Carolina Hurricanes Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.9 to 33.8%
48 points   20 17-8

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
NY Islanders 1 New Jersey 4 +0.4
Detroit 2 Dallas 4 +0.3
NY Rangers 5 Philadelphia 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Anaheim vs Pittsburgh+0.9+0.1+0.1-0.6-0.7-0.7
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0
Boston vs Montreal+0.2*+0.0*+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
122370-0In99.8%10000154,943
119351-1In85.786147*
118341-2In91.796424*
117342-1In97.0973101*
116332-2In93.1955350*
115322-3In86.2901001,029*
114323-2In78.4851412,999*
113313-3In72.0811818,271*
112314-2In64.076222020,547*
111304-3In52.76829349,363*
110305-2In41.7603550109,785*
109295-3In30.75141700231,711*
108285-4In20.542471100464,588*
107286-3In12.233521500886,039*
106276-4In6.22454211001,614,237*
105277-3In2.71654282002,812,646*
104267-4In0.91051354004,692,317*
103268-3100.0%0.26464170007,517,423*
102258-4100.00.0338461210011,578,377*
101259-3100.00.0129491920017,164,806*
100249-4100.00.00204727500024,533,509*
992410-399.90.001342341010033,804,167*
982310-499.8No07333917300044,993,231*
972311-399.1No03234025710057,856,325*
962211-497.2No0114353214300071,958,762*
952111-592.6No0172735237100086,521,522*
942112-483.4No003183131143000100,778,665*
932012-568.5No0011023342371000113,644,917*
922013-449.3No0051331311540000124,225,143*
911913-530.0No0026223325102000131,576,088*
901914-415.0No0012122832195100135,192,420*
891814-56.0No00015183228133000134,660,193*
881815-41.9No0000292533228100130,138,273*
871715-50.5No0000415303016400121,977,202*
861716-40.1No000017223325910110,984,226*
851616-50.0No000003133033173097,983,307*
841617-40.0No0000172236277083,928,592*
831517-50.0No0000314333514169,766,311*
821518-40.0No00018264123156,271,478*
811418-50.0No00004194133344,041,961*
801419-4OutNo0001123844533,430,707*
791319-5OutNo00163153924,618,272*
781320-4OutNo000324581417,568,273*
771220-5OutNo00117612112,152,972*
761221-4OutNo0011160288,154,378*
751121-5OutNo00757365,295,902*
741122-4OutNo00452443,327,549*
731123-3OutNo00246522,021,037*
721023-4OutNo0139601,190,904*
711024-3OutNo013267675,859*
70924-4OutNo02674371,842*
69925-3OutNo02179196,610*
68825-4OutNo01684100,726*
67826-3OutNo0128848,828*
66726-4OutNo099123,578*
65727-3OutNo79310,636*
64627-4OutNo5954,508*
63628-3OutNo4961,963*
62528-4OutNo397710*
61529-3OutNo199274*
60530-2OutNo19993*
56-59OutNo10047*
48037-0OutNo0100154,943
Total:33.8%0.0%02589101111111098511,931,496,466

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayBostonWashingtonNew JerseyTorontoColumbusNY RangersPittsburghPhiladelphiaNY IslandersFloridaDetroitMontrealOttawaBuffalo
122370-06.2%01515214151591342310
119351-114.314294314
118341-24.2844212182184
117342-18.91714217131313103233
116332-28.01415311141613143321
115322-37.30713215161310143222
114323-25.7017142161514111232210
113313-36.4016152161514101132210
112314-26.0017142161514101232210
111304-36.2017152161514101132210
110305-26.3018152161514101132210
109295-36.3019162161413101122210
108285-46.20110172161413101122210
107286-36.3011118217141391022210
106276-46.2011219217141291021110
105277-36.301132011613129921110
104267-46.301152111613118911110
103268-36.200162211613118811110
102258-46.200182311612118811100
101259-36.311192411512108811100
100249-46.311202411512107710000
992410-36.33122241141197700000
982310-46.25223231131097600000
972311-36.2822422112986600000
2210-56.2932422112986600000
962211-46.11342420110875500000
2110-66.11442420110875500000
952111-55.8205231718654400000
2212-35.8195241718654400000
2010-75.7205231718654400000
942112-45.2246211416443200000
2011-65.1256201315433200000
2213-25.3246211416443300000
932012-54.225616913222100000
2113-34.4256171014322200000
1911-74.225615913222100000
922013-43.122511612111100000
1912-63.121511612111100000
912014-31.91536301100000000
901914-40.9823100000000000
891915-30.4311000000000000
881815-40.1100000000000000
871816-30.0000000000000000
861716-40.0000000000000000
851717-30.000000000000000
841617-40.000000000000
831618-30.0000000000
821619-20.00000
811519-3No0
48-80No
Total:2.1%7.81.97.76.00.32.92.21.91.51.40.10.10.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
NY Islanders 1 New Jersey 4 -0.0
NY Rangers 5 Philadelphia 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Anaheim vs Pittsburgh-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
122370-0100000
119351-18614
118341-29244
117342-1973
116332-29325
115322-3864100
114323-2787141
113313-37291801
112314-26412220200
111304-35315290300
110305-242183415000
109295-3312140270000
108285-42021443100000
107286-31220456141100000
106276-461843111722010000
105277-331438171944020000
104267-41929222087040000
103268-306202617131107000000
102258-403112711181621010010000
101259-3015246201851441020000
100249-4002182181810151020500000
992410-3001121131315131840911000
982310-4007088188256113430000
972311-300304316326831411611000
962211-400101112121771121113200000
952111-50010007013496281310610000
942112-40000030629229112010520000
932012-500001021702262912116200000
922013-400000104013229915158310000
911913-5000000206021413201810410000
901914-40000001020121616242112410000
891814-500000010502818252213510000
881815-40000000200281926231351000
871715-50000000000291926241351000
861716-40000000039202723124100
851616-500000000131122282210200
841617-4000000014132529207100
831517-50000001617292915300
821518-400000029233325800
811418-50000141431341610
801419-40001824382630
791319-50000316373770
781320-4000193246120
771220-500052451191
761221-400021652272
751121-50011049364
741122-400643447
731123-3003365011
721023-4001285317
711024-301215524
70924-400155431
69925-30105039
68825-4074548
67826-3043957
66726-423365
65727-312772
64627-412179
63628-311683
62528-401287
61529-3991
60530-2991
59430-3694
58431-2892
56-57100
48037-00100
Total:0001011214122728335666666654310