Eastern Conference Playoff Chances 50/50

Season starts October 8th
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupPres TrophyDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
PGWL-OTGD%Change%Change%Change1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516RPI10/8
NY Islanders000-0050.0%3.1%3.3%66131366666666661New York Islanders
Toronto000-0050.03.13.366131366666666661MontrealToronto Maple Leafs
Boston000-0050.03.13.366121366666666661PhiladelphiaBoston Bruins
Columbus000-0050.03.13.366121366666666661Columbus Blue Jackets
Pittsburgh000-0050.03.13.366131266666666661Pittsburgh Penguins
NY Rangers000-0050.03.13.366131366666666661New York Rangers
Montreal000-0050.03.13.366131266666666661at TorontoMontreal Canadiens
Detroit000-0050.03.13.366121266666666661Detroit Red Wings
Ottawa000-0050.03.13.366121366666666661Ottawa Senators
Buffalo000-0050.03.13.366121366666666661Buffalo Sabres
Tampa Bay000-0050.03.13.366131266666666661Tampa Bay Lightning
Washington000-0050.03.13.366131366666666661Washington Capitals
Philadelphia000-0050.03.13.366121266666666661at BostonPhiladelphia Flyers
Carolina000-0050.03.13.366121266666666661Carolina Hurricanes
Florida000-0050.03.13.366121266666666661Florida Panthers
New Jersey000-0050.03.13.366121266666666661New Jersey Devils

Data is queried every 2.5 minutes,
Complete data dump is done every day at 3 am ET to fix mistakes or games that have been added.
Let me know how things are, if data is wrong: adamv at mad dot scientist dot com.
The percent after the team score is the chance of winning in regulation based on current second and
either home/away actual score or home/away goal differential.
If team has greater than 50% chance of winning, I mark the game as final so the stats can get up to date.

Adam updates the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Wednesday
Boston vs PhiladelphiaIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Islanders50.249.9*50.049.749.749.9
Toronto49.949.849.849.949.850.3
Boston54.254.053.549.149.244.9
3.43.43.33.13.12.8
4.14.03.93.13.12.4
Columbus50.349.8*49.949.749.749.9
Pittsburgh50.249.9*49.949.749.649.9
NY Rangers50.249.8*49.949.749.749.9
Montreal49.949.749.7*49.949.850.2
Detroit49.949.749.8*49.949.950.2
Ottawa49.949.749.7*49.9*49.950.2
Buffalo49.949.749.8*49.949.950.2
Tampa Bay49.949.749.749.949.950.2
Washington50.2*49.949.949.849.649.9
Philadelphia44.949.149.153.554.054.2
2.83.13.13.33.43.4
2.43.13.13.94.04.1
Carolina50.249.849.849.849.749.9
New Jersey50.249.849.949.749.749.9
Toronto vs MontrealHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Toronto54.454.053.549.049.044.7
3.43.43.43.13.12.8
4.14.04.03.13.12.4
Boston50.149.749.849.849.750.1
Montreal44.748.949.053.554.054.4
2.83.13.13.33.43.4
2.43.13.13.94.04.1
Buffalo50.149.649.849.849.750.1
Thursday
Washington vs MontrealIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Islanders49.949.749.849.949.950.2
Toronto50.249.949.949.849.749.9
Boston50.2*49.9*49.949.749.749.9
Columbus49.949.749.749.9*50.050.2
Pittsburgh49.949.749.8*49.949.950.2
NY Rangers49.949.649.749.949.950.3
Montreal44.949.049.153.554.054.2
2.83.13.03.33.43.4
2.43.13.14.04.14.1
Detroit50.249.9*49.949.749.749.9
Ottawa50.249.949.849.849.749.9
Buffalo50.2*49.949.949.749.749.9
Tampa Bay50.249.9*50.049.849.749.9
Washington54.254.053.449.149.144.9
3.43.43.33.13.12.8
4.14.03.93.13.12.4
Philadelphia49.949.749.7*49.949.950.2
Carolina49.949.749.749.949.950.2
Florida50.249.849.849.749.749.9
New Jersey49.949.749.7*49.949.850.2
Buffalo vs ColumbusHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Islanders50.349.949.949.849.749.9
Toronto49.949.749.849.949.850.2
Boston49.949.749.7*49.949.950.3
Columbus44.949.149.153.554.054.2
2.83.13.13.43.43.4
2.43.13.14.04.14.1
Pittsburgh50.2*49.9*50.049.849.749.9
NY Rangers50.349.949.949.749.749.9
Montreal49.949.749.8*49.9*49.950.2
Detroit49.949.849.749.849.950.2
Ottawa49.949.749.7*49.949.950.2
Buffalo54.253.953.549.149.144.9
3.43.43.33.13.12.8
4.14.03.93.13.12.4
Tampa Bay49.949.749.749.949.950.2
Washington50.249.849.849.849.749.9
Philadelphia50.249.949.949.749.749.9
Carolina50.249.8*49.949.749.749.9
Florida49.949.849.7*49.949.850.2
New Jersey50.249.949.849.749.749.9
Philadelphia vs New JerseyHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Philadelphia54.454.053.549.048.944.7
3.43.43.33.13.02.8
4.14.03.93.13.12.4
New Jersey44.748.948.953.554.054.4
2.83.03.03.33.43.4
2.43.13.13.94.14.1
Tampa Bay vs FloridaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Detroit50.149.749.849.849.650.1
Tampa Bay54.453.953.549.049.044.7
3.43.43.33.13.12.8
4.14.13.93.13.12.4
Florida44.748.948.953.654.054.4
2.83.13.13.43.43.4
2.43.13.13.94.14.1
Detroit vs BostonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Boston44.749.049.053.654.054.4
2.83.13.13.33.43.4
2.43.13.13.94.14.1
Detroit54.454.053.449.049.044.8
3.43.43.33.13.12.8
4.14.13.93.13.12.4
Pittsburgh vs AnaheimHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Islanders49.749.649.7*50.1*50.150.4
Toronto49.849.849.9*50.0*50.050.2
Boston49.849.949.9*50.0*50.050.3
Columbus49.749.649.7*50.150.150.4
Pittsburgh54.053.953.549.349.345.1
3.43.43.33.13.12.8
4.14.04.03.13.12.4
NY Rangers49.749.749.7*50.1*50.050.4
Montreal49.849.949.8*50.0*50.050.2
Detroit49.849.849.9*50.1*50.050.2
Ottawa49.849.849.8*50.1*50.150.2
Tampa Bay49.849.849.8*50.0*50.050.2
Washington49.649.649.7*50.1*50.150.4
Philadelphia49.749.749.7*50.0*50.050.4
Carolina49.749.649.7*50.0*50.150.4
Florida49.849.849.9*50.0*50.050.2
New Jersey49.749.649.750.1*50.050.4
3.1*3.13.1*3.1*3.13.2
St. Louis vs NY RangersHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Islanders50.4*50.1*50.149.849.749.7
Boston50.3*50.1*50.049.849.849.8
Columbus50.450.1*50.149.849.749.6
Pittsburgh50.4*50.1*50.149.749.749.7
NY Rangers45.149.349.253.553.953.9
2.83.1*3.13.33.43.4
2.43.13.14.04.04.1
Detroit50.3*50.0*50.049.849.849.8
Ottawa50.2*50.0*50.149.949.849.8
Buffalo50.2*50.1*50.049.749.849.8
Tampa Bay50.2*50.0*50.149.849.849.8
Washington50.4*50.0*50.049.749.749.7
Philadelphia50.4*50.0*50.149.749.649.6
Carolina50.4*50.1*50.049.749.649.7
Florida50.2*50.1*50.149.849.849.8
New Jersey50.4*50.050.149.749.749.6
Nashville vs OttawaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Toronto50.4*50.0*50.149.749.749.7
Boston50.4*50.1*50.149.749.749.7
Pittsburgh50.2*50.0*50.049.949.949.8
NY Rangers50.3*50.1*50.049.849.849.8
Montreal50.4*50.150.149.749.649.6
Detroit50.4*50.1*50.049.749.749.7
Ottawa45.149.249.353.453.953.9
2.8*3.13.13.33.43.4
2.43.13.14.04.14.1
Buffalo50.4*50.0*50.149.749.749.7
Tampa Bay50.4*50.150.149.749.749.6
Washington50.2*50.0*50.0*49.949.749.8
Philadelphia50.2*50.0*50.049.949.849.8
Carolina50.2*50.0*50.149.849.849.8
Florida50.4*50.1*50.049.749.749.7
New Jersey50.2*50.1*50.049.849.749.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

NY IslandersTorontoBostonColumbusPittsburghNY RangersMontrealDetroitOttawaBuffaloTampa BayWashingtonPhiladelphiaCarolinaFloridaNew Jersey
NY Islanders1.61.75.35.25.21.61.61.61.61.65.35.35.31.65.3
Toronto1.65.31.61.61.65.35.25.25.35.31.61.61.65.31.6
Boston1.75.31.61.61.75.35.25.25.35.31.61.61.75.31.6
Columbus5.31.61.65.35.31.71.61.61.71.65.25.25.31.65.3
Pittsburgh5.21.61.65.35.31.61.61.61.61.65.35.35.31.65.2
NY Rangers5.21.61.75.35.31.61.71.61.61.65.35.35.21.65.3
Montreal1.65.35.31.71.61.65.35.35.35.21.61.61.65.21.6
Detroit1.65.25.21.61.61.75.35.35.35.31.61.61.65.31.6
Ottawa1.65.25.21.61.61.65.35.35.35.31.61.71.65.31.6
Buffalo1.65.35.31.71.61.65.35.35.35.21.61.61.65.21.7
Tampa Bay1.65.35.31.61.61.65.25.35.35.21.61.61.65.31.6
Washington5.31.61.65.25.35.31.61.61.61.61.65.35.31.65.2
Philadelphia5.31.61.65.25.35.31.61.61.71.61.65.35.21.65.3
Carolina5.31.61.75.35.35.21.61.61.61.61.65.35.21.65.3
Florida1.65.35.31.61.61.65.25.35.35.25.31.61.61.61.6
New Jersey5.31.61.65.35.25.31.61.61.61.71.65.25.35.31.6