Eastern Conference Playoff Chances 50/50

Boston +1.5, Pittsburgh -6.9
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupPres TrophyDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
WednesdayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change%Change1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516RPIThursday
Tampa Bay6533110-34999.8%+0.06.2%+0.041.3%-0.5631221300000000001Vegas 0-0 (7:30 pm ET)Tampa Bay Lightning
BostonWMontreal 4-15842510-83297.1+1.56.1+0.18.4+1.7166571611111000009NY Islanders 0-0 (7:00 pm ET)Boston Bruins
Washington5922814-31394.3+0.35.9+0.05.8-0.11238231264211000004New Jersey 0-0 (7:00 pm ET)Washington Capitals
New Jersey5442312-8684.8+0.75.3+0.02.3-0.152025171085432110017Washington 0-0 (7:00 pm ET)New Jersey Devils
Toronto5412517-41477.6+0.84.9+0.10.5-0.0211850434554321011Philadelphia 0-0 (7:00 pm ET)Toronto Maple Leafs
Columbus5312518-3-562.9+1.23.9+0.10.3-0.0171316131210875421015Dallas 0-0 (7:00 pm ET)Columbus Blue Jackets
NY Rangers5122317-5757.5+1.23.6+0.10.2-0.0151115131211976432022Buffalo 0-0 (7:00 pm ET)New York Rangers
Philadelphia4832016-8-145.5+1.22.8+0.10.1-0.0048111112111098753125Toronto 0-0 (7:00 pm ET)Philadelphia Flyers
PittsburghLAnaheim 3-5512420-3-843.5-6.92.7-0.40.1-0.10371111121211108753118Los Angeles 0-0 (10:30 pm ET)Pittsburgh Penguins
NY Islanders5012319-4-942.7+1.22.7+0.10.1-0.00371011121211109753116Boston 0-0 (7:00 pm ET)New York Islanders
Carolina4822017-8-1434.9+1.12.2+0.10.0-0.0025891111111110975119Carolina Hurricanes
Florida4241819-6-1919.4+0.51.2+0.00.00021034681012131413424Florida Panthers
Detroit4331819-7-1617.6+0.51.1+0.00.0001934681012141514427Detroit Red Wings
Ottawa3951518-9-3211.8+0.40.7+0.00.000162346811141719829St. Louis 0-0 (7:30 pm ET)Ottawa Senators
MontrealLBoston 1-44221821-6-2610.3-3.70.6-0.20.0-0.000152346811141821728Montreal Canadiens
Buffalo3131124-9-520.2+0.00.0+0.00.0000000001136167331NY Rangers 0-0 (7:00 pm ET)Buffalo Sabres

16 teams will qualify for the Stanley Cup Playoffs. The format is a set bracket that is largely division-based with wild cards. The top three teams in each division will make up the first 12 teams in the playoffs. The remaining four spots will be filled by the next two highest-placed finishers in each conference, based on regular-season record and regardless of division. It is possible for one division in each conference to send five teams to the postseason while the other sends just three.

The percent after the team score is the chance of winning in regulation based on current second and
either home/away actual score or home/away goal differential. Please send any issues to cbosse86 at gmail dot com.

Adam updates the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Wednesday
Anaheim 5 Pittsburgh 3
10:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Boston+0.1
Washington+0.3
New Jersey+0.5
Toronto+0.3
Columbus+0.9
+0.1
NY Rangers+1.0
+0.1
Philadelphia+0.9
+0.1
Pittsburgh-7.2
-0.4
-0.1
NY Islanders+1.0
+0.1
Carolina+0.9
+0.1
Florida+0.4
Detroit+0.4
Ottawa+0.3
Montreal+0.3
Boston 4 Montreal 1
7:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Tampa Bay-0.6
Boston+1.4
+0.1
+1.7
Washington+0.1
-0.1
New Jersey+0.1
-0.1
Toronto+0.5
Columbus+0.2
NY Rangers+0.2
Philadelphia+0.2
Pittsburgh+0.2
NY Islanders+0.2
Carolina+0.2
Florida+0.2
Detroit+0.2
Ottawa+0.1
Montreal-4.0
-0.2
Thursday
Philadelphia vs TorontoIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
New Jersey84.684.484.484.784.785.1
Toronto72.176.876.881.381.982.2
4.54.84.85.15.15.1
0.20.40.40.60.60.7
Columbus62.562.262.362.962.863.6
NY Rangers57.156.856.957.557.458.2
Philadelphia51.351.150.244.244.138.3
3.23.23.12.82.82.4
Pittsburgh43.042.742.943.443.444.2
NY Islanders42.342.042.242.742.743.4
Carolina34.434.234.334.834.835.5
Florida20.119.219.318.818.719.0
Detroit18.217.417.417.116.917.3
Ottawa12.211.611.711.411.311.5
Montreal10.710.210.210.09.910.1
NY Islanders vs BostonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Tampa Bay42.141.541.540.740.740.6
Boston95.997.097.197.998.098.1
6.0*6.1*6.16.16.16.1
5.97.97.910.210.410.5
New Jersey84.484.484.484.884.885.3
Columbus62.262.262.363.063.063.8
3.93.93.93.93.94.0
NY Rangers56.856.756.957.657.658.4
3.53.53.63.63.63.6
Philadelphia44.844.744.845.645.646.3
2.82.82.82.82.82.9
Pittsburgh42.842.742.843.643.644.4
2.72.72.72.72.72.8
NY Islanders48.548.447.541.541.535.7
3.03.03.02.62.62.2
Carolina34.234.234.335.035.035.7
2.12.12.12.22.22.2
Florida19.319.119.219.419.319.7
Detroit17.517.317.417.617.517.9
Los Angeles vs PittsburghHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
10:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
New Jersey85.384.984.984.484.484.4
Toronto77.977.777.777.477.477.4
Columbus63.863.063.062.262.262.2
4.03.93.93.93.93.9
NY Rangers58.557.757.656.856.756.7
3.73.63.63.63.53.5
Philadelphia46.445.645.644.844.744.7
2.92.92.82.82.82.8
Pittsburgh36.342.442.448.549.249.2
2.32.72.63.03.13.1
NY Islanders43.742.942.942.142.041.9
2.72.72.72.62.62.6
Carolina35.735.035.034.234.234.1
2.22.22.22.12.12.1
Florida19.819.519.519.219.119.1
Detroit18.017.717.717.317.317.3
NY Rangers vs BuffaloHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
New Jersey84.484.484.584.984.985.3
Toronto77.477.477.577.777.777.9
Columbus62.262.262.363.063.063.8
3.93.93.93.93.94.0
NY Rangers63.263.262.356.556.550.5
3.93.93.93.53.53.2
0.30.30.30.20.20.1
Philadelphia44.744.744.845.645.646.4
2.82.82.82.92.82.9
Pittsburgh42.742.742.843.643.644.4
2.72.72.72.72.72.8
NY Islanders42.042.042.142.942.943.7
2.62.62.62.72.72.7
Carolina34.234.134.235.035.035.7
2.12.12.12.22.22.2
Florida19.119.119.219.519.519.8
Detroit17.317.317.417.717.718.0
Buffalo0.10.10.20.30.30.3
NoNoNoNoNo0.0
Columbus vs DallasHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
New Jersey84.484.484.584.984.985.3
Toronto77.477.477.477.777.777.9
Columbus68.468.467.762.062.056.0
4.34.34.23.93.93.5
0.40.40.30.20.20.1
NY Rangers56.856.856.957.657.658.4
3.53.63.63.63.63.6
Philadelphia44.744.744.845.645.646.4
2.82.82.82.82.82.9
Pittsburgh42.742.742.843.643.644.4
2.72.72.72.72.72.8
NY Islanders42.042.042.142.942.943.7
2.62.62.62.72.72.7
Carolina34.234.234.335.035.035.7
2.12.12.12.22.22.2
Florida19.119.119.219.519.519.8
Detroit17.317.317.417.717.718.0
New Jersey vs WashingtonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Tampa Bay41.741.341.341.040.941.0
Washington92.194.194.195.896.096.1
5.85.95.96.06.06.0
3.85.25.27.17.37.4
New Jersey88.288.187.784.384.380.5
5.55.55.55.35.35.0
3.03.02.92.02.01.4
Columbus62.862.562.662.862.863.2
NY Rangers57.357.157.257.457.357.8
Philadelphia45.345.145.145.345.345.8
Pittsburgh43.343.143.143.343.343.8
NY Islanders42.642.342.442.642.643.1
Carolina34.734.534.534.734.735.2
Ottawa vs St. LouisHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Toronto77.177.177.277.877.878.3
Florida19.219.219.219.519.519.7
Detroit17.417.417.417.717.717.9
Ottawa14.514.514.011.011.08.5
0.90.90.90.70.70.5
Tampa Bay vs VegasHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Tampa Bay99.999.999.999.999.999.7
48.646.846.038.838.533.3
Boston8.37.97.98.28.18.8
Washington5.65.35.45.65.66.1
Nashville vs ArizonaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
8:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Tampa Bay40.640.640.741.541.542.2
Boston8.28.28.28.58.58.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

Tampa BayBostonWashingtonNew JerseyTorontoColumbusNY RangersPhiladelphiaPittsburghNY IslandersCarolinaFloridaDetroitOttawaMontrealBuffalo
Tampa Bay3.33.36.117.69.49.58.78.98.87.85.14.93.43.00.1
Boston3.31.42.149.62.82.82.62.62.62.28.67.44.94.20.1
Washington3.31.414.72.014.713.510.510.09.98.01.91.91.31.20.0
New Jersey6.12.114.71.213.712.29.08.28.26.31.01.00.60.60.0
Toronto17.649.62.01.20.60.50.40.40.40.31.71.30.90.70.0
Columbus9.42.814.713.70.66.04.23.83.73.10.30.20.20.20.0
NY Rangers9.52.813.512.20.56.03.53.33.12.40.20.20.10.10.0
Philadelphia8.72.610.59.00.44.23.52.42.41.60.10.10.10.10.0
Pittsburgh8.92.610.08.20.43.83.32.42.01.50.10.10.10.10.0
NY Islanders8.82.69.98.20.43.73.12.42.01.50.10.10.10.10.0
Carolina7.82.28.06.30.33.12.41.61.51.50.10.10.00.00.0
Florida5.18.61.91.01.70.30.20.10.10.10.10.20.10.10.0
Detroit4.97.41.91.01.30.20.20.10.10.10.10.20.10.10.0
Ottawa3.44.91.30.60.90.20.10.10.10.10.00.10.10.00.0
Montreal3.04.21.20.60.70.20.10.10.10.10.00.10.10.00.0
Buffalo0.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0