Winnipeg Jets Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.6 to 75%
41 points   18 9-5

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
New Jersey 5 Dallas 2 +0.6
NY Rangers 4 Los Angeles 2 +0.2
+0.1
Vancouver 4 San Jose 3 (ot)-0.2
Detroit 3 Toronto 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
St. Louis vs Winnipeg-5.3-0.8-0.8+3.5+4.1+4.3
-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.3+0.3
-1.4-0.5-0.4+0.9+1.1+1.2
Philadelphia vs Dallas+0.6+0.1+0.1-0.4-0.5-0.5
Colorado vs Tampa Bay-0.4-0.5-0.4+0.1+0.1+0.5
+0.4+0.1+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.3
Minnesota vs Edmonton-0.3-0.5-0.4*-0.0-0.1+0.4
Washington vs Anaheim+0.4*+0.0+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.3
Calgary vs Nashville-0.1-0.3-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.2
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
NY Islanders vs Los Angeles+0.2*+0.0*+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Carolina vs Columbus+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Winnipeg finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
122-141In99.9%1009,889*
121388-4In99.4100003,818*
120378-5In98.5100007,217*
119379-4In97.81000013,063*
118369-5In96.6990022,845*
1173610-4In95.3990138,546*
1163510-5In93.2981162,998*
1153410-6In90.19811099,923*
1143411-5In86.296220154,123*
1133311-6In80.894330228,770*
1123312-5In74.191450334,055*
1113212-6In66.1876800474,770*
1103213-5In56.48181100655,453*
1093113-6In45.874111510878,647*
1083114-5In34.96614201001,151,701*
1073014-6In24.35617252001,470,957*
1063015-5In15.34520314001,829,722*
1052915-6In8.53422376002,220,750*
1042916-5100.0%4.0242342101002,633,787*
1032816-6100.01.5152246162003,048,501*
1022817-5100.00.5919462230003,445,999*
1012717-6100.00.1415452961003,802,914*
1002718-599.90.02114035111004,107,217*
992618-699.80.01733391730004,329,559*
982619-599.30.004254023610004,454,012*
972519-698.1No021738291120004,481,132*
962520-595.0No011133321840004,410,463*
952420-688.5No0062630261020004,238,936*
942421-577.0No0031824311751003,994,274*
932321-660.7No02121631261120003,672,186*
922322-542.1No017925311971003,302,926*
912222-625.2No0044173027134002,904,797*
902223-512.8No0022924312281002,496,140*
892123-65.5No00104162930164002,099,724*
882124-52.0No000282332259101,728,001*
872024-60.6No0000415303216301,389,201*
862025-50.2No000018243625601,090,308*
851925-60.0No00004163534110838,669*
841926-50.0No0002103040181630,457*
831826-60.0No000152343271463,151*
821827-5OutNo0021642372332,713*
811727-6OutNo0011038474233,117*
801728-5OutNo00632557159,482*
791628-6OutNo003256111106,962*
781629-5OutNo00119641570,072*
771529-6OutNo0113652144,602*
761530-5OutNo009642727,472*
751430-6OutNo06603416,682*
741431-5OutNo0455419,998*
731331-6OutNo250485,714*
721332-5OutNo0144543,272*
711232-6OutNo138621,789*
701233-5OutNo13267894*
691133-6OutNo02872497*
681134-5OutNo1783248*
671135-4OutNo1783101*
661035-5OutNo168451*
65935-6OutNo39733*
64936-5OutNo99111*
41-63OutNo1005,961*
Total:75.0%4.4%1071918129765421074,239,272

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Winnipeg finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupNashvilleVegasSt. LouisLos AngelesSan JoseMinnesotaChicagoDallasCalgaryAnaheimVancouverColoradoEdmontonArizona
141500-06.0%831056111112777930
131444-250.05050
130423-5No5050
129435-2No189936918
128425-34.810514141414101055
127415-48.693951097710101092
126405-52.88673711817595132
125406-47.0821234141314684112
124396-57.295115613121266582
123397-44.67394515131376593
122387-57.184104612121277693
121388-46.9931046131313666930
120378-56.2731056121313666930
119379-46.2831046131313666930
118369-56.38310461313136661030
1173610-46.38310461313136661020
1163510-56.2831046131313666930
1153410-66.3831046131313666930
1143411-56.38311451313136651030
1133311-66.3831145131313665930
1123312-56.3831145131313665920
1113212-66.3931245141313565920
1103213-56.31031345141313555920
1093113-66.31131444141312555920
1083114-56.31231534141312554920
1073014-66.21321634141312444820
1063015-56.21521833151312443810
1052915-66.31621923151311333710
1042916-56.21822123151311332710
1032816-66.21922222151311222710
1022817-56.32022322151311222610
1012717-66.22132322151210221610
1002718-56.22142332141210211600
992618-66.3215234313119211500
982619-56.2217225312109221500
972519-66.121921741198221400
962520-55.9211019851087221400
952420-65.520111785875221300
942421-54.818101584654211200
932321-63.81591274443111100
922322-52.6116853322110100
912222-61.674532211000000
902223-50.832321110000000
892123-60.321110000000000
882124-50.110000000000000
872024-60.000000000000000
862025-50.0000000000000
851925-60.00000000000000
841926-50.00000000000
831826-6No000
41-82No
Total:4.7%15.04.915.24.12.89.27.96.71.71.61.34.10.50.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
New Jersey 5 Dallas 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
St. Louis vs Winnipeg+1.1+0.3+0.2-0.7-0.9-1.0
Calgary vs Nashville-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Minnesota vs Edmonton+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Philadelphia vs Dallas-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Colorado vs Tampa Bay+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
129-141100
128425-3955
124-127100
123397-41000
122387-51000
121388-499000
120378-598100
119379-498200
118369-597300
1173610-495401
1163510-593511
1153410-6907110
1143411-586102020
1133311-6811330300
1123312-57417405000
1113212-666216080000
1103213-5562580110000
1093113-64628100150010
1083114-53531131190010000
1073014-62431161241020000
1063015-515301722921040000
1052915-68261843332060000
1042916-54201663363010001000
1032816-621413830106015002000
1022817-50891024149021100300000
1012717-60461015161212521060100
1002718-50239816142275201101000
992618-601163121442495016130000
982619-5000418116181490212601000
972519-600204679161212451102000
962520-5001013731314222101714100
952420-6000001518125151522492000
942421-5000000304867172291661000
932321-600001014621416162213410000
922322-50001002518718202112410000
912222-600000130421513222112510000
902223-50000020209515232214620000
892123-60000100041615232215721000
882124-5000000202615222317931000
872024-6000000002614222418931000
862025-5000000002613222519103100
851925-600000026142326199200
841926-50000026152526187100
831826-60000002717272615410
821827-5000392130241020
811727-6000141327311940
801728-5001720332891
791628-60003133035172
781629-5000172439254
771529-60031639347
761530-500110344212
751430-6016284719
741431-503214926
731331-601145035
721332-501104643
711232-6064251
701233-5043660
691133-6023464
681134-512376
671135-42377
661035-51882
65935-6991
64936-5991
41-63100
Total:4543854284428463543322211111000