Eastern Conference Playoff Chances 50/50

Tampa Bay +11.9, NY Islanders -13.7
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupPres TrophyDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
MondayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change%Change1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516RPITuesday
Washington10624917-875In6.3%71.2%+0.57222601Minnesota 0-0 (8:00 pm ET)Washington Capitals
Columbus10324819-761In6.2-0.020.5+0.221473102Buffalo 0-0 (7:00 pm ET)Columbus Blue Jackets
Pittsburgh10314618-1147In6.36.0+0.160316123Pittsburgh Penguins
NY Rangers964626-440100.0%6.30.000298005San Jose 0-0 (10:30 pm ET)New York Rangers
Montreal9314224-917100.0+0.06.2No073252000007Dallas 0-0 (7:30 pm ET)Montreal Canadiens
Ottawa9024125-8399.4+0.16.2+0.0No26639020000012Philadelphia 0-0 (7:00 pm ET)Ottawa Senators
Toronto8523524-15879.5+1.45.0+0.1No18500201262000019Florida 0-0 (7:30 pm ET)Toronto Maple Leafs
Boston8413930-61258.4+2.63.7+0.2No032503020136200014Nashville 0-0 (7:00 pm ET)Boston Bruins
Tampa BayWChicago 5-4 (ot)8313729-9033.3+11.92.1+0.7No0113019252313410016Tampa Bay Lightning
NY IslandersLNashville 1-38213528-12-918.2-13.71.1-0.9No18232621831017New York Islanders
CarolinaLDetroit 3-4 (ot)8023327-14-1610.7-1.70.7-0.1No1116223014620021Detroit 0-0 (7:00 pm ET)Carolina Hurricanes
Philadelphia7813532-8-230.5+0.00.0+0.0No026163425124018Ottawa 0-0 (7:00 pm ET)Philadelphia Flyers
FloridaLBuffalo 2-47713331-11-180.1-0.70.0-0.0No00012824322210023Toronto 0-0 (7:30 pm ET)Florida Panthers
BuffaloWFlorida 4-2763232-12-260.0+0.00.0No0000311233527025Columbus 0-0 (7:00 pm ET)Buffalo Sabres
DetroitWCarolina 4-3 (ot)7413132-12-320.00.0No000014112754424Carolina 0-0 (7:00 pm ET)Detroit Red Wings
New Jersey6712735-13-49OutNoNo000049628Winnipeg 0-0 (7:00 pm ET)New Jersey Devils

16 teams will qualify for the Stanley Cup Playoffs. The format is a set bracket that is largely division-based with wild cards. The top three teams in each division will make up the first 12 teams in the playoffs. The remaining four spots will be filled by the next two highest-placed finishers in each conference, based on regular-season record and regardless of division. It is possible for one division in each conference to send five teams to the postseason while the other sends just three.

Complete data dump is done daily to fix mistakes or games that have been rescheduled.
The percent after the team score is the chance of winning in regulation based on current second and
either home/away actual score or home/away goal differential.

Please let me know if you see anything wrong: DESMOND dot SMITH at SHAW dot CA.

Adam updates the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Monday
NY Islanders 1 Nashville 3
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Ottawa+0.2
Toronto+2.7
+0.2
Boston+4.7
+0.3
Tampa Bay+2.5
+0.2
NY Islanders-12.5
-0.8
Carolina+1.9
+0.1
Philadelphia+0.1
Florida+0.2
Tampa Bay 5 Chicago 4 (ot)
7:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington+0.5
Columbus+0.2
Pittsburgh+0.1
Ottawa-0.1
Toronto-2.1
-0.1
Boston-2.7
-0.2
Tampa Bay+8.2
+0.5
NY Islanders-2.1
-0.1
Carolina-1.0
-0.1
Philadelphia-0.1
Florida-0.1
Carolina 3 Detroit 4 (ot)
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Toronto+0.5
Boston+0.6
Tampa Bay+0.4
NY Islanders+0.7
Carolina-2.3
-0.1
Buffalo 4 Florida 2
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Toronto+0.1
Boston+0.3
Tampa Bay+0.1
NY Islanders+0.1
Carolina+0.1
Florida-0.7
Tuesday
Boston vs NashvilleIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Ottawa99.299.299.299.499.499.5
Toronto77.277.277.379.879.882.5
4.84.84.85.05.05.2
Boston69.969.969.857.157.143.6
4.44.44.43.63.62.7
Tampa Bay29.229.229.233.633.638.5
1.81.81.82.12.12.4
NY Islanders15.215.215.218.518.522.0
0.90.91.01.21.21.4
Carolina8.88.88.810.910.913.0
0.60.60.60.70.70.8
Philadelphia0.30.30.30.50.50.7
Florida0.10.10.10.10.10.2
Toronto vs FloridaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Ottawa99.399.399.399.499.499.5
Toronto87.887.886.278.578.569.2
5.55.55.44.94.94.3
Boston56.256.256.258.458.461.3
3.53.53.5*3.7*3.73.8
Tampa Bay30.730.731.333.733.736.4
1.91.92.02.12.12.3
NY Islanders16.216.216.818.518.520.6
1.01.01.01.21.21.3
Carolina9.49.49.810.910.912.2
0.60.60.60.70.70.8
Philadelphia0.40.40.40.50.50.6
Florida0.00.00.00.20.20.3
Carolina vs DetroitHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Ottawa99.399.399.499.499.499.4
Toronto78.378.378.980.280.180.9
4.94.94.95.05.05.1
Boston56.656.656.659.059.060.6
3.53.53.53.73.73.8
Tampa Bay31.932.032.433.833.834.8
2.02.02.02.12.12.2
NY Islanders17.317.317.618.518.519.1
1.11.11.11.21.21.2
Carolina16.116.014.78.58.54.5
1.01.00.90.50.50.3
Philadelphia0.40.40.50.50.50.5
DetroitOut0.00.00.00.00.0
No*No*No*0.0*0.00.0
Philadelphia vs OttawaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Ottawa98.799.599.599.899.999.9
Boston*58.458.258.2*58.458.458.5
Tampa Bay33.333.133.233.233.233.2
NY Islanders18.318.118.118.118.118.1
Philadelphia0.90.90.80.20.20.0
Columbus vs BuffaloHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington65.565.668.173.473.477.6
Columbus27.627.424.918.018.012.4
Pittsburgh5.15.15.26.36.37.2
BuffaloNo0.00.0*0.00.00.0
Minnesota vs WashingtonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
8:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington60.069.969.978.480.180.2
Columbus27.421.921.916.414.914.7
Pittsburgh9.06.0*6.03.83.83.8
San Jose vs NY RangersHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
10:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY RangersNoNoNo*0.00.00.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

WashingtonColumbusPittsburghNY RangersMontrealOttawaTorontoBostonTampa BayNY IslandersCarolinaPhiladelphiaFloridaBuffaloDetroit
Washington6.420.50.70.11.114.121.313.713.48.30.40.10.00.0
Columbus6.470.71.40.40.54.56.64.03.71.80.10.00.00.0
Pittsburgh20.570.70.41.60.51.42.01.21.10.50.00.00.00.0
NY Rangers0.71.40.471.625.00.70.20.00.00.00.00.0No
Montreal0.10.41.671.60.814.86.04.7NoNo0.00.00.0
Ottawa1.10.50.525.00.841.920.59.0NoNo0.00.00.0
Toronto14.14.51.40.714.841.91.60.4NoNo0.0
Boston21.36.62.00.26.020.51.60.2NoNo0.0
Tampa Bay13.74.01.20.04.79.00.40.2NoNo0.0
NY Islanders13.43.71.10.0NoNoNoNoNo
Carolina8.31.80.50.0NoNoNoNoNo
Philadelphia0.40.10.00.0
Florida0.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Buffalo0.00.00.0No0.00.0
Detroit0.00.00.00.00.0