Eastern Conference Playoff Chances 50/50

Boston +1.8, Washington -2.3
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupPres TrophyDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
SaturdayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change%Change1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516RPISunday
MontrealWToronto 4-08724116-536100.0%+0.06.3%+0.029.0%+9.2511822800000004Montreal Canadiens
NY RangersLPhiladelphia 2-48233817-64099.9-0.16.2-0.07.8-3.5173329164100000009New York Rangers
NY IslandersLCarolina 3-5844121-22699.8-0.16.2-0.03.3-2.082236276100000003New York Islanders
DetroitWNashville 4-38133515-112199.7+0.16.2+0.04.4+1.6116423822000000011Detroit Red Wings
Tampa Bay8213819-64099.6-0.16.2-0.02.7+0.48635463200000007at FloridaTampa Bay Lightning
Pittsburgh7933517-92499.2-0.36.2-0.01.6+0.2413293811310000005ColumbusPittsburgh Penguins
Washington7613320-102590.9-2.35.7-0.10.0+0.00271943206210000012TorontoWashington Capitals
BostonWArizona 4-17123122-9465.7+1.84.1+0.10.0+0.000172136191041000015Boston Bruins
FloridaWBuffalo 5-36722722-13-2519.8+0.71.2+0.00.000014152625168310024Tampa BayFlorida Panthers
OttawaWSan Jose 4-26442723-10818.1+0.71.1+0.00.000014132524179421022Ottawa Senators
PhiladelphiaWNY Rangers 4-26512725-11-156.0+0.10.4+0.0No00001515222518941025Philadelphia Flyers
New JerseyWColumbus 2-06212627-10-231.1-0.00.1-0.0No00001511192720126027New Jersey Devils
ColumbusLNew Jersey 0-25632631-4-340.2-0.50.0-0.0No0000013816242422023at PittsburghColumbus Blue Jackets
CarolinaWNY Islanders 5-35532430-7-200.1-0.00.0No0000012512212831126Carolina Hurricanes
TorontoLMontreal 0-45522532-5-190.0-0.20.0-0.0No00000149182937117at WashingtonToronto Maple Leafs
BuffaloLFlorida 3-54311939-5-89Out-0.0NoNo0000029828Buffalo Sabres

Data is queried every 2.5 minutes,
Complete data dump is done every day at 3 am ET to fix mistakes or games that have been added.
Let me know how things are, if data is wrong: adamv at mad dot scientist dot com.
The percent after the team score is the chance of winning in regulation based on current second and
either home/away actual score or home/away goal differential.
If team has greater than 50% chance of winning, I mark the game as final so the stats can get up to date.

Adam updates the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Saturday
Boston 4 Arizona 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington-0.6
Boston+6.2
+0.4
Florida-2.1
-0.1
Ottawa-2.0
-0.1
Philadelphia-0.9
New Jersey-0.2
Columbus-0.1
Florida 5 Buffalo 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington-0.6
Boston-2.2
-0.1
Florida+4.5
+0.3
Ottawa-0.9
Philadelphia-0.4
San Jose 2 Ottawa 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington-0.7
Boston-1.9
-0.1
Florida-0.9
Ottawa+4.2
+0.3
Philadelphia-0.3
New Jersey-0.1
Philadelphia 4 NY Rangers 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Montreal+1.0
NY Rangers-4.0
NY Islanders+0.3
Detroit+0.2
Tampa Bay+0.2
Washington-0.3
Boston-0.8
Florida-0.4
Ottawa-0.3
Philadelphia+2.1
+0.1
Columbus 0 New Jersey 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Boston-0.1
New Jersey+0.6
Columbus-0.4
Nashville 3 Detroit 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Montreal+2.5
NY Rangers+1.6
NY Islanders+0.8
Detroit+0.2
+1.7
Tampa Bay+0.4
Pittsburgh+0.3
Montreal 4 Toronto 0
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Montreal+4.9
NY Rangers-0.8
NY Islanders-0.4
Detroit-0.2
Tampa Bay-0.2
Pittsburgh-0.1
Toronto-0.1
NY Islanders 3 Carolina 5
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Montreal+0.5
NY Rangers+0.3
NY Islanders-2.3
Edmonton 1 St. Louis 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Montreal-0.4
NY Rangers-0.3
NY Islanders-0.2
Sunday
Florida vs Tampa BayIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Montreal29.329.129.128.728.728.7
NY Rangers8.07.97.97.77.77.7
NY Islanders3.33.33.33.23.23.2
Detroit4.54.44.44.34.34.3
Tampa Bay99.2*99.6*99.699.899.899.8
1.32.32.33.83.83.9
Pittsburgh99.199.199.199.299.299.3
Washington90.190.090.091.091.091.9
5.65.65.6*5.7*5.75.7
Boston63.663.663.666.266.168.4
4.04.04.04.14.14.3
Florida24.724.524.518.718.713.8
1.51.51.51.21.20.9
0.0No*0.0NoNoNo
Ottawa17.217.117.118.218.219.1
1.11.11.11.1*1.11.2
Philadelphia5.65.55.66.16.16.5
New Jersey1.01.01.01.21.21.3
Washington vs TorontoHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Pittsburgh99.199.199.199.2*99.299.2
Washington93.993.993.590.690.787.0
5.95.95.8*5.75.75.4
Boston65.065.065.165.865.866.6
4.14.14.1*4.1*4.14.2
Florida19.019.019.0*19.8*19.820.9
1.21.21.2*1.2*1.21.3
Ottawa17.217.217.418.218.119.1
1.11.11.11.11.11.2
Philadelphia5.65.65.76.06.06.5
New Jersey1.01.01.1*1.1*1.11.3
Pittsburgh vs ColumbusHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Montreal28.828.828.929.129.129.2
NY Rangers7.87.87.87.97.97.9
Pittsburgh99.699.699.599.299.298.6
2.42.32.21.31.30.8
Boston65.765.765.6*65.7*65.765.8
Florida19.819.819.819.819.819.9
Ottawa18.018.018.0*18.0*18.018.2
Philadelphia5.95.95.9*6.0*6.06.1
Columbus0.10.10.10.20.30.3
Vancouver vs St. LouisHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Montreal29.929.229.228.328.228.2
NY Rangers8.27.97.97.67.67.6
NY Islanders3.43.33.33.13.13.1
Detroit4.64.44.44.34.24.2
Tampa Bay2.92.82.82.62.62.6
Pittsburgh1.71.61.61.51.51.5
Dallas vs AnaheimHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Montreal29.829.229.228.428.328.3
NY Rangers8.27.97.97.67.67.6
NY Islanders3.43.33.33.13.13.1
Detroit4.64.44.44.24.24.2
Tampa Bay2.92.72.82.62.62.6
Pittsburgh1.71.61.61.51.51.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

MontrealNY RangersNY IslandersDetroitTampa BayPittsburghWashingtonBostonFloridaOttawaPhiladelphiaNew JerseyColumbusCarolinaTorontoBuffalo
Montreal1.01.714.517.33.718.624.08.07.62.80.50.10.00.0No
NY Rangers1.019.11.31.627.826.613.44.13.51.30.20.00.00.0No
NY Islanders1.719.11.11.342.921.27.92.12.00.60.10.00.00.0
Detroit14.51.31.162.71.44.78.72.62.00.50.10.00.00.0
Tampa Bay17.31.61.362.71.44.17.11.71.70.50.10.00.00.0
Pittsburgh3.727.842.91.41.415.14.31.31.10.30.10.00.00.0
Washington18.626.621.24.74.115.10.30.10.10.00.00.00.00.0
Boston24.013.47.98.77.14.30.30.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Florida8.04.12.12.61.71.30.10.00.00.00.0NoNo
Ottawa7.63.52.02.01.71.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.0No
Philadelphia2.81.30.60.50.50.30.00.00.00.00.00.0
New Jersey0.50.20.10.10.10.10.00.00.00.00.0
Columbus0.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.0No0.00.0
Carolina0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Toronto0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0NoNo
BuffaloNoNo