Western Conference Playoff Chances 50/50

Calgary +5.3, Winnipeg -2.6
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupPres TrophyDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
ThursdayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change%Change1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516RPIFriday
Anaheim914217-717100.0%-0.06.3%+0.027.3%+2.35246200000004PittsburghAnaheim Ducks
NashvilleLNY Islanders 3-4894118-734100.0-0.06.3+0.013.7-6.731283092000002Nashville Predators
St. LouisLPhiladelphia 1-38524019-53699.7-0.16.2-0.05.9-3.5141742196100003St. Louis Blues
Chicago8123821-53697.4-0.36.1-0.00.7+0.135204320721006EdmontonChicago Blackhawks
MinnesotaWWashington 2-17723522-71786.7+4.35.4+0.30.1+0.0016213820841012at CarolinaMinnesota Wild
VancouverArizona 0-1 (20:00 3rd)7533624-3982.4-1.45.1-0.10.0+0.00148262586210011Vancouver Canucks
Winnipeg7613221-12568.1-2.64.3-0.20.000282434161051017Winnipeg Jets
CalgaryWBoston 4-3 (so)7423525-41767.3+5.34.2+0.30.0+0.0002433281411620013at DetroitCalgary Flames
Los AngelesMontreal 2-0 (7:02 1st)7233021-12755.6-2.63.5-0.20.0+0.0001925391715940019Los Angeles Kings
San Jose7213225-8233.8-2.42.1-0.20.0007162818231690016San Jose Sharks
Colorado6722825-11-134.6-0.80.3-0.1No0001491429430020Colorado Avalanche
DallasWFlorida 4-3 (so)6812926-10-124.5+0.80.3+0.0No00001491532390021Dallas Stars
ArizonaVancouver 1-0 (20:00 3rd)4722037-7-79Out-0.0NoNo000604029Arizona Coyotes
Edmonton4621836-10-68OutNoNo000406030at ChicagoEdmonton Oilers

Data is queried every 2.5 minutes,
Complete data dump is done every day at 3 am ET to fix mistakes or games that have been added.
Let me know how things are, if data is wrong: adamv at mad dot scientist dot com.
The percent after the team score is the chance of winning in regulation based on current second and
either home/away actual score or home/away goal differential.
If team has greater than 50% chance of winning, I mark the game as final so the stats can get up to date.
Adam sends in the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com), plus these:

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Thursday
Boston 3 Calgary 4 (so)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Chicago-0.2
Minnesota-0.6
*-0.1
Vancouver-0.8
Winnipeg-1.3
Calgary+6.3
+0.4
Los Angeles-1.6
-0.2
San Jose-1.4
*-0.1
Colorado-0.3
Dallas-0.1
Washington 1 Minnesota 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Chicago-0.1
Minnesota+5.1
+0.3
Vancouver-0.6
Winnipeg-0.8
-0.1
Calgary-0.9
-0.1
Los Angeles-0.9
-0.1
San Jose-1.0
-0.1
*No
Colorado-0.5
Dallas-0.3
Florida 3 Dallas 4 (so)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Minnesota*-0.1
Vancouver*-0.2
Winnipeg-0.5
Calgary*-0.2
Los Angeles*+0.1
San Jose-0.3
Dallas+1.3
+0.1
Philadelphia 3 St. Louis 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim+1.0
Nashville+0.8
St. Louis-0.1
-3.9
Nashville 3 NY Islanders 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim+1.6
Nashville-7.2
St. Louis+0.5
Chicago+0.1
Tampa Bay 4 Toronto 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim-0.3
Nashville-0.2
St. Louis-0.1
Los Angeles vs MontrealIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim29.127.927.626.125.825.8
Nashville14.713.914.013.112.812.8
St. Louis6.56.1*6.05.55.55.5
Chicago97.297.297.2*97.5*97.497.6
0.7*0.70.70.60.60.6
Minnesota85.985.886.087.0*86.987.6
5.4*5.4*5.4*5.5*5.45.5
Vancouver81.381.481.582.6*82.583.7
5.1*5.1*5.1*5.1*5.25.2
Winnipeg66.766.666.6*68.0*68.269.8
4.2*4.24.1*4.3*4.24.4
Calgary65.565.465.9*67.667.769.6
4.14.0*4.1*4.2*4.24.3
Los Angeles63.263.262.054.254.246.3
3.94.03.8*3.4*3.52.9
0.0*0.0*0.0No0.00.0
San Jose32.032.132.434.334.335.9
2.02.02.0*2.1*2.22.2
Colorado4.44.44.4*4.6*4.64.9
Dallas4.34.24.4*4.6*4.64.8
Arizona vs VancouverHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Chicago97.5*97.4*97.4*97.397.397.3
Minnesota87.3*86.8*86.786.386.386.2
Vancouver76.381.881.886.687.487.3
4.7*5.1*5.15.45.55.5
Winnipeg69.1*68.2*68.167.267.367.2
4.3*4.3*4.2*4.2*4.24.2
Calgary68.6*67.5*67.566.466.366.3
4.3*4.2*4.2*4.2*4.24.1
Los Angeles57.0*55.7*55.854.854.654.6
3.6*3.5*3.5*3.4*3.43.4
San Jose35.2*34.0*34.032.832.532.6
2.2*2.1*2.12.0*2.02.0
Colorado4.7*4.6*4.64.5*4.54.5
Dallas4.6*4.4*4.5*4.54.34.4
Friday
Detroit vs CalgaryIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim26.526.426.627.727.628.3
Nashville13.213.213.4*13.8*13.714.3
St. Louis5.75.75.8*6.0*6.06.2
Chicago97.6*97.4*97.497.297.297.2
Minnesota87.5*86.986.986.286.186.0
Vancouver83.7*82.5*82.581.681.481.4
5.2*5.2*5.1*5.1*5.15.1
Winnipeg69.7*68.1*68.166.866.766.8
4.3*4.3*4.3*4.24.14.2
Calgary58.466.166.173.174.474.5
3.64.1*4.14.64.74.6
Los Angeles57.956.1*55.954.353.853.8
3.6*3.5*3.5*3.4*3.43.4
San Jose35.9*34.034.232.532.132.0
2.2*2.1*2.12.02.02.0
Colorado4.8*4.5*4.74.54.44.4
Dallas4.8*4.5*4.54.34.34.3
Carolina vs MinnesotaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Chicago97.5*97.3*97.397.3*97.397.3
Minnesota81.286.386.290.391.091.0
5.1*5.4*5.45.65.75.7
Vancouver83.0*82.5*82.482.081.981.9
Winnipeg69.1*68.2*68.067.467.367.3
4.4*4.3*4.2*4.3*4.24.2
Calgary68.1*67.4*67.366.866.766.7
Los Angeles56.6*55.655.955.054.954.8
3.5*3.5*3.5*3.4*3.53.4
San Jose34.8*33.9*33.933.032.933.0
2.2*2.1*2.1*2.1*2.12.1
Colorado5.1*4.5*4.64.24.34.2
Dallas4.9*4.5*4.64.24.14.2
Chicago vs EdmontonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim27.2*27.3*27.2*27.4*27.327.4
Chicago98.698.698.5*97.5*97.495.8
6.2*6.2*6.1*6.1*6.16.0
1.01.00.90.50.50.2
Minnesota86.6*86.6*86.6*86.6*86.886.8
Vancouver82.3*82.3*82.3*82.4*82.482.5
Winnipeg67.967.7*68.0*68.1*68.068.3
Calgary67.1*67.167.0*67.2*67.267.6
Los Angeles55.455.3*55.5*55.7*55.755.9
San Jose33.5*33.733.5*33.8*33.734.1
Colorado4.5*4.5*4.6*4.6*4.64.7
Dallas4.4*4.4*4.4*4.5*4.54.6
Anaheim vs PittsburghHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim34.334.233.625.425.518.8
Nashville12.612.512.714.0*13.915.0
St. Louis5.45.45.5*6.1*6.06.6
Chicago0.60.60.6*0.7*0.60.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

AnaheimNashvilleSt. LouisChicagoMinnesotaVancouverWinnipegCalgaryLos AngelesSan JoseColoradoDallasArizona
Anaheim0.73.412.728.53.828.75.86.45.62.12.2No
Nashville0.710.328.725.42.020.42.93.53.11.41.3
St. Louis3.410.341.922.41.213.51.71.91.70.90.7
Chicago12.728.741.98.30.53.90.30.40.30.10.1
Minnesota28.525.422.48.30.51.00.20.10.10.00.0
Vancouver3.82.01.20.50.50.336.725.012.30.00.0
Winnipeg28.720.413.53.91.00.30.10.10.00.00.0
Calgary5.82.91.70.30.236.70.113.56.00.00.0
Los Angeles6.43.51.90.40.125.00.113.54.70.00.0
San Jose5.63.11.70.30.112.30.06.04.70.00.0
Colorado2.11.40.90.10.00.00.00.00.00.0No
Dallas2.21.30.70.10.00.00.00.00.00.0No
ArizonaNo