Columbus Blue Jackets Playoff Chances 50/50

Beat Ottawa 3-0, playoff odds up 5.8 to 78.3%
71 points   34 23-3

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Ottawa 0 Columbus 3 +5.8
+0.4
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Columbus vs San Jose+5.2+5.2+4.9-0.4-0.4-6.7
+0.3+0.3+0.3*-0.0*-0.0-0.4
Dallas vs Carolina+1.5+0.3+0.2-1.1-1.2-1.2
+0.1*-0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.0-0.1
Philadelphia vs Pittsburgh+0.9-0.2-0.2-0.8-0.9-0.6
+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0
Toronto vs Montreal+0.7-0.1*-0.0-0.7-0.7-0.5
+0.0*+0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0
Buffalo vs Washington-0.1-0.7-0.7-0.3-0.2+0.4
Florida vs Los Angeles-0.3-0.2-0.3*+0.1+0.1+0.3
NY Rangers vs New Jersey-0.2-0.2-0.1+0.1*+0.0+0.2
Vancouver vs NY Islanders+0.2*-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
St. Louis vs Boston+0.1*-0.0*-0.0*-0.1*-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
115220-0In12.5%13874,813
114210-1In7.179370
113211-0In3.4496438*
112201-1In2.53971,571*
111191-2In1.629805,176*
110192-1In0.6198114,025*
109182-2In0.20982036,204*
108183-1In0.10964079,387*
107173-2In0.009370165,662*
106174-1In0.0088120309,836*
105164-2In0.00811910548,563*
104154-3In0.00722720890,480*
103155-2InNo06036401,374,819*
102145-3InNo048457001,968,588*
101146-2InNo0355114102,684,263*
100136-3100.0%No2452222003,423,251*
99137-2100.0No14483341004,172,796*
98127-399.9No08404282004,774,310*
97128-299.6No43048136002,633,670
117-499.5No32847146002,593,817*
96118-398.2No1184718142002,570,741
129-198.2No1184718142002,827,894*
95119-294.6No01041182450002,656,314
108-493.8No0104018266002,681,616*
94109-385.2No04301535141002,377,215
1110-185.4No05301535131002,609,889*
931010-271.5No02201139254002,208,347
99-469.5No02191039264002,249,793*
92910-351.1No011153538101003,767,554*
91911-231.7No00522544213003,056,996*
90811-316.3No02114423291002,336,336*
89812-27.0No01063240183001,709,611*
88712-32.4No00022040288101,179,727*
87713-20.7No0011133371730781,112*
86613-30.1No0005233927700483,784*
85614-20.0No021334361410287,182*
84514-30.0No006254125300159,049*
83515-20.0No0021538378084,252*
82415-3OutNo0173045161041,062*
81416-2OutNo0031948263019,093*
80417-1OutNo1104238808,088*
79317-2OutNo0632461513,298*
78318-1OutNo121502531,237*
77218-2OutNo11145376459*
76219-1OutNo942427132*
75119-2OutNo41411729*
74120-1OutNo2060205
73121-0OutNo1001
72021-1OutNo1001
71022-0OutNo0335624,796
Total:78.3%0.0%011202581411631000059,787,352

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayBostonNY IslandersTorontoWashingtonMontrealPittsburghCarolinaBuffaloPhiladelphiaFloridaNY RangersNew JerseyDetroitOttawa
115220-06.1%115973212164120
114210-17.16413113961371
113211-06.69510103314134120
112201-16.0951273313143211
111191-26.79611934131431100
110192-16.18511103313143110
109182-26.4861110321314311000
108183-16.20861111321313311000
107173-26.3761112311413311000
106174-16.20771014291313311000
105164-26.20691017271413311000
104154-36.305109202414132110000
103155-26.20513823211413211000
102145-36.20415627171513210000
156-16.30415627171413211000
101146-26.20318530131513110000
135-46.203185301316131100000
100136-36.20221333916141100000
147-16.2022133391614110000
99137-26.20124234616141100000
126-46.2112323461714110000
98127-36.2212613531714010000
138-16.2212613541614010000
116-56.3312613531714010000
97128-26.26027134216130100000
117-46.2702713421613010000
139-06.3602713421613010000
96118-36.11402703111411010000
129-16.21302703211411010000
107-56.11602602911410010000
95119-25.924024026011801000
108-45.826023024011801000
1210-05.925024025011801000
94109-35.33501801807501000
1110-15.434019020076010000
98-55.23701701607500000
931010-24.539012012043000000
99-44.33901201104300000
92910-33.234060602100000
1011-13.235060602100000
91911-22.02403030110000
90811-31.0140101000000
89812-20.460000000000
88712-30.22000000000
87713-20.0100000000
86613-30.0000000
85614-20.00
84413-5No0
83515-2No0
71-82No
Total:4.9%14.20.916.81.521.44.010.08.30.40.60.10.10.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Ottawa 0 Columbus 3 -0.8
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Columbus vs San Jose-0.8-0.8-0.7+0.1+0.1+1.0
Buffalo vs Washington-0.2+0.0+0.0+0.2+0.2+0.1
Dallas vs Carolina-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Philadelphia vs Pittsburgh-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Vancouver vs NY Islanders-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
115220-013087
114210-1793
113211-03096
112201-12097
111191-2209800
110192-110980100
109182-2009712000
108183-1009414000
107173-2008936010
106174-10081781300
105164-200691110260100
104154-3005517114120100
103155-203922962103000
102145-3024246731160200
101146-2013223639390410
100136-3618144071201002000
99137-221202341212020040100
98127-301701231610131080200
97128-20400131661400130600
117-403001216614001406000
96118-3010051331430170140200
129-1010051331430170140200
95119-200029113811802405000
108-40001811371181260600
94109-3000040027214135014100
1110-1000040028214135013100
931010-2002001739239025400
99-4002001638239026400
92910-30010083413413810100
91911-20000032112324421300
90811-300110011341329100
89812-200000423039194000
88712-30000011173730112000
87713-20000017243523820000
86613-30000021126312082000
85614-200031225282092000
84514-3000311232821103000
83515-2001310212823113000
82415-3003921292311300
81416-2002921302410200
80417-10029233123920
79317-200311263121610
78318-1141430321540
77218-201621323090
76219-1283340142
75119-2310552110
74120-12080
73121-0100
72021-1100
71022-0173953
Total:00561112740201801401162110000000000