Pittsburgh Penguins Playoff Chances 50/50

Beat Minnesota 4-1, playoff odds down 1.7 to 39.5%

88 points 39 30-10

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Stanley Cup
Pittsburgh 4 Minnesota 1	+15.3		+1.0
NY Islanders 6 Tampa Bay 1	-6.5		-0.4
Florida 7 Ottawa 2	-6.4		-0.4
Detroit 6 Buffalo 7 (so)	-0.8		*-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Stanley Cup
Detroit vs Pittsburgh	-21.0-7.6-7.6+15.8+17.5+17.5		-1.3-0.5-0.5+1.0+1.1+1.1
NY Islanders vs Philadelphia	-7.6-7.6-5.7-1.0-1.0+10.6		-0.5-0.5-0.4*-0.0-0.1+0.7
Washington vs Florida	+10.6-0.9-0.9-5.8-7.6-7.6		+0.7-0.1-0.1-0.3-0.5-0.5
Buffalo vs Carolina	-1.2-1.3-0.5+0.9+0.9+1.3		-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres	Division seed				Conference seed (wildcard race)
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1a	1b	2	3	WCb	WCa	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

94	3	0		-	0	95.4	%	No					62	34	5								1,527,632
93	2	0		-	1	71.5		No					22	49	28	1							1,246,734
92	2	1		-	0	54.0		No					11	43	44	2							3,332,306
	1	0		-	2	51.4		No					10	42	46	3							338,305
91	1	1		-	1	16.6		No					1	16	71	13							1,812,460
	0	0		-	3	15.8		No					1	15	68	16							30,867
90	1	2		-	0	7.4		No					0	7	72	20							2,426,140
	0	1		-	2	6.7		No					0	7	66	27							245,855
89	0	2		-	1	Out		No							54	46							658,895
88	0	3		-	0	Out		No							44	56							591,542

Total:						39.5	%	No					13	26	48	12							12,210,736

First round opponent based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season. Explain


If finish:									Chance will play in first round
TP		W		L	-	OT	Win Cup		Boston	Carolina	New Jersey	NY Rangers

94		3	0		-	0	6.0	%	34	48	14	0
93		2	0		-	1	4.5		49	18	4	0
92		2	1		-	0	3.4		43	9	2	0
		1	0		-	2	3.2		42	8	2	0
91		1	1		-	1	1.0		16	1	0
		0	0		-	3	1.0		15	1	0
90		1	2		-	0	0.5		7	0	0
		0	1		-	2	0.4		7	0	0
88	-89						No

Total:							2.5	%	26.1	10.6	2.8	0.0

Points (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Pittsburgh 4 Minnesota 1	-0.8
NY Islanders 6 Tampa Bay 1	+0.2
Florida 7 Ottawa 2	+0.2
Nashville 3 Carolina 0	+0.1
Detroit 6 Buffalo 7 (so)	+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Detroit vs Pittsburgh	+1.0+0.3+0.3-0.7-0.8-0.8
NY Islanders vs Philadelphia	+0.2+0.2+0.2+0.0+0.0-0.3
Washington vs Florida	-0.3+0.0+0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
Vancouver vs Calgary	-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Buffalo vs Carolina	+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Winnipeg vs Nashville	-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

94	3	0		-	0														62	12	21	4	0	0
93	2	0		-	1														22	5	44	17	10	1	0
92	2	1		-	0														11	1	42	13	25	9	0
	1	0		-	2														10	1	41	13	26	9	0
91	1	1		-	1														1	0	16	5	35	37	6
	0	0		-	3														1	0	15	5	34	38	7
90	1	2		-	0														0		7	1	19	58	15
	0	1		-	2														0		7	1	17	55	20
89	0	2		-	1																		5	53	42
88	0	3		-	0																		1	44	55

Total:																			13	2	24	7	18	26	9