Philadelphia Flyers Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 1.6 to 27%
50 points   22 18-6

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Columbus 4 Carolina 1 +1.3
+0.1
NY Rangers 6 Dallas 7 +0.6
Minnesota 3 New Jersey 4 -0.4
Calgary 5 Florida 2 +0.4
St. Louis 4 Ottawa 6 -0.4
Anaheim 2 Tampa Bay 1 (ot)*+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Edmonton vs Florida+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.2-0.3-0.3
Detroit vs Boston+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.3-0.3-0.1
Montreal vs Pittsburgh+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.2-0.2-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
122360-0In99.9%10000171,059
119-121InYes10010*
118331-2In94.298252*
117321-3In94.5964164*
116322-2In90.99416560*
115312-3In84.08801111,938*
114313-2In76.782116105,539*
113303-3In68.0752221014,906*
112304-2In56.6662293036,656*
111294-3In45.3563366084,776*
110295-2In33.645442900186,475*
109285-3In22.4344461510386,114*
108275-4In13.5244482120756,218*
107276-3100.0%7.115446295001,414,993*
106266-4100.03.29442369002,531,688*
105267-3100.01.253354214104,318,934*
104257-4100.00.322264522207,057,993*
103258-399.90.11119443050011,079,679*
102248-499.80.00112403890016,695,935*
101249-399.50.000733451400024,243,058*
100239-498.80.000425482210033,878,303*
992310-397.20.000217473130045,642,802*
982210-494.0No001114340600059,406,488*
972211-388.5No0006354711100074,641,257*
962111-479.5No00032551182000090,611,087*
952112-366.4No000116492851000106,360,101*
942012-449.9No001940361220000120,904,870*
931912-532.6No004283921610000132,977,010*
921913-417.9No0011635291341000141,637,538*
911813-58.1No000825332392000146,138,551*
901814-43.0No0003142829186100146,132,618*
891714-50.9No001619302613410141,621,502*
881715-40.2No000210233023920133,058,734*
871615-50.0No000141528301751121,191,519*
861616-40.0No000017203127112107,039,716*
851516-50.0No00000312273320591,660,789*
841517-40.0No000162034301076,112,051*
831417-50.0No000021230371761,251,463*
821418-4OutNo0001623422847,789,414*
811318-5OutNo000316413936,142,567*
801319-4OutNo000110375226,493,005*
791219-5OutNo0005316318,802,447*
781220-4OutNo0003247312,934,880*
771221-3OutNo00118818,603,103*
761121-4OutNo00112875,543,802*
751122-3OutNo008923,450,999*
741022-4OutNo005952,077,913*
731023-3OutNo003971,206,100*
72923-4OutNo0298677,414*
71924-3OutNo0199366,645*
70824-4OutNo0199191,380*
69825-3OutNo010095,974*
68725-4OutNo010046,354*
67726-3OutNo010021,289*
66626-4OutNo01009,525*
65627-3OutNo01003,931*
64527-4OutNo1001,619*
63528-3OutNo0100645*
50-62OutNo100171,388*
Total:27.0%0.0%00138151311101098752,063,883,540

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupColumbusWashingtonMontrealPittsburghNY RangersTorontoOttawaCarolinaBostonFloridaTampa BayDetroitNY IslandersNew JerseyBuffalo
122360-06.2%771223333103222321
121350-150.05050
119341-1No1338251313
118331-2No17841727226222462
117321-35.510918322414222142
116322-24.81291173132102222422
115312-35.010120213312111211321
114313-26.111121222922102111321
113303-36.01315121272292211321
112304-26.31618021251181111221
111294-36.21820022231171111220
110295-26.22023122201161111210
109285-36.32225122181151110110
108275-46.22427222161141000110
107276-36.32528322141130000110
106266-46.22529621121120000100
105267-36.32528919112221000000
104257-46.323261318103311000000
103258-36.22224181584411000000
102248-46.22022231375611110000
101249-36.21920261166611110000
100239-46.21919291056712110000
992310-36.1191929946701110000
229-56.1201929946701110000
982210-45.9211927836601110000
2311-25.9211927836601110000
972211-35.6222024835501100000
2110-55.5221923835501100000
209-75.5221923835501100000
962111-45.0231919734401000000
2212-25.1231919734401000000
2010-64.9231918734401000000
952112-34.3211714723300000000
2011-54.1211713622300000000
1910-74.1211713622300000000
942012-43.118149521200000000
2113-23.117148521100000000
932013-32.213105411100000000
1912-52.01295311100000000
921913-41.1752210000000000
911914-30.5321100000000000
901814-40.2110000000000000
891815-30.1000000000000000
881715-40.0000000000000000
871716-30.0000000000000000
861616-40.0000000000000000
851617-30.0000000000
841618-20.00000000
831316-7No0
50-82No
Total:1.7%7.66.55.92.81.11.21.30.10.30.10.10.10.00.00.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Columbus 4 Carolina 1 -0.1
Minnesota 3 New Jersey 4 +0.1
WednesdayNone

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
122360-0100000
119-121100
118331-29442
117321-39524
116322-291316
115312-38440111
114313-277511610
113303-3687222010
112304-2579229030
111294-3451030360060
110295-23411404100900
109285-322124045101510
108275-41410404710210020
107276-3784044202900500
106266-43630383003600900
105267-3142029410420014010
104257-4022020510450022020
103258-30110125204400300500
102248-40000642039100380900
101249-30000231031210450140000
100239-40000121021310480220100
992310-30000011013310470310300
982210-4000000063204214006000
972211-300000002220332470111000
962111-4000000011102235001820000
952112-3000000000101244712851000
942012-40000000054373361220000
931912-50000000222353921610000
921913-40000001116323015410000
911813-500000003420312512310000
901814-400000012923292210310000
891714-5000000131123272110310000
881715-400000014122226211141000
871615-50000014112126211141000
861616-400000014112126211241000
851516-50000001411212722113000
841517-40000014122328219200
831417-5000001514262918500
821418-400000271931281210
811318-5000021026352240
801319-400001517353391
791219-500002103042161
781220-4000152246243
771221-300021444336
761121-400018404110
751122-30004334716
741022-4002255023
731023-301185031
72923-400134839
71924-30084448
70824-4053857
69825-3033265
68725-4022672
67726-312178
66626-411683
65627-301189
64527-40892
63528-3793
62529-2397
61429-3496
57-60100
50036-00100
Total:00000000200071132129876655443210