"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Philadelphia Flyers Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to Washington 1-4, playoff odds down 3.8 to 10.1%
63 points   28 25-7

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Philadelphia 1 Washington 4 -4.7
-0.3
No
Florida 3 Edmonton 4 +0.6
Anaheim 5 Boston 3 +0.5
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Montreal vs NY Islanders+1.2+0.1+0.1-0.9-1.0-0.9
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Los Angeles vs Boston+0.4+0.1+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.3
Toronto vs NY Rangers-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.0+0.0+0.4
Tampa Bay vs Calgary-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
107220-0In1.0%50493780109,479
106210-1In0.11026472331,650
105211-0100.0%0.000154334709,502*
104201-1100.0No007344315033,821*
103191-299.9No0032447250114,563*
102192-199.8No0011546380309,475*
101182-299.3No000840511792,735*
100183-198.3No00043163201,747,637*
99173-296.5No022273303,646,039*
98174-193.4No0115787006,819,538*
97164-288.5No009801100012,089,588*
96154-380.8No005761910019,628,449*
95155-269.6No0026728200030,284,736*
94145-354.2No0015338710043,332,884*
93146-236.6No00364416300059,146,014*
92136-320.3No0020412710200075,418,431*
91137-29.2No0093134205100047,239,543
126-48.5No008293421610044,638,061*
90127-32.7No0316323115300049,902,646
138-13.0No0317323114300055,251,696*
89128-20.7No017223426910058,033,851
117-40.6No0162134271020057,137,229*
88118-30.1No0021027342161056,610,124
129-10.1No0021128342051062,317,271*
87119-20.0No004173330132079,627,124*
108-40.0No0003153232153037,955,322
86109-30.0No00172336268152,314,210
1110-10.0No00172335257157,451,387*
851010-20.0No000213323516248,677,970
99-40.0No000212303517249,525,683*
84910-30.0No00015213829639,572,367
1011-1OutNo0016223828643,445,799*
83911-2OutNo00021234391367,227,784*
82811-3OutNo0000525462451,421,208*
81812-2OutNo000215463737,673,595*
80712-3OutNo0018405126,008,978*
79713-2OutNo0004326417,180,804*
78613-3OutNo002247510,662,125*
77614-2OutNo0116836,319,132*
76514-3OutNo0011893,500,076*
75515-2OutNo007931,850,473*
74415-3OutNo0496906,050*
73416-2OutNo0298422,252*
72417-1OutNo0199180,587*
71317-2OutNo19972,886*
70318-1OutNo010026,389*
69218-2OutNo01009,071*
68219-1OutNo01002,609*
67119-2OutNo0100688*
63-66OutNo100109,349*
Total:10.1%0.0%00000101111121313121171,316,758,880

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWashingtonPittsburghColumbusNY RangersMontrealOttawaTorontoFloridaNY IslandersBostonTampa BayBuffaloCarolinaNew JerseyDetroit
107220-06.2%1134222443100000000
106210-15.3112819191082101000
105211-06.81325151315123201100
104201-16.21619111019154302100
103191-26.3211598201743021000
102192-16.2291276191743021000
101182-26.23810651715420210000
100183-16.2461065131232010000
172-36.147106513113201000
99173-26.053106598210100000
184-06.1539651092201000
162-46.1531075882101000
98174-15.957107566110100000
163-35.85710756511010000
152-55.7571175551101000
97164-25.55810754311000000
153-45.5571175331100000
175-05.659107544110000000
96154-35.05410742200000000
165-15.1561074220000000
143-54.9531074220000000
95155-24.4499641100000000
144-44.247964110000000
166-04.55196411000000000
133-64.145964110000000
94145-33.3377530000000000
156-13.5407530000000000
134-53.235753000000000
93146-22.3265420000000000
135-42.124532000000000
157-02.629642000000000
124-62.02253200000000
92136-31.213321000000000
147-11.415321000000000
125-51.112321000000000
91137-20.6611100000000
126-40.5511000000000
148-00.782110000000
115-60.44110000000
90127-30.220000000000
138-10.221000000000
116-50.110000000000
89128-20.00000000000
117-40.0000000000
88129-10.0000000000
87119-20.00000000
861110-10.00000000
851010-20.00000
84910-3No0
63-83No
Total:0.6%6.81.40.90.60.20.20.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia 1 Washington 4 +0.8
Florida 3 Edmonton 4 -0.1
Anaheim 5 Boston 3 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Montreal vs NY Islanders-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0
Tampa Bay vs Calgary+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
107220-01400418037080
106210-101019747233
105211-00009604303470
104201-10034034043150
103191-2001200240047250
102192-100001001500460380
101182-2000000800400511
100183-10000003003106320
99173-20000100022073030
98174-100000000140780700
97164-200000008080011000
96154-300000004076019100
95155-200000020670282000
94145-30000010531387100
93146-200000035244163000
92136-3000001824127102000
91137-20007230342061000
126-40006228342161000
90127-300111431321640000
138-100211531311540000
89128-2000051933271230000
117-40000518322813300000
88118-30001721322511300000
129-100018233223920000
87119-20000292330231030000
86109-300002102329221030000
851010-2000031123292192000
99-40000310222923103000
84910-3000003112329229200
83911-20001412253020710
82811-30000141529311740
81812-2000162033291010
80712-3000021027372130
79713-2000417383460
78613-3000193245130
77614-200042351230
76514-300011451340
75515-2000846460
74415-300439570
73416-200230671
72417-10123752
71317-2016813
70318-1011845
69218-207848
68219-1048213
67119-227819
66120-136631
65121-07624
64021-1100
63022-004753
Total:0000000000000091101010109877654210