Eastern Conference Playoff Chances 50/50

Boston +5.3, Pittsburgh -5.8
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupPres TrophyDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
SaturdayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change%Change1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516RPISunday
Tampa BayLNY Islanders 3-5322153-22891.1%-1.75.7%-0.120.6%-4.93317221243222111002Tampa Bay Lightning
TorontoWMontreal 6-0281147-01675.4+4.74.7+0.36.4+1.3129241965544432213Toronto Maple Leafs
New JerseyLWinnipeg 2-5253115-3368.4-4.84.3-0.35.0-1.810121715876654432110New Jersey Devils
NY IslandersWTampa Bay 5-3243116-2964.4+4.94.0+0.34.0+0.8811161487765544324at CarolinaNew York Islanders
Columbus252127-1863.7+0.24.0+0.03.7+0.0710161588766544325Columbus Blue Jackets
OttawaLArizona 2-3 (ot)22484-6360.2-0.23.8-0.03.1-0.2651718766666554328at NY RangersOttawa Senators
PittsburghLChicago 1-225118-3-1652.5-5.83.3-0.41.9-0.8471213888776655312Pittsburgh Penguins
Detroit222108-2648.7+0.63.0+0.01.5+0.0331316777777766519ColoradoDetroit Red Wings
CarolinaWBuffalo 3-120486-4248.3+5.03.0+0.31.7+0.4461112788777766416NY IslandersCarolina Hurricanes
WashingtonWMinnesota 3-1231119-1-546.8+5.12.9+0.31.4+0.3361112788877766415Washington Capitals
BostonWSan Jose 3-120387-4-644.6+5.32.8+0.31.2+0.3331114767777777623Boston Bruins
NY Rangers20299-2-437.6+0.22.3+0.00.8+0.024810778888888724OttawaNew York Rangers
PhiladelphiaLCalgary 4-5 (ot)20288-4037.1-0.82.3-0.00.8-0.124810678888888725Philadelphia Flyers
FloridaLLos Angeles 0-4163710-2-1024.6-4.71.5-0.30.3-0.211584567891011121422at AnaheimFlorida Panthers
MontrealLToronto 0-6181811-2-2323.4-4.71.5-0.30.2-0.111584567891011131429Montreal Canadiens
BuffaloLCarolina 1-3142511-4-2513.2-3.30.8-0.20.1-0.10124234568912162630Buffalo Sabres

16 teams will qualify for the Stanley Cup Playoffs. The format is a set bracket that is largely division-based with wild cards. The top three teams in each division will make up the first 12 teams in the playoffs. The remaining four spots will be filled by the next two highest-placed finishers in each conference, based on regular-season record and regardless of division. It is possible for one division in each conference to send five teams to the postseason while the other sends just three.

The percent after the team score is the chance of winning in regulation based on current second and
either home/away actual score or home/away goal differential. Please send any issues to cbosse86 at gmail dot com.

Adam updates the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Saturday
Pittsburgh 1 Chicago 2
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Toronto+0.3
New Jersey+0.4
NY Islanders+0.5
Columbus+0.4
Pittsburgh-5.5
-0.3
-0.8
Detroit+0.3
Carolina+0.6
Washington+0.4
NY Rangers+0.6
Philadelphia+0.5
Montreal 0 Toronto 6
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Toronto+4.3
+0.3
+1.2
Montreal-5.2
-0.3
-0.2
Buffalo 1 Carolina 3
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
New Jersey-0.2
NY Islanders*-0.1
Pittsburgh-0.3
Carolina+4.5
+0.3
+0.4
Buffalo-3.7
-0.2
Los Angeles 4 Florida 0
4:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Toronto+0.5
Columbus+0.3
Ottawa+0.4
Pittsburgh+0.3
Detroit+0.6
Boston+0.4
Philadelphia+0.3
Florida-4.8
-0.3
-0.2
Montreal+0.3
Winnipeg 5 New Jersey 2
3:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
New Jersey-4.6
-0.3
-1.8
NY Islanders+0.4
Columbus+0.4
Pittsburgh+0.4
Carolina+0.4
Washington+0.4
NY Rangers+0.4
Philadelphia+0.4
Washington 3 Minnesota 1
7:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
New Jersey-0.4
NY Islanders-0.4
Columbus-0.3
Pittsburgh-0.4
Carolina-0.5
Washington+4.5
+0.3
+0.3
NY Rangers-0.5
Philadelphia-0.5
Montreal-0.2
San Jose 1 Boston 3
10:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Toronto-0.4
New Jersey-0.3
Columbus-0.3
Ottawa-0.4
Pittsburgh-0.3
Detroit-0.5
Carolina-0.3
Boston+4.3
+0.3
+0.3
NY Rangers-0.3
Florida-0.3
Montreal-0.3
Tampa Bay 3 NY Islanders 5
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Tampa Bay-2.0
-4.3
New Jersey-0.3
+0.2
NY Islanders+4.4
+0.3
+1.0
Columbus-0.2
Pittsburgh-0.3
Carolina-0.3
Washington-0.3
NY Rangers-0.3
Philadelphia-0.3
Philadelphia 4 Calgary 5 (ot)
1:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Islanders+0.1
Columbus+0.1
Pittsburgh+0.1
Carolina+0.1
Washington+0.1
NY Rangers+0.1
Philadelphia-0.9
Ottawa 2 Arizona 3 (ot)
2:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Ottawa-0.7
-0.2
Detroit+0.1
Boston+0.1
Florida+0.1
Montreal+0.1
Vancouver 3 St. Louis 4 (ot)
10:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Tampa Bay*-0.1
Sunday
NY Rangers vs OttawaIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Islanders64.364.064.164.264.264.6
Ottawa54.559.259.264.164.564.8
3.43.73.74.04.04.1
2.22.92.93.73.83.8
Pittsburgh52.452.152.252.452.452.7
Detroit49.048.548.648.448.348.6
Carolina48.248.048.048.248.248.6
Washington46.746.546.546.746.747.1
Boston44.944.444.444.244.244.4
NY Rangers42.242.041.436.536.532.0
2.62.62.62.32.32.0
1.11.11.00.70.70.5
Carolina vs NY IslandersHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
5:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Islanders58.763.363.368.168.669.0
3.74.03.94.24.34.3
2.93.73.74.85.05.0
Carolina53.352.852.347.147.142.4
3.33.33.32.92.92.6
2.22.22.11.61.51.1
Detroit vs ColoradoHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Toronto75.075.075.175.4*75.475.8
Columbus63.563.563.563.863.864.1
Ottawa59.759.759.860.360.260.7
Pittsburgh52.252.252.2*52.552.652.8
Detroit53.353.252.647.947.943.1
3.33.33.33.03.02.7
1.91.91.91.41.41.0
Carolina48.148.048.1*48.4*48.448.7
Washington46.646.646.6*46.946.947.2
Boston44.144.144.144.644.745.1
Florida24.224.224.224.724.725.0
Montreal23.023.123.123.523.523.8
Anaheim vs FloridaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
8:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Toronto75.7*75.475.575.175.175.1
Ottawa60.660.260.259.859.859.8
Detroit49.248.848.848.448.348.4
Boston45.044.644.644.344.244.2
Florida20.223.723.827.628.128.1
1.31.51.51.71.71.8
0.20.20.20.40.40.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

Tampa BayTorontoNew JerseyNY IslandersColumbusOttawaPittsburghDetroitCarolinaWashingtonBostonNY RangersPhiladelphiaFloridaMontrealBuffalo
Tampa Bay11.84.74.74.711.64.69.94.44.49.23.93.95.35.12.9
Toronto11.83.02.82.813.32.410.32.22.29.31.91.84.74.52.4
New Jersey4.73.09.49.42.57.72.17.16.82.05.45.31.21.20.7
NY Islanders4.72.89.48.92.27.21.86.66.41.75.04.91.01.00.6
Columbus4.72.89.48.92.27.11.86.66.21.75.04.81.01.00.6
Ottawa11.613.32.52.22.21.77.31.61.56.31.21.23.13.01.6
Pittsburgh4.62.47.77.27.11.71.35.15.01.23.73.70.70.60.4
Detroit9.910.32.11.81.87.31.31.21.14.60.90.92.32.11.2
Carolina4.42.27.16.66.61.65.11.24.41.13.33.30.60.60.3
Washington4.42.26.86.46.21.55.01.14.41.13.13.20.60.50.3
Boston9.29.32.01.71.76.31.24.61.11.10.80.82.01.81.0
NY Rangers3.91.95.45.05.01.23.70.93.33.10.82.40.40.40.2
Philadelphia3.91.85.34.94.81.23.70.93.33.20.82.40.40.40.2
Florida5.34.71.21.01.03.10.72.30.60.62.00.40.40.90.5
Montreal5.14.51.21.01.03.00.62.10.60.51.80.40.40.90.4
Buffalo2.92.40.70.60.61.60.41.20.30.31.00.20.20.50.4