Eastern Conference Playoff Chances 50/50

Carolina +0.9, Columbus -5.4
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupPres TrophyDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
MondayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change%Change1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516RPITuesday
Tampa BayWColumbus 5-1944511-477100.0%+0.06.3%+0.096.6%+1.298010000001at PhiladelphiaTampa Bay Lightning
NY Islanders7623517-63198.3+0.16.1+0.00.4-0.206719822100000004New York Islanders
Toronto7523619-34297.9+0.16.1-0.00.5-0.210513772110000003at St. LouisToronto Maple Leafs
BostonSan Jose 4-2 (9:35 2nd)7613417-82597.5+0.16.1-0.00.4-0.200434472110000008Boston Bruins
WashingtonLos Angeles 2-0 (18:13 2nd)7113220-71080.6+0.75.0+0.00.0-0.001225249119631000015Washington Capitals
ColumbusLTampa Bay 1-56923322-3978.2-5.44.9-0.40.0-0.001124239121063210007at MontrealColumbus Blue Jackets
Pittsburgh6913121-72168.3+0.94.3+0.10.0-0.0061721101413963100011at New JerseyPittsburgh Penguins
Montreal6913121-7367.4+0.84.2+0.10.0-0.000516311613963100016ColumbusMontreal Canadiens
Carolina6813122-6860.5+0.93.8+0.10.0-0.00413181015151174200012NY RangersCarolina Hurricanes
Buffalo6322823-7-1323.3+0.81.4+0.00.000381214191814831017at FloridaBuffalo Sabres
Philadelphia6312824-7-2018.0+0.61.1+0.00.0002538121820161041021Tampa BayPhiladelphia Flyers
Florida5832524-8-206.2+0.30.4+0.0No-0.000124611172220115218BuffaloFlorida Panthers
NY Rangers5822525-8-243.4+0.20.2+0.0No-0.00011247132024169322at CarolinaNew York Rangers
New Jersey5412328-8-310.2+0.00.0+0.0No0000001481628261627PittsburghNew Jersey Devils
Detroit542329-8-310.1+0.00.0No000001251225332230Detroit Red Wings
OttawaLChicago 7-84912232-5-330.0-0.00.0-0.0No0000001412255731Ottawa Senators

16 teams will qualify for the Stanley Cup Playoffs. The format is a set bracket that is largely division-based with wild cards. The top three teams in each division will make up the first 12 teams in the playoffs. The remaining four spots will be filled by the next two highest-placed finishers in each conference, based on regular-season record and regardless of division. It is possible for one division in each conference to send five teams to the postseason while the other sends just three.

The percent after the team score is the chance of winning in regulation based on current second and
either home/away actual score or home/away goal differential. Please send any issues to cbosse86 at gmail dot com.
Adam sends in the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com), plus these:

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Monday
Columbus 1 Tampa Bay 5
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Tampa BayIn
+1.7
NY Islanders+0.1
-0.2
Toronto+0.1
-0.2
Boston+0.1
-0.2
Washington+0.7
Columbus-5.4
-0.3
Pittsburgh+0.8
Montreal+0.8
Carolina+0.9
Buffalo+0.8
Philadelphia+0.6
Florida+0.2
*No
NY Rangers+0.2
Calgary 5 Arizona 2
4:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Tampa Bay-0.4
Los Angeles vs WashingtonIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
10:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Islanders98.4*98.3*98.3*98.298.198.2
Toronto98.0*97.9*97.9*97.8*97.897.8
Boston97.7*97.6*97.5*97.497.497.4
Washington74.580.080.184.985.485.5
4.6*5.0*5.05.25.45.3
Columbus79.0*78.4*78.177.577.677.6
Pittsburgh69.3*68.2*68.467.967.867.6
Montreal68.3*67.5*67.566.766.766.6
Carolina61.6*60.7*60.759.959.959.7
Buffalo24.2*23.4*23.522.522.422.7
1.5*1.5*1.5*1.4*1.41.4
Philadelphia18.8*18.1*18.217.717.517.4
Florida6.5*6.3*6.26.06.06.0
NY Rangers3.6*3.4*3.43.2*3.33.2
San Jose vs BostonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
10:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Boston96.2*97.5*97.598.498.698.6
6.0*6.0*6.2*6.1*6.26.2
0.20.30.30.50.50.5
Pittsburgh68.5*68.4*68.0*68.3*68.368.2
Montreal67.6*67.2*67.3*67.466.8*67.2
Carolina60.8*60.6*60.6*60.3*60.860.3
Buffalo23.5*23.5*23.5*23.1*23.123.1
Tuesday
Montreal vs ColumbusIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Toronto*97.997.797.7*97.8*97.898.0
Boston97.597.497.4*97.5*97.497.7
Washington*80.779.780.279.780.181.0
Columbus70.977.177.283.183.584.3
4.4*4.7*4.75.15.25.3
Pittsburgh*68.367.267.467.967.768.9
Montreal74.874.072.965.865.658.5
4.74.64.5*4.1*4.13.7
Carolina*60.559.759.659.959.961.1
Buffalo*23.422.322.622.922.723.7
Philadelphia*18.017.317.517.617.618.4
Florida*6.15.95.86.05.96.4
NY Rangers*3.4*3.33.2*3.33.23.5
Carolina vs NY RangersHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Islanders98.2*98.298.2*98.2*98.398.4
Toronto97.897.7*97.8*97.9*97.898.0
Boston97.497.3*97.4*97.6*97.697.7
Washington80.079.979.8*80.5*80.881.5
Columbus77.577.677.5*78.2*78.179.2
Pittsburgh67.467.267.4*68.5*68.569.6
Montreal66.466.166.5*67.3*67.268.6
4.2*4.1*4.2*4.2*4.34.3
Carolina67.667.666.759.359.051.8
4.24.34.3*3.7*3.73.2
Buffalo22.622.222.6*23.4*23.424.3
1.41.4*1.4*1.5*1.41.5
Philadelphia17.417.417.4*18.0*18.118.9
1.1*1.1*1.1*1.1*1.21.2
Florida5.95.95.8*6.2*6.26.6
NY Rangers1.62.62.74.74.74.9
0.10.20.20.30.30.3
New Jersey vs PittsburghHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Islanders98.4*98.3*98.3*98.298.198.2
Toronto98.0*97.9*97.9*97.897.797.8
Boston97.7*97.6*97.5*97.597.397.4
Washington81.5*80.7*80.980.179.979.9
5.1*5.0*5.1*5.0*4.94.9
Columbus79.2*78.4*78.577.577.577.4
Pittsburgh60.667.367.273.774.674.6
3.8*4.2*4.24.74.74.7
Montreal68.6*67.5*67.666.566.366.4
4.3*4.2*4.2*4.1*4.24.1
Carolina61.9*60.6*60.759.959.559.4
3.9*3.9*3.8*3.83.63.7
Buffalo24.4*23.5*23.522.222.522.5
1.5*1.4*1.41.3*1.41.4
Philadelphia19.0*18.1*18.117.317.317.3
1.2*1.1*1.2*1.1*1.11.1
Florida6.6*6.3*6.35.85.95.9
NY Rangers3.6*3.5*3.3*3.33.23.2
New Jersey0.40.30.30.10.10.1
Florida vs BuffaloHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Islanders98.3*98.3*98.3*98.2*98.298.2
Toronto98.0*97.9*97.897.7*97.897.8
Boston97.7*97.5*97.597.4*97.597.5
Washington81.2*80.4*80.580.180.180.3
Columbus78.8*78.1*78.377.577.977.8
Pittsburgh69.1*68.3*68.367.767.567.8
Montreal68.1*67.4*67.366.866.566.9
Carolina61.4*60.5*60.659.759.760.0
3.9*3.9*3.8*3.7*3.83.7
Buffalo16.421.721.828.228.729.1
1.0*1.41.31.81.81.8
Philadelphia18.5*18.0*18.0*17.817.617.7
Florida8.68.48.15.35.13.4
0.50.50.50.30.30.2
NY Rangers3.5*3.3*3.43.2*3.33.3
Philadelphia vs Tampa BayHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Tampa Bay100.0*In*In*In*InIn
95.1*96.6*96.697.697.897.9
NY Islanders98.2*98.3*98.2*98.2*98.398.4
0.6*0.4*0.40.30.20.3
Toronto97.8*97.8*97.8*97.9*97.898.0
0.7*0.5*0.50.30.30.3
Boston97.5*97.5*97.5*97.6*97.597.6
0.5*0.4*0.40.30.20.2
Washington80.080.180.281.0*80.881.3
Columbus77.677.577.7*78.3*78.579.0
Pittsburgh67.667.667.6*68.768.869.2
Montreal66.666.566.8*67.4*67.668.3
4.2*4.1*4.2*4.3*4.24.3
Carolina59.859.859.9*60.7*60.561.5
Buffalo22.822.723.0*23.5*23.424.0
Philadelphia22.722.622.016.716.912.4
1.41.41.4*1.1*1.10.8
Florida6.05.95.9*6.3*6.26.4
NY Rangers3.2*3.33.2*3.5*3.53.5
St. Louis vs TorontoHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
8:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Tampa Bay96.8*96.6*96.7*96.596.496.5
Toronto96.7*98.0*97.998.798.898.7
0.20.40.40.60.70.7
Pittsburgh68.5*68.4*68.3*68.3*68.268.2
Buffalo23.5*23.3*23.5*23.2*23.323.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

Tampa BayNY IslandersTorontoBostonWashingtonColumbusPittsburghMontrealCarolinaBuffaloPhiladelphiaFloridaNY RangersNew JerseyDetroitOttawa
Tampa Bay2.02.73.011.211.413.916.014.911.67.63.71.80.10.00.0
NY Islanders2.05.14.914.614.213.221.212.15.73.51.20.60.00.00.0
Toronto2.75.175.20.90.70.510.30.41.50.10.40.00.00.00.0
Boston3.04.975.20.90.90.59.70.41.80.10.20.00.00.00.0
Washington11.214.60.90.919.815.13.711.20.92.00.20.30.00.00.0
Columbus11.414.20.70.919.813.33.211.10.82.20.20.30.00.00.0
Pittsburgh13.913.20.50.515.113.31.87.80.41.50.10.20.00.00.0
Montreal16.021.210.39.73.73.21.81.10.20.10.00.00.00.00.0
Carolina14.912.10.40.411.211.17.81.10.31.10.00.20.00.00.0
Buffalo11.65.71.51.80.90.80.40.20.30.00.00.00.0NoNo
Philadelphia7.63.50.10.12.02.21.50.11.10.00.00.00.0NoNo
Florida3.71.20.40.20.20.20.10.00.00.00.00.00.0NoNo
NY Rangers1.80.60.00.00.30.30.20.00.20.00.00.00.0NoNo
New Jersey0.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Detroit0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0NoNoNoNo
Ottawa0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0NoNoNoNo