Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

Carolina Hurricanes Playoff Chances 50/50

Beat NY Islanders 4-2, playoff odds up 5.1 to 53.5%
22 points   9 6-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Carolina 4 NY Islanders 2 +4.9
+0.3
+0.5
Anaheim 3 Florida 2 +0.3
NY Rangers 3 Ottawa 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington vs Calgary-0.4-0.6*-0.3*+0.1*-0.1+0.6
Minnesota vs New Jersey+0.4*+0.1*+0.1*-0.2-0.6-0.3
Buffalo vs Columbus+0.3*-0.1*+0.0*-0.1-0.4-0.2
Toronto vs Arizona-0.2*-0.2*-0.1*-0.1*-0.0+0.2
-0.0*-0.1*+0.0*+0.1*+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
122-148InYes100295*
1214711-5In98.2%98256*
1204611-6In99.1100113*
1194511-7In99.4991161*
1184411-8In97.99810332*
1174412-7In95.89820520*
1164413-6In94.59640820*
1154414-5In92.796311,342*
1144314-6In89.294512,009*
1134214-7In84.992713,047*
1124215-6In80.1908204,432*
1114115-7In72.98511306,361*
1104116-6In63.58015508,960*
1094016-7In54.9751870012,569*
1084017-6In43.4672310016,909*
1073917-7In31.75827151022,299*
1063918-6In22.149301910029,048*
1053818-7In13.239342530036,875*
1043819-6In7.029363050046,022*
1033719-7In3.020363681056,276*
1023619-8100.0%1.113334012100066,985*
1013620-7100.00.3729431730078,647*
1003520-8100.00.1424432351091,633*
993521-799.90.021840299100103,323*
983421-899.6No112353414300114,044*
973422-798.9No07283620710125,423*
963322-896.8No0421352512300133,222*
953323-792.0No02143126197100140,618*
943223-882.8No0182524251341000144,669*
933224-768.4No051818282182000146,226*
923124-849.5No0211112527166100145,598*
913125-730.9No0165182824124100142,805*
903025-816.2No003210232821103000136,742*
893026-77.1No00215152627177100129,011*
882926-82.5No00102819282513410119,073*
872927-70.7No0000311242921920108,813*
862827-80.2No000015162828165096,922*
852828-70.0No0002922312410185,579*
842728-80.0No0001415293216372,958*
832729-70.0No00029233425661,686*
822629-8OutNo00141633331251,371*
812630-7OutNo0021129391942,554*
802530-8OutNo01624422734,056*
792531-7OutNo00317423726,834*
782431-8OutNo0212394720,463*
772432-7OutNo0018355615,547*
762332-8OutNo04306611,784*
752333-7OutNo0324738,719*
742233-8OutNo00119796,252*
732234-7OutNo0114854,390*
722134-8OutNo111893,092*
712135-7OutNo07932,041*
702035-8OutNo6941,395*
692036-7OutNo496914*
682037-6OutNo298591*
671937-7OutNo298349*
661938-6OutNo199224*
651838-7OutNo199118*
641738-8OutNo10067*
631739-7OutNo29851*
22-62OutNo100281*
Total:53.5%2.2%57131388877665532,723,516

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayTorontoNew JerseyColumbusNY IslandersOttawaPittsburghDetroitWashingtonBostonNY RangersPhiladelphiaMontrealFloridaBuffalo
148630-06.9%03127891678768431
127519-333.3333333
126476-10NoYes
1255111-1No25252525
124478-8No18918991899
123479-74.01216488121241248
1224710-66.11531566121212936
1214711-57.1571113713411479452
1204611-64.42510127464128811454
1194511-78.7287101341179466444
1184411-85.7158887119114118642
1174412-76.535912105969697533
1164413-66.13411111169511498332
1154414-55.22410111051059499533
1144314-66.0249111159610689343
1134214-76.7249111059696109432
1124215-66.324101110510510688433
1114115-76.72410111151059598343
1104116-66.2241011115105105108332
1094016-76.024101111511510598432
1084017-66.324111111510510599332
1073917-76.124111211511510597332
1063918-66.124121212511510498332
1053818-76.424131312411410498322
1043819-66.323141313411410498222
1033719-76.523141413311410398221
1023619-86.223151413312311398221
1013620-76.223151514312311398211
1003520-86.333161514212210298111
993521-76.343161514212210298111
983421-86.353161514212210298111
973422-76.174161514211210287110
3523-56.074161513211210298110
963322-86.19415141321129287110
3221-106.09415141221029287110
953323-75.811514131121028276100
3424-55.81151413112928276100
943223-85.2135121192827265100
933224-74.213510872625144000
923124-83.01147652413132000
913125-72.0834331212121000
903126-61.0412221101011000
893026-70.4211110100000000
883027-60.2100000000000000
872927-70.0000000000000000
862928-60.000000000000
852828-70.000000000000
842728-80.0000
832729-7No0
22-82No
Total:3.3%4.72.57.87.36.61.65.71.34.91.34.33.80.70.60.4
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Carolina 4 NY Islanders 2 -1.0
NY Rangers 3 Ottawa 0 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Washington vs Calgary+0.1+0.1*+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1
Minnesota vs New Jersey-0.1+0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0
Buffalo vs Columbus-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
122-148100
1214711-5982
1204611-6991
1194511-7991
1184411-898110
1174412-796220
1164413-695240
1154414-593431
1144314-689551
1134214-785771
1124215-68010820
1114115-7731211030
1104116-664171405000
1094016-7552017070000
1084017-6432322110000
1073917-73226261140010
1063918-6222728217111000
1053818-71325304213130000
1043819-67222972353050000
1033719-731726102385070010
1023619-81122013191380111010000
1013620-7071415141612115213000
1003520-804815818152184105010
993521-70241431616418830901000
983421-812101121581413601313000
973422-70170711119161011646010
963322-800403612416132178111300
953323-70020131011213513131637100
943223-800101707998161971241000
933224-700004035103151513181031000
923124-80002012811081719181031000
913125-7000100160531513211911410000
903025-80000030211061522201362000
893026-7000011052715222115731000
882926-800010020261421231793100
872927-70000002613212318114100
862827-800000002512202420114100
852828-7000001511202521124100
842728-800000151221262111300
832729-7000001513232720820
822629-80000261626271651
812630-700029203026112
802530-80014132731194
792531-700172134288
782431-800314323615
772432-70018274122
762332-8014204332
752333-7002144242
742233-801103951
732234-70053460
722134-8032968
712135-712474
702035-8011781
692036-711683
682037-6991
671937-7793
661938-6892
651838-7595
641738-8694
631739-7298
22-62100
Total:2343333344324444444443333333221