"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Columbus Blue Jackets Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.02 to 99.8%
79 points   37 16-5

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington 2 Edmonton 1 -1.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Columbus vs NY Islanders+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.2
+1.8+1.8+1.3-0.6-0.6-2.1
Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.3
New Jersey vs NY Rangers+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Nashville vs Washington+1.1+0.2+0.2-0.7-0.9-0.9

What If

Chances based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
127240-0In100.0%1000171,974
126230-1In99.91000733
125231-0In99.910004,328*
124221-1In99.8100016,392*
123211-2In99.499158,178*
122212-1In98.79910167,354*
121202-2In97.49820449,577*
120203-1In95.096401,058,155*
119193-2In91.492802,332,199*
118194-1In85.8881204,651,747*
117184-2In78.38118008,760,912*
116174-3In68.4730261015,189,714*
115175-2In56.8640351024,977,483*
114165-3In44.0530443038,304,881*
113166-2In31.5410526055,888,514*
112156-3In20.331058110076,655,445*
111157-2In11.6210601810100,319,560*
110147-3In5.7130582720124,017,916*
109148-2In2.470513740146,614,881*
108138-3In0.840424690164,301,046*
107139-2In0.2203252150176,293,852*
106129-3In0.010225423086,112,913
1310-1In0.010225423093,613,882*
1051210-2In0.0001452340175,670,152*
1041110-3100.0%0.0008474500163,265,910*
1031111-2100.00.0004395600145,517,852*
1021011-3100.00.0002306710123,461,479*
1011012-2100.0No001227520100,457,670*
100912-3100.0No00015814077,725,366*
99913-2100.0No00098370057,654,365*
98813-399.9No0682120040,622,221*
97814-299.6No03771900027,415,387*
96714-398.6No01692810017,540,756*
95715-295.8No015738400010,723,753*
94615-388.4No0041471110006,201,973*
93616-273.4No0025482251003,418,501*
92516-350.8No01239331330001,771,296*
91517-227.1No04233526102000874,275*
90417-310.3No01926332281000400,610*
89418-22.7No03122832195100175,400*
88419-10.5No0041530301640070,757*
87319-20.0No016193328112026,612*
86320-1OutNo018243424719,163*
85220-2OutNo031331351622,976*
84221-1OutNo152036326822*
83121-2OutNo412284214229*
82122-1OutNo129532634*
81022-2OutNo505012*
80023-1OutNo50502
79024-0OutNo0033165171,851
Total:99.8%5.5%802533312000000002,073,141,060

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWashingtonPittsburghNY RangersMontrealOttawaTorontoNY IslandersBostonFloridaBuffaloTampa BayPhiladelphiaCarolinaNew JerseyDetroit
127240-06.3%0015584687144911
126230-16.0125464797244721
125231-06.7124484776235811
124221-16.30124474876236811
123211-26.20124474876236811
122212-16.30124474776236811
121202-26.20224474776236821
120203-16.30434464666236721
119193-26.20644464566236720
118194-16.31954464265236720
117184-26.211373353955226620
116174-36.221793353654226510
115175-26.3323123343144125510
114165-36.2529152232633114410
113166-26.2735182232032114310
112156-36.2940211121522113210
111157-26.21144231111011012110
110147-36.3134725111611001100
158-16.3134725111611001100
109148-26.3144826221411001100
137-46.3144926221311001000
108138-36.2144826331211000000
149-16.2144826331211000000
107139-26.3134625552111000000
128-46.2134624662121000000
106129-36.3124222883021000000
1310-16.2124222883021000000
1051210-26.310381912124032000000
119-46.210371812124032000000
1041110-36.38311516166042000000
1211-16.38321516166042000000
1031111-26.27261220207053100000
1010-46.26251120207053100000
1021011-36.3520824249064110000
1011012-26.35146262710064110000
100912-36.35104282910074110000
99913-26.3772293011075110000
98813-36.21152292911075110000
97814-26.21642272810064110000
96714-36.2244224259054110000
95715-26.0325220218043100000
94615-35.5386314156032100000
93616-24.63963910302100000
92516-33.2325245201100000
91517-21.71931121000000
90518-10.681100000000
89418-20.2200000000
88419-10.000000
87319-20.0000
79-86No
Total:6.2%10.133.317.011.411.54.54.03.32.10.50.50.70.60.20.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Washington 2 Edmonton 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Columbus vs NY Islanders-0.6-0.6-0.5+0.1+0.1+0.7
New Jersey vs NY Rangers-0.3-0.0-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.0-0.0-0.3
Nashville vs Washington-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
127240-01000
126230-11000
125231-01000
124221-110000
123211-29901
122212-199010
121202-297020
120203-195140
119193-291180
118194-18621200
117184-278318000
116174-3685026010
115175-2577035010
114165-3449044030
113166-231100052060
112156-32010005701100
111157-21290059118010
110147-36700552027020
109148-22500474037040
108138-31300366046090
107139-201002570520150
106129-301001570540230
1310-1010015700540230
1051210-20000860052003400
1041110-300004500470045000
1031111-200001300390056000
1021011-300000200300067010
1011012-20000100211075020
100912-300000001410081040
99913-20000008100830700
98813-30000410081012000
97814-200002100761190000
96714-30001100663280100
95715-200000005253804000
94615-300000348460111000
93616-200000178471225100
92516-30006636333133000
91517-2000131943526102000
90417-300016324332382000
89418-20011102632217100
88419-10003122630197200
87319-2003132629197200
86320-1003132428208200
85220-2014132428209200
84221-101313233119810
83121-2151426311670
82122-139182429126
81022-21717173317
80023-15050
79024-000152241292
Total:53002230033000310200000000000000