Winnipeg Jets Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.004 to 99.9%
76 points   36 19-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Pres Trophy
Columbus 1 Tampa Bay 5 -0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Pres Trophy
Philadelphia vs Tampa Bay+0.2*+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Winnipeg finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
118-122In74.2%100333*
117202-1In43.91000321*
116192-2In33.3991809*
115193-1In25.09911,845*
114183-2In18.49824,044*
113184-1In12.59647,758*
112174-2In7.9946014,111*
111164-3In4.39010023,589*
110165-2In2.48416037,694*
109155-3In1.17623055,912*
108156-2In0.568320078,923*
107146-3In0.156441049,773
157-1In0.25742154,730*
106147-2In0.146531066,315
136-4In0.144542065,746*
105137-3In0.033643075,447
148-1In0.034633081,907*
104138-2In0.024715087,038
127-4In0.023725091,848*
103128-3InNo15769092,241
139-1InNo157690100,855*
102129-2InNo97714095,472
118-4InNo876150103,082*
101119-3InNo473221093,316
1210-1InNo574191059,131
108-5InNo372231042,175*
1001110-2InNo267292086,267
109-4InNo265313095,243*
991010-3InNo156395077,548
1111-1InNo156385084,056*
981011-2InNo045459065,293
910-4InNo0434710072,221*
97911-3InNo032511610110,848*
96912-2InNo02251252085,767*
95812-3100.0%No13473550062,955*
94813-2InNo7404310044,387*
93713-3100.0No32949181029,460*
92714-299.9No11949274018,705*
91614-399.3No0104336101010,943*
90615-297.2No05324119306,357*
89515-391.5No22137328103,339*
88516-279.1No012283818301,695*
87416-359.6No061637271220807*
86417-234.3No25264020600364*
85317-313.5No21231331831156*
84318-26.0No141640271067*
83319-1OutNo35242412617*
82219-2OutNo5714297*
81220-1OutNo50502*
76023-0OutNo175142179
Total:99.9%0.3%20522061000000002,241,098

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Winnipeg finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupCalgarySan JoseNashvilleSt. LouisVegasDallasMinnesotaColoradoVancouverChicagoArizonaAnaheimEdmontonLos Angeles
122230-06.7%22415151691510543
121220-1No25252525
120221-0No171717171717
119211-110.74425252111444
118201-24.33931514109149393
117202-14.43561721109128323
116192-26.12551521149125532
115193-17.235516181510127432
114183-26.5045515191310127432
113184-16.3036416181410127432
112174-26.203651718149127432
111164-36.2004751717149117432
110165-26.3004751818139117332
109155-36.2005841917138116332
108156-26.20051042117138106332
107146-36.2006114221612796321
106147-26.3007134241512795321
136-46.2007133241512795221
105137-36.2008153251411685221
148-16.2008153251411685221
104138-26.3008173261410574221
127-46.4008173261410574211
103128-36.20010193271310574211
139-16.20010193271310574211
102129-26.2001121227129464211
118-46.2001121227129463111
101119-36.4001324226118453111
1210-16.2001224226128453111
1001110-26.3001526225117353111
109-46.3001527225117353111
991010-36.100173022497342110
1111-16.3001730224107342110
981011-26.200193212396242100
910-46.400193312396242100
97911-36.200223512285231100
1012-16.300213512285231100
96912-26.300233712175131000
95812-36.100253802174121000
94813-26.110273802064020000
93713-36.411293801964020000
92714-26.432313601753020000
91614-36.2743333014420100
90615-26.212833270113201
89515-35.62012291908211
88516-25.323142214041100
87517-13.7231412802000
86417-21.414116201
85317-30.67511
84318-2No41
76-83No
Total:6.3%0.20.213.022.42.423.811.88.74.36.23.51.61.20.8
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Calgary 5 Arizona 2 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas vs Nashville-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
St. Louis vs Toronto+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
122230-08416
121220-1100
120221-08317
119211-15743
118201-26238
117202-144560
116192-233661
115193-125741
114183-218802
113184-1128440
112174-2886600
111164-34861000
110165-22821500
109155-3175221000
108156-20672930000
107146-30563671000
106147-204641121000
136-404442131000
105137-3033432111000
148-103443201100
104138-20254130221000
127-4224032221000
103128-3153442243000
139-1153442243000
102129-2926512750000
118-482452276100
101119-34165719921000
1210-141658199210000
1001110-2285811013611000
991010-313520101514230000
1111-114520101414230000
981011-20143081326270000
97911-300320583711310100
96912-200223444121221100
95812-301312440272623000
94813-2710390292122800
93713-3300290281201171100
92714-210192212612713000
91614-3001014029036190000
90615-2057025041019011000
89515-323018037031133210
88516-2001228380368300
87416-30061637029161031
86417-2252602619211151
85317-321241521281341
84318-2141253019107
83319-163529246
82219-229292914
81220-15050
76023-0232535307
Total:0202032145914010100000000000000000