Eastern Conference Playoff Chances 50/50

NY Islanders +0.4, NY Rangers -1.5
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupPres TrophyDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
WednesdayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change%Change1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516RPIThursday
Boston10014414-1253In6.3%+0.086.7%-1.993250002Boston Bruins
Tampa Bay9214321-650100.0%6.2+0.03.3-0.3419410000001PhiladelphiaTampa Bay Lightning
Washington9024120-82599.6+0.06.21.4-0.1248311441000003DetroitWashington Capitals
Philadelphia8924121-73699.2+0.06.2+0.00.7-0.11343620621000006at Tampa BayPhiladelphia Flyers
Pittsburgh8624023-62894.5+0.15.9+0.00.1-0.001324341684100007at ColumbusPittsburgh Penguins
Toronto8113625-91171.7+0.14.5+0.00.0001671361012100016NashvilleToronto Maple Leafs
Carolina8133825-52969.3+0.44.3+0.00.0-0.00151527221510500008at New JerseyCarolina Hurricanes
NY Islanders8033523-10-156.9+0.43.6+0.00.00139212320149100013at CalgaryNew York Islanders
Columbus8113322-15-743.7+0.42.7+0.00.000151621221914100023PittsburghColumbus Blue Jackets
Florida7823526-8339.2+0.12.4+0.00.00003225111827410020at DallasFlorida Panthers
NY RangersLColorado 2-3 (ot)7913728-51225.5-1.51.6-0.10.00002815222624300014New York Rangers
Buffalo6823031-8-220.10.0No0000013313031327at MontrealBuffalo Sabres
Montreal713131-9-90.10.0No0000003353425224BuffaloMontreal Canadiens
New Jersey6822829-12-410.00.0No000002243336425CarolinaNew Jersey Devils
OttawaLLos Angeles 2-3622534-12-52Out-0.0No-0.0No000189130Ottawa Senators
Detroit391749-5-122OutNoNo10031at WashingtonDetroit Red Wings

16 teams will qualify for the Stanley Cup Playoffs. The format is a set bracket that is largely division-based with wild cards. The top three teams in each division will make up the first 12 teams in the playoffs. The remaining four spots will be filled by the next two highest-placed finishers in each conference, based on regular-season record and regardless of division. It is possible for one division in each conference to send five teams to the postseason while the other sends just three.

The percent after the team score is the chance of winning in regulation based on current second and
either home/away actual score or home/away goal differential. Please send any issues to cbosse86 at gmail dot com.

Adam updates the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Wednesday
Colorado 3 NY Rangers 2 (ot)
10:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Boston-0.9
Tampa Bay-0.1
Pittsburgh+0.1
Toronto+0.1
Carolina+0.4
NY Islanders+0.4
Columbus+0.4
Florida+0.1
NY Rangers-1.5
-0.1
*No
Anaheim 2 St. Louis 4
10:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Boston-1.1
Tampa Bay-0.2
Washington-0.1
Thursday
Columbus vs PittsburghIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington99.699.699.699.699.699.7
Philadelphia99.199.199.199.299.299.3
Pittsburgh90.994.294.397.097.297.5
5.75.9*5.96.16.16.1
0.00.00.00.10.10.1
Toronto71.471.271.2*71.771.772.2
Carolina67.567.067.969.769.671.6
4.24.24.24.44.34.5
NY Islanders54.954.155.157.257.159.7
3.43.43.43.63.63.7
Columbus53.652.850.641.041.032.2
3.43.33.22.62.62.0
0.0*0.0*0.0*No*NoNo
Florida38.538.438.539.339.240.0
2.42.42.4*2.5*2.52.5
NY Rangers24.323.523.525.225.127.4
1.51.51.51.61.61.7
Calgary vs NY IslandersHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
9:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington99.799.699.699.699.699.6
Philadelphia99.399.299.299.199.199.1
Pittsburgh95.294.694.694.094.094.0
Toronto72.371.871.771.371.271.2
Carolina71.869.769.867.767.367.3
4.54.44.44.24.24.2
NY Islanders46.355.455.464.465.665.6
2.93.53.54.04.14.1
Columbus46.944.344.341.741.241.1
2.92.82.82.62.62.6
Florida40.239.439.438.538.338.3
2.52.5*2.52.42.42.4
NY Rangers28.125.725.723.523.523.5
1.81.61.61.51.51.5
Dallas vs FloridaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
8:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Pittsburgh94.794.694.694.494.494.4
Toronto77.872.872.867.466.766.7
4.94.64.54.24.24.2
Carolina70.269.669.668.968.668.6
4.44.34.44.34.34.3
NY Islanders57.957.257.256.456.156.1
3.63.63.63.53.53.5
Columbus44.844.044.043.242.842.9
2.82.72.82.72.72.7
Florida29.237.137.145.747.447.5
1.82.32.32.93.03.0
NY Rangers26.225.625.625.025.025.0
New Jersey vs CarolinaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington99.799.699.699.699.699.6
Philadelphia99.399.299.299.199.199.1
Pittsburgh95.094.694.694.294.194.1
Toronto72.371.871.871.371.371.3
Carolina59.868.168.175.777.177.1
3.74.34.34.74.84.8
NY Islanders59.357.357.355.655.055.0
3.73.63.63.53.43.4
Columbus46.544.244.242.041.541.5
2.92.82.82.62.62.6
Florida40.139.339.338.638.438.4
2.52.5*2.52.42.42.4
NY Rangers27.825.625.623.723.723.7
1.71.6*1.61.51.51.5
Toronto vs NashvilleHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Pittsburgh94.494.494.594.694.694.7
Toronto78.878.877.370.770.763.0
4.94.94.84.44.43.9
0.0*0.0*No*0.0*NoNo
Carolina68.968.968.969.469.469.9
NY Islanders56.456.456.557.057.057.6
Columbus43.243.243.243.843.844.4
Florida34.234.235.539.939.945.3
2.12.12.22.52.52.8
NY Rangers25.225.225.225.625.625.9
Buffalo0.10.10.10.10.10.2
Montreal0.10.10.10.10.10.2
Tampa Bay vs PhiladelphiaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Boston85.885.786.187.087.087.8
Tampa Bay5.04.94.42.62.61.4
Philadelphia98.599.399.299.699.799.7
0.20.50.51.01.11.1
Carolina69.4*69.3*69.369.269.269.2
NY Islanders57.1*56.9*56.956.856.856.8
Columbus43.9*43.7*43.743.743.643.6
NY Rangers25.625.5*25.525.425.425.4
Washington vs DetroitHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Boston86.286.386.387.087.087.3
Tampa Bay3.23.23.23.33.33.4
Washington99.999.999.999.799.799.3
2.12.12.01.11.10.5
NY Islanders56.956.956.9*56.9*56.957.0
Columbus43.743.743.7*43.7*43.743.8
NY Rangers25.525.525.525.5*25.525.6
Montreal vs BuffaloHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Buffalo0.00.10.10.20.20.2
Montreal0.20.20.20.10.10.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

BostonTampa BayWashingtonPhiladelphiaPittsburghTorontoCarolinaNY IslandersColumbusFloridaNY RangersBuffaloMontrealNew JerseyOttawa
Boston0.01.02.07.45.920.822.020.36.414.00.00.00.0No
Tampa Bay0.00.10.20.464.51.01.21.030.80.60.10.10.0No
Washington1.00.117.230.70.520.014.49.80.85.00.00.00.0
Philadelphia2.00.217.236.30.418.112.08.20.74.00.00.00.0
Pittsburgh7.40.430.736.30.27.86.13.70.31.40.00.00.0
Toronto5.964.50.50.40.20.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Carolina20.81.020.018.17.80.00.90.40.00.30.00.00.0
NY Islanders22.01.214.412.06.10.00.90.20.00.10.0NoNo
Columbus20.31.09.88.23.70.00.40.20.00.10.0No
Florida6.430.80.80.70.30.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
NY Rangers14.00.65.04.01.40.00.30.10.10.0NoNo
Buffalo0.00.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0No
Montreal0.00.10.00.00.00.00.0No0.0
New Jersey0.00.00.00.00.00.0NoNoNo
OttawaNoNo