Tampa Bay Lightning Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 7.9 to 25.3%
83 points   37 29-9

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Boston 4 Nashville 1 -4.1
-0.3
Toronto 3 Florida 2 -2.8
-0.2
Carolina 4 Detroit 1 -1.3
-0.1
Philadelphia 3 Ottawa 2 (so)-0.1
WednesdayNone

What If

Chances based on how well the Tampa Bay finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
9770-0100.0%No128656017,438,379
9660-198.7No01265221029,444,774
9561-095.0No5553650091,318,217
50-292.1No3464380021,540,377
9451-178.0No130472020133,577,834
40-370.8No1224826308,753,512
9352-059.6No016433560207,146,134
41-250.9No01140418081,410,002
30-443.0No0736461102,133,545
9242-127.9No0424502120252,504,168
31-320.6No021850273026,469,410
20-515.8No0114493140311,219
9143-013.2No0212463560261,026,685
32-29.0No018434080123,137,789
21-46.0No0639451004,838,694
10-64.2No04374712025,498
9033-12.4No022750190254,561,088
22-31.3No01215225130,019,607
11-50.7No011751301472,605
00-70.1No01651321854
8934-00.6No0113483530197,388,482
23-20.3No001046413093,106,443
12-40.1No0074246403,658,597
01-60.0No0639486019,193
8824-10.0No0033155110144,395,142
13-30.0No02265913015,138,595
02-5OutNo12161170177,711
8725-00.0No001165626189,539,486
14-20.0No00135729135,207,963
03-4OutNo01056322924,377
8615-1OutNo0443457043,675,711
04-3OutNo034247802,858,795
8516-0OutNo012456181022,571,676
05-2OutNo01225521105,323,861
8406-1OutNo084241805,507,720
8307-0OutNo0225492232,621,317
Total:25.3%No0191626261751002,208,245,460

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Tampa Bay finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWashingtonColumbusPittsburghNY RangersMontrealOttawaTorontoBoston
9770-06.3%5101275672
9660-16.217510195052
9561-05.92781154032
50-25.83292103531
9451-14.93610262211
40-34.43610241711
9352-03.7339141200
41-23.231812900
30-42.728711600
9242-11.718511400
31-31.314410200
20-51.011300100
9143-00.89200100
32-20.66200100
21-40.441000
10-60.231000
9033-10.220000
22-30.110000
11-50.010000
00-7No0
8934-00.000000
23-20.000000
12-40.000000
01-6No00
8824-10.000000
13-30.0000
02-5No
8725-00.000000
14-20.0000
03-4No
83-86No
Total:1.6%12.23.30.50.02.16.60.40.2
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Boston 4 Nashville 1 +0.2
Toronto 3 Florida 2 +0.1
Carolina 4 Detroit 1 +0.1
Edmonton 2 Los Angeles 1 -0.1
WednesdayNone

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9770-010282738600
9660-10012125319410
9561-0054512313500
50-233432716800
9451-1112918292020
40-3102218302630
9352-000168353560
41-200117324180
30-400772946110
9242-1004222502120
31-3002117502730
20-501113493140
9143-00020114635600
32-2001084340800
21-400639451100
10-60043647130
9033-100227502010
22-300121512610
11-500117503120
00-701650322
8934-0001134536500
23-200094341600
12-40074046700
01-6053748900
8824-100327521720
13-30223551920
02-5118552330
8725-0001114535800
14-20094436910
03-40742381110
8615-102264324400
04-302254425500
8516-00083239173000
05-20073039194000
8406-10212333515300
8307-00021332331630
Total:001184122625165200000