Western Conference Playoff Chances 50/50

Vancouver +5.0, Dallas -6.2
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupPres TrophyDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
FridayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change%Change1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516RPISaturday
Nashville443207-42189.3%+0.35.6%+0.013.2%+0.3251323168643211002at CalgaryNashville Predators
Vegas423209-21285.7+0.25.4+0.08.4+0.2172124164344321104Vegas Golden Knights
St. Louis4412110-22183.5+0.55.2+0.07.4+0.2169231810854321103WinnipegSt. Louis Blues
Los AngelesLNY Rangers 2-44312010-32381.4-3.65.1-0.25.5-2.0121725184454432105at NY IslandersLos Angeles Kings
Winnipeg412189-51675.0+0.64.7+0.04.4+0.11071918129765421010at St. LouisWinnipeg Jets
San JoseLVancouver 3-4 (ot)3831710-41068.1-0.44.3-0.02.5-0.2611202055676543016San Jose Sharks
Minnesota3731711-3358.9+0.83.7+0.01.8+0.15412151211108775318EdmontonMinnesota Wild
Chicago3721611-51353.1+0.83.3+0.01.2+0.033101411111098874117Chicago Blackhawks
DallasLNew Jersey 2-53711814-1146.2-6.22.9-0.40.8-0.4228121111111010986112at PhiladelphiaDallas Stars
Calgary3521613-3-843.0+0.52.7+0.00.5+0.0241115568101010107119NashvilleCalgary Flames
Anaheim3521411-7-641.6+0.52.6+0.00.5+0.0141015568101011108223at WashingtonAnaheim Ducks
VancouverWSan Jose 4-3 (ot)3411514-4-1331.7+5.02.0+0.30.2+0.1137114681011121312222Vancouver Canucks
Colorado3231514-2-530.4+0.71.9+0.00.3+0.0114779101011121311215Tampa BayColorado Avalanche
Edmonton2821317-2-1211.9+0.30.7+0.00.0+0.0012423469121829924at MinnesotaEdmonton Oilers
Arizona19722-5-420.2+0.00.0+0.00.000000000124138130PittsburghArizona Coyotes

16 teams will qualify for the Stanley Cup Playoffs. The format is a set bracket that is largely division-based with wild cards. The top three teams in each division will make up the first 12 teams in the playoffs. The remaining four spots will be filled by the next two highest-placed finishers in each conference, based on regular-season record and regardless of division. It is possible for one division in each conference to send five teams to the postseason while the other sends just three.

The percent after the team score is the chance of winning in regulation based on current second and
either home/away actual score or home/away goal differential. Please send any issues to cbosse86 at gmail dot com.

Adam updates the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Friday
New Jersey 5 Dallas 2
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville+0.3
-0.1
Vegas+0.2
St. Louis+0.5
Los Angeles+0.2
Winnipeg+0.6
San Jose+0.4
Minnesota+0.8
Chicago+0.8
Dallas-6.2
-0.4
-0.5
Calgary+0.5
Anaheim+0.5
Vancouver+0.4
Colorado+0.7
Edmonton+0.2
Vancouver 4 San Jose 3 (ot)
10:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville-0.1
Vegas-0.3
St. Louis-0.2
Los Angeles-0.2
Winnipeg-0.2
San Jose-1.1
-0.1
-0.2
Minnesota-0.3
Chicago-0.3
Dallas-0.3
Calgary-0.4
Anaheim-0.4
Vancouver+4.2
+0.3
+0.1
Colorado-0.2
Edmonton-0.2
NY Rangers 4 Los Angeles 2
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville+0.1
+0.2
Vegas+0.2
+0.1
St. Louis+0.2
+0.2
Los Angeles-3.6
-0.2
-2.1
Winnipeg+0.2
+0.1
San Jose+0.4
+0.1
Minnesota+0.2
Chicago+0.2
Dallas+0.2
Calgary+0.5
Anaheim+0.5
Vancouver+0.4
Colorado+0.2
Edmonton+0.2
Detroit 3 Toronto 1
7:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville+0.1
Vegas+0.1
St. Louis+0.1
Los Angeles+0.1
Winnipeg+0.1
Saturday
Calgary vs NashvilleIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
10:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville86.389.089.091.491.791.8
5.45.5*5.65.75.75.7
10.212.612.615.515.715.8
Vegas85.585.485.4*85.785.786.1
8.7*8.5*8.58.28.28.2
Los Angeles81.180.981.0*81.3*81.481.8
5.75.65.55.45.35.3
San Jose67.767.567.6*68.0*68.168.6
2.62.5*2.52.42.42.4
Calgary48.247.947.241.941.836.8
3.03.03.02.62.62.3
0.80.70.70.50.40.3
Anaheim41.341.141.141.6*41.642.2
Vancouver31.431.231.3*31.7*31.732.2
Minnesota vs EdmontonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
2:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Winnipeg74.774.574.6*75.074.975.4
Minnesota63.963.763.158.057.952.8
4.04.04.03.63.63.3
2.42.32.31.71.61.2
Chicago52.752.552.6*53.053.053.6
Dallas45.845.645.746.1*46.146.8
Colorado30.129.930.1*30.430.431.0
Edmonton8.711.011.114.014.314.6
0.50.70.70.90.90.9
Philadelphia vs DallasHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
St. Louis84.083.683.683.283.183.1
Winnipeg75.675.175.174.674.574.5
San Jose68.5*68.168.267.867.767.7
Minnesota59.759.059.158.458.358.3
3.7*3.7*3.7*3.73.63.6
Chicago53.853.253.252.552.452.4
Dallas40.045.245.250.451.251.2
2.52.82.83.23.23.2
0.40.60.71.01.01.0
Calgary43.5*43.1*43.142.742.642.6
Anaheim42.1*41.7*41.741.341.341.3
Vancouver32.131.8*31.831.431.431.4
Colorado31.130.630.530.029.929.9
St. Louis vs WinnipegHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
St. Louis87.086.786.282.982.879.3
5.45.45.45.25.24.9
9.29.18.86.96.95.3
Winnipeg69.774.274.278.579.179.3
4.44.64.64.94.95.0
3.04.04.05.35.65.7
Chicago53.352.752.852.752.6*53.1
Dallas46.445.945.945.845.7*46.2
Washington vs AnaheimHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vegas86.185.885.885.485.485.4
8.48.48.48.5*8.48.5
Los Angeles81.981.481.481.080.980.9
5.55.45.5*5.5*5.55.6
San Jose68.868.268.267.667.567.5
4.3*4.3*4.3*4.24.24.2
Minnesota59.459.0*59.058.658.558.5
Chicago53.5*53.153.152.752.752.7
Dallas46.646.3*46.245.845.845.8
Calgary43.843.243.242.542.442.4
Anaheim35.640.740.746.046.546.5
2.22.62.52.92.92.9
0.30.40.40.60.60.6
Vancouver32.4*31.831.831.231.231.2
Colorado30.830.530.530.130.130.1
Colorado vs Tampa BayHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
9:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville89.189.189.289.489.489.6
14.213.413.412.612.512.5
Vegas85.685.585.685.885.885.9
9.18.58.58.07.97.9
St. Louis83.283.283.283.683.683.9
8.07.57.67.06.96.9
Los Angeles81.281.181.2*81.4*81.481.6
5.95.65.65.25.15.1
Winnipeg74.674.574.675.175.175.5
4.84.54.54.24.14.1
Minnesota58.458.458.459.159.059.6
2.01.91.81.71.71.7
Chicago52.552.552.653.253.253.7
1.31.21.21.11.11.1
Dallas45.645.745.746.346.346.9
0.8*0.80.80.70.70.7
Calgary42.742.742.8*43.0*43.143.4
0.6*0.6*0.60.50.50.5
Anaheim41.341.341.3*41.7*41.742.0
Colorado34.834.734.029.429.525.1
2.22.22.11.81.91.6
0.40.40.40.20.20.1
NY Islanders vs Los AngelesHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Los Angeles77.180.980.984.384.784.7
4.85.15.05.35.35.3
3.95.15.16.66.86.9
San Jose68.5*68.168.267.767.767.7
Calgary43.643.143.142.742.642.6
Anaheim42.2*41.7*41.741.341.241.2
Vancouver32.2*31.7*31.731.431.331.3
Arizona vs PittsburghHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
8:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Arizona0.30.20.20.10.10.1
0.0NoNoNoNoNo

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

NashvilleVegasSt. LouisLos AngelesWinnipegSan JoseMinnesotaChicagoDallasCalgaryAnaheimVancouverColoradoEdmontonArizona
Nashville4.314.93.915.03.412.210.99.52.82.82.46.31.00.0
Vegas4.34.612.94.914.24.94.84.59.18.96.73.32.50.0
St. Louis14.94.63.915.23.111.210.18.42.22.11.75.20.70.0
Los Angeles3.912.93.94.115.53.93.73.49.39.16.72.52.40.0
Winnipeg15.04.915.24.12.89.27.96.71.71.61.34.10.50.0
San Jose3.414.23.115.52.82.42.22.07.27.05.01.41.70.0
Minnesota12.24.911.23.99.22.45.14.01.21.10.82.50.30.0
Chicago10.94.810.13.77.92.25.13.61.00.90.62.00.20.0
Dallas9.54.58.43.46.72.04.03.60.90.80.51.70.20.0
Calgary2.89.12.29.31.77.21.21.00.93.52.70.60.90.0
Anaheim2.88.92.19.11.67.01.10.90.83.52.40.50.80.0
Vancouver2.46.71.76.71.35.00.80.60.52.72.40.30.60.0
Colorado6.33.35.22.54.11.42.52.01.70.60.50.30.10.0
Edmonton1.02.50.72.40.51.70.30.20.20.90.80.60.10.0
Arizona0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0