Dallas Stars Playoff Chances 50/50

Beat Arizona 5-2, playoff odds up 1.3 to 6%
58 points   24 27-10

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Dallas 5 Arizona 2 +1.8
+0.1
Florida 2 Calgary 4 -0.4
Washington 2 Edmonton 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Nashville vs Washington-0.4-0.4-0.4+0.0+0.0+0.5
Los Angeles vs Anaheim-0.4-0.5-0.4+0.0+0.0+0.5
Vancouver vs San Jose-0.1-0.2-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Dallas finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
100210-0InNo00237420126,421
99200-1InNo01182603,791
98201-0InNo0078211020,484*
97191-1100.0%No00478171069,432*
96181-2100.0No02712520232,149*
95182-199.9No016133500605,192*
94172-299.6No00503910001,504,311*
93173-198.2No03941182003,200,586*
92163-294.2No02837296006,481,814*
91164-185.4No01829381310011,698,027*
90154-270.9No01119412540020,090,914*
89155-152.1No06103636111031,435,567*
88145-233.1No0342643213046,889,786*
87135-317.7No01115413370064,602,755*
86136-28.0No01073342151084,982,382*
85126-32.8No00032145274048,377,064
137-13.1No00032245264055,728,646*
84127-21.0No00011341379064,277,900
116-40.9No00011241379057,679,839*
83117-30.2No00006324517062,714,644
128-10.2No0006324516071,075,727*
82118-20.0No0002224827072,918,555
107-40.0No0002214828067,545,237*
81108-30.0No00011345401065,206,879
119-10.0No00011345391073,305,761*
80109-20.0No000739513067,404,317
98-40.0No000738523063,436,747*
7999-30.0No000329626054,778,659
1010-10.0No000329616061,442,674*
78910-20.0No001206810098,922,319*
77810-30.0No000137017079,195,405*
76811-2OutNo0076825060,730,907*
75711-3OutNo0046234043,743,161*
74712-2OutNo0025444030,152,868*
73612-3OutNo014554019,457,180*
72613-2OutNo003664012,015,598*
71513-3OutNo00277216,903,022*
70514-2OutNo0197823,793,868*
69515-1OutNo0138341,919,804*
68415-2OutNo09847928,547*
67416-1OutNo058411409,539*
66316-2OutNo038017171,373*
65317-1OutNo1752464,180*
64217-2OutNo1673222,839*
63218-1OutNo059406,832*
62118-2OutNo052482,093*
61119-1OutNo4159503*
60120-0OutNo3664105*
59020-1OutNo217914
58021-0OutNo01882125,703
Total:6.0%No0001149182733701,516,402,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Dallas finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupMinnesotaChicagoSan JoseEdmontonAnaheimSt. LouisNashvilleCalgaryLos AngelesWinnipegVancouver
100210-06.3%1678101310000
99200-16.717743112100
98201-06.41671622110000
97191-16.31665103411000
96181-26.216591445110000
95182-16.316511967100000
171-36.217502067001000
94172-26.219432368001000
183-06.218442268001000
161-46.119412467001000
93173-16.123352578001000
162-36.124342568000000
92163-25.929282367000000
174-05.928292468000000
152-45.830272357000000
91164-15.434231956000000
153-35.334221945000000
142-55.235211845000000
90154-24.434171334000000
143-44.334161323000000
165-04.635181434000000
132-64.133161223000000
89155-13.43012822000000
144-33.22911812000000
133-53.02711711000000
88145-22.1217411000000
134-41.9197411000000
156-02.3228411000000
123-61.81763010000
87146-11.2134200000000
135-31.1114200000000
124-50.910320000000
86136-20.562100000000
125-40.451100000000
147-00.67210000000
114-60.44110000000
85137-10.22100000000
126-30.221000000000
115-50.12000000000
84127-20.11000000000
116-40.01000000000
138-00.11000000000
83128-10.0000000000
82118-20.0000000000
81119-10.00000000
80109-20.000000000
791010-10.0000
781011-00.000
7779-5No0
58-76No
Total:0.4%3.21.50.90.20.20.00.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas 5 Arizona 2 -0.6
Carolina 3 Ottawa 0 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Vancouver vs San Jose+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Los Angeles vs Anaheim+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
New Jersey vs NY Rangers+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
100210-0000021203710110
99200-108300812150
98201-00004200784011000
97191-100022007080116100
96181-200111056141124200
95182-100000391930334100
94172-2000002419703964000
93173-1000012141304191020000
92163-20005815037821410000
91164-100013140295337520000
90154-20001100192397108310000
89155-100060100364111511510000
88145-20003402616152015720000
87135-300011015028192418820000
86136-2000100700210212620103000
85126-300003000310222721103000
84127-2000100013112329219200
116-40001000031022292210200
83117-300000001312243021810
128-10000001412253020710
82118-2000000141528311740
107-40000000141428311840
81108-30000000161933301100
119-1000000016193329100
80109-200000021028382110
98-40000002927392210
7999-3000000417403630
1010-1000000418403530
78910-2000019344960
89-4000019345070
77810-30000042558130
76811-200011662210
75711-3000960310
74712-2000454420
73612-300245530
72613-200136630
71513-30027711
70514-20020782
69515-10013824
68415-209847
67416-1058411
66316-2038017
65317-127524
64217-216732
63218-105940
62118-205248
61119-14159
60120-03664
59020-12179
58021-001882
Total:000000000010104011245791113161960