Eastern Conference Playoff Chances 50/50

Philadelphia +4.3, Boston -6.6
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupPres TrophyDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
SundayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change%Change1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516RPIMonday
Washington684319-64999.6%-0.06.2%29.8%-1.3362312091000000003Carolina 0-0 (7:00 pm ET)Washington Capitals
ColumbusWOttawa 7-6 (ot)6843210-44999.6+0.26.2+0.030.0+4.5372302191000000002Columbus Blue Jackets
PittsburghWBoston 5-16543011-53598.5+0.76.2+0.013.0+2.31712733183100000001Pittsburgh Penguins
Montreal6322813-72395.8+0.26.0+0.02.9-0.245923901111000007Montreal Canadiens
NY RangersWDetroit 1-0 (ot)6133016-13991.7+2.65.7+0.22.8+0.64011234211421100005Los Angeles 0-0 (7:00 pm ET)New York Rangers
OttawaLColumbus 6-7 (ot)5552515-5279.4+0.15.0+0.00.5-0.1121332103554321109Ottawa Senators
Toronto5162114-9563.0+0.93.9+0.10.1-0.00102325147765432216Calgary 0-0 (7:30 pm ET)Toronto Maple Leafs
PhiladelphiaWNY Islanders 3-2 (ot)5222319-6-1826.8+4.31.7+0.30.0+0.000017191512109886519Philadelphia Flyers
Carolina4942118-7-624.5-0.61.5-0.00.0-0.000016181411109987611Washington 0-0 (7:00 pm ET)Carolina Hurricanes
BostonLPittsburgh 1-5522321-6-622.6-6.61.4-0.40.0-0.001611147101111111010815Boston Bruins
Buffalo4741918-9-1820.2+0.51.3+0.00.001510037910101111111223Buffalo Sabres
NY IslandersLPhiladelphia 2-3 (ot)4751917-9-420.1-1.91.3-0.10.0-0.00001515131110101099924New York Islanders
DetroitLNY Rangers 0-1 (ot)4832019-8-1617.3-0.61.1-0.00.0-0.0014903689101112121325Detroit Red Wings
Florida4922019-9-2117.3+0.41.1+0.00.00149036810111112121226Arizona 0-0 (9:00 pm ET)Florida Panthers
New Jersey4922019-9-2612.1-0.40.8-0.00.0000029101010101112121318New Jersey Devils
Tampa Bay4722122-5-1211.2+0.30.7+0.00.0002602578101113152021Tampa Bay Lightning

16 teams will qualify for the Stanley Cup Playoffs. The format is a set bracket that is largely division-based with wild cards. The top three teams in each division will make up the first 12 teams in the playoffs. The remaining four spots will be filled by the next two highest-placed finishers in each conference, based on regular-season record and regardless of division. It is possible for one division in each conference to send five teams to the postseason while the other sends just three.

Complete data dump is done daily to fix mistakes or games that have been rescheduled.
The percent after the team score is the chance of winning in regulation based on current second and
either home/away actual score or home/away goal differential.

Please let me know if you see anything wrong: DESMOND dot SMITH at SHAW dot CA.

Adam updates the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Sunday
Pittsburgh 5 Boston 1
3:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington-0.8
Columbus-0.7
Pittsburgh+0.8
+2.5
Montreal+0.2
-0.1
NY Rangers+0.2
Ottawa+0.7
Toronto+1.1
Philadelphia+0.3
Carolina+0.3
Boston-6.3
-0.4
Buffalo+0.7
NY Islanders+0.3
Detroit+0.5
Florida+0.6
New Jersey+0.2
Tampa Bay+0.4
NY Islanders 2 Philadelphia 3 (ot)
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Rangers*-0.2
Toronto-0.5
Philadelphia+4.4
+0.3
Carolina-0.7
NY Islanders-1.8
*-0.1
New Jersey-0.3
Detroit 0 NY Rangers 1 (ot)
12:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington-0.2
Columbus-0.2
NY Rangers+2.7
+0.2
+0.7
Philadelphia-0.3
Carolina-0.3
Boston-0.1
Buffalo-0.1
NY Islanders-0.3
Detroit-1.0
-0.1
Florida-0.1
New Jersey-0.2
Tampa Bay-0.1
Ottawa 6 Columbus 7 (ot)
5:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington-1.4
Columbus+0.2
+4.0
Pittsburgh-0.6
Montreal*-0.1
NY Rangers-0.2
Ottawa-0.5
-0.2
Toronto*+0.1
Philadelphia*+0.1
Carolina*-0.1
Buffalo*+0.2
Detroit*+0.2
Minnesota 2 Nashville 4
8:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington+1.4
Columbus+1.3
Pittsburgh+0.7
Montreal+0.2
NY Rangers+0.2
Chicago 4 Vancouver 2
7:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington-0.2
Columbus-0.3
Pittsburgh-0.2
Monday
Toronto vs CalgaryIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Montreal95.695.695.695.895.896.0
Ottawa78.978.979.079.579.680.2
Toronto68.368.367.662.262.256.5
4.34.34.23.93.93.5
0.20.20.20.10.10.1
Philadelphia26.526.526.526.826.927.2
Carolina24.324.324.324.624.624.9
Boston21.821.821.922.822.823.6
1.41.41.41.41.41.5
Buffalo19.519.519.720.420.421.1
1.21.21.21.31.31.3
NY Islanders19.819.819.920.120.120.4
Detroit16.716.716.717.417.418.1
1.01.01.0*1.1*1.11.1
Florida16.716.616.717.417.418.1
1.01.01.01.11.11.1
New Jersey12.012.012.012.212.212.4
Tampa Bay10.710.710.811.311.311.8
Washington vs CarolinaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington99.899.899.8*99.6*99.699.4
34.534.533.628.728.724.1
Columbus28.328.328.630.430.432.0
Pittsburgh98.698.698.698.598.598.5
12.112.112.313.313.314.2
Montreal95.895.895.895.795.795.7
2.72.72.73.03.03.2
NY Rangers92.191.791.791.391.391.3
2.62.62.72.92.93.1
Ottawa79.779.579.579.379.279.2
Toronto63.463.163.162.862.762.7
Philadelphia27.927.027.026.025.925.9
1.71.71.71.61.61.6
Carolina19.123.423.428.329.029.0
1.21.51.51.81.81.8
Boston23.022.722.722.422.322.3
Buffalo20.620.320.320.020.020.0
NY Islanders21.020.320.319.519.319.4
1.31.31.31.21.21.2
Detroit17.617.417.417.117.117.1
Florida17.617.317.417.117.117.1
New Jersey12.812.312.311.711.611.6
Tampa Bay11.411.311.311.111.011.1
Arizona vs FloridaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
9:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Montreal96.095.895.895.695.695.6
Ottawa80.079.679.679.179.079.0
Toronto63.863.263.262.562.462.4
Philadelphia27.126.926.926.626.626.6
Carolina24.824.624.624.424.324.3
Boston23.222.722.722.222.222.2
Buffalo20.720.320.419.919.919.9
NY Islanders20.320.120.119.919.919.9
Detroit17.817.417.417.016.916.9
Florida12.716.316.320.621.121.1
0.81.01.01.31.31.3
New Jersey12.312.212.212.012.012.0
Tampa Bay11.611.311.311.011.010.9
NY Rangers vs Los AngelesHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington29.629.629.629.929.930.1
Columbus29.729.729.830.130.130.2
NY Rangers93.993.993.891.691.688.8
5.95.95.9*5.75.75.5
3.83.73.62.62.61.8
Philadelphia26.426.426.426.8*26.827.3
Carolina24.224.224.224.624.625.0
NY Islanders19.819.819.8*20.1*20.120.5
New Jersey11.911.911.9*12.2*12.212.5
Colorado vs San JoseHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
9:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Columbus30.230.030.029.929.829.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

WashingtonColumbusPittsburghMontrealNY RangersOttawaTorontoPhiladelphiaCarolinaBostonBuffaloNY IslandersDetroitFloridaNew JerseyTampa Bay
Washington15.626.25.417.52.92.37.56.81.51.45.81.21.23.60.8
Columbus15.626.75.516.43.02.57.47.21.61.35.61.21.33.40.8
Pittsburgh26.226.710.712.74.52.53.63.40.90.82.90.70.71.80.4
Montreal5.45.510.725.87.611.04.74.14.03.73.33.13.11.92.0
NY Rangers17.516.412.725.89.14.31.11.00.60.60.80.50.50.50.3
Ottawa2.93.04.57.69.123.11.51.36.45.71.04.94.80.63.1
Toronto2.32.52.511.04.323.10.60.64.13.50.52.93.00.32.0
Philadelphia7.57.43.64.71.11.50.60.00.10.10.00.10.10.00.0
Carolina6.87.23.44.11.01.30.60.00.10.10.00.00.00.00.0
Boston1.51.60.94.00.66.44.10.10.11.10.10.80.80.00.5
Buffalo1.41.30.83.70.65.73.50.10.11.10.10.70.70.00.5
NY Islanders5.85.62.93.30.81.00.50.00.00.10.10.00.00.00.0
Detroit1.21.20.73.10.54.92.90.10.00.80.70.00.70.00.4
Florida1.21.30.73.10.54.83.00.10.00.80.70.00.70.00.4
New Jersey3.63.41.81.90.50.60.30.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Tampa Bay0.80.80.42.00.33.12.00.00.00.50.50.00.40.40.0