Eastern Conference Playoff Chances 50/50

Columbus +6.0, NY Rangers -7.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupPres TrophyDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
1/19PGWL-OTGD%Change%Change%Change1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516RPIMonday
Washington7113311-53399.2%-0.06.2%-0.039.4%+0.8491324931100000001Washington Capitals
BostonLPittsburgh 3-4682810-123397.2-0.96.1-0.112.6-4.91742261111111000009Boston Bruins
PittsburghWBoston 4-36713113-53595.3+1.66.0+0.114.4+3.3197361995311000002Pittsburgh Penguins
Tampa Bay6222915-43889.7-0.25.6+0.04.2+0.1622372122332100004Tampa Bay Lightning
NY IslandersLCarolina 1-2 (so)6122815-5979.9-1.15.0-0.12.7-0.34217251813953210006New York Islanders
Florida5732616-51868.8-0.54.3-0.00.9+0.0182031357975210011at MinnesotaFlorida Panthers
ColumbusWNY Rangers 2-1602616-8761.6+6.03.8+0.40.7+0.2118161817141075210015Columbus Blue Jackets
CarolinaWNY Islanders 2-1 (so)5912818-32461.5+4.83.8+0.30.8+0.211916181714107521008Carolina Hurricanes
Toronto5712517-71153.5-0.53.3-0.00.3+0.0141425461012118420018Toronto Maple Leafs
Philadelphia5812617-6550.4-1.43.2-0.10.4+0.01151215171512107410013Philadelphia Flyers
NY RangersLColumbus 1-25032320-4118.0-7.11.1-0.40.0-0.0001358111416171473020New York Rangers
Buffalo5112220-7-714.5-0.30.9-0.00.0002724711161918114022Buffalo Sabres
Montreal512221-7-29.3-0.20.6-0.00.000151259141923146025Montreal Canadiens
Ottawa4221723-8-330.8-0.00.0-0.00.0+0.00000001248163335230Ottawa Senators
New Jersey4121724-7-470.3-0.00.0-0.00.00000000125122945428New Jersey Devils
Detroit2811233-4-850.0-0.00.0No0000000000169431at ColoradoDetroit Red Wings

16 teams will qualify for the Stanley Cup Playoffs. The format is a set bracket that is largely division-based with wild cards. The top three teams in each division will make up the first 12 teams in the playoffs. The remaining four spots will be filled by the next two highest-placed finishers in each conference, based on regular-season record and regardless of division. It is possible for one division in each conference to send five teams to the postseason while the other sends just three.

The percent after the team score is the chance of winning in regulation based on current second and
either home/away actual score or home/away goal differential. Please send any issues to cbosse86 at gmail dot com.

Adam updates the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Sunday
NY Rangers 1 Columbus 2
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Florida*-0.1
Columbus+7.0
+0.4
+0.2
Carolina*-0.1
Philadelphia-0.2
NY Rangers-6.3
-0.4
Buffalo*-0.1
Montreal*-0.1
Carolina 2 NY Islanders 1 (so)
5:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington*+0.1
Pittsburgh*-0.2
*+0.1
Tampa Bay*-0.2
NY Islanders-0.9
*-0.1
-0.4
Florida*-0.3
Columbus-0.7
*-0.1
Carolina+4.9
+0.4
+0.1
Toronto*-0.3
Philadelphia-0.9
NY Rangers-0.6
Buffalo*-0.3
Montreal*-0.3
Pittsburgh 4 Boston 3
12:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington+0.9
Boston-0.9
-4.9
Pittsburgh+1.9
+0.1
+3.4
Tampa Bay+0.1
NY Islanders*-0.1
+0.1
Columbus-0.3
Carolina-0.3
Philadelphia*-0.1
NY Rangers-0.3
Monday
Minnesota vs FloridaIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
8:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington39.539.539.539.439.339.3
Boston97.497.297.297.097.097.0
Pittsburgh95.495.395.395.295.295.2
14.514.514.514.414.414.4
Tampa Bay90.389.889.889.389.389.3
NY Islanders80.380.080.079.679.679.6
Florida62.568.068.073.173.973.9
3.94.24.24.64.64.6
0.50.80.81.11.21.2
Columbus62.161.761.761.261.261.2
Carolina62.061.661.661.161.161.1
Toronto55.153.753.752.452.252.2
3.43.43.43.33.33.3
Philadelphia51.050.550.550.150.050.0
NY Rangers18.318.018.017.717.717.7
Buffalo15.314.614.613.913.913.9
Montreal9.99.49.48.98.88.8
Ottawa0.90.80.80.70.70.7
Colorado vs DetroitHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
3:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington39.239.239.339.539.539.7
Boston12.512.512.512.612.612.7
Pittsburgh14.314.314.414.514.514.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

WashingtonBostonPittsburghTampa BayNY IslandersFloridaColumbusCarolinaTorontoPhiladelphiaNY RangersBuffaloMontrealOttawaNew JerseyDetroit
Washington2.111.42.120.03.316.816.23.914.35.82.01.30.10.10.0
Boston2.14.810.010.017.210.810.412.79.33.73.62.30.20.10.0
Pittsburgh11.44.83.024.52.015.115.52.011.73.70.90.60.10.10.0
Tampa Bay2.110.03.04.826.95.05.019.64.21.74.42.90.20.00.0
NY Islanders20.010.024.54.81.85.86.01.14.31.10.20.10.00.00.0
Florida3.317.22.026.91.81.71.69.41.30.51.81.10.10.00.0
Columbus16.810.815.15.05.81.73.00.92.00.50.10.10.00.00.0
Carolina16.210.415.55.06.01.63.00.82.20.50.10.10.00.00.0
Toronto3.912.72.019.61.19.40.90.80.70.21.20.80.10.00.0
Philadelphia14.39.311.74.24.31.32.02.20.70.30.10.00.00.00.0
NY Rangers5.83.73.71.71.10.50.50.50.20.30.00.00.00.00.0
Buffalo2.03.60.94.40.21.80.10.11.20.10.00.10.00.00.0
Montreal1.32.30.62.90.11.10.10.10.80.00.00.10.00.00.0
Ottawa0.10.20.10.20.00.10.00.00.10.00.00.00.00.00.0
New Jersey0.10.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Detroit0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0