Western Conference Playoff Chances 50/50

Nashville +1.9, Winnipeg -0.4
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupPres TrophyChance will finish regular season at seed
MondayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPITuesday
AnaheimSan Jose 0-0 (5:13 1st)49228-5593.8%-0.05.9%+0.011.2%-0.2203081649222211003.5-0.016Anaheim Ducks
NashvilleWColumbus 5-1463228-22793.2+1.95.8+0.113.5+2.32310207144953211004.0+0.325at BostonNashville Predators
Chicago481239-23993.1-0.15.8-0.012.3-0.322102071541063211004.1-0.071WinnipegChicago Blackhawks
St. Louis452219-31988.6-0.15.5-0.07.7-0.21581761751285321004.9-0.063at ColoradoSt. Louis Blues
VancouverArizona 1-0 (5:43 1st)4031911-2276.6-0.24.8-0.02.6-0.1613717617567753105.8-0.0211Vancouver Canucks
San JoseAnaheim 0-0 (5:13 1st)4211911-41075.5-0.14.7-0.02.2-0.1512717617567753205.9-0.0116San Jose Sharks
Winnipeg4111710-7366.2-0.44.1-0.01.5-0.03384135171411975207.2-0.0519at ChicagoWinnipeg Jets
Los AngelesCalgary 0-0 (10:30 PM ET)4011711-61064.5-0.34.0-0.01.0-0.038514617689986316.9-0.0218Los Angeles Kings
Minnesota3541612-3751.5-0.23.2-0.00.7-0.022539414151312108518.3-0.0310PhiladelphiaMinnesota Wild
CalgaryLos Angeles 0-0 (10:30 PM ET)371715-3538.3-0.12.4-0.00.2-0.013273115811131413829.013Calgary Flames
Dallas3331413-5-1431.5-0.32.0-0.00.2-0.0112142912131415141039.6-0.0221TorontoDallas Stars
Colorado3221213-8-1619.3-0.21.20.0-0.0001121581013161916610.5-0.0223St. LouisColorado Avalanche
ArizonaVancouver 0-1 (5:43 1st)2631117-4-307.3-0.10.5-0.00.000010212471219331711.928at EdmontonArizona Coyotes
Edmonton211720-7-420.6-0.00.0-0.00.0000000001137196813.430ArizonaEdmonton Oilers

Data is queried every 2.5 minutes,
Complete data dump is done every day at 3 am ET to fix mistakes or games that have been added.
Let me know how things are, if data is wrong: adamv at mad dot scientist dot com.
The percent after the team score is the chance of winning in regulation based on current second and
either home/away actual score or home/away goal differential.
If team has greater than 50% chance of winning, I mark the game as final so the stats can get up to date.
Adam sends in the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com), plus these:

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Monday
Columbus 1 Nashville 5
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim-0.1
-0.3
Nashville+1.9
+0.1
+2.3
Chicago-0.1
-0.3
St. Louis-0.1
-0.2
Vancouver-0.1
-0.1
San Jose-0.2
-0.1
Winnipeg-0.2
Los Angeles-0.2
Minnesota-0.3
Calgary-0.2
Dallas-0.3
Colorado-0.2
Arizona-0.1
Florida 4 Pittsburgh 3 (so)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim*-0.1
Chicago*+0.1
St. Louis*+0.1
Vancouver*+0.1
San Jose*+0.1
Los Angeles vs CalgaryIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vancouver76.8*76.3*76.3*76.276.1*76.6
Winnipeg66.4*65.8*65.8*65.765.6*66.2
Los Angeles70.069.368.963.262.958.0
4.44.4*4.1*3.9*4.13.6
1.41.41.3*1.00.90.6
Calgary31.636.636.542.543.044.1
2.0*2.3*2.32.62.72.7
0.10.1*0.10.20.20.2
Anaheim vs San JoseHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim95.595.495.4*93.793.691.6
6.0*5.9*5.9*5.9*6.05.8
13.613.413.310.610.48.3
Nashville13.4*13.3*13.3*13.6*13.513.8
Chicago12.1*12.111.9*12.4*12.312.6
St. Louis88.8*88.7*88.5*88.4*88.588.4
7.6*7.5*7.5*7.8*7.87.9
Vancouver77.0*76.3*76.476.2*76.276.4
2.5*2.6*2.6*2.6*2.62.7
San Jose70.474.874.978.779.479.6
4.4*4.7*4.65.0*4.85.0
1.31.92.02.72.82.9
Winnipeg66.5*66.1*66.1*65.7*66.066.0
Los Angeles65.1*64.4*64.4*64.264.064.1
Minnesota51.9*51.4*51.5*51.150.951.3
Calgary38.8*38.2*38.0*38.037.638.0
Colorado19.6*19.0*19.318.9*19.1*19.3
Arizona7.5*7.3*7.3*7.37.07.2
Vancouver vs ArizonaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vancouver80.680.379.776.175.571.7
5.15.0*4.9*4.8*4.74.5
3.33.33.2*2.52.41.7
San Jose75.375.0*75.2*75.5*75.475.8
Los Angeles64.1*64.1*64.2*64.4*64.265.1
Calgary38.037.637.8*38.1*38.138.9
Arizona5.06.76.68.79.19.3
0.3*0.5*0.40.50.60.6
Tuesday
Chicago vs WinnipegIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim11.0*11.0*11.1*11.3*11.311.5
Nashville93.4*93.4*93.4*93.193.093.1
13.2*13.213.2*13.5*13.414.0
Chicago95.094.794.692.792.790.7
5.9*5.9*5.9*5.9*5.85.6
14.914.814.211.511.69.3
St. Louis88.8*88.5*88.7*88.588.388.4
7.67.4*7.7*7.8*7.77.9
Vancouver76.8*76.5*76.7*76.5*76.476.4
2.5*2.5*2.5*2.6*2.62.7
San Jose75.9*75.675.074.9*75.475.2
2.1*2.2*2.2*2.2*2.22.3
Winnipeg60.265.165.370.070.871.1
3.8*4.1*4.14.44.44.5
0.91.21.21.81.92.0
Los Angeles64.9*64.5*64.4*64.1*64.164.2
Minnesota52.1*51.4*51.450.750.951.1
Calgary38.9*37.9*38.6*37.937.637.9
Dallas32.2*31.5*31.1*31.131.031.1
Colorado19.7*19.4*19.219.018.619.1
Minnesota vs PhiladelphiaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville93.0*93.293.0*93.2*93.393.5
Chicago92.892.8*92.8*93.2*93.193.4
St. Louis88.388.388.3*88.7*88.689.0
Vancouver76.276.0*76.3*76.6*76.777.1
San Jose75.275.0*75.1*75.4*75.575.9
Winnipeg65.565.565.7*66.1*66.567.0
Los Angeles64.0*64.264.0*64.6*64.565.2
Minnesota56.356.255.950.450.345.5
3.53.43.6*3.1*3.12.8
0.90.90.80.60.60.4
Calgary37.8*37.937.8*38.5*38.438.9
Dallas30.831.030.932.1*31.632.3
Colorado18.818.718.8*19.4*19.520.0
Arizona7.2*7.1*7.1*7.4*7.57.5
Dallas vs TorontoHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim*93.793.6*93.7*93.7*93.993.9
Nashville93.0*93.2*93.0*93.3*93.393.5
Chicago92.892.8*92.8*93.1*93.093.4
St. Louis88.3*88.488.3*88.7*88.789.0
Vancouver76.2*76.3*76.4*76.5*76.877.0
San Jose75.1*75.1*75.4*75.7*75.775.8
Winnipeg65.565.5*65.8*66.6*66.167.0
Los Angeles64.164.0*64.2*64.5*64.665.0
Minnesota50.850.950.9*51.7*51.652.3
Calgary37.8*38.037.7*38.2*38.538.9
Dallas35.935.935.230.630.426.1
2.32.32.21.8*1.91.6
0.20.2*0.2*0.10.10.1
Colorado18.918.718.9*19.5*19.419.9
*1.21.1*1.2*1.2*1.21.3
Arizona7.2*7.27.1*7.3*7.37.5
Colorado vs St. LouisHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim11.5*11.3*11.2*11.0*11.111.0
Nashville*93.2*93.193.0*93.1*93.393.3
13.8*13.7*13.5*13.4*13.313.2
Chicago12.6*12.3*12.4*12.2*12.112.1
St. Louis85.3*88.388.190.790.991.4
5.4*5.5*5.5*5.6*5.65.7
5.67.27.39.19.39.5
Winnipeg*66.1*65.965.7*65.9*66.266.5
1.5*1.5*1.5*1.4*1.41.4
Minnesota*51.550.8*51.2*51.3*51.151.7
Colorado23.022.622.418.618.114.9
1.51.41.4*1.1*1.21.0
Edmonton vs ArizonaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vancouver76.8*76.9*76.6*76.4*76.476.4
Winnipeg66.4*66.3*66.3*66.1*66.166.0
Calgary38.5*38.2*38.5*38.2*38.138.1
Arizona5.36.86.88.79.19.0
0.3*0.4*0.40.50.50.6
Edmonton0.80.80.70.50.40.3
0.0*No*No*No*NoNo
Boston vs NashvilleHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim11.6*11.3*11.410.910.810.9
Nashville91.2*93.1*93.194.794.894.8
10.312.712.915.816.016.2
Chicago12.8*12.4*12.2*12.0*12.011.9
St. Louis8.0*7.9*7.8*7.6*7.57.5
Winnipeg66.5*66.2*66.1*66.0*66.166.0
1.5*1.4*1.4*1.4*1.31.4
Minnesota51.8*51.4*51.8*51.5*51.251.2
Dallas31.8*31.4*31.5*31.5*31.331.3
NY Islanders vs MontrealHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim*11.2*11.010.9*11.0*11.211.4
St. Louis7.67.4*7.6*7.9*7.87.9
Tampa Bay vs PittsburghHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim11.7*11.1*11.3*10.910.910.8
Nashville14.1*13.5*13.613.112.913.1
Chicago12.8*12.4*12.311.912.011.9
St. Louis8.1*7.9*7.8*7.57.37.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

AnaheimNashvilleChicagoSt. LouisVancouverSan JoseWinnipegLos AngelesMinnesotaCalgaryDallasColoradoArizonaEdmonton
Anaheim11.311.512.96.06.213.06.110.54.46.74.21.00.1
Nashville11.38.28.911.711.87.910.76.86.94.63.01.50.1
Chicago11.58.28.911.911.97.710.86.56.94.42.81.40.1
St. Louis12.98.98.911.911.86.310.25.16.23.22.11.20.1
Vancouver6.011.711.911.96.38.65.06.22.73.62.10.40.0
San Jose6.211.811.911.86.38.44.86.12.53.42.00.40.0
Winnipeg13.07.97.76.38.68.46.52.13.31.10.70.50.0
Los Angeles6.110.710.810.25.04.86.54.61.62.51.30.30.0
Minnesota10.56.86.55.16.26.12.14.62.10.70.40.40.0
Calgary4.46.96.96.22.72.53.31.62.11.10.60.10.0
Dallas6.74.64.43.23.63.41.12.50.71.10.10.20.0
Colorado4.23.02.82.12.12.00.71.30.40.60.10.10.0
Arizona1.01.51.41.20.40.40.50.30.40.10.20.10.0
Edmonton0.10.10.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0