Columbus Blue Jackets Playoff Chances 50/50

Beat Calgary 1-0 (ot), playoff odds up 4.2 to 73.7%
29 points   14 7-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Columbus 1 Calgary 0 (ot)+3.9
+0.3
+1.0
Pittsburgh 2 Vancouver 5 +0.5
+0.0
NY Islanders 4 Philadelphia 3 (ot)-0.3
Detroit 2 Edmonton 6 +0.3
Florida 2 Toronto 1 (so)-0.2
New Jersey 2 Boston 3 (so)-0.1
Buffalo 4 Minnesota 5 +0.1
Washington 5 Ottawa 2 -0.1
Carolina 1 NY Rangers 6 +0.1
Tampa Bay 3 Chicago 2 (ot)*-0.1
-0.2
Nashville 3 Montreal 2 (so)-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Columbus vs Ottawa+4.0+3.8+3.3-0.8-0.8-4.9
+0.3+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.3
+1.2+1.2+1.0-0.4-0.4-1.5
Washington vs Tampa Bay-0.3-0.4-0.3*+0.0*+0.0+0.4
+0.3*+0.0+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
New Jersey vs Vancouver-0.3-0.3-0.3*+0.0*+0.0+0.4
-0.0-0.1*-0.0*-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Boston vs Pittsburgh+0.3-0.2-0.1-0.3-0.4-0.1
NY Rangers vs Detroit-0.1-0.3-0.3-0.1-0.2+0.2
Carolina vs Toronto-0.1-0.3-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.3
Philadelphia vs NY Islanders+0.1-0.3-0.2-0.2-0.3+0.1
Buffalo vs Edmonton-0.1*-0.0-0.1*-0.0*+0.1+0.1
St. Louis vs Nashville-0.1-0.1-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Anaheim vs Winnipeg+0.1*-0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Vegas vs San Jose-0.0-0.1-0.0*-0.0*-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
126-149InYes1005,024*
125459-6In99.5%1000647*
1244510-5In99.81001,156*
1234410-6In99.610002,136*
1224411-5In99.4100003,844*
1214311-6In99.2100006,422*
1204312-5In98.9991010,715*
1194212-6In98.4991017,369*
1184112-7In97.4991027,867*
1174113-6In96.0982043,048*
1164013-7In94.1973066,210*
1154014-6In91.6954197,554*
1143914-7In88.29461141,456*
1133915-6In83.491810201,461*
1123815-7In77.5881020277,987*
1113816-6In70.1841330376,116*
1103716-7In61.37916500499,573*
1093717-6In51.27320700647,649*
1083617-7In40.566241000821,909*
1073618-6In29.7582813101,022,304*
1063518-7In19.94932181001,246,108*
1053519-6In11.93935232001,486,482*
1043419-7100.0%6.230372940001,740,506*
1033420-6100.02.721373460001,996,659*
1023320-7100.00.9143539101002,246,241*
1013321-6100.00.2832431520002,472,993*
1003221-7100.00.0426442140002,677,472*
993222-699.90.02204227810002,839,935*
983122-799.80.011438331220002,955,590*
973022-899.3No09313618510003,017,934*
963023-798.0No052336231020003,016,901*
952923-894.7No0316332716510002,966,173*
942924-787.8No01102726231020002,861,025*
932824-875.8No01620212817610002,705,602*
922825-758.8No031415282512410002,511,953*
912725-839.7No0188222920920002,288,829*
902726-722.7No004414262716610002,046,835*
892626-810.9No002171928241341001,798,345*
882627-74.3No001031124282192001,547,593*
872527-81.4No000015162728175101,308,157*
862528-70.4No00002921302511201,085,259*
852428-80.1No0000141326301961884,233*
842429-70.0No000017203227112708,266*
832329-80.0No00003132833194554,277*
822330-70.0No0000172235277427,467*
812230-80.0No0000315343513322,423*
802231-7OutNo0029294120238,486*
792232-6OutNo0015224428174,345*
782132-7OutNo003164437124,137*
772133-6OutNo00111414786,841*
762033-7OutNo007365659,573*
752034-6OutNo004316540,132*
741934-7OutNo03257226,415*
731935-6OutNo01207916,984*
721835-7OutNo1158410,852*
711836-6OutNo012886,922*
701736-7OutNo09914,018*
691737-6OutNo07932,407*
681637-7OutNo5951,425*
671638-6OutNo0496806*
661538-7OutNo397435*
651539-6OutNo298232*
641439-7OutNo199127*
631339-8OutNo39773*
29-62OutNo1004,451*
Total:73.7%5.3%11131915986543321154,782,366

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayNew JerseyTorontoNY IslandersBostonOttawaNY RangersCarolinaPittsburghWashingtonDetroitPhiladelphiaFloridaMontrealBuffalo
149600-05.8%1959669109967543
134505-5NoYes
133517-2NoYes
132518-1No5050
131497-412.5131325132513
130498-35.010101551015151010
129488-42.5585105313151085583
128478-55.412115119941917154
127479-45.2296106510811779432
126469-58.01124975119128511142
125459-65.62104136612811956531
1244510-55.8110510551010111058442
1234410-65.629510661010101067442
1224411-56.329511551110101068442
1214311-66.52105966101091058442
1204312-55.829410561010101068442
1194212-66.229510651010101058442
1184112-76.229510551010101068442
1174113-66.329510661010101068442
1164013-76.529510551010101068442
1154014-66.329510561010101068442
1143914-76.2210510551010101068442
1133915-66.2210510551010101058442
1123815-76.3210410551010101058432
1113816-66.3210511551010101058432
1103716-76.3210411551010101058432
1093717-66.2210411551110101058432
1083617-76.2211411551110101058432
1073618-66.3211412551111101058332
1063518-76.2112412441111101047331
1053519-66.2113413441111111047331
1043419-76.2114314441111111147321
1033420-66.2114314331111111137221
1023320-76.3215315331211111137221
1013321-66.2216315331212111137211
1003221-76.3217216221212111127111
993222-66.3317216221212111127110
983122-76.2517316221211111127110
973022-86.2717316221111111127110
963023-76.1917315221010101016110
952923-85.9121641422999915100
942924-75.5141541222888815100
932925-64.8151341022666614000
922825-73.714104721444412000
912826-62.51163511333311000
902726-71.4742311111101000
892727-60.7321100111100000
882627-70.3110000000000000
872628-60.1000000000000000
862528-70.0000000000000000
852529-60.000000000000000
842429-70.00000000000000
832430-60.000000000
822431-5No000
812432-4No0
29-80No
Total:4.6%5.511.52.710.52.12.17.77.77.57.31.94.81.21.00.5
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Columbus 1 Calgary 0 (ot)-0.9
Pittsburgh 2 Vancouver 5 -0.1
NY Islanders 4 Philadelphia 3 (ot)+0.1
Washington 5 Ottawa 2 +0.0
Carolina 1 NY Rangers 6 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Columbus vs Ottawa-0.9-0.8-0.7+0.2+0.2+1.1
New Jersey vs Vancouver+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Washington vs Tampa Bay+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0+0.0-0.1
Boston vs Pittsburgh-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
NY Rangers vs Detroit+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1
Carolina vs Toronto+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1
Philadelphia vs NY Islanders-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
126-149100
125459-610000
1244510-51000
1234410-610000
1224411-599000
1214311-699000
1204312-599010
1194212-698110
1184112-797110
1174113-696220
1164013-794330
1154014-692441
1143914-78856010
1133915-683880100
1123815-778101002000
1113816-670141303000
1103716-76118160500000
1093717-6512220070000
1083617-74025231900000
1073618-630282711310100
1063518-720293031610010000
1053519-612273151931020000
1043419-7624298216204000000
1033420-63192612219406000000
1023320-711320151814709101000
1013321-6081417131910113200200000
1003221-70481882113215410400000
993222-602416319155169207010000
983122-70121211514813145011220000
973022-801809101281981144501000
963023-7005056134191131599120000
952923-800302312115116121513341000
942924-7001011909810719167930000
932824-800100505511319131414720000
922825-7000030221011482016147310000
912725-800010117083191218169410000
902726-70000000404114615201811510000
892626-80000201072715222114720000
882627-700001000302715222216831000
872527-800000001002614212318931000
862528-70000000026132124191041000
852428-800000002513212519103100
842429-7000000025132226199200
832329-80000002615242618710
822330-700000281827261440
812230-80000131022302391
802231-700015152830173
792232-6000282334257
782132-7001416333412
772133-600210294020
762033-7015224329
752034-6003164338
741934-701114048
731935-60173557
721835-7042966
711836-6032572
701736-7012178
691737-611584
681637-701288
671638-601090
661538-70694
651539-6595
641439-7397
631339-8397
29-62100
Total:5676564445334544333322222111110