"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Eastern Conference Playoff Chances 50/50

Ottawa +3.4, Toronto -3.3
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupPres TrophyChance will finish regular season at seed
1/21PGWL-OTGD%Change%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPITuesday
NY Islanders6323114-12297.0%+0.26.1%+0.09.3%-0.5222113149953210000003.5+0.031NY RangersNew York Islanders
Tampa Bay643014-42996.0+0.26.0+0.06.7-0.41715161213985310000004.0+0.029at CarolinaTampa Bay Lightning
Detroit6312711-92095.5+0.26.0+0.06.4-0.416141612131086310000004.1+0.0213at FloridaDetroit Red Wings
Montreal6132913-31795.4+0.26.0+0.07.2-0.51814161213975310000004.0+0.025DallasMontreal Canadiens
NY Rangers5842713-42892.5+0.35.8+0.04.4-0.312141215121486421000004.6+0.038at NY IslandersNew York Rangers
PittsburghLChicago 2-3 (so)6022612-82191.9+0.15.7+0.03.4-0.691212151315107421000004.8-0.047WinnipegPittsburgh Penguins
Washington5722413-91781.4+0.75.1+0.01.1-0.14671111151512953100006.1+0.0415at ColumbusWashington Capitals
BostonLColorado 2-3 (so)572516-7568.3-0.14.3-0.00.3-0.112459918191595210007.3-0.0417Boston Bruins
Florida5042014-10-1545.6+0.72.9+0.00.1-0.01123551217191410632108.6+0.0525DetroitFlorida Panthers
OttawaWToronto 4-34721918-9-215.0+3.40.9+0.20.0+0.000001148131817151174110.7+0.4219Ottawa Senators
TorontoLOttawa 3-4472223-3-88.1-3.30.5-0.20.0-0.000000125915171715116111.5-0.3611Toronto Maple Leafs
ColumbusLWinnipeg 0-44332022-3-297.0-2.80.4-0.20.0-0.000000114713161716148211.8-0.3620WashingtonColumbus Blue Jackets
Philadelphia451922-7-164.0+0.20.3+0.00.0000001125101517191711212.2+0.0724ArizonaPhiladelphia Flyers
New Jersey4211722-8-271.9+0.10.1+0.00.000000001361015192218512.9+0.0626New Jersey Devils
Carolina3721625-5-220.4+0.00.0+0.00.00000000012481321371414.1+0.0428Tampa BayCarolina Hurricanes
Buffalo3111430-3-780.00.00.000000000000125177515.6+0.0127at CalgaryBuffalo Sabres

Data is queried every 2.5 minutes,
Complete data dump is done every day at 3 am ET to fix mistakes or games that have been added.
Let me know how things are, if data is wrong: adamv at mad dot scientist dot com.
The percent after the team score is the chance of winning in regulation based on current second and
either home/away actual score or home/away goal differential.
If team has greater than 50% chance of winning, I mark the game as final so the stats can get up to date.

Adam updates the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Wednesday
Ottawa 4 Toronto 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington+0.1
Boston+0.1
Florida+0.1
Ottawa+3.0
+0.2
Toronto-3.6
-0.2
Winnipeg 4 Columbus 0
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Islanders+0.1
Tampa Bay+0.1
*-0.1
Detroit+0.2
Montreal+0.1
NY Rangers+0.2
Pittsburgh+0.2
Washington+0.5
Boston+0.5
Florida+0.5
+0.1
Ottawa+0.2
Toronto+0.2
Columbus-3.0
-0.2
Philadelphia+0.1
New Jersey+0.1
Colorado 3 Boston 2 (so)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Islanders*+0.1
Tampa Bay*+0.1
Pittsburgh*+0.2
Washington*-0.1
*-0.1
Boston-0.7
Florida*+0.2
*+0.1
Ottawa*+0.1
Toronto*+0.1
Columbus*+0.1
Buffalo*No
Pittsburgh 2 Chicago 3 (so)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Detroit*+0.1
Montreal*-0.1
-0.2
NY Rangers*+0.2
Pittsburgh-0.3
*-0.1
-0.4
Washington*-0.2
Boston*-0.1
Florida*+0.2
Toronto*+0.2
Columbus*+0.1
Anaheim 6 Calgary 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Islanders-0.4
Tampa Bay-0.4
Detroit-0.4
Montreal-0.4
NY Rangers-0.2
Pittsburgh-0.2
Washington-0.1
Tuesday
Florida vs DetroitIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Islanders96.996.896.897.097.097.2
9.69.49.49.29.29.2
Tampa Bay95.895.795.796.096.096.2
6.86.76.76.66.66.6
Detroit93.595.395.396.897.097.2
5.86.06.06.16.16.1
4.35.95.97.98.28.2
Montreal95.295.195.195.495.395.6
7.47.37.37.17.17.1
NY Rangers92.292.192.192.592.592.9
4.54.44.44.34.34.3
Pittsburgh91.691.591.5*91.991.992.3
3.53.43.43.33.33.3
Washington80.880.680.681.481.482.2
5.15.05.0*5.1*5.15.1
Boston67.467.167.168.368.269.6
4.24.24.2*4.3*4.34.3
Florida51.351.050.944.544.538.5
3.23.23.22.82.82.4
0.20.10.10.10.10.0
Ottawa14.614.414.415.015.015.7
Toronto7.87.77.78.18.18.6
Columbus6.86.76.77.06.97.3
Philadelphia3.93.83.84.04.04.3
Columbus vs WashingtonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Rangers92.792.492.492.392.392.4
Washington76.380.780.884.885.385.5
4.85.05.05.35.35.3
0.60.90.91.41.51.5
Boston68.768.068.167.967.868.0
Florida46.345.445.444.944.945.2
Ottawa15.414.914.914.714.614.8
Toronto8.48.18.17.97.98.0
Columbus9.38.98.56.16.14.4
0.60.60.50.40.40.3
NY Islanders vs NY RangersHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Islanders98.098.097.996.996.995.7
6.16.16.16.16.16.0
11.811.711.38.68.56.4
NY Rangers89.992.392.394.294.494.5
5.65.85.85.95.95.9
2.83.93.95.55.75.8
Washington81.681.381.381.281.281.3
Boston68.568.268.268.068.068.2
Florida45.945.445.545.245.245.5
Ottawa15.214.915.014.814.814.9
Pittsburgh vs WinnipegHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Pittsburgh94.194.193.891.791.789.2
5.95.95.95.75.75.6
4.54.44.23.03.02.1
Washington81.181.181.281.481.481.7
Boston67.967.968.068.368.368.7
Florida45.245.245.245.645.646.1
Ottawa14.814.814.815.015.015.3
Montreal vs DallasHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Islanders9.19.19.29.49.49.6
Montreal96.796.796.695.395.393.6
6.06.06.06.06.05.9
9.19.18.86.76.74.9
Boston68.168.168.168.368.368.6
Florida45.445.445.445.645.645.9
Carolina vs Tampa BayHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Islanders9.69.49.49.29.19.1
Tampa Bay94.495.995.997.197.297.2
5.9*6.0*6.06.16.16.1
4.56.26.28.38.58.5
Boston68.568.368.368.168.168.1
Florida45.945.645.645.445.445.4
Carolina0.50.50.50.30.30.2
0.0No0.0No0.0No
Philadelphia vs ArizonaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington81.281.281.381.581.581.6
Boston68.168.168.168.468.468.5
Florida45.445.445.445.745.745.9
Philadelphia5.35.35.13.63.62.5
0.30.30.30.20.20.2
Vancouver vs AnaheimHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Islanders10.09.49.48.98.88.8
Tampa Bay7.26.76.76.36.36.3
Detroit6.96.56.56.16.06.0
Montreal7.77.37.36.86.86.8
NY Rangers4.84.54.54.14.14.1
Pittsburgh3.63.43.43.23.13.2
Nashville vs ColoradoHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Islanders8.98.99.09.59.59.9
Tampa Bay6.36.36.36.86.87.1
Detroit6.06.06.16.56.56.9
Montreal6.86.86.97.37.37.7
NY Rangers4.24.24.24.54.54.7
Pittsburgh3.23.23.23.43.43.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

NY IslandersTampa BayDetroitMontrealNY RangersPittsburghWashingtonBostonFloridaOttawaTorontoColumbusPhiladelphiaNew JerseyCarolinaBuffalo
NY Islanders12.512.812.39.49.810.213.49.13.31.71.20.70.40.10.0
Tampa Bay12.510.510.213.914.413.78.86.22.31.21.30.70.30.10.0
Detroit12.810.510.413.914.513.38.56.02.21.31.20.70.30.10.0
Montreal12.310.210.413.714.013.78.96.32.31.21.20.70.30.10.0
NY Rangers9.413.913.913.710.59.310.56.62.01.10.80.50.20.00.0
Pittsburgh9.814.414.514.010.59.09.86.11.71.00.60.40.20.00.0
Washington10.213.713.313.79.39.06.43.80.90.50.30.20.10.00.0
Boston13.48.88.58.910.59.86.41.20.30.10.20.10.00.00.0
Florida9.16.26.06.36.66.13.81.20.10.00.10.10.00.00.0
Ottawa3.32.32.22.32.01.70.90.30.10.00.00.00.00.00.0
Toronto1.71.21.31.21.11.00.50.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Columbus1.21.31.21.20.80.60.30.20.10.00.00.00.00.00.0
Philadelphia0.70.70.70.70.50.40.20.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.0
New Jersey0.40.30.30.30.20.20.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Carolina0.10.10.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Buffalo0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0