Eastern Conference Playoff Chances 50/50

NY Rangers +4.0, Toronto -5.3
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupPres TrophyDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
FridayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change%Change1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516RPISaturday
Tampa Bay483236-24298.4%-0.16.2%-0.034.1%+0.6542315510000000001at ColoradoTampa Bay Lightning
Columbus4122011-11078.4-1.14.9-0.14.3+0.19151916119654321106at CarolinaColumbus Blue Jackets
New JerseyWDallas 5-2412189-5477.5+3.24.8+0.24.2+1.091519161197543211013New Jersey Devils
TorontoLDetroit 1-3412013-11275.1-5.34.7-0.32.1-1.056332433455432119Toronto Maple Leafs
Washington4112012-1973.9-1.24.6-0.13.1+0.171318161197643221011AnaheimWashington Capitals
Boston3451510-4265.9-0.64.1-0.01.5+0.1442624345666543114NY RangersBoston Bruins
NY RangersWLos Angeles 4-23721712-31157.6+4.03.6+0.21.2+0.3371213111110876542120at BostonNew York Rangers
NY Islanders3721712-3356.8-1.53.6-0.11.1+0.037121311111087654317Los AngelesNew York Islanders
Philadelphia3331311-7039.3-1.52.5-0.10.4+0.0137991010998876326DallasPhiladelphia Flyers
Pittsburgh3511614-3-1139.3-1.52.5-0.10.3+0.01379910101099876318at ArizonaPittsburgh Penguins
CarolinaWBuffalo 5-4 (ot)3331311-7-937.4+3.42.3+0.20.3+0.11369910101099886321ColumbusCarolina Hurricanes
Montreal3221414-4-1333.7-0.52.1-0.00.2+0.011915446891010109527at OttawaMontreal Canadiens
DetroitWToronto 3-13121213-7-1726.6+3.61.7+0.20.1+0.0017123457910111211728Detroit Red Wings
Ottawa2741013-7-2119.4-0.41.2-0.00.1+0.0015923468101213151229MontrealOttawa Senators
Florida2921215-5-1718.2-0.31.1-0.00.0+0.0004923468101214161225Florida Panthers
BuffaloLCarolina 4-5 (ot)231818-7-392.5-0.30.2-0.00.00001011234711205031Buffalo Sabres

16 teams will qualify for the Stanley Cup Playoffs. The format is a set bracket that is largely division-based with wild cards. The top three teams in each division will make up the first 12 teams in the playoffs. The remaining four spots will be filled by the next two highest-placed finishers in each conference, based on regular-season record and regardless of division. It is possible for one division in each conference to send five teams to the postseason while the other sends just three.

The percent after the team score is the chance of winning in regulation based on current second and
either home/away actual score or home/away goal differential. Please send any issues to cbosse86 at gmail dot com.

Adam updates the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Friday
NY Rangers 4 Los Angeles 2
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Tampa Bay+0.5
Columbus-0.4
New Jersey-0.4
Toronto-0.2
Washington-0.5
Boston-0.2
NY Rangers+4.9
+0.3
+0.3
NY Islanders-0.6
Philadelphia-0.6
Pittsburgh-0.6
Carolina-0.5
Montreal-0.3
Detroit-0.2
Ottawa-0.2
Florida-0.2
Detroit 3 Toronto 1
7:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Tampa Bay+0.2
Toronto-4.8
-0.3
-1.0
Montreal+0.2
Detroit+4.3
+0.3
Ottawa+0.2
Florida+0.1
Buffalo 4 Carolina 5 (ot)
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Columbus-0.4
New Jersey-0.4
Washington-0.4
Boston-0.1
NY Rangers-0.5
NY Islanders-0.5
Philadelphia-0.5
Pittsburgh-0.5
Carolina+4.4
+0.3
Montreal-0.2
Detroit-0.2
Ottawa-0.2
Florida-0.1
Buffalo-0.3
New Jersey 5 Dallas 2
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Tampa Bay-0.1
Columbus-0.3
New Jersey+3.9
+0.2
+0.9
Toronto-0.1
Washington-0.3
Boston-0.2
NY Rangers-0.4
NY Islanders-0.4
Philadelphia-0.4
Pittsburgh-0.4
Carolina-0.4
Montreal-0.2
Detroit-0.2
Ottawa-0.2
Florida-0.2
Vancouver 4 San Jose 3 (ot)
10:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Tampa Bay+0.1
Saturday
Boston vs NY RangersIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
5:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Toronto74.974.674.775.075.075.5
*4.74.64.6*4.7*4.74.7
Washington74.373.873.873.673.573.7
Boston70.670.469.865.065.060.2
4.44.44.34.14.03.8
2.01.91.91.41.31.0
NY Rangers51.356.656.661.962.662.8
3.23.53.53.93.93.9
0.71.11.11.51.61.6
NY Islanders57.356.7*56.856.356.256.5
3.6*3.5*3.63.53.53.5
Philadelphia39.839.2*39.338.938.839.0
Pittsburgh39.739.239.238.838.739.0
Carolina37.937.237.336.936.937.1
Montreal33.433.133.233.633.634.3
Detroit26.326.126.126.526.427.1
Ottawa19.218.919.019.319.319.8
Florida17.917.717.818.018.018.6
Carolina vs ColumbusHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
8:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Columbus73.377.577.581.782.282.5
4.6*4.94.85.15.15.2
3.04.03.95.25.45.4
NY Islanders56.856.356.456.656.657.1
Carolina42.542.041.736.136.031.2
2.72.62.62.22.32.0
0.50.50.40.30.30.2
Ottawa vs MontrealHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Boston66.265.665.765.665.465.8
Montreal27.832.332.437.738.438.8
1.72.02.02.42.42.4
0.10.10.10.20.20.2
Ottawa23.322.822.318.218.114.9
1.51.41.41.21.20.9
NY Islanders vs Los AngelesHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Columbus78.078.078.0*78.478.478.9
4.4*4.3*4.34.24.24.3
New Jersey77.177.177.177.6*77.678.0
4.3*4.2*4.34.24.24.2
Washington73.573.573.5*74.074.074.5
3.2*3.1*3.1*3.13.03.1
NY Rangers57.157.057.2*57.757.858.4
NY Islanders61.761.761.056.056.050.7
3.83.93.83.53.53.2
1.51.51.41.01.00.7
Philadelphia38.838.838.939.439.440.0
Pittsburgh38.738.738.839.4*39.340.0
Carolina36.836.936.937.537.538.1
Arizona vs PittsburghHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
8:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Columbus78.978.4*78.478.078.078.0
New Jersey78.0*77.5*77.677.177.177.1
Washington74.574.074.073.573.573.4
NY Rangers58.357.857.857.157.157.1
NY Islanders57.556.956.956.356.356.2
Philadelphia40.0*39.4*39.438.838.838.8
Pittsburgh33.338.338.343.444.044.1
2.12.42.42.72.72.7
0.20.30.30.40.40.5
Carolina38.037.537.536.936.836.9
Philadelphia vs DallasHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Columbus78.078.078.078.5*78.478.9
New Jersey77.177.177.2*77.677.678.0
Washington73.473.473.574.074.074.5
NY Rangers57.157.157.257.857.858.3
NY Islanders56.356.256.356.957.057.5
3.5*3.53.5*3.6*3.63.6
Philadelphia44.144.143.338.338.333.5
2.82.72.72.42.42.1
0.60.50.50.30.30.2
Pittsburgh38.738.738.8*39.3*39.339.9
Carolina36.937.036.937.537.538.0
Washington vs AnaheimHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington78.078.077.473.373.368.8
4.94.94.84.6*4.64.3
4.04.03.82.82.82.1
NY Rangers57.257.257.257.7*57.758.2
NY Islanders56.456.356.4*56.9*56.957.4
Philadelphia38.938.938.939.4*39.439.9
Pittsburgh38.838.838.9*39.3*39.339.8
Carolina36.937.037.0*37.4*37.438.0
Colorado vs Tampa BayHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
9:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Tampa Bay97.7*98.4*98.398.898.998.9
28.733.233.237.938.438.5
Calgary vs NashvilleHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
10:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Tampa Bay35.034.334.233.433.433.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

Tampa BayColumbusNew JerseyTorontoWashingtonBostonNY RangersNY IslandersPhiladelphiaPittsburghCarolinaMontrealDetroitOttawaFloridaBuffalo
Tampa Bay7.47.58.08.18.58.98.87.57.77.46.15.03.73.40.5
Columbus7.413.31.913.01.79.89.66.26.26.01.10.90.70.60.1
New Jersey7.513.31.912.71.79.69.46.16.15.71.21.00.70.70.1
Toronto8.01.91.91.826.31.51.51.21.11.110.17.65.45.10.6
Washington8.113.012.71.81.68.88.75.65.65.11.00.80.60.50.1
Boston8.51.71.726.31.61.21.20.90.90.87.35.64.03.70.5
NY Rangers8.99.89.61.58.81.25.83.53.63.40.50.40.30.30.0
NY Islanders8.89.69.41.58.71.25.83.63.53.30.50.40.30.30.0
Philadelphia7.56.26.11.25.60.93.53.62.11.90.30.20.20.10.0
Pittsburgh7.76.26.11.15.60.93.63.52.11.80.30.20.20.10.0
Carolina7.46.05.71.15.10.83.43.31.91.80.30.20.10.10.0
Montreal6.11.11.210.11.07.30.50.50.30.30.32.01.51.30.2
Detroit5.00.91.07.60.85.60.40.40.20.20.22.01.11.00.1
Ottawa3.70.70.75.40.64.00.30.30.20.20.11.51.10.70.1
Florida3.40.60.75.10.53.70.30.30.10.10.11.31.00.70.1
Buffalo0.50.10.10.60.10.50.00.00.00.00.00.20.10.10.1