Dallas Stars Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.002 to 0.0003%
71 points   30 33-11

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Montreal 3 Ottawa 1 *No
SundayNone

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Dallas finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
8780-00.1%No05149025,629
8670-1OutNo3563148,523
8571-0OutNo24724152,211
60-2OutNo2074541,923
8461-1OutNo1376100260,120
50-3OutNo117812020,394
8362-0OutNo772210401,650
51-2OutNo571240189,293
40-4OutNo4702606,199
8252-1OutNo260361587,822
41-3OutNo25839176,943
30-5OutNo2574011,187
8153-0OutNo145513606,926
42-2OutNo140554357,538
31-4OutNo03957418,696
20-6OutNo38594152
8043-1OutNo0266311739,613
32-3OutNo0246511116,674
21-5OutNo02365112,644
10-7OutNo22789
7944-0OutNo0146521574,914
33-2OutNo0126622361,572
22-4OutNo11662321,298
11-6OutNo116327206
7834-1OutNo055738559,415
23-3OutNo5573888,001
12-5OutNo456402,038
01-7OutNo8623113
7735-0OutNo024553346,535
24-2OutNo14454204,637
13-4OutNo1455410,627
02-6OutNo2455362
7625-1OutNo029701254,172
14-3OutNo02871133,240
03-5OutNo128701501
7526-0OutNo018802131,655
15-2OutNo01880361,877
04-4OutNo187931,998
7416-1OutNo0883963,613
05-3OutNo880115,133
7317-0OutNo4781828,474
06-2OutNo476207,700
7207-1OutNo161386,898
7108-0OutNo047533,195
Total:0.0%No0332442106,421,920

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Dallas finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupChicago
8780-00.0%0
71-86No
Total:0.0%0.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Buffalo 5 Toronto 2 +0.1
Minnesota 2 Vancouver 4 +0.1
Florida 7 Chicago 0 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
New Jersey vs Dallas+0.7+0.1+0.1-0.5-0.5-0.5
Detroit vs Minnesota+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Winnipeg vs Vancouver+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0
Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia-0.1*+0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
8780-000521362791
8670-101624392550
8571-00110313817200
60-2019294019200
8461-1002153835910
50-3021438361010
8362-0004234324500
51-2004224325600
40-40320432660
8252-1001934381620
41-301833391730
30-50732391920
8153-00021738321010
42-20021638341110
31-4021537351110
20-61143833132
8043-100625422430
32-300524422530
21-50423432640
10-722113333
7944-0001113641110
33-201103542120
22-40193542130
11-60082947150
7834-10032147272
23-30032047272
12-5022047283
01-7884638
7735-000840448
24-200838449
13-4008384410
02-6637506
7625-10022353210
14-3022253230
03-522251240
7526-0001149391
15-201047411
04-40944442
7416-10334576
05-3331588
7317-001196614
06-21176617
7207-1075835
7108-024751
Total:0000126131821211340