"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Columbus Blue Jackets Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to Pittsburgh 2-5, playoff odds down 7.8 to 31.2%
63 points   29 25-5

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Columbus 2 Pittsburgh 5 -8.8
-0.5
Winnipeg 7 Florida 2 +1.3
+0.1
Carolina 2 New Jersey 3 (ot)-0.5
Detroit 2 Toronto 3 +0.4
NY Rangers 4 Philadelphia 7 -0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
NY Islanders vs Minnesota-1.3-1.3-1.1+0.3+0.3+1.6
-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1
Buffalo vs Washington+0.2*-0.0*+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
Nashville vs Ottawa+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
109230-0In19.7%4752172,870
108220-1In6.229674598
107221-0In2.91975503,477*
106211-1In1.0117811013,150*
105201-2In0.267716144,579*
104202-1In0.03722420125,236*
103192-2In0.016233400328,155*
102193-1In0.005041800748,458*
101183-2100.0%No03747151001,609,153*
100184-1100.0No02447254003,108,119*
99174-2100.0No014423491005,682,577*
98164-3100.0No073241172009,546,160*
97165-299.8No03214228600015,221,862*
96155-399.0No11136371410022,568,270*
95156-296.6No0526412430031,880,844*
94146-390.8No02163736910042,205,224*
93147-279.8No018284418200053,365,576*
92137-363.6No003174429710063,565,921*
91138-245.9No001936381420035,354,365
127-443.8No001835381520037,053,746*
90128-326.8No0003234126610037,360,835
139-127.6No0003244125610040,647,311*
89129-214.6No0011436341320038,634,249
118-413.4No0011235351420041,839,354*
88119-35.8No006253924600040,022,313*
1210-16.2No0006253924600038,625,154*
871110-22.1No0021435341320073,647,948*
861010-30.6No001725392350065,425,490*
851011-20.1No0003153633121055,708,492*
84911-30.0No001727392240044,973,549*
83912-20.0No00316383391034,803,510*
82812-30.0No00183041182025,510,359*
81813-20.0No00032042286017,905,132*
80713-3OutNo00111373812011,880,415*
79714-2OutNo00529452117,545,926*
78614-3OutNo00219453224,515,645*
77615-2OutNo0111414342,578,236*
76515-3OutNo006335371,378,883*
75516-2OutNo003246013703,664*
74416-3OutNo01166320334,058*
73417-2OutNo00106129150,319*
72418-1OutNo005563962,301*
71318-2OutNo03494924,251*
70319-1OutNo0140588,804*
69219-2OutNo034662,753*
68220-1OutNo02575838*
67120-2OutNo1783223*
66121-1OutNo109058*
65021-2OutNo99111*
63023-0OutNo49672,761
Total:31.2%0.0%0025915171714107310906,861,182

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayBostonTorontoWashingtonPittsburghPhiladelphiaNew JerseyNY IslandersCarolinaFloridaNY RangersDetroitOttawaMontrealBuffalo
109230-06.2%000111723221110511000
108220-17.701220232378610
107221-06.500014192323885100
106211-16.2000152123227741000
105201-26.20001622222266410000
104202-16.3000172322226530000
103192-26.3000192521225530000
102193-16.20002126202144200000
101183-26.20002227202143200000
100184-16.20002427192033100000
99174-26.31102628191933100000
98164-36.32202727181832100000
175-16.32102727181832100000
97165-26.24312826161722000000
154-46.2441282616162200000
176-06.3431282616172200000
96155-36.28712924141422000000
166-16.27612924141522000000
144-56.2881282314142100000
95156-26.1121112720111111000000
145-46.013121262011111100000
167-06.112111272011111100000
94146-35.7181622215881100000
157-15.7171622316881100000
135-55.61817221147711000000
93147-25.0211921711550000000
136-44.9212021610540000000
158-05.2211921812550000000
125-64.821202159440000000
92137-33.920202106320000000
148-14.121202117330000000
126-53.82019295220000000
91138-22.91716263110000000
127-42.71616253110000000
149-03.118172641100000
116-62.515152431100000
90128-31.7111112100000000
139-11.912111321000000
117-51.510101210000000
89129-20.9661110000000
118-40.8661100000000
88119-30.4330000000000
871110-20.111000000000
861010-30.00000000000
851011-20.000000000
84911-30.00000000
83912-20.00000000
82913-10.000000
81914-0No00
63-80No
Total:1.9%7.27.00.86.24.62.42.40.30.20.00.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Columbus 2 Pittsburgh 5 +1.1
Winnipeg 7 Florida 2 -0.1
Carolina 2 New Jersey 3 (ot)+0.1
Detroit 2 Toronto 3 -0.0
NY Rangers 4 Philadelphia 7 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
NY Islanders vs Minnesota+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
109230-02027476100
108220-16235215301
107221-031648273010
106211-11114038614000
105201-20629496280100
104202-1031754541501000
103192-2019533523130100
102193-100446153045120000
101183-20135043210635010000
100184-100240228176712040000
99174-20014011922410191721000
98164-300700102221124511720000
97165-200300417082311111651000
96155-30101100516169289510000
95156-2000502816436111331000
94146-3000201312136927631000
93147-2000100170285398841000
92137-300000030172427131151000
91138-200000108035413201441000
90128-30000003023192226123000
139-100000030241922251230000
89129-2000010140417312392000
118-40000101204163124102000
88119-30000601825322061000
1210-10000601825322061000
871110-20020031530301540000
109-40020021429311641000
861010-30010016203227122000
851011-20000002924332381000
84911-3000003132931185100
83912-200015183228123000
82812-30000292433238100
81813-20000313293217400
80713-3001620332811200
79714-2000210273521500
78614-300041734321210
77615-20001927382220
76515-3000417383460
75516-200193244131
74416-30042249222
73417-20011347335
72418-1007404211
71318-203314818
70319-101225027
69219-20144936
68220-1094447
67120-243264
66121-11981
65021-21882
63023-001090
Total:00000011012218214247101110865321000