Eastern Conference Playoff Chances 50/50

Ottawa +5.2, Boston -6.2
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupPres TrophyChance will finish regular season at seed
FridayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPISaturday
Pittsburgh463216-42895.6%-0.06.0%+0.020.0%+0.7351915125621111100003.0-0.044Florida 0-0 (7:00 PM ET)Pittsburgh Penguins
NY IslandersWDetroit 2-14422210-01189.2+2.75.6+0.28.5+2.01712181681133332111004.3+0.352Tampa Bay 0-0 (7:00 PM ET)New York Islanders
Tampa BayLNew Jersey 2-3 (so)442010-42280.8-0.15.1-0.04.9-0.21114119116119653211005.5+0.019NY Islanders 0-0 (7:00 PM ET)Tampa Bay Lightning
Toronto4121910-31976.6+0.44.8+0.03.9+0.2912109116119754321105.9+0.087Philadelphia 0-0 (7:00 PM ET)Toronto Maple Leafs
DetroitLNY Islanders 1-2421178-81175.7-4.44.7-0.33.5-1.48111091161210764321106.1-0.4913Detroit Red Wings
Montreal4212011-2675.5+0.44.7+0.03.5+0.28111091161110764321106.0+0.078Ottawa 0-0 (7:00 PM ET)Montreal Canadiens
NY Rangers3451510-41060.9-0.13.8+0.01.3+0.1347991666777654217.5-0.0511Carolina 0-0 (7:00 PM ET)New York Rangers
Washington3631510-6659.0-0.13.7-0.01.1+0.1346991666787654217.7-0.0521New Jersey 0-0 (7:00 PM ET)Washington Capitals
Florida364148-8-858.9+0.53.7+0.01.5+0.146669511111087643217.6+0.0524Pittsburgh 0-0 (7:00 PM ET)Florida Panthers
BostonLWinnipeg 1-23511614-3-335.5-6.22.2-0.40.3-0.21233538101111101097539.7-0.5515Boston Bruins
OttawaWAnaheim 6-23421412-6034.6+5.22.2+0.30.3+0.11223538101010101097539.8+0.4716Montreal 0-0 (7:00 PM ET)Ottawa Senators
Columbus2931315-3-2419.2-0.11.2-0.00.1+0.001122634681011121312811.5-0.0425Chicago 0-0 (7:00 PM ET)Columbus Blue Jackets
Philadelphia2831114-6-1116.0-0.11.0-0.00.0+0.000122534579111314131011.9-0.0427Toronto 0-0 (7:00 PM ET)Philadelphia Flyers
New JerseyWTampa Bay 3-2 (so)301216-6-2110.5+1.70.7+0.10.0+0.000011323468111316171412.6+0.2726Washington 0-0 (7:00 PM ET)New Jersey Devils
Buffalo2821317-2-389.5+0.20.6+0.00.0+0.000011124578101315171412.6-0.0220Colorado 0-0 (7:00 PM ET)Buffalo Sabres
Carolina213919-3-222.4-0.00.1-0.00.0000001011245813214314.4-0.0329NY Rangers 0-0 (7:00 PM ET)Carolina Hurricanes

Data is queried every 2.5 minutes,
Complete data dump is done every day at 3 am ET to fix mistakes or games that have been added.
Let me know how things are, if data is wrong: adamv at mad dot scientist dot com.
The percent after the team score is the chance of winning in regulation based on current second and
either home/away actual score or home/away goal differential.
If team has greater than 50% chance of winning, I mark the game as final so the stats can get up to date.
Adam sends in the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com), plus these:

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Friday
Winnipeg 2 Boston 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Pittsburgh+0.1
NY Islanders+0.1
Tampa Bay+0.5
Toronto+0.5
Detroit+0.6
Montreal+0.6
NY Rangers+0.3
Washington+0.4
Florida+0.8
Boston-5.9
-0.4
-0.2
Ottawa+0.7
+0.1
Columbus+0.3
Philadelphia+0.3
New Jersey+0.3
Buffalo+0.3
Detroit 1 NY Islanders 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Islanders+2.8
+0.2
+1.7
Tampa Bay+0.2
Toronto+0.2
Detroit-4.6
-0.3
-1.6
Montreal+0.3
NY Rangers*-0.1
Florida+0.4
Boston+0.4
Ottawa+0.3
Buffalo+0.2
Ottawa 6 Anaheim 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Pittsburgh-0.1
+0.7
NY Islanders-0.1
+0.3
Tampa Bay-0.4
+0.2
Toronto-0.4
+0.2
Detroit-0.4
+0.2
Montreal-0.5
+0.2
NY Rangers-0.3
+0.1
Washington-0.3
+0.1
Florida-0.6
+0.1
Boston-0.5
Ottawa+4.2
+0.3
+0.1
Columbus-0.2
Philadelphia-0.2
New Jersey-0.1
Buffalo-0.2
New Jersey 3 Tampa Bay 2 (so)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Pittsburgh*+0.1
Tampa Bay-0.6
-0.4
Toronto*+0.1
Detroit*-0.2
Florida*-0.2
Boston*+0.1
Ottawa*+0.1
Columbus*-0.2
Philadelphia-0.1
New Jersey+1.6
+0.1
Buffalo*-0.1
Saturday
Montreal vs OttawaIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Toronto76.976.476.476.376.376.6
Detroit75.975.475.575.475.3*75.7
Montreal80.079.579.074.574.570.0
5.05.04.94.74.74.4
4.44.44.23.23.22.4
Florida59.158.658.658.558.4*58.9
Boston35.735.135.235.035.035.5
Ottawa28.533.233.238.739.239.8
1.82.12.12.42.42.5
0.10.20.20.30.30.4
New Jersey vs WashingtonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Rangers61.560.760.860.360.260.5
Washington52.857.957.963.263.964.2
3.33.63.64.04.04.0
0.71.01.01.41.41.5
Columbus19.619.119.218.918.819.0
Philadelphia16.416.016.015.715.715.8
New Jersey13.212.812.49.59.57.4
0.80.80.80.60.60.5
Pittsburgh vs FloridaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Pittsburgh96.996.896.795.595.594.1
6.16.06.06.0*6.05.9
23.423.322.819.119.115.8
NY Islanders89.389.289.289.189.089.1
8.28.28.28.68.68.9
Tampa Bay81.3*80.8*80.880.580.480.5
4.74.74.74.94.95.1
Toronto77.1*76.6*76.776.276.276.3
3.73.73.73.93.94.1
Detroit76.2*75.775.775.375.375.3
3.33.33.43.53.53.6
Montreal76.0*75.5*75.575.075.075.1
3.33.33.43.53.53.7
NY Rangers61.160.860.860.660.560.7
1.31.31.31.31.31.4
Washington59.358.959.058.758.758.9
1.11.11.11.11.11.2
Florida52.958.258.163.363.663.7
3.33.63.64.04.04.0
0.91.31.31.91.92.0
Boston36.1*35.5*35.534.934.935.0
Ottawa35.234.634.634.134.034.1
Toronto vs PhiladelphiaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Toronto80.780.580.076.076.071.7
5.05.05.04.84.74.5
4.94.94.73.53.52.6
Washington59.358.958.958.758.759.0
Florida58.758.558.658.758.759.2
Boston35.335.135.135.435.335.8
Ottawa34.434.234.234.534.434.9
Philadelphia12.215.115.118.619.119.3
0.80.90.91.21.21.2
Carolina vs NY RangersHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Islanders89.5*89.2*89.289.088.988.9
NY Rangers55.060.060.064.965.565.6
3.43.73.74.14.14.1
0.81.21.21.61.71.7
Washington59.959.159.158.458.358.4
3.7*3.7*3.73.73.63.7
Florida59.3*58.9*58.958.658.658.6
Boston35.8*35.535.535.235.235.2
Ottawa34.9*34.6*34.634.334.334.3
Columbus19.719.319.318.818.818.8
Philadelphia16.516.116.115.715.715.7
New Jersey10.810.510.510.210.210.2
Carolina3.23.13.02.12.11.5
0.20.20.20.10.10.1
NY Islanders vs Tampa BayHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Islanders91.691.591.388.988.986.2
5.75.75.75.65.65.4
10.510.410.17.97.96.1
Tampa Bay76.480.380.383.984.384.4
4.85.05.05.25.35.3
3.34.44.45.96.16.3
Florida59.358.858.858.558.558.7
Boston35.935.435.435.135.135.2
Ottawa35.034.534.534.234.234.4
Columbus vs ChicagoHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Pittsburgh95.595.595.595.795.795.8
20.520.120.119.619.519.5
NY Rangers60.460.460.561.061.061.4
1.41.31.31.31.31.3
Washington58.658.658.759.259.259.6
Columbus22.622.622.118.418.415.1
1.41.41.41.11.20.9
Buffalo vs ColoradoHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Buffalo11.711.611.49.09.07.0
0.70.70.70.60.60.4
Minnesota vs NashvilleHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Pittsburgh20.420.020.019.719.619.6
San Jose vs St. LouisHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Pittsburgh20.3*20.020.019.719.719.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

PittsburghNY IslandersTampa BayTorontoDetroitMontrealNY RangersWashingtonFloridaBostonOttawaColumbusPhiladelphiaNew JerseyBuffaloCarolina
Pittsburgh4.510.610.611.010.76.77.010.17.37.13.02.61.82.30.5
NY Islanders4.510.610.510.610.57.77.28.85.75.52.42.01.41.50.3
Tampa Bay10.610.67.97.87.78.07.85.93.53.52.62.21.41.00.3
Toronto10.610.57.97.37.37.57.35.53.23.02.31.91.20.90.3
Detroit11.010.67.87.37.17.47.15.32.92.92.21.91.20.70.3
Montreal10.710.57.77.37.17.37.15.33.12.92.21.91.20.90.3
NY Rangers6.77.78.07.57.47.33.05.32.82.70.70.60.40.60.1
Washington7.07.27.87.37.17.13.05.12.72.60.70.50.30.60.1
Florida10.18.85.95.55.35.35.35.11.81.81.51.30.70.40.2
Boston7.35.73.53.22.93.12.82.71.80.80.70.50.30.20.1
Ottawa7.15.53.53.02.92.92.72.61.80.80.70.50.30.10.1
Columbus3.02.42.62.32.22.20.70.71.50.70.70.10.00.10.0
Philadelphia2.62.02.21.91.91.90.60.51.30.50.50.10.00.10.0
New Jersey1.81.41.41.21.21.20.40.30.70.30.30.00.00.10.0
Buffalo2.31.51.00.90.70.90.60.60.40.20.10.10.10.10.0
Carolina0.50.30.30.30.30.30.10.10.20.10.10.00.00.00.0