Western Conference Playoff Chances 50/50

Season starts October 8th
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupPres TrophyDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
PGWL-OTGD%Change%Change%Change1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516RPI10/8
Vancouver000-0057.2%3.6%3.3%771414777777771at CalgaryVancouver Canucks
Dallas000-0057.23.63.3771414777777771Dallas Stars
Minnesota000-0057.23.63.3771414777777771Minnesota Wild
St. Louis000-0057.13.63.3771414777777771St. Louis Blues
Anaheim000-0057.13.63.3771414777777771Anaheim Ducks
Calgary000-0057.13.63.3771414777777771VancouverCalgary Flames
Edmonton000-0057.13.63.3771414777777771Edmonton Oilers
Winnipeg000-0057.13.63.3771414777777771Winnipeg Jets
Los Angeles000-0057.13.63.3771414777777771San JoseLos Angeles Kings
Arizona000-0057.13.63.3771414777777771Arizona Coyotes
San Jose000-0057.13.63.3771414777777771at Los AngelesSan Jose Sharks
Colorado000-0057.13.63.3771414777777771Colorado Avalanche
Nashville000-0057.13.63.3771414777777771Nashville Predators
Chicago000-0057.13.63.3771414777777771Chicago Blackhawks

Data is queried every 2.5 minutes,
Complete data dump is done every day at 3 am ET to fix mistakes or games that have been added.
Let me know how things are, if data is wrong: adamv at mad dot scientist dot com.
The percent after the team score is the chance of winning in regulation based on current second and
either home/away actual score or home/away goal differential.
If team has greater than 50% chance of winning, I mark the game as final so the stats can get up to date.

Adam updates the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Wednesday
Calgary vs VancouverIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vancouver52.056.156.260.561.161.5
3.33.53.53.83.83.8
2.43.13.13.94.04.1
Dallas57.257.057.057.056.957.2
Minnesota57.256.956.957.056.957.2
Anaheim57.356.956.956.956.857.2
Calgary61.561.060.656.156.251.9
3.83.83.83.53.53.2
4.14.14.03.13.12.4
Edmonton57.256.856.957.056.957.2
Los Angeles57.256.956.856.956.857.2
Arizona57.256.956.856.956.857.2
San Jose57.256.856.956.956.857.2
Los Angeles vs San JoseHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vancouver57.256.956.956.956.857.2
Dallas57.256.957.056.957.057.2
Anaheim57.256.856.956.956.957.2
Calgary57.256.856.956.856.857.3
Edmonton57.256.956.956.856.857.2
Los Angeles61.561.160.656.156.152.0
3.93.83.83.53.53.2
4.14.03.93.13.12.4
Arizona57.256.856.956.956.857.2
San Jose52.056.156.160.661.061.5
3.33.53.53.83.83.8
2.43.13.13.94.04.1
Thursday
Arizona vs WinnipegIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vancouver57.156.856.957.056.957.4
Dallas57.457.057.056.956.857.1
Minnesota57.457.057.056.956.957.1
St. Louis57.456.957.056.956.857.1
Anaheim57.156.856.957.057.057.4
Calgary57.156.856.857.057.057.4
Edmonton57.156.956.957.057.057.4
Winnipeg52.156.356.260.561.061.3
3.33.53.53.83.83.8
2.43.13.13.94.14.1
Los Angeles57.156.856.957.056.957.4
Arizona61.361.160.556.356.252.1
3.83.83.83.53.53.3
4.14.13.93.13.12.4
San Jose57.156.856.957.057.057.3
Colorado57.457.057.056.856.857.0
Nashville57.456.957.056.956.957.0
Chicago57.356.9*57.056.956.857.0
Minnesota vs ColoradoHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Dallas57.256.956.956.956.857.2
Minnesota61.561.160.656.256.152.0
3.83.83.83.53.53.3
4.14.03.93.13.12.4
St. Louis57.356.956.956.956.857.2
Calgary57.256.957.057.056.957.2
Winnipeg57.256.856.956.956.857.2
San Jose57.256.956.956.957.057.2
Colorado51.956.156.160.661.161.4
3.23.5*3.53.83.83.8
2.43.13.13.94.04.1
Nashville57.256.856.856.956.857.2
Chicago57.256.856.856.956.857.2
Dallas vs ChicagoHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Dallas61.561.160.656.156.152.0
3.83.83.8*3.53.53.2
4.14.14.03.13.12.4
Minnesota57.256.956.956.956.957.2
St. Louis57.256.956.956.956.957.2
Calgary57.256.957.057.057.057.2
Winnipeg57.256.856.956.956.857.2
Los Angeles57.256.957.056.956.957.2
San Jose57.256.957.056.957.057.2
Colorado57.256.956.956.956.957.2
Nashville57.256.856.856.956.857.2
Chicago51.956.056.260.661.061.5
3.23.53.53.83.83.8
2.43.13.13.94.14.1
Edmonton vs CalgaryHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vancouver57.256.856.956.956.957.3
*3.63.53.53.5*3.63.6
Anaheim57.256.956.956.956.957.2
Calgary52.056.156.160.661.061.5
3.23.53.53.83.83.8
2.43.13.13.94.14.1
Edmonton61.561.060.756.156.152.0
3.83.83.83.53.53.2
4.14.03.93.13.12.4
Winnipeg57.256.957.057.056.957.2
Los Angeles57.256.856.956.956.957.2
Arizona57.256.956.956.856.857.2
San Jose57.256.856.956.956.857.2
Chicago57.256.956.957.056.957.2
St. Louis vs NY RangersHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vancouver56.956.957.0*57.2*57.257.5
Dallas56.856.756.8*57.2*57.257.6
Minnesota56.856.856.9*57.2*57.257.6
St. Louis61.061.060.556.456.552.3
3.83.83.83.5*3.53.3
4.14.13.93.13.12.4
Anaheim56.956.957.0*57.2*57.257.4
Calgary56.956.957.0*57.2*57.257.4
Edmonton56.956.957.0*57.2*57.257.4
Winnipeg56.856.856.857.3*57.257.6
Los Angeles56.956.956.9*57.2*57.257.4
Arizona56.956.956.9*57.2*57.257.4
San Jose56.956.956.9*57.2*57.257.4
Colorado56.856.756.8*57.2*57.257.6
Nashville56.856.756.8*57.257.357.6
Chicago56.856.856.8*57.2*57.257.6
Pittsburgh vs AnaheimHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vancouver57.6*57.2*57.256.856.856.8
Dallas57.5*57.1*57.256.956.956.9
Minnesota57.4*57.1*57.257.056.956.9
St. Louis57.4*57.2*57.257.056.956.9
Anaheim52.456.556.560.461.061.0
3.3*3.53.53.83.83.8
2.43.13.13.94.04.1
Calgary57.657.257.356.856.856.8
Edmonton57.6*57.257.256.956.856.8
Winnipeg57.4*57.2*57.256.956.956.9
Los Angeles57.6*57.2*57.256.856.856.7
Arizona57.6*57.2*57.256.956.856.8
San Jose57.6*57.2*57.256.856.856.8
Colorado57.4*57.2*57.256.956.956.9
Nashville57.4*57.2*57.157.056.956.9
Chicago57.4*57.2*57.256.956.956.9
Nashville vs OttawaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vancouver56.956.957.057.3*57.257.4
Dallas56.856.856.857.3*57.257.6
Minnesota56.856.856.8*57.2*57.257.6
St. Louis56.856.856.9*57.2*57.257.6
Anaheim56.956.957.0*57.257.357.4
Calgary56.957.056.9*57.2*57.257.4
Edmonton56.956.957.0*57.1*57.257.4
Winnipeg56.856.856.8*57.2*57.257.6
Los Angeles56.956.956.9*57.2*57.257.4
Arizona56.956.956.9*57.2*57.257.4
San Jose56.956.956.9*57.1*57.157.4
Colorado56.856.856.8*57.2*57.257.6
Nashville61.061.060.456.456.552.4
3.83.83.8*3.63.53.3
4.14.03.93.13.12.4
Chicago56.756.756.9*57.2*57.257.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

VancouverDallasMinnesotaSt. LouisAnaheimCalgaryEdmontonWinnipegLos AngelesArizonaSan JoseColoradoNashvilleChicago
Vancouver2.22.22.27.07.07.02.27.07.07.02.22.22.2
Dallas2.27.07.02.22.22.27.02.22.22.27.07.07.0
Minnesota2.27.07.02.22.22.27.02.22.22.27.07.07.0
St. Louis2.27.07.02.22.22.27.02.22.22.27.07.07.0
Anaheim7.02.22.22.27.07.02.27.07.07.02.22.22.2
Calgary7.02.22.22.27.07.02.27.07.07.02.22.22.2
Edmonton7.02.22.22.27.07.02.27.07.07.02.22.22.2
Winnipeg2.27.07.07.02.22.22.22.22.22.27.07.07.0
Los Angeles7.02.22.22.27.07.07.02.27.07.02.22.22.2
Arizona7.02.22.22.27.07.07.02.27.07.02.22.22.2
San Jose7.02.22.22.27.07.07.02.27.07.02.22.22.2
Colorado2.27.07.07.02.22.22.27.02.22.22.27.07.0
Nashville2.27.07.07.02.22.22.27.02.22.22.27.07.0
Chicago2.27.07.07.02.22.22.27.02.22.22.27.07.0