Western Conference Playoff Chances 50/50

Vancouver +3.8, Calgary -1.7
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupPres TrophyChance will finish regular season at seed
FridayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPISaturday
AnaheimLChicago 1-4703212-61399.4%-0.36.2%-0.018.0%-4.8304941113110000002.2-0.206Anaheim Ducks
NashvilleLColorado 0-36823111-63099.3-0.36.2-0.021.8-5.23615255122410000002.7-0.342Nashville Predators
St. LouisWCarolina 3-2 (so)6623113-43998.1+0.66.1+0.011.5+3.22011295193831100003.6+0.254St. Louis Blues
ChicagoWAnaheim 4-16413116-24294.6+1.75.9+0.14.1+1.4962152961463110004.8+0.313at San JoseChicago Blackhawks
VancouverWBuffalo 5-25732717-3980.8+3.85.0+0.20.7+0.328728521477642005.8+0.3710Vancouver Canucks
Winnipeg602616-81375.1-1.34.7-0.10.4+0.11262164291510752007.1-0.1117DallasWinnipeg Jets
San Jose5812617-6274.0-1.24.6-0.10.3+0.015422523599853106.4-0.0813ChicagoSan Jose Sharks
Calgary5512620-31352.9-1.73.3-0.10.1+0.0022113186111313118208.0-0.1012EdmontonCalgary Flames
Los Angeles5422115-12451.2-1.73.2-0.10.1+0.0021113176101313128208.0-0.1023at BostonLos Angeles Kings
Dallas5122219-7-528.1-1.51.8-0.10.0+0.000103191415161818509.7-0.0920at WinnipegDallas Stars
ColoradoWNashville 3-0532118-11-1023.4+3.31.5+0.20.0+0.0000021713141619206110.0+0.2219Colorado Avalanche
Minnesota5022220-6-722.6-1.31.4-0.10.0+0.0000021712131619226110.1-0.0918Minnesota Wild
Arizona4021725-6-500.6-0.10.0-0.00.00000000012514591912.8-0.0329at OttawaArizona Coyotes
Edmonton3511327-9-490.0-0.00.0No-0.0000000000012187813.7-0.0130at CalgaryEdmonton Oilers

Data is queried every 2.5 minutes,
Complete data dump is done every day at 3 am ET to fix mistakes or games that have been added.
Let me know how things are, if data is wrong: adamv at mad dot scientist dot com.
The percent after the team score is the chance of winning in regulation based on current second and
either home/away actual score or home/away goal differential.
If team has greater than 50% chance of winning, I mark the game as final so the stats can get up to date.

Adam updates the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Friday
Vancouver 5 Buffalo 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Chicago-0.1
Vancouver+4.4
+0.3
+0.2
Winnipeg-0.5
-0.1
San Jose-0.6
Calgary-0.9
-0.1
Los Angeles-0.8
-0.1
Dallas-0.5
Colorado-0.4
Minnesota-0.4
Colorado 3 Nashville 0
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim+1.4
Nashville-0.3
-5.6
St. Louis-0.1
+0.8
Chicago-0.2
+0.2
Vancouver-0.3
Winnipeg-0.5
San Jose-0.3
Calgary-0.5
Los Angeles-0.5
Dallas-0.6
Colorado+4.1
+0.3
Minnesota-0.6
Anaheim 1 Chicago 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim-0.2
-5.6
Nashville+1.0
St. Louis+0.7
Chicago+2.0
+0.1
+1.2
Vancouver-0.1
Winnipeg-0.2
San Jose*-0.1
Calgary-0.2
Los Angeles-0.3
Dallas-0.3
Colorado-0.2
Minnesota-0.3
Carolina 2 St. Louis 3 (so)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim-0.4
Nashville-0.4
St. Louis+0.8
+1.8
Chicago-0.1
Vancouver-0.1
Winnipeg-0.1
San Jose-0.1
Calgary-0.1
Los Angeles-0.1
Dallas-0.1
Colorado-0.1
Minnesota-0.1
New Jersey 1 Pittsburgh 2 (ot)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim-0.2
Nashville-0.2
St. Louis-0.1
Saturday
Winnipeg vs DallasIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Chicago94.794.594.594.594.494.6
Vancouver80.980.580.580.580.480.9
Winnipeg80.780.179.774.073.868.3
5.05.05.04.64.64.3
0.60.50.50.30.30.2
San Jose74.173.673.673.673.574.1
Calgary53.052.452.452.452.353.0
Los Angeles51.350.650.850.750.651.3
Dallas21.326.126.232.433.234.1
1.31.61.62.02.12.1
Colorado23.722.922.922.722.723.5
Minnesota22.822.122.122.121.922.7
Calgary vs EdmontonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Chicago94.494.494.594.794.794.9
Vancouver80.080.080.180.980.981.7
5.05.05.05.1*5.15.1
Winnipeg74.474.474.575.275.275.9
4.64.64.7*4.7*4.74.7
San Jose73.073.073.274.174.275.1
4.64.64.64.64.64.7
Calgary58.758.758.051.851.845.6
3.73.73.63.23.22.8
Los Angeles50.050.050.151.351.352.6
3.13.13.13.23.23.3
Dallas27.527.527.628.328.329.0
1.71.71.71.8*1.81.8
Colorado22.822.822.823.523.524.2
Minnesota22.022.022.122.722.723.3
Boston vs Los AngelesHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Chicago94.994.794.794.594.494.4
Vancouver81.780.980.980.180.080.0
5.1*5.1*5.15.05.05.0
Winnipeg75.975.375.274.574.474.4
4.74.74.74.74.64.6
San Jose75.174.174.173.173.073.0
4.74.6*4.64.64.64.6
Calgary54.353.053.051.851.751.7
3.43.33.33.23.23.2
Los Angeles43.950.150.156.357.057.0
2.73.13.13.53.63.6
Dallas29.028.328.327.627.527.5
1.8*1.81.81.71.71.7
Colorado24.223.523.522.822.822.8
Minnesota23.322.722.722.122.022.0
San Jose vs ChicagoHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim18.318.118.117.817.817.8
Nashville22.121.921.921.721.621.6
St. Louis11.611.511.511.411.411.4
Chicago92.494.494.496.196.396.5
5.85.9*5.96.06.06.0
2.53.63.65.15.35.4
Vancouver80.480.280.380.780.781.4
Winnipeg74.874.674.675.075.075.6
San Jose79.078.878.173.173.167.8
4.94.94.94.64.64.2
0.50.40.40.20.20.1
Calgary52.251.952.052.852.853.9
3.33.23.3*3.3*3.33.4
Los Angeles50.550.250.351.151.152.1
3.23.13.1*3.2*3.23.3
Dallas27.927.627.728.028.028.6
Colorado23.222.922.923.223.223.8
Minnesota22.422.222.222.522.422.9
Ottawa vs ArizonaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Arizona0.30.50.50.80.90.9
NoNo0.0NoNo0.0
NY Rangers vs CarolinaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim17.917.917.918.018.018.1
Nashville21.721.721.821.921.922.0
Tampa Bay vs ColumbusHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim17.717.717.718.118.118.4
Nashville21.521.521.521.922.022.3
St. Louis11.311.311.311.511.511.7
Chicago4.04.04.04.14.14.2
Montreal vs WashingtonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim17.517.517.518.118.118.7
Nashville21.321.221.322.022.022.6
St. Louis11.111.111.211.611.611.9
Chicago3.93.93.94.14.14.3
Detroit vs NY IslandersHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Anaheim18.217.817.917.717.718.0
Nashville22.021.621.721.621.521.8
St. Louis11.611.411.411.311.211.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

AnaheimNashvilleSt. LouisChicagoVancouverWinnipegSan JoseCalgaryLos AngelesDallasColoradoMinnesotaArizonaEdmonton
Anaheim4.88.413.65.422.06.67.06.89.37.97.60.10.0
Nashville4.85.68.813.411.813.911.411.16.85.85.50.20.0
St. Louis8.45.69.716.09.115.111.511.04.23.93.50.10.0
Chicago13.68.89.717.05.515.19.79.42.21.71.80.10.0
Vancouver5.413.416.017.09.56.93.83.42.21.61.50.00.0
Winnipeg22.011.89.15.59.57.74.24.20.40.30.40.00.0
San Jose6.613.915.115.16.97.72.52.41.51.11.20.00.0
Calgary7.011.411.59.73.84.22.51.00.70.50.50.00.0
Los Angeles6.811.111.09.43.44.22.41.00.80.40.50.00.0
Dallas9.36.84.22.22.20.41.50.70.80.00.00.00.0
Colorado7.95.83.91.71.60.31.10.50.40.00.00.00.0
Minnesota7.65.53.51.81.50.41.20.50.50.00.00.00.0
Arizona0.10.20.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Edmonton0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0