Eastern Conference Playoff Chances 50/50

Philadelphia +4.9, Pittsburgh -4.7
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupPres TrophyDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
WednesdayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change%Change1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516RPIThursday
Montreal12161-0169.4%+0.64.3%-0.07.5%+0.11410181576555443322Montreal Canadiens
OttawaToronto8341-0461.5+0.63.8+0.15.3+0.1108161476665554431Ottawa Senators
NY Islanders8242-0256.6+0.63.6+0.13.9+0.0881514666666555423at BostonNew York Islanders
Detroit8231-2256.3+0.73.5+0.03.9+0.087141477666665548PittsburghDetroit Red Wings
Tampa Bay9142-1756.1+0.73.5+0.03.7+0.0761414776666555410Tampa Bay Lightning
WashingtonLEdmonton 2-38231-2656.0-4.63.5-0.33.8-1.3881414666666655420Washington Capitals
Columbus6332-0352.9+0.83.3+0.03.3+0.1771313666666666513at San JoseColumbus Blue Jackets
PittsburghLPhiladelphia 3-56332-0452.8-4.73.3-0.33.2-1.2771313666666666512at DetroitPittsburgh Penguins
New Jersey7232-1052.0+0.73.3+0.03.0+0.0671313666666666516New Jersey Devils
NY Rangers8143-0-251.2+0.83.2+0.12.9+0.1671313666666666518New York Rangers
Florida6222-2-546.3+0.72.9+0.02.3-0.0551112777777777724Florida Panthers
Torontoat Ottawa7133-1-146.1+0.72.9+0.12.2+0.0551112777777777721Toronto Maple Leafs
Boston844-0045.2+0.72.8+0.02.1+0.0441112777777777722NY IslandersBoston Bruins
PhiladelphiaWPittsburgh 5-36123-2-641.3+4.92.6+0.31.6+0.3451011666777788811Philadelphia Flyers
Carolina2303-2-733.0+0.72.1+0.11.0-0.0238955677889101230at CalgaryCarolina Hurricanes
BuffaloLAnaheim 1-42116-0-1723.3-3.91.5-0.20.5-0.21257456678910131828at Los AngelesBuffalo Sabres

Data is queried every 2.5 minutes,
Complete data dump is done every day at 3 am ET to fix mistakes or games that have been added.
Let me know how things are, if data is wrong: adamv at mad dot scientist dot com.
The percent after the team score is the chance of winning in regulation based on current second and
either home/away actual score or home/away goal differential.
If team has greater than 50% chance of winning, I mark the game as final so the stats can get up to date.

Adam updates the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Wednesday
Pittsburgh 3 Philadelphia 5
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Detroit+0.1
+0.1
Pittsburgh-5.3
-0.3
-1.1
New Jersey+0.2
NY Rangers*+0.1
Boston*+0.1
Philadelphia+4.3
+0.3
+0.4
Edmonton 3 Washington 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Montreal+0.2
NY Islanders+0.5
Tampa Bay+0.2
Washington-4.9
-0.3
-1.3
Columbus+0.4
Pittsburgh+0.4
New Jersey+0.4
NY Rangers+0.4
Florida+0.2
Toronto+0.2
Boston+0.4
Philadelphia+0.3
Carolina+0.5
Buffalo*+0.2
Anaheim 4 Buffalo 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Montreal+0.4
-0.1
Ottawa+0.4
Detroit+0.3
Tampa Bay+0.3
Washington+0.2
Pittsburgh+0.3
New Jersey*+0.1
NY Rangers+0.2
Florida+0.3
Toronto+0.5
Boston+0.4
Carolina+0.2
Buffalo-4.2
-0.3
-0.2
Ottawa vs TorontoIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Ottawa66.165.264.860.660.456.2
4.1*4.0*4.0*3.7*3.93.5
6.46.36.04.95.03.9
Toronto40.645.045.149.850.050.6
2.6*2.8*2.83.13.13.2
1.5*2.1*2.12.62.72.8
Thursday
Boston vs NY IslandersIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Islanders51.455.455.560.260.661.0
3.2*3.5*3.43.83.83.8
2.83.73.64.74.94.8
Detroit*56.255.6*56.3*56.0*56.356.6
Washington56.4*56.2*56.0*55.6*55.755.8
Florida*46.2*46.245.8*46.3*46.146.6
Boston49.649.448.944.343.940.0
3.13.13.1*2.8*2.82.5
2.62.52.61.91.81.4
Detroit vs PittsburghHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Montreal*69.3*69.468.9*69.3*69.269.6
Detroit60.660.259.955.855.551.1
3.83.83.7*3.4*3.53.2
4.84.64.63.63.52.8
Washington56.3*56.1*55.855.4*55.8*56.0
Pittsburgh47.552.152.056.056.957.1
3.0*3.3*3.23.53.63.6
2.3*3.12.93.64.04.0
New Jersey52.2*51.7*52.0*51.951.4*51.8
San Jose vs ColumbusHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Montreal69.6*69.7*69.2*69.3*69.369.1
Ottawa61.8*61.3*61.3*61.3*61.561.3
NY Islanders57.0*56.9*56.956.0*56.456.3
Detroit56.5*56.3*56.6*56.4*56.356.1
Tampa Bay56.4*56.2*56.0*55.9*56.055.9
Washington56.5*56.3*56.3*55.7*55.655.6
Columbus47.952.251.956.456.656.9
3.0*3.3*3.2*3.43.63.5
2.43.03.03.93.94.1
Pittsburgh53.3*53.0*52.8*52.3*52.452.4
New Jersey52.4*51.9*51.8*51.851.251.7
NY Rangers51.6*50.8*51.1*50.7*51.150.8
Florida46.7*46.6*46.445.8*46.146.1
Philadelphia41.7*41.2*41.6*41.0*40.940.9
Carolina33.3*33.3*33.4*32.7*32.932.8
Calgary vs CarolinaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Ottawa61.8*61.4*61.6*61.5*61.261.3
NY Islanders56.9*56.6*56.9*56.3*56.556.4
Washington56.4*56.4*56.2*55.9*55.655.7
Columbus53.4*52.7*52.7*52.4*52.552.5
Pittsburgh53.2*52.7*53.0*52.752.252.5
New Jersey52.4*52.0*52.1*51.7*51.951.5
NY Rangers51.6*51.3*51.350.6*50.750.8
Florida46.6*46.3*46.1*46.1*46.446.1
Boston45.5*45.5*45.2*45.2*45.045.0
Philadelphia41.6*41.6*41.2*41.1*40.840.9
Carolina28.532.232.036.236.736.8
1.8*2.1*2.12.32.32.3
0.7*0.90.91.31.21.3
Los Angeles vs BuffaloHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Montreal69.7*69.5*69.3*69.3*69.169.1
Ottawa61.8*61.5*61.7*61.361.0*61.3
Detroit56.7*56.1*56.6*56.0*55.956.0
Tampa Bay56.5*56.1*56.1*56.0*56.055.8
Washington56.3*56.2*55.8*56.0*56.055.8
Columbus53.1*52.8*53.1*53.0*52.652.6
Florida46.7*46.7*46.5*46.1*46.046.0
Boston45.6*45.4*45.4*44.9*45.044.9
Philadelphia41.5*41.3*41.3*41.2*41.241.0
Buffalo19.522.722.326.126.626.4
1.2*1.5*1.51.61.71.7
0.3*0.4*0.40.60.60.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

MontrealOttawaNY IslandersDetroitTampa BayWashingtonColumbusPittsburghNew JerseyNY RangersFloridaTorontoBostonPhiladelphiaCarolinaBuffalo
Montreal9.22.78.58.52.62.52.52.52.47.06.96.82.11.73.4
Ottawa9.22.37.57.52.32.22.22.12.16.26.05.91.71.42.9
NY Islanders2.72.32.12.16.96.56.56.36.31.81.71.74.94.00.9
Detroit8.57.52.16.92.12.01.91.91.95.55.55.41.51.22.5
Tampa Bay8.57.52.16.92.12.01.91.91.95.55.45.31.51.22.5
Washington2.62.36.92.12.16.36.46.36.21.71.71.74.93.90.9
Columbus2.52.26.52.02.06.36.05.95.81.61.61.64.63.60.9
Pittsburgh2.52.26.51.91.96.46.05.95.81.61.61.64.63.50.8
New Jersey2.52.16.31.91.96.35.95.95.71.51.51.54.53.50.8
NY Rangers2.42.16.31.91.96.25.85.85.71.51.51.54.43.40.8
Florida7.06.21.85.55.51.71.61.61.51.54.34.21.20.92.0
Toronto6.96.01.75.55.41.71.61.61.51.54.34.11.10.91.9
Boston6.85.91.75.45.31.71.61.61.51.54.24.11.20.91.9
Philadelphia2.11.74.91.51.54.94.64.64.54.41.21.11.22.60.6
Carolina1.71.44.01.21.23.93.63.53.53.40.90.90.92.60.4
Buffalo3.42.90.92.52.50.90.90.80.80.82.01.91.90.60.4