Winnipeg Jets Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.3 to 14.5%
44 points   20 23-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
St. Louis 4 Ottawa 6 +0.5
Calgary 5 Florida 2 -0.5
NY Rangers 6 Dallas 7 -0.4
Vancouver 1 Nashville 0 +0.3
Anaheim 2 Tampa Bay 1 (ot)*-0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Winnipeg vs Arizona+3.4+3.3+2.7-1.0-1.0-4.0
+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.3
Los Angeles vs San Jose-0.2-0.4-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.3
Edmonton vs Florida-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.0+0.0+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Winnipeg finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
114350-0In82.0%99010171,059
111-112In52.410021*
110321-2In40.78811181*
109322-1In27.3842131330*
108312-2In15.77532201,024*
107302-3In9.66842713,361*
106303-2In5.15763439,516*
105293-3In2.0458425024,721*
104294-2In0.73410488059,171*
103284-3In0.2241153120136,333*
102285-2In0.01511551800293,563*
101275-3In0.0910552610594,022*
100265-4100.0%0.04851342001,148,705*
99266-3100.0No2645424002,104,935*
98256-4100.0No14385080003,676,336*
97257-3100.0No023055131006,146,516*
96247-499.9No0121561920009,843,660*
95248-399.5No01145425500015,096,456*
94238-498.3No009492910200022,282,931*
93239-394.8No005413018510031,611,586*
92229-487.2No00333262510200043,202,261*
912210-374.4No0124193019610056,885,452*
902110-457.4No01161228271230072,263,935*
892111-339.2No0010622322171088,612,774*
882011-423.6No006315313013200104,975,542*
872012-312.4No00318253522500120,185,532*
861912-45.7No002041735321100133,106,153*
851913-32.3No01011030391910142,600,840*
841813-40.8No0000522412920147,872,608*
831814-30.3No0000214394040148,412,246*
821714-40.1No000018344980144,298,921*
811614-50.0No0000042656131135,825,678*
801615-40.0No000021959191123,899,168*
791515-50.0No00011258273109,462,266*
781516-40.0No000075334593,685,049*
771416-50.0No000044741877,687,647*
761417-40.0No000239471262,406,022*
751418-3OutNo00131511748,535,216*
741318-4OutNo00023522436,561,732*
731319-3OutNo0017513226,672,229*
721219-4OutNo0012484018,822,016*
711220-3OutNo008434912,855,122*
701120-4OutNo0538578,491,264*
691121-3OutNo0332655,417,742*
681021-4OutNo0226723,341,376*
671022-3OutNo0120791,989,211*
66922-4OutNo0115841,140,856*
65923-3OutNo01189633,038*
64823-4OutNo0892337,241*
63824-3OutNo0694172,936*
62724-4OutNo049684,854*
61725-3OutNo029840,149*
60625-4OutNo019917,948*
59626-3OutNo1997,908*
58526-4OutNo01003,220*
57527-3OutNo1991,291*
56528-2OutNo0100465*
44-55OutNo100171,305*
Total:14.5%0.0%00153591319281342,063,883,540

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Winnipeg finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupMinnesotaChicagoAnaheimSan JoseEdmontonSt. LouisLos AngelesCalgaryNashvilleVancouverDallasArizonaColorado
114350-06.2%147771512121411900
112330-2No333333
111331-15.66617112261122
110321-27.4410777151496129
109322-16.13145841611121197
108312-26.35195561599127700
107302-36.6720456158812780
106303-26.29264451477116700
105293-36.211313441466115600
104294-26.314353331355104500
103284-36.31640223134493400
102285-26.21943222133382400
101275-36.22146122122282300
100265-46.22248111121171300
99266-36.32348222121171300
98256-46.22348222111161200
97257-36.32346433101160200
96247-46.2234454491151200
95248-36.2234176582151200
94238-46.1233797672141200
249-26.1233797672141200
93239-36.02434108662131100
228-55.92533108652131100
92229-45.52528108642121100
2310-25.62529108642121100
218-65.32527108641121100
912210-34.8252497531110100
219-54.6242287531110000
2311-14.6242387531110100
902110-43.6211765321110000
2211-23.8221975421110000
209-63.4201665321010000
892111-32.6161243210000000
2010-52.4151143210000000
2212-12.4151143210000000
882011-41.510722110000000
2112-21.510722110000000
872012-30.85411100000000
861912-40.43200000000000
851913-30.11100000000000
841813-40.10000000000000
831814-30.00000000000000
821714-40.00000000000000
811715-30.0000000000000
801615-40.000000000000
791616-30.00000000
781516-40.00000
771517-30.000
761518-2No0
44-75No
Total:0.9%4.84.91.41.10.80.70.20.10.30.10.10.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
NY Rangers 6 Dallas 7 +0.1
St. Louis 4 Ottawa 6 -0.1
Vancouver 1 Nashville 0 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Winnipeg vs Arizona-0.8-0.7-0.6+0.2+0.2+0.9

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
114350-082170100
112330-23367
111331-15644
110321-241471101
109322-1275721121
108312-21659301750
107302-310584018910
106303-2552511915030
105293-324362182400410
104294-21337314341062000
103284-30246510411084000
102285-201556646301080000
101275-30946347511115001000
100265-404261417210240020000
99266-3215033948331031000
98256-41040229654130430000
97257-30020137924471571000
96247-40010651014111351320000
95248-30013210033148421420000
94238-400011702213143275510000
93239-300000501210201296124100000
92229-40000030552202642164200000
912210-30001022200192287963100000
902110-400011115012128510129410000
892111-30000001006022271416126200000
882011-40000006030150391720158310000
872012-30000310801411192318931000
861912-4000020040014122124191031000
851913-30001001000151222262092000
841813-4000000000015142427198100
831814-30000000001616272816400
821714-4000000000282031271110
811614-500000000031127352130
801615-400000001518363280
791515-50000002113141141
781516-4000000152346233
771416-500000021545325
761417-400001941409
751418-30005344615
741318-40002265022
731319-3001195030
721219-4000134838
711220-300094447
701120-40053856
691121-3033265
681021-4022672
671022-3012079
66922-4011584
65923-301188
64823-40892
63824-30694
62724-40496
61725-30397
60625-40298
59626-3199
58526-4199
57527-3199
56528-20100
44-55100
Total:000000000113030511234567910121393