Winnipeg Jets Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.4 to 14.4%
62 points   28 29-6

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Anaheim 5 Boston 3 -0.2
*-0.0
Florida 3 Edmonton 4 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Tampa Bay vs Calgary+1.2+0.2+0.2-0.8-1.0-1.0
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1
Los Angeles vs Boston-0.9-0.9-0.8+0.2+0.2+1.2
-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Nashville vs Colorado-0.9-0.9-0.8+0.1+0.1+1.1
-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Winnipeg finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
100190-0InNo0126730111,771
99180-1InNo001582211,704
98181-0InNo0010855061,875*
97171-1InNo068590193,122*
96161-2100.0%No003821410609,328*
95162-1100.0No027422201,469,796*
94152-299.9No0165304003,443,914*
93153-199.3No005336101006,795,836*
92143-297.3No041371930012,903,502*
91144-191.9No0293330810021,553,765*
90134-281.4No01925381620034,517,007*
89135-165.2No011153928600049,847,280*
88125-246.7No06833381410039,046,893
114-445.8No06832381510029,941,574*
87126-130.8No04424422430040,363,622
115-326.1No03321422740046,966,829*
86116-215.1No01113393791059,056,689
105-414.4No01112383891046,941,418*
85106-36.0No00052846182052,809,261
117-16.9No01063045172065,877,143*
84107-22.4No00021946284070,178,308
96-41.9No00021746305032,180,177
118-02.8No00022046274025,099,029*
8397-30.6No00194040100072,487,676*
108-10.9No000111423790054,420,875
8298-20.2No00053245171066,342,254
87-40.2No00043146181054,905,602*
8188-30.0No00022147282048,530,754
99-10.0No00022147272059,092,474*
8089-20.0No00011344385064,334,761*
78-40.0No0001143405027,355,309*
7979-30.0No000636489032,625,485
810-10.0No000736489039,962,967*
78710-20.0No0003275416055,119,149*
77610-30.0No001185625038,805,689*
76611-2OutNo00115435026,199,700*
75612-1OutNo0064845016,332,047*
74512-2OutNo03415609,752,343*
73513-1OutNo01326615,326,765*
72413-2OutNo01247412,788,739*
71414-1OutNo00178031,321,499*
70314-2OutNo012835595,806*
69315-1OutNo08848238,369*
68215-2OutNo05831390,323*
67216-1OutNo03791829,412*
66116-2OutNo273259,165*
65117-1OutNo164352,124*
64118-0OutNo05643534*
63018-1OutNo594161
62019-0OutNo04060109,155
Total:14.4%No00033816242417501,316,758,880

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Winnipeg finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupMinnesotaChicagoSan JoseEdmontonAnaheimSt. LouisNashvilleCalgaryLos AngelesVancouverDallasArizona
100190-06.3%28700001100000
99180-16.3257111011000
98181-06.4237031011000
97171-16.3226852111000
96161-26.22164831110000
95162-16.220591352100000
151-36.219581452100000
94152-26.3205218730000000
163-06.3205317630000000
141-46.219501973000000
93153-16.2214521840000000
142-36.221432384000000
92143-26.1253623840000000
154-06.124382384000000
132-46.026342484000000
91144-15.8293022740000000
133-35.731282174000000
122-55.632262164000000
90134-25.1332317530000000
145-05.3322518630000000
123-44.934211653000000
112-64.734191543000000
89135-14.2321713420000000
124-34.0311611320000000
113-53.730141032000000
88125-22.926117210000000
136-03.22712821000000
114-42.6249611000000
103-62.3228511000000
87126-11.9187411000000
115-31.7166310000000
104-51.414531000000
86116-20.9103200000000
105-40.883100000000
127-01.0104200000000
85117-10.552100000000
106-30.44110000000
95-50.3310000000
84107-20.22000000000
118-00.22100000000
96-40.11000000000
83108-10.1100000000
97-30.0000000000
8298-20.0000000000
8199-10.0000000000
8089-20.0000000000
79810-10.0000000
78710-20.0000
77711-1No0
62-76No
Total:0.9%6.83.92.50.70.40.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

WednesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Nashville vs Colorado+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Los Angeles vs Boston+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1
Tampa Bay vs Calgary-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
100190-000002240469000
99180-100011411792002
98181-0000641080501400
97171-1002210751011800
96161-2000111063162114000
95162-1000010472071221000
94152-2000010311915030310000
93153-100001614230365510000
92143-20007726037514210000
91144-100032240334264310000
90134-20001118025236465210000
89135-10001101503837119410000
88125-20006803215121612510000
114-40006803215121613610000
87126-100044024028172114610000
115-300033021027172217820000
86116-2000110130031021251772000
105-400011012002920251882000
85106-30000500031123282082000
117-1000100600141224271871000
84107-20000200014132528186100
96-4000200013122429208100
118-0000200014142528186100
8397-30010001414272918510
108-100010001516282816400
8298-2000000161831281320
87-40000001618302914300
8188-3000000028233425800
99-1000000029233425700
8089-2000000031331351620
78-400000021230361820
7979-3000001521392950
810-1000001621392940
78710-2000002123541100
77610-30000162749180
76611-2000021751290
75612-10011048410
74512-200542530
73513-100234631
72413-20125721
71414-10018793
70314-20012835
69315-108848
68215-2058313
67216-1037918
66116-227325
65117-116435
64118-005643
63018-16139
62019-004060
Total:000000000020308012357910111211930