Western Conference Playoff Chances 50/50

Edmonton +3.5, Arizona -0.9
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupPres TrophyDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
WednesdayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change%Change1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516RPIThursday
AnaheimWBuffalo 4-112161-01174.3%+3.14.6%+0.27.7%+1.414111916776554324Anaheim Ducks
Chicago9340-1971.2-0.44.4-0.16.5+0.012111916666655437at NashvilleChicago Blackhawks
Nashville10240-2570.8-0.34.5+0.06.2+0.112111916766655433ChicagoNashville Predators
Los Angeles9241-1566.1-0.64.1-0.05.0+0.010817168776665419BuffaloLos Angeles Kings
Dallas8231-2162.3-0.43.9-0.03.9+0.1881616777776655Dallas Stars
San Jose9142-1360.8-0.83.8-0.03.7+0.0871515887777656ColumbusSan Jose Sharks
Vancouver6332-0057.2-0.83.6-0.03.2+0.07614148887777615at St. LouisVancouver Canucks
Calgary943-1155.5-0.73.5-0.12.7+0.0661314888887779CarolinaCalgary Flames
Minnesota4422-0654.1-0.53.4-0.02.6+0.06714147778888817ArizonaMinnesota Wild
St. Louis5322-1353.3-0.43.3-0.02.5+0.05613147778888814VancouverSt. Louis Blues
Arizona5322-1-652.5-0.93.3-0.12.5+0.05512148888888826at MinnesotaArizona Coyotes
Winnipeg4224-0-543.1-0.42.7-0.01.3-0.03410126788910111225Winnipeg Jets
EdmontonWWashington 3-25124-1-1241.5+3.52.6+0.21.2+0.3349117889910111227Edmonton Oilers
Colorado4114-2-1237.2-0.42.3-0.00.9+0.0238116778910121529Colorado Avalanche

Data is queried every 2.5 minutes,
Complete data dump is done every day at 3 am ET to fix mistakes or games that have been added.
Let me know how things are, if data is wrong: adamv at mad dot scientist dot com.
The percent after the team score is the chance of winning in regulation based on current second and
either home/away actual score or home/away goal differential.
If team has greater than 50% chance of winning, I mark the game as final so the stats can get up to date.

Adam updates the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Wednesday
Edmonton 3 Washington 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim-0.2
Chicago-0.3
Nashville-0.3
Los Angeles-0.4
Dallas-0.2
San Jose-0.5
Vancouver-0.3
Calgary-0.4
Minnesota-0.2
St. Louis-0.3
Arizona-0.3
Winnipeg-0.3
Edmonton+3.9
+0.2
+0.3
Colorado*-0.2
Anaheim 4 Buffalo 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim+3.5
+0.2
+1.3
Chicago*-0.1
Nashville*-0.2
Los Angeles-0.2
*-0.1
Dallas-0.2
San Jose-0.4
Vancouver-0.4
Calgary-0.4
Minnesota-0.2
St. Louis-0.2
Arizona-0.3
Winnipeg-0.3
Edmonton-0.4
Colorado-0.2
Pittsburgh 3 Philadelphia 5
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim+0.1
Los Angeles+0.1
Thursday
Minnesota vs ArizonaIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim74.5*74.1*74.173.8*74.2*74.2
San Jose61.1*60.8*60.6*60.660.3*60.7
Vancouver57.5*57.3*57.2*57.1*56.857.0
Minnesota58.458.157.253.053.648.8
3.63.73.6*3.3*3.33.1
3.33.23.22.52.51.9
Arizona47.351.651.555.856.556.9
3.0*3.2*3.1*3.43.53.5
1.82.32.22.92.93.0
Winnipeg*43.142.4*43.0*43.0*43.243.4
St. Louis vs VancouverHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville*70.6*70.770.3*70.8*70.671.1
Dallas*62.261.7*61.9*62.1*62.062.5
Vancouver52.056.056.360.561.461.6
3.3*3.5*3.53.93.83.9
2.32.82.93.83.93.9
Minnesota*54.153.4*53.7*53.9*54.054.3
St. Louis57.757.456.652.052.448.0
3.63.73.6*3.2*3.33.0
3.13.02.92.22.31.8
Calgary vs CarolinaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim73.9*74.1*73.9*74.3*74.374.6
Chicago*71.1*70.970.7*71.2*71.271.5
Nashville70.6*70.6*70.4*70.9*70.871.1
Los Angeles65.7*65.8*65.9*66.1*66.066.5
Dallas62.0*62.3*62.2*62.0*62.362.5
San Jose60.4*60.760.2*60.9*60.961.4
Vancouver56.9*56.8*56.9*57.3*57.657.6
Calgary59.559.458.7*55.254.850.6
3.73.73.7*3.5*3.43.2
3.23.33.2*2.6*2.51.9
Minnesota53.7*54.1*54.0*54.3*54.154.4
St. Louis53.0*52.8*53.3*53.5*53.553.6
Arizona52.151.6*52.4*52.2*52.553.2
Edmonton41.1*41.2*41.2*41.6*41.342.1
Colorado36.9*37.0*37.3*37.6*37.437.4
San Jose vs ColumbusHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim73.9*74.2*74.0*74.5*74.374.6
Chicago70.9*71.1*71.3*71.4*71.571.5
Los Angeles65.7*65.6*65.7*66.0*66.266.5
Dallas62.0*61.8*62.0*62.3*62.462.6
San Jose64.864.464.460.160.256.0
4.14.1*4.0*3.8*3.73.5
4.54.54.3*3.53.52.6
Vancouver56.9*56.856.6*57.1*57.557.8
Calgary55.0*55.2*55.2*55.6*55.256.2
Minnesota53.9*53.753.6*54.2*54.254.4
St. Louis53.0*53.0*53.1*53.5*52.953.6
Arizona52.2*52.352.0*52.4*52.753.0
Winnipeg42.9*43.0*42.9*43.1*43.343.5
Edmonton41.1*41.2*41.5*41.4*41.442.0
Nashville vs ChicagoHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Chicago66.670.470.274.374.775.2
4.1*4.3*4.4*4.6*4.64.7
4.96.26.27.67.87.9
Nashville74.674.174.370.169.866.1
4.7*4.6*4.6*4.4*4.34.2
7.57.17.45.85.74.7
Los Angeles vs BuffaloHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim73.9*74.0*74.2*74.6*74.274.6
Nashville70.6*70.5*70.6*70.8*71.071.0
Los Angeles69.870.169.365.4*65.661.4
4.4*4.3*4.3*4.0*4.23.9
6.05.95.9*4.84.63.7
Dallas62.0*62.1*62.1*62.5*62.262.6
San Jose60.4*60.8*60.7*60.8*60.761.4
Vancouver56.8*56.8*56.8*57.2*57.257.8
Calgary55.154.9*55.3*55.3*55.756.1
Minnesota53.8*54.2*53.7*54.0*54.154.3
Arizona52.3*52.0*52.4*52.5*52.352.9
Winnipeg42.9*42.942.6*43.3*43.043.5
Edmonton41.2*41.1*41.2*41.7*41.941.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

AnaheimChicagoNashvilleLos AngelesDallasSan JoseVancouverCalgaryMinnesotaSt. LouisArizonaWinnipegEdmontonColorado
Anaheim3.53.510.63.19.99.39.12.82.88.52.46.72.1
Chicago3.510.93.210.03.02.92.88.78.62.76.82.35.9
Nashville3.510.93.210.13.02.82.88.78.52.66.92.25.8
Los Angeles10.63.23.22.78.98.38.02.32.37.51.95.71.6
Dallas3.110.010.12.72.42.32.27.57.42.15.81.74.9
San Jose9.93.03.08.92.47.47.22.12.16.71.75.11.4
Vancouver9.32.92.88.32.37.46.71.91.96.31.54.81.3
Calgary9.12.82.88.02.27.26.71.91.95.91.44.51.2
Minnesota2.88.78.72.37.52.11.91.96.21.74.81.44.1
St. Louis2.88.68.52.37.42.11.91.96.21.74.71.33.9
Arizona8.52.72.67.52.16.76.35.91.71.71.34.21.1
Winnipeg2.46.86.91.95.81.71.51.44.84.71.31.03.0
Edmonton6.72.32.25.71.75.14.84.51.41.34.21.00.8
Colorado2.15.95.81.64.91.41.31.24.13.91.13.00.8