Columbus Blue Jackets Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.06 to 98.6%
62 points   29 9-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Detroit 1 Montreal 0 +0.6
Pittsburgh 8 Washington 7 (ot)*-0.1
Edmonton 3 Arizona 1 *-0.1
San Jose 5 Winnipeg 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Columbus vs Carolina+0.6+0.5+0.5-0.1-0.1-0.7
+4.3+4.3+3.5-1.0-1.0-5.2
Minnesota vs New Jersey+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0
-1.2-1.2-0.9+0.3+0.3+1.4
NY Rangers vs Dallas-0.3-0.3-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.3
Anaheim vs Tampa Bay-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1
Colorado vs Chicago+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.2-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
131-142InYes10093,954*
130324-4In100.0%100013,926*
129325-3In99.91000031,164*
128315-4In100.01000066,328*
127316-3In99.910000132,803*
126306-4In99.910000255,869*
125307-3In99.910000471,565*
124297-4In99.810000834,837*
123298-3In99.7100001,418,731*
122288-4In99.51000002,319,559*
121289-3In99.11000003,652,265*
120279-4In98.5990105,556,183*
119269-5In97.5990108,143,260*
1182610-4In96.09802011,553,177*
1172510-5In93.79603015,847,860*
1162511-4In90.494050021,034,684*
1152411-5In85.991180027,063,997*
1142412-4In79.8871110033,737,133*
1132312-5In72.2822160040,786,516*
1122313-4In63.0762211047,856,217*
1112213-5In52.5673272054,504,099*
1102214-4In41.35853440060,268,749*
1092114-5In30.34864060064,762,827*
1082115-4In20.438645100067,613,241*
1072015-5100.0%12.4287491510068,590,737*
1062016-4100.06.6197502220067,649,682*
1051916-5100.03.0126482940064,852,057*
1041917-4100.01.175443770060,491,524*
1031817-5100.00.3343743120054,831,945*
1021818-4100.00.12329471910048,350,071*
1011718-5100.00.01221472720041,472,826*
1001719-499.90.00114443650034,583,521*
991619-599.60.00093843900028,053,828*
981620-498.80.0005304815100022,120,396*
971520-596.8No002224924300016,958,095*
961521-492.4No0011444337100012,643,335*
951421-583.7No00835401420009,156,680*
941422-469.2No004244124610006,448,671*
931322-550.1No00213353214410004,410,392*
921323-430.3No0162434231020002,927,998*
911223-514.9No00213283019720001,887,381*
901224-45.8No00151729271551001,182,246*
891124-51.7No002821292412300716,900*
881125-40.4No000311242921920421,365*
871025-50.1No000151527291751239,178*
861026-40.0No0027203127122132,181*
85926-50.0No000311263321570,219*
84927-4OutNo0151834311136,613*
83928-3OutNo0021030381918,101*
82828-4OutNo0152242318,742*
81829-3OutNo021440433,973*
80729-4OutNo01937541,784*
79730-3OutNo143065748*
78630-4OutNo12277320*
77631-3OutNo2080115*
76632-2OutNo69449*
75532-3OutNo13888*
74432-4OutNo20805*
62-73OutNo10084,250*
Total:98.6%27.6%364291893100000001,016,364,880

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWashingtonMontrealPittsburghNY RangersTorontoOttawaCarolinaBostonFloridaPhiladelphiaTampa BayBuffaloDetroitNY IslandersNew Jersey
142400-06.3%217126621661352363
138371-2No5050
137372-112.513131313132513
136362-23.3731013331777103377
135352-36.5237154616631818273
134353-25.0228136420461443374
133343-35.5318134521541452375
132344-26.0217144422651453374
131334-36.1217135522551442275
130324-46.3217134522551442275
129325-36.2217135523551443375
128315-46.3218135522551442275
127316-36.2218135522541442375
126306-46.2217135522541442375
125307-36.3218134522541442375
124297-46.3218134423541442375
123298-36.2218134423541442275
122288-46.3218134423541432275
121289-36.2218134423541432275
120279-46.3218134423541432275
119269-56.3318134422541432275
1182610-46.2319134422541432275
1172510-56.3319144422441432275
1162511-46.33110144422441432275
1152411-56.24111144421441432275
1142412-46.24113153421431332275
1132312-56.25115163320431332265
1122313-46.37117173318331222265
1112213-56.28120183317331122254
1102214-46.310123192215321021154
1092114-56.21312620221322811143
1082115-46.21512822221221711133
1072015-56.31813123111011611132
1062016-46.3202332411811511022
1051916-56.2213342411711400021
1041917-46.3225342311611300011
1031817-56.2227332222610300011
1021818-46.22111312123511200011
1011718-56.22015291933411200011
1001719-46.22020261645411200010
991619-56.21924231455311111010
981620-46.22027201266211111000
971520-56.02128171066211111000
961521-45.8232716966111111000
951421-55.2252414855111000000
941422-44.3231812633111000000
931322-53.119129522000000000
921323-41.91266311000000000
911223-50.9633100000000000
901224-40.4311100000000000
891225-30.1100000000000000
881125-40.000000000000000
871126-30.00000000000
861026-40.000000
851027-3No0
62-84No
Total:6.2%14.95.724.318.62.52.611.01.91.76.61.21.00.93.22.4
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh 8 Washington 7 (ot)+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Columbus vs Carolina-0.5-0.5-0.4+0.1+0.1+0.7
NY Rangers vs Dallas+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
131-142100
130324-41000
129325-3100000
128315-4100000
127316-3100000
126306-4100000
125307-3100000
124297-4100000
123298-3100000
122288-41000000
121289-3990000
120279-4981010
119269-5981010
1182610-4962020
1172510-59430300
1162511-4904050000
1152411-58661080000
1142412-480810110000
1132312-5721020160000
1122313-4631320210010
1112213-55215302700200
1102214-441175033004000
1092114-5301860400060000
1082115-42017604410100000
1072015-5121570472001500100
1062016-471361463002200200
1051916-539614251029004000
1041917-416413571036007000
1031817-5033126920420012000
1021818-4012116103045100190100
1011718-50111994044210270200
1001719-400014740394103505000
991619-5000014313063043090000
981620-400000221198404711501000
971520-5000011197504722403000
961521-40000001355040533071000
951421-50000001341287391142000
941422-4000001211683922461000
931322-50000001167314321441000
921323-40000001241863324103000
911223-5000000276253020820000
901224-40000002313262818720000
891124-500000141525261872000
881125-40000151424261882000
871025-500000151423251893100
861026-4000151423261993000
85926-5000015142326199200
84927-4001614242719710
83928-3002616282716500
82828-40028213126111
81829-30031327342030
80729-401618353180
79730-303103041161
78630-442745223
77631-321548288
76632-21443358
75532-33863
74432-4402040
73534-15050
62040-00595
Total:289302531017100903010000000000000