Pittsburgh Penguins Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.004 to 99.9%
82 points   37 14-8

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington 2 Edmonton 1 -1.5
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1
+2.6+2.6+2.2-0.8-0.8-3.1
Columbus vs NY Islanders-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.3
New Jersey vs NY Rangers+0.2+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Nashville vs Washington+1.8+0.2+0.2-1.3-1.5-1.5

What If

Chances based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
128230-0In100.0%1000172,098
127220-1In99.910001,418
126221-0In99.810008,077*
125211-1In99.5100029,514*
124201-2In99.0991102,287*
123202-1In98.1982286,628*
122192-2In96.59730751,645*
121193-1In94.095501,713,696*
120183-2In90.491903,677,232*
119184-1In85.1871307,106,035*
118174-2In78.281190013,002,872*
117164-3In69.574260021,819,574*
116165-2In59.3660340034,796,425*
115155-3In47.9560431051,591,585*
114156-2In36.3460522072,897,301*
113146-3In25.3360595096,503,496*
112147-2In16.026065900121,997,375*
111137-3In8.9180661510145,319,010*
110138-2In4.3110642320165,552,190*
109128-3In1.76058324085,423,572
139-1In1.87058324092,885,895*
108129-2In0.63049407088,315,244
118-4In0.63048418095,640,242*
107119-3In0.110374813086,113,463
1210-1In0.220384713093,656,219*
1061110-2In0.0102751210168,374,324*
1051010-3In0.0001850310149,557,841*
1041011-2In0.0001146430127,321,428*
103911-3100.0%0.0006395400102,815,355*
102912-2100.00.000331651079,541,299*
101812-3100.0No00122742058,313,795*
100813-2100.0No00115804040,935,921*
99713-3100.0No00098380027,179,970*
98714-299.9No05821300017,252,832*
97614-399.5No03772000010,317,989*
96615-298.5No0169281005,893,388*
95515-395.5No01573840003,158,144*
94516-287.9No04246111001,609,502*
93416-372.8No02647225100763,307*
92417-250.4No0123833133000344,080*
91418-127.0No04233526102000143,043*
90318-210.5No19253222810055,204*
89319-12.9No031228321961019,556*
88219-20.6No014153129154006,625*
87220-10.1No01517323112301,911*
86120-2OutNo01922352571475*
85121-1OutNo3144029122100*
84021-2OutNo1938331021*
83022-1OutNo2020605
82023-0OutNo005234725171,852
Total:99.9%8.6%1203729201000000002,073,141,060

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWashingtonColumbusNY RangersMontrealOttawaTorontoNY IslandersBostonFloridaBuffaloTampa BayPhiladelphiaCarolinaNew JerseyDetroit
128230-06.3%0234575076233711
127220-15.4143475175234710
126221-06.30234475076235721
125211-16.10234474976225721
124201-26.20234475066225720
123202-16.20334464966225721
122192-26.30443464866225720
121193-16.30553464765226720
120183-26.30763464565226620
119184-16.20983354365226620
118174-26.2012103354055225620
117164-36.2116123343754225520
116165-26.3120152343244125420
115155-36.2225192232833114410
114156-26.3330232232332114310
113146-36.3534261121822113210
112147-26.2638301121321112210
111137-36.284132111911002110
148-16.284132111911002110
110138-26.394334111611001100
127-46.2104334111611001100
109128-36.3114435221311001000
139-16.2114435221311001000
108129-26.2114435331211000000
118-46.2114335331211000000
107119-36.2104133552111000000
1210-16.2104133552111000000
1061110-26.3103831773121000000
109-46.2103730883121000000
1051010-36.28332611124032000000
1111-16.28332711114032000000
1041011-26.27282215165042000000
103911-36.25221819207053110000
102912-26.25171322248064110000
101812-36.24121025279074110000
100813-26.2587273010075110000
99713-36.2754273110075110000
98714-26.21143273110075110000
97614-36.21633252910075110000
96615-26.2233322269064110000
95515-36.0314318227053110000
94516-25.537541316503200000
93416-34.53854810302100000
92417-23.1304445201100000
91418-11.71732121000000
90318-20.77110100000
89319-10.12000000
88219-20.100000
87220-1No00
82-86No
Total:6.2%7.833.326.37.47.93.26.42.61.80.50.51.00.80.30.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Washington 2 Edmonton 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia-0.6-0.6-0.5+0.1+0.1+0.7
Columbus vs NY Islanders+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.0-0.0-0.2
New Jersey vs NY Rangers-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
Nashville vs Washington-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
128230-01000
127220-110000
126221-010000
125211-110000
124201-29901
123202-19802
122192-297030
121193-194150
120183-290190
119184-1852130
118174-278319000
117164-370426000
116165-2596034000
115155-3488043010
114156-23610052020
113146-325110059050
112147-2161000641900
111137-3990065215010
110138-24700613023020
109128-32500526032040
139-12500535032040
108129-21300428040070
118-41300408041080
107119-301002890480130
1210-101002990470130
1061110-2010018100510210
1051010-300001080050003100
1041011-20000560046004300
103911-300002400390054000
102912-200001200300065010
101812-30000100221074020
100813-200001001410080040
99713-30000008100820800
98714-200004100811130000
97614-300002100752200000
96615-20000100654280100
95515-300000005073804000
94516-20000321046011100
93416-300001610452225100
92417-20005734433143000
91418-10131763426112000
90318-2015423322392000
89319-1012102431228200
88219-20002112530209200
87220-1002102229231031
86120-2039222923113
85121-131021312015
84021-2519481910
83022-120202040
82023-000141328321840
Total:94003350029000200100000000000000