Winnipeg Jets Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 5.4 to 58%
89 points   43 32-3

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Nashville 3 Carolina 0 -5.4
-0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Winnipeg vs Nashville+24.7+19.9+19.9-9.5-9.4-28.6
+1.5+1.2+1.3-0.6-0.6-1.8
Vancouver vs Calgary+7.8+1.5+1.4-6.1-6.0-6.1
+0.5+0.1+0.1-0.4-0.4-0.4

What If

Chances based on how well the Winnipeg finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
9740-0InNo496763,499
9630-1InNo199829,730
9531-096.9%No9732,222,835
20-293.8No946337,928
9421-174.9No752501,813,986
10-370.8No7129161,025
9322-048.0No484752,428,905
11-240.4No40536491,499
00-432.1No326084,134
9212-115.0No1559261,319,476
01-310.4No10583144,907
9113-03.4No344531,178,572
02-21.4No14059179,656
9003-1OutNo1585319,874
8904-0OutNo595214,710
Total:58.0%No058281412,210,736

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Winnipeg finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupVegasColoradoEdmontonDallasMinnesota
9740-06.2%8051230
9630-16.38161220
9531-06.0795111
20-25.9757111
9421-14.760691
10-34.455781
9322-03.037550
11-22.531540
00-41.624530
9212-10.911220
01-30.68210
9113-00.22100
02-20.11000
89-90No
Total:3.6%46.34.16.70.80.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Nashville 3 Carolina 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Winnipeg vs Nashville-0.7-0.6-0.6+0.2+0.2+0.8
Vancouver vs Calgary-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
9740-0496
9630-1199
9531-09703
20-29406
9421-1741250
10-3701291
9322-04354750
11-23645370
00-42936080
9212-196542920
01-364543320
9113-0123249141
02-2012953161
9003-16394510
8904-01155826
Total:0552261141