Western Conference Playoff Chances 50/50

St. Louis +4.1, Chicago -5.2
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupPres TrophyDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
WednesdayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change%Change1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516RPIThursday
Los AngelesWMontreal 5-111150-11173.4%+3.54.5%+0.27.9%+1.31511191576554433216Los Angeles Kings
Vegas10151-0569.5-0.24.3-0.06.4-0.01310181577655443222Vegas Golden Knights
St. LouisWChicago 5-21052-0564.8+4.14.1+0.34.6+0.8101017157666655434at ColoradoSt. Louis Blues
ChicagoLSt. Louis 2-5942-1960.4-5.23.8-0.33.7-1.389161576666665413EdmontonChicago Blackhawks
Calgary8142-0060.4-0.23.8-0.03.9-0.087151587766655414CarolinaCalgary Flames
Nashville7132-1156.0-0.13.5+0.03.0-0.078141477777766515at PhiladelphiaNashville Predators
Colorado843-0355.7-0.13.5+0.02.8-0.068141477777766511St. LouisColorado Avalanche
Minnesota4311-2-151.8-0.13.2-0.02.5+0.067131467777777717Minnesota Wild
Winnipeg6133-0-551.3-0.13.2-0.02.3-0.057131467777777712Winnipeg Jets
Dallas6133-0051.3-0.23.2-0.02.3-0.056131467777777618at ArizonaDallas Stars
Vancouver5222-1-250.7-0.33.2-0.02.4+0.055121377777777725at BostonVancouver Canucks
San Jose4223-0-346.1-0.32.9-0.01.8-0.044111277777888829San Jose Sharks
Anaheim5123-1-545.3-0.22.8-0.01.7-0.044111277778888830Anaheim Ducks
Edmonton2214-0-836.4-0.32.3-0.01.0-0.0338106778899111228at ChicagoEdmonton Oilers
Arizona1105-1-1326.8-0.21.70.5-0.0125756778911131831DallasArizona Coyotes

6 teams will qualify for the Stanley Cup Playoffs. The format is a set bracket that is largely division-based with wild cards. The top three teams in each division will make up the first 12 teams in the playoffs. The remaining four spots will be filled by the next two highest-placed finishers in each conference, based on regular-season record and regardless of division. It is possible for one division in each conference to send five teams to the postseason while the other sends just three.

The percent after the team score is the chance of winning in regulation based on current second and
either home/away actual score or home/away goal differential.
Adam updates the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Wednesday
St. Louis 5 Chicago 2
8:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
St. Louis+4.3
+0.3
+0.9
Chicago-5.2
-0.4
-1.3
Nashville*+0.1
Colorado*+0.1
Minnesota+0.2
Winnipeg*+0.1
Dallas+0.1
Los Angeles 5 Montreal 1
10:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Los Angeles+3.6
+0.2
+1.3
Vegas-0.3
St. Louis-0.2
Chicago-0.2
Calgary-0.3
Nashville-0.2
Colorado-0.3
Minnesota-0.2
Winnipeg-0.2
Dallas-0.2
Vancouver-0.3
San Jose-0.3
Anaheim-0.2
Edmonton-0.4
Arizona-0.3
Toronto 6 Detroit 3
7:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vegas*-0.1
Thursday
Chicago vs EdmontonIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
8:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Los Angeles73.5*73.5*73.473.073.0*73.3
St. Louis*64.764.4*64.6*64.7*64.665.1
Chicago64.764.463.759.659.655.2
4.14.04.0*3.7*3.73.4
4.54.54.33.43.42.7
Calgary60.6*60.1*60.1*60.160.0*60.3
Nashville*55.955.6*55.8*56.1*55.956.2
Colorado*55.6*55.4*55.4*55.655.456.0
Minnesota51.651.451.4*51.7*51.852.2
Vancouver51.0*50.6*50.6*50.450.4*50.7
San Jose46.3*46.0*46.3*45.8*46.045.9
Anaheim45.5*45.0*45.0*44.944.8*45.2
Edmonton31.535.435.439.840.540.6
2.0*2.3*2.22.52.62.5
0.70.90.91.21.31.3
Arizona vs DallasHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
10:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Los Angeles*73.3*73.172.9*73.5*73.273.5
St. Louis65.1*64.8*64.7*64.864.464.7
Chicago60.8*60.4*60.460.059.960.2
Colorado56.1*55.5*55.755.4*55.555.5
Minnesota52.1*51.7*51.751.551.4*51.7
Winnipeg51.6*51.3*51.451.0*51.051.2
Dallas46.050.350.354.955.355.6
2.9*3.1*3.23.43.53.5
1.62.02.12.72.82.9
Vancouver*50.7*50.5*50.750.3*50.750.9
Edmonton*36.4*36.2*36.3*36.336.136.6
Arizona30.530.230.026.025.822.4
1.91.91.91.6*1.61.4
0.70.60.70.40.40.3
Colorado vs St. LouisHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
9:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
St. Louis59.763.863.868.268.869.1
3.8*4.03.94.24.34.3
3.44.34.35.65.65.7
Nashville56.2*55.8*55.755.6*55.7*56.1
Colorado60.260.059.454.554.650.4
3.83.73.7*3.4*3.43.2
3.53.53.42.62.62.0
Boston vs VancouverHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Los Angeles73.7*73.3*73.473.073.073.1
Vegas69.9*69.7*69.4*69.369.169.2
St. Louis65.1*65.0*64.8*64.8*64.564.6
Chicago60.7*60.4*60.359.9*60.260.2
Calgary60.8*60.4*60.5*60.1*60.160.0
Nashville56.3*56.0*56.255.6*55.855.8
Colorado56.0*55.8*55.8*55.7*55.755.4
Minnesota52.2*51.7*52.0*51.5*51.551.6
Winnipeg51.6*51.3*51.2*51.3*51.151.1
Dallas51.5*51.5*51.1*51.2*51.051.1
Vancouver45.750.249.954.454.854.7
2.9*3.1*3.23.43.53.4
1.72.22.32.92.93.0
San Jose46.5*46.1*46.445.7*45.845.7
Anaheim45.8*45.3*45.544.844.944.8
Edmonton36.9*36.4*36.5*36.3*36.136.1
Arizona27.2*26.9*26.826.526.526.6
Calgary vs CarolinaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
9:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Los Angeles73.1*73.173.0*73.4*73.673.7
Vegas69.269.1*69.4*69.5*69.669.8
St. Louis64.6*64.7*64.6*65.1*64.765.1
Chicago60.2*60.5*60.2*60.4*60.460.6
Calgary64.464.463.859.759.655.4
4.04.03.9*3.7*3.73.4
4.84.74.63.63.62.8
Nashville55.8*55.7*55.8*55.9*56.256.3
Colorado55.5*55.555.3*55.8*55.656.1
Minnesota51.6*51.6*51.8*51.9*52.052.1
Winnipeg51.0*51.051.0*51.3*51.451.7
Dallas51.0*51.1*51.1*51.3*51.451.6
Vancouver50.450.4*50.4*50.7*50.851.2
San Jose45.645.7*45.9*46.2*46.046.6
Anaheim44.944.744.9*45.5*45.345.7
Edmonton36.236.0*36.1*36.3*36.436.9
Arizona26.4*26.6*26.6*26.9*26.827.3
Philadelphia vs NashvilleHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Los Angeles73.6*73.4*73.573.0*73.173.2
Vegas69.8*69.5*69.2*69.3*69.269.3
St. Louis65.2*65.0*64.9*64.6*64.564.5
Chicago60.9*60.4*60.6*60.160.060.0
Calgary60.6*60.6*60.5*60.3*60.160.1
Nashville51.055.355.159.760.260.0
3.2*3.5*3.53.83.73.8
2.12.82.73.63.53.7
Colorado56.3*55.9*55.755.155.355.3
Minnesota52.3*51.9*52.251.451.351.4
Winnipeg51.8*51.6*51.5*51.151.050.9
Dallas51.8*51.2*51.1*51.0*51.150.9
Vancouver51.0*50.7*50.9*50.8*50.450.5
San Jose46.4*46.1*46.1*45.9*45.945.8
Anaheim45.6*45.2*45.2*45.0*44.945.1
Edmonton36.7*36.4*36.5*36.1*36.336.2
Arizona27.0*26.8*27.0*26.6*26.626.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

Los AngelesVegasSt. LouisChicagoCalgaryNashvilleColoradoMinnesotaWinnipegDallasVancouverSan JoseAnaheimEdmontonArizona
Los Angeles10.73.23.09.82.82.82.72.72.68.27.47.35.84.3
Vegas10.73.02.89.42.62.62.52.42.47.87.06.85.54.0
St. Louis3.23.08.62.68.08.07.47.37.32.22.12.01.71.3
Chicago3.02.88.62.47.57.56.96.76.82.01.81.81.51.1
Calgary9.89.42.62.42.22.12.02.02.06.65.95.84.53.2
Nashville2.82.68.07.52.26.86.26.26.21.81.61.61.31.0
Colorado2.82.68.07.52.16.86.26.26.21.81.61.61.31.0
Minnesota2.72.57.46.92.06.26.25.75.71.71.51.51.20.9
Winnipeg2.72.47.36.72.06.26.25.75.61.61.51.41.20.9
Dallas2.62.47.36.82.06.26.25.75.61.61.51.41.10.9
Vancouver8.27.82.22.06.61.81.81.71.61.64.74.63.62.5
San Jose7.47.02.11.85.91.61.61.51.51.54.74.13.12.2
Anaheim7.36.82.01.85.81.61.61.51.41.44.64.13.02.2
Edmonton5.85.51.71.54.51.31.31.21.21.13.63.13.01.6
Arizona4.34.01.31.13.21.01.00.90.90.92.52.22.21.6