Western Conference Playoff Chances 50/50

Golden Knights +4.9, Kings -2.7
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupPres TrophyDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
SundayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change%Change1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516RPIMonday
Canucks9214218-854100.0%-0.06.2%9.2%-1.430511710000004Vancouver Canucks
JetsWBlue Jackets 6-19124319-552100.0+0.06.212.1+2.5361630181000006Winnipeg Jets
Avalanche9114320-550100.0-0.06.25.1-0.8201138283000003Colorado Avalanche
Stars914119-941100.0-0.06.21.9-0.410731465000008Dallas Stars
Oilers8444021-44699.6-0.16.2-0.00.8-0.2513701011000007Edmonton Oilers
Predators8213925-41593.3-1.15.8-0.10.0-0.000286815510009Nashville Predators
Kings7923422-112679.5-2.75.0-0.20.00064372312621015Los Angeles Kings
Golden KnightsWDevils 3-17923624-71679.4+4.95.0+0.30.00064462212621014Vegas Golden Knights
BluesWDucks 4-27513629-3-1123.4+3.61.5+0.2No000051929231680013St. Louis Blues
Wild7413327-8-714.6-2.60.9-0.2No0000212212823120017Minnesota Wild
Flames7123329-5-48.2-1.50.5-0.1No000215152330231016CapitalsCalgary Flames
Kraken6832826-12-102.0-0.50.1-0.0No000016132451500023SabresSeattle Kraken
Coyotes6112835-5-230.00.0No0000169310026Arizona Coyotes
DucksLBlues 2-44912342-3-77OutNoNo0018711129Anaheim Ducks
BlackhawksWSharks 5-24311944-5-92OutNoNo0011632631Chicago Blackhawks
SharksLBlackhawks 2-53921644-7-120OutNoNo002257332San Jose Sharks

All times are in Eastern. email errors to amer at mallah dot com, all credit to Anna Kear for figuring this out in the first place.
data pulled March 18, 2024 03:00:34

The top 3 teams in each division automatically qualify for the Stanley Cup Playoffs, but the next 2 highest-placed finishers in each conference also make the postseason. In Round 1, each conference winner plays the second wild card team from their conference, while the other division winner in that conference faces its first wild card. At the same time, the second-placed team in each division takes part in a best-of-seven series with their third-placed counterpart upon meeting each other, on both sides of the playoff bracket. The Second Round pits the winner of that contest against the first seed from their division, or the wild card team that beat them. The Conference Finals see the 2 divisional champions from each conference squaring off, and the Stanley Cup Final consists of a matchup between the Eastern and Western Conference champions.

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Sunday
Golden Knights 3 Devils 1
3:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Predators-0.4
Kings-1.2
-0.1
Golden Knights+6.5
+0.4
Blues-1.8
-0.1
Wild-1.6
-0.1
Flames-1.0
-0.1
Kraken-0.4
Blues 4 Ducks 2
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Oilers-0.1
Predators-0.7
Kings-1.5
-0.1
Golden Knights-1.5
-0.1
Blues+5.4
+0.3
Wild-1.0
-0.1
Flames-0.5
Kraken-0.2
Blue Jackets 1 Jets 6
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Canucks-0.4
Jets+3.3
Avalanche-0.2
Stars-0.1
Senators 2 Hurricanes 7
6:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Canucks-0.1
Jets-0.1
Avalanche-0.1
Coyotes*No
Rangers 5 Islanders 2
1:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Canucks-0.9
Jets-0.7
Avalanche-0.5
Stars-0.3
Oilers-0.1
Monday
Flames vs CapitalsIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
8:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Predators92.992.993.093.493.493.8
Kings78.778.778.779.879.880.6
4.94.94.95.05.05.0
Golden Knights78.778.778.779.679.680.3
4.94.94.95.05.05.0
Blues22.822.822.923.623.624.1
Wild14.214.214.214.814.815.2
Flames11.311.311.17.17.14.3
0.70.70.70.40.40.3
Kraken2.02.02.02.12.12.2
Kraken vs SabresHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
10:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Predators93.293.293.293.393.393.4
Kings79.379.379.479.779.779.8
Golden Knights79.179.179.279.579.579.7
Blues23.223.223.223.423.423.6
Wild14.514.514.514.714.714.8
Flames8.18.18.18.28.28.3
Kraken3.03.02.91.61.60.8
0.20.20.20.10.10.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

CanucksJetsAvalancheStarsOilersPredatorsKingsGolden KnightsBluesWildFlamesKrakenCoyotes
Canucks0.61.42.61.539.419.218.68.55.32.20.60.0
Jets0.617.029.80.719.39.28.67.74.72.00.50.0
Avalanche1.417.047.30.915.05.35.34.02.31.30.30.0
Stars2.629.847.30.99.82.92.71.91.50.60.10.0
Oilers1.50.70.90.99.540.141.31.30.92.00.50.0
Predators39.419.315.09.89.50.20.20.00.00.00.00.0
Kings19.29.25.32.940.10.22.60.00.00.00.00.0
Golden Knights18.68.65.32.741.30.22.60.00.00.10.00.0
Blues8.57.74.01.91.30.00.00.00.00.00.0
Wild5.34.72.31.50.90.00.00.00.00.00.0
Flames2.22.01.30.62.00.00.00.10.00.00.0
Kraken0.60.50.30.10.50.00.00.00.00.00.0
Coyotes0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0