Carolina Hurricanes Playoff Chances 50/50

Beat Montreal 4-1, playoff odds up 3.1 to 8.5%
77 points   32 27-13

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Montreal 1 Carolina 4 +2.7
+0.2
Boston 3 Tampa Bay 6 +0.8
Toronto 4 New Jersey 2 -0.6
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Pittsburgh vs NY Islanders+1.8+0.4+0.4-1.1-1.5-1.5
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Detroit vs Tampa Bay+0.7+0.2+0.2-0.4-0.6-0.7

What If

Chances based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
97100-099.0%No198102,403,233
9690-195.2No095505,405,023
9591-088.9No089110016,760,803
80-286.6No08713005,928,784
9481-172.7No73252036,789,525
70-369.2No6928203,856,476
9382-055.4No553860057,028,607
71-250.8No514180035,867,682
60-447.4No47439101,643,318
9272-130.6No314819200111,238,903
61-327.0No27492220020,413,639
50-524.6No254924300482,181
9173-015.7No164533600114,999,023
62-212.9No13433680094,932,047
51-411.0No11413810007,558,274*
9063-14.5No429461910196,260,132
52-33.5No32647222046,279,002
41-52.8No3234625301,831,809*
8964-01.3No116453450152,191,411
53-20.9No113433860143,567,149
42-40.7No11140408014,401,758*
8854-10.1No04304915100222,639,640
43-30.1No032750192058,335,324
32-50.1No03244922202,783,522*
8755-00.0No01174928400138,079,303
44-20.0No01144832500135,708,121
33-40.0No0111453670014,219,639
22-60.0No009414090336,634*
8645-10.0No00636441400168,326,374
34-30.0No0043246171044,118,927
23-50.0No003284820102,105,264*
8546-00.0No0022247282087,004,830
35-20.0No0011947302082,086,507
24-4OutNo01154634308,237,529*
8436-1OutNo008374690084,861,992
25-3OutNo0063448111020,016,040
14-5OutNo00431501410792,246*
8337-0OutNo0032353192037,603,012
26-2OutNo0022052233031,034,952
15-4OutNo01175127402,469,623*
8227-1OutNo00944389027,512,973
16-3OutNo00640411205,163,309*
8128-0OutNo003314619110,667,970
17-2OutNo0226472417,016,034*
8018-1OutNo0012434045,194,902
07-3OutNo00938476544,192
7919-0OutNo005335391,790,408
08-2OutNo03275713634,146
7809-1OutNo01156025436,376
77010-0OutNo085537323,672
Total:8.5%No081522251792102,269,882,240

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWashingtonPittsburghColumbusNY RangersMontrealOttawaTorontoBostonTampa Bay
97100-06.2%70151300000
9690-15.965161400000
9591-05.6611513000000
80-25.458151300000
9481-14.5491311000
70-34.34513110
9382-03.53710800
71-23.23310800
60-43.0301080
9272-11.9206500
61-31.7175400
50-51.515540
9173-01.0103200
62-20.88320
51-40.77220
40-60.6622
9063-10.331100
52-30.22110
41-50.22100
30-70.2110
8964-00.11000
53-20.11000
42-40.00000
31-60.0000
20-80.2100
8854-10.00000
43-30.00000
32-50.0000
21-70.000
10-9No2
8755-00.00000
44-20.0000
33-40.0000
22-60.0000
11-8No
8645-10.0000
34-30.0000
23-5No000
12-7No
01-9No
8546-0No00
35-2No0
24-4No
13-6No
02-8No
77-84No
Total:0.5%5.61.61.30.00.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Montreal 1 Carolina 4 -0.6
Minnesota 1 Philadelphia 3 +0.1
Florida 3 Arizona 1 +0.1
Boston 3 Tampa Bay 6 +0.0
Los Angeles 5 Winnipeg 2 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit vs Tampa Bay-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Pittsburgh vs NY Islanders-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
97100-01098010
9690-10092350
9591-00079101100
80-20076111300
9481-1522125200
70-3482228200
9382-02828387000
71-2242741800
60-42126421010
9272-182247202000
61-37204723300
50-56194725400
9173-021441349100
62-2112393711100
51-4110373912100
9063-104244324400
52-303214327500
41-503194229600
8964-00111363714200
53-2019333916200
42-4017314018300
8854-10021940308100
43-30021639329100
32-500114383411100
8755-000072940203000
44-200062741224000
33-4005244125500
22-6004214028600
8645-1002133636121000
34-3001113438141000
23-50019314017200
8546-000042240276000
35-200032040297100
24-40031739328100
8436-100182940193000
25-300062641215000
14-50052441246100
8337-0000214363412200
26-2001123435153000
15-400110323617400
8227-100319372910100
16-300216353213200
8128-00017253724600
17-20005213628910
8018-1001827382230
07-301622382750
7919-0002133537111
08-2001103141152
7809-100318442960
77010-00173542150
Total:0045131819171273110000